Venice Breakwater Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and let’s talk waves. It ain’t looking like a classic stretch of summer for us here, so let’s get real about it. We’ve got a long window ahead, but the ocean is playing hard to get for the most part. The first week is mostly about small, weak surf with average conditions. The second week has a pulse of bigger energy, but it comes with some messy wind, so we’ve got to pick our moments.

Right off the bat, we’re looking at a bit of a lull. The first few days are pretty miserable. Sunday the 30th has a small 3ft SSW swell showing at Venice Breakwater, but the morning is cross-onshore with a light breeze, and the afternoon turns fully onshore. The swell energy is moderate (503 in the morning), but the quality is poor. Monday the 31st drops to 3ft and the energy falls apart—it’s not going to be worth getting wet. We stay in that sub-3ft zone through Wednesday, with mostly light cross-onshore winds. There might be a knee-high ripple with the odd clean-ish look, but honestly, you’d be better off checking the tide charts and doing something else.

Thursday the 3rd perks up slightly. The swell is still small (2ft) but the period stretches to 15–18 seconds. That’s some proper long-period groundswell energy rolling in (533 in the afternoon), even if the size is tiny. The morning is still cross-onshore, though. Friday and Saturday the 4th and 5th are similar—around 3ft, with periods holding in the 16–17 second range. The energy is moderate but the winds keep it from ever looking truly clean. Still, these mornings with just a light cross-onshore might offer up a few fun, clean lines if you’re desperate and the tide lines up.

And then, on Sunday the 6th, things finally click into place. The wind swings around to a light ENE cross-offshore, and we get what the data calls “clean” conditions. The swell is still small, just 3ft to 3ft, but it’s from the SSW with a 15-second period (energy around 327-357). The vibe is glassy, the lines will be holding up, and for a beach/breakwater setup like Venice, this is our best morning of the whole first week. It’s not big, so don’t expect hero waves, but it will be the most surfable it’s been.

Then the rug gets pulled. Monday the 7th the swell drops out completely, down to 0.7ft–1ft with a 19-second period, but the wind goes cross-shore and then moderate cross-shore. That’s basically flat with chop. A complete write-off.

But wait—there’s a pulse on the horizon. Tuesday the 8th brings a sudden rise in swell: 5ft to 6ft from the SSW with 12–13 second periods and strong energy (over 900!). That’s the biggest swell of the whole forecast. But before you get excited, the wind is onshore and the waves are going to be a lumpy, choppy mess. 5ft isn’t huge, but with that wind and short period, it will be messy and hard to read. It’s more of a power session for someone who doesn’t mind getting worked, but if you’ve got a twin-fin and a good attitude, there might be something in there.

Wednesday the 9th drops back to 5ft in the morning but the period is down to 10 seconds and it’s still onshore. By afternoon, it’s fading and the period drops to 8 seconds—that’s windswell chop, not worth your time.

From Thursday the 10th onward, it’s a slow fade back to the small stuff. The 10th has 3ft with a 17-second period, but the winds are cross-onshore again. We hover around 2ft–3ft for the rest of the window, with mostly poor conditions. The 14th looks like 2ft with a 17-second period, but it’s a tease of energy with no size behind it.

So, here’s the deal. The standout is hands down Sunday the 6th – it’s got the cleanest conditions, a bit of long-period swell, and the light offshore wind will actually make it feel fun. That’s your window if you just need to get wet. The 4th and 5th have similar energy and slightly bigger swell, but the wind is just that touch more on it. If you’re an experienced surfer and don’t mind a challenge, Tuesday the 8th has the most push, but it will be messy and not very pretty. The water temp anomaly is about average for this time of year – nothing crazy there.

The rest of the time? It’s a long flat spell, and that’s normal for this spot, honestly. It’s not going to be a classic fortnight. It tends not to stay flat forever, though, so keep an eye on the charts.

Keep the faith, check the cams, and I’ll see you out there if the wind plays nice.

Rusty

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