Surf Forecasts:
Vale do Lobo surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 5s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, WNW swell with 60 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 5s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Vale do Lobo this week:
The surf forecast for Vale do Lobo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Vale do Lobo in the next 16 days are 1.0m 5s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 5s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Vale do Lobo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. Look, I’ve got to be straight with you – the surf over the next couple of weeks is virtually non-existent. It’s a pretty grim run for the Algarve coast here. We’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak waves and poor conditions.
Right now, and for the first week and a half, there’s nothing worth paddling out for. We’re talking about day after day of flat, mushy swells that are barely breaking. The energy is just completely absent. For example, on Tuesday 14th July, you’ve got a 1 ft swell from the west with a period of just 6 seconds and a combined energy of only 15 – that’s barely a ripple. It’s a similar story right through to the 25th. The winds are sometimes glassy or light, but with no swell to work with, it’s just a flat, calm lake. There’s a gap of about 12 days where there’s absolutely no recommendation to be had.
Now, the only faint glimmer in this whole outlook comes right at the end. On the morning of Sunday 26th July, we might finally see a pulse of life. The swell is still tiny at 1 ft, but it’s from the SW with a period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy ticks up to 54. It’s still not big, but that longer period suggests a bit more shape. The wind is offshore from the north, so it’ll be clean. It’s only a 1 out of 10, but it’s the only time the forecast uses the word “surfable.” This is a very small window for a very small wave.
For the rest of the second week, it’s more of the same: tiny swells, and by the afternoon of the 25th, the wind picks up and makes a mess of things. The morning of the 29th looks glassy again with a 1 ft swell and energy of 41, but it’s still a long way from being any kind of standout.
Honestly, if you’re desperate for a paddle, Vale do Lobo is a beginner-friendly spot, and on those rare glassy mornings with a tiny bit of west swell, you might get a few knee-high sliders. But for anyone looking for a real wave, this is a blank run. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. It’s a tough stretch, but it won’t stay this flat forever. Forecasts can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 19°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the NW by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Sun afternoon, min 18°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Fri afternoon, calm by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | WSW 6 | WNW 4 | WSW 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 10 | WSW 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WSW 6 | W 5 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 5 | W 4 | WSW 5 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 7 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 14 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:05PM3.07m | 3:36AM2.83m | 3:54PM3.16m | 4:24AM2.83m | 4:40PM3.17m | 5:10AM2.77m | 5:26PM3.08m | 5:54AM2.67m | 6:11PM2.92m | 6:39AM2.53m | 6:57PM2.70m | 7:26AM2.38m | 7:45PM2.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:48AM0.20m | 9:24PM-0.02m | 9:35AM0.12m | 10:12PM-0.06m | 10:21AM0.11m | 10:58PM-0.03m | 11:05AM0.17m | 11:43PM0.09m | 11:49AM0.28m | 00:27AM0.26m | 12:34PM0.44m | 1:11AM0.45m | 1:22PM0.63m | 1:57AM0.66m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — |
 | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:49 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 24 | 22 | 26 | 29 | 23 | 26 | 30 | 23 | 28 | 31 | 23 | 27 | 31 | 25 | 28 | 32 | 28 | 30 | 32 | 27 |
Feels °C | 22 | 21 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 20 | 25 | 26 | 19 | 25 | 28 | 23 | 27 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | SW 11 | W 4 | W 6 | W 9 | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 5 | WNW 5 | W 8 | W 4 | W 4 | W 7 | W 4 | W 5 | W 5 | SE 5 |
| kJ | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | W 8 | W 6 | WSW 10 | W 7 | W 9 | W 10 | W 7 | W 9 | W 6 | — | W 8 | W 8 | — | W 8 | W 8 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | ESE 5 | W 4 |
| kJ | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 3 | — | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | — | WSW 10 | W 7 | S 11 | S 11 | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | W 6 | — | — | W 10 | W 10 | SE 5 | SE 5 | W 8 | W 7 |
| kJ | 3 | — | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 6 | WNW 4 | — | WSW 3 | NNW 2 | — | WSW 2 | NW 4 | — | WSW 6 | NNW 4 | — | SW 2 | WNW 5 | — | WSW 5 | — | — | — | WNW 5 |
| kJ | — | 15 | 13 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | — | 14 | 3 | — | 1 | 32 | — | 4 | — | — | — | 17 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 77 | 303 | 82 | 124 | 184 | 213 | 216 | 168 | 213 | 352 | 303 | 341 | 349 | 748 | 0 | 188 | 690 | 76 | 82 | 282 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Algarve | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Vale do Lobo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Vale do Lobo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Vale do Lobo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Vale do Lobo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Vale do Lobo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Vale do Lobo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Vale do Lobo is 4 km (2 miles) from Quarteira. If you plan a holiday in The Algarve, look for hotels and other accommodation in Quarteira. Quarteira has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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