Surf Forecasts:
Vale do Lobo surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 5s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period, W swell with 40 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 5s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Vale do Lobo this week:
The surf forecast for Vale do Lobo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Vale do Lobo in the next 16 days are 0.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 2s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 5s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Vale do Lobo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, listen up. Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking flat. Real flat. We’re in a classic summer lull, and if you’re jonesing for a wave, you’re gonna have to be patient.
We’re looking at a stretch of tiny, weak, and mostly onshore slop for the foreseeable future. For the first week, from the 15th right through the 22nd, we’re talking about surf that’s barely a ripple. Heights are hovering around 0.3ft to 1ft, with periods that are all over the shop, often short and without any punch. The energy is weak, mostly reading in the single digits to low 20s (21, 10, 5, 15 etc.), which tells you everything you need to know. The wind is often on it, from the SW, chopping things up. There are a few windows of glassy mornings, like on the 19th and 20th, but with next to no swell, it’s just a flat, pretty ocean. Not worth the paddle.
There is a slight pulse of longer-period energy showing for the 30th of August, with swell building to 2ft and a period of 11 seconds from the W. The energy reads at a more moderate 120, which is something. But that’s over a week and a half away, and the winds for the afternoon of that day are looking fresh and cross-onshore, which will wreck any potential. It’s promising, but I wouldn't book the day off work just yet.
Honestly, the standout here is *Vale do Lobo* itself. It’s the only break on the menu. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, fairly consistent, and with the swell direction from the W, it’s in the right direction to see something. But with this little swell, it’s going to be a challenge to find anything rideable. The water temp is about average for this time of year at 70°, so at least it’ll be comfortable while you’re sitting there waiting. Crowds are always a possibility here, so if anything does sneak in, you won't be alone.
This is a stretch where the setup looks far more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. We’ve got a long, drawn-out period of weak, onshore wind and minimal swell. It might not be what you want to hear, but it’s the truth. Get the longboard repaired, or sort your gear out, because we're in for a quiet couple of weeks. The second week looks more of the same, tiny surf and inconsistent winds. Keep an eye on that 30th, but don't get your hopes up.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 20°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 19°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | WNW 5 | W 9 | W 8 | S 15 | S 15 | W 5 | W 5 | W 8 | S 15 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | WSW 4 | WSW 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 5 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 21 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 38 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross | cross-off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:58PM3.09m | 5:21AM2.77m | 5:37PM2.90m | 5:59AM2.62m | 6:16PM2.65m | 6:38AM2.45m | 6:57PM2.39m | 7:20AM2.26m | 7:45PM2.13m | 8:13AM2.09m | 8:50PM1.93m | 9:29AM1.97m | 10:22PM1.84m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:10PM0.06m | 11:18AM0.20m | 11:46PM0.24m | 11:56AM0.37m | 00:21AM0.46m | 12:37PM0.58m | 00:59AM0.69m | 1:22PM0.79m | 1:43AM0.91m | 2:22PM0.98m | 2:47AM1.08m | 3:51PM1.09m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 28 | 22 |
Feels °C | 25 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 4 | W 6 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 8 | WSW 3 | W 8 | W 8 | WSW 4 | WSW 10 | W 10 | SW 4 | WSW 5 | W 9 | W 4 |
| kJ | 21 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 9 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 8 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 7 | W 9 | W 8 | S 15 | W 8 | — | S 14 | W 10 | SW 4 | S 13 | W 9 | W 9 | S 12 | W 8 |
| kJ | — | 12 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 8 | — | S 15 | S 15 | W 10 | W 7 | S 14 | — | S 14 | S 14 | — | S 13 | S 13 | S 16 | S 12 | S 14 | W 12 | SW 11 |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | — | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 3 | — | SW 2 | — | — | SW 4 | — | — | WSW 5 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 10 | 38 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 736 | 0 | 75 | 75 | 75 | 75 | 80 | 75 | 106 | 626 | 75 | 75 | 620 | 75 | 75 | 72 | 72 | 355 | 379 | 294 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Algarve | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Vale do Lobo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Vale do Lobo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Vale do Lobo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Vale do Lobo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Vale do Lobo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Vale do Lobo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Vale do Lobo is 4 km (2 miles) from Quarteira. If you plan a holiday in The Algarve, look for hotels and other accommodation in Quarteira. Quarteira has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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