The Point (Gonubie Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at the only spot that’s got any sort of action in this 16-day window: The Point (Gonubie Bay). It’s a point break, fairly consistent when conditions line up, and it’s exposed to the southwest swell. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild going on there.

The forecast starts on Friday, 17 July, but it’s a bit of a slow burner. Friday morning kicks off with a weak 3ft SSW swell, period around 13 seconds, but the wind is a cross-shore from the southwest, so it’s gonna be a bit bumpy with some cross-chop. The wave energy is weak (326), and honestly, it’s just marginal. The afternoon sees a jump to 5ft, still from the SSW, but the wind lightens up to a light cross-shore, and the energy gets moderate (603). Still not clean enough to get excited about.

Saturday 18 July morning is where it starts to look a bit more promising. The swell drops back to 4ft from the south, period 12 seconds, and the wind turns cross-offshore from the WSW. That’s a clean setup, but the energy is still moderate (469). The afternoon goes downhill quick with a moderate cross-shore and a cross-chop from a stiff SW breeze.

Sunday 19 July and Monday 20 July are a mixed bag. Sunday has light winds but cross-shore, so there’s a bit of ripple on the surface. Monday morning sees a jump in energy to 1165 (strong) with a 5ft SSW swell, but the wind is a light cross-shore from the NE, so it’s not perfect. Afternoon gets a bit cleaner but still cross-shore.

Now, Tuesday 21 July is the first real standout. The morning is glassy – zero wind – with a 4ft SE swell, period 11 seconds, and decent energy (416). That’s clean, surfable, and the point will be holding nicely. The afternoon is even better: glassy, barely a breath of wind, with a 3ft SSW swell but a very long period of 15 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy (573), and on a point break, that’s gonna give you some long, lined-up waves. Best session of the first week, no question.

Wednesday 22 July morning stays clean with a cross-offshore breeze and a 4ft SSW swell, 13-second period, and moderate energy (713). But the afternoon gets wrecked by a fresh cross-shore from the SW at 19 mph, creating lumpy chop. Thursday 23 July is marginal all day, with cross-shore or onshore winds and 5ft swell – not worth the paddle.

Now, Friday 24 July to Saturday 25 July is the real highlight of the whole outlook. This is the one to circle on the calendar. Friday morning has a 6ft SSW swell, 16-second period, and the energy is strong (1714). Wind is a light cross-onshore, so not perfect. But Friday afternoon? Glassy, 5ft, 15-second period, and the energy is still strong (1098). That’s excellent for experienced surfers, and it’s gonna be clean. Then Saturday 25 July morning is the absolute peak: glassy, 6ft SSW swell, 18-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell – and the energy is very strong (2420). That is a pumping session for the point, but it’s for experienced surfers only. The afternoon on Saturday gets messy with a fresh cross-shore again.

Sunday 26 July is a write-off. Strong breeze from the SW, 12ft lumpy swell, and cross-chop everywhere. That’s more of a kitesurfing day than a paddle day.

From Monday 27 July onward, the swell drops and the winds get inconsistent. Monday morning has a 7ft S swell but a fresh cross-shore from the NE, so it’s bumpy. By Tuesday 28 July, it’s back to 4ft and light cross-shore, but nothing special. Wednesday 29 July morning is glassy with a tiny 3ft S swell, barely any energy (238) – you’d be on a longboard if anything. After that, from Thursday 30 July right through to Saturday 1 August, the swell completely fades to 1ft to 2ft, and the energy is weak (less than 100). It’s a flat spell, no surf worth talking about.

So, the standouts are clear: Tuesday 21 July for a clean, glassy session with some long-period groundswell, and then the absolute best is Friday 24 July afternoon through Saturday 25 July morning – that’s the big groundswell window with glassy conditions. After that, it’s a long gap of flatness until the end of the outlook. Crowds? The Point can get them sometimes, so expect a few locals out on those good days.

Rusty.

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