The Point (Gonubie Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for our little corner of the coast.

Right off the bat, the outlook for the next week and a half is a bit of a mixed bag, but there are a couple of windows where it’ll be worth wetting a line. We’ve got a solid south swell in the background for most of the run, but the wind is going to be the main character for a while.

We start the period on Saturday, July 11th. The Point (Gonubie Bay) has some size on offer, with a 7 ft south swell. It’s a proper groundswell with a 13-second period, and the combined energy is strong at 1420. The problem is the wind is a light cross-onshore. It’s surfable, but nothing to get too excited about. That swell holds into the afternoon with a 7 ft south swell at 12 seconds.

The next few days are a write-off, honestly. Sunday the 12th through to Wednesday the 15th, the wind swings onshore or cross-shore, the swell drops off, and the energy readings are low. We’re looking at a gap of several days with nothing worth paddling for. Kite surfers might have a look at some of those choppier days, but for a surfboard, forget it.

Things start to look more interesting as we head into the second week. On Saturday, July 18th, the swell is going to pulse up again. We’ve got a 7 ft south swell with a decent period of 13 seconds and a combined energy of 1632. That’s strong stuff. The catch? A moderate cross-shore wind from the NE is going to chop it up. It’s going to be lumpy, maybe even a handful.

Now, if you can wait, Saturday, July 25th is the one to circle on the calendar. This is the standout window. There’s a 6 ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a very long 17-second period, delivering strong energy at 1707. And here’s the kicker: it’s glassy. Dead calm conditions. Zero wind. The water temp is about average for this time of year. The Point breaks best on a SW swell direction, which this is very close to. This is going to be clean, lined-up, and absolutely perfect for an intermediate surfer. The 6 ft size is a nice, solid wave.

Just before that, the morning of Friday, July 24th is also worth looking at. We’ve got a clean 4 ft south swell with a strong 14-second period and a light offshore wind. The energy is moderate at 1022, and conditions look excellent. A good warm-up for the weekend.

So, to boil it down: the first week is mostly a bust. Don’t get your hopes up. But that Saturday the 25th with the glassy, long-period SSW groundswell is the real deal. It looks promising, but it’s a week and a half out so keep an eye on it. The Point can get crowded on a good day, but for a morning like that, it’s worth sharing a few waves.

Stay stoked, and I’ll see you in the water.

- Rusty

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