The Point (Gonubie Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming our way for The Point at Gonubie Bay. This is a point break, fairly consistent, and it works best when the swell is out of the southwest. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is about 1° cooler than average for this time of year – nothing too wild, just your standard late-winter chill.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first proper recommendation lands on Friday morning, August 28. Swell is 4 ft from the south, with a 12-second period and moderate energy (432). The wind is a cross-offshore from the NNE at 9 mph, keeping things clean. That’s your best bet for the early part of the outlook – clean, fun little waves for an intermediate surfer.

Saturday morning, August 29, is still worth a look: 3 ft of SSE swell, period 12 seconds, energy dropping to (235), and that same cross-off NNE breeze. It’s small but tidy. From Saturday afternoon onward, the wind swings southwest and picks up, and conditions turn poor for the rest of the weekend and into the start of the week. The wind goes cross or onshore, and the swell drops off or gets choppy. Nothing to get excited about.

We hit a real dry spell from Sunday, August 30, all the way through to the morning of Sunday, September 6. That’s about a week of really poor or marginal surf. The few bits of swell that show up get trashed by strong winds – there’s even a bit of onshore wind hitting 25 mph and some big, messy energy readings. Not for paddling.

Now, on Sunday morning, September 6, things get interesting. We’ve got a 3 ft groundswell from the south with a 15-second period – that’s a proper long-period groundswell, and the energy is solid (518). More importantly, the wind is glassy. SSE at just 3 mph. The report says “glassy.” That is, for this point break, going to produce some clean, lined-up waves. The long period means the sets will be spaced out, but the shape on a point like this should be excellent. If you want the standout of the entire outlook, that Sunday morning is it. Get in the water early.

After that, the outlook fades. Monday and Tuesday, September 7–8, are messy again with strong cross-onshore winds and tiny swell. Wednesday, September 9, is flat and weak – combined energy down to (42) and (27). Then on Thursday morning, September 10, we get a pulse of 6 ft swell from the southwest, but the period is short at 8 seconds and the wind is cross-shore. It’s marginal at best, more of a choppy, mushy option for the keen ones who don’t mind a challenge.

So to wrap it up: your real window is Friday morning (Aug 28) for clean, small waves, and the absolute standout is Sunday morning (Sep 6) – glassy, long-period groundswell, clean conditions. Everything else in the 16-day run is either too windy, too small, or too messy to recommend.

Stay frothy.
Rusty.

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