The Box Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

First off, I’ll be honest—this is a tough-love forecast for The Box. We’re looking at a 16-day window that starts very flat and stays mostly flat. The water is sitting at a warm 79°, and it’s a touch warmer than normal for this time of year (anomaly plus 3°), so it’s noticeable but not crazy.

The Box is a beach and reef setup, only for advanced surfers, but it’s rarely breaking. And guess what? It’s barely breaking at all in this whole period. The combined energy of all swells directed here is in the low single digits most days, with a few short pulses hitting a weak 20 (20) at best. That’s barely enough to push a ripple over the reef.

Through Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th, we’ve got tiny swell around 1.0 ft to 1 ft, coming from the NNE or ESE, with periods of 4 to 5 seconds. That’s short-period wind slop, and with a moderate breeze on Sunday morning and cross-on winds, it’s a write-off. Monday morning cleans up a bit with a light WNW cross-off breeze, but there’s no wave to ride.

Tuesday the 14th morning you get a glassy calm with 0.3 ft swell—that’s a pond. The afternoon picks up a tiny 0.7 ft from the east with a clean cross-off, but it’s still flat. This pattern repeats day after day: tiny swell, clean wind, no surf. Wednesday the 15th morning is glassy with 0.3 ft. Friday the 17th has a moderate cross-shore breeze and 1 ft of 3-second chop. You get the idea.

The only blip of energy comes on Saturday the 18th morning, with a combined energy of 13 (13) and 1 ft from the NE, period 5 seconds. But it’s a cross breeze and the swell is too weak and short. Sunday the 19th afternoon sees a 2 ft ESE swell with a period of 5 seconds and energy of 20 (20), but it’s a gentle cross-shore—still crumbly and small.

Monday the 20th morning is dead calm, glassy, with 2 ft from the ESE, period 5 seconds, energy 15 (15). That’s the best of the bunch, but it’s still tiny and weak. If you’re a beginner, it’s not dangerous, but it’s not really surfable either. For an advanced spot like The Box, this is just a flat spell.

The rest of the window fades into nothing. Combined energy drops to 1 or 0. The last few days up to Monday the 27th have a few cross-off breezes, but the swell is a measly 1.0 ft to 1 ft. The Box is an inconsistent spot, and this blank run is more normal for the area. Don’t hold your breath.

If you’re a kite surfer, the wind is mostly light to moderate, so not great for that either. For paddle surfing, there’s nothing here. The forecasts can change, but for now, it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

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