The Box Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The Box is the only spot on the table for this 16-day window, and straight up, it’s a rough stretch. This is a tricky, advanced wave that’s inconsistent and rarely breaks properly, and the forecast shows a long, painful gap with basically no surf to speak of.

Right now, the water is a notable 82° – that’s 5° warmer than usual for this time of year, which is a real standout. Feels like a bathtub out there.

We kick off on Saturday the 25th of July with just a tiny 0.3 ft of swell from the northeast, period a short 5 seconds. The wind is cross-off but the energy is basically nothing – combined energy of all swells directed here is a measly 1. It’s clean, but there’s nothing to ride.

Sunday the 26th sees a bump to 4 ft from the NNE, but the period is still a short 5 seconds, and the wind cranks onshore from the NNE at 19 mph. It’s lumpy and choppy. Combined energy hits 59, but it’s a messy, blown-out mess. Not great.

Monday the 27th morning is glassy, but the swell drops back to 1 ft – combined energy of 18. It’s clean and tiny. Afternoon goes cross-shore and small.

From Tuesday the 28th onward, the writing is on the wall. We get a few mornings of glassy or clean conditions, but the swell is either absent or barely a ripple. Combined energy readings are in the single digits or zero. By Thursday the 30th, the swell flatlines completely – zeros across the board for combined energy. That dead spell stretches all the way through to Sunday the 9th of August. There are a few afternoons with tiny 1.0 ft to 2 ft bumps, but the winds are often cross or cross-onshore, creating chop.

The only real glimmer comes on Saturday the 8th of August morning. We get a 2 ft NE swell with a 6-second period, offshore wind from the SSW at 6 mph, and clean conditions. Combined energy is 21. It’s small, but it’s the best of a very poor bunch. For a spot that rarely breaks, this is a whisper, not a wave.

Honestly, this is a brutal run. The Box is an inconsistent beast at the best of times, and with this forecast, you’re looking at a solid 10-day stretch of nothing worth paddling for. It’s the kind of blank run that’s more normal for this area when the conditions don’t align. Keep an eye on the forecasts – things can change, but right now, the board stays in the car.

Rusty.

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