The Box Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next couple of weeks. It’s going to be a long, flat stretch for the most part. We’re looking at a solid gap of nothing but small, weak windswell and almost no energy at The Box. You’re going to want to find something else to do for a while.

Right out of the gate, Tuesday and Wednesday are total write-offs. We’re talking ankle-biters at best, with light cross-onshore breezes messing up what little texture there is. The Box is a beach and reef setup, but it needs a pulse, and there’s just nothing on the cards. Water temp is sitting at a warm 80°, about a degree above normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a hood, just a lot of patience.

We roll through the first week with the same story – glassy mornings here and there, but the swell stays tiny. There’s a bit of energy trying to show on Thursday the 10th, with a weak 2ft NE groundswell and a period of 6 seconds, but it’s barely enough to get your head wet. The combined energy is still in the weak zone at 47, so it’s not doing anyone any favors. The winds stay light, but the ocean just doesn’t have any push.

The second week is a bit more of the same, but we finally get a couple of days that are worth looking at. Around Tuesday the 15th, things start to shift. We see a cleaner 3ft NE swell with a 7-second period in the morning, and the wind is light and cross-offshore. It’s the first time the place looks like it’s got a bit of shape to it. The energy jumps up to 75, which is still weak, but it’s the most we’ve seen all period. The conditions are clean, so if you’re desperate, that’s your window for a few grovelly ones.

Then on Wednesday the 16th, we get a slight bump. The swell pushes up to 3ft from the ENE with a 9-second period, and the energy jumps to 141, which is moderate. But the wind swings cross-shore and it gets a little lumpy. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. The Box is an inconsistent wave at the best of times, so this isn’t a standout, just a “maybe” if you’re jonesing.

Honestly, there’s no real standout here. The whole 16-day window is a struggle for paddle surfing. The consistent lack of size and the mostly messy wind states mean you’re better off finding a different hobby for a while. If the wind picks up straight onshore, you might get a bit of a bump, but as it stands, it looks more interesting for a kiteboarder than a surfer. It’s a blank run, but that happens. The forecasts can change, so don’t write it off completely, but right now, it’s not looking like a good time.

Rusty.

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