Tajiguas Ranch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

The outlook for this stretch of coast is a bit of a slow burner. We’ve got a long dry spell ahead before things start to show any real life. The first surfable day isn’t until Sunday, August 2nd, and even then, it’s nothing to write home about. The real standout is hiding way down the line, nearly two weeks out, so patience is the name of the game.

Tajiguas Ranch is the only spot on the menu, and it’s a reef break that’s fairly consistent when there’s swell. The water is sitting at 69°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year, so you won’t be needing a thick suit.

The first real chance of a wave comes on Sunday, August 2nd, with a small 3ft swell from the WNW and a period of 9 seconds. The wind is a light cross-on from the WSW, so it’ll be a bit bumpy. It’s marginal, but the combined swell energy is 233 (moderate), so there’s enough juice to push around some small lines. The quality is poor, though, so don’t expect much.

From there, the surf drops off hard. For the next ten days, we’re looking at tiny, weak swell with heights between 1ft and 2ft, and the combined energy often sits below 100 (weak). The wind is mostly light cross-on or onshore, keeping things messy. The water temperature anomaly data is only available for the first day, but the conditions are consistently poor. This is a real dead zone, with no good surf on offer through to Monday, August 10th, when the energy starts to climb back up into the 200s (moderate). Even then, the swell is still only 2ft from the SSW.

The first true standout looks like it might be Sunday, August 16th. The swell picks up a bit, with 2ft from the WNW, but the period is a very long 19 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy hits 366 (strong), and the morning has light cross-on wind. The 2ft height is underwhelming, but that long period will make for clean, lined-up waves at a reef. Monday, August 17th is the best bet, though. The morning brings a 2ft swell from the WNW with a 15-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 414 (strong). The wind is light onshore, which is a bit of a letdown, but the afternoon shows a 7ft swell from the WNW. That’s a big jump, but the period is a short 6 seconds, so it’ll be a bit of a jumbled, soft mess. Still, with the energy at 445 (strong) and a light cross-shore wind, it’s the most interesting window of the whole forecast. The 7ft height is getting into the territory where only experienced surfers will want it, and the short period means it’ll be a bit choppy.

The best of the best is the Monday, August 17th afternoon session. The size is up, the energy is high, and the wind is manageable. It’s a long way off, so treat it as a promising lead, not a guarantee. For the rest of the run, you’re better off waiting.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on that second week. Rusty out.

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