Surf Forecasts:
Tajiguas Ranch surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 15 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period, W swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period, SW swell with 255 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tajiguas Ranch this week:
The surf forecast for Tajiguas Ranch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tajiguas Ranch in the next 16 days are 0.6m 18s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 19) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sun 20th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tajiguas Ranch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this next stretch is lookin' pretty bleak for Tajiguas Ranch. We've got a long, dry spell ahead, so don't be in a hurry to wax up.
Right off the bat, for the afternoon of the 14th, there's a tiny 3ft WNW swell running, but with a cross-breeze at 6 mph and the combined energy barely ticking over at 237 (weak), it's just not worth a paddle. This sets the tone for the next week and a half. From Tuesday the 15th right through to Saturday the 26th of September, the surf is either flat or just rubbish. Most days show tiny swells, mostly under 2ft, with onshore or cross-onshore winds messing up any hope of a clean wave. There are a couple of days around the 17th-20th where the period gets nice and long (15-19 seconds) but with the height only at 1ft to 2ft, you're looking at tiny, fat lumps with no push. Combined energy does climb to 467 (moderate) on the afternoon of the 20th with a clean cross-offshore breeze, but that 2ft SW swell is just not enough to get excited about. It's a long, boring gap, mates.
Now, I see a couple of flickers of hope way out there. On Sunday the 27th of September, the morning glass off with WSW wind at 3 mph will give us a clean, glassy surface on that 1ft SW groundswell (16 sec period). The energy is moderate at 217, but it's small. Then, the real standout, the one I'm keeping an eye on, is Tuesday the 29th of September. We'll see a good bump in size with a 4ft WNW swell in the afternoon. The wind goes glassy from the SE at 3 mph, which is perfect. Combined energy jumps up to 430 (moderate) and with that 9-second period, it'll have a bit of punch. This is the best bet of the whole 16 days – a clean, chest-high day at Tajiguas Ranch with that glassy surface. The water temp is sitting at 70° which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. For a reef break like this, that longer-period WNW swell will wrap in nicely. Just keep in mind the crowds can pop up here sometimes when it's good.
So, hold tight, don't get suckered into the flat spell mid-month, and pencil in that Tuesday the 29th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 15°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 16 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 154 | 137 | 92 | 48 | 88 | 63 | 64 | 45 | 72 | 121 | 133 | 133 | 130 | 154 | 197 | 199 | 252 | 252 | 241 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | off | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:08AM1.43m | 12:33PM1.92m | 2:25AM1.29m | 1:10PM1.84m | 5:07AM1.24m | 3:17PM1.71m | 8:18AM1.41m | 4:47PM1.71m | 8:19AM1.46m | 5:57PM1.77m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 6:04AM1.00m | 7:56PM0.61m | 6:22AM1.13m | 9:10PM0.65m | 6:04AM1.24m | 10:40PM0.66m | 11:58PM0.60m | 10:40AM1.39m | 00:52AM0.53m | 12:13PM1.32m | 1:31AM0.46m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 23 | 24 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 23 | 25 | 17 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 27 | 29 | 20 | 26 | 27 | 17 |
Feels °C | 19 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 15 | 23 | 25 | 16 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 26 | 26 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 5 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | WNW 7 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 154 | 137 | 92 | 48 | 32 | 30 | 33 | 8 | 54 | 121 | 133 | 133 | 59 | 69 | 197 | 199 | 252 | 252 | 241 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 75 | 65 | 62 | 39 | 88 | 63 | 64 | 31 | 72 | 104 | 69 | 61 | 130 | 154 | 33 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 14 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SE 3 | S 19 | S 18 | S 18 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 13 | S 10 | SSW 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 13 |
| kJ | 15 | 14 | 2 | 29 | 55 | 55 | 46 | 45 | 40 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 34 | 2 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 3 | SSE 3 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 2 | — | — | W 4 | WNW 5 | W 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | — | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 |
| kJ | — | 5 | 1 | — | 36 | 1 | — | — | 16 | 24 | 18 | 42 | 48 | — | 69 | 111 | 118 | 135 | 94 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 21 | 172 | 0 | 116 | 24 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 172 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Barbara | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tajiguas Ranch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tajiguas Ranch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tajiguas Ranch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tajiguas Ranch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tajiguas Ranch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tajiguas Ranch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tajiguas Ranch is 23 km (14 miles) from Isla Vista. If you plan a vacation in Santa Barbara, look for hotels and other accommodation in Isla Vista. Isla Vista has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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