Tajiguas Ranch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the coming weeks at Tajiguas Ranch. It's a bit of a tough stretch ahead, so let's get into it.

The water's running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 65°F.

First up, we're looking at a slow start. The early days aren't giving us much to work with. Wednesday the 15th has tiny 1ft swell and light cross-onshore wind - that's a pass for me. Thursday the 16th morning is still marginal with 4ft from the WNW but that wind is still cross-on. The standout window this week looks to be Thursday afternoon when the wind goes glassy, which is a major positive, cleaning up that 4ft WNW swell with moderate energy (348). It'll be small but clean, and with Tajiguas Ranch being fairly consistent and exposed to SW swell, a glassy window is always worth a look, though you might have company as crowds can pop up.

Friday the 17th morning has 3ft WNW swell with light offshore wind – that could be clean but it's a short 8 second period so it won't have much push. The following days are mostly cross-on breezes and small, weak swells.

Looking further out, things get a little more interesting around the 24th and 25th of July. Friday the 24th morning sees a bump in size to 4ft from the SSE with strong wave energy (1239), but it's that same cross-on wind from the SE keeping it a bit choppy. Saturday the 25th morning holds 5ft from the S with very strong energy (1102) and light cross-on wind – still not ideal. These aren't clean windows, but the energy is there. The swell direction from the S and SSE isn't a great match for the optimum SW direction for the reef, so don't expect perfection.

Honestly, there's no real standout session in this outlook. The best bet is Thursday afternoon's glassy conditions, even if the swell is modest. Beyond that we're looking at marginal conditions with onshore or cross-shore wind until the end of the period. Keep your expectations in check and watch for changes.

Rusty.

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