Tajiguas Ranch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna lie to you—this next stretch is a real test of patience. We’ve got waves on the forecast, but they’re mostly small and the conditions are fiddly, so don’t expect any hero sessions. We’ll be picking through the scraps for the best of a pretty average run.

The pick of the whole 16 days, and it’s not even a proper standout, is probably Tajiguas Ranch on Tuesday the 22nd of July in the afternoon. The swell is a tiny 2ft from the SSW, but the period is a solid 14 seconds, so there’s a bit of long-period groundswell energy in there. The wind goes cross-offshore from the NW at 15 mph, which will keep the face clean. The combined wave energy sits at a moderate 369, so it’s not pumping, but it’s the best combo of shape and wind we see. It’s a reef break, exposed to the SW, so that SSW direction is a decent match. Still, it’s marginal, so keep your expectations in check.

Right, let’s run through it. We kick off on Saturday the 18th of July. The morning has a tiny 2ft SW swell with a very long 18-second period, and the wind is light and onshore from the SW at 6 mph. The water is a warm 66°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year—a fair bit toastier than usual. The combined energy is moderate at 384, but the onshore breeze and that long-period swell on a reef might make it a bit too lined-up. Saturday afternoon stays poor with a cross-on breeze.

Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th are much the same story: small swells, cross-onshore or cross winds, marginal conditions. The energy on Sunday afternoon jumps to 498, but the wind is still cross-on.

Tuesday the 22nd, as I said, is our best bet. The morning is still cross-shore and marginal, but that afternoon window with the clean cross-offshore breeze is the one to aim for. Wednesday the 23rd is a step down again, with a tiny 1.0ft swell on Thursday afternoon in a cross-shore wind.

Then we hit a bit of a run from Friday the 24th through to the end of the month. The swells stay small, between 2ft and 3ft, and the wind is generally light and cross-onshore or cross-shore. The energy climbs a bit, hitting 624 on Saturday the 25th morning and 810 on Monday the 27th morning, but the wind never quite cleans up. There’s a funky shift on Wednesday the 29th of July, with a 4ft swell from the WNW with a short 9-second period—that’s a windswell, not a classic groundswell. The energy is still strong at 605, but the short period and cross-onshore breeze mean it’ll be lumpy. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle day.

The first week of August doesn’t offer much relief. Saturday the 1st has a 4ft S swell but the wind goes cross-shore in the afternoon, and the energy drops. Sunday the 2nd fades to a 3ft S swell with only 136 in energy. It’s a flat finish.

Overall, there’s no big, clean swell coming. The best of a marginal bunch is that Tuesday afternoon at Tajiguas Ranch. If you’re desperate for a paddle, that’s your window. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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