Tajiguas Ranch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, looking you straight in the eye. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Tajiguas Ranch.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, and you’re going to have to be patient. There’s a big stretch of quiet days at the start where it’s just not worth paddling out. We’re talking a full six days, from Sunday the 9th right through to Friday the 14th, where the conditions are just poor or marginal. The swell is tiny, mostly around 1ft to 2ft, and the wind is never on your side – mostly a light onshore or cross-onshore breeze that messes up any chance of a clean wave. The water is sitting about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Saturday the 15th in the morning. This is our standout for the whole period. We’ve got a 2ft swell coming out of the SSW with a very long 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, and it’s going to wrap in with some real push for a reef break. The combined energy is solid at (308). But the real magic is the wind: it’s forecast to be glassy. Dead calm. That means the surface will be like a mirror. For a spot like Tajiguas Ranch that’s exposed to the SW, that early session on the 15th is your best bet by a mile. Expect some clean, lined-up waves. Get there early.

After that Saturday morning, we slide back into a frustrating pattern. The swell builds a little – you’ll see 3ft on Sunday the 16th, but the wind swings onshore again and it gets choppy. Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th are also a write-off with poor conditions. The energy is there at times (like 484 on Sunday the 16th), but it’s just messy.

Looking into the second week, it’s a bit of a punt. Around Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th, there’s marginal surf with small 2ft-2ft SSW swells and light cross-onshore winds. Nothing to get excited about.

Then something different shows up for Friday the 21st through Sunday the 23rd. We get a shift to a WNW windswell with a short, choppy period of 5-8 seconds. The waves are a bit bigger, up to 5ft on Friday the 21st afternoon, but the period is so short it’ll be crumbly. The wind is cross-shore, so it’s not the cleanest. The only thing worth noting is Sunday the 23rd morning – a tiny 1ft swell but with a very long 19-second period. It’s marginal, and with a light cross-onshore breeze, it’s a long shot.

The final day, Monday the 24th, just fades out with tiny 1ft surf and an onshore wind.

To wrap it up: if you want the cleanest waves, your window is narrow. Saturday morning, August 15th is the one to circle. The glassy conditions with that long-period groundswell will make Tajiguas Ranch look its best. Everything else in the 16-day window is a gamble for small, wind-affected waves. It’s been a quiet run, but that Saturday could be a little classic.

Rusty.

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