Tajiguas Ranch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days are looking pretty flat for the most part. We’ve got a few patches of small, weak swell, but nothing that’s going to get the heart rate up. There’s a long gap from the end of July all the way through the first week of August where the surf is just too poor to even bother with. It’s a real bummer, but it happens.

The only spot on the radar is Tajiguas Ranch (reef) . It’s a fairly consistent setup, exposed to the SW, but the swell just isn't cooperating.

Looking at Monday afternoon, July 27th, we’ve got a tiny 2ft SSW swell, but it’s coming in with a very long 19-second period. That’s a classic groundswell, which is good for a reef like this, meaning better shaped waves and easier paddling between sets. The combined energy is moderate at 576. The water is a very unusual 68°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be fine in a shorty. The wind is WNW at 9 mph, which is a cross-shore breeze, keeping things clean enough. Tuesday morning, July 28th, looks similar with a 3ft SW swell, 17-second period, and a light offshore wind from the SW at 6 mph. That glassy, offshore wind is a major positive – it’ll give you the cleanest surface you’ll see all week. The combined energy is still moderate at 568.

Tuesday afternoon, July 28th, the swell ticks up a tiny bit to 3ft from the SSW, period holds at 17 seconds, and the combined energy bumps up to 689. The wind shifts to a light W cross-shore at 6 mph, still good. This is the best we’re going to get. After that, from Wednesday the 29th through the rest of the month, the swell drops back to 2ft to 3ft, the period gets shorter, and the wind goes cross-onshore or onshore, making it messy. The scores drop off a cliff.

Then we hit a big dry spell. From Saturday, August 1st, through to Monday, August 11th, the surf is consistently poor. The swell heights hover around 1ft to 4ft, but the periods are short and the energy is weak to moderate (scores between 77 and 357). The winds are mostly light but onshore or cross-onshore, meaning bumpy, choppy conditions. The waves just aren't worth the paddle out. There’s a tiny bit of life on Saturday afternoon, August 8th, with a 1ft SSW swell and a 16-second period, but the energy is still weak at 217.

So, the honest truth: the only real window is Monday afternoon, July 27th, and Tuesday morning, July 28th, at Tajiguas Ranch. It’s small, but with the long-period groundswell and offshore/cross-shore winds, it’s the cleanest you’ll find. The rest of the 16 days is a write-off. Don't bother.

Rusty

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