Pescaderos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what's coming our way. Gotta be straight with you, it's a bit of a scratchy patch ahead. We're looking at Pescaderos, and while there are a few windows, nothing is screaming "drop everything and go."

The overall pattern is small, mixed-up swell with mostly light winds, but the conditions just aren't coming together for anything consistent. The water is sitting at a very unusual 69°F, a full 6°F warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the thick rubber at home.

We kick off this Saturday, the 5th. The swell is small at 2ft from the SW, with a very long 15-second period. The problem is the wind is light and cross-onshore, so it'll be a bit bumpy. The combined swell energy is moderate (464), but a long-period SW groundswell can be tricky on a beach break like this, often breaking too straight.

Moving into Sunday, the 6th, the swell builds a touch to 3ft on Sunday morning but the wind goes onshore from the SSE, making it messy. The afternoon cleans up a bit with a light cross-shore breeze as the swell hits 3ft, but it's still only marginal.

Monday and Tuesday the 7th and 8th are much the same story – small swell around 2ft to 4ft, with light cross-winds but nothing clean enough to really call good. The energy stays moderate, between 351 and 472. A lot of waiting for not much payoff.

Thursday the 10th afternoon sees a bit of hope. The wind goes light and cross-offshore from the W, cleaning things right up. The swell is small at 2ft from the SW, with a 16-second period, and the combined energy is moderate (367). For a beginner-friendly spot, this window could be worth a look for some clean, learner-friendly lines, but it's not going to excite anyone else.

We get a weird pulse on Friday the 11th afternoon. The swell jumps to 6ft from the WNW, but with a shockingly short period of just 6 seconds. That's all chop and bump, not proper surf. The combined energy is moderate (494), but the quality will be awful.

The following week is a long stretch of nothing. From Saturday the 12th through to Thursday the 17th, the forecast is littered with "poor surf conditions". The swell stays tiny, mostly under 3ft, and the period is often short. The combined energy drops, even falling below 100 (96) on Tuesday the 15th afternoon. There is a brief flicker on Thursday the 17th afternoon with a clean, cross-offshore W wind and a 4ft WNW swell (289 combined energy), but with a 7-second period, it’s just not going to have any punch.

The best bet of the whole 16-day run actually looks like it could be Thursday the 17th afternoon at Pescaderos. It’s not a standout in any big way, but a clean, cross-offshore breeze with waist-high waves is about the best we’re going to get. Just don't expect much power.

All in all, it's a lean couple of weeks. There are a few mornings and afternoons that might be barely rideable for a beginner on a foamie, but for anyone looking for a proper session, it's looking pretty flat. Keep an eye on it though; forecasts can change.

- Rusty

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