Pescaderos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s been a pretty quiet stretch until now, but we’re starting to see a little pulse of energy coming through. The first week or so is mostly small and marginal, but there’s a window that shapes up nicely around the middle of the month. Let’s run through it day by day.

Right now, the surf is pretty small. Thursday and Friday mornings are offering up waist-high sets from the WNW, around 3ft to 4ft, but the wind is cross or cross-on, and the water is about average for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate (480-483), but the conditions are just not clean enough to get excited about. Saturday morning is still small, but by Saturday afternoon the wind drops to glassy, and you get a tiny 2ft SSW swell with a nice long 14-second period. It’s weak (189), but glassy conditions make it worth a paddle if you’re desperate. Sunday and Monday mornings are glassy again with tiny 2ft SSW swell, but it’s nothing to write home about. Tuesday morning sees a bit more size – 3ft from the WNW with glassy conditions, and the energy picks up to 201. Still pretty ordinary, but a small window for a fun little session.

The middle of the week – Wednesday and Thursday – sees the swell push a little more, with 4ft to 5ft WNW swell, but the wind stays cross-shore and the energy is moderate (309-443). Not terrible, but not great either.

Then we get a real standout. On Saturday, July 18th, the morning looks the business. The swell drops to 3ft but it’s from the SSE with a very long 15-second period, and the wind is glassy. The combined energy jumps to 510 – that’s solid moderate energy, and it’s the best we’ve seen all month. Expect clean, lined-up waves, but that long period means it’ll break straight at the beach, so look for a point or reef if you can. The afternoon pushes the energy even higher to 758, but the wind picks up to a cross-shore breeze, so the morning is the clear winner. Sunday the 19th holds decent energy (845 in the morning) but the wind is cross-on, so it’s not as clean.

After that, it fades out fast. The last week of the forecast is mostly poor, with small swell and onshore or cross winds. There’s a little spike on Wednesday the 22nd with 4ft from the WNW, but the period is a short 6 seconds, so it’ll be messy and weak. Not worth chasing.

The one true standout in this whole 16-day window is the morning of Saturday, July 18th at Pescaderos. It’s a fairly consistent spot, but crowds are possible, so get in early. The water temp is about average for the season, so no wetsuit drama. The swell is small but clean, the period is long, and the energy is solid. That’s your best bet.

If you’re a beginner, the morning of Saturday the 18th is fine – only 3ft. The bigger days later in the week are still under 5ft, so manageable for most. Nothing here gets over 8ft, so no expert-only days.

There’s a gap of a few days after the 18th where the surf drops off again, so don’t sleep on that window.

Rusty.

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