Pescaderos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, your local surf reporter, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Pescaderos. Let’s be straight with you: the next 16 days are a bit of a grind, with a lot of “meh” before we might see a little spark.

We’re starting off quiet. The first few days, from right now through the middle of next week, are pretty flat with weak, mostly onshore or cross-shore wind. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 64°F, but that’s about the only thing that’s comfortable. There’s a gap of about 5 days where the surf is really just poor, with combined swell energy sitting between 94 and 280 (weak to moderate but messy), and those scores are zeros. The wind is light, but it’s from the wrong direction, so it’s all small wind ripples and cross-chop.

Come Thursday the 16th, we finally see a tiny pulse of WNW swell, around 4 ft, but the period is short at 9 seconds so it’s not going to do much. The combined energy jumps to 402 (moderate), but the wind is still cross-shore, and conditions are only “marginal.” This is not a standout.

The real, *only* highlight I can see is way down the line, around the 25th and 26th of July. We’ve got a very long-period groundswell moving in, with a 21-second period on the 25th. That’s the kind of pulse that brings real energy, with a combined energy of 569 (moderate-to-strong). Swell size is small, around 2 ft, but with that period, it’ll have some push. The optimum swell direction for Pescaderos is WSW, and this swell is swinging from SSW to SW, which is a decent match. The wind on the 25th afternoon is cross-offshore from the W at 9 mph, so it’ll be clean. That’s the best on offer – a promising, clean, long-period swell. It’s a weekend, so expect crowds at Pescaderos, as it’s “sometimes” busy.

Before that, the 24th has a very long-period 24-second swell, but it’s tiny at 1 ft, and the wind is cross-on, so it’s more of a hint than a wave.

Overall, there’s a long stretch of nothing. If you’re a beginner, that 5 ft WNW swell on the 15th might be a bit much, but it’s short period and messy anyway. The long-period stuff on the 25th and 26th will be better for experienced surfers, and it’s a point break or reef setup that will handle the period well. For now, keep your board waxed for the last week of the month.

Rusty.

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