Pescaderos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for Pescaderos.

Right now, the water is sitting at 71°, which is a solid 8° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s way above average, so you’re in for a proper warm soak.

The next 16 days have a real mixed bag of conditions. We start off the weekend with a bit of hope on Sunday morning: a 3-ft SSW swell with a 15-second period. The combined energy’s moderate at 674, and the wind is a light cross-shore from the WSW at 6 mph. The comments say it’s marginal, but with a clean-off look for Sunday afternoon, you might just get a few fun ones. The wave heights are small though, so keep expectations low.

Monday through to Thursday morning sees the swell drop right off – 2-ft, 1-ft, and the east wind picks up. The energy falls into the weak range, with values under 200. The conditions are poor, and the comments say “poor surf conditions” for most of that stretch. It’s a quiet patch, mate.

Then, Friday’s afternoon session on the 4th of September shows a bit of life: a 3-ft SSW swell, 16-second period, and the wind swinging to a light cross-offshore from the west at 6 mph. The combined energy is 451, so moderate. And the comment says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s better.

Saturday the 5th offers a 2-ft SW swell in the morning, but with a cross breeze, it’s marginal. Sunday the 6th brings a 3-ft SSE swell, and the afternoon cleans up nicely with a cross-offshore wind from the WNW at 6 mph. The energy is 501, moderate. The comment says “expect good surf conditions” – that’s a window to aim for.

Now, the standout – and I mean the standout – is Tuesday the 8th of September. The swell jumps to 12-ft from the SSW, with a 14-second period and a light cross-shore breeze. The combined energy is a massive 4908, which is strong to very strong. But here’s the catch: the comment says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. That’s a heavy-duty wave for experts only, and it’s likely to be a mess if you’re not on a step-up. For the rest of us, it’s a day to watch from the beach.

After that, things taper off. The 10th of September shows a 6-ft WNW swell in the afternoon, but the period is only 6 seconds – that’s short-period wind swell, and the energy is a moderate 464. The wind is cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean, but the waves will be choppy and weak. The 11th is similar small stuff.

The following week, from the 13th to the 14th of September, we see a WNW swell around 3-ft to 5-ft with a 9-second period – that’s short-period, messy energy. The wind stays cross, so it’s not great. The comments say “marginal” or “poor.”

So, if you’re planning a paddle, the best windows are the afternoons of the 4th, 6th, and maybe the 10th if you’re okay with short-period waves. But the conditions are generally small and inconsistent. The 8th is a huge swell, but it’s too big for here. For now, keep your board waxed, but don’t get too excited.

Rusty.

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