Pescaderos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's cut through the noise and have a look at the waves coming our way for the next couple of weeks. To be honest, it's a pretty slow start, and we're going to be waiting a few days for anything that's actually worth paddling out for. The ocean's just not doing us any favors right now, with small, weak, and messy conditions on the menu. It's not a great look for the immediate future, so don't rush to grab your board just yet.

The first stretch, through the 11th and into the morning of the 12th, is pretty much a write-off. We're looking at tiny surf, mostly under 3 ft, with short, weak periods and a lot of cross-shore wind. There's nothing here that'll get the heart racing. It's flat and frustrating more than anything else.

We finally see a bit of a pulse on the afternoon of Sunday the 13th. The swell bumps up to 5 ft, but the period is a dismal 7 seconds. That's just windswell chop, nothing with any push or shape to it. It's still not great, but at least it's something to look at, with clean conditions and a light offshore. The energy is moderate at best (302), so expect a bit of whitewater but not much in the way of proper waves.

The next couple of days roll by in a similar fashion, with a mix of small, weak swells and poor winds. Then, the tide starts to turn on the afternoon of Friday the 18th. We've got a 4 ft swell, but more importantly, it's starting to show a bit more energy, and the winds are looking cleaner, with a cross-offshore breeze grooming things up. Saturday the 19th afternoon is where things start to get genuinely interesting though.

Pescaderos is the break to watch. On the afternoon of Saturday the 19th, it's looking at a solid 4 ft of swell coming from the WNW, and that's when the energy really starts to build. We're looking at strong wave energy (650). The period is still on the shorter side at 9 seconds, but with the clean cross-offshore winds, it should be shaping up nicely. The water temp is a notable 70°F, which is a whopping 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year—that's a standout in itself, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home.

There's another decent push on the morning of Sunday the 20th, with a 4 ft swell and strong energy (554), but the winds are a bit more onshore, making it less favorable. The trend continues into the first days of the following week, with lingering WNW swell and moderate energy, but the wind direction is the key. Those mornings look a little messy, while the afternoons, like the 21st, could offer up some clean, if not overly powerful, waves in the 2 ft range from the SW, though the energy levels drop off a bit.

After that, the surf just seems to fade out again. The last week of the window gets small, weak, and messy, with periods dropping below 15 seconds and energy levels (192, 189, 154) indicating we're back in weak territory. It's a real shame, because the 19th and the surrounding days look like they had some promise, but the ocean just can't hold it together. It's a tough run, so if you're keen, you'll have to pick your moments.

This has been a long outlook, so here's the short of it: The standout, and really the only date to circle on the calendar, is the afternoon of Saturday the 19th at Pescaderos. Get out there if you can. After that, it's a waiting game.

Rusty, signing off.

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