St Agnes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for St Agnes over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be honest, this is a rough one to look at. There’s swell on the horizon, but nearly every time it shows up, the wind is going to mess it up. We’re looking at a long, frustrating stretch before we might finally catch a break.

The outlook starts on Tuesday, August 25th. The surf is tiny, just 2ft from the WNW with a weak energy reading of 57. The wind is a cross-off from the E at 9 mph, but it’s not enough to save these poor conditions. The water temperature is 64°, which feels a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but you won’t be thinking about that when you’re staring at a flat ocean.

Wednesday the 26th sees a tiny pulse of 2ft from the west, but the period is short at 8 seconds. The morning has a brief window with a light S offshore wind at 9 mph, making it clean, but it’s small and weak with energy at 63. The afternoon goes cross-off and the quality drops. Thursday the 27th is a write-off. The morning is messy with a 19 mph cross-off, and by the afternoon the swell jumps to 5ft from the SSW, but the wind is howling at 19 mph from the same direction, creating a total mess. The energy climbs to 368, but it’s unsurfable.

Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th are both blown out. We’ve got some decent sized swell – 6ft to 10ft from the west and WSW – but the wind is a strong cross to cross-on, turning the ocean into a lumpy, choppy disaster. The combined energy hits 989 on Saturday morning and 1183 in the afternoon, a strong pulse, but it’s completely wasted. The wind is just too strong. This is one of those times where the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The first week of September is more of the same misery. Monday the 31st has 8ft from the west, but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore at 22 mph. Tuesday the 1st of September has a 8ft swell from the WSW with a cross-off wind, but it’s a strong breeze at 25 mph. The water is getting churned up. The pattern of strong swell and poor wind continues all the way through to the 6th, with energy values regularly in the high hundreds and even reaching the thousands, but the wind direction is always wrong.

Now, here’s the one glimmer of hope. The very end of the run, on Sunday, September 6th, finally shows a change. The morning has a solid 10ft swell from the west, a period of 10 seconds, and a moderate cross-off breeze from the WSW at 12 mph. The energy is 1669, which is strong. The conditions are clean. This is the standout, the one to circle on your calendar. It’s not perfect – the wind is cross-off, not glassy – but after two weeks of garbage, this is the best we’ve got. The afternoon turns crappy again with rain and a stronger wind, so the morning window on the 6th is your only shot.

Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th still have size, 7ft to 10ft, and even longer periods of 12 seconds, but the wind is a strong cross-on or cross-off, keeping it messy. The energy on the 8th is massive, over 3200, but it’s going to be a washing machine. This is big, powerful, long-period groundswell, and it will be breaking straight and fast at the beach. For the experts, it might offer some glory on the right bank, but the rest of us will be watching from the parking lot.

So, to wrap it up: the next two weeks are mostly a write-off for clean, fun surf at St Agnes. The wind is the enemy. The only true standout is the morning of Sunday, September 6th. Set your alarm, check the tide, and pray the wind forecast holds. Until then, keep your wax in the shade.

Rusty.

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