Spanish Bay-South Moss Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. I’m looking at the stretch ahead for Spanish Bay-South Moss, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough read for most of this forecast. We’re staring down a long gap of pretty average to poor conditions before a little window of hope shows up way down the line.

For the first week and a half, from Wednesday the 8th of July right through to around Saturday the 18th, the surf is just not cooperating. We’ve got swell rolling in, but the wind is almost constantly on it or cross-onshore, and the wave quality is suffering big time. There's a pulse of energy around the 9th and 10th, with swell heights around 6 ft and combined energy hitting 1117 (that's moderate to strong energy), but it’s coming from the NW and WNW with a short, choppy period of only 9 seconds, and the wind is just ruining it. It’s lumpy, it’s messy, and the surf reports keep telling us it’s “poor.” That 6 ft is also pushing into the zone that’s a bit much for beginners, but with those conditions, it’s not exactly a prize for anyone.

The middle of the month, around the 16th, we see another push – 7 ft from the NW on Thursday morning with energy at 1091 – but again, the wind is on it, the period is short at 9 seconds, and the forecast is only calling it “marginal.” That’s a powerful swell, but with the wind howling at 12 mph from the NW, it’s going to be a battle. For experts only, and probably not even that fun.

Then, we hit a real lull. The swell drops right off to 3 ft from the 18th, and the energy falls to the 700-800 range (weak to moderate). The wind is still a problem.

But then, hold onto your board. On Sunday the 19th of July, we finally get a break. The morning shows a 3 ft swell from the WNW with a very long period of 16 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. And the wind? It goes glassy. *Glassy.* The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the standout of the whole run. For Spanish Bay-South Moss, that long-period groundswell from the WNW won’t be a standout for beginners – 3 ft is small, but that long period can make it a bit too walled for the beach breaks. It’s going to need the right bank to really line up. But clean, glassy waves on a Sunday morning? That’s the session to circle on your calendar. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so expect company.

After that, Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st offer small, marginal surf with lighter winds, but nothing that touches that Sunday glass-off. The 3 ft to 5 ft swell is short-period and the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s choppy.

So, to sum it up: the first 11 days are a write-off. You’re waiting for that Sunday, the 19th. That’s your best bet. It’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it, but if that glassy morning holds, it’ll be worth the drought.

Rusty.

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