Spanish Bay-South Moss Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. I’ve had a good look at what’s coming up for Spanish Bay-South Moss, and I’ll be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch. This is a spot that needs a proper westerly swell to really fire, and instead we’re looking at a long run of onshore winds and a swell direction that’s miles off the mark. We’re talking a solid 16 days of mostly poor surf, with only a few mornings that scrape into the marginal category. There’s a big gap of nothing worthwhile from now until the 29th of July.

So, kicking off on Wednesday the 29th of July, the morning is about the best it gets for a while. We’ve got a 3ft SSW swell, but the period is 16 seconds – that’s a proper long-period groundswell, so it’ll have some energy, but at this break it’s going to be weak with only about 896 combined energy. The wind is WNW at 9 mph and it’s onshore, which is the killer here. The water’s sitting at 59°F with a tiny 0.7°F anomaly, so pretty average for the time of year. It’s only a “marginal surf forecast,” and for an advanced spot like this, that’s not enough to get excited about. You’d be fighting the wind for a sloppy wave.

From there, it’s mostly poor surf straight through until the end of the first week of August. There’s a run of onshores and a shift to a short-period NW swell, which is just messy. A couple of mornings around the 1st and 2nd of August see a 5ft to 6ft NW swell, but with a period of only 8-9 seconds and moderate energy (707 to 741), it’s all close-out and bump. Not a paddle surfer’s friend – this looks more like kite territory.

The second week stays grim. From Monday the 3rd of August through to Friday the 7th, the swell drops back to 3ft to 4ft, and the wind is light and cross-onshore or cross-shore, which is a slight improvement but still not clean. The 8th and 9th of August show a little more size, with 4ft to 5ft NW swell and light WNW winds, but it’s still marginal and the combined energy is moderate (562 to 829). The 9th of August morning has a 5ft NW swell with a 10-second period and a light WNW onshore – about as close as we get to a session, but it’s a long wait and the quality is just not there.

Honestly, there’s no standout here. The best you can hope for is a few glassy-ish mornings on the 8th or 9th of August, but this spot is a tough one without the right swell and wind. For the next couple of weeks, you’re better off finding a different hobby or just keeping an eye on the charts.

Rusty.

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