Spanish Bay-South Moss Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it's Rusty. Let's get into it. We're looking at a stretch ahead that has a bit of a slow start, but there's a glimmer later on. The water temp at Spanish Bay-South Moss is sitting at 57°F, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off for quality surfing. From Wednesday the 15th through to late in the month, the conditions are a struggle. The wind is mostly onshore from the NW or WNW, and while the swell size creeps up to around 6ft by Thursday the 16th, it's all short period stuff (8 seconds) and the combined energy readings suggest a bit of push, but the "poor surf conditions" tag tells the real story. It's going to be bumpy and disorganised.

By Sunday the 19th, the swell drops right off to around 3ft, and the wind goes light though still onshore. The energy is moderate but the wave comment is "marginal," so you're basically looking at tiny, weak waves if you're really desperate for a paddle. That flat, poor trend continues through the next week, with swell barely getting above 3ft and winds consistently from the NW or WNW. It's a real lull.

Now, here's where it gets a bit more interesting. Looking way out, around Friday the 24th, the swell starts to pick up again. We see a jump to about 4ft from the S with a 14-second period. The combined energy hits a solid moderate range. The wind is still onshore from the WNW, but there's a chance for more shape if the wind co-operates. That Friday the 24th morning session is the most promising of the whole outlook, but it's still described as "marginal," so don't expect perfection.

By Saturday the 25th, the swell direction waffles a bit, but we see a very long period groundswell of 21 seconds from the SW hitting 3ft. The energy is strong. A long period like that (over 15 seconds) is powerful and will have long lulls between sets, which is great for paddling out, but at a beach break like Spanish Bay, it can break a bit too straight and tricky. It's mainly for the experienced crew.

So, the honest call here: there's one standout window, and that’s the morning of Friday the 24th of July. Swell around 4ft from the S, a decent 14-second period, and if the light WNW breeze stays light, it could be borderline. It's not a classic day, but given the long flat spell, that's your best bet. The rest of the month is mostly a waiting game.

Rusty.

Read more