Spanish Bay-South Moss Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty average for Spanish Bay-South Moss. We’ve got a long stretch of small, messy surf ahead, with a few brighter moments tucked in there. Don’t get too excited, but don’t write it off completely either.

The first few days are pretty grim. Wednesday and Thursday are seeing tiny waves, nothing over 3ft, with a light cross-onshore breeze messing things up. The energy is weak, around 172 to 198 (combined energy), and it’s just not worth paddling out for. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so at least you won’t be freezing while you’re sitting there waiting for a set that isn’t coming.

Things start to stir a little over the weekend. Friday morning sees the swell period stretch out to 19 seconds, which is a good sign, but the height is still tiny at 1.3ft. The energy picks up to 255-318 (moderate), but it’s still marginal. By Saturday, the swell direction swings to the SSW and bumps up slightly to 2.3ft, and we get a window of offshore wind in the morning. It’s clean, but still small. The real change comes on Sunday and Monday. The swell pushes up to 5.2ft to 5.9ft from the NW, with the energy jumping into the strong range, peaking at 757 (combined energy) on Monday morning. The period is around 10 seconds, so it’s not a pure groundswell, but there’s some push to it. The catch? The wind is cross-onshore, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy. These are the best conditions on offer, but it’s still only a 1 or 2 out of 10 kind of deal.

After that, things back off again. The swell drops to around 2ft to 3ft for the rest of the week, with a long-period SSW swell filling in. The energy stays moderate to strong, but the height just isn’t there. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, keeping it messy. There’s a glimmer on the 15th and 16th with a 3ft SSW swell and scores of 2 out of 10, but it’s still a marginal call.

Looking further out, the second week is more of the same. Small, inconsistent SSW swell with light winds, but nothing that’s going to have you calling in sick for work. The 20th sees a slight drop in wind to 3 mph, but the swell is only 2ft. It’s all a bit flat, to be honest.

So, what’s the call? The standout period is definitely Sunday the 9th through Tuesday the 11th. The swell is at its biggest, and while the wind isn't perfect, it's the most surfable it’s going to get. If you’re desperate, that’s your window. For the rest, it’s a waiting game. The good news is this spot is fairly consistent, so this blank run won’t last forever. The forecasts can change, and we might get a surprise. But for now, keep your board in the car and your expectations low.

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