Spanish Bay-South Moss Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gonna level with you about Spanish Bay-South Moss for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, but we’ve got a couple of windows to talk about.

First up, the consistent theme is that this spot is exposed to the west, and the forecast mostly serves up WNW to NW swells, which is okay but not perfect. The water temp is sitting at 57°F right now, which is about 1°F cooler than the seasonal norm, so nothing wild there – it’s just a touch on the cool side, standard for this time of year.

We start off on Saturday the 1st with some waist-chest high 6 ft swell coming from the WNW, but it’s short period at 8 seconds and blown out by a 9 mph onshore. Energy is moderate (500), but the poor conditions mean I wouldn’t paddle out. Sunday the 2nd actually sees the swell building a touch: 7 ft from the NW on Sunday morning, period up to 9 seconds, and a lighter 6 mph offshore. That’s the best combo of the whole run. The combined energy jumps to (889) – solid moderate and the only time we see decent surf with clean wind. This is the standout window. Sunday afternoon holds similar size at 7 ft but the wind picks up to 9 mph onshore, so get on it early.

Monday the 3rd drops a notch with 7 ft but cross-on breezes start to mess it up. That’s a trend that holds all week – we get some moderate swell in the 4 ft to 7 ft range through Tuesday and Wednesday, but it’s constantly cross-on or cross, with light to gentle winds that just leave slight chop and ripples. The energy stays moderate, peaking near (901) on Monday morning, but the quality is always “marginal” – not something I’d get excited about.

From Thursday the 6th onward, things drop off hard. The swell bottoms out to 1 ft-3 ft for over a week, with a brief bump on the 9th and 10th bringing 5 ft-6 ft again from the NW. But here’s the kicker: every session from Thursday the 6th through Thursday the 13th is either cross-on or onshore, and the energy is weak to moderate (180 to 921 range). The period climbs over 15 seconds from Friday the 7th onwards – long period groundswell – but it’s straight onshore wind, making it messy. This is the kind of setup where, if you’re a kite crew, you might have a look because it’s not doing much for a paddle surfer.

By the 13th and 14th, the swell drops under 3 ft with long-period groundswell from WNW, but the wind is either on or cross-on at 6 to 12 mph. Not worth your time. The 15th and 16th see a faint pulse of SSW long-period swell (3 ft-3 ft at 15-16 seconds) with onshore breezes – weak energy (<700) and poor conditions.

To sum it up: there’s a two-week stretch from the 1st to the 16th with almost no clean rideable surf. The real standout is Sunday morning, August 2nd – that’s your best shot with 7 ft NW swell, 9-second period, and light offshore WNW wind. After that, it’s a long run of marginal or poor conditions. For an advanced break like Spanish Bay-South Moss, this is a pretty blank patch, and the forecasts aren’t promising a sneaky gem.

Rusty, signing off.

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