Spanish Bay-South Moss Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Spanish Bay-South Moss. It’s a tough stretch ahead, I’m not gonna lie. The first week is a write-off for anything decent. We’ve got swell on the way, but it’s paired with onshore winds that are just trashing it. The water temp is sitting at 60°F which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The pattern starts with a 2ft swell from the SW on Saturday the 25th, but with a 16 mph NW wind blowing straight on, it’s a total mess. That sets the tone for the next few days. The swell builds slowly, hitting 4ft by Monday with a moderate energy level (863), but the wind stays on it, keeping conditions poor. The combined swell energy does climb into the moderate range, hitting 1022 by Monday afternoon, but it’s all for nothing with that wind.

By Tuesday the 28th, the morning session is a little better—still just a marginal call with a 4ft SSW swell at 18 seconds and a 12 mph WNW wind. That’s a long period, which means the waves will have some shape, but the onshore wind is going to mess with the face. The wind stays on through the rest of the week.

The real change comes around Thursday the 30th. The swell direction swings to the WNW and the period drops to 9 seconds, so it’s more of a windswell. The height jumps to 6ft, but the wind is still on it. The combined energy is 755, which is moderate. It’s not clean, but it’s bigger. Friday the 31st is a little smaller at 5ft, and the wind finally goes cross-on in the afternoon, but it’s still choppy.

Now, here’s the first glimmer of hope. Saturday morning, August 1st, we get a 4ft swell from the S with a 13-second period, and the wind is a light 6 mph WNW, but it’s still onshore. The combined energy is 772 (moderate). It’s still marginal, but it’s the best we’ve seen in a week. The standouts in this whole forecast are Sunday, August 2nd and Thursday, August 6th. On Sunday morning, the swell hits 7ft from the WNW (9 seconds) with a light 6 mph NW wind. That’s a bit of size, but with a short period, it’s going to be a bit lumpy. The combined energy is 903 (moderate). Thursday the 6th looks better again: a 6ft WNW swell (10 seconds), with a light 6 mph WNW wind that’s cross-on. The combined energy is 710 (moderate). That’s the best combo of size and relatively clean conditions in the whole 16 days.

For the experts out there, if you’re looking for the biggest, it’s the 7ft on Sunday the 2nd, but it’s short period and a beach break, so it’ll be a bit of a battle. The 6ft on Thursday the 6th with a slightly longer period is the better wave. Crowds are possible here, as it’s sometimes busy.

After that, the swell hangs around 5ft to 6ft through the second week, but the wind is mostly cross-on, keeping it from being truly clean. The energy drops off into the 300-500 range by the end, so it fades out.

Overall, there’s no perfect day in this run. The best bet is Thursday, August 6th, with the 6ft swell and light cross-on wind. It’s not a classic, but it’s the pick of a rough bunch.

Rusty.

Read more