41st Ave (The Hook - Shark Cove) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for the next couple of weeks.

Overall, this is a pretty flat run for the region. We’ve got a little pulse of swell pushing through over the next few days, but it's not going to be anything to get too excited about. After that, things drop right off for a long stretch, with the real standout action looking like it's a fair way out, promising but not certain.

The first bit of action kicks off from Friday the 31st of July. 41st Ave (The Hook - Shark Cove) is where we’re looking. It’s a reef setup, fairly consistent, and it's going to be a mixed bag. We start with a small 2.3ft swell from the south on Friday morning, with a long 14-second period, and light cross-shore winds. The water feels about average for the time of year. The combined energy is moderate (396). It’s small and a bit messy, not really worth rushing out for.

By Friday afternoon, the swell shifts to the WNW, picking up to 4.6ft but dropping back to a short 7-second period. The energy picks up a little (431), but it's still in that marginal zone. Saturday the 1st of August is similar, with 4.3ft to 4.9ft WNW swell, short period, and light winds but turning cross-on in the afternoon. Sunday the 2nd of August sees the swell build to 5.9ft from the WNW, with the period stretching out to 9-10 seconds. The energy is getting stronger (632 in the morning, 668 in the afternoon). It’s still a bit onshore in the afternoon, but the morning looks workable with light cross-shore wind. Monday the 3rd of August holds onto that 5.9ft WNW swell, with moderate energy (709). It’s cross-on, but the wind is light.

Here’s the thing: while the swell is picking up, none of these sessions are scoring well. The quality isn't there, and the wave comment highlights marginal conditions. The cross-shore/onshore wind, even if light, is keeping it from being clean. Tuesday the 4th of August sees the swell back down to 3.9-4.3ft, and by Wednesday the 5th of August, it’s dropping into the 3.0ft range with poor conditions. That’s the end of the first pulse.

Now, we’ve got a real gap. From Thursday the 6th of August all the way through to the end of the first week, it’s mostly poor or marginal surf with tiny swell. The energy drops right down to 138 to 172. It’s basically a flat spell for paddle surfing. The wind is light, but there’s nothing to push.

The real hope comes from the second week, but it’s a long way off. From Friday the 7th of August, we start seeing a very long-period swell from the SSW. The period climbs to 19 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The swell is tiny at first, only 1.3ft to 1.6ft, but the energy starts to climb (254 to 269). The real standout looks to be Saturday the 8th of August afternoon. The wind goes clean, cross-offshore, with a 1.6ft swell from the SSW at 17 seconds. The energy is moderate (239). It’s small, but that clean offshores on a long-period SSW swell will make the most of what’s there. This is the best window on the whole forecast.

After that, it stays small but continues with that long-period energy. The combined energy bumps up to 440-602 by the 12th and 13th of August, with the swell hovering around 2.0ft to 2.6ft. The wind stays light and cross-shore for most of it. The period remains in the 15-18 second range, so it’s all about finding a reef or point that can handle that long period. It’s subtle, but for a keen surfer, there will be some clean, playful waves.

So, the best bet is that Saturday the 8th of August afternoon at 41st Ave. The clean cross-offshore wind and the long-period groundswell will make it look far better than the size suggests. The rest of the run is a waiting game.

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