Scarborough Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I've had a good hard look at the charts for the next couple of weeks, and I'm not gonna lie – it's a bit of a mixed bag. We've got a few days of proper drought before a little window of fun, then it all goes quiet again. The best of it is definitely a short, sharp burst around Friday the 17th and into Saturday the 18th.

We're starting off with a bit of a flat spell. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th are pretty much a write-off. The swell is tiny and weak, around 1 to 3ft, with a short, messy period. The water temp is sitting at 50°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

But then, things get interesting. From Friday morning the 17th, we see a pulse of proper energy arrive. The combined swell energy jumps up to 490 (moderate) and the wind goes glassy, with a light offshore touch. The swell is a clean 3ft from the East, with a long 17-second period – that's a proper groundswell, meaning long, waiting lines. This is the standout window. Scarborough is the spot to be. It's an inconsistent break, so when it's on, it's on. The swell direction from the East is a good match for the break's optimum. The Friday morning glass-off will make it peaky and clean. It's a beginner-friendly break, and with that 3ft size, it's perfect for all levels.

The good energy hangs around into Saturday the 18th. The morning sees a 3ft East swell with a 15-second period and a clean cross-off wind. The afternoon is even better with a 3ft ESE swell, a 14-second period, and a proper offshore wind at 9 mph. The swell energy is strong, hitting 555 to 646. This is the best combo of the whole outlook. For a beginner spot, this is a dream run.

Sunday the 19th still has some fun-sized waves, 2 to 2ft, but the energy drops back to 248 (weak). The winds stay clean, so it's still surfable, just less punchy.

Then, from Monday the 20th onwards, it's a long, slow fade. The swell drops back to tiny 0.7 to 1ft, and the energy falls apart. The break is already inconsistent, so without a solid swell, it's barely going to break. We're looking at a real dry spell from the 20th right through to the end of the month. There are a few tiny pulses on the 26th and 30th, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore and choppy, making it a waste of time for a paddle. Honestly, for a stretch like that, the setup here looks more interesting for a kite surfer than someone with a shortboard.

So, to wrap it up: the first few days are a bust. The clear standout is Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th. Get in the water then. After that, we're looking at a long, quiet period. Forecasts can change, but for now, it's a waiting game.

Rusty.

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