Tuhawaiki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Tuhawaiki Point. It’s a bit of a slow start, but there’s some light at the end of the tunnel, if you’re patient.

Right now, the water is sitting at 51°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be a little more comfortable than usual in the steamer.

First up, don’t even bother this weekend or early next week. We’ve got nothing but tiny, weak swells and poor surf conditions through to Tuesday the 8th. The energy is pathetic, barely cracking 30–40 (combined energy of all swells directed here: 37, 26, 18). It’s flat, mate.

Wednesday the 9th morning is where it gets a glimmer of hope. We’ve got a 2 ft swell from the east with a 9-second period, and light NNW winds keeping it clean. The combined energy is just 82, so it’s weak, but it’s surfable. Afternoon sees the swell bump to 4 ft from the ENE, same period, and the energy jumps to 334. It’s marginal, but there’s a tiny window.

Thursday the 10th is a write-off again with a short-period S swell and wind shifts. Forget it.

Then Friday the 11th is another dud – tiny 1 ft SE swell, even with a long 18-second period, the energy is a paltry 106. The wind is howling, so not worth it.

Now, here’s the first real standout. Saturday the 12th afternoon. The swell is 5 ft from the SSE, period 16 seconds, and the combined energy rockets to 2176 – that’s strong wave energy. The wind is a cross-off from the SSW, but it’s a fresh to strong breeze, so it’ll be a bit wild. This is for experienced surfers only, as it’s over 5 ft. The long period (16 seconds) from the SSE should work well at this point break, but that wind will make it more of a battle.

Sunday the 13th morning is the pick of the first week. Swell is a cleaner 4 ft from the SE, 13-second period, with a light NNW cross-off breeze. The combined energy is 397. Expect good surf conditions here. The long period groundswell will wrap nicely into Tuhawaiki Point, though the swell direction is slightly off the optimum ENE, but it’s still good. The afternoon blows up to 7 ft from the SSE, but the wind swings onshore, making it messy and only for the brave.

The next week is mixed. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th have 4 ft SE swell, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, ruining it. The energy is 268–552, but the quality is poor.

Then, the real gold. Saturday the 20th morning. This is the standout of the whole outlook. We’ve got a 6 ft SSE swell, 16-second period, and the combined energy is a massive 1643. The wind is a light cross-off from the NW, keeping it clean. This is an excellent surf forecast for experienced surfers. The long period, the direction matching the guidance optimum, the clean conditions – it’s all there. Tuhawaiki Point will be firing. The afternoon is still good at 5 ft, but the wind picks up a bit.

Friday the 18th morning is also worth a mention – 3 ft SSE swell, 10-second period, light NW cross-off, and combined energy of 294. Good, clean waves, but not the standout.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off until Saturday the 12th, which is a wild one for experts. The real magic is on Saturday the 20th – that’s the day to circle. It’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it, but it’s looking very promising.

Rusty.

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