Tuhawaiki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the ocean’s got lined up for us down at Tuhawaiki Point over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burn to start, so don’t go racing down there with your board on the roof just yet.

The next week or so is looking pretty average, to be honest. There’s surf around, but it’s small and unremarkable for the most part. We’ve got a few windows of clean conditions, but nothing with any real push behind it. Don’t get too excited about the tiny 1ft to 2ft stuff on Saturday and Sunday; it’s there, but it’s pretty gutless. The water temp is sitting at 49°, which is about normal for this time of year, so the hood’s staying on.

We finally see a bit of life on Tuesday the 18th with a 3ft swell from the SSE, but the real uptick comes the following morning. Wednesday the 19th, there’s a jump in energy – we’re looking at a combined swell energy of 922, which is into the strong range. That morning, the swell pushes to 4ft from the SE with a long 15-second period, and with light WNW cross-offshore winds, it’s going to be clean. This is the call of the first week. Tuhawaiki Point is a point break, so that long-period groundswell is going to wrap in nicely. It’s a standout, but it’s still not huge.

After that, it fades back down again. The rest of that week is small and ordinary, with most afternoons getting chopped up by onshore breezes. From the 22nd through the 27th, we’re looking at a real lull. Swell drops to less than 1ft, and the energy readings are pathetic, down in the 30s and 40s. It’s a flat spell, plain and simple. There’s a little bump on Wednesday the 26th afternoon with a short-period 3ft, but it’s blowing 22 mph from the SSW and it’s raining – that’s not a surfing day, that’s a day to stay inside.

Then, hold onto your board shorts, because things get interesting right at the end of the window. Friday the 28th afternoon sees the swell start building with a 5ft from the E, clean and glassy. But the real gem is Saturday the 29th morning. That’s the standout of the whole 16-day run. We’ve got 5ft from the ESE, with a very long 18-second period. That’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy jumps to 1053, which is strong, very strong. With light NNW winds, it’s going to be clean and lined up. This is for the experienced crew though – that long period and point break set-up can be a bit tricky, and at 5ft it’s not beginner territory. This is the one to circle on the calendar, but remember, it’s over a week away, so treat it as a promising lead, not a certainty.

After that, Sunday the 30th still has some decent energy (209) with a clean 4ft in the morning, but it’s not at the same level.

So, in short: a whole lot of nothing for the next week, one clean morning on the 19th, and a cracking session shaping up for the 29th if it holds together. Don’t sleep on that one.

Rusty.

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