Tuhawaiki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the stretch ahead for Tuhawaiki Point.

First off, the next few days are a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a small, inconsistent swell struggling to get organised, and the wind is swinging around in the wrong direction. Wednesday afternoon is a non-starter – tiny short-period swell with a cross-onshore breeze. Thursday and Friday don’t offer much more: the swell is small, and the wind is messy. You’d be gambling on a couple of knee-high, weak waves, and that’s about it. There’s a real gap here from now until the weekend.

Then Saturday the 1st of August starts to show some life. The swell picks up to 5ft on Saturday morning, coming from the SE with a moderate 11-second period. The combined energy is moderate (645). The wind is cross-off, so the waves will be clean, but the tide or some other factor has the conditions labelled as marginal. The afternoon eases back to 4ft, still clean, but again, not quite firing on all cylinders.

The real standout of this whole window is Monday afternoon, the 3rd of August. The swell is 4ft from the SSE, with a solid 14-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is strong (726). And the wind? It’s glassy. A light, offshore breeze from the ENE. That’s the kind of session you wait for. The point break at Tuhawaiki will handle that long-period swell well, offering clean, lined-up waves. The crowd factor is “sometimes” here, so you could have it fairly quiet. That’s my pick of the bunch.

The Tuesday morning after that, the 4th of August, is also a strong option. Offshore wind from the W, with the swell holding at 5ft from the SE, 13-second period. The energy is still strong (623). It’ll be clean and punchy, a great follow-up to Monday.

Then there’s a bit of a lull through the middle of the week, with the wind turning onshore and making a mess of things. But look at the 6th of August – Thursday morning. It’s glassy again, with a 5ft swell from the ESE, 13-second period. The energy is very strong (857). That morning session is another top-tier call, but the afternoon brings a bigger jump in size – 8ft from the SE – which is pushing into expert territory, and the wind swings cross-shore, so it won’t be as clean.

From the 7th onwards, the swell drops off dramatically. The 9th and 10th are tiny, with energy barely registering. The 11th and 12th are flat as a pancake – a 0.3ft swell with next to no energy. There’s a pulse of long-period energy on the 13th (4ft, 11 seconds from the E), but the wind is cross-on, killing the quality.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a slow burner, but Monday 3rd August afternoon and Tuesday 4th August morning are the absolute standouts for clean, quality waves. The 6th of August morning is also a cracker. After that, the second week looks pretty grim, with long stretches of flat, poor conditions. It’s a classic winter pattern – wait for the windows, and when they come, you paddle out.

Rusty.

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