Tuhawaiki Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into what’s coming up for our patch.

The next week and a bit looks pretty average for Tuhawaiki Point. There’s a serious lack of surf in the early days, with the onshore wind and poor conditions keeping things flat or messy. The first week is a write-off really, with only a few marginal moments.

The Early Week (Monday 6th to Wednesday 8th July): Forget it. Monday morning kicks off with a choppy, 25 mph cross-off from the SSW and a weak 6 ft SSE swell that’s got no shape. Combined energy is a lowly 536 giving us poor surf. This sets the tone – Tuesday and Wednesday are just as ordinary with cross winds and small, weak swells. Not worth paddling out.

Thursday 9th July: Morning shows a pulse of 7 ft ESE swell with a moderate 1429 combined wave energy, but the swell period is a short 11 seconds and the wind is still a cross-off. It’s a bigger, lumpy wave that’s borderline for most, but the crowds are “sometimes” here so you might have it to yourself. It’s rated as marginal, though.

The Good Stretch (Friday 10th to Saturday 11th July): Finally, a window! Friday morning brings a clean 3 ft E swell with a light WSW wind – almost no breeze at 3 mph. Combined wave energy is a weak 277 but it’s clean and surfable. Saturday morning is the standout this week: a clean 3 ft ESE swell with glassy conditions and a light WNW offshore wind. The right-hander at this point should be peeling nicely. It’s small but perfect for a longboard or a fish. Water temp here is 50°F, which is about normal for the time of year – no major anomaly, just chilly.

Sunday 12th into the Next Week: It fades. By Sunday we’re down to 2 ft and dropping, with onshore wind. The next few days (Mon 13th to Wed 15th) are near flat, with combined energy dipping to a pathetic 29 and 26. Honestly, it’s a dead zone. Don’t bother.

The Long-Range Blip (Friday 17th & Saturday 18th July): Now here’s a tricky one. Friday 17th morning shows a glassy 1 ft SE swell with a very long 15-second period – that’s a groundswell. It’s tiny, but it’s glassy. The true standout comes on Saturday 18th July: a glassy 7 ft SE swell with a combined energy of 746. That’s a nice, punchy wave, and with light wind and glassy conditions, this will be the best wave in the entire outlook for Tuhawaiki Point. But it’s a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it – long-range forecasts can shift. The swell direction (SE) is a bit off the optimum ENE, but the size and glassy conditions will make it a quality session for experienced surfers. That Saturday morning session is the one to mark on your calendar.

Sunday 19th July: Another pumping day with 7 ft ESE swell at a 13-second period and a huge 1442 combined energy. That’s serious size and power, only for the experienced crew. Glassy offshore wind in the morning makes it a dream – but it’s still a long way off.

The Final Days (Monday 20th to Tuesday 21st July): Back to fading out. Monday sees a drop to 4 ft with onshore wind, and Tuesday is small and weak again.

So, bottom line: the real action is in the second week, specifically Saturday 18th and Sunday 19th July. The rest of the fortnight is mostly flat or poor. Hopeful for that glassy Saturday morning. That’s your window.

Rusty.

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