Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 43.78° S 173.12° E

Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay sea temperature is
10.8° C
1.5° 

Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SE swell with 3,289 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3PM (Tue 21st Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 12s
Best Surf 6AM (Tue 28th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 14s
Most Powerful 9AM (Tue 28th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here, looking at the surf ahead for us at Hickory Bay, out on Banks Peninsula. We’ve got a decent little window coming up, but you’ve gotta pick your moments. The water’s running a touch warmer than average for this time of year, about 51°, which is nice.

Alright, let’s kick things off. Tuesday morning, the 21st of July, we’re waking up to a solid swell from the south at 6ft, with a long period of 13 seconds. That’s some real groundswell energy, and with a light NNW cross-off breeze, it’s gonna be clean as a whistle. The combined energy is pumping at 1065, and it’s gonna be excellent for those of us who’ve got a bit of experience under our belt. This is the standout of the whole forecast – get out there Tuesday morning. Tuesday afternoon drops a touch to 5ft, but the wind goes full offshore, so it’ll hold up nicely too.

Wednesday the 22nd is a step down. The swell drops to 3ft in the morning, but it’s a bit of a cross-on wind, making it marginal. Not worth getting too excited about. Thursday the 23rd has even smaller surf, though the morning has a clean offshore. It’s only 1.0ft though, so you’ll be chasing tiny waves.

Then we hit a real flat spell from Friday the 24th through Sunday the 26th. The swell gets tiny, and Saturday the 25th is a write-off with a strong cross-onshore wind and messy 10ft junky swell. That’s a day to stay on the couch.

Now, Monday the 27th is interesting but messy. We get a shift in swell direction from the ESE at 6ft with a long 14-second period. The combined energy is strong at 1715, but the wind is a cross-shore chop, making it a bit lumpy. Not the cleanest, but there’s power there. The 28th of July, Tuesday, we see a big jump – 10ft of SE swell, with a very long 14-second period. The energy is huge at 3365, but that’s too big for Hickory Bay. Unless you’re a real expert, this is gonna be a washing machine. Same for Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th – big, powerful swell, but all too much for this spot. A lot of that second week is just oversized and messy.

We finally get a reset on Tuesday the 4th of August. Now this is a beauty. Glassy conditions in the morning, with a 6ft south swell at 12 seconds. The energy is solid at 1035, and the wind is dead calm. That’s as good as it gets for experienced surfers. The afternoon stays clean with a light offshore. Wednesday the 5th of August keeps it going with 5ft and light offshores – more good, clean waves.

So, to be straight with you: the absolute best on offer is Tuesday the 21st of July, morning session. Clean, powerful, and that south groundswell will have some real push. The backup is Tuesday the 4th of August, but that’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it. Get it while you can.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Thu afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 4°C on Sat night). Mainly near gales.

Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
S
13
1.4
S
12
1.2
S
12
0.9
SSW
12
0.8
SSW
12
0.6
SSW
12
0.4
SSW
9
0.4
SSW
9
0.3
SSW
8
0.3
S
9
0.3
SSW
16
1.4
NE
8
3
SSW
8
2.3
SSW
8
1.4
S
8
1.2
S
12
1.2
S
11
1.1
E
13
1.8
ESE
14
2
ESE
14
1.9
ESE
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1016
613
411
213
167
115
30
25
12
18
51
253
1410
704
258
389
350
407
1344
1531
1443
Wind (km/h)
10
NNW
10
NNW
5
WSW
5
SSW
5
ENE
10
NNE
15
N
20
NNW
25
N
30
N
20
N
10
W
45
SW
45
SSW
20
SW
15
SW
15
SW
15
SW
20
WSW
20
WSW
15
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
off
High Tide
9:37AM1.74m
10:00PM1.71m
10:35AM1.70m
10:55PM1.65m
11:30AM1.69m
11:49PM1.61m
12:21PM1.69m
00:38AM1.60m
1:08PM1.71m
1:24AM1.61m
1:52PM1.74m
2:07AM1.63m
2:34PM1.77m
2:49AM1.65m
Low Tide
3:47PM0.32m
4:13AM0.30m
4:42PM0.40m
5:04AM0.36m
5:35PM0.45m
5:54AM0.39m
6:26PM0.47m
6:40AM0.41m
7:14PM0.48m
7:25AM0.40m
7:59PM0.46m
8:09AM0.38m
8:43PM0.43m
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
heavy rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:52
7:52
7:50
7:50
7:48
7:48
7:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:20
5:21
 mm
13
3
2
2
1
4
2
Temp °C
9
9
9
11
11
9
10
13
12
14
14
11
6
6
6
5
6
4
5
6
6
Feels °C
6
6
6
9
8
5
6
5
4
7
10
7
-4
-4
-1
0
1
-2
-1
0
1
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 44 km (27 miles) away.

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