
Surf Forecasts:
Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with 7,857 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid run of swell lining up for Hickory Bay, but you’re gonna need to pick your moments. The water’s sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year—51°F, which is about 2°F above average—so it’s a little more pleasant than usual.
The main action kicks off Friday morning, 11 September. The swell is a clean 4ft from the SSW, with a very long 18-second period that’ll wrap nicely into this exposed spot. Winds are light offshore from the north at 12 mph, and the combined energy is moderate at 830. It’s an ideal setup for beginners, but keep an eye on the tide. That morning session is the pick of the first few days—clean, well-shaped waves with plenty of push.
Friday afternoon drops off with onshore wind, so don’t bother. Saturday the 12th blows up to 13ft from the SSW, but with cross-onshore wind and a combined energy reading of 6536, it’s too much for this break—expert only, and even then, the conditions are choppy. Sunday sees a drop to 7ft and 8ft, but still too big and onshore; steer clear.
Monday the 14th morning is a beauty. Swell drops to a solid 6ft from the S, period 11 seconds, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNW. The combined energy sits at 795, and it’s clean. Afternoon gets even better—4ft S, with a light offshore from the north at 6 mph and 550 energy. Both sessions are rated top-notch. That Monday is a standout—good for all levels, with the offshore wind keeping the faces smooth.
Tuesday the 15th stays clean but the swell drops to 3-3ft (S, 8-9 second period), making for small, ordinary waves. Combined energy is low at 140-194. Still surfable, but nothing to rave about.
Wednesday the 16th is tiny—1.0ft to 3ft—and the swell direction shifts around. Skip it.
The next real highlight is Friday the 18th. Swell jumps to 12ft from the SSW, with a very long 16-second period, and the combined energy screams 7244—that’s a powerful groundswell. But this is too big for Hickory Bay, an exposed beach-and-reef setup. The afternoon shows 10ft with offshore wind from the north, and it’s clean, but only for experienced surfers who know the reef. Even then, that long period can make it break a bit too straight at a beach break—watch for that.
Saturday the 19th afternoon is another standout. Swell drops to 6ft from SSW, 14-second period, combined energy 1356, with clean cross-offshore wind from the NW. It’s excellent for experienced surfers. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.
Sunday the 20th through Wednesday the 23rd is a mixed bag of marginal conditions and small swell. Not worth a dedicated trip.
Thursday the 24th is a cracker. Morning: 4ft SSW, 15-second period, light offshore from the NNW at 3 mph, energy 679—glassly clean. Afternoon: 5ft SSW, 14-second period, light offshore from the north, energy 758. Both sessions are excellent, with the offshore wind and long-period swell making for well-shaped, powerful waves. That’s a solid second standout—ideal for intermediate to experienced surfers.
After that, Friday the 25th is still okay—3ft SSW, 13-second period with moderate offshore wind—but smaller and less consistent. By Saturday the 26th, the wind cranks up to 25 mph from the NNW, and the swell is messy. The run finishes with poor conditions.
So, the best on offer: Monday the 14th and Thursday the 24th. Both have clean, offshore winds and moderate swell with good period. The Thursday session is a little more powerful, with longer period. Get out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 7°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 9 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | NE 7 | S 6 | SSW 10 | SSW 8 | S 16 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
813 | 2869 | 6453 | 6407 | 2716 | 1256 | 1187 | 1136 | 573 | 188 | 225 | 65 | 71 | 33 | 34 | 44 | 247 | 72 | 123 | 139 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-on | on | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | off | cross |
High Tide | 3:48PM2.02m | 4:10AM1.95m | 4:36PM1.97m | 4:59AM1.92m | 5:23PM1.89m | 5:49AM1.87m | 6:12PM1.81m | 6:40AM1.81m | 7:02PM1.72m | 7:32AM1.75m | 7:55PM1.65m | 8:27AM1.70m | 8:51PM1.59m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:03PM0.08m | 10:25AM0.07m | 10:52PM0.11m | 11:16AM0.13m | 11:40PM0.16m | 12:07PM0.21m | 00:29AM0.23m | 12:58PM0.30m | 1:19AM0.30m | 1:51PM0.38m | 2:10AM0.38m | 2:44PM0.44m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:17 | — | |
mm | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
Feels °C | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | NE 13 | SSW 15 | S 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 9 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | SSW 13 | NE 7 | NE 9 | S 5 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 |
813 | 2869 | 46 | 6407 | 2716 | 448 | 1187 | 1136 | 573 | 188 | 225 | 65 | 71 | 20 | 34 | 44 | 77 | 31 | 123 | 62 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | NE 14 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | S 17 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | S 16 |
10 | 67 | 29 | 45 | 44 | 26 | 210 | 14 | 14 | 111 | 75 | 39 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 34 | 77 | 72 | 47 | 139 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 7 | — | — | NE 9 | — | NE 12 | — | ENE 12 | S 15 | NE 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | ENE 7 | S 8 | ENE 7 | NNE 8 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 |
10 | 4 | — | — | 3 | — | 24 | — | 14 | 115 | 5 | 40 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 35 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 15 | — | N 4 | SSW 13 | — | — | — | NNE 2 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | NNE 6 | N 5 | N 4 | S 6 | SSW 5 | — | N 4 |
— | — | 6453 | — | 14 | 1256 | — | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 81 | 71 | 28 | 247 | 49 | — | 38 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 13 | 5 | 35 | 256 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 81 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 44 km (27 miles) away.










