
Surf Forecasts:
Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with 11,256 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay in the next 16 days are 5.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 16ft (5.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. The first real surf window for Hickory Bay (Banks Peninsula) kicks off on Wednesday the 9th of September. The water’s sitting at 51.1°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a little welcome surprise for your toes.
Wednesday afternoon kicks things off with a clean 4.6ft swell from the NE, period around 9 seconds, and a moderate offshore breeze. Wave energy’s moderate at 364. It’s not huge, but the conditions are clean and it’s a solid start for beginners. Crowds can pop up here sometimes, so don’t be shocked if a few others have the same idea.
Thursday the 10th is a write-off – strong onshore winds from the SSW, bumpy and messy. Not worth paddling out.
Then Friday morning the 11th brings a real treat. Swell drops a little to 3.9ft but the period jumps to a very long 18 seconds – proper groundswell. Clean offshore breeze, moderate energy (971), and the waves will have some serious shape. The long period will make for clean lines and easy paddling between sets, but at a beach setup, it might be a little too straight. Still, this is the standout session of the early window.
Friday afternoon hangs around with 3.3ft and a 17-second period but the wind swings onshore. Marginal at best.
Saturday the 12th sees the swell jump dramatically – 14.8ft to 16.4ft – with the energy going through the roof (4,045 and 17,373). That’s way too big for beginners and only for experts, and the wind isn’t clean enough to make it work. Avoid it.
Sunday the 13th is still oversized (6.9ft–7.9ft) with a long period, but the wind stays cross-onshore and lumpy. Not great.
Now, here’s another real standout: Monday morning the 14th. Glassy conditions with a clean 5.2ft S swell, 11-second period, and moderate energy (620). This is a beauty. Clean, open faces, easy paddling. The best of the week after Friday morning.
Monday afternoon stays clean with a lighter 3.6ft S swell and a nice 10-second period. Still worth a session.
Tuesday the 15th has smaller surf (2.6ft–3.0ft) but clean offshore and cross-off winds. Good for a longboard or a quiet paddle.
From there, a run of clean days continues through Thursday the 17th, with the best being Thursday afternoon: 4.9ft from the SSW, 12-second period, gentle offshore breeze, and strong energy (593). That’s another top session.
Friday the 18th has clean conditions but the swell is smaller and the wind fresher – marginal but surfable for the keen.
Saturday the 19th is back to big swell (7.2ft–8.2ft) with short period and cross-onshore wind. That’s more for experts or maybe kites.
We then hit a dry patch from Sunday the 20th through Monday the 21st – messy winds and poor conditions. Not worth it.
But Tuesday the 22nd offers a silver lining: morning glass with a 3.0ft SSW groundswell, 16-second period, and clean conditions. Small but beautiful. Wednesday the 23rd also offers NE swell around 5.2ft, moderate period, with clean cross-off winds. Not a standout, but a decent option.
After that, Thursday the 24th the wind turns onshore again, and we’re back to poor conditions through the end of the outlook.
So, if I’m calling the best of the 16 days: Friday morning the 11th and Monday morning the 14th are your true standouts. Clean, decent swell, good energy. After that, Thursday afternoon the 17th is a solid backup.
Stay stoked.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri afternoon, min 6°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 7°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | ENE 8 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | S 14 | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
309 | 264 | 200 | 262 | 716 | 940 | 647 | 1422 | 3999 | 11256 | 2702 | 2160 | 1514 | 1045 | 606 | 225 | 216 | 191 | 218 | 96 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross | off | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | off | cross-on | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 2:31AM1.93m | 2:59PM2.04m | 3:21AM1.95m | 3:48PM2.02m | 4:10AM1.95m | 4:36PM1.97m | 4:59AM1.92m | 5:23PM1.89m | 5:49AM1.87m | 6:12PM1.81m | 6:40AM1.81m | 7:02PM1.72m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:23PM0.11m | 8:42AM0.03m | 9:14PM0.08m | 9:34AM0.03m | 10:03PM0.08m | 10:25AM0.07m | 10:52PM0.11m | 11:16AM0.13m | 11:40PM0.16m | 12:07PM0.21m | 00:29AM0.23m | 12:58PM0.30m | 1:19AM0.30m | |||||||
— | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | |
6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | S 7 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | NE 13 | SSW 15 | S 14 | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
20 | 264 | 82 | 62 | 138 | 940 | 647 | 1422 | 46 | 6072 | 2702 | 2160 | 1514 | 1045 | 606 | 225 | 216 | 191 | 218 | 96 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | S 8 | NNE 6 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | E 8 | NNE 4 | NE 8 | — | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | S 17 | ENE 12 | NNE 3 | SSW 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | ENE 13 | NE 13 |
29 | 10 | 15 | 160 | 716 | 10 | 9 | 24 | — | 45 | 44 | 42 | 217 | 14 | 1 | 173 | 76 | 67 | 17 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SSW 18 | S 22 | S 20 | E 8 | ENE 14 | E 8 | ENE 14 | — | — | NE 9 | E 11 | NE 12 | SE 10 | ENE 12 | S 15 | NE 12 | NE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 |
6 | 30 | 82 | 196 | 18 | 21 | 5 | 18 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 24 | 4 | 14 | 112 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | — | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | — | N 3 | — | — | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | N 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | N 3 | N 4 | N 6 |
309 | — | 200 | 262 | — | 7 | — | — | 3999 | 11256 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 30 | 152 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 35 | 329 | 27 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 44 km (27 miles) away.










