Surf Forecasts:
Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 13 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 13 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period, S swell with 2,474 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 13 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay in the next 16 days are 2.4m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 19) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 13th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 13th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 13th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Hickory Bay.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a big pulse of swell arriving for the weekend, but it’s a double-edged sword. For Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th, we’re looking at a solid 11.5ft to 7.5ft swell from the SSW, but it’s too big for this break, especially for the beginners. The combined energy is massive, 6369, which tells you there’s a lot of power in the water. Winds are onshore or cross-on, so it’s going to be messy and big. Not the day for a paddle.
Monday the 14th is where things start to clean up. The swell drops to 5.6ft from the S with a period of 11 seconds. That’s a nice groundswell, and the wind swings to a light offshore from the NNW in the morning. The water temp is about 50.4°, which is a degree warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s a bit of a treat. This is the standout of the first week. Clean waves, good shape, and the energy is moderate at 709. Monday afternoon is even smaller at 3.3ft with a light offshore from the NNE, so it’s a good one for the longboard or a fun mid-length.
Tuesday the 15th drops further, 3.0ft in the morning with offshore N wind, clean but small. The combined energy is 242, so it’s weak. The afternoon is tiny at 1.3ft, not much to get excited about.
From Wednesday the 16th through Thursday the 17th, it’s pretty grim. Small swell, onshore winds, and some light rain. Not worth the trip.
Friday the 18th brings a new pulse. Morning sees 3.6ft from the SE with a moderate offshore N wind, and the combined energy jumps to 646. The period is 13 seconds, so it’s got some push. This is another good window, clean and punchy. The afternoon is similar at 3.3ft from the SSW with a 15-second period, but the wind is stronger offshore, so it might be a bit more challenging to find the right spot.
Saturday the 19th is a bit of a washout. The swell is 5.9ft from the SSW, but the wind is cross-on, so it’s choppy. The period is a very long 16 seconds, which can make the waves break a bit straight here, but the power is still there at 1638. Not the best day for the point.
Sunday the 20th is back on. Morning sees 4.3ft from the SSW with a cross-off wind from the ENE, and the afternoon is 4.9ft from the SSW with a light NE wind. Combined energy is 606 and 894, so moderate. Clean conditions, good shape. This is a solid choice.
Monday the 21st has a bit of variety. Morning is 3.0ft with a moderate offshore N wind, and the afternoon jumps to 5.9ft from the SSW with a light offshore NNE wind. The period is shorter at 10 seconds, so it’s more of a windswell, but the energy is 596, so it’s still fun. Clean.
Tuesday the 22nd is a bit tricky. Morning has 4.3ft from the SSW with a 16-second period, but the wind is cross-shore, so it’s not perfect. The afternoon is 4.9ft from the SSW with a 17-second period, but the wind is onshore. The combined energy is high, but the conditions are messy.
Wednesday the 23rd is a write-off. Strong onshore winds, 28-31 mph, and the swell is 4.9ft to 6.9ft. Messy and blown out.
Thursday the 24th is interesting. Morning has 7.2ft from the S with a cross-shore wind, but it’s too big for this break. The afternoon, however, is 6.2ft from the S with a light offshore N wind, and the combined energy is 1116. This is for experienced surfers only, but it’s going to be clean and powerful. A standout for the more advanced crew.
Friday the 25th is for the experts. The morning is 9.8ft from the SSW with a 15-second period and glassy conditions. The combined energy is massive at 4312. It’s too big for this break, but if you’re a charger, it’s a sight to behold. The afternoon is 11.5ft from the S with a 16-second period and a cross-off wind, but again, it’s too big.
Saturday the 26th is a big day for the experienced. Morning is 7.9ft from the S with a cross-off wind, and the afternoon is 6.6ft from the S with an offshore N wind. Combined energy is 1912 and 1115. Clean, powerful, but big.
Sunday the 27th fades. Morning is 4.6ft from the S with a strong onshore wind, so it’s messy. The afternoon
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 5°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | S 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 14 | NE 6 | SSW 13 | ENE 7 | S 5 | SSW 13 | SSW 15 | ESE 15 | SE 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 6324 | 2474 | 1659 | 1513 | 1292 | 695 | 263 | 157 | 126 | 77 | 73 | 34 | 35 | 82 | 68 | 49 | 156 | 400 | 428 | 1216 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | cross-on | on | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | on | cross | off | off | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:59AM1.92m | 5:23PM1.89m | 5:49AM1.87m | 6:12PM1.81m | 6:40AM1.81m | 7:02PM1.72m | 7:32AM1.75m | 7:55PM1.65m | 8:27AM1.70m | 8:51PM1.59m | 9:23AM1.66m | 9:47PM1.55m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:52PM0.11m | 11:16AM0.13m | 11:40PM0.16m | 12:07PM0.21m | 00:29AM0.23m | 12:58PM0.30m | 1:19AM0.30m | 1:51PM0.38m | 2:10AM0.38m | 2:44PM0.44m | 3:02AM0.43m | 3:38PM0.49m | ||||||||
 |  | | | |  | | | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — |
 | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | S 15 | S 17 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | NE 6 | NNE 6 | N 6 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SE 4 | S 6 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 17 |
| kJ | 6324 | 2474 | 351 | 1513 | 1292 | 695 | 225 | 157 | 126 | 68 | 73 | 44 | 31 | 71 | 68 | 13 | 47 | 400 | 364 | 1216 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | S 16 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 8 | SSW 13 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | ESE 11 | ESE 15 | SSW 8 | SSW 15 | SE 12 |
| kJ | 45 | 44 | 42 | 260 | 14 | 14 | 263 | 125 | 116 | 77 | 32 | 34 | 29 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 156 | 50 | 428 | 209 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 9 | — | ENE 12 | — | — | ENE 12 | SSW 10 | NNE 4 | NE 13 | SSW 13 | S 8 | SSW 13 | NNE 8 | ESE 13 | SSW 15 | ESE 10 | SSW 16 | NE 5 | NE 6 |
| kJ | — | 3 | — | 15 | — | — | 14 | 43 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 11 | 35 | 6 | 32 | 43 | 68 | 196 | 25 | 27 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 4 | SSW 13 | — | — | — | NNE 2 | NNE 4 | — | NE 4 | — | NW 3 | SSW 2 | S 5 | SSE 5 | SW 5 | NW 2 | N 4 | — | W 3 |
| kJ | — | 13 | 1659 | — | — | — | 1 | 10 | — | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | 82 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 14 | — | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 76 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 172 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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