
Surf Forecasts:
Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, SSW swell with 9,916 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 3.5m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 7s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks. Rusty here. Let’s break down the swell window for you.
The first couple of days are a total write-off. Friday the 31st and Saturday the 1st are either blown out or way too big for this break. So, we’re sitting on our hands for a bit. The first real opportunity to get a decent wave is Sunday morning, August 2nd.
The standout is Hickory Bay (Banks Peninsula). Sunday morning, August 2nd, is the best of the whole run. The sky is clear, the wind is light from the NW, giving us a clean cross-off breeze. The wave height is 1.7m (about 6 feet) from the SSE, and with a period of 12 seconds, it’s a proper groundswell with good energy. The combined wave energy is 1107 (moderate), so it’s got some push but shouldn’t be a monster. Conditions are clean, and the crowd is only a *sometimes* thing, so you might get a few sets to yourself. This is for the surfer with some experience, but it’s very manageable. The water temp is about what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing unusual.
Sunday afternoon, August 2nd, is also a beauty. The swell drops to 1.4m (about 5 feet) from the SE, but the wind goes fully offshore from the NNW at 10 km/h (6 mph). Glassy, clean perfection. The energy is a bit lower at 760 (weak to moderate), but for a beginner-friendly spot, this is a dream session. That’s a great all-rounder day.
After that, the swell takes a turn for the bigger. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th see a jump to 2.1m to 4.5m (7 to 15 feet) with a lot of cross-onshore wind, making it lumpy and messy – really only for the hardcore. Then from Wednesday the 5th to Thursday the 6th, the swell backs off (1.4m to 1.6m / 5 to 5 feet) and the wind goes light and even glassy, which is nice, but the energy is moderate and the wave comment is “marginal.” It’s fine, but not a standout.
From Friday the 7th onwards, the long-range forecast shows a lot of moderate to large ENE swell (2.0m to 4.5m / 7 to 15 feet) with mostly cross-off winds. The energy numbers are huge (up to 7823 on the 11th), which is strong to very strong. But the wave comments are all about the swell being too big for this break, or marginal. The wind is clean, but for a beginner spot, this is getting into expert-only territory. The 11th and 12th of August look like a proper big-wave session for the brave, but it’s going to be a washing machine for most of us. The 14th and 15th still have size (2.1m to 2.5m / 7 to 8 feet) but the wind is clean, so it’s a solid, if not perfect, option for the experienced crew.
So, to sum it up: the best on offer is Sunday, August 2nd – morning and afternoon. That’s where the magic happens. Don’t get your hopes up for the rest of the week unless you’re ready for some serious size.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu night, min 6°C on Fri afternoon). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SW on Fri night, light winds from the WSW by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Mon night, light winds from the SW by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | NE 7 | SE 15 | SSW 10 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 12 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
167 | 131 | 82 | 3776 | 6237 | 4688 | 1278 | 723 | 549 | 253 | 425 | 1797 | 8284 | 5589 | 3691 | 2041 | 1629 | 787 | 655 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:49AM1.67m | 5:14PM1.80m | 5:30AM1.66m | 5:54PM1.77m | 6:11AM1.65m | 6:35PM1.74m | 6:55AM1.64m | 7:18PM1.71m | 7:42AM1.65m | 8:05PM1.68m | 8:34AM1.67m | 8:58PM1.66m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:49PM0.35m | 10:58AM0.29m | 11:30PM0.34m | 11:41AM0.29m | 00:12AM0.34m | 12:25PM0.31m | 00:56AM0.34m | 1:12PM0.33m | 1:40AM0.34m | 2:01PM0.35m | 2:28AM0.34m | 2:54PM0.37m | |||||||
— | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 8 | -6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 9 | -3 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | NE 7 | NNE 7 | SE 14 | SE 15 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 12 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SSW 12 | SE 11 | NE 13 | S 14 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 |
167 | 131 | 93 | 132 | 233 | 3481 | 1278 | 723 | 549 | 253 | 425 | 59 | 7 | 5589 | 3691 | 2041 | 1629 | 787 | 655 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | ENE 10 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SE 11 | NNE 5 | NE 13 | NE 13 | ESE 11 | NE 12 | SSE 12 | S 11 | SSW 11 |
28 | 88 | 61 | 36 | 20 | 155 | 347 | 169 | 201 | 189 | 145 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 57 | 675 | 430 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 11 | SE 15 | NE 8 | — | E 10 | NE 17 | SE 13 | NE 16 | SSW 20 | NNE 6 | NE 14 | — | — | NE 13 | — | NE 12 | S 15 | NE 12 |
42 | 23 | 82 | 18 | — | 8 | 12 | 215 | 10 | 127 | 33 | 8 | — | — | 7 | — | 6 | 70 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | SSW 10 | S 13 | S 12 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | W 4 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NE 4 |
363 | 21 | 11 | 3776 | 6237 | 4688 | — | — | — | 5 | 10 | 1797 | 8284 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 9 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 30 | 71 | 3 | 216 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 163 | 163 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 44 km (27 miles) away.











