Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 43.78° S 173.12° E

Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 27 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay sea temperature is
10.3° C
1.1° 

Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 7s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 13s period, SSW swell with 11,041 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 13s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay in the next 16 days are 6.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 8s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Mon 27th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 13s
Best Surf 6PM (Fri 31st Jul)10ft (3.0m) 7s
Most Powerful12PM (Sat 1st Aug)20ft (6.0m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here, lookin' at the Banks Peninsula for the next couple of weeks. We've got a decent little run of swell on the way, but it's a real mixed bag with some proper wild weather coming through too. The standout is gonna be a nice, clean window of surf from this Monday arvo through to Wednesday, so keep your eyes on that.

Alright, let's kick it off. For Monday the 27th of July, Hickory Bay is setting up real nice. We've got a clean 4ft swell from the ESE with a solid 13-second period, and the wind is glassy. Water temp is sitting at 51°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate at 762. It's a beginner-friendly spot, and it's fairly consistent, so it's a great place to get a few smooth ones. Crowds are only sometimes, so you might have it to yourself.

Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th, the swell bumps up a bit to 5ft to 6ft, still from the ESE, with a good 12 to 13-second period. The wind is off or glassy, keeping things clean. The combined energy stays solidly in the moderate range, around 900 to 984. This is the best of the bunch, a real tidy run of surf.

Thursday the 30th, the wind picks up strong, and the swell starts to drop. Thursday morning is still rideable with a 3ft ESE swell and 30 km/h offshore, but the energy drops to 444. It's marginal at best, and by the afternoon it's pretty much cooked.

From Friday the 31st of July through to Sunday the 2nd of August, we're looking at a real dud. The swell tanks down to 2ft, then gets absolutely smashed by a massive 18ft, 13-second SSW swell on Saturday the 1st of August. The combined energy shoots up to a massive 10,897, but the wind is a strong cross-onshore, making it a complete mess. This is more of a kite-surfing scene than a paddle session. Sunday the 2nd is the same story with a 15ft to 18ft swell and nasty cross-onshore winds.

Monday the 3rd of August, the swell is still big at 8ft from the SSE, and the wind is finally offshore and clean. But, the combined energy is still very strong at 2241, and the swell is too big for this spot. It's one for the experts only, if anyone's keen.

Tuesday the 4th of August, things settle down proper. We get a clean 4ft to 5ft SE swell with a 12-second period, light offshore winds, and combined energy of 917 to 736. This is another solid day of clean, fun surf.

Then things turn ugly again. From Wednesday the 5th of August through to Sunday the 9th, it's a long stretch of poor conditions. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell is all over the shop, with a couple of monster 16ft to 18ft days on the 6th and 7th. The energy readings are in the thousands, but it's all wind-blown and messy. Definitely not worth paddling out.

The final stretch from Monday the 10th to Tuesday the 11th of August is marginal. The swell drops to 4ft from the ESE, but the period is short at 9 seconds, and the energy is weak at 506. There's a 4ft, 16-second S swell on the 11th, which is a very long period, but it's directly onshore, so it's a write-off.

So, the call is clear. Make the most of Monday the 27th through to Wednesday the 29th of July, and then Tuesday the 4th of August. That's your best chance for a clean, fun surf at Hickory Bay.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Mon afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, strong winds from the N by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 5°C on Fri night). Mainly strong winds.

Mon
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
ESE
13
1.5
ESE
13
1.7
ESE
13
1.7
ESE
13
1.6
ESE
13
1.5
ESE
13
1.4
ESE
12
1.2
ESE
12
1
ESE
12
0.9
ESE
12
0.8
ESE
11
0.6
E
11
0.6
E
11
4
SSW
11
5.5
SSW
13
5.5
SSW
13
4.5
SSW
13
5.5
S
12
4.5
S
12
3
SSE
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
572
724
917
931
854
703
558
439
303
228
167
88
84
4332
10706
9293
6403
8777
5137
2728
Wind (km/h)
5
NNE
10
NNW
5
WNW
10
N
15
N
10
N
0
E
10
NNW
30
NNW
35
N
25
NNW
30
NW
25
WNW
45
SW
40
SSW
25
SW
50
SW
40
SSW
30
SSW
10
SW
Wind State
glassy
off
cross-off
off
off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
2:49AM1.65m
3:15PM1.80m
3:29AM1.67m
3:55PM1.81m
4:09AM1.67m
4:35PM1.81m
4:49AM1.67m
5:14PM1.80m
5:30AM1.66m
5:54PM1.77m
6:11AM1.65m
6:35PM1.74m
Low Tide
8:43PM0.43m
8:52AM0.35m
9:25PM0.40m
9:34AM0.32m
10:07PM0.37m
10:16AM0.29m
10:49PM0.35m
10:58AM0.29m
11:30PM0.34m
11:41AM0.29m
00:12AM0.34m
12:25PM0.31m
00:56AM0.34m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:46
7:45
7:43
7:43
7:41
7:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:27
 mm
5
4
4
3
Temp °C
9
8
11
12
9
10
11
10
13
14
12
12
12
9
6
8
8
8
7
6
Feels °C
6
5
8
8
5
8
10
7
4
6
6
5
5
1
-3
1
-1
-2
-1
1
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 44 km (27 miles) away.

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