Surf Forecasts:
Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, S swell with 6,451 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 19 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, lookin’ at the charts for the next couple of weeks. Let's get into it.
We've got some decent pulses of energy coming through for Hickory Bay, but you’ve gotta be patient. The opening days are a bit of a write-off with messy winds and building sizes, and there’s even a few days where the swell just gets way too big for the beginner-friendly setup here.
Our first real standout window arrives Thursday the 20th. The morning is okay with a light cross-shore on a 5 ft S swell (moderate energy at 665), but it’s the afternoon that gets me excited. The wind drops to glassy – dead flat – and we’ve still got a clean 5 ft S swell with a nice 11-second period rolling in out of the south. That’s a beautiful combination for a long session, and the place should be fairly empty.
The next proper highlight comes a bit further out, on Tuesday the 25th of August. The morning session is looking prime, with glassy conditions again and a 4 ft SSW groundswell (12-second period) pushing some tidy energy in (511). That’s a low-key gem of a morning. Later that day, it jumps to 10 ft, which is just too much for this bay.
Then, if you can wait, Thursday the 27th of August shapes up as the absolute best on offer for experienced paddlers. The afternoon shows a solid 6 ft S swell (12 seconds), but the wind has swung clean offshore from the NNE. That’s the magic combo for this spot – the wave faces will be smooth and the sets should be lined up. The combined energy is moderate but solid at 1009. This is the one to circle on the calendar.
For the early part of the forecast, from now until the 19th, the swell is either too small, too big, or the wind is just messy. The 17th has a little 4 ft swell, but the wind is cross-shore. By the 18th, it’s wild – a 15 ft and 28 mph wind – total mess.
The second week calms down a bit. The 22nd and 23rd of August have tiny, weak swells below 3 ft, not really worth the paddle. The 24th has some size but with strong winds, making it a bit sketchy.
So, to wrap it up: your best windows are Thursday afternoon (August 20) for the glassy, fun-size waves, Tuesday morning (August 25) for another glassy session, and the clear standout is Thursday afternoon (August 27) for clean, offshore conditions on a solid, manageable swell. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so a good 4/3 will do you fine.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 10°C on Tue morning, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Mon morning, strong winds from the SW by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 10 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 16 | S 14 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1712 | 651 | 633 | 220 | 1497 | 4507 | 6451 | 4226 | 3394 | 1022 | 630 | 526 | 1134 | 813 | 468 | 242 | 130 | 96 | 68 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:10AM1.84m | 7:35PM1.81m | 8:06AM1.77m | 8:30PM1.71m | 9:03AM1.71m | 9:26PM1.64m | 10:00AM1.68m | 10:23PM1.59m | 10:56AM1.66m | 11:17PM1.57m | 11:48AM1.67m | 00:08AM1.57m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:03AM0.15m | 1:27PM0.21m | 1:54AM0.23m | 2:22PM0.31m | 2:46AM0.31m | 3:16PM0.40m | 3:38AM0.38m | 4:11PM0.46m | 4:30AM0.42m | 5:04PM0.49m | 5:20AM0.45m | 5:54PM0.50m | |||||||
— | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 12 | S 14 | S 14 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 16 | S 14 | S 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
1135 | 651 | 633 | 143 | 94 | 53 | 28 | 4226 | 2524 | 1022 | 630 | 526 | 1134 | 813 | 468 | 242 | 130 | 96 | 68 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SE 7 | ENE 10 | SSW 13 | SE 13 | ESE 10 | — | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SE 12 | SE 11 | S 17 | ESE 12 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | N 5 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 |
112 | 57 | 123 | 129 | 27 | 9 | — | 17 | 17 | 23 | 20 | 87 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 36 | 30 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SE 7 | SE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 12 | E 9 | ESE 10 | — | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | E 15 | E 9 | S 19 |
96 | 88 | 35 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | 15 | 19 | — | 20 | 17 | 10 | 38 | 2 | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | — | WSW 4 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 10 | S 14 | — | S 14 | — | — | — | NNE 3 | N 4 | — | N 4 | — | N 4 | N 5 |
1712 | — | 13 | 220 | 1497 | 4507 | 6451 | — | 3394 | — | — | — | 3 | 7 | — | 11 | — | 14 | 57 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 241 | 35 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 44 km (27 miles) away.











