
Surf Forecasts:
Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, SSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SSW swell with 2,519 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 12s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Hickory Bay over the next couple of weeks.
First up, the water temp is sittin’ at 51°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothin’ crazy, but a nice little bonus if you’re paddlin’ out.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start. Wednesday the 22nd is the first decent call. The morning session is the go: glassy conditions, light WSW wind, and a clean 3ft SSW swell with a 12-second period. The combined energy is moderate (262), and it’s a beginner-friendly wave. Crowds are only sometimes a problem here, so it’s a solid, chilled option to ease into the day.
Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th are pretty ordinary – small, weak swell, so not much to get excited about.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The weekend of the 25th and 26th sees a big jump in size, but the wind is messy. Saturday morning has a 12ft SSW swell, but it’s howlin’ cross-onshore at 35 km/h – that’s a kite-surfin’ setup, not a paddle one. Sunday morning the 26th is still pushin’ 7ft, but the wind is light and cross – still a bit too big and lumpy for a beginner spot, and the swell period is short (8 seconds), so it’s not gonna hold shape well.
The real standout comes Monday the 27th afternoon. The wind drops to glassy, and we get a 4ft ESE swell with a 13-second period (groundswell). The combined energy is strong (910) and the conditions are clean. This is the best on offer in the first week – a proper, lined-up wave for experienced surfers, with light crowds.
Tuesday the 28th morning is also a beauty: 6ft ESE swell, 14-second period, and a clean offshore wind. The energy is pumpin’ (1216), and it’s excellent for experienced surfers. But be aware, the long period (14 seconds) means these waves will be more suited to the point and reef setups – it might break a bit straight at the beach.
After that, the middle of the week gets blown out again, with a massive 12ft SW swell on the 30th. That’s too big for this spot, and the wind is cross-onshore. The 1st of August is just plain huge – 16ft to 18ft – way beyond what any beginner should be lookin’ at.
Then we get a nice little window from the 3rd of August onward. Monday the 3rd morning has a clean 5ft SE swell with an offshore breeze – very good conditions. The 4th of August is also a winner: glassy, light winds, and a 4ft to 4ft SE swell. Nice and clean.
The 5th of August brings a surprise – a 3ft to 4ft SSW swell with a very long 15-second period, and glassy conditions. That’s a rare treat for a beach break, but that long period means it’ll really only work well at the points or reefs. Combined energy is moderate (636 to 919). For the experienced surfer, this is a promising, if a little uncertain, long-range standout.
So, overall: the best waves are Monday the 27th afternoon and Tuesday the 28th morning, with the 3rd and 4th of August offerin’ clean, smaller options. The 5th of August is a promising but less certain call for the experienced crew.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, strong winds from the SSW by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 10°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sat morning, calm by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | NE 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 10 | S 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
213 | 169 | 115 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 169 | 1613 | 2519 | 692 | 561 | 406 | 273 | 361 | 608 | 1143 | 1111 | 1111 | 1043 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross | off | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | on | off |
High Tide | 10:35AM1.70m | 10:55PM1.65m | 11:30AM1.69m | 11:49PM1.61m | 12:21PM1.69m | 00:38AM1.60m | 1:08PM1.71m | 1:24AM1.61m | 1:52PM1.74m | 2:07AM1.63m | 2:34PM1.77m | 2:49AM1.65m | 3:15PM1.80m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:42PM0.40m | 5:04AM0.36m | 5:35PM0.45m | 5:54AM0.39m | 6:26PM0.47m | 6:40AM0.41m | 7:14PM0.48m | 7:25AM0.40m | 7:59PM0.46m | 8:09AM0.38m | 8:43PM0.43m | 8:52AM0.35m | 9:25PM0.40m | ||||||||
7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | |
— | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 9 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 8 | -2 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | NE 5 | SSW 8 | ESE 12 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | SE 18 | SE 16 | S 8 | ESE 14 | S 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 |
213 | 169 | 115 | 30 | 21 | 12 | 14 | 288 | 169 | 24 | 150 | 261 | 368 | 253 | 221 | 361 | 608 | 1143 | 1111 | 1111 | 1043 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | ESE 12 | SSW 17 | SE 13 | ENE 8 | SSW 15 | ESE 15 | E 11 | ESE 13 | SSW 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SW 10 | SW 9 |
49 | 18 | 13 | 30 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 58 | 43 | 26 | 131 | 272 | 57 | 273 | 85 | 250 | 135 | 68 | 47 | 21 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | NNE 4 | ESE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | ESE 11 | SSW 7 | S 8 | SE 13 | E 14 | ENE 13 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | SSW 14 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SSE 8 | NNE 4 |
7 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 16 | 49 | 40 | 66 | 47 | 72 | 52 | 37 | 37 | 22 | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 3 | NE 4 | NNW 3 | N 5 | NNE 6 | — | NW 4 | SSW 8 | SSW 10 | S 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | — | NW 3 | — | — | — | N 3 | SSE 4 |
— | — | 1 | 11 | 6 | 117 | 265 | — | 6 | 1613 | 2519 | 692 | 561 | 406 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 6 | 32 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 171 | 3 | 5 | 163 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 44 km (27 miles) away.










