
Surf Forecasts:
Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, S swell with 7,687 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 13s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here, lookin' at the surf ahead for the next couple of weeks. Things are gonna kick off with a real nice little window, but then we've got a wild, dangerous stretch before it settles back down into some good, clean waves.
Alright, the first good news is for this Wednesday, the 29th of July. We're starting with a lovely little pulse at Hickory-Bay (Banks Peninsula). Wednesday morning we've got a solid 5ft of swell coming from the ESE, with a long 13-second period and a light north offshore breeze. That's a groundswell, meaning proper energy and shape. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual. The combined energy is a moderate 889, and it's looking clean. Wednesday afternoon gets even better – the wind goes glassy, flat calm, and the swell holds at 5ft from the ESE with a 12-second period. The energy bumps up to 966. This is easily the best on offer for the first few days. Crowds are only a *sometimes* thing here, so you've got a good chance of getting a few waves to yourself.
Thursday the 30th is still clean but the swell is dropping. Morning sees a 3ft swell from the ESE with a 12-second period, and a fresh offshore from the NNW at 16 mph. The energy is down to a moderate 439. It's still surfable, but the wind is getting up there. That afternoon, the wind hits 22 mph from the north, which is a fresh offshore but makes it tricky. The swell is only 3ft, so it's a bit of a struggle.
Friday the 31st of July we see the quality drop off. The swell is tiny, the wind is all over the place, and it's not worth paddling out for. We then hit a big gap. From Friday afternoon right through to Monday morning, the 3rd of August, there's nothing worth recommending. The swell gets huge, up to 13ft on the 1st of August, but it's onshore, messy, and dangerous. That Saturday the 1st of August, the combined energy is a massive 3466 with a strong SSW onshore wind. That's a forget-it day unless you're a kite surfer, but even then it's wild.
Now, Monday the 3rd of August is where it gets interesting again. The morning brings a clean 4ft SE swell with an 11-second period, light offshore winds, and a moderate energy of 717. It's a great little window. But the standout for the second week is actually that Monday afternoon – the swell is predicted to be 8ft from the SSW with a 14-second period, and the energy is a very strong 2869. However, the wind is a cross-offshore, and it's clean. The problem is, that 8ft is getting big for this spot, and it's noted as potentially too big for this break. It's a bit of a gamble, but if you're an expert, it could be a ripper if the winds hold.
The rest of that week into the 7th and 8th of August gets messy again with big, onshore swells. The energy numbers are massive – over 13,000 on the 4th – but it's all cross-onshore and choppy. Not our scene.
Finally, we get a proper run of good surf from Friday the 7th of August onwards. Friday morning has a clean 5ft SE swell with a 12-second period, light offshore winds, and a moderate energy of 728. That's a solid session. Friday afternoon is glassy and clean. Saturday the 8th of August is smaller but clean, and Sunday the 9th has a glassy morning with a 4ft ESE swell. The period is short at 7 seconds, so it's a bit weaker, but it's clean. That runs right through to Wednesday the 12th of August, which has a clean 6ft SSE swell with a 9-second period and a moderate energy of 790. That's a great way to end the forecast period.
So, if you're looking for the best of the best, you've got two windows: this Wednesday the 29th of July is the absolute standout for the first week. For the second week, keep an eye on Monday the 3rd of August afternoon for a big, clean swell if you're experienced, and then the whole run from Friday the 7th of August through to Wednesday the 12th of August looks like a solid stretch of clean, fun waves.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, strong winds from the SSW by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 10°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Fri night, calm by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | E 11 | SE 15 | SSW 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
929 | 703 | 558 | 439 | 298 | 224 | 167 | 89 | 82 | 3118 | 3289 | 2701 | 1283 | 1124 | 917 | 556 | 288 | 2724 | 3017 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on |
High Tide | 3:29AM1.67m | 3:55PM1.81m | 4:09AM1.67m | 4:35PM1.81m | 4:49AM1.67m | 5:14PM1.80m | 5:30AM1.66m | 5:54PM1.77m | 6:11AM1.65m | 6:35PM1.74m | 6:55AM1.64m | 7:18PM1.71m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:25PM0.40m | 9:34AM0.32m | 10:07PM0.37m | 10:16AM0.29m | 10:49PM0.35m | 10:58AM0.29m | 11:30PM0.34m | 11:41AM0.29m | 00:12AM0.34m | 12:25PM0.31m | 00:56AM0.34m | 1:12PM0.33m | 1:40AM0.34m | ||||||
— | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | 5 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | -5 | -4 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | E 11 | NNE 6 | SE 14 | SE 16 | SE 15 | S 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 |
929 | 703 | 558 | 439 | 298 | 224 | 167 | 89 | 80 | 130 | 151 | 209 | 1283 | 1124 | 917 | 556 | 288 | 137 | 59 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | NE 5 | SSW 17 | NE 6 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | E 11 | NE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 13 | SW 10 | ENE 16 | SW 9 | SSW 11 | NNE 6 | NE 13 |
39 | 28 | 381 | 38 | 141 | 65 | 28 | 23 | 58 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 400 | 25 | 25 | 61 | 247 | 3 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | SSW 14 | NE 5 | SSW 14 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SE 15 | E 11 | ENE 9 | NE 18 | NE 17 | NE 16 | ENE 16 | S 20 | S 19 | NE 14 | — |
5 | 158 | 27 | 165 | — | 49 | 42 | 36 | 82 | 36 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 25 | 67 | 182 | 8 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNE 5 | — | — | N 5 | N 5 | NNE 6 | NNE 7 | NW 4 | SSW 10 | S 11 | S 11 | SW 10 | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | WNW 3 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 |
— | 52 | — | — | 119 | 70 | 218 | 268 | 14 | 3118 | 3289 | 2701 | 527 | — | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2724 | 3017 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 27 | 30 | 16 | 220 | 216 | 216 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 36 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Banks Peninsula - Hickory Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 44 km (27 miles) away.










