Surf Forecasts:
Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 17s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 17s period, SSE swell with 267 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 1 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:
The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 0.7m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 12s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty checking in with a look at the next couple of weeks for Taylors Mistake. It’s a bit of a quiet stretch ahead, so let’s get into it.
Right up front, I’ve got to say it: the next 16 days aren’t looking like anything to write home about. We’ve got a long, drawn-out run of modest swells and a lot of wind that’s not playing ball. The water temp is sitting at 51°F right now, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – not a bad thing if you’re getting in, but you’ll still want a decent spring suit.
The best chance we’ve got lands on Tuesday morning, September 1st. It’s a small, clean drop with a 3ft SSE swell running at 13 seconds, and a light westerly offshore breeze keeping the surface glassy. Combined wave energy is moderate at 203, so there’s a bit of push behind it. It’s not big, and it’s not going to blow your mind, but if you’re after a gentle paddle with clean lines, that’s your window. The rest of Tuesday is a write-off with a cross-onshore breeze.
Wednesday morning the 2nd offers a similar 2ft SSE swell, a bit longer period at 17 seconds, and a cross-off wind. The energy is still moderate (246), but the conditions are just ordinary. The swell is small and clean, but lacks any real punch.
Thursday morning the 3rd looks glassy but the swell is tiny at 3ft from the north with a period of only 4 seconds – that’s barely a ripple (combined energy 39). The rest of the week is a mixed bag of small, weak swells and fresh winds, and by the 6th and 7th of September, the wind is strong, making things messy.
The second week doesn’t offer much hope either. We’re looking at small, inconsistent swells and mostly poor conditions. The 12th of September (Saturday morning) has a 2ft easterly swell with a period of 11 seconds and an offshore breeze, but it’s still just ordinary. Energy is moderate at 193.
Honestly, this is a period where the forecast doesn’t show any real standout. The breaks are fairly consistent here, so it’s rare to have such a blank run, but it happens. Keep an eye on the charts – things can change. For now, keep the board waxed and wait.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 5°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the N by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, strong winds from the SW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | SSE 14 | SSE 17 | SSE 17 | SSE 14 | SE 12 | N 4 | E 10 | NNE 4 | NE 6 | ENE 9 | ENE 7 | SE 10 | N 3 | N 4 | NE 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 201 | 163 | 267 | 243 | 105 | 37 | 23 | 3 | 19 | 75 | 54 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 94 | 161 | 35 | 8 | 7 | 131 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:37PM2.25m | 8:07AM2.29m | 8:33PM2.24m | 8:59AM2.32m | 9:30PM2.23m | 9:53AM2.35m | 10:26PM2.23m | 10:49AM2.37m | 11:21PM2.24m | 11:47AM2.38m | 00:16AM2.25m | 12:43PM2.38m | 1:11AM2.28m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:19PM0.49m | 1:48AM0.50m | 2:11PM0.53m | 2:39AM0.51m | 3:09PM0.56m | 3:36AM0.52m | 4:09PM0.57m | 4:34AM0.50m | 5:11PM0.53m | 5:31AM0.45m | 6:09PM0.47m | 6:25AM0.40m | 7:03PM0.41m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | |  | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
Feels °C | 6 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 8 | -1 | 2 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | SSE 14 | SSE 17 | SSE 17 | SSE 14 | SE 12 | SSE 11 | SE 9 | SE 10 | S 9 | ENE 9 | NW 4 | SE 10 | NE 7 | SE 9 | S 18 | ENE 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 12 |
| kJ | 201 | 163 | 267 | 243 | 105 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 161 | 35 | 8 | 7 | 131 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | SE 17 | NNE 4 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | S 11 | E 11 | E 11 | N 5 | NNE 4 | NE 8 | SE 9 | E 10 | — | S 17 | S 16 | — | — | NE 9 |
| kJ | 2 | 72 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | 6 | 5 | — | — | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 9 | E 12 | — | — | SE 12 | E 11 | E 10 | S 18 | S 16 | S 9 | ENE 7 | S 13 | S 14 | S 17 | — | S 9 | S 16 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | — | 14 | 45 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | — | — | N 4 | NNW 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 3 | NNE 4 | NE 6 | W 4 | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | NE 5 | NW 4 | NW 3 | SSW 4 | S 13 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 5 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 18 | 23 | 11 | 19 | 75 | 14 | — | — | 5 | 13 | 94 | 14 | 3 | 44 | 276 | 3003 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 0 | 22 | 31 | 31 | 151 | 31 | 22 | 31 | 31 | 64 | 32 | 150 | 4 | 186 | 342 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.
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