Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Taylors Mistake over the next couple of weeks. The water temp is sitting right around 49°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The outlook starts off pretty grim. Monday the 10th through to the end of the following week is mostly a write-off. We’ve got small, weak swell and the wind is just not playing ball. Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th are particularly poor, with onshore and cross-on winds mushing up what little bump there is. The swell is tiny and the energy is weak (62-230 range). Don’t bother paddling out for those.

There’s a brief flicker on Thursday the 13th morning – a jump in swell to 7ft from the ENE, with a short 8-second period pushing combined energy up to 764. That’s a solid moderate pulse, but the wind is onshore and the conditions are messy. It’ll be a bumpy, choppy affair, really only for the keen or the kited-out crew. The afternoon drops off fast.

We get a bit of a reprieve from Friday the 14th through to Tuesday the 18th. The wind swings offshore or cross-off from the SW and WSW, cleaning things up nicely. The waves are small though, mostly 2ft to 3ft from the E, with periods around 8-10 seconds. The energy is moderate (109-192 range). It’s surfable, but very ordinary. Not a standout, but if you’re desperate for a paddle, the mornings are your best bet.

Now, the real highlight, and the one to circle on your calendar, is Wednesday the 19th of August. This is the standout. We’ve got a solid 5ft swell from the SSE, with a very long 16-17 second period. The combined energy absolutely pumps up to 1186 in the morning and 1764 in the afternoon – that’s strong to very strong energy. The wind is a clean cross-off from the SW and SSW, keeping it tidy. This is a proper groundswell, and on a setup like Taylors, it’s going to produce some seriously good, powerful waves. This one’s for the experienced surfers. The afternoon session is the best on offer across the whole forecast.

Thursday the 20th is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning goes glassy, with a 3ft SE swell and 10-second period, energy at 242. It’s surfable, but nothing special. The afternoon gets bigger again at 6ft from the SE, but the onshore ENE wind chops it up.

Friday the 21st is another solid session. Clean offshore wind in the morning from the WSW at 6 mph, with a 4ft SE swell at 10 seconds. The energy is moderate to strong (340). The afternoon goes glassy with the same 4ft swell. These are going to be clean, fun waves.

The weekend of the 22nd and 23rd is small and weak again, but Sunday the 23rd morning has a nice clean offshore wind from the WSW, with a 3ft SSE swell at a long 14-second period. The energy is 516, so it’s got some punch. It’ll be clean and lined up, but small.

The final run from Monday the 24th to Tuesday the 25th is back to poor conditions with onshore winds and choppy surf. Not worth the effort.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is mostly a dud. The standout is Wednesday the 19th of August – that’s the day. Friday the 21st is your next best bet for clean, fun waves. Keep your eyes on the long-range for Sunday the 23rd morning too.

Rusty.

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