Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at Taylors Mistake are a mixed bag, and you’ll need to pick your moments. The first few days are a write-off, but there’s a nice little window of clean, glassy conditions shaping up for the weekend and into next week.

We start off with a bit of a dud. Monday the 13th is a no-go – messy cross-shore wind at 19 mph and a weak, short-period swell of 3 ft from the NNE. The water temp is sitting at 50°, which is about 1° warmer than usual – nothing crazy, just a touch on the mild side for this time of year. Tuesday and Wednesday are tiny and poor, with wind swingin' around and swell barely a ripple. You’d be better off doin' something else.

Thursday morning the 16th sees a faint pulse of long-period groundswell, 1 ft from the E at 16 seconds, but it’s weak and the wind is cross-off – surfable, but very ordinary. The energy is low, just 63 (combined energy), so don’t get excited.

Now, Friday the 17th – this is where it gets interesting. Early morning, clear skies, light offshore from the NW, and a clean 3 ft of east swell with a 16-second period. The combined energy jumps to 347 (moderate energy). That’s a proper groundswell, and with offshore wind, Taylors will have some long, peeling lines. This is a standout for the small-wave crew. The long period means it’ll be a bit fat and straight at the beach, but Taylors is a reefy point, so it should hold up well. Just be aware that this spot can get a crowd sometimes, so get in early.

Saturday the 18th morning is the real gem. Glassy conditions, 3 ft of east swell at 15 seconds, and a combined energy of 435 (moderate to strong). This is the best on offer in the whole outlook – clean, glassy, and proper groundswell. It’s not too big for anyone, but with that long period, the sets will have some punch. Perfect for a longboard or a funboard.

Sunday the 19th is still good, with a light offshore and 2 ft of east swell at 13 seconds, but the energy drops to 261. Still clean, but not as much juice. The following week (from Monday the 20th) fades into small, weak surf, mostly under 2 ft, with a mix of glassy mornings and onshore afternoons. The energy dips back into the double digits, so it’s pretty ordinary.

The second week sees a few small pulses – Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd have some 2-2 ft east-southeast swell with glassy mornings, but the period is shorter (10-12 seconds) and the energy is low. Friday the 24th is tiny and poor. The weekend of the 26th is weak, but then Monday the 27th shows a bit of promise: 3 ft of east swell at 13 seconds, glassy, with a combined energy of 340 (moderate). That’s a late standout, but it’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it – long-range and promising, but not certain.

Overall, your best bet is Saturday the 18th morning – glassy, 3 ft of east groundswell, clean and fun. Friday the 17th morning is a close second. The rest is either too small, too windy, or just average.

Rusty.

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