Surf Forecasts:
Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 12s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period, NE swell with 77 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 12s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:
The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 0.7m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, Rusty here. Let’s run through the numbers in the old-school way.
It’s looking grim for the next couple weeks. You’re staring at a major dry spell. From now right through until the morning of Friday, September 11th, every single session is poor. That’s more than a week of tiny, weak surf and messy wind. Leave the boards on the rack.
The first day that even gets a nod is Friday, September 11th in the morning at Taylors Mistake. The swell is tiny – 0.7ft from the SSE with a very long period of 20 seconds. That gives it some grunt, but it’s barely above the knee. The combined energy is 70 (moderate wave energy), which is funny for such a small wave. The real win here is the glassy wind. After a week of junk, a clean flat surface is something. Taylors is a beginner spot, fairly consistent, and open to the ENE, but this swell direction from the SSE isn’t its ideal. Still, for a quick, clean splash on a micro wave, this is your best option.
Further out, the morning of Thursday, September 17th also nudges up. We’ve got 1.0ft from the ESE with a 16-second period and combined energy of 75 (moderate wave energy). The wind is a clean cross-off from the WNW. Again, it’s surfable but very ordinary – same story as the 11th, but later.
Water temp at Taylors Mistake is 51°F, which is 2°F warmer than average for this time of year. That’s a bit unusual – a touch warmer than you’d normally feel.
Save your energy for something better, mate. The forecasts could change, but right now, there’s nothing special on offer.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri morning, calm by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sun night, light winds from the WSW by Mon night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 14 | SE 12 | N 4 | N 4 | NNE 4 | ENE 5 | NE 9 | SE 11 | N 4 | E 7 | N 4 | N 4 | NNE 4 | NE 9 | S 3 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | S 3 | SE 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 121 | 37 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 19 | 21 | 77 | 15 | 35 | 23 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:33PM2.24m | 8:59AM2.32m | 9:30PM2.23m | 9:53AM2.35m | 10:26PM2.23m | 10:49AM2.37m | 11:21PM2.24m | 11:47AM2.38m | 00:16AM2.25m | 12:43PM2.38m | 1:11AM2.28m | 1:38PM2.39m | 2:05AM2.30m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:39AM0.51m | 3:09PM0.56m | 3:36AM0.52m | 4:09PM0.57m | 4:34AM0.50m | 5:11PM0.53m | 5:31AM0.45m | 6:09PM0.47m | 6:25AM0.40m | 7:03PM0.41m | 7:19AM0.35m | 7:54PM0.36m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | 6:01 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 14 | SE 12 | SSE 11 | SE 9 | SE 10 | ENE 5 | NE 9 | NE 6 | N 4 | S 15 | S 18 | S 18 | S 17 | NE 9 | ENE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | NE 5 | NE 4 | SE 8 |
| kJ | 121 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 77 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 29 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | S 11 | S 19 | NNE 4 | S 9 | SE 11 | E 10 | E 7 | E 10 | E 11 | SSW 10 | N 3 | — | ENE 7 | S 14 | SE 8 | E 9 | E 9 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 1 | — | 5 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 12 | E 11 | E 10 | S 14 | NE 8 | E 11 | E 10 | SE 10 | S 9 | — | — | NE 11 | NNW 3 | — | S 15 | — | SE 10 | E 16 | NE 5 |
| kJ | — | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 17 | — | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NNE 4 | NW 3 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NNE 4 | SW 2 | S 3 | — | ENE 3 | NNW 3 | S 3 | — |
| kJ | 9 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 28 | 7 | 19 | 14 | 27 | 19 | 21 | 2 | 15 | — | 6 | 1 | 14 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 162 | 185 | 31 | 31 | 36 | 31 | 133 | 31 | 90 | 181 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 22 | 31 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.
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