Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. Rusty here.

First up, we're looking at Taylors Mistake and I gotta be straight with you—this 16-day window is a real struggle. There's a big, dry gap right at the start with nothing worth paddling out for. The first few days from Sunday the 30th through to the end of the first week are mostly flat or tiny, with poor surf conditions. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing to write home about.

It's not until Wednesday morning, September 2nd that we finally see a pulse of energy. The swell lifts to 2ft from the SSE with a very long period of 17 seconds, and the combined energy hits 261 (moderate wave energy). The wind is glassy, coming from the NNE at 5 km/h, so it'll be clean. This is a long-period groundswell, which will wrap in nicely here at this fairly exposed spot. The break is fairly consistent and works best with an ENE swell direction, so this SSE swell is a bit off-angle, but the size and quality of the swell should still produce some fun, clean waves. The crowd factor is "sometimes," so expect a few others out.

Thursday morning, September 3rd, the wind turns cross-on from the NE at 15 km/h, and the swell drops to 2ft with a short period of 8 seconds. The energy is weak at 47. It's a downgrade.

Friday morning, September 4th, is another no-go with tiny 2ft swell and a period of just 5 seconds. The afternoon goes offshore but the swell is practically non-existent at 0.3ft.

The next real standout is Wednesday morning, September 10th. We get a tiny 2ft swell from the ENE with a 7-second period, but the wind is glassy offshore from the W at 5 km/h. The combined energy is only 30, so it's weak, but it will be clean and surfable for beginners. This is a long-range call, so less certain.

The best of the bunch, the one true standout, is Monday morning, September 14th. The swell is a tiny 0.7ft from the SSE, but the period is a massive 18 seconds, and the combined energy sits at 56. The wind is glassy offshore from the WNW at 5 km/h. The waves will be small, but with that long period and clean conditions, it could be a sneaky good session for a log or a mid-length. Again, this is a long way out, so keep an eye on the charts.

Overall, this is a pretty bleak run. For a spot that's fairly consistent, it's a real bummer. The only real highlights are those two glassy mornings with the long-period swell. Keep the board waxed and hope the forecasts change.

Rusty.

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