Surf Forecasts:
Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period, E swell with 482 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:
The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 1.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s talk Taylors Mistake in feet and miles per hour.
The first few days are a bust. Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th have tiny, messy waves – nothing worth suiting up for. The swell energy is weak, and the wind is all over the place.
Sunday the 26th shows a little life. The morning has a 2ft easterly swell with a 15-second period, a nice long groundswell, and light offshore wind. The energy is moderate at 217. Still pretty ordinary, but you could find a few. The afternoon drops to 2ft but stays clean.
Monday the 27th morning is glassy calm with a 2ft easterly swell at 13 seconds. The combined energy is 320 – a solid step up. This is a real standout. That glassy wind and clean, long-period swell will give you the best ride of the early period. Water temp is about normal for this time of year.
Tuesday the 28th is the pick of the bunch. The morning jumps to 4ft from the east, 14 seconds, glassy. Energy is 469. The afternoon is just as good, still glassy and 4ft. The swell direction is close to the optimum ENE, so it’ll line up well. This is the best window in the whole 16 days. Crowds are possible, as it’s a popular spot when it’s good.
Wednesday the 29th morning is still glassy with 3ft of east swell, 13 seconds, and energy of 269. The afternoon gets a bit wind-affected but still rideable.
From Thursday the 30th onward, it’s small. Mostly 1ft to 2ft, with occasional clean windows. The 5th of August has a morning with 2ft SSE swell, 14 seconds, glassy, and energy 130 – worth a look if you’re keen.
The 8th of August morning shows a 2ft SSE swell with a very long 19-second period and energy of 201. That’s a long-period groundswell, which can be tricky at a beach break, but Taylors is a reef, so it might handle it. Light cross-off wind. It’s a promising long-range call, but it’s over a week away.
The standout is Tuesday the 28th, with Monday the 27th and Wednesday the 29th morning close behind. The rest is mostly small and average, with a few clean moments for the patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 3°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Fri night, light winds from the SSW by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 3°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | N 4 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 7 | ESE 18 | E 16 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 14 | 18 | 74 | 68 | 19 | 61 | 132 | 212 | 148 | 130 | 171 | 229 | 388 | 469 | 442 | 345 | 263 | 193 | 171 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:13AM2.14m | 12:42PM2.23m | 1:02AM2.11m | 1:30PM2.22m | 1:51AM2.09m | 2:18PM2.22m | 2:39AM2.08m | 3:03PM2.21m | 3:23AM2.08m | 3:47PM2.20m | 4:05AM2.07m | 4:29PM2.19m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:24AM0.69m | 7:05PM0.79m | 7:08AM0.73m | 7:52PM0.79m | 7:52AM0.75m | 8:36PM0.78m | 8:38AM0.74m | 9:18PM0.76m | 9:26AM0.70m | 10:00PM0.73m | 10:12AM0.65m | 10:43PM0.68m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 6 | 9 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 6 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | ENE 5 | SE 13 | ENE 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 16 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 13 |
| kJ | 2 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 19 | 21 | 132 | 212 | 148 | 130 | 171 | 229 | 388 | 469 | 442 | 345 | 263 | 193 | 171 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | E 12 | S 9 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | SE 8 | SE 6 | SE 6 | ENE 11 | SE 6 | SE 6 | S 7 | S 10 | SW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | S 17 | ENE 4 | S 17 |
| kJ | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 46 | 27 | 20 | 37 | 22 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 9 | S 14 | — | E 19 | ESE 18 | ENE 12 | S 15 | ESE 6 | S 14 | E 12 | S 12 | — | — | — | NE 5 | — | SSE 17 | — |
| kJ | 3 | 2 | 4 | — | 7 | 61 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 148 | 12 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 29 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | N 4 | NE 9 | SW 4 | S 3 | SW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NNW 4 | NNE 5 |
| kJ | 14 | 18 | 74 | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 13 | 46 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 308 | 162 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.
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