Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag ahead over the next two weeks at Taylors Mistake, so let’s break it down.

The forecast starts with a few days of pretty ordinary small surf, and you’ll be waiting until at least the weekend before anything really gets going. The best of the bunch is going to be Saturday afternoon, August 1st, and then Friday morning, August 7th. Those are the two standouts to pencil in.

For the first few days, Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st of July are pretty flat and messy. The swell is tiny, around 1 ft to 2 ft from the east, with a short period of 12 seconds. The wind is a moderate cross or cross-shore breeze, so it’s not clean, and the wave energy is weak (164 to 88). The water temp is about 49°, which is right on the mark for this time of year, nothing unusual.

Now, Saturday the 1st of August shows some promise. The morning is a bit average with rain showers and a 3 ft swell from the southeast, but the afternoon is where it’s at. We get a 3 ft swell from the same southeast direction, 12-second period, and a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the southwest. The combined energy is moderate (309), and the conditions are clean. This is a beginner-friendly break, so it’s a good chance for a paddle. The swell direction is not quite the optimum ENE, but it’s workable.

Sunday the 2nd of August starts clean with a light offshore, but the swell drops to 3 ft, so it’s only average. The rest of the week into Monday and Tuesday is small and windy, with a few clean spells but nothing special. Tuesday the 4th brings strong breezes (28 mph) from the southwest, so even with the cross-offshore wind, it’s not going to be fun.

Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th of August are small and clean, with a 2 ft swell and glassy conditions on Thursday morning (3 mph from the southwest), but the wave energy is low (90). It’s surfable, but only just.

Now, here’s the standout: Friday morning, the 7th of August. The swell jumps to 4 ft from the SSE, with a 9-second period, and it’s nearly glassy (3 mph from the northeast). The combined energy is moderate (295), and the conditions are clean. For a beginner spot like Taylors Mistake, this is your best shot. The swell is a bit of a short period, but the glassy wind makes up for it. Crowds are sometimes a thing here, so expect a few locals out.

After that, the surf fades again. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th of August run into small, cross-onshore slop, with the swell dropping to 3 ft and then 2 ft. The second week, from the 10th to the 14th, is mostly small and weak, with a few clean spells but nothing that gets the heart racing. The 13th of August afternoon sees a possible 6 ft swell from the ENE, but it’s a short period (7 seconds) and the wind is cross-offshore, so it’s a bit wild and more for the experienced. The energy is strong (474), but it’s marginal for a beginner break.

That’s the picture. Get out there on Saturday afternoon or Friday morning the 7th, and you’ll have a decent time.

Rusty.

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