Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Taylors Mistake over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, the first week is a bit of a struggle. For the first few days, we’ve got tiny waves and messy conditions, so don’t get your hopes up for a quick paddle. The first real chance of a surf comes on Saturday, July 11th, but it’s nothing to write home about. You’ll find small 3ft waves from the east with a 10-second period, and the water is sitting at 51°F, which is about normal for this time of year. The wind is offshore from the WSW, so the surface will be clean, but there’s very little energy in the water (combined energy of 151). It’s surfable, but only just.

Sunday the 12th drops off even more, with glassy conditions in the morning but only 2ft of east swell, and the energy is pitiful at 41. It’s a flat spell from there through the middle of the week. Monday through Wednesday are all small, choppy, or cross-shore – nothing worth jumping in for. The wind is all over the shop, and the swell is inconsistent with short periods down to 4 seconds.

The light at the end of the tunnel starts appearing on Thursday, July 16th. The afternoon brings a glassy surface with 2ft from the east, but the period jumps to 16 seconds, which is a long period groundswell. The energy is picking up to 123, and it’s described as surfable, but still very ordinary. Friday the 17th is a bit better: 2ft east swell at 15 seconds, light offshore wind from the west, and the energy is climbing to 235. The waves are still small, but the quality is improving.

Now, the real standout is Saturday, July 18th. The morning is looking glassy with a light NW breeze, 3ft of east swell at a very long 15-second period, and the combined energy is a solid 290. This is the best window of the first week – clean, smooth, and that groundswell will wrap into the point nicely. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, so the size is manageable for most. Just keep in mind, with that long period, the sets will be spaced out, but the shape should be good for the point.

Sunday the 19th is another cracker. Morning offshore wind from the WNW, 3ft of south-east swell at 14 seconds, and the energy jumps up to 364. That’s a proper little pulse. The conditions are clean, and the swell direction is right in the sweet spot for Taylors. This is likely the best of the whole run – glassy, clean, and with enough push to make it fun.

After that, the surf backs off again. Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st drop back to small 1ft waves, with Tuesday afternoon getting a bit of a messy 4ft from the north-east but with cross-onshore wind and a short period, so it’s not great.

The second week gets a bit more interesting, but it’s a mixed bag. Wednesday the 22nd is glassy but tiny. Thursday the 23rd has a bump in size – 5ft from the east-northeast in the afternoon – but the wind is cross-onshore and the period is short, so it’s choppy. Friday the 24th morning sees a pulse of 8ft from the north-east, but that’s too big for beginners and the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s really only for the experienced crew. The energy is huge at 1045, but the conditions are marginal.

The last few days, Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th, settle back to 3ft to 4ft from the east, with better periods around 10-11 seconds. The morning of the 26th has light cross-onshore wind and 394 combined energy, but the wind picks up in the afternoon, so the morning window is your best bet.

Overall, the best of the bunch is Sunday, July 19th, with the Saturday the 18th a close second. Get in early for those clean, glassy mornings.

Rusty.

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