Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve had a proper look at the next 16 days for Taylors Mistake, and I gotta be straight with you—it’s a pretty lean run. There’s no real standout, world-class day in the mix, just a few windows where you might get a half-decent paddle if you’re keen and not too fussy.

The first bit of surf worth talking about is this Friday afternoon, the 31st of July. We’ve got tiny 1ft waves from the east, with a long period of 11 seconds. The water’s sitting at 50°, which is about average for this time of year. The wind is a gentle offshore from the west, so it’ll be clean. But let’s be real, the energy is weak (84), so it’s more of a longboard or a foamie kind of session. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, but it’s not going to blow your mind.

Then we move into Saturday and Sunday, the 1st and 2nd of August. The swell bumps up a touch to 3ft, coming from the southeast, with a nice long period of 13 seconds. The combined energy climbs into the moderate range (342 and 220). The mornings look clean with offshore or light winds, but the afternoons get a bit messy with cross-onshore breezes. It’s surfable, but it’s ordinary. You’ll get a few, but it’s not worth cancelling plans for.

Midweek, around the 4th and 5th of August, we see a bit of a pulse. Tuesday morning has 3ft swell from the south-southeast, a very long period of 16 seconds, and moderate energy (313). The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean. Wednesday morning is glassy with 2ft from the southeast. That 16-second period means proper groundswell, which can make the waves a bit walled at a beach break like Taylors, but the clean conditions might give you a few lined-up runners. Still, the size is small, so it’s a longboarder’s dream, not a shortboarder’s.

Now, there’s a big gap of nothing much from the 6th through the 11th of August. Wind is all over the shop, mostly cross-onshore, and the swell is tiny or just messy. It’s a write-off for a solid week.

The next flicker of hope comes on Wednesday the 12th of August. The swell jumps up to 5ft from the east, with a 12-second period. The combined energy is strong (705). That’s a decent size for Taylors, but it’s pushing into the “too big for beginners” territory. The problem is the wind—it’s cross-onshore in the morning and cross-shore in the afternoon, so it’s going to be lumpy and choppy. For the experienced crew, there might be some bigger, powerful waves, but the conditions will be a battle. It’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle session.

The tail end of the 16 days, around the 14th and 15th of August, offers some relief. Friday the 14th has glassy conditions with a 2ft swell from the east and east-northeast, with moderate energy (112 and 174). The wind is calm or a light offshore. It’s clean, small, and fun for a mellow session. Saturday the 15th is similar, with tiny waves (2ft) and glassy conditions in the afternoon.

So, if I had to pick the best of a pretty average bunch, I’d say Wednesday morning the 5th of August is your best bet. It’s glassy, clean, and that 2ft groundswell will have a bit of push. The other pick is Friday the 14th—again, glassy conditions and clean little waves. Neither is a standout, but they’re the clearest windows in a cloudy forecast.

Stay hopeful, mates. The surf will come back.

Rusty.

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