Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Sunday 15 Mar 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
17.0° C
(Which is 3.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Mar 16) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 1.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Mar 22) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Mar 18) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 16th Mar)1ft (0.3m) 18s
Best Surf 7AM (Sun 22nd Mar)5ft (1.5m) 9s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sun 22nd Mar)5ft (1.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 21°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
Saturday
21
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.5
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.2
SSE
0.2
SSE
0.4
ENE
0.4
ENE
0.5
ENE
0.8
NE
0.5
ENE
0.5
ENE
0.6
E
0.5
E
0.5
ENE
0.4
ENE
0.3
ENE
0.3
ENE
0.6
SSE
0.7
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.9
ENE
0.9
ENE
Period(s) (?)98171788856677666581010109
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)44632929242032252023392423116653102125129141
Wind
(km/h)
15
ENE
15
ENE
10
WSW
10
ENE
10
E
5
ENE
20
E
15
NE
25
NW
10
SE
0
WSW
15
ENE
20
ENE
10
ESE
10
SW
10
E
10
E
10
ENE
15
E
15
ENE
5
NW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
oncross-
on
offononglassoncross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
on
glassononcross-
on
cross-
off
ononcross-
on
ononglass
High Tide
/ height (m)
3:03AM
2.16
3:26PM
2.09
3:48AM
2.21
4:11PM
2.15
4:33AM
2.27
4:55PM
2.22
5:17AM
2.32
5:40PM
2.29
6:04AM
2.37
6:31PM
2.35
6:54AM
2.39
7:26PM
2.41
7:50AM
2.38
Low Tide
/ height (m)
8:40PM
0.66
9:15AM
0.63
9:31PM
0.59
10:00AM
0.55
10:21PM
0.52
10:45AM
0.49
11:08PM
0.45
11:33AM
0.44
11:55PM
0.40
12:22PM
0.40
12:43AM
0.37
1:11PM
0.39
1:35AM
0.39
Sun
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
Saturday
21
Sunrise--7:24--7:26--7:26--7:28--7:30--7:31--7:31
Sunset7:51--7:49--7:46--7:45--7:44--7:42--7:39--
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
Rain (mm)
----------2----------
Temp. °C161518191515151720211414141417161415161420
Feels °C (?)131216161313121415191411111316141314141219
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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