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Surf Forecasts:

Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Friday 20 Mar 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
16.8° C
 (Which is 3.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Mar 21) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Mar 28) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 15s period and expected on Saturday (Mar 21) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sat 21st Mar)3.5ft (1.1m) 11s
Best Surf 1AM (Sat 28th Mar)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 1AM (Sat 28th Mar)10ft (3.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent 
16 DaysHourly
Print Table

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Mon afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the NE by Thu morning).

Fri
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
Monday
23
Tuesday
24
Wednesday
25
Thursday
26
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
See all maps
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.9
ENE
1.1
ENE
1.1
E
1.6
ENE
0.8
E
0.9
E
0.8
E
0.7
E
0.6
E
0.7
E
0.6
ENE
0.6
ENE
1
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.3
ESE
0.3
ESE
1.1
ENE
1.5
ENE
1.9
ENE
1.8
ENE
Period(s) (?)1212111010101010995667713125799
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)2103432915771301611239063831731853738332759217512537
Wind
(km/h)
10
E
5
ENE
10
NE
15
ENE
15
ENE
5
ENE
15
E
5
ESE
10
ENE
20
ENE
15
E
5
W
10
E
10
ESE
10
SW
5
SSW
15
E
30
NE
35
NE
40
NE
35
NE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
onglasscross-
on		oncross-
on		glassonglasscross-
on		ononglassononcross-
off		glassoncross-
on		cross-
on		cross-
on		cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:31PM
2.35
6:54AM
2.39
7:26PM
2.41
7:50AM
2.38
8:22PM
2.46
8:50AM
2.35
9:18PM
2.49
9:50AM
2.33
10:14PM
2.48
10:48AM
2.31
11:11PM
2.45
11:44AM
2.29
12:08AM
2.40
12:37PM
2.27
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:43AM
0.37
1:11PM
0.39
1:35AM
0.39
2:03PM
0.39
2:31AM
0.42
2:57PM
0.41
3:31AM
0.46
3:54PM
0.43
4:32AM
0.49
4:54PM
0.44
5:33AM
0.49
5:52PM
0.44
6:31AM
0.47
Fri
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
Monday
23
Tuesday
24
Wednesday
25
Thursday
26
Sunrise--7:31--7:31--7:33--7:33--7:35--7:37--7:37
Sunset7:42--7:39--7:37--7:37--7:35--7:32--7:30--
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
Rain (mm)
----------------361--
Temp. °C141313141216161414141418181516161414151620
Feels °C (?)1312111210151413121114181613141613991116
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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View detailed surf forecast for Taylors Mistake at:
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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