Taylors Mistake Surf Break

Lat Long: 43.58° S 172.78° E

Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 28 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
10.2°C
1.1° 

Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 8s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, SE swell with 258 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 8s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 0.7m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Sat 29th Aug)1.5ft (0.5m) 8s
Best Surf 6AM (Sat 29th Aug)1.5ft (0.5m) 8s
Most Powerful 9AM (Wed 2nd Sep)2.5ft (0.7m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s talk Taylors Mistake for the next couple of weeks. Gotta warn ya, it’s a slow burn and a whole lot of waiting for anything that’ll make you paddle hard. The first week and a half is mostly tiny, weak stuff with a bunch of wind spoiling the party.

We start on Saturday, 29 August. There’s a 2ft wave from the ENE, 8-second period, with offshore wind so it ain’t completely trashed. The energy is weak (63), so you’re looking at a knee-high dribble if you’re really keen. The afternoon goes onshore and kills it dead.

Sunday 30 August drops to a measly 0.3ft – honestly, leave the board in the car. Same goes for Monday 31 August and Tuesday 1 September. There’s a block of days where the wind is clean but there’s nothing to ride. Around Wednesday 2 September, we get a pulse of groundswell from the SE at 2ft with a really long 16-second period and energy of 261 (moderate). The morning is glassy, dead flat calm. That’s a cruel tease because the size is still marginal, but if you’re on a log, that glassy surface makes it a fun little session. Water temp is about normal for this time of year, nothing odd.

That little spike fades quick. Thursday 3 September and Friday 4 September are back to 2ft to 3ft junk with messy cross-off winds – all flops. The energy readings (67, 36, 21) say it all: weak and disappointing. From Saturday 5 September through to Monday 8 September, it’s a gap of tiny, choppy, or wind-blown slop. Waves under 2ft with fresh breezes. Hardly worth waxing up.

Now here’s the real standout. Look ahead to Wednesday 9 September afternoon. The swell jumps to 6ft from the SSE with a short 7-second period, but the combined energy hits 363 (moderate) and – listen to this – the wind goes glassy. Dead calm. That’s a rare treat. The waves won’t be perfect peeling lines, but with clean faces and that little bit of size, it’s the best window in the whole 16-day forecast. Shorter period swell can be a bit jumbled, but with zero wind, it’ll be alright for intermediates. 6ft might be a bit much for beginners though. Thursday 10 September drops straight back to small, ordinary stuff.

The rest of the run into the second week is pretty flat again. Friday 11 September, Saturday 12 September, and Sunday 13 September all show tiny waves (1ft to 2ft) with weak energy, some offshore winds, but no real punch. Nothing to set your alarm for.

So bottom line: if you’ve got a longboard and patience, that Wednesday morning/afternoon on the 9th is your one clear shot. The rest is a long, quiet stretch. That’s Taylors from me.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the NW by Mon afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Mon night, calm by Tue night).

Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
NE
8
0.5
ENE
8
0.4
SE
13
0.3
ENE
8
0.2
ENE
7
0.2
ENE
7
0.2
ENE
8
0.4
SSE
13
0.3
SSE
13
0.2
SSE
16
0.1
NE
10
0.1
E
10
0.6
SSE
12
0.7
SE
16
0.6
SSE
16
0.4
SSE
13
1
N
5
0.5
N
5
0.1
SE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
62
36
44
12
6
6
6
62
34
24
4
2
96
258
166
67
43
12
4
Wind (km/h)
5
W
10
W
10
NE
10
W
10
NW
20
W
20
WSW
5
N
35
NW
30
SSW
30
WSW
25
SW
5
N
5
N
25
NW
15
N
15
NNW
20
NW
15
N
Wind State
off
off
cross-on
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
4:55AM2.13m
5:15PM2.25m
5:40AM2.16m
5:58PM2.26m
6:27AM2.20m
6:45PM2.26m
7:16AM2.24m
7:37PM2.25m
8:07AM2.29m
8:33PM2.24m
8:59AM2.32m
9:30PM2.23m
Low Tide
10:51PM0.55m
11:06AM0.50m
11:34PM0.51m
11:48AM0.47m
00:17AM0.49m
12:32PM0.47m
1:01AM0.48m
1:19PM0.49m
1:48AM0.50m
2:11PM0.53m
2:39AM0.51m
3:09PM0.56m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
mod rain
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
7:00
6:58
6:56
6:54
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:58
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:04
 mm
2
1
7
Temp °C
12
13
13
10
16
16
8
10
15
11
8
9
7
11
15
14
18
19
14
Feels °C
8
10
10
7
13
11
4
7
7
7
-1
2
5
8
9
9
13
15
9
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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