Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this outlook for Taylors Mistake is about as flat as a Monday morning. We’ve got a long, drawn-out run of tiny, weak surf stretching right across the 16-day window. There’s no standout session, no real pulse, just a lot of nothing. The first real chance to even think about getting wet doesn’t show up until Monday the 31st of August, and even then, it’s barely a whisper.

The pattern is clear: we start with a bit of leftover energy on Friday the 28th of August, but that’s all chop and cross-on wind from the NNE at 12 mph. The swell is 5ft but with a short, weak 8-second period, and the combined energy is only 355 – moderate at best. It’s poor surf and not worth a paddle. Friday afternoon cleans up with a NW breeze, but the swell drops to 3ft and the energy falls to 152. Still, not good.

Saturday the 29th is tiny – 1ft on the morning with a west offshore wind, but the energy is a pathetic 51. Sunday the 30th is worse, barely a ripple at 0.3ft. This stretch from Friday the 28th through to Sunday the 30th is a total write-off.

Monday the 31st of August is where we finally get a "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" note. The morning has 1ft from the SSE with a 13-second period, combined energy of 63. Winds are light from the NNW. It’s clean but tiny. Tuesday the 1st of September sees a slight bump in energy to 117, with a 2ft swell from the SSE and an 11-second period. The afternoon goes glassy, which is a nice touch, but the wave height is still miniscule. This is the best we get, and it’s marginal at best.

After that, it’s a long, slow fade. From Wednesday the 2nd of September right through to Saturday the 12th of September, we’re looking at days and days of 0.3ft to 1ft swells, most with combined energy under 100. There’s a brief moment on Wednesday the 9th of September with a 0.7ft swell rocking a 17-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell, but it’s so small it’s basically unrideable. The energy is only 56.

There’s no single day that stands out. The water temperature anomaly isn’t provided, so we can’t comment on that. Taylors Mistake itself is a fairly consistent, fairly exposed spot that’s best with an ENE swell, which we do see on the first day, but the quality just isn’t there. For beginners, the tiny waves might be okay on the glassy days, but there’s nothing with any push. Honestly, with the swell this small and the setup being a beach, you’d be better off with a kite than a paddle on any day with cross-off breeze. We’re in a dry spell, mate. Forecasts can change, but as it stands, keep the board in the car.

Rusty.

Read more