Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here with a look at what’s on the cards for Taylors Mistake. Gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and average for the most part. We’ve got a long, slow grind ahead with only a few tiny windows where a log might get a work out.

The pattern is set in: we start with a bit of small, weak energy that’s messy, then it drops right off into a proper lull with hardly a ripple for days on end. The second week shows a late pulse of better swell, but that’s still a long way off so don’t get too excited yet.

Right now, Thursday the 13th is a write-off. We’ve got a weak 4ft easterly swell with a short 8-second period, so the energy is weak at best (216 in the water), and that NE cross-onshore breeze is making a mess of it. Not worth paddling out.

Friday the 14th is where it gets a tiny bit interesting. The swell drops to 2ft from the east, still short period, but we get a glassy window in the afternoon with the wind dropping to nothing. The energy is slight (113), but those clean, bump-free conditions at a spot like Taylors Mistake will have the longboard crew out. It’s a beginner-friendly wave anyway, so a good session for a learner on the foamie. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

The weekend into early next week is pretty grim. Saturday the 15th morning is clean with a WSW offshore breeze, but the swell is a tiny 2ft (55 energy). By Saturday afternoon, the wind swings onshore and it’s poor. Sunday the 16th is even smaller – forget it. Monday the 17th has a slight bump in period (9 seconds) but still only 2-2ft. It’s surfable but ordinary.

Then we hit a proper dead zone. From Tuesday the 18th right through to Monday the 25th of August, the swell barely reaches 2ft most days, with long periods that are way too long for this beach break. The energy is low to very low – some days reading just 18 (22 August). There are some glassy mornings, but you’d be chasing shadows. That 19-second period on the 21st is all show and no go; it’ll just make the water look oily.

Come Wednesday the 27th of August, we finally see something with a bit of punch. A 4ft to 5ft swell from the ENE builds in, with a 9- to 11-second period. The energy jumps up to 262 and then 463, which is the strongest reading in the whole outlook. The wind is a clean offshore or cross-offshore (WSW). This is the standout window – promising but still a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it. It’s still small enough for intermediates, and that offshore breeze will make for some nice, clean lines at Taylors. It won’t be huge, but after so much flatness, it’ll feel like a proper session.

For now, Friday afternoon the 14th is your best early bet for a clean, tiny wave. The real highlight is the end of the month (27th and 28th of August), but lock it in with a grain of salt – it’s a long way off.

Stay patient.

Rusty.

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