Taylors Mistake Surf Break

Lat Long: 43.58° S 172.78° E

Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 13 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
13.2°C
3.3° 

Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 12 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 14 Oct, 4PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 16 Oct, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period, SE swell with 294 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 14 Oct, 4PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Oct 14) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 1.3m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 13s period and expected on Sunday (Oct 18) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Wed 14th Oct)2ft (0.6m) 9s
Best Surf 4PM (Wed 14th Oct)2ft (0.6m) 9s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 16th Oct)4.5ft (1.3m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 23°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Thu night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 6°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Fri morning, calm by Sun morning).

Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
ENE
7
0.5
ENE
7
0.4
ENE
7
0.4
ENE
7
0.6
ENE
9
0.5
SE
6
0.5
SE
7
1.5
SSE
8
1.4
SE
9
1.2
SE
9
1.1
SE
9
1
ESE
9
0.7
SE
8
0.6
SE
8
0.5
ESE
8
0.4
ESE
8
0.2
SSE
16
0.2
SSE
16
0.2
SSE
14
0.2
SSE
13
0.2
SSE
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
41
26
20
15
50
17
22
247
287
235
194
184
74
53
34
19
24
24
18
16
17
Wind (km/h)
10
WNW
15
NW
15
WSW
15
WSW
10
SSW
5
SSW
15
SW
20
SSW
30
SSW
30
SW
25
SSW
15
SW
10
SW
10
SSW
10
SW
5
WSW
10
ENE
5
ENE
5
WNW
5
WNW
5
SW
Wind State
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
off
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
7:27PM2.20m
7:56AM2.32m
8:17PM2.16m
8:41AM2.29m
9:06PM2.13m
9:23AM2.23m
9:53PM2.08m
10:05AM2.16m
10:37PM2.04m
10:49AM2.10m
11:21PM2.00m
11:37AM2.06m
00:06AM1.98m
Low Tide
1:19PM0.58m
1:34AM0.59m
2:06PM0.64m
2:19AM0.66m
2:53PM0.69m
3:03AM0.73m
3:38PM0.73m
3:47AM0.78m
4:22PM0.76m
4:33AM0.80m
5:10PM0.77m
5:20AM0.80m
5:58PM0.76m
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
heavy rain
light rain
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
—
—
6:39
—
—
6:37
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—
6:37
—
—
6:35
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—
6:33
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—
6:31
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—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
7:49
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—
7:50
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—
7:51
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—
7:52
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7:53
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—
7:54
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—
7:55
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 mm
—
—
1
—
—
14
2
4
7
2
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2
Temp °C
22
23
19
13
13
11
10
10
8
9
9
8
12
13
10
14
12
12
19
21
12
Feels °C
20
20
18
9
10
10
7
6
1
2
3
3
8
10
7
12
9
10
16
19
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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