Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Friday 28 Nov 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
15.6° C
(Which is 3.6°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Nov 29) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 12 days are 1.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Nov 30) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 8s period and expected on Monday (Dec 01) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sat 29th Nov)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Best Surf 7AM (Sat 29th Nov)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sun 30th Nov)4.5ft (1.4m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SW by Wed night).

Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
01
Tuesday
02
Wednesday
03
Thursday
04
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.8
ENE
0.7
ENE
1.2
ENE
0.7
ENE
1.1
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.9
NE
1.4
NE
0.9
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.8
E
0.6
ENE
0.7
E
0.6
E
0.8
ENE
0.5
E
0.5
E
0.4
ENE
0.4
SE
0.5
SE
0.4
ESE
Period(s) (?)1111111010106999111110101010109777
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)1491033051062457756353148641578810875133494628162515
Wind
(km/h)
15
W
25
ESE
15
ENE
10
W
15
ENE
10
NE
15
NNE
20
NE
20
SW
5
ENE
20
E
5
NE
5
ENE
20
E
15
WSW
15
SSW
20
SW
30
SW
30
SW
15
SSW
5
W
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
offoncross-
on
offoncross-
on
crosscross-
on
cross-
off
ononcross-
on
glassonoffcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
11:07AM
2.09
11:36PM
2.03
11:59AM
2.12
12:24AM
2.10
12:50PM
2.18
1:15AM
2.19
1:41PM
2.25
2:09AM
2.30
2:35PM
2.32
3:05AM
2.42
3:33PM
2.37
4:03AM
2.53
4:33PM
2.42
Low Tide
/ height (m)
5:27PM
0.59
5:38AM
0.60
6:17PM
0.54
6:30AM
0.57
7:07PM
0.49
7:25AM
0.54
7:57PM
0.44
8:24AM
0.50
8:48PM
0.39
9:24AM
0.45
9:44PM
0.36
10:23AM
0.40
10:42PM
0.33
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
01
Tuesday
02
Wednesday
03
Thursday
04
Sunrise5:43--5:43--5:43--5:43--5:43--5:41--5:41--
Sunset-8:47--8:49--8:51--8:52--8:52--8:53--8:54-
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
heavy rain
clear
part cloud
rain showers
Rain (mm)
---------------4917--5
Temp. °C211713192015202118151513171716121111141612
Feels °C (?)1712916171315161514111014131497681210
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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