Taylors Mistake Surf Break

Lat Long: 43.58° S 172.78° E

Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 29 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
9.5° C
0.2° 

Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 12s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period, SE swell with 499 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 12s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 1.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 14s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Wed 29th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 12s
Best Surf 6PM (Sat 1st Aug)3ft (0.9m) 12s
Most Powerful 9PM (Sat 1st Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s shaping up for Taylors Mistake.

The first thing you’ll notice is there’s a good run of conditions straight up. Wednesday morning, July 29th, is about as clean as it gets. Glassy conditions with the wind coming from the northwest at 0 mph, and a nice little east swell of 3 ft at 13 seconds. That long period gives the waves some real push and shape, but it’s not too big, so it's a great session for all levels. The water's sitting at 49°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. The combined swell energy is moderate at 310, so there's enough grunt to keep things interesting. Honestly, Wednesday morning is the standout of the whole run.

Wednesday afternoon stays clean with a glassy surface, but the swell drops a fraction to 3 ft and the energy backs off a bit to 221. It’s still surfable, just not as punchy as the morning.

Then things go quiet for a few days. Thursday the 30th through to Saturday the 2nd of August are mostly a write-off. Winds pick up strong out of the north and southwest, and the surf gets messy or just too small. There’s a window on Sunday morning, August 2nd – clean conditions with offshore wind from the WSW at 6 mph, and a 3 ft SE swell at 13 seconds. That’s a good, clean wave with moderate energy at 291, but the afternoon gets chopped up by a cross-onshore breeze.

Monday the 3rd has a similar story: a clean morning with a 2 ft SSE groundswell, then it drops away in the afternoon. Not a standout but a solid session for the early birds.

After that, there’s a bit of a lull before things build again. The 10th of August brings a bigger east-northeast swell, hitting 5 ft on Monday morning. That’s pushing into more intermediate territory. The period is short though, only 9 seconds, so it’s a bit of a windswell feel. Combined energy is strong at 413, but the wind is cross-off and clean, so it's rideable for someone with a bit of experience.

The real late-game highlight is Wednesday the 12th of August. The swell holds at 4 ft from the ENE, period stretches to 12 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 588 – that's moderate to strong energy. Winds are light and cross-off, and the conditions are clean. This is a proper session for anyone who can handle a bit of size. Thursday the 13th keeps the quality going: 4 ft ENE swell, 11-second period, cross-off wind from the NNW at just 3 mph. Another clean, solid day.

So, to wrap it up: the best bet on the whole board is Wednesday morning, July 29th. Glassy, clean, and a nice long-period east swell. Don't sleep on it. The second standout is Wednesday the 12th of August – more size and power, clean conditions, but you’ll want a bit of experience under your belt.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 3°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, strong winds from the SW by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Mon morning, min 3°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
E
13
0.8
E
13
0.8
E
12
0.6
E
12
0.6
E
12
1.1
NE
8
0.4
E
12
0.4
E
11
0.3
ESE
15
0.8
SSE
13
0.9
SE
12
1.1
SE
14
0.9
SE
13
0.9
SE
13
0.6
SE
12
0.7
SSE
14
0.2
ESE
11
0.1
E
13
0.9
SE
13
0.9
SE
12
1
SE
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
276
209
190
104
101
160
44
40
43
202
232
410
286
238
118
163
13
3
245
244
237
Wind (km/h)
0
NNW
5
NW
5
NNW
20
N
30
N
20
N
20
NNW
15
W
35
SW
30
SW
25
SW
10
W
10
WSW
5
NNE
10
W
10
W
15
SSW
10
SSW
15
SW
15
SSW
10
SSW
Wind State
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-on
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:29PM2.19m
4:46AM2.07m
5:09PM2.19m
5:29AM2.06m
5:49PM2.20m
6:13AM2.06m
6:29PM2.20m
6:58AM2.07m
7:12PM2.19m
7:45AM2.10m
8:00PM2.19m
8:31AM2.14m
8:52PM2.18m
Low Tide
10:12AM0.65m
10:43PM0.68m
10:56AM0.59m
11:27PM0.62m
11:37AM0.54m
00:09AM0.57m
12:17PM0.51m
00:50AM0.53m
12:59PM0.50m
1:31AM0.52m
1:42PM0.51m
2:15AM0.53m
2:30PM0.54m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:46
7:43
7:43
7:41
7:41
7:39
7:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:24
5:25
5:27
5:28
5:29
5:30
5:30
 mm
1
6
2
1
2
Temp °C
10
13
10
14
14
12
12
13
7
6
6
6
9
10
8
11
11
8
7
7
7
Feels °C
8
11
8
8
7
6
5
8
-3
-1
1
1
6
7
6
7
7
5
2
2
3
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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