Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Friday 13 Feb 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
19.3° C
(Which is 4.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Feb 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 12 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Feb 16) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 9s period and expected on Monday (Feb 16) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sat 14th Feb)2.5ft (0.7m) 8s
Best Surf10AM (Mon 16th Feb)13ft (4.0m) 10s
Most Powerful10AM (Mon 16th Feb)13ft (4.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, strong winds from the SW by Sun afternoon).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 92mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Sun night, calm by Wed morning).

Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thu
19
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
0
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.9
NE
0.9
ENE
1.2
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.6
E
0.6
E
0.5
SE
0.9
SE
1.1
SE
1.4
E
4
SSE
1.8
E
1.6
E
1.5
E
0.9
E
0.6
SE
0.6
SE
0.4
ESE
0.4
ENE
0.4
ENE
0.4
ENE
Period(s) (?)77888878101210121010109811888
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)36597155634344281022455293008989541468143625446222220
Wind
(km/h)
10
E
20
NE
15
NNE
15
SW
0
SW
10
E
15
SW
30
SSW
40
SW
40
SW
45
SW
40
SW
35
WSW
25
WSW
20
SW
15
WSW
5
SW
10
ENE
5
N
5
NNW
10
E
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
oncross-
on
crosscross-
off
glassoncross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
offcross-
off
offcross-
off
onglassglasson
High Tide
/ height (m)
2:06AM
2.17
2:28PM
2.05
2:55AM
2.17
3:17PM
2.06
3:42AM
2.19
4:03PM
2.08
4:27AM
2.21
4:47PM
2.11
5:10AM
2.24
5:29PM
2.14
5:52AM
2.28
6:13PM
2.17
6:34AM
2.30
7:00PM
2.20
Low Tide
/ height (m)
8:26AM
0.81
8:29PM
0.75
9:11AM
0.76
9:17PM
0.70
9:55AM
0.70
10:07PM
0.63
10:39AM
0.63
10:55PM
0.55
11:24AM
0.56
11:41PM
0.48
12:09PM
0.50
12:24AM
0.42
12:55PM
0.45
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thu
19
Sunrise-6:43--6:45--6:47--6:48--6:50--6:50--6:52-
Sunset--8:39--8:38--8:37--8:36--8:34--8:32--8:30
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
mod rain
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
---------232219207-1-----
Temp. °C192222141516141414141413131315141717151819
Feels °C (?)1819219121312757656911121716151818
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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