Surf Forecasts:
Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 13 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 18s period, SSE swell with 176 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:
The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 0.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Taylors Mistake is serving up for the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it’s a quiet run. This beginner-friendly, fairly exposed spot likes an ENE swell, and we’re facing a long stretch of small, weak surf. There’s a gap of several days with nothing worth paddling for, so you’ll need some patience. Water temp is 49°F, right on average for the season.
Your first real chance is Thursday morning, 13 August. A 7ft swell from the NE rolls in, but it’s short period at 8 seconds and the wind is a light cross-on from the NE at 6 mph. The combined energy is moderate (838), but the wave report calls it marginal—not the cleanest, but there’s size if you’re a beginner. That afternoon cleans right up: the swell drops to 4ft from the ENE, wind goes glassy from the E at 3 mph, and energy is light (160). Small, but glassy conditions are a win at Taylors.
Friday morning, 14 August, has a tiny 2ft E swell with a light cross-offshore breeze from the SW at 6 mph. Clean but barely any push (60 energy). That afternoon goes glassy again, same small 2ft E swell with an 8-second period—still very ordinary.
From Saturday 15 August through to Wednesday 19 August morning, it’s flat. Swell heights sit around 1ft to 2ft, mostly from the E, with energy readings under 100. Winds are light and sometimes offshore, but there’s just no wave. Most sessions are called “poor surf conditions” or “surfable but very ordinary”—not worth it.
Wednesday 19 August morning brings a flicker of hope: a 2ft SE groundswell with a long 16-second period and clean offshore wind from the WSW at 6 mph, energy at 263—moderate. The swell direction isn’t ideal, but that long period means better shape. This is a point break setup, so the long period should wrap in clean. It’s small, but it’s the best of the run. The afternoon holds similar at 2ft with a 14-second period.
From Thursday 20 August through to Wednesday 27 August, it’s back to tiny surf—usually under 1ft—with onshore or cross-shore winds and energy rarely hitting 100. A few glassy mornings, but the waves are too small to ride.
The tail end, Thursday 27 August afternoon, shows a 5ft NE swell with a short 5-second period and a cross-on breeze—rough quality. Friday 28 August morning brings a 3ft ENE swell with a 9-second period and clean offshore wind from the WSW at 9 mph, energy at 157. Surfable, but still ordinary.
The one day to mark is Wednesday 19 August—that small, long-period groundswell with clean wind. It’s the standout in a quiet period. For beginners, Thursday morning 13 August has the size but messy wind. The glassy afternoons are your best bet if you’re itching for clean little waves. Otherwise, this stretch is more about waiting than riding.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 4°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the SSW by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 5°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 9 | E 9 | SSE 6 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | SSE 17 | SSE 17 | SE 15 | SE 12 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
133 | 71 | 54 | 55 | 57 | 36 | 34 | 61 | 42 | 149 | 43 | 41 | 25 | 25 | 35 | 31 | 55 | 113 | 107 | 54 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross | off |
High Tide | 4:40PM2.52m | 5:06AM2.39m | 5:33PM2.48m | 6:01AM2.37m | 6:26PM2.43m | 6:59AM2.34m | 7:20PM2.37m | 7:55AM2.33m | 8:16PM2.30m | 8:47AM2.32m | 9:10PM2.24m | 9:37AM2.30m | 10:01PM2.19m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:59PM0.26m | 11:21AM0.17m | 11:53PM0.27m | 12:13PM0.22m | 00:46AM0.30m | 1:05PM0.31m | 1:36AM0.36m | 1:58PM0.43m | 2:26AM0.44m | 2:52PM0.56m | 3:17AM0.54m | 3:46PM0.66m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
Feels °C | 11 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 14 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 9 | SE 6 | SE 6 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SSE 17 | SE 15 | SE 12 |
18 | 71 | 54 | 55 | 57 | 36 | 34 | 61 | 19 | 19 | 43 | 41 | 25 | 25 | 35 | 31 | 16 | 113 | 107 | 54 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | SE 4 | E 9 | E 9 | SE 6 | SSE 7 | SE 6 | ESE 14 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 17 | SSE 8 | E 9 | SE 12 |
— | 14 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 43 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 26 | 7 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 14 | SE 10 | E 16 | ESE 14 | S 18 | S 18 | S 19 | E 13 | E 13 | SSE 19 | SSE 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | S 6 | ESE 13 | S 16 | SE 9 | E 10 | ESE 13 | E 10 |
18 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 28 | 24 | 21 | 1 | 35 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | — | SW 3 | SSW 3 | — | — | SSW 3 | S 6 | WSW 2 | SSE 6 | — | SSW 2 | SSW 2 | — | — | S 7 | — | S 16 | — | — |
133 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 1 | 149 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 230 | — | 3658 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.











