Surf Forecasts:
Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 17s period, SSE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSE swell with 421 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 17s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:
The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 14s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 10) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 1ft (0.3m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 1ft (0.3m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s heading our way.
Honestly, mate, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a write-off for Taylors Mistake. Not much to get excited about, I’m afraid. There’s a long, flat stretch right through until Saturday the 19th of September where it’s either tiny or messy. The only flicker of something worth a paddle shows up late on that weekend, but even then it’s a marginal call.
The first real chance to wet a line is on Saturday the 19th of September in the morning. Swell comes in at 4ft from the NE with a short 6-second period – plenty of energy (124) but the period’s a bit raw. Winds are light from the NNW, so it’ll be clean. Taylors Mistake is fairly exposed, so it’ll pick up that NE swell, but the wave quality is only ordinary. It’s beginner-friendly at this size, and crowds are only sometimes, so you might get a few to yourself if you’re keen. Water temp is about average for this time of year.
That afternoon on the 19th, things go glassy with an ESE breeze – 2ft from the SSE with a lovely long 12-second period (166 energy). Sounds nice, but the size is tiny. Still, for a glass-off session on a longboard, it could be a fun end to the day.
After that, it’s back to nothing much from Sunday the 20th through the rest of the outlook. There’s a few mornings with clean conditions and offshore winds, like Monday the 21st with a strong WNW breeze and clean 1.0ft waves, but the swell is just too small to bother. The very end of the window on Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th offers glassy conditions again, but the swell is barely there at 0.7ft.
So in a nutshell: if you’re desperate, the morning of Saturday the 19th of September is your best shot – it’s the only window with a proper height. The rest is a long stretch of small, poor surf.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 4°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 6°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | E 8 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SE 13 | SSE 13 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | E 10 | NNE 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 96 | 46 | 19 | 36 | 32 | 5 | 26 | 196 | 288 | 175 | 45 | 95 | 68 | 30 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | off | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:57AM2.31m | 3:23PM2.40m | 3:48AM2.32m | 4:15PM2.39m | 4:41AM2.32m | 5:07PM2.36m | 5:37AM2.32m | 6:00PM2.33m | 6:33AM2.32m | 6:53PM2.28m | 7:26AM2.33m | 7:46PM2.23m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:10AM0.29m | 9:38PM0.33m | 10:05AM0.28m | 10:32PM0.34m | 10:58AM0.30m | 11:26PM0.36m | 11:50AM0.36m | 00:17AM0.40m | 12:41PM0.45m | 1:05AM0.46m | 1:32PM0.55m | 1:52AM0.55m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — |
mm | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 5 | E 8 | NE 4 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SE 13 | E 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | S 8 |
| kJ | 96 | 46 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 196 | 288 | 175 | 45 | 3 | 68 | 30 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | E 16 | SE 6 | E 8 | SE 5 | E 8 | SSE 4 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | SSE 18 | — | E 12 | NNE 3 | E 12 | E 12 | — | E 10 | E 13 |
| kJ | 10 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 31 | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | NE 16 | S 20 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | S 18 | ENE 4 | E 7 | — | NE 9 | — | — | E 9 | E 12 | S 16 | S 16 | S 14 | S 14 | E 10 |
| kJ | 24 | 10 | 8 | 36 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 3 | SW 3 | — | N 2 | — | S 4 | — | — | NNE 3 | — | SSE 13 | — | N 3 | ENE 3 | — | — | NNE 3 | NNE 4 |
| kJ | — | 4 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 14 | — | — | 3 | — | 95 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 27 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 31 | 22 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.
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