Surf Forecasts:
Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 16 Oct 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 17 Oct, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, SSE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 17 Oct, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, SSE swell with 392 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 17 Oct, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:
The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 17) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 1.7m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 17) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 11s period and expected on Saturday (Oct 17) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sat 17th Oct) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 17th Oct) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 17th Oct) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 6°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 17 | Sunday 18 | Monday 19 | Tuesday 20 | Wednesday 21 | Thursday 22 | Friday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 16 | SE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 | SSE 15 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 11 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SE 10 | NE 4 | E 14 | E 13 | SE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 54 | 392 | 23 | 49 | 65 | 48 | 41 | 45 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 12 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | on | on | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | off | on | cross | cross | on | off |
High Tide | 10:05AM2.16m | 10:37PM2.04m | 10:49AM2.10m | 11:21PM2.00m | 11:37AM2.06m | 00:06AM1.98m | 12:28PM2.05m | 00:54AM1.98m | 1:19PM2.06m | 1:44AM2.02m | 2:07PM2.10m | 2:32AM2.08m | 2:53PM2.15m | 3:18AM2.17m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:22PM0.76m | 4:33AM0.80m | 5:10PM0.77m | 5:20AM0.80m | 5:58PM0.76m | 6:08AM0.78m | 6:48PM0.73m | 6:56AM0.74m | 7:36PM0.68m | 7:47AM0.71m | 8:21PM0.62m | 8:38AM0.66m | 9:04PM0.57m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — |
 | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 21 | 19 | 18 |
Feels °C | 8 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 20 | 16 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 16 | SE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 | SSE 15 | SSE 17 | NE 4 | SSE 16 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | SSE 14 | ENE 3 | — | E 10 | NE 5 | ENE 3 | SSE 9 | NE 4 |
| kJ | 54 | 49 | 14 | 49 | 65 | 48 | 41 | 45 | 27 | 4 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 18 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 15 | SSE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 8 | ENE 4 | — | SE 6 | SSE 16 | E 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 15 | NE 10 | NE 5 | NE 4 | S 13 | S 11 | SE 10 | S 13 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | — | 8 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 11 | SSE 15 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 12 | E 7 | E 7 | E 11 | E 10 | — | S 15 | — | — | SE 10 | S 9 | E 14 | E 13 | S 13 | — | SSE 11 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 5 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSE 8 | — | — | — | NE 4 | — | ENE 5 | NE 3 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | ENE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | — |
| kJ | — | 392 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 6 | 2 | 10 | 4 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 31 | 31 | 22 | 31 | 31 | 22 | 35 | 22 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Taylors Mistake surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.
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