Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Thursday 01 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
17.7° C
(Which is 3.9°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 01) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 12 days are 0.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 01) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 7s period and expected on Monday (Jan 05) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Thu 1st Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Best Surf 7PM (Thu 1st Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Most Powerful 7PM (Thu 1st Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
01
Friday
02
Saturday
03
Sunday
04
Monday
05
Tuesday
06
Wednesday
07
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.9
E
1
E
0.6
E
0.5
E
0.5
E
0.4
ENE
0.3
ENE
0.3
ENE
0.3
SE
0.6
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.4
SE
1
ENE
0.7
ENE
1
ENE
0.5
E
0.4
ENE
0.6
E
0.3
ENE
Period(s) (?)888888887888986666686
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)116133463029211311847544450236041711710506
Wind
(km/h)
5
WSW
10
SW
15
WSW
10
SSW
10
S
10
SW
10
SSW
15
SW
0
SSE
15
NE
20
ENE
20
ENE
15
ENE
20
E
15
ENE
5
W
15
ESE
10
SW
5
W
20
E
10
E
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
glasscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
glasscross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
on
ononglassoncross-
off
glassonon
High Tide
/ height (m)
Low Tide
/ height (m)
Thursday
01
Friday
02
Saturday
03
Sunday
04
Monday
05
Tuesday
06
Wednesday
07
Sunrise5:50--5:50--5:52--5:52--5:54--5:54--5:56--
Sunset-9:13--9:13--9:13--9:13--9:12--9:12--9:12-
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
Rain (mm)
23-------------------
Temp. °C171816141513141513141514161615201816191816
Feels °C (?)161815131311101110101110141312191616191615
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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