Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Friday 09 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
19.4° C
(Which is 5.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 12) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 12 days are 1.2m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jan 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jan 11) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Mon 12th Jan)2ft (0.6m) 12s
Best Surf10AM (Mon 12th Jan)2ft (0.6m) 12s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 16th Jan)4ft (1.2m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 28°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Sat night, calm by Sun night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
09
Saturday
10
Sunday
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.6
SE
0.3
E
0.5
NE
0.1
E
1
N
0.2
ENE
0.4
NNE
0.4
NE
0.6
SSE
0.4
SE
0.4
SE
1.2
NNE
1
NE
0.5
ENE
0.5
ENE
0.6
SSE
0.3
ENE
0.4
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.7
ENE
1.1
ENE
Period(s) (?)4541148710126115668974466
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)1448232718259613337268223264118133188
Wind
(km/h)
10
ENE
15
E
10
NNW
30
NW
30
NNW
45
NW
40
WNW
15
S
0
SSE
15
ENE
25
NE
0
SSE
15
SE
15
WSW
5
W
20
E
20
ESE
5
ESE
5
ENE
15
W
10
WSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
ononcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crossglasscross-
on
cross-
on
glasscross-
on
cross-
off
offononglassonoffoff
High Tide
/ height (m)
10:40PM
2.24
11:04AM
2.23
11:31PM
2.21
11:55AM
2.18
12:21AM
2.19
12:44PM
2.13
1:11AM
2.19
1:32PM
2.10
2:00AM
2.20
2:20PM
2.08
2:47AM
2.21
3:08PM
2.07
3:33AM
2.21
Low Tide
/ height (m)
4:24PM
0.46
4:43AM
0.55
5:17PM
0.53
5:39AM
0.66
6:09PM
0.61
6:35AM
0.75
6:57PM
0.68
7:31AM
0.80
7:41PM
0.73
8:22AM
0.82
8:23PM
0.76
9:08AM
0.82
9:07PM
0.76
9:51AM
0.80
Fri
09
Saturday
10
Sunday
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Sunrise--5:58--6:00--6:01--6:01--6:03--6:05--6:05
Sunset9:12--9:10--9:10--9:10--9:09--9:09--9:08--
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
Rain (mm)
------131-------222--
Temp. °C191527282228271913141417191618171516171319
Feels °C (?)17122022172120161011916161614131216171118
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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