Taylors Mistake Surf Break

Lat Long: 43.58° S 172.78° E

Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 02 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
9.5° C
0.4° 

Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 12s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 12s period, SSE swell with 318 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 12s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 3s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 1.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 13s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sun 2nd Aug)2ft (0.6m) 12s
Best Surf 9PM (Sun 2nd Aug)2ft (0.6m) 12s
Most Powerful 6PM (Tue 4th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at the surf coming up for Taylors Mistake. It’s a bit of a slow grind for the most part, but there’s one morning that’s got my blood pumping.

The water temp is sitting right around 49°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

For the next week, it’s all pretty small and ordinary. We start Sunday the 2nd with a clean but tiny 3ft SE groundswell. There’s a bit of push to it, but it’s just not doing much. The wind is light off, which is nice, but the swell energy is weak (210). It’s a groveler’s session. The rest of the week is much the same—small, clean, but unremarkable. We see a bit of a pulse on Tuesday the 4th afternoon, with 3ft, but the 19 mph SW wind is howling, so it’s going to be messy and blown out. Not worth your time. Wednesday and Thursday offer some clean conditions and waist-high dribble, but nothing that will get you out of bed early.

Then we hit a proper flat spell. From Friday the 7th through to Monday the 10th, it’s tiny with poor winds and ripples. You’d be fighting for scraps. This is the quiet period, but it’s about to break.

Now, here’s the one to circle. Monday morning, August 10th. This is the standout. We’ve got a 6ft NE swell rolling in, with a short 7-second period. It’s windblown, but the offshore is light and glassy. The energy jumps way up to 420, which is strong for this stretch. This isn’t for the faint of heart at 6ft, and with that short period, it’ll be lumpy and peaky. It’s a proper power session for the experienced crew. Beginners should sit this one out. The morning window is the only time to get it, as the afternoon turns onshore and junky.

After that, we settle back down. The following week is mostly small, with a few clean mornings. The 14th sees another pulse of 5ft ENE, but it's short-period and nothing to write home about. The 15th and 16th are back to small, clean, and glassy but gutless.

Overall, if you want waves, you’re waiting for that Monday the 10th. Everything else is a paddle for practice.

Catch ya later.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, strong winds from the SW by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Mild temperatures (max 7°C on Wed afternoon, min 4°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SE
13
0.6
SE
13
0.6
SE
12
0.4
SE
12
0.3
SE
12
0.5
SSE
12
0.1
E
13
0.1
E
13
0.9
SE
12
0.8
SE
11
0.8
SE
11
0.8
SE
10
0.6
SE
9
0.7
SE
10
0.6
ESE
10
0.6
ESE
12
0.6
SSE
16
0.4
SE
13
0.2
ESE
13
0.4
SE
10
0.3
SE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
205
134
92
34
22
78
3
3
224
162
162
120
71
98
65
98
196
42
16
25
15
Wind (km/h)
10
W
10
NE
10
W
10
W
15
SSW
25
SSW
30
SW
35
SW
20
SW
10
WSW
10
SSW
10
WSW
5
WSW
5
ENE
5
NW
5
N
10
ENE
5
NE
5
NE
5
E
0
WSW
Wind State
off
cross-on
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
glassy
glassy
on
cross-on
glassy
on
glassy
High Tide
7:12PM2.19m
7:45AM2.10m
8:00PM2.19m
8:31AM2.14m
8:52PM2.18m
9:19AM2.19m
9:46PM2.19m
10:10AM2.24m
10:40PM2.20m
11:05AM2.30m
11:35PM2.22m
12:02PM2.36m
00:31AM2.25m
Low Tide
12:59PM0.50m
1:31AM0.52m
1:42PM0.51m
2:15AM0.53m
2:30PM0.54m
3:03AM0.54m
3:22PM0.58m
3:56AM0.55m
4:21PM0.60m
4:52AM0.53m
5:22PM0.59m
5:48AM0.48m
6:24PM0.53m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:41
7:39
7:39
7:37
7:35
7:35
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:35
 mm
3
7
3
1
Temp °C
10
10
8
11
14
7
4
6
7
5
7
5
6
7
5
6
6
6
8
9
8
Feels °C
7
6
5
8
10
3
-4
-1
0
1
3
1
4
4
3
2
2
3
5
6
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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