Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight up—this is gonna be a flat spell for Taylors Mistake. Over the next few weeks, there’s hardly any proper surf on offer, and the few tiny pulses that roll in are just not enough to get excited about.

The first week is a real struggle. From Tuesday 15th right through to the following Monday 21st, we’re stuck with nothing but poor surf—tiny 0.7ft to 2ft swells, mostly from the east or southeast, with short periods under 13 seconds. Winds are all over the place, mostly cross or onshore, so it’s choppy and messy. The combined energy is weak (16 to 91), so don’t bother paddling out.

There’s a small bump mid-week, on Wednesday 23rd September. By Wednesday afternoon, a 4ft SSE swell rolls in with a 13-second period, and clean cross-off winds from the SSW at 16 mph. The combined energy jumps to 376, which is moderate. It’s still a marginal wave, but for the first time in days it’s surfable. Thursday 24th has similar energy (252) in the afternoon with glassy conditions from a southerly, but it’s still only 3ft and nothing special.

The best on offer? Honestly, there’s no standout here. If you’re desperate, the Thursday afternoon (24th September) at Taylors Mistake has 3ft SE swell with a 13-second period, and glassy conditions from a light southerly—clean and small, but rideable for a beginner on a longboard. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

Crowds? Taylors Mistake can get busy sometimes, so don’t expect solitude. It’s a fairly consistent spot, but this run is flat and uninspiring. The forecast confidence is solid for the near term, but it stays poor—even into the second week, from 25th September to 30th, the swells are back to 1ft to 1ft with weak energy. The last few days have clean offshore or glassy winds, but the swell just isn’t there. This is one of those stretches where you’re better off waiting for the next system.

Rusty.

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