Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, grab a seat. Rusty here. Lookin’ at the charts for Taylors Mistake, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s gonna be a long, quiet stretch. We’ve got a 16-day window ahead, but don’t go getting your hopes up for any kind of proper session. There’s a big gap of nothing to start.

The first actual time you could even think about it would be Monday morning, the 24th of August. Even then, it’s a struggle. We’ve got tiny 1ft swell out of the SSE, and while the wind goes glassy, the combined wave energy is weak, just 93. It’s clean as a whistle, but there’s barely a bump. You’ll be sitting there bobbing around more than surfing. The water temp is sitting at 50°, which is about the norm for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

That little window of glassy, gutless surf hangs around for the Monday arvo too, but the energy drops off to 59. Then it’s back to the doldrums all the way through to the end of August. We get a bit of a lift on the 28th of August, Friday afternoon. A 1ft swell from the ENE, period of 15 seconds, and a gentle offshore wind from the West. That’s a proper-looking groundswell period, but the size is pathetic. The combined energy does get into moderate territory at 171, so there might be a bit more push than the last week, but it’s still tiny and clean. Not worth paddling out for.

Then it’s another dead zone. Nothing at all for days.

The next sniff of anything that looks like surf kicks off on the 2nd of September, a Wednesday. We finally see some 1ft swell from the SSE, but with a period of 17 seconds – that’s very long period groundswell. The direction is off for Taylors Mistake (which likes it from the ENE), so it’ll likely wrap in weird. The morning is clean with a cross-offshore breeze, and the energy climbs to 120. The afternoon looks a bit better, with a gentle offshore wind from the WNW and the energy up to 144. Again, the wave heights are barely there, but it’s the best of a bad bunch.

Don’t get excited about the 3rd of September either. The morning is flat, and the afternoon brings a bigger 3ft swell from the SSE, energy jumping to 320, which is moderate to strong. But it’s a cross-onshore wind, making it a messy, bumpy shore break. A 3ft wave with that much energy and onshore wind is just a washing machine for a beginner spot like this.

And that’s your lot for the whole 16 days. Honestly, this setup is so poor, with onshore winds and tiny swell most of the time, if you see a bit of bump and a stiff breeze, it’s probably more interesting for the kite crew than a bloke on a paddle board. Keep the gear in the garage, save the gas money. Forecasts can change, but right now, it's looking grim.

Rusty.

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