Taylors Mistake Surf Break

Lat Long: 43.58° S 172.78° E

Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 24 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
9.9°C
0.8° 

Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 25 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 14s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 27 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period, ESE swell with 395 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 14s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 14s is also forecast. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 0.8m 18s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 17s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 27) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Tue 25th Aug)1ft (0.3m) 14s
Best Surf12AM (Tue 25th Aug)1ft (0.3m) 14s
Most Powerful 3AM (Thu 27th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks. I’m lookin’ at Taylors Mistake, and straight up, it’s a lean spell. The first decent chance doesn’t pop up until Friday the 28th of August, so we’re sittin’ through a few days of tiny, junk waves before that.

Early stuff is pretty much a write-off. Monday the 24th has a morning bump of 1ft from the SSE, but the energy is weak – only 59 – and with the wind glassy, it’s surfable but just ordinary. The rest of the week is dominated by onshore and cross-off winds, with swell barely crackin’ 1ft. The water temp is sittin’ around 50°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothin’ wild there.

Friday the 28th of August is where we finally get a pulse. The morning brings 3ft from the ENE with a short period of 7 seconds, but it’s glassy – wind is light from the SW. That’s worth paddlin’ out for. The afternoon is even better: 4ft from the ENE, 8-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 210 – moderate energy, decent push. Wind is dead calm. Clean, glassy waves, and Taylors is a pretty forgiving beginner spot. Just a heads up, it can get a bit busy here sometimes, but for this size, you’ll find your own corner.

Monday the 31st of August has a late arvo pulse of 2ft from the SSE with a very long period of 19 seconds – groundswell energy. The combined energy is 282, so there’s some punch in the water. But the wind is light cross-onshore, puttin’ a bit of texture on it. That long period will see the waves breakin’ a bit straight, but Taylors handles it alright.

Into Saturday the 5th of September, we see a mornin’ window – 2ft from the NE with a 9-second period, wind offshore from the WSW. Gentle and clean. Not a standout, but a little fun window for the early crew.

Sunday the 6th of September is the real standout of the whole period. The morning session is magic: 1ft from the SSE, but the period is a massive 20 seconds – that’s very long-period groundswell. The combined energy is 138, so it’s got a bit of grunt. And the wind is dead calm, glassy as a mirror. That’s about as clean as it gets for Taylors. The waves will be smooth, lined up, and with that long period, expect longer lulls between sets but the ones that come through will be proper. Paddlin’ out will be easier between sets, and if you’re on a point or reef setup, it’ll be even better.

Beyond that, the second week dries up again with tiny junk and onshore winds. So the call is pretty clear: Friday the 28th of August arvo and Sunday the 6th of September mornin’ are your best bets. Don’t sleep on that glassy Sunday session.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the NW by Tue morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu night, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Thu night, calm by Fri night).

Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSE
14
0.2
E
14
0.3
ESE
14
0.2
E
14
0.2
E
14
0.2
SSE
17
0.2
E
13
0.2
SSE
17
0.8
ESE
18
0.4
SSE
17
0.4
SSE
16
1.2
ENE
6
0.9
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
8
0.7
ENE
7
0.4
SE
11
0.4
ENE
7
0.4
ENE
8
0.3
ENE
8
0.2
ENE
9
0.2
ENE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
41
16
40
15
15
29
14
28
390
117
86
103
90
173
46
29
17
24
13
7
7
Wind (km/h)
5
NW
10
NNW
10
NNW
25
NNW
25
NW
5
ESE
10
ESE
5
ESE
10
SE
25
E
25
ENE
20
NNE
5
WSW
0
SW
10
SW
10
SSW
5
WNW
20
NNE
10
SSW
10
ENE
5
WNW
Wind State
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-off
on
off
High Tide
1:40PM2.16m
2:01AM2.04m
2:27PM2.16m
2:47AM2.06m
3:12PM2.17m
3:31AM2.08m
3:54PM2.19m
4:13AM2.11m
4:35PM2.22m
4:55AM2.13m
5:15PM2.25m
5:40AM2.16m
5:58PM2.26m
Low Tide
7:56PM0.77m
8:01AM0.72m
8:39PM0.73m
8:50AM0.66m
9:23PM0.67m
9:39AM0.60m
10:07PM0.61m
10:24AM0.54m
10:51PM0.55m
11:06AM0.50m
11:34PM0.51m
11:48AM0.47m
00:17AM0.49m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:09
7:07
7:05
7:05
7:03
7:01
7:00
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:52
5:53
5:54
5:55
5:57
5:58
5:59
 mm
7
4
3
4
Temp °C
12
15
14
17
17
12
11
12
10
9
11
15
11
12
10
9
11
8
13
12
9
Feels °C
10
11
9
10
11
10
9
10
6
4
6
9
10
12
8
6
8
4
10
8
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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