
Surf Forecasts:
Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, SSE swell with 232 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:
The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 0.7m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 16s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 12) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, let’s have a look at the next 16 days for Taylors Mistake.
Honestly, mate, it’s a tough stretch. The next week and a half is a real mixed bag of tiny, weak swell and dodgy winds. There’s nothing here that’ll get the heart pumping. The first real chance of a paddle comes late in the first week, but even then it's more about getting wet than scoring.
We kick off this Saturday the 5th with barely a bump – 0.3ft of south-east swell, but a fresh nor’west breeze at 19 mph in the arvo makes it a write-off. Sunday and Monday are tiny and onshore. Not worth the walk down.
Tuesday the 8th is where we finally see a pulse of energy. The morning pushes 4ft from the east with a 8-second period and combined energy at 161 (moderate), and there’s a light south-west cross-off breeze. The arvo cleans right up – glassy conditions with 3ft easterly swell, energy dropping to 133. It’s surfable, but only just. It’s consistent enough to get some practice in, though.
After that, it drops away again. Wednesday the 9th through to the 11th is back to tiny, poor surf. Don’t bother.
The next bump shows up Saturday the 13th of September, with the swell reading 2ft from the south-south-east and a very long 16-second period. The combined energy jumps to 243 (moderate), but the wind is howling from the south-west at 19 mph, making it a cross-off mess. The power is there in the water, but it’ll be blown out and tricky. This one is more for the crew with big boards and patience. The following days see that energy drop and the wind stays strong, keeping conditions ordinary.
The real standout, if you can call it that, is Tuesday the 16th of September. We get a clean 2ft south-east swell with a decent 12-second period, a gentle west-south-west cross-off breeze, and combined energy at 151 (moderate). It’s not big, but it’s clean, and that’s the best we’ll see. The water temp is about average for the time of year.
Wednesday the 17th morning has a glassy 2ft south-south-east swell with a 10-second period and clean conditions, but it’s small. Then Friday the 19th of September has a glassy 2ft south-east swell, period 10 seconds, energy at 89. Clean again, but tiny.
Look, it’s a lean period. There are no real waves on offer. The only day that might give a few workable runners is Tuesday the 16th, and even then it’s a small-wave day for longboards or a fun fish. Crowds are possible here, but with conditions this average, it might be quiet. Keep an eye on the forecast, because it’s bound to change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Mon afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 10°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 10 | E 7 | N 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | ESE 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 6 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 7 | NNE 5 | NNE 4 | ESE 6 | E 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 71 | 161 | 133 | 79 | 29 | 46 | 64 | 11 | 8 | 3 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:26PM2.23m | 10:49AM2.37m | 11:21PM2.24m | 11:47AM2.38m | 00:16AM2.25m | 12:43PM2.38m | 1:11AM2.28m | 1:38PM2.39m | 2:05AM2.30m | 2:31PM2.40m | 2:57AM2.31m | 3:23PM2.40m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:34AM0.50m | 5:11PM0.53m | 5:31AM0.45m | 6:09PM0.47m | 6:25AM0.40m | 7:03PM0.41m | 7:19AM0.35m | 7:54PM0.36m | 8:14AM0.31m | 8:45PM0.33m | 9:10AM0.29m | 9:38PM0.33m | |||||||
— | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Temp °C | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 4 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | -1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | SE 10 | S 16 | S 18 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 9 | S 16 | S 12 | S 10 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | SE 8 | NE 5 | NNE 4 | SE 3 | S 19 |
1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 161 | 133 | 79 | 29 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 29 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | S 14 | S 9 | SE 9 | S 18 | NE 8 | S 9 | S 15 | S 14 | S 15 | S 9 | S 13 | S 9 | SE 7 | S 8 | ESE 7 | NW 3 | ESE 6 | NE 8 |
4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 40 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 7 | E 10 | E 8 | NE 6 | S 16 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | S 21 | — | S 19 | E 9 | ESE 7 | NE 7 | E 6 |
2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 79 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 9 | — | 29 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | N 4 | SE 3 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 6 | S 9 | S 9 | — | — | E 7 | NNE 5 | — | — | — |
11 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 71 | 57 | 36 | — | — | 46 | 64 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 31 | 133 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 3 | 45 | 22 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.










