Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next couple of weeks at Taylors Mistake are looking pretty grim for the most part. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak surf ahead, with only a couple of windows where it might be worth paddling out. Let’s break it down.

The first real surf worth mentioning doesn’t kick in until Friday the 17th of July. That’s four days of flat, poor conditions from now through Thursday. Don’t even bother waxing up until then.
On Friday morning we’ve got a clean 3ft easterly groundswell rolling in with a period of 17 seconds – that’s a long one, meaning nice shaped waves but longer lulls between sets. The wind is glassy, dead calm, so it’ll be clean as a whistle. The combined energy is pumping at 490 (moderate wave energy), and it’s a beginner-friendly break, so this is your best bet. Friday afternoon keeps it going with 3ft from the east, still glassy, and energy up to 520.
Saturday the 18th is also a standout. Morning brings 3ft easterly swell with a 15-second period, offshore wind from the WSW, and clean conditions. The energy is 625 – that’s solid moderate energy, and it’ll feel punchy for a 3ft wave. The swell direction from the east is bang on what Taylors likes (ENE optimum). Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so get in early. Water temp is around 50°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so don’t expect a warm one.

After Saturday, the quality drops off fast. Sunday the 19th sees smaller 2ft east swell, glassy and clean, but it’s weaker (energy 230) and the wave comment says “surfable but very ordinary.” Monday the 20th is a bit weird – a tiny 1ft SSE groundswell from the morning, but the afternoon picks up a 2ft SSE swell with an 18-second period, pushing energy to 415. Problem is the wind goes cross-onshore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy.

From Tuesday the 21st right through to the end of the month, it’s pretty much a write-off. Waves drop below 2ft most days, energy is weak (often under 100), and the wind is a mixed bag of onshore, cross, or cross-off. There’s a brief flicker on Saturday the 25th with a 2ft ESE swell and 15-second period, energy 166, but it’s only a morning thing and the conditions are just “ordinary.” The rest is tiny, poor, or blown out.

So, to sum it up: your one true window is Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th. That’s the pick of the 16 days. After that, you’re looking at a long run of small, weak surf until the end of the month. It’s not great, but it’s not unusual for this area – sometimes you get a blank run. Keep an eye on the forecasts, things can change.

Rusty.

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