Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. Rusty here, looking at the next 16 days for Taylors Mistake.

First off, the water is running about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The good news is, after a pretty average start, we’ve got a run of decent surf building from the end of the week.

The first few days are a write-off. Wednesday, the 22nd, through to Friday, the 24th, are mostly flat with tiny, short-period dribble that’s not worth paddling out for. The wind is messy, and the energy is just not there – you’re looking at combined wave energy readings in the teens and low 40s, which is barely a bump. Saturday the 25th is still poor, but by Sunday morning the 26th, the energy starts to lift with a 2-foot easterly swell and a long period of 15 seconds. The conditions are still very ordinary, but there’s a pulse coming.

The real standout is from Tuesday the 28th into Wednesday the 29th. Tuesday morning is the pick of the whole forecast. The swell jumps to 6 feet from the east, with a nice long 15-second period, and the glassy offshore nor’west wind will have it looking clean. The combined energy hits 1225, which is proper. That’s the kind of morning you set the alarm for.

Wednesday the 29th is also excellent. The swell drops a touch to 5 feet, but you’ve got a clean offshore west wind of 15 km/h. The period stays long at 13 seconds, and the energy is high at 673. It’s going to be well-shaped and lined up.

Thursday the 30th holds up well in the morning too, with 5 feet of east swell and a 14-second period, but the wind turns more cross-off by the afternoon, so get it early.

After that, the swell slowly fades through the end of the month and into the first week of August. There’s a fun little window Friday the 31st with 3 feet and glassy conditions in the afternoon, and the first of August has some clean, small waves. But by the 2nd of August, it’s dropping back to 2 feet and becoming ordinary again.

There’s a late spike on Wednesday the 5th of August with a 3-foot swell from the south-southeast, but the wind is strong and messy, so it’s hard to get excited about that.

So, to sum it up: the best on offer is Tuesday morning, the 28th of July. That 6-foot east swell with glassy conditions is your go-to. Wednesday the 29th morning is a close second. The rest is either too small, too windy, or just ordinary. Taylors is a friendly beginner spot, and remember, it can get crowded there sometimes, so get out early for the good ones.

Rusty.

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