Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, looking down the line at what’s on offer for Taylors Mistake over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – the first week is a slow grind with very little to get excited about, so there’s a gap right at the start. The real standout waits all the way out on Wednesday the 10th of September. Let’s paddle through it day by day.

We kick off Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th of August with tiny, weak swell around 1 ft to 1 ft from the ENE. The water is sitting at 50°, which feels a touch warmer than normal for the time of year, but with hardly any energy (combined energy of only 52 and 19) and poor surf conditions, there’s nothing to chase. Monday the 31st offers a small bump – still only 1 ft from the SSE but with a nice glassy morning and a clean, glassy afternoon. The energy is feeble (70 and 62), and the waves are surfable but very ordinary. Keep the board in the car just in case, but don’t expect much.

Tuesday the 1st of September is a write-off – 2 ft from the SSE, but the wind is blowing moderate cross-off, and the energy barely ticks over (98 and 103). Still poor. Then Wednesday the 2nd of September brings a tiny pulse of interest. Morning shows 3 ft from the SSE with a very long period of 17 seconds, glassy conditions, and the combined energy jumps to 376 – expect good surf conditions. That long-period groundswell will push through clean and powerful for a beginner-friendly spot like Taylors Mistake, but be aware: with period over 15 seconds, the wave shape might feel a bit straight at this beach, and the afternoon wipes it out with a fresh 35 km/h cross-off wind. That morning window is the only real chance in the first week, but it’s short-lived.

Thursday the 3rd through Monday the 8th of September is a desert. Tiny swell, onshore winds, and combined energy mostly below 100. Tuesday the 8th sees a small spike to 3 ft from the ENE, but it’s chopped up by moderate cross-onshore wind. The energy hits 158, but it’s still poor. Honestly, this stretch is better for a kite if the wind is up, than for paddle surfing.

Now, here’s the standout. Wednesday the 10th of September morning. We’ve got 4 ft of swell from the SSE with a long period of 13 seconds, glassy clean conditions under a light offshore cross-off breeze from the SW. The combined energy is pumping at 378, and the forecast says expect good surf conditions. That’s the one. The swell direction lines up with the optimum ENE exposure, and the quality is there – consistent, clean, and with energy to shape up some proper waves. It’s not huge, but for Taylors Mistake, this is the best on offer in the whole 16-day window. With crowds listed as “sometimes,” you might have a few locals out, but it won’t be packed. After that, the afternoon drops to marginal, and Thursday the 11th fades to poor again.

Friday the 12th and Saturday the 13th of September trail off into tiny, onshore slop with no energy. That’s it for the outlook – a long wait for that Wednesday morning burst, then back to flat.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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