Taylors Mistake Surf Break

Lat Long: 43.58° S 172.78° E

Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 05 Nov 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
14.1°C
2.8° 

Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 5 Nov 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 16 Nov, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 10 Nov, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, ENE swell with 204 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 16 Nov, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with NE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Nov 16) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Nov 10) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Nov 11) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Mon 16th Nov)2.5ft (0.7m) 10s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 16th Nov)2.5ft (0.7m) 10s
Most Powerful 4PM (Tue 10th Nov)5ft (1.5m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
5
Friday
6
Saturday
7
Sunday
8
Monday
9
Tuesday
10
Wednesday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
ENE
6
0.7
ENE
4
0.6
ENE
7
0.5
ENE
7
0.5
ENE
7
0.6
ENE
8
0.4
ENE
7
0.4
ENE
7
0.5
S
4
0.4
ENE
8
0.4
ENE
8
0.5
ENE
8
0.4
ENE
8
0.4
ENE
8
0.3
ENE
8
1.5
ENE
6
1.5
ENE
7
0.8
ENE
7
0.5
ENE
6
0.4
NE
8
0.4
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
18
11
31
26
29
40
21
20
9
20
22
40
25
20
11
187
204
57
22
17
28
Wind (km/h)
5
N
10
E
5
NE
20
N
25
NNW
20
N
10
W
5
E
10
SW
10
SW
10
E
5
WSW
5
N
10
ENE
10
E
15
E
10
E
25
N
25
N
25
NNW
20
N
Wind State
glassy
on
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross
off
on
cross-off
cross-off
on
off
glassy
on
on
on
on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
High Tide
2:04PM2.24m
2:29AM2.20m
2:55PM2.21m
3:21AM2.21m
3:45PM2.20m
4:13AM2.24m
4:36PM2.19m
5:04AM2.28m
5:26PM2.18m
5:54AM2.31m
6:15PM2.17m
6:41AM2.31m
7:02PM2.15m
Low Tide
8:18PM0.48m
8:43AM0.53m
9:07PM0.51m
9:39AM0.57m
9:56PM0.54m
10:33AM0.59m
10:45PM0.57m
11:23AM0.61m
11:34PM0.61m
12:10PM0.64m
00:22AM0.64m
12:56PM0.66m
1:06AM0.68m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:05
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6:05
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6:03
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6:03
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6:01
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6:00
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5:58
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
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8:17
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8:20
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8:21
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8:22
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8:23
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8:24
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8:25
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 mm
—
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—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2
—
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Temp °C
20
19
18
23
23
19
21
17
13
17
15
12
13
13
13
14
14
17
20
19
16
Feels °C
19
17
16
19
18
15
19
16
12
16
14
12
12
11
11
12
13
12
15
14
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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