Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. To be honest with you, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty average for Taylors Mistake. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak surf ahead, and it’s going to take a while before anything gets interesting. The first week is especially quiet, with barely enough energy to get wet. We're looking at a lot of days with swell heights under 3 feet, and the winds are mostly onshore or cross-offshore, kicking up a bit of chop. Not the kind of conditions that get you out of bed early.

The water’s sitting at around 48.7°F, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so you won’t need the thickest suit just yet, but you’ll still want a good hood and gloves for the long sits between sets.

We start off on Saturday the 8th, with a tiny 1ft SE swell and a light E breeze. It’s a bit of a tease, but there’s just nothing there to ride. The swell energy is weak, coming in at only 30. You're better off doing something else. Sunday the 9th doesn’t get any better, with a short-period 2.3ft NE swell but the ENE wind is cross-on, making things messy. The energy is still weak, around 77. It’s all pretty frustrating.

Monday the 10th is a bit of a false dawn. The swell drops to 0.7ft, but we get a clean WSW offshore breeze in the morning. The water’s glassy, but there’s just no wave to push you around. The energy is a paltry 34. After a few days of this, you can feel the cobwebs building up.

The middle of the week picks up a little, but it’s still nothing to write home about. Tuesday the 11th has a 2ft ESE swell, but the ENE wind is cross-on again, so it’s still lumpy. Wednesday the 12th sees the swell push up a bit to 4.3ft in the morning, and 4.9ft by the afternoon, ENE direction, with a period of 7-8 seconds. That’s the biggest we get for a while, and the energy builds to 171, then 260, but the onshore wind just ruins it. It’s a messy, short-period windswell, not the clean lines we’re after. This is probably the only time the swell gets over 5ft, so it’s not a beginner’s day, but with the wind, it’s not much fun for anyone.

Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are more of the same, with a 3ft ENE swell, but the winds are all over the place. Friday morning actually cleans up a touch with a light SW cross-off, and we get a 3.3ft ENE swell, but the energy is still moderate at best, 126. It’s surfable, but just very ordinary.

The weekend of the 15th and 16th is a bit of a grind. Saturday the 15th has a 2.3ft to 2.6ft E swell, with a cross-off breeze and some light rain. The energy is still moderate, around 124. It’s clean, but the waves are just small and weak. Sunday the 16th is similar, with a 2ft E swell in the morning and a clean WNW breeze, but the energy drops back to 104. It’s a board-shortening day, not a wave-hunting day.

Now, after this first week, we hit a real lull. From Monday the 17th through to Wednesday the 19th, the swell just fades away. We’re looking at 0.7ft to 2ft of mostly SE swell, and the energy readings are weak, dipping as low as 7. There’s no push at all. The winds are mostly offshore or glassy, which is great for the soul, but there’s simply nothing to surf. It’s a proper flat spell.

Thursday the 20th is a bit of a puzzle. The swell is still small, 2ft in the morning, but the afternoon brings a 2.6ft SSE swell with a long 17-second period. The energy jumps up to 360, which is the strongest we’ve seen all window. But the wind is onshore, E at 6 mph, and the period is so long that it’s probably breaking too straight for the beach break. It’s a tease, but it’s not the day to get excited about.

The final stretch, from Friday the 21st through to Sunday the 23rd, is more of the same. We’ve got small, clean conditions, with glassy mornings and light cross-off breezes. The swell is in the 1ft to 1.6ft range, with periods between 10 and 15 seconds. The energy is mostly weak to moderate. It’s perfect weather for a paddle and a few closeouts, but if you’re looking for a proper wave, you’re out of luck.

Honestly, the best call here is to leave the board in the car for the next two weeks. There’s nothing that stands out as a proper session. The only day that even hints at potential is the

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