Taylors Mistake Surf Break

Lat Long: 43.58° S 172.78° E

Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 04 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
12.0°C
2.2° 

Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 4 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 11 Oct, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 11 Oct, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with 172 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 11 Oct, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Oct 11) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 1.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Oct 11) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Oct 07) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sun 11th Oct)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Best Surf10AM (Sun 11th Oct)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Most Powerful 4AM (Sun 11th Oct)4ft (1.2m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
4
Monday
5
Tuesday
6
Wednesday
7
Thursday
8
Friday
9
Saturday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
11
0.4
SE
10
0.4
SE
11
0.4
SE
10
0.4
SE
10
0.8
ENE
5
0.7
ENE
6
0.5
ENE
7
0.6
ENE
8
0.6
ENE
8
0.4
ENE
7
0.4
ENE
8
0.6
SSE
6
0.8
SE
6
0.5
ESE
6
0.7
ENE
6
0.8
ENE
4
1.1
ENE
6
0.9
ENE
6
0.9
ENE
6
1.2
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
29
26
40
35
25
37
37
25
43
44
21
23
21
44
17
35
24
69
64
72
168
Wind (km/h)
10
NE
15
ENE
10
ENE
10
NE
20
ENE
15
ENE
5
NW
5
E
5
NNE
5
W
10
WNW
15
SSW
5
S
10
E
15
E
15
ENE
20
ENE
20
NE
20
ENE
20
ENE
10
E
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-off
on
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
High Tide
11:35AM2.40m
00:07AM2.27m
12:33PM2.36m
1:00AM2.26m
1:28PM2.32m
1:53AM2.25m
2:21PM2.30m
2:45AM2.24m
3:12PM2.29m
3:37AM2.24m
4:03PM2.28m
4:29AM2.25m
4:54PM2.27m
Low Tide
5:58PM0.47m
6:16AM0.42m
6:53PM0.44m
7:09AM0.40m
7:45PM0.42m
8:02AM0.39m
8:35PM0.41m
8:57AM0.40m
9:25PM0.42m
9:52AM0.42m
10:16PM0.44m
10:47AM0.44m
11:08PM0.46m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
—
—
6:56
—
—
6:54
—
—
6:52
—
—
6:50
—
—
6:48
—
—
6:47
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
7:37
—
—
7:38
—
—
7:39
—
—
7:40
—
—
7:43
—
—
7:44
—
—
7:45
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 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
8
9
7
9
9
8
15
15
11
17
19
13
8
8
8
8
8
9
10
10
10
Feels °C
5
5
3
5
4
3
12
12
9
14
17
9
6
4
4
3
3
5
6
6
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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