Surf Forecasts:
Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 16s period, SSE swell with 155 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:
The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 0.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mate. Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it’s a pretty grim run for Taylors Mistake. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing much at all for the first week and a half. The first proper sign of life isn’t until Tuesday, the 8th of September, with a tiny 2.3ft swell from the East, but it’s a glassy morning and the water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year at 50.9°F. The energy is weak (66), so it’s a longboard or a foamie kind of session, if you’re desperate.
The next standout is a bit of a tease. On the morning of 20th September, we get a jump in swell to 5.6ft from the SSE. The energy is strong (379), and with glassy conditions, it should be clean. But that’s a solid size for beginners, and the period is short at 8 seconds, so it won’t have the best shape. For an experienced surfer, that Sunday morning is the best on offer across the whole 16 days, but it’s two weeks away, so keep an eye on it.
There’s a promising moment late on the 19th of September with a 4.9ft swell from the SE and a fresh offshore wind from the WSW, but the conditions are flagged as marginal. The energy is solid (371), but it’s a bit of a gamble.
The rest of the period is a write-off: tiny waves, onshore wind, or just junk. From the 5th through to the 18th, it’s mostly poor surf with scores of zero. There’s a small window on the 8th and 12th for a clean but tiny wave, but nothing to get excited about.
For a spot that’s fairly exposed and fairly consistent normally, this is a very flat, quiet run. The only real highlight is that Sunday morning on the 20th, but it’s a long way off and the forecast could change. For now, save your energy.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 11°C on Wed afternoon, min 5°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | E 7 | E 10 | ESE 4 | E 5 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 4 | NE 8 | E 8 | SSE 19 | NE 4 | SSE 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 47 | 32 | 26 | 76 | 66 | 106 | 133 | 96 | 140 | 31 | 12 | 71 | 5 | 36 | 3 | 116 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | off | off |
High Tide | 10:49AM2.37m | 11:21PM2.24m | 11:47AM2.38m | 00:16AM2.25m | 12:43PM2.38m | 1:11AM2.28m | 1:38PM2.39m | 2:05AM2.30m | 2:31PM2.40m | 2:57AM2.31m | 3:23PM2.40m | 3:48AM2.32m | 4:15PM2.39m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:11PM0.53m | 5:31AM0.45m | 6:09PM0.47m | 6:25AM0.40m | 7:03PM0.41m | 7:19AM0.35m | 7:54PM0.36m | 8:14AM0.31m | 8:45PM0.33m | 9:10AM0.29m | 9:38PM0.33m | 10:05AM0.28m | 10:32PM0.34m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | | |  | |
 | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — |
 | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 4 | 7 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | 10 | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 7 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | S 16 | S 18 | S 17 | S 17 | NE 9 | S 16 | S 12 | E 7 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 4 | ENE 3 | E 8 | SSE 19 | NE 4 | SSE 17 |
| kJ | 4 | 5 | 6 | 287 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 66 | 106 | 133 | 96 | 140 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 3 | 116 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 9 | E 10 | NNE 5 | N 8 | S 9 | S 15 | S 9 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 6 | SE 12 | S 19 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 42 | 40 | 78 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 7 | S 9 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | S 16 | NNE 6 | S 14 | — | S 13 | S 13 | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | S 18 | N 3 | ENE 9 | SSE 4 | E 8 | NW 4 | E 14 |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 79 | 3 | 16 | — | 4 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 25 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 2 | NNW 4 | N 3 | ESE 4 | E 5 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | — | — | — | NNE 3 | ENE 8 | N 4 | NW 3 | NE 8 | — | NNW 3 | W 4 | WNW 3 |
| kJ | 1 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 28 | 47 | 32 | 26 | 76 | — | — | — | 4 | 115 | 28 | 2 | 71 | — | 8 | 9 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 31 | 133 | 31 | 32 | 143 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 22 | 32 | 22 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.
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