Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a slow start. The first few days are pretty much a write-off for a proper paddle. We’ve got a few small waves around, but the wind and conditions just aren’t playin’ ball. Friday morning the 7th is tiny at 1ft from the ESE, but with a cross-on breeze and only 130 combined energy, it’s not worth wettin’ a suit. Friday afternoon and Saturday are the same story – small, messy, or glassy but with no real push.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Sunday the 9th. We’ve got a 5ft NE swell rollin’ in with a period of 8 seconds, and the wind is offshore from the W. That’s a clean combo for Taylors Mistake. The combined energy is at 325 (moderate), so there’s some grunt there. But keep in mind, that 8-second period is a bit short, so the waves will be a little dumpy and close together. Still, for a beginner-friendly spot, Sunday morning is your best bet in this stretch. The water temp is sittin’ at 49°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so nothin’ wild there.

Monday the 10th drops right off – tiny swell and stronger cross-off winds, so don’t get your hopes up. Tuesday the 11th is a write-off with strong cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions.

Then we get a weird one. Wednesday the 12th morning sees a jump to 6ft from the NE, but the period is a short 7 seconds and the wind is light cross-onshore. The combined energy is a solid 479 (moderate), but the wind and short period will make it a bit of a mess. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. Afternoon drops off again.

The rest of the week is flat or tiny, with glassy conditions but no swell to speak of. Thursday the 13th through Saturday the 15th have some small, clean waves, but we’re talkin’ 2ft to 3ft. The combined energy is low, mostly in the double digits. Not worth a special trip.

Sunday the 16th is blown out by strong SW winds. The 17th and 18th have tiny, clean waves but nothing with any punch.

Now, here’s where it gets a little interesting if you’re lookin’ way ahead. Saturday the 22nd, we’ve got a 4ft swell from the ENE comin’ in. The period is a short 6 to 7 seconds, so again, a bit of a short-period windswell, but the wind is offshore or light cross-off, and the combined energy is 143 to 168 (moderate). It’s not a standout by any means, but it’s the best-looking surf in the second week. It’s clean, and Taylors can handle that size for a beginner. Just keep in mind it’s two weeks out, so treat that with a grain of salt.

Overall, the standout window is Sunday the 9th morning for the biggest, cleanest waves of the whole outlook. After that, it’s a lot of waiting. Saturday the 22nd is a promisin’ distant cousin, but not a sure thing.

Rusty.

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