Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We've got a bit of a slow start, but some real gems are hiding in the back half of this forecast, so don't write it off just yet.

The first few days at Taylors Mistake are a bit of a tease. Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th serve up clean, small waves thanks to light offshore and glassy winds, but the energy is just too weak to get excited about. The swell is a tiny 2ft to 3ft from the east, with a long period of 13 to 15 seconds. The combined energy is only around 207, so it's really just a waist-high dribble for the longboard or a beginner's session. It's surfable, but nothing to rush for.

Things get interesting on Tuesday the 28th. The swell picks up to 4ft from the east, and the period holds at 13 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 411, which is a solid, moderate push. The absolute best part? Glassy conditions all day, both morning and afternoon, with a slight breeze from the north. This is where the conditions really clean up. The water temp is about average for the time of year, no big surprises there.

Wednesday the 29th keeps the good vibes rolling with another glassy morning, though the swell drops a touch to 3ft. It's still a clean, fun-size wave. But hold on, because the real standout is hiding way out there.

The weekend of the 26th and 27th of July is a bit of a write-off for quality surf. The wind swings onshore or cross-shore, and the swell drops off. By the 30th and 31st of July, we’re looking at poor conditions with a messy cross-chop and small, weak waves. The first few days of August are even worse, with tiny 0.5ft to 2ft swells and onshore winds. It’s a dry spell that lasts from the 30th of July right through to the 8th of August. The best thing you can do during that stretch is wash your wetsuit and wait.

Now, here is the payoff. Mark your calendars for Sunday the 9th of August. The morning session looks absolutely firing. The swell jumps to 5ft from the ESE with a very long period of 16 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 1150, which is a strong, powerful groundswell. The wind is a light offshore from the ENE, giving us a glassy surface. This is a serious wave. It’s big enough to be a handful for beginners, but for the experienced crew, this is a top-tier morning. The afternoon gets a bit messier as the wind swings onshore and the period drops, so get out early.

If you miss that, Monday the 10th of August is another cracker. The morning is absolutely epic: a 4ft ESE swell, a 13-second period, and combined energy roaring at 1356. The wind is dead calm, giving us pure, glassy conditions. The report says it's excellent for experienced surfers, and I agree. That’s the pick of the whole run. The long period swell from the ESE will be breaking well, delivering some proper, powerful lines.

So, the call is this: Tues 28th July is a nice, clean session for the loggers and beginners. But the real, get-out-of-bed-early standouts are Sunday the 9th of August morning and especially Monday the 10th of August morning. That’s the one you don't miss.

Rusty.

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