Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, listen up. Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for our little corner of the coast. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a definite window of clean, fun waves to kick things off.

The action starts this Tuesday, the 28th of July. We’ve got a really nice pulse of groundswell arriving. The combined energy is moderate (417), and it’s setting up perfectly for Taylors Mistake. Swell is 4ft from the east, with a solid 13-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, and it’s going to wrap in nicely. The wind is absolute perfection – glassy offshore in the morning and glassy calm in the afternoon. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so a spring suit is fine. This is a standout morning and afternoon, with clean, lined-up waves for the beginner crowd.

Wednesday the 29th keeps the good times rolling. The swell drops to 3ft, but it’s still packing that long 13-second period from the east. The morning is glassy with a light westerly, and the afternoon is glassy with a light northwesterly. The combined energy is still solid (284). It’s a bit smaller, but the conditions are clean and the lineup will be a lot of fun. This is your best bet for a relaxed session.

Things start to fall apart from Thursday the 30th. A strong northerly kicks up, blowing 15-18 mph, turning the surf into a messy cross-shore chop. The swell drops to 2ft, and the energy fades fast. Friday through to the weekend is a write-off. We’re looking at small, weak swells in the 1ft range, and while the wind is cross-off, it’s howling. The combined energy is well under 100, so it’s just not worth paddling out.

There’s a noticeable gap of poor conditions from Thursday the 30th through to Thursday the 6th of August. We get a slight reprieve on Thursday the 6th of August. The swell picks up to 3ft from the southeast, with a 13-second period, and the combined energy gets back to 207. The wind is light offshore. It’s surfable, but it’s not the same quality as that first window. It’s just ordinary.

The following week looks like a lot of small, clean, but weak surf. The morning of Saturday the 8th of August is worth a mention. The swell is only 1ft, but it’s a clean, glassy day with light westerly wind. It’s a longboard or a funboard session, but glassy conditions are rare. The combined energy is only 62, so it’s very weak. Monday the 10th of August is similar, with a glassy morning and a tiny 2ft swell.

For the best of the bunch? It’s hands-down the Tuesday the 28th of July. That 4ft, 13-second groundswell with glassy offshore winds is the highlight of the entire 16-day window. The Wednesday morning is a close second for the clean conditions. After that, you’re in for a long wait.

Rusty.

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