Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Saturday 07 Mar 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
16.8° C
(Which is 2.3°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Mar 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 12 days are 1.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Mar 14) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Mar 14) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 8th Mar)2.5ft (0.7m) 6s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 13th Mar)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sat 14th Mar)3.5ft (1.0m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 22°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Tue afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the NW by Fri morning).

Sat
07
Sunday
08
Monday
09
Tuesday
10
Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.5
E
1.4
NE
0.5
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.5
ENE
0.3
ENE
0.4
SSE
0.2
SSE
0.2
SSE
0.5
E
0.8
ENE
0.7
NE
0.9
ENE
1.1
NE
0.9
NNE
0.8
SE
0.7
SE
0.7
SE
0.6
SE
0.5
SE
0.9
SE
Period(s) (?)967777614131245456151414131312
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)401612657271014201772222232675126621418914484227
Wind
(km/h)
15
ENE
10
ESE
10
W
15
ENE
25
SW
15
SSW
15
SW
5
SSW
10
ENE
20
ENE
20
NE
10
NE
20
ENE
25
NE
5
ENE
15
E
10
NW
10
N
30
NNW
30
SSW
5
NE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
onoffcross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
glasscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
on
oncross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
8:47PM
2.25
9:05AM
2.17
9:34PM
2.24
9:55AM
2.13
10:16PM
2.21
10:42AM
2.09
10:59PM
2.18
11:27AM
2.06
11:44PM
2.14
12:12PM
2.03
12:33AM
2.12
12:58PM
2.02
1:24AM
2.11
Low Tide
/ height (m)
2:50AM
0.61
3:10PM
0.60
3:38AM
0.70
3:55PM
0.70
4:26AM
0.76
4:42PM
0.77
5:14AM
0.81
5:29PM
0.81
6:04AM
0.82
6:16PM
0.81
6:54AM
0.81
7:03PM
0.77
7:44AM
0.76
Sat
07
Sunday
08
Monday
09
Tuesday
10
Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Sunrise--7:15--7:16--7:16--7:18--7:20--7:20--7:22
Sunset8:05--8:02--8:01--8:00--7:58--7:55--7:53--
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
Rain (mm)
----2--------------3-
Temp. °C181522201512121112131314141415161522221414
Feels °C (?)161322181288998911101013141514161110
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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