Surf Forecasts:
Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, E swell with 396 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:
The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple weeks.
First few days are nothing flash. Saturday the 11th has chest-high waves around 3 ft from the east, light offshore wind, so it’s rideable but kinda average. Water temp’s about 51°, just a touch warmer than what’s typical. Not much energy behind it.
Sunday the 12th is small and messy – not worth suiting up. From Monday through most of the following week it stays small, bumpy, and mostly poor. You’d be wasting your time.
Friday the 17th is where it finally gets interesting. Morning brings 2 ft east swell with a 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell – and light offshore breeze. Energy climbs to moderate (243). By the afternoon it cleans right up: 3 ft east swell, still 16 seconds, glassy.
Saturday the 18th is okay with cross-off wind, energy holding at 341. Then Sunday the 19th looks sweet: 3 ft from the east-southeast, 13-second period, clean offshore breeze, and energy at 372. A real fun size.
The big standout is Wednesday the 22nd. Morning shows 5 ft east-northeast swell with a 12-second period, light offshore wind, and energy blasting up to 730 – strong. That’s overhead and clean. Because it’s a longer-period swell from the east and Taylors Mistake is a point break, it’ll handle it real well. This is the pick.
Thursday the 23rd keeps the swell size but gets cross-onshore and choppy. Friday the 24th bounces back: morning has 3 ft east swell with 12 seconds and light offshore, glassy and clean.
The rest of the second week goes back to small and average.
If you’ve got a day to pick, make it Wednesday the 22nd morning. Friday the 17th afternoon is also a gem.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | NE 4 | NE 8 | ENE 7 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 7 | E 13 | E 13 | E 17 | E 16 | E 16 | E 16 | E 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 121 | 90 | 62 | 41 | 26 | 65 | 19 | 13 | 31 | 29 | 21 | 36 | 12 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 137 | 185 | 239 | 314 | 386 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:17PM2.41m | 1:46AM2.30m | 2:14PM2.51m | 2:46AM2.37m | 3:12PM2.58m | 3:43AM2.42m | 4:09PM2.63m | 4:38AM2.46m | 5:05PM2.63m | 5:33AM2.46m | 6:00PM2.60m | 6:29AM2.43m | 6:54PM2.53m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:38PM0.50m | 7:54AM0.38m | 8:35PM0.41m | 8:52AM0.32m | 9:32PM0.32m | 9:51AM0.25m | 10:29PM0.26m | 10:50AM0.19m | 11:25PM0.22m | 11:46AM0.15m | 00:21AM0.23m | 12:39PM0.15m | 1:14AM0.26m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | |  | | |  |  | | | | |
 | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:56 | — | — | 7:56 | — | — | 7:56 | — | — |
 | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 6 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | E 9 | NE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 10 | NE 5 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | E 13 | E 17 | E 16 | E 16 | E 16 | E 16 |
| kJ | 121 | 90 | 62 | 41 | 26 | 22 | 19 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 137 | 185 | 239 | 314 | 386 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 18 | SSE 16 | S 14 | S 16 | S 11 | E 9 | E 9 | S 13 | E 9 | S 8 | E 10 | E 14 | NE 4 | E 12 | E 11 | ENE 6 | S 16 | SSW 15 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 |
| kJ | 30 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 71 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | — | — | S 15 | S 15 | S 10 | S 13 | — | S 12 | S 20 | S 8 | S 16 | E 12 | S 19 | E 13 | ESE 4 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | SSW 14 | S 14 | SSW 11 |
| kJ | 56 | — | — | 41 | 4 | 2 | 4 | — | 3 | 8 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 67 | 34 | 22 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NE 2 | NE 5 | NNW 2 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | N 3 | — | ESE 4 | — | — | NE 3 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | 65 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 36 | 7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 89 | 4 | 162 | 32 | 31 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Taylors Mistake surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.
Nearest