Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Tuesday 10 Mar 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
17.8° C
(Which is 3.4°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Mar 13) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 12 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Mar 12) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Mar 16) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Fri 13th Mar)2ft (0.6m) 13s
Best Surf 4PM (Fri 13th Mar)2ft (0.6m) 13s
Most Powerful 1PM (Thu 12th Mar)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Fri morning, calm by Sat afternoon).

Tuesday
10
Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Mon
16
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.2
SSE
0.2
SSE
0.2
SSE
0.2
E
0.8
NE
0.9
ENE
0.9
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.4
SE
1.1
NE
0.6
ESE
0.6
ESE
0.6
ESE
0.5
SE
0.4
SSE
0.4
SE
0.3
ENE
0.3
SSE
0.2
SSE
0.2
SSE
Period(s) (?)14131311456771181312131212149171717
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)2017161020375553494213811610411175484916592928
Wind
(km/h)
5
SSW
5
ENE
15
ENE
20
NE
15
NE
20
ENE
20
ENE
5
NE
10
E
25
N
30
N
10
NNW
25
SSW
5
WSW
10
NNE
0
NNW
5
NW
10
E
5
WNW
5
W
10
ENE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
glasscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
on
oncross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
glasscross-
off
oncross-
off
offcross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
10:16PM
2.21
10:42AM
2.09
10:59PM
2.18
11:27AM
2.06
11:44PM
2.14
12:12PM
2.03
12:33AM
2.12
12:58PM
2.02
1:24AM
2.11
1:48PM
2.02
2:15AM
2.13
2:38PM
2.04
3:03AM
2.16
3:26PM
2.09
Low Tide
/ height (m)
4:26AM
0.76
4:42PM
0.77
5:14AM
0.81
5:29PM
0.81
6:04AM
0.82
6:16PM
0.81
6:54AM
0.81
7:03PM
0.77
7:44AM
0.76
7:51PM
0.72
8:30AM
0.70
8:40PM
0.66
9:15AM
0.63
Tuesday
10
Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Mon
16
Sunrise-7:16--7:18--7:20--7:20--7:22--7:22--7:24-
Sunset--8:00--7:58--7:55--7:53--7:52--7:51--7:49
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
---------------------
Temp. °C121313121314141620202221151618151719161918
Feels °C (?)1099799101418151720121417141617161716
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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