Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next two and a bit weeks at Taylors Mistake. The water’s sitting at 51°, which is about normal for this time of year, so nothing unusual there to worry about.

The outlook is a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. The first few days are pretty ordinary and not really worth getting out of bed for, but things do start to look up towards the end of the first week and into the second.

We’ve got a bit of a wait for the good stuff. The first mats of swell we see on Saturday the 4th and Sunday the 5th are small and direction is messy, with cross winds messing it up on Saturday. The waves are only around 2ft to 4ft, and the energy is mostly weak to moderate (146 to 606). Not worth it.

Monday the 6th is more of the same, with a tiny 2ft close-out swell and weak energy (68 and 206). The wind is a bit better, cross-off, but there’s just not enough juice.

Tuesday the 7th is where it starts to get interesting, but only for the brave. The swell jumps up to a solid 7ft on Tuesday morning, and then a proper 10ft in the afternoon. The energy is strong (683 and a huge 2611), but the wind is a choppy cross-onshore. For 10ft it’s a big, messy beast. That’s expert territory only, maybe better for a tow-in.

Wednesday the 8th is still sizey with a 5ft to 8ft east swell at 10-11 seconds, but the wind is still cross to cross-onshore. The energy is strong (680 and 2065), but it’s not clean. The big afternoon sets on 8ft will be tricky with the cross-chop.

Thursday the 9th is still marginal. The swell holds around 5ft to 6ft, but cross winds and chop make it a tough session.

Now, here’s the standout. Friday the 10th is the best call of the whole run. We’ve got a lovely 5ft to 5ft swell from the ESE, with a solid 10-second period pushing in good energy (533 to 386). The wind is a light, clean cross-off from the SW. That combination is going to give you clean, lined-up waves. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

The good conditions roll into Saturday the 11th as well. The swell is a bit smaller, around 4ft to 4ft, but the wind goes glassy on Saturday afternoon. Expect some very clean, fun waves with 326 to 273 energy.

After that, from Sunday the 12th through the rest of the second week, it fades off. The swell drops back below 3ft, and though you get some glassy mornings (like Sunday the 12th afternoon and Monday the 13th morning), the waves are small and weak. From the 14th onward it’s pretty flat, with 1ft junk and very low energy, right through to the end of the run.

So, to sum it up: hold tight through the first few days. Thursday the 9th is still a maybe. Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th are your window for clean, head-high waves with light winds.

Stay stoked and don't sleep on that Friday session.

- Rusty

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