Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

We're looking at a pretty quiet stretch for Taylors Mistake. It’s a bit of a tease, but there is one day that’s got my attention. For the next week and a half, we're mostly dealing with small, weak surf, and a lot of it isn't even worth getting wet for. The first decent wave doesn't even show up until the 19th, so there's a fair gap of nothing happening before that.

Starting around the 19th, we see a pulse of longer period energy, but it’s still tiny. We're talking 1ft to 2ft of swell. The morning of the 19th has a light offshore wind and some clean lines, but it’s a marginal call at best. The energy picks up a bit, but with that size, it’s just not doing much. You’d be trading paddling for maybe one or two rides an hour. Not exactly firing.

The 20th morning is glassy, which is always a bonus, and the swell is still a small 2ft from the SE with a 12-second period. It’s clean, but there’s just no power behind it.

Then we hit a proper flat spell. From the 21st through the 26th, it's mostly junk. Swell drops away to nothing, and even when the period is long, the size is just not there. A couple of days have a touch of offshore wind which will keep things tidy, but the ocean is basically asleep. This is a good time to do some maintenance on your boards or explore elsewhere.

Now, for the standout. Things get interesting on the 27th of August. It’s still over a week out, so I’d call it promising rather than a sure thing, but this is the one to circle. The morning of the 27th is looking like the pick of the whole forecast. We’ve got a building easterly swell, 2ft, with a long 14-second period. The energy jumps right up to a strong reading. But the big one is the wind: it’s glassy. Absolutely dead flat. That's the kind of morning where Taylors cleans up beautifully.

That morning is the one. The swell direction is E, which works for the point. It’s not huge, but that long period and glassy surface will make it feel so much better. It’s a beginner-friendly break anyway, and with 2ft, it's perfect for getting some clean, easy waves. The afternoon of the 27th sees the swell nudge up to 3ft with a light cross-onshore breeze, which will put a bit of texture on it, but it’s still a go.

Beyond that, the forecast just fades back into small, weak surf. The 28th has a morning of 3ft but the period drops right off to 6 seconds, which is just mush. And the wind picks up strong in the afternoon. So it’s clear that the 27th is our day.

Keep an eye on that Thursday morning. It could be a special one.

Rusty.

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