Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get straight into it.

The next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak, to be honest. There’s a real lack of decent swell and the wind just won’t play nice for most of it. You’re looking at a whole lot of small, weak waves. We’ve got a few windows where things almost come together, but for the most part, you’re better off doing some maintenance on your board.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn't show up until the morning of Tuesday the 8th. Taylors Mistake kicks off with a light offshore wind and a 3ft swell from the NNE, pushing the combined energy to a moderate 96. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s the first time it looks like it’s worth paddling out. The water temp is 50°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. After that, it drops back to nothing for a few days, with tiny surf and messy winds.

Now, if you’re patient, there is one standout worth waiting for. Friday morning, September 11th is the pick of the bunch. It’s still small at 1ft, but that swell is coming from the SSE with a very long period of 19 seconds. This is proper groundswell energy. The combined energy reads a solid 149, which is moderate, but the long period will give it some real push. The wind will be glassy, absolutely dead calm. It’s going to be clean as a whistle. Even though it’s small, this is the best quality surf you’ll see in the whole period. The long period does mean it might break a little straight at a beach break, but Taylors is fairly exposed and can handle it.

That window doesn’t last though. The afternoon of the 11th gets hit by a 25 mph SSW blast, and it all turns to junk.

The following morning, Saturday September 12th, the swell jumps up to 2ft from the SSE with a strong 17-second period, and the energy is solidly in the "strong" category at 268. But, and it's a big but, the wind is howling at 28 mph from the SW. It’s a cross-off, so it’s not totally onshore, but that kind of wind will make it tough and choppy. This one is for the experienced locals only, it’s not going to be pretty. This is the biggest, most powerful swell of the entire forecast. This is more of a challenge than a fun surf.

For the rest of the second week, it’s mostly back to small, weak, and wind-affected conditions. A few brief moments on the 14th and 17th have some cleaner lines, with light offshores and small swells in the 1ft to 2ft range, but none of it will get your heart racing. The energy levels are mostly weak.

Honestly, if you don’t mind small waves and perfect conditions, that Friday September 11th morning is your only real option. For everyone else, it might be time to find another hobby for a fortnight.

Keep an eye on the charts, things can change, but right now, it's a waiting game.

Rusty.

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