Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's check out what's cookin'.

Right off the bat, the next couple of days are a total bust for Taylors Mistake. There's some swell around, but the wind is just junk – cross-shore and onshore. It's hard to find a clean one.

Friday the 3rd is a washout with a weak 2ft easterly swell and onshore winds; the combined energy is only 147, so it's gutless. Saturday the 4th is worse, with a fresh cross-breeze making a mess of a small 4ft swell in the afternoon.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Sunday morning the 5th. It's still not big, with a 4ft easterly swell, but we've got a light cross-offshore wind from the north. It'll be clean, and the combined energy is moderate at 371. It's surfable, but nothing to write home about.

Monday the 6th brings a bit more size, 5ft to 5ft from the SSE, but a fresh SSW wind will keep it bumpy and poor. Tuesday the 7th afternoon shapes up a little better – a 4ft easterly swell with a light cross-offshore breeze and clean conditions (energy 531). That's a window. But the real standout in this first week is Wednesday morning, the 8th. Glassy conditions, a clean 5ft east swell with a 10-second period, and moderate energy at 457. That'll be the pick of the early days for a beginner-friendly wave, but don't expect a crowd-free lineup as it gets busy here sometimes.

After that, the surf drops off again. Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th have clean enough conditions with light winds, but the swell is small (3ft to 4ft) and the energy is low (243 to 304). It's ordinary.

Now, looking into the second week, things get more interesting but less certain. Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are small and weak, with energy dropping to double digits. The real standout of the whole 16-day forecast lands on Wednesday the 15th of July. The morning shows a massive 10ft NE swell with glassy conditions. However – and this is a big however – that's way too big for this beginner-friendly break. The file says it's too big for the spot. The afternoon, though, is a beauty: 5ft ENE groundswell with a glassy, calm sea, and good conditions (energy 599). That afternoon session on the 15th is the one to aim for. Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th follow with solid 4ft to 3ft east swells, long 13-14 second periods, and clean, glassy mornings. Those are your best bets for quality, but it's far out, so keep an eye on it.

Overall, don't bother paddling out until Sunday the 5th morning for a small clean wave, or lock in Wednesday the 8th morning for the best of the first week. For the true standout, circle Wednesday the 15th of July afternoon. The water temp is sitting at 51°F, which is about normal for the time of year.

Rusty

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