Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Aye, what's happenin'? Rusty here. Right, let's be straight with you—this outlook for Taylors Mistake is a bit of a tough one. The next 16 days are looking pretty flat and unexciting, with no real standout sessions to get fired up about. We're looking at a long stretch of small, weak surf, so don't go getting your hopes up for any barrels.

The water is sitting at 52°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won't be freezing your toes off if you do decide to go for a paddle.

Let's kick off on Tuesday, the 8th of September. Morning is glassy with a tiny 3ft NE windswell, but the period is a short 4 seconds and the combined energy is a weak 40. It's just not doing anything. That afternoon, it drops even further to 2ft. The whole of Wednesday, the 9th, is a write-off with cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions.

Thursday the 10th is the first time we see anything surfable, but it's still very ordinary. The morning has a 2ft ENE swell with an 8-second period, and a light cross-offshore wind from the SW. The energy is still weak at 56. It's clean, but tiny. That afternoon is even smaller.

The rest of the first week and into the second week is a real grind. Friday the 11th has a 0.7ft SSE groundswell with an 18-second period, but the energy is only 40. The morning is crossed-up, but the afternoon goes glassy with a 2ft N windswell that has a pathetic 3-second period and energy of just 8. Saturday the 12th morning offers a glimmer with a 2ft SSE groundswell at 16 seconds and a glassy morning, giving a moderate energy of 157. But it's still only surfable in a very ordinary way. The afternoon gets ruined by a 30 km/h cross-onshore wind.

Sunday the 13th is clean and glassy in the morning with a 1ft SSE groundswell (99 energy), but it's nothing to write home about. The rest of that week and into the next is all small, poor surf with cross-offshore winds keeping things clean but the swell is just too weak. We see a bit of ENE windswell on Saturday the 19th afternoon with 4ft, but it's a 4-second period and cross-on. Not worth it.

The only real, and I mean *only*, potential session is maybe the morning of Thursday the 17th, with a 0.7ft E groundswell at 14 seconds and a clean offshore wind from the W. But it's tiny. Or the morning of Saturday the 19th, with a 0.7ft ESE groundswell (12 seconds) and clean offshore wind from the WSW. Again, tiny.

Honestly, this is a blank run of surf. Taylors Mistake is a beginner-friendly spot, but there's just no swell to work with. With such small, weak surf and occasionally clean conditions, it might look more interesting for a kite session than a paddle session on some of the windier days, but for a surfer? It's a hard pass. The forecasts can change, but for now, save your energy.

Rusty.

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