Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Saturday 24 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
18.4° C
(Which is 3.6°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jan 25) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 12 days are 1.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jan 24) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 10s period and expected on Monday (Jan 26) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 25th Jan)2ft (0.6m) 9s
Best Surf 4AM (Sun 25th Jan)2ft (0.6m) 9s
Most Powerful10AM (Sat 24th Jan)3.5ft (1.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sat morning, calm by Sun morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 22°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
Wednesday
28
Thursday
29
Fri
30
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.4
ESE
1
E
0.8
E
0.7
E
0.4
SSE
0.4
SSE
0.4
SSE
0.5
SSE
0.5
E
0.4
E
0.4
E
0.4
E
0.4
SE
0.4
SE
0.5
ENE
0.7
ENE
0.3
E
0.4
ENE
0.3
E
0.4
SE
0.2
E
Period(s) (?)111010101213121112111111991211101010611
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)469200123906163546867434239232177105183317139
Wind
(km/h)
15
SSW
30
SW
30
SW
20
SW
5
WSW
15
SW
15
WSW
15
SSW
5
SW
5
SW
10
SW
10
SSW
5
SW
15
NE
20
ENE
15
ENE
5
WNW
10
ESE
15
S
5
SE
5
ENE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
glasscross-
off
offcross-
off
glasscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
oncross-
on
glasscross-
on
crossglasscross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
9:26AM
2.23
9:56PM
2.18
10:20AM
2.22
10:47PM
2.23
11:16AM
2.23
11:41PM
2.28
12:11PM
2.24
12:37AM
2.34
1:06PM
2.25
1:35AM
2.40
2:04PM
2.28
2:32AM
2.45
3:02PM
2.31
Low Tide
/ height (m)
3:05AM
0.46
3:40PM
0.48
3:56AM
0.49
4:31PM
0.49
4:52AM
0.54
5:27PM
0.49
5:53AM
0.56
6:24PM
0.47
6:56AM
0.55
7:19PM
0.44
7:56AM
0.50
8:12PM
0.40
8:53AM
0.43
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
Wednesday
28
Thursday
29
Fri
30
Sunrise-6:16--6:18--6:18--6:20--6:22--6:22--6:24-
Sunset--9:02--9:01--9:01--9:00--9:00--8:59--8:58
light rain
cloud
light rain
mod rain
cloud
part cloud
light rain
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
light rain
cloud
Rain (mm)
5-39--1-21--------21-
Temp. °C131414131415141717141415131516152220171213
Feels °C (?)117871312111617131112111213132119171112
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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