Surf Forecasts:
Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 12s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 12s period, SSE swell with 318 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 12s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:
The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 3s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 1.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 13s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at the surf coming up for Taylors Mistake. It’s a bit of a slow grind for the most part, but there’s one morning that’s got my blood pumping.
The water temp is sitting right around 49°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
For the next week, it’s all pretty small and ordinary. We start Sunday the 2nd with a clean but tiny 3ft SE groundswell. There’s a bit of push to it, but it’s just not doing much. The wind is light off, which is nice, but the swell energy is weak (210). It’s a groveler’s session. The rest of the week is much the same—small, clean, but unremarkable. We see a bit of a pulse on Tuesday the 4th afternoon, with 3ft, but the 19 mph SW wind is howling, so it’s going to be messy and blown out. Not worth your time. Wednesday and Thursday offer some clean conditions and waist-high dribble, but nothing that will get you out of bed early.
Then we hit a proper flat spell. From Friday the 7th through to Monday the 10th, it’s tiny with poor winds and ripples. You’d be fighting for scraps. This is the quiet period, but it’s about to break.
Now, here’s the one to circle. Monday morning, August 10th. This is the standout. We’ve got a 6ft NE swell rolling in, with a short 7-second period. It’s windblown, but the offshore is light and glassy. The energy jumps way up to 420, which is strong for this stretch. This isn’t for the faint of heart at 6ft, and with that short period, it’ll be lumpy and peaky. It’s a proper power session for the experienced crew. Beginners should sit this one out. The morning window is the only time to get it, as the afternoon turns onshore and junky.
After that, we settle back down. The following week is mostly small, with a few clean mornings. The 14th sees another pulse of 5ft ENE, but it's short-period and nothing to write home about. The 15th and 16th are back to small, clean, and glassy but gutless.
Overall, if you want waves, you’re waiting for that Monday the 10th. Everything else is a paddle for practice.
Catch ya later.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, strong winds from the SW by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Mild temperatures (max 7°C on Wed afternoon, min 4°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSE 12 | E 13 | E 13 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 12 | SSE 16 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | SE 10 | SE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 205 | 134 | 92 | 34 | 22 | 78 | 3 | 3 | 224 | 162 | 162 | 120 | 71 | 98 | 65 | 98 | 196 | 42 | 16 | 25 | 15 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | glassy |
High Tide | 7:12PM2.19m | 7:45AM2.10m | 8:00PM2.19m | 8:31AM2.14m | 8:52PM2.18m | 9:19AM2.19m | 9:46PM2.19m | 10:10AM2.24m | 10:40PM2.20m | 11:05AM2.30m | 11:35PM2.22m | 12:02PM2.36m | 00:31AM2.25m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:59PM0.50m | 1:31AM0.52m | 1:42PM0.51m | 2:15AM0.53m | 2:30PM0.54m | 3:03AM0.54m | 3:22PM0.58m | 3:56AM0.55m | 4:21PM0.60m | 4:52AM0.53m | 5:22PM0.59m | 5:48AM0.48m | 6:24PM0.53m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — |
 | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
Feels °C | 7 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 3 | -4 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 4 | E 13 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 12 | SE 12 | SE 13 | SE 8 | SE 10 | SE 10 |
| kJ | 205 | 134 | 92 | 34 | 21 | 78 | 3 | 3 | 224 | 162 | 162 | 120 | 71 | 98 | 65 | 98 | 71 | 42 | 11 | 25 | 15 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 16 | E 16 | NNE 3 | NE 6 | SSE 15 | ESE 12 | E 13 | — | E 12 | NE 12 | E 18 | ESE 16 | ESE 11 | ESE 16 | SE 13 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | NE 3 | ENE 4 | ESE 12 | SE 19 |
| kJ | 5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 3 | — | 3 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 44 | 53 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 14 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | NE 16 | S 20 | S 13 | N 3 | E 13 | — | — | — | E 16 | E 12 | E 12 | ESE 15 | S 13 | SE 18 | S 9 | SSE 16 | S 12 | ESE 13 | NE 4 | SE 12 |
| kJ | 7 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | 5 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 3 | 13 | 59 | 196 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | — | NNW 3 | NW 2 | WNW 3 | SSW 2 | S 13 | S 13 | SW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | ENE 3 |
| kJ | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 350 | 389 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 31 | 0 | 4 | 64 | 8 | 181 | 181 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 31 | 22 | 31 | 31 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.
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