Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Taylors Mistake over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s a small window of clean glass right at the beginning. Monday morning, July 20th, is the pick of the early days. We’re looking at a clean 2ft swell from the SSE, with a very long period of 19 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and with glassy conditions and a water temp of 51°F (about 2°F warmer than normal for this time of year, so not too chilly), it’s a real treat for a winter session. The combined energy is moderate at 371, but don’t let that fool you – that long period will punch above its weight, especially at a reef setup like this. It’s a beginner-friendly break, and with crowds only sometimes, Monday morning is your best chance for a clean, quiet paddle.

After that, things get pretty flat and ordinary. Tuesday the 21st drops to 1ft and 1.0ft, and the energy tank is weak. From Wednesday the 22nd right through to Saturday the 25th, we’re looking at poor surf conditions with tiny waves, onshore or cross-shore breezes, and combined energy readings in the single digits or low teens. It’s a real flat spell. Honestly, it’s not worth getting wet.

Then, around Sunday the 26th, the ocean starts to wake up again. Sunday morning shows a 2ft SSE swell, period 14 seconds, with clean offshore winds from the WNW. The combined energy jumps to 286 (moderate), and it feels like a proper winter groundswell. That’s the second standout window, but it’s still on the small side.

The real meat comes on Monday the 27th through Tuesday the 28th of July. Monday morning serves up 4ft from the ESE with a period of 13 seconds and a combined energy of 563 (strong). The wind is cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but the swell is getting up there. By Tuesday the 28th, it’s 5ft from the east, period 14-15 seconds, and the energy hits 963 and 1005 – that’s strong to very strong wave energy. This is big, powerful groundswell. For a beginner-friendly break, 5ft is pushing the limit, and anything over 5ft is too much for beginners. This is expert territory. The wind is cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but the power is real. This is your best chance for a proper session, but only if you’ve got the experience.

After that, the swell drops back through the end of July and into early August. The first week of August looks like mostly small, ordinary surf with combined energy in the low hundreds or below. Not much to write home about.

So, overall, the standout is Monday morning, July 20th, for a clean, glassy, long-period small wave session. The big, powerful groundswell on Tuesday, July 28th, is the one for the experts – it’s the biggest, most energetic swell of the window, but it’s not for the faint of heart. The rest of the time, you’re waiting for the next pulse.

Rusty.

Read more