Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Taylors Mistake over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – this is a lean run. We’ve got a long gap of nothing special before we see a proper window of opportunity.

The first solid recommendation doesn’t arrive until Thursday, 14 August. Before that, from Sunday the 9th right through to Wednesday the 13th, it’s pretty ordinary. The swell is tiny, mostly around 1 ft to 4 ft, and the wind is often cross-on or messy. The combined energy is weak, sitting under 200 (moderate at best) and mostly below 100 (85 to 199). The water temperature is 49°F with a 0.4°F anomaly, so about average for the time of year – nothing special there.

Thursday the 14th is where things perk up a little. The morning sees clean 3 ft swell from the ENE with a 8-second period and light offshore wind from the W at 6 mph. The afternoon holds clean 3 ft from the E with a 9-second period and a light cross-offshore breeze. Combined energy pushes up to 131 and 158, which is moderate. Surfable but nothing to write home about.

Friday the 15th is a write-off with strong winds and poor conditions.

Sunday the 16th is a bit better – morning brings clean 3 ft from the E, 10-second period, light offshore WSW wind at 6 mph, combined energy of 167. The afternoon stays clean with 2 ft and a gentle offshore. This is the pick of the first week, but still modest.

The real standout is Sunday, 23 August – that’s over a week away, so treat it as promising but not locked in. The morning session looks like the best on offer across the whole outlook. Swell is 2 ft from the E with a very long 15-second period, light offshore wind from the WSW at 3 mph, and glassy conditions. The combined energy jumps to 327, which is strong energy for this spot. That long period groundswell will bring proper shape and power, but it might break a bit too straight for the beachbreak – still, with clean conditions, it’s the day to circle on the calendar.

The rest of the second week is small and inconsistent. Monday the 24th has a glassy 2 ft from the E with a 12-second period but combined energy drops to 93 – weak.

Overall, this is a sparse outlook. Taylors Mistake is fairly consistent but the surf quality is mostly ordinary. When it’s poor for this long, it tends not to stay that way, so keep an eye on the forecasts. If you’re a beginner, the small clean days around 1 ft to 3 ft with offshore winds (like the 14th or 16th) will be your best bet. For everyone else, wait for Sunday the 23rd.

Rusty.

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