Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright surfers, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you about Taylors Mistake. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for us, so don’t get your hopes up too early. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, messy, or just flat waves ahead, starting right now and going right through to the end of August. There’s a big gap with no real surf on offer, so you might as well take a break or do some rock fishing.

The only real light at the end of the tunnel shows up on the first day of September, and even then it’s not a classic. Let’s dig into it.

For the entire run from Thursday the 20th of August right through to Monday the 31st of August, it’s a pretty grim story. The swell is tiny, mostly under 2 ft, and the energy is weak, with combined energy readings barely cracking 60 (40). There’s a mix of onshore and cross-offshore winds, but with that little swell, it’s just not worth paddling out. The water temp is sitting at 50°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Now, the first real standout comes on Monday the 31st of August. The morning session is the first time we see a pulse of energy. The combined swell energy jumps to 162 (moderate), with a 2 ft SSE swell at 16 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, which can mean better shaped waves but also longer waits between sets. The wind is a clean light cross-offshore from the WSW, so the surface will be tidy. At Taylors Mistake, a long-period SSE swell isn’t the best direction, it’s a bit close to the optimum ENE direction, but it’s the best we’ve seen in two weeks. The afternoon has a bit more size (3 ft, 309 energy) but with an onshore breeze, it’s a bit iffy.

The real standout is on Wednesday the 2nd of September. The morning kicks off with a clean 3 ft SE swell at 13 seconds, with a light offshore wind from the W. That’s a solid combo. The combined energy is a strong 295 (moderate-strong), and the water is glassy by the afternoon with an E breeze. This is your best window. The swell direction is SE, which is well off the optimum ENE, but for a point break, that long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely. Thursday the 3rd of September looks even cleaner, glassy all day with the same 3 ft SE swell at 14 seconds and 346 energy. This is the best on offer, but remember, it’s a long way out, so don’t book the day off just yet.

After that, it fades again into ordinary conditions by Friday the 4th of September.

So, to wrap it up: forget the next two weeks. The only real chance is a promising run from the 31st of August through to the 3rd of September, with the 2nd and 3rd being the pick of the bunch. It’s not pumping, but it’s clean, shoulder-high, and that’s a win in this stretch.

Stay patient, mates.

Rusty

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