Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here again. Let’s be honest from the jump—these next couple weeks are going to test your patience. Taylors Mistake is the only spot we’ve got on the list, and she’s looking pretty starved. The whole 16-day window is filled with tiny, weak swells and a lot of wind that’s just messing with what little is there. If you’re not dead set on a surf, you might be better off doing something else.

Starting off Sunday afternoon, August 2nd, there’s a bit of southeast groundswell—about 2ft at 13 seconds—but the cross-onshore wind from the ENE at 6 mph is putting some bumps on it. The combined energy is a weak 149, and it’s just poor quality. Not worth suiting up.

Monday the 3rd drops off even more—around 1ft in the morning, then barely 1ft by the afternoon. The morning has a light offshore at 6 mph, so it’s clean, but there’s nothing behind it. The afternoon switches to a cross-off from the SSW at 9 mph with a longer period, but it’s still tiny. Energy readings of 51 and 67 say it all.

Tuesday the 4th is gloriously flat—0.3ft if you’re lucky—with a fresh cross-off from the southwest at 18-21 mph and rain showers. The energy is down to single digits. This one’s a full wipeout.

Wednesday the 5th bumps up to around 3ft from the southeast, but the period drops to 10-11 seconds, and the energy is only in the 160s. Light cross-off winds keep it clean, but it’s still a struggle. Thursday morning the 6th is glassy with a light WSW breeze, but the swell is just 1ft with a 15-second period—pretty but powerless.

From Thursday afternoon through Sunday the 9th, it’s a blur of tiny swell and poor winds. Energy hovers between 43 and 134, and the wind keeps flipping around, giving us cross-onshore and onshore conditions. There’s a clean window Saturday morning with glassy conditions—1ft—but again, no energy. Sunday brings light rain and a cross-shore wind, so it’s all just flat and messy.

Monday the 10th starts glassy again—1ft from the southeast—but the energy is only 61. The afternoon turns onshore from the east at 9 mph, and the period drops to a junky 6 seconds. Tuesday the 11th sees a bit more energy—up to 227 in the morning—but it’s paired with a moderate cross-onshore at 15 mph, making it choppy and lumpy. That energy fades fast.

The second week is a real slog. Wednesday the 12th has a clean cross-off but only 1ft. Thursday the 13th is tiny, short-period slop from the northeast, with energy in the teens. Friday the 14th has a cross-off breeze but again, basically nothing. The weekend of the 15th-16th brings fresh cross-off winds from the southwest at 15-21 mph, but the swell is small, periods of 5-9 seconds, and energy under 100. Even clean faces have nothing on them. By Monday the 17th, it’s more of the same—tiny ENE swell with light rain and a gentle cross-off.

There’s not one standout day in this whole run. Water temp is right around average at 49°F, so that’s not a shock, but the surf sure is. If you’re keen, you might snag a knee-high slider on one of the glassy mornings, but that’s the ceiling. This stretch is as blank as it gets. Time to wax your board anyway and dream about better days.

Rusty.

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