Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks at Taylors Mistake.

First thing you notice is that the real standout is right at the start. The forecast is kicking off this Saturday afternoon, July 18th, with some serious firepower. We’ve got a solid 4ft swell pumping in from the SSE, with a period of 23 seconds – that’s proper groundswell with a ton of energy under the hood (combined energy of 2279). The water’s sitting at 50°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. The wind is dead glassy from the NNE, so the conditions are going to be pristine. This is a big, powerful swell for a beginner spot, so it’s really one for the experienced crew. The sets will be long and clean, but that long period means it might be a bit too straight for the beach break, but for the points and reefs, this is going to be a session to remember.

Sunday morning, the 19th, is a different story. The swell drops to 2ft from the east with a much shorter period. The wind is a cross-off from the SW, so it’s clean, but the energy is weak (279). It’s a situation where you’ll be scratching for scraps. Sunday afternoon gets glassy again with a tiny 2ft wave, but it’s really ordinary.

Monday the 20th has a bit of early promise. Glassy morning, WSW wind, and a 2ft SSE swell with a decent period of 19 seconds. The energy is 374, so there’s a little push. The morning is the time to be there, as the afternoon gets a cross-on wind that messes things up.

From Tuesday the 21st, it’s a long, grim stretch. The swell goes flat, dropping to 1ft and then 1ft, with energy barely cracking 100. The wind is often glassy, but there’s simply nothing to ride. This flat spell runs right through to the end of the month. You’ve got a few days with tiny, bumpy waves, but none of them are worth getting wet for.

There’s a hint of life again on Saturday the 25th of July, with a 1ft swell from the ESE, but the wind is a solid 12 mph cross-off, so it’s messy and weak. Sunday the 26th is a little better with a 2-2ft east swell and clean offshore winds, but the energy is still low (193 to 238). It’s “surfable” but not exciting.

The real story here is the first Saturday. That’s the one session to lock in. Everything else for the next two weeks is a lot of waiting, with a few small, clean windows but nothing that will get your heart pumping. Taylors Mistake is a fairly consistent spot, so this long flat patch is a bit of a bummer, but the forecasts can always change. For now, grab that Saturday if you’re an experienced surfer, or just keep the board in the car for the odd clean, small wave in the following week.

Rusty.

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