Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Taylors Mistake over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first few days are pretty ordinary—nothing to write home about. Thursday the 9th sees some cross-off wind and a 5ft east swell coming in at 11 seconds, but the water’s a touch warmer than normal at 51°, and the energy’s moderate (434). Still, it’s flagged as marginal, so don’t expect much. Friday the 10th cleans up a little with clear skies and a 4ft easterly swell, but it’s still nothing to get excited about.

Saturday the 11th afternoon is where things perk up a bit. Glassy conditions with a light NNW breeze, and a small 2ft easterly swell. It’s tiny, but the combined energy is weak (112), so if you’re a beginner or just want to get wet, it’s a window. Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th are write-offs: cross-on winds and tiny waves, combined energy barely above 40. Just leave the board at home.

Tuesday the 14th morning goes glassy again with a 3ft ENE swell, but the energy’s still low (89). It’s surfable, but not special. We then hit a flat spell from Wednesday the 15th through Thursday the 16th—really small stuff, with energy dropping into the 40s and 70s.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday the 17th is the standout of the window. Morning glass, offshore WNW breeze, and a 3ft east swell with a *very long period* of 16 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 514 (moderate), and the conditions are glassy. This is groundswell, so it’s gonna have some punch and shape, but at a beach break like Taylors, that long period might make it a bit straight. Still, for a Friday, this is clean, lined-up, and solid. The afternoon holds similar quality with a 4ft swell and 15-second period.

Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th keep the run going. Saturday morning: 3ft ESE swell, 13 seconds, clean with light WNW wind. Saturday afternoon goes glassy again with a 3ft east swell at 14 seconds. Sunday morning is the pick of the weekend: glassy, 4ft east swell, 13 seconds, energy at 504—just beautiful. Sunday afternoon bumps up to 5ft east swell but gets a bit of cross-shore chop, so it’s not as clean.

Monday the 20th morning is the biggest call of the forecast. A 7ft ENE swell, 10 seconds, glassy conditions, and the energy is strong (687). That’s expert territory at over 7ft, but if you’ve got the chops, it’s gonna be a serious session. Just watch the tide and the crowd—it’s a beginner-friendly spot usually, so this size will sort the men from the boys.

The rest of the week drops off. Tuesday the 21st through Thursday the 23rd see onshore winds, rain, and dropping swell—energy stays in the 700s but the wind’s ugly. The final few days of the outlook (24th and 25th) are poor with rain and onshore flow, so don’t hold your breath.

Overall, the best on offer is Friday the 17th and Sunday the 19th mornings—both glassy, solid east swell with long period, and clean conditions. Monday the 20th morning is for the brave only. The rest is either too small, too windy, or too flat.

Rusty.

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