Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. It's Rusty here, and I've got the lowdown on Taylors Mistake for the next couple of weeks. I'm not gonna lie to you, this is a pretty quiet stretch.

We're looking at a long, lean period overall. For the next several days and right through until the end of the month, it's mostly tiny, weak, or messy. There's no real strong swell to get excited about, and on top of that, the wind is often all wrong. The water temp is sitting at 51°F, and it's a touch warmer than we'd normally see at this time, which is a little odd.

Kicking off from Tuesday the 15th, it's pretty much a write-off. The surf is tiny at 0.7ft from the SSE, and with the wind on it, it's not worth paddling out. Wednesday the 16th starts with a bit of height, but only 2ft from the north with a horrible 4 second period – just won't have any push. Later that afternoon, it goes glassy but drops right back to 0.3ft, so it's a total flat spell. Thursday the 17th isn't much better, with a small 1ft ESE swell and offshore wind, but it's just too small to be fun.

We finally see a tiny pulse of more meaningful energy arrive on Friday the 18th. The combined energy climbs to 91, and we get little 2ft E swell, but the wind is cross-on, making it bumpy. This is the best of a bad lot for a few days, but it's still pretty ordinary.

Saturday the 19th is more of the same mess, though by Saturday afternoon the wind swings cross-off, and the wave comment says it's "surfable" but very ordinary. Sunday the 20th morning has clean 2ft surf, but it's weak. The real tease is Sunday afternoon when a new SSW groundswell pushes in. The height bumps to 2ft with a solid 14 second period, and energy jumps to 184. It’s a moderate pulse, and the wind is cross-off and clean. The problem? The swell direction (SSE) is way off the optimum ENE for Taylors. It means the break won't handle it well. This would be your stand-out moment if you're desperate, but it’s not going to be great. It's likely more of a mess than a gem.

From there we drop back into the doldrums. Monday the 21st through to Monday the 28th of September is a long, dragging run of tiny surf. Most days are 0.7ft to 2ft, with combined energy mostly below 100, and the wind is usually cross-on or onshore. There are a few slivers of hope – like the morning of Thursday the 24th with a clean 1ft, or the morning of Saturday the 27th with glassy conditions and a "surfable" 1ft – but it’s all ankle-biters. On Monday the 28th afternoon, a strong 1ft SSE swell with a long 18s period and 136 energy rolls in, but the wind is a nasty cross-on 16 mph from the ESE, making it choppy and blown-out. Not for paddling.

We finish up on Tuesday the 29th and Wednesday the 30th with more tiny, weak waves. Wednesday the 30th morning has a clean 1ft swell with a 15s period and energy at 96, so it’s surfable but nothing to write home about.

The honest call: There's no standout. The best chance for a paddle is probably Sunday afternoon the 20th on that little groundswell, but don't expect it to be great. The rest of this run is more suited to a longboard on a small day, or just keeping the board in the car. For the next 16 days, it’s mostly a quiet period. The setup looks more interesting for a kite than a paddle for most of it.

Stay patient, Rusty.

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