Taylors Mistake Surf Break

Lat Long: 43.58° S 172.78° E

Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 27 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
11.1°C
1.4° 

Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 27 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 28 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 14s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 29 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period, SSE swell with 232 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 28 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 14s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 28) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 0.6m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 29) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 11s period and expected on Saturday (Oct 03) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Mon 28th Sep)1.5ft (0.4m) 14s
Best Surf 1AM (Mon 28th Sep)1.5ft (0.4m) 14s
Most Powerful 1PM (Tue 29th Sep)2ft (0.6m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
27
Monday
28
Tuesday
29
Wednesday
30
Thursday
1
Friday
2
Saturday
3
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ESE
15
0.4
ESE
14
0.4
ESE
13
0.3
SSE
14
0.4
SE
16
0.5
SSE
18
0.5
SSE
17
0.4
SSE
16
0.4
SSE
16
0.4
SSE
16
0.4
SE
16
0.2
SSE
14
0.2
SSE
10
0.4
NE
3
0.3
NE
7
0.2
SSE
17
0.2
SSE
15
0.2
ENE
6
0.4
NE
2
0.3
SSE
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
42
61
58
37
62
174
157
99
99
102
62
19
10
3
8
27
22
4
1
53
Wind (km/h)
30
SW
5
NW
5
W
5
NNE
10
NNW
5
NW
5
ENE
10
E
10
ENE
15
ENE
0
WSW
5
NW
10
ENE
0
NNE
5
NW
5
ENE
10
W
10
W
10
SSE
20
SW
Wind State
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
on
glassy
cross-off
on
off
off
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
5:43PM2.29m
6:08AM2.29m
6:30PM2.32m
6:59AM2.35m
7:22PM2.32m
7:53AM2.40m
8:19PM2.31m
8:48AM2.44m
9:18PM2.29m
9:42AM2.45m
10:17PM2.28m
10:38AM2.44m
11:13PM2.28m
Low Tide
11:59PM0.48m
12:21PM0.47m
00:47AM0.47m
1:10PM0.47m
1:35AM0.46m
2:02PM0.48m
2:26AM0.46m
3:00PM0.50m
3:22AM0.47m
3:59PM0.50m
4:20AM0.46m
4:59PM0.49m
rain showers
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
—
7:09
—
—
7:07
—
—
7:05
—
—
7:03
—
—
7:01
—
—
7:00
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:30
—
—
7:30
—
—
7:31
—
—
7:32
—
—
7:34
—
—
7:36
—
—
7:37
—
 mm
5
—
—
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
10
Temp °C
7
5
11
12
8
10
12
11
10
11
10
15
13
11
17
17
15
18
18
10
Feels °C
-1
1
8
9
6
7
9
8
7
8
8
13
10
9
15
15
12
16
15
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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