Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Sunday 09 Nov 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
14.9° C
(Which is 3.5°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Nov 13) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 12 days are 1.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Nov 16) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Friday (Nov 14) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 13th Nov)2.5ft (0.8m) 7s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 13th Nov)2.5ft (0.8m) 7s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sun 16th Nov)5ft (1.6m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Mon afternoon).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the NNW by Fri afternoon).

Sunday
09
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.3
ENE
0.3
NE
0.1
NE
0.5
ENE
0.7
NE
0.7
NE
0.4
ENE
0.6
NE
0.8
ENE
0.9
ENE
1
ENE
0.9
E
0.9
E
1
E
1
E
0.8
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.5
ENE
0.5
E
0.5
E
Period(s) (?)7796488885678810999999
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)108323137026558233697289142184115110106474039
Wind
(km/h)
5
W
15
E
15
E
25
N
25
N
20
NNW
10
SSW
15
E
20
ENE
25
ENE
25
E
5
S
15
WSW
15
SW
15
NE
10
N
35
NNW
10
SW
5
NNE
20
ENE
30
NE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
glassononcrosscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
ononcross-
on
oncrosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
8:50PM
2.43
9:13AM
2.61
9:47PM
2.40
10:08AM
2.51
10:41PM
2.36
11:05AM
2.40
11:33PM
2.29
12:01PM
2.30
12:25AM
2.22
12:55PM
2.22
1:18AM
2.16
1:46PM
2.17
2:11AM
2.13
Low Tide
/ height (m)
2:37PM
0.34
2:53AM
0.33
3:34PM
0.37
3:51AM
0.37
4:29PM
0.41
4:47AM
0.41
5:25PM
0.46
5:42AM
0.46
6:19PM
0.51
6:36AM
0.53
7:12PM
0.55
7:30AM
0.60
8:02PM
0.58
Sunday
09
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunrise6:01--6:00--5:58--5:58--5:56--5:56--5:54--
Sunset-8:23--8:24--8:25--8:28--8:29--8:30--8:31-
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
mod rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
-----------651-------
Temp. °C151513212118141312121212131312191913121311
Feels °C (?)1312111717141197871011101114128885
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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