Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Monday 12 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
19.4° C
(Which is 5.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jan 18) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 12 days are 0.6m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 12) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 10s period and expected on Tuesday (Jan 13) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 18th Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 6s
Best Surf 4AM (Sun 18th Jan)2.5ft (0.8m) 6s
Most Powerful 1PM (Mon 12th Jan)2ft (0.6m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.5
SSE
0.5
SE
0.4
SE
0.4
SE
0.6
E
0.3
SE
0.5
ENE
0.7
SSE
0.9
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.4
ENE
0.4
E
0.6
E
0.5
E
0.5
E
0.5
E
0.4
E
0.4
E
0.5
E
0.6
ESE
0.5
E
Period(s) (?)121212111010895656666666666
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)81653830731532823338910271818191212202819
Wind
(km/h)
10
SSE
10
NE
25
NE
5
ENE
15
E
15
WSW
5
SW
20
E
15
ENE
15
ESE
20
E
10
E
15
E
20
E
10
ESE
10
ESE
5
SSE
15
SW
15
SSW
10
SSE
10
SW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
glassoncross-
off
cross-
off
onononononononononcrosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
12:44PM
2.13
1:11AM
2.19
1:32PM
2.10
2:00AM
2.20
2:20PM
2.08
2:47AM
2.21
3:08PM
2.07
3:33AM
2.21
3:54PM
2.08
4:18AM
2.22
4:38PM
2.09
5:02AM
2.22
5:21PM
2.09
Low Tide
/ height (m)
6:57PM
0.68
7:31AM
0.80
7:41PM
0.73
8:22AM
0.82
8:23PM
0.76
9:08AM
0.82
9:07PM
0.76
9:51AM
0.80
9:53PM
0.74
10:32AM
0.77
10:41PM
0.69
11:15AM
0.72
11:27PM
0.63
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Sunrise6:01--6:01--6:03--6:05--6:05--6:07--6:09--
Sunset-9:10--9:09--9:09--9:08--9:08--9:07--9:07-
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
light rain
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
--------132-2-1521---
Temp. °C131413161816181716161515161716171715161613
Feels °C (?)10118141614151413141214141515161713121311
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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