Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Wednesday 11 Mar 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
18.1° C
(Which is 3.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Mar 13) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 12 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Mar 12) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Mar 18) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Fri 13th Mar)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s
Best Surf 4PM (Fri 13th Mar)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s
Most Powerful10PM (Thu 12th Mar)7.5ft (2.3m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.6
NE
0.9
NE
1.1
NE
1.7
NE
1.2
ENE
0.7
ESE
0.7
ESE
0.8
ESE
0.8
ESE
0.7
ESE
0.6
ESE
0.6
E
0.5
ENE
0.5
ENE
0.7
NE
0.7
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.4
NE
0.3
ENE
0.4
ENE
0.2
SSE
Period(s) (?)44677141414141313999576691014
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)11286926114718516622022015611361464524473213163219
Wind
(km/h)
20
NE
20
ENE
25
ENE
10
ENE
10
E
15
N
20
NNE
20
WSW
10
SW
5
SSW
10
NE
15
NE
10
E
20
E
20
NE
0
WNW
10
ESE
5
NE
10
WSW
10
SE
15
E
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
oncrosscrossoffcross-
off
glasscross-
on
cross-
on
ononcross-
on
glassonglassoffcross-
on
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
11:27AM
2.06
11:44PM
2.14
12:12PM
2.03
12:33AM
2.12
12:58PM
2.02
1:24AM
2.11
1:48PM
2.02
2:15AM
2.13
2:38PM
2.04
3:03AM
2.16
3:26PM
2.09
3:48AM
2.21
4:11PM
2.15
Low Tide
/ height (m)
5:29PM
0.81
6:04AM
0.82
6:16PM
0.81
6:54AM
0.81
7:03PM
0.77
7:44AM
0.76
7:51PM
0.72
8:30AM
0.70
8:40PM
0.66
9:15AM
0.63
9:31PM
0.59
10:00AM
0.55
10:21PM
0.52
Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Sunrise7:18--7:20--7:20--7:22--7:22--7:24--7:26--
Sunset-7:58--7:55--7:53--7:52--7:51--7:49--7:46-
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
Rain (mm)
--------2-----------1
Temp. °C141414161718211913141413151514171716182017
Feels °C (?)1099141515181611131110121111161515161813
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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