Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Sunday 11 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
19.4° C
(Which is 5.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 15) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 12 days are 0.6m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 12) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 10s period and expected on Tuesday (Jan 13) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Thu 15th Jan)3.5ft (1.0m) 7s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 15th Jan)3.5ft (1.0m) 7s
Most Powerful 1PM (Mon 12th Jan)2ft (0.6m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sun afternoon, calm by Tue morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
NE
0.4
NE
0.5
SSE
0.5
SE
0.4
SSE
0.4
SE
0.6
E
0.3
SE
0.5
ENE
0.8
SSE
0.7
ENE
1
NE
0.5
ENE
0.4
E
0.4
E
0.5
E
0.4
E
0.5
E
0.7
E
0.6
E
0.6
E
Period(s) (?)991212121110108987676666777
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)202381675930711532945188241410161021453439
Wind
(km/h)
30
WNW
15
S
10
SSE
15
NNE
25
NE
5
ENE
15
E
15
WSW
5
WSW
20
E
15
ENE
5
SE
15
ESE
10
ESE
10
E
10
E
10
ENE
0
ENE
10
S
25
WSW
10
SSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
crosscrosscross-
on
cross-
on
glassoncross-
off
cross-
off
ononglassonononononglasscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
12:21AM
2.19
12:44PM
2.13
1:11AM
2.19
1:32PM
2.10
2:00AM
2.20
2:20PM
2.08
2:47AM
2.21
3:08PM
2.07
3:33AM
2.21
3:54PM
2.08
4:18AM
2.22
4:38PM
2.09
5:02AM
2.22
Low Tide
/ height (m)
6:09PM
0.61
6:35AM
0.75
6:57PM
0.68
7:31AM
0.80
7:41PM
0.73
8:22AM
0.82
8:23PM
0.76
9:08AM
0.82
9:07PM
0.76
9:51AM
0.80
9:53PM
0.74
10:32AM
0.77
10:41PM
0.69
11:15AM
0.72
Sun
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunrise--6:01--6:01--6:03--6:05--6:05--6:07--6:09
Sunset9:10--9:10--9:09--9:09--9:08--9:08--9:07--
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
Rain (mm)
12-----1--1321-14--22
Temp. °C271914141316181718181616161617171618191615
Feels °C (?)22161110815151617141416141616171620191414
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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