Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Saturday 14 Feb 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
19.0° C
(Which is 3.9°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Feb 14) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 12 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Feb 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 8s period and expected on Monday (Feb 16) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sat 14th Feb)1.5ft (0.5m) 8s
Best Surf 1PM (Mon 16th Feb)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 1PM (Mon 16th Feb)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 48mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, strong winds from the SSW by Sun night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.7
E
1
ENE
0.5
E
0.7
SE
0.8
SE
1.2
SE
1.7
E
1.8
E
1.7
E
1.3
E
1
E
0.6
E
0.5
SE
0.6
ESE
0.4
SE
0.3
ENE
0.4
SE
0.3
ESE
1
E
1.3
E
0.7
E
Period(s) (?)88889101313121110108888911121110
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)68119325791290946107776339620466334515132124280389100
Wind
(km/h)
0
W
15
E
15
SSW
25
SSW
35
SSW
40
SSW
35
SSW
35
SW
35
SW
25
WSW
25
SW
15
WSW
5
WSW
15
E
5
NE
10
ENE
10
NNE
15
SW
5
NE
25
ENE
10
SW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
glassoncross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
oncross-
on
cross-
on
crosscross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
3:17PM
2.06
3:42AM
2.19
4:03PM
2.08
4:27AM
2.21
4:47PM
2.11
5:10AM
2.24
5:29PM
2.14
5:52AM
2.28
6:13PM
2.17
6:34AM
2.30
7:00PM
2.20
7:20AM
2.32
7:50PM
2.24
Low Tide
/ height (m)
9:17PM
0.70
9:55AM
0.70
10:07PM
0.63
10:39AM
0.63
10:55PM
0.55
11:24AM
0.56
11:41PM
0.48
12:09PM
0.50
12:24AM
0.42
12:55PM
0.45
1:08AM
0.39
1:40PM
0.43
1:55AM
0.39
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
Sunrise6:45--6:47--6:48--6:50--6:50--6:52--6:54--
Sunset-8:38--8:37--8:36--8:34--8:32--8:30--8:30-
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
heavy rain
mod rain
heavy rain
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
Rain (mm)
-----24611721------1---
Temp. °C161615141413131313131413161514182118161616
Feels °C (?)14121397776781010151213182017131115
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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