
Surf Forecasts:
Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period, SE swell with 499 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:
The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 1.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 13s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 01) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the next couple of weeks at Taylors Mistake. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, but we’ve got a few windows of clean fun on the horizon.
We start off this Monday the 27th with small, clean conditions. The swell is a modest 3ft from the east with a 13-second period, so there’s some decent energy for the size. The combined energy of all swells directed here is 231, which is moderate. The water’s sitting at 49°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year. Monday morning’s light westerly offshore will keep it tidy, and by the afternoon we get glassy conditions with a northerly breeze. It’s not going to blow you away, but it’s surfable.
Tuesday the 28th is where things perk up a bit. The morning kicks off with clean 4ft easterly swell, and the combined energy pushes up to 417 (moderate). With a light westerly offshore wind, the waves will have some shape. Tuesday afternoon turns glassy, making it a solid call for a paddle.
Wednesday the 29th holds onto clean conditions. The morning brings glassy 3ft east swell with a combined energy of 284. The afternoon stays glassy with northwesterly winds, but the swell drops slightly to 3ft. Not a standout, but still a nice little session.
Now, Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st? Ugly. Strong northerly winds on Thursday (15-18 mph) and gusty northwesterlies on Friday chop the ocean up. The swell drops right off to 1ft by Friday. Don't bother. There’s a quiet spell here for a few days.
Saturday the 1st of August has some cleaner conditions despite strong southwesterly winds blowing cross-off. The swell comes from the south-southeast at 3ft with combined energy of 309, but the wind is a fresh breeze. It’s clean, but not comfortable.
We see a glimmer on Sunday the 2nd of August. The afternoon has a light south-southwest breeze with 4ft swell from the southeast, 14-second period, and combined energy of 480. That’s a proper window. Clean conditions and moderate energy make this the best call of the first week.
The start of the second week, Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th, are a bit compromised by onshore winds, but Tuesday morning the 4th has a lovely offshore westerly breeze and 3ft east-southeast swell with a very long 15-second period. The combined energy is 286. That’s a groundswell, so it’ll wrap into the point with some lines, perfect for a longer board or a point break session. The long period means the sets will be clean, with good gaps between them.
After that, from Wednesday the 5th through Saturday the 8th, the swell gets tiny. We’re looking at barely 2ft most days. The wave energy drops into double digits, like 76 and 54. It’s not going to be worth the paddle unless you’re just floating around. This is a proper flat spell.
Sunday the 9th has glassy 1ft swell from the south-southeast, combined energy of 181, but with light rain it’s a bit dour. Not a highlight.
Now, here’s the real standout, and it’s way out there. Monday the 10th of August. The morning brings glassy conditions with the biggest swell of the entire forecast at 5ft from the east. The combined energy is a hearty 392. The catch? The period is a short 7 seconds. That means it’s windswell, but with glass and a bit of size it could still offer some fun, punchy waves. It’s the most size we see and it’s clean. For a long-range call, it’s promising but less certain.
So to wrap it up, your best bet is Tuesday the 28th for a clean, fun session, and for a bit more size with that groundswell, Tuesday the 4th of August. The long-range Monday the 10th is the sleeper if you’re patient. Overall, it’s a lean couple of weeks for Taylors, but we’ll take what we can get.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 4°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 5°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 13 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | NNE 8 | E 11 | E 11 | ESE 16 | SSE 13 | ESE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 14 | SE 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
222 | 219 | 293 | 417 | 417 | 350 | 276 | 209 | 190 | 141 | 101 | 108 | 40 | 39 | 47 | 206 | 140 | 89 | 326 | 465 | 345 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | glassy | off | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 3:03PM2.21m | 3:23AM2.08m | 3:47PM2.20m | 4:05AM2.07m | 4:29PM2.19m | 4:46AM2.07m | 5:09PM2.19m | 5:29AM2.06m | 5:49PM2.20m | 6:13AM2.06m | 6:29PM2.20m | 6:58AM2.07m | 7:12PM2.19m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:18PM0.76m | 9:26AM0.70m | 10:00PM0.73m | 10:12AM0.65m | 10:43PM0.68m | 10:56AM0.59m | 11:27PM0.62m | 11:37AM0.54m | 00:09AM0.57m | 12:17PM0.51m | 00:50AM0.53m | 12:59PM0.50m | 1:31AM0.52m | ||||||||
7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | |
— | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 7 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
Feels °C | 4 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 7 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 13 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | NE 7 | ESE 16 | SSE 13 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 13 | SE 14 | SE 13 |
222 | 219 | 293 | 417 | 417 | 350 | 276 | 209 | 190 | 141 | 101 | 63 | 40 | 23 | 47 | 206 | 123 | 89 | 326 | 465 | 345 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | S 17 | S 16 | E 18 | E 16 | E 11 | E 11 | ESE 16 | ESE 14 | SE 13 | E 16 | E 16 | S 21 |
131 | 103 | 53 | 34 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 22 | 94 | 140 | 88 | 5 | 5 | 35 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | SE 6 | — | — | — | S 16 | S 18 | S 18 | S 17 | — | S 16 | — | S 11 | ESE 15 | ENE 8 | E 11 | E 10 | E 17 | — | NE 16 | NE 15 |
9 | 9 | — | — | — | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | — | 45 | — | 9 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 6 | — | 10 | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 8 | NNE 4 | SW 3 | S 13 | WSW 3 | SW 3 | WNW 2 | SSW 3 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 19 | 108 | 21 | 4 | 331 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 7 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 133 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 181 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.










