Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer at Taylors Mistake over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the buzz isn’t great. The start of this forecast period is pretty gutless. There’s a bit of small swell, but the scores are flat. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing special, so don’t get your hopes up.

It kicks off Monday afternoon (31 August) with a tiny 2 ft SSE swell, period of 13 seconds. The combined energy is only 106, so it’s weak. Water temp is sitting at 51°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. But it’s light rain and a cross-off wind, so it’s clean for a beginner paddle, but that's about all it’s good for.

Tuesday morning (1 September) sees a slight bump to 2 ft SSE swell, still with that long 13-second period. Winds go light offshore from the west, so it’ll look clean, but the energy is still low at 156. You can get a wave, but it's ordinary. The afternoon goes cross-on from the NE, so it’s not going to improve.

Wednesday morning (2 September) is the same 2 ft SSE swell, but the period stretches right out to 17 seconds – a proper groundswell. Combined energy hits moderate at 249. Offshore west wind will keep it clean, but a 17-second period on a beach break like this might make it a bit too straight and tricky to line up. It’s a possibility for the patient surfer, but nothing to get excited about. That afternoon the wind cranks from the north at 22 mph and drops the swell to 2 ft – a write-off.

After that, we hit a proper dead zone. From Thursday (3 September) through to Friday (11 September), there are days with next to no swell. Wave heights drop below 2 ft, the energy figures are all single-digit or low double-digit weak. It’s a gap of around a week where there is no real surf recommendation. The winds do go offshore at times, but there’s just no power. On Saturday morning (5 September) there is a 0.7 ft ENE swell with a period of 8 seconds – that is barely a ripple.

Tuesday morning (8 September) and Wednesday (9 September) are similar – tiny waves with cross-shore or cross-on winds. Not worth a look.

Finally, there’s a small pulse on Saturday morning (12 September). It’s a 2 ft ESE swell, period of 10 seconds, energy of 65. Winds are light cross-off from the SW early on, and conditions are clean. It’s surfable but very ordinary – a longboarder might get a few soft ones if they’re keen. Sunday morning (13 September) is flat with glassy conditions and a 1 ft ESE swell, but the energy is only 44 – you’d be straining for it.

The outlook doesn’t improve much into the second week. Monday 14 September through to Tuesday 15 September offers just tiny scraps of swell with weak energy. The best of a bad lot might be Tuesday morning (15 September) with a 1.0 ft SSE swell from a long 16-second period, but the energy is just 52, so it’s not going to deliver.

The honest truth? There is no standout session in this 16-day window. If you are a beginner and just want to sit in the whitewash when it’s clean, you might get a few moments on Wednesday morning (2 September) or Saturday morning (12 September). For anyone else, this run is a blank. Forecasts can change, but right now, the Mistake is living up to its name.

Stay patient.

- Rusty

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