
Surf Forecasts:
Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 13 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 13s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 18 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 13s period, ESE swell with 133 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 13 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 13s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:
The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 0.6m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Sun 13th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Sun 13th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 18th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this is a tough run for Taylors Mistake. Over the next 16 days, there’s barely a sniff of decent surf. The whole stretch is a long, flat spell with very little to get excited about.
We start off on the morning of September 13th. There’s a tiny 1ft swell rolling in from the SSE at a long 13 seconds, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the SW. It’s clean, but the combined energy is weak (64). The water’s sitting at 51°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. If you’re a total beginner, honestly, it’s barely surfable – very ordinary conditions, and the size is just too small for anything fun.
Sunday afternoon turns onshore from the E at 6 mph, making a mess of things. Monday morning the 14th goes glassy with a tiny 1ft SE swell, but the energy is pathetic (33). Just not worth paddling out for. That trend holds through the week – tiny waves, weak energy, and mostly onshore or cross-onshore winds. Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday – all poor. The swell bounces around between 0.7ft and 2ft, with periods all over the place, but nothing breaks the monotony of bad conditions.
There’s a notable gap from around September 16th right through to the morning of September 23rd. That’s over a week of flatness where the scores are all zeros. The afternoon of the 23rd finally shows a 1ft SSE swell at a very long 18 seconds, with glassy conditions and a light ENE breeze. The energy is still low (72), but it’s clean. It’s described as “surfable but very ordinary” – that’s the best we get. For a spot that’s fairly consistent, this is a grim run.
If you’re a kite surfer, the afternoon of September 24th picks up a fresh cross-onshore wind at 19 mph, and the swell is tiny and weak. That setup might be more interesting for you than a paddle. For the rest of us, it’s a wipeout of a forecast.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 7°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 8 | ESE 11 | NE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 5 | SE 4 | E 14 | E 12 | ESE 15 | E 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
34 | 93 | 27 | 30 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 75 | 125 | 129 | 85 | 46 | 41 | 40 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-off | off | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 6:00PM2.33m | 6:33AM2.32m | 6:53PM2.28m | 7:26AM2.33m | 7:46PM2.23m | 8:15AM2.32m | 8:38PM2.18m | 9:01AM2.28m | 9:27PM2.14m | 9:45AM2.23m | 10:14PM2.10m | 10:30AM2.17m | 10:58PM2.06m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:50AM0.36m | 00:17AM0.40m | 12:41PM0.45m | 1:05AM0.46m | 1:32PM0.55m | 1:52AM0.55m | 2:23PM0.64m | 2:39AM0.65m | 3:13PM0.71m | 3:27AM0.73m | 4:02PM0.76m | 4:15AM0.79m | 4:51PM0.79m | ||||||||
6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | |
— | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | SSE 16 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 10 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | SSE 8 | NE 6 | N 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 14 | E 12 | ESE 4 | E 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 |
34 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 125 | 129 | 85 | 46 | 41 | 40 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | E 12 | SSE 12 | S 17 | E 12 | SE 10 | SE 8 | E 11 | SE 10 | NE 6 | N 3 | E 15 | NE 6 | E 6 | ESE 15 | S 16 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 |
1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 75 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 17 | — | S 18 | E 12 | S 16 | E 11 | E 11 | ESE 11 | E 13 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | E 12 | NE 6 | NE 5 | S 17 | SSW 9 | S 16 | S 17 | NE 5 | ENE 9 | SSE 15 |
29 | — | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 22 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSE 13 | — | — | — | NNE 4 | — | ENE 4 | NNW 3 | — | — | SE 4 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | ENE 4 | — | — | SSW 16 | — | NE 10 |
1379 | 93 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | 8 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 9 | — | — | 81 | — | 33 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 22 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 22 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 22 | 295 | 181 | 32 | 22 | 0 | 31 | 22 | 0 | 31 | 31 | 13 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Canterbury | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.










