Taylors Mistake surf break

Taylors Mistake surfForecast / Canterbury / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Saturday 24 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
18.4° C
(Which is 3.6°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jan 25) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 12 days are 0.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jan 31) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 10s period and expected on Monday (Jan 26) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 25th Jan)2ft (0.6m) 9s
Best Surf 4AM (Sun 25th Jan)2ft (0.6m) 9s
Most Powerful 4AM (Sat 31st Jan)2.5ft (0.7m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 23°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
Wednesday
28
Thursday
29
Friday
30
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1
E
0.9
E
0.7
E
0.4
SSE
0.7
E
0.4
SSE
0.4
E
0.4
E
0.4
SSE
0.4
E
0.4
E
0.4
SE
0.4
SE
0.7
NE
0.4
E
0.4
E
0.3
E
0.3
E
0.3
E
0.2
E
0.6
ENE
Period(s) (?)101010129121212111111109121110101091514
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)2021568759815646434443402321135393218171618165
Wind
(km/h)
30
SSW
30
SW
30
SW
5
WNW
25
SSW
15
WSW
10
SSW
10
WSW
5
SW
10
SSW
10
SSW
5
SW
15
NE
20
ENE
15
ENE
10
W
10
SE
10
ENE
10
E
15
ENE
15
ENE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
glasscross-
off
offcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
oncross-
on
offcross-
on
onononcross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
9:56PM
2.18
10:20AM
2.22
10:47PM
2.23
11:16AM
2.23
11:41PM
2.28
12:11PM
2.24
12:37AM
2.34
1:06PM
2.25
1:35AM
2.40
2:04PM
2.28
2:32AM
2.45
3:02PM
2.31
3:27AM
2.49
Low Tide
/ height (m)
3:40PM
0.48
3:56AM
0.49
4:31PM
0.49
4:52AM
0.54
5:27PM
0.49
5:53AM
0.56
6:24PM
0.47
6:56AM
0.55
7:19PM
0.44
7:56AM
0.50
8:12PM
0.40
8:53AM
0.43
9:07PM
0.36
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
Wednesday
28
Thursday
29
Friday
30
Sunrise6:16--6:18--6:18--6:20--6:22--6:22--6:24--
Sunset-9:02--9:01--9:01--9:00--9:00--8:59--8:58-
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
cloud
Rain (mm)
-39--2--2--------21--
Temp. °C141413141514161614151613151615222317131414
Feels °C (?)889131111141513121311121313202118121112
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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