Taylors Mistake Surf Break

Lat Long: 43.58° S 172.78° E

Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 18 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Taylors Mistake sea temperature is
9.7° C
0.6° 

Taylors Mistake surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Taylors Mistake surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SE swell with 406 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 19 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Taylors Mistake this week:

The surf forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Taylors Mistake in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Wed 19th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 16s
Best Surf 3AM (Wed 19th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 16s
Most Powerful 3AM (Wed 19th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Taylors Mistake over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at our local spot, Taylors Mistake. The next 16 days are looking pretty bleak, so don’t be in a hurry to wax up.

The first chance for a paddle doesn’t come until Wednesday, August 19th. Wednesday morning we’ve got a tiny 1ft swell from the SSE, with a long 15-second period, and a moderate energy of 186. The wind is a light WSW cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but the waves are just too weak. The afternoon is similar, with a 2ft swell from the E, a 10-second period, and a moderate energy of 124. The wind goes glassy, but the surf is still very ordinary.

Thursday the 20th gives us a cruel tease. The morning is glassy with a light WSW breeze, but the swell is only 1ft with a tiny energy of 39. It’s a beautiful surface with nothing underneath. After that, it flatlines for days. Swell drops to 0.7ft and 0.3ft, with onshore winds and energy readings in the teens. Saturday the 23rd and Sunday the 24th are just as bad.

The one real standout is Monday, August 24th. The morning brings a glassy session with a 3ft swell from the north. The period is a super short 4 seconds, so it’s not going to have much power, but the wind is completely calm. The combined energy is only 39, so it’s weak, but with the glassy surface, it’ll be the cleanest wave we’ve seen in a week. It’s a beginner-friendly break, so 3ft is perfect for a fun, easy session.

Looking further out, the end of the month stays poor. Saturday, August 29th, morning has a 3ft swell from the NE, with a 9-second period and a moderate energy of 159. The wind is a light WSW cross-off, so it’ll be clean. That’s a surfable wave, but the conditions are still described as “very ordinary.” The water temperature is about 50°F, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, but it’s still cold.

There’s another small chance on Wednesday, September 2nd. The morning has a 2ft swell from the SE, with a 14-second period and a moderate energy of 110. The wind is light and variable, so it’ll be clean. The afternoon sees a 2ft swell from the SSE with a 15-second period and a stronger energy of 170, but the wind turns onshore from the east, messing it up.

Overall, the pick of the bunch is Monday morning, August 24th. It’s the only time where the glassy conditions and a half-decent size come together. For the rest, it’s a waiting game. The setup is so weak it’s almost more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle guys. Hang in there, the forecasts can change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 11°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sat night, calm by Sun night).

Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SE
15
0.4
SSE
15
0.5
E
10
0.6
ESE
9
0.4
ESE
9
0.2
SSE
17
0.2
SSE
16
0.2
SSE
16
0.2
SSE
12
0.2
SSE
11
0.2
SSE
10
0.9
N
4
0.2
E
14
0.2
E
13
0.2
E
13
0.2
E
13
0.2
SSE
16
0.2
E
14
0.3
ESE
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
360
89
56
52
26
29
27
24
15
12
11
23
15
14
14
14
25
15
41
Wind (km/h)
15
SW
15
WSW
10
SSW
10
SW
5
SW
5
E
5
ENE
10
NE
15
ENE
5
WNW
10
NNW
20
NNW
35
NW
5
NW
20
WNW
5
NW
0
NNW
20
NW
35
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
9:10PM2.24m
9:37AM2.30m
10:01PM2.19m
10:25AM2.27m
10:50PM2.15m
11:12AM2.23m
11:37PM2.10m
12:01PM2.19m
00:24AM2.07m
12:51PM2.17m
1:12AM2.05m
1:40PM2.16m
2:01AM2.04m
Low Tide
3:17AM0.54m
3:46PM0.66m
4:08AM0.64m
4:41PM0.74m
4:58AM0.71m
5:34PM0.79m
5:45AM0.76m
6:25PM0.80m
6:29AM0.77m
7:12PM0.80m
7:14AM0.76m
7:56PM0.77m
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:18
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:11
7:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:50
5:51
5:52
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
8
8
11
9
9
10
8
8
9
8
13
15
13
14
15
11
16
17
14
Feels °C
3
4
8
6
7
8
6
5
5
7
9
10
4
6
9
9
13
12
7
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Taylors Mistake Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Taylors Mistake provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Taylors Mistake can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Taylors Mistake surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Taylors Mistake) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Taylors Mistake may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Canterbury? If you are looking for accommodation near Taylors Mistake, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Canterbury, consider staying in Christchurch which is 10 km (6 miles) away.

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