Taylors Mistake Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's look at what we've got on offer for the next couple of weeks. We're focusing on one spot, Taylors Mistake, and it's a bit of a mixed bag. Water temp is sitting around 50°F, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off, honestly. Saturday the 1st has some knee-high swell (3ft) from the SE with a decent period, but that SW wind is messing with the shape. Combined energy is moderate at 349. Not worth getting wet for. Sunday the 2nd morning cleans up with offshore winds, but the swell is tiny at 3ft. It’s surfable, but you’ll be fighting for scraps.

We hit a real flat patch from Monday the 3rd through until late in the week. Swell drops to almost nothing, and the energy readings are pathetic – we're talking numbers in the 50s. Tuesday the 4th sees a spike in energy (502) from a strong southerly swell, but it’s accompanied by a brutal 28 mph wind. That’s a hard pass for paddle surfing; looks more like a day for the kite crew.

Wednesday the 5th is the first real glimmer of hope. The morning is clean with a light offshore from the WSW and a 3ft SE swell (167 energy). Then on Wednesday afternoon and Thursday the 6th, we get glassy conditions – flat calm. The swell is still small, but those conditions are pure magic. The waves will be tiny and clean.

Friday the 7th is a tough one. We get a big jump in energy (491) from a long-period SE groundswell (15 seconds), which is promising, but the wind is a cross-onshore and then onshore. It’s going to be a messy, blown-out 3ft. Long period swells like this can make beach breaks close out, so it’s a gamble.

The second week, from the 9th of August onwards, is a consistent but unexciting run of knee-to-waist high surf. The best bet is probably Sunday the 9th, with a 4ft SE swell and a clean cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate (194). It’s not going to blow you away, but it’s rideable. After that, the swell hangs around the 2ft to 3ft mark with a mix of wind conditions. The period drops to a shorter 8-9 seconds, so the waves will be a bit weaker and more frequent.

Tuesday the 11th morning has a glassy 3ft E swell, which is about as good as it gets for this stretch. From the 13th to the 15th, we get a run of glassy mornings with waist-high E swell, but nothing with any real power. It’s a long-range promise of clean, small waves. It’s not a standout, but if you’re desperate, it’s the best of a quiet period.

The standout window? It’s tight, but I’d have to say Wednesday the 5th afternoon and Thursday the 6th morning. The swell is tiny (2ft to 3ft from the SE), but you can’t buy glassy conditions like that. For a beginner-friendly spot like Taylors, those clean, small waves are the most fun you’ll have all fortnight.

Rusty.

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