Sandy Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's look at what's on the table for Sandy Beach.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you—this is a grim stretch. We're looking at a 16-day window with hardly a single window of clean, decent surf. The setup is almost constantly getting hammered by fresh cross-shore winds, mostly from the ENE, and that's just not doing the waves any favors. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days, from Saturday the 5th through to Monday the 9th, we've got some swell on the menu, but it's a write-off. Saturday morning, we're looking at a 7ft ENE swell with a 13-second period, but it's accompanied by a fresh cross-shore breeze that's got the surface all lumpy and cross-chop. The combined energy is high (2408), but it's useless. That same pattern hangs around through Sunday, with a 7ft ENE swell (1808 energy) and still that messy cross-shore wind. By Sunday afternoon, the wind shifts to cross-onshore, and it's just choppy and poor. Monday gets even worse with onshore winds and a 8ft ENE swell—just a total loss.

There's a brief drop in swell size mid-week, but the wind doesn't let up. Wednesday the 9th sees tiny 3ft SSW swell, but with a fresh cross-shore wind, it's not worth paddling out for. The energy drops to 804, and it's still a no-go.

The whole second week, from the 10th to the 20th, is a desert. The wind stays relentless, mostly from the ENE at 19 to 25 mph, with a mix of cross and cross-on shore directions. The swell direction flips around, but the quality is consistently poor. The combined energy values are mostly in the low to mid hundreds, which is weak to moderate, but it doesn't matter because the wind chops it all to pieces. There's a little spike on the 16th with a long-period 3ft SSW groundswell (18 seconds, 1062 energy), but it's still a marginal, lumpy mess with 19 mph cross-shore winds.

Honestly, there's not a single standout session in this whole 16-day window. The best of a bad bunch might be a early morning on the 16th when the long-period SSW groundswell rolls in, but with that fresh cross-shore breeze, it's a gamble. The swell direction is from the SSW, which is not the optimum ESE direction for Sandy Beach, so the waves will be wrapping in awkwardly. For anyone but the most dedicated, this is a time to leave the board in the car.

This is a tough call, but I'd say the whole forecast is a hard pass. Don't get too down, though—it tends not to stay this poor for long, and forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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