Sandy Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s get real about what’s coming down the pipe for Sandy Beach. I gotta be straight with you – the next two weeks look pretty grim for a proper paddle session. The forecast is a long stretch of lumpy, cross-shore chop, and the numbers just don’t lie.

Right now, the water’s sitting at a warm 81°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so you won't need a thick suit. But the problem is the wind. For the next week, we’re looking at a relentless ENE breeze, 19 mph to 22 mph, blowing straight across the break. That’s kicking up a messy cross-chop, ruining what little shape the swell has. The combined energy is moderate at best, around 452 on Monday, but it’s all junk. The swell is coming from the ENE, which isn't the optimum direction for this spot, and the period is a short, weak 8 seconds. Nothing to get excited about.

This poor run continues all the way through the first week. Tuesday and Wednesday are the same story: 5 ft to 4 ft of weak, short-period ENE swell, ruined by 9 mph to 16 mph cross-shore winds. The combined energy drops to 363 on Wednesday. Thursday and Friday get even smaller, down to 1 ft, though we see a long-period SSW swell pop up at 14 seconds, but it’s barely registering and completely buried by the onshore junk. The energy is weak, 155 to 219. The weekend of the 8th and 9th picks up a bit of height, 6 ft to 6 ft, but the wind cranks up to 22 mph, making it a total washout. The energy climbs to 569, but it’s a messy, lumpy 7-second storm swell.

The second week doesn’t bring any relief. From Monday the 10th to Wednesday the 13th, we’ve got a solid mix of ENE short-period slop and some long-period S and SSW groundswell. The energy jumps up to 747 on the 12th, and the period hits 18 seconds, which is massive. But here’s the kicker: the wind is still a solid 19 mph to 22 mph cross-shore, turning what could be a beautiful, long-period energy into a lumpy, unrideable mess. That’s a real shame, as the potential is there, but the conditions won't let us enjoy it.

Then things get a bit wild. Around the 14th and 15th, the swell bumps up to 8 ft to 8 ft from the ENE, with a short 8-second period. The combined energy gets strong, hitting 1101 on the 14th. But the wind is a strong 25 mph, creating a messy cross-chop. That’s too big and blown out for paddling. For a beach break like Sandy Beach, that setup is far more interesting for kite surfers than us. It’s a no-go zone for a paddle board.

The last few days of the forecast, the 16th to the 18th, see the swell drop back to 3 ft to 7 ft, but the wind is still howling at 25 mph, and the energy drops to 423. It’s the same story: lumpy, blown-out, and not worth the paddle out.

So, the honest truth is, there are no standouts in this 16-day window. The entire period is a write-off. The wind is the enemy, and the swell direction is never right. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s not unusual. Forecasts can change, but for now, I’d leave the boards at home and maybe go for a swim.

- Rusty

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