Salmon Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Salmon Creek. It's a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. We've got a very consistent setup here, but the conditions are going to be the main talking point.

The water is sitting at about 56°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, nothing too wild.

The week starts off small and messy. We've got a long-period, 18-second groundswell from the southwest on Sunday afternoon, pushing in at 2ft, but the wind is a cross-onshore breeze, making it choppy. The combined energy is weak (461). Monday and Tuesday stay in that marginal zone, with slightly bigger 2ft swell but still onshore winds. The energy picks up a bit but it's nothing to get excited about.

Things get a bit bigger from Wednesday the 8th onwards, but it's not good news. The swell jumps to 3ft and then 8ft, but it's a short-period, windswell from the west-northwest, and the wind is on it. The energy gets strong (up to 1509) but the wave quality is poor. This pattern of big, onshore, short-period slop continues right through the middle of the month. The swell is pushing 8ft to 10ft, and while it's a lot of water, the wind is just ruining it. This is mostly for the experts, and even then, it's a battle. For a beach break, this looks more like a kite session than a paddle sesh in that second week.

Then, finally, a bit of light. On Friday the 17th, the swell drops back to 3ft, and the period jumps back up to a very long 17 seconds. The wind is still on it, so it's only marginal.

The standout moment, the one to really circle, is the morning of Saturday the 18th. We get that same 3ft, 16-second groundswell from the west-northwest, but the wind goes light and cross-offshore. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions," and I can feel it. That long-period energy will be setting up some clean lines, and with almost no wind, it's going to be a glassy morning. It's a long way out, so don't hold me to it, but right now, that Saturday morning is the best bet. Crowds are a possibility here, so get in early.

Before that, from the 20th, we get a bit more size coming back in, but it's back to onshore winds and short-period swell, so it's back to the marginal category.

Alright, that's the forecast. It's a waiting game for that clean window on the 18th. Rusty out.

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