Rocky Point Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.66° N 158.06° W

Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 10 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rocky Point sea temperature is
26.5°C
0.4° 

Rocky Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rocky Point surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, NNE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 20s period, SW swell with 188 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with NNE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rocky Point this week:

The surf forecast for Rocky Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rocky Point in the next 16 days are 0.5m 20s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 8s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (HST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Sat 12th Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s
Best Surf11AM (Sat 12th Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s
Most Powerful11AM (Tue 15th Sep)1.5ft (0.5m) 20s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rocky Point over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s brewing at Rocky Point over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – for a break that’s usually pumping, we’re looking at a long, flat spell before anything worth paddling out for shows up.

From now through to about the 24th of September, it’s mostly poor. We’ve got a stretch of nearly two weeks where the surf is tiny and the conditions just aren't cooperating. The wind is mostly out of the E/ENE, keeping things cross-off or cross, and the swell just doesn't have any punch. We’re talking tiny waves from 0.7 ft to maybe 4 ft, with weak energy readings that barely hit triple digits some days. You’ll see combined energy numbers like 22 or 161, which for a reef like Rocky Point just aren't cutting it. It’s frustrating, because the break can handle a lot, but there’s just nothing to handle.

Now, there is a little flash of something different on Tuesday the 15th. Early morning we get a pulse of swell from the SW with a very long period of 20 seconds. The height is only 2 ft, but that energy reading jumps to 309 – that’s moderate energy, sure, but with that long period, it could wrap in and offer something clean with light E winds. It’s a weird, marginal call though, and it’s gone by the afternoon with the wind picking up. I wouldn’t rearrange your schedule for it.

The real standout, the one you should circle on your calendar, is Friday the 25th of September. This is where the wait pays off. Thursday the 24th is still flat, but Friday morning and afternoon we finally get proper surf. The swell comes from the NW at 2 ft to 2 ft, with a period of 12 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy jumps to 279 and 283, which is solid moderate energy. The water is 80°F, which is about average for this time of year.

But the best part? The wind is light ESE, keeping it clean and cross-off. For a reef that needs the right direction, a NW swell at that size with light winds is going to line up beautifully. This is the session to aim for. It’s not huge, but for quality and shape, that Friday is the best on offer in this entire outlook.

So, hang in there. There’s a lot of flat, frustrating days ahead, but that Friday the 25th is a gem waiting to happen. Get your board ready for that one.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu afternoon, min 24°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue morning, min 24°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thu
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NW
8
1.5
ENE
7
0.7
NNE
8
0.7
NE
8
0.5
SW
15
0.8
NNE
9
0.9
NE
9
0.9
NNE
9
0.9
NNE
9
0.9
NE
9
0.9
NE
9
1.1
NE
8
1.1
NE
8
1.1
NE
8
0.5
SW
20
0.4
NNE
8
0.5
SW
19
0.5
SW
18
0.2
WNW
10
0.5
SW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
22
0
56
59
109
96
115
135
138
112
123
156
169
149
188
20
181
152
10
145
Wind (km/h)
25
E
25
E
20
E
20
ENE
15
E
15
E
15
ENE
15
E
15
ENE
15
ENE
20
ENE
20
ENE
20
ENE
15
ENE
20
E
20
ENE
25
ENE
25
ENE
25
ENE
25
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
2:23PM0.71m
2:38AM0.55m
2:44PM0.65m
3:20AM0.59m
3:00PM0.59m
4:01AM0.62m
3:11PM0.54m
4:45AM0.62m
3:14PM0.49m
5:33AM0.61m
2:56PM0.46m
6:37AM0.59m
Low Tide
8:50PM0.18m
8:28AM0.19m
9:07PM0.15m
9:10AM0.25m
9:24PM0.13m
9:53AM0.31m
9:42PM0.12m
10:39AM0.37m
10:01PM0.12m
11:37AM0.42m
10:21PM0.13m
10:44PM0.15m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:18
6:18
6:18
6:18
6:18
6:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:39
6:38
6:37
6:37
6:36
6:35
6:34
 mm
Temp °C
27
25
26
26
25
26
26
25
26
26
25
26
26
25
27
27
26
27
27
26
Feels °C
27
25
26
26
25
27
26
25
26
26
26
26
26
25
28
28
27
28
27
27
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  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rocky Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rocky Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rocky Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rocky Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rocky Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rocky Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rocky Point is 18 km (11 miles) from Wahiawa. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wahiawa. Wahiawa has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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