Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook is a tough one to write. For the next 16 days, the ocean is just not playing ball for us at Rocky Point. I’m looking down the entire run and there’s not a single session that gets the nod. It’s a rare, blank stretch with no good surf on offer.

We start off now through the 28th of August with tiny, weak swell. The combined energy is barely a whisper, with readings like 32 (moderate wave energy) dropping to single digits. Wednesday the 26th shows a 1ft swell from the NW, but it’s got a short period around 10 seconds and a stiff 16 mph crosswind from the ENE. That’s a recipe for poor surf conditions, and that’s what we’ve got. The same story repeats day after day – a mix of cross and cross-off winds, with the swell either non-existent or ridiculously small.

There’s a big gap in the middle, from the 29th of August right through to the 2nd of September, where the combined energy is a flat zero. No swell at all. The water temperature is sitting at 81°F, which is pretty average for this time of year, but it doesn’t matter when there’s nothing to ride.

We finally see a pulse of energy creep in around the 5th and 6th of September. Saturday the 5th brings a 3ft to 3ft NE swell, with a period of 7 seconds. The wind shifts to a 9 mph cross-off from the E, and the conditions are clean. The combined energy climbs to 89 (moderate wave energy). But even then, the wave comment still says “poor surf conditions”. It’s a little tease, but it’s not good enough. The afternoon of the 6th of September pushes the swell to 3ft from the NE, still at 7 seconds, with a combined energy of 125 (moderate wave energy). The wind is light and cross-off, and it’s clean. Still, the call is poor.

The following week, from the 7th to the 10th of September, we see a bit more activity. The swell direction bounces between NW, NNE, and NE, with heights ranging from 1ft up to 3ft. The combined energy actually gets into the 100s and even hits 192 (moderate wave energy) on the 10th of September. But the wind is a constant problem – fresh breezes around 16 to 19 mph, creating lumpy cross-chop. It’s a mess.

The bottom line: there are no standout sessions here. The wind is nearly always onshore or cross, and the swell is too weak or too short-period to overcome it. It’s a blank run for Rocky Point. For a reef break that’s very consistent, this is a quiet spell. The setup might look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on those days with a bit of wind and some chop. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the board at home.

Rusty.

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