Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the cards we've been dealt for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it's a grim stretch ahead for Rocky Point. We're looking at a long, drawn-out run of poor surf conditions that pretty much kills any real hope for a decent session right through to the end of the month. There are a couple of spikes in energy later on, but the conditions just won't line up.

We kick things off on Sunday the 13th with a small 3 ft north-easterly swell at 9 seconds. The wind is a messy cross-shore ENE breeze at 15 km/h, and the water's sitting at a balmy 81°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year. But the report says it all – poor surf conditions. Wave energy is weak (112), and the incoming swell direction from the NE doesn't match what this reef needs to shine. That cross-shore wind will chop it up.

Monday through to Thursday is more of the same: tiny waves, inconsistent energy, and mostly cross-shore winds. We see a random long-period south-west swell show up on Tuesday the 15th with a period of 20 seconds and decent energy (239), but at 2 ft, it's barely a bump. The wind is cross-offshore which keeps it clean, but it’s just too small to ride. This pattern of 'close but no cigar' continues all week.

The only real events on the horizon happen at the very end of the forecast period. On Friday the 25th of September, a strong groundswell arrives from the west-northwest. The combined energy jumps right up into the strong zone (476 in the morning, hitting 602 in the afternoon), and the swell period is a very long 22 seconds. That’s proper energy. The problem? The swell height is only 2 ft to 3 ft, and it's pinned under a moderate cross-shore ENE breeze at 15 mph. The wave comment says "poor surf conditions", so that powerful groundswell is likely to be mushy and gutless at this beach break. For a reef like Rocky Point, that long period might actually make it sectiony and tough to get a clean ride.

Saturday the 26th keeps the energy high (696 in the morning, 563 in the afternoon) with a 4 ft swell from the NW, but again, we’ve got a fresh cross-shore breeze at 19 mph lumping it all up. Sunday the 27th sees the swell dropping but still hanging around, with the same lumpy cross-shore wind. The wave comment stays stuck on "poor surf conditions" right through to the end.

So, what’s the call? There is no standout session here. The only thing close would be that Friday the 25th if you’re desperate and need to paddle, but with clean conditions and a proper wave face, it’s not happening. The setup here looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for the foreseeable future. It’s a long, flat blank run, and for this area, that’s just how it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, but for now, leave your board in the car.

Rusty.

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