Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s switch to feet and miles. So, we’re looking at Rocky Point. It’s a reef break that’s super consistent and open to the north-west swell. Normally, it’s a go-to, but we’ve got a real flat spell on our hands.

The first chance is Friday, July 24th, with a tiny 0.7ft swell from the NNW, period at 9 seconds, and a fresh 30 km/h cross-shore easterly wind. It’s a total dud—lumpy cross-chop and no push. That flat theme sticks right through the weekend and into next week. Saturday and Sunday are totally flat, with nothing but cross-shore winds. The combined energy is zero. It’s a painful dry spell.

We get a little pulse on Monday, July 27th, with swell hitting 5ft from the NE, but the period is short at 7 seconds, and the moderate cross-shore breeze just chops it up. The combined energy reads 235 (moderate), but the wave comment says it’s poor. Tuesday and Wednesday are similar—some swell, but the wind swings cross-onshore and the period is all over the place, including a weird 21-second south-west swell on the 29th that only brings 0.3ft. The energy is weak (17) and the wind is onshore. Not worth paddling out.

Thursday, July 30th, and Friday, July 31st, see cleaner conditions with cross-offshore winds from the east, but the swell is tiny—1ft to 1ft. The energy is still low (56). The waves are clean, but there’s nothing to ride. That carries into the first week of August. The combined energy barely reaches 34 on August 3rd. The water temp is 79°, which is about average for this time of year.

Then, finally, a flicker of life. On Friday, August 7th, the forecast shows a solid jump: 5ft from the NE with a 9-second period. The wind turns light and cross-offshore, and the combined energy jumps to 488 (strong). The wave comment is “expect good surf conditions.” The swell direction is NE, which is close to the optimum south-east swell direction, but not perfect. The period is short, so it won’t be the cleanest groundswell, but after two weeks of flatness, this is the standout. The wind is light and cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean.

Saturday, August 8th, drops right back down to 1ft, so the window is narrow. This is the only real shot in the whole 16-day period. For a break that’s usually very consistent, this run of poor surf is unusual. The forecast can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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