Rocky Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and settle in, because I’ve got a long look at the charts for Rocky Point, and it’s... well, it’s a tough one, folks.

Right off the bat, I’m looking at the whole 16-day stretch and I’ve got to be straight with you – there’s nothing here that’s going to get me out of bed before dawn. We’ve got a solid run of flat, poor conditions kicking off from Saturday, the 29th of August, all the way through until the 6th of September. That’s over a week of almost nothing. The wind is howling from the east and east-northeast, mostly 15 to 25 mph, and it’s either cross or cross-offshore. There’s no swell energy to speak of; the combined energy is sitting at zero or just a handful of points (like 0, 3, 9, 11). A rare few tiny pulses show up, like a 0.7 ft wave from the west on the 30th, but with a moderate breeze on it, it’s a total write-off.

Then, around the 7th of September, we finally see a little pulse of life. The combined energy climbs into the 50s and 60s (54, 66) with a 1 ft swell from the northwest and north-northwest. The period is decent – 13 to 14 seconds – so there’s some quality in the water, but the wind is still a fresh 19 mph from the east-northeast, creating a lumpy cross-chop. It’s not rideable in any meaningful way.

The best of a very average bunch looks to be the morning of Wednesday, the 9th of September. The wind drops to a moderate 12 mph from the east, going cross-offshore, which will clean things up. There’s a 1 ft swell from the northwest with a 12-second period, and the combined energy hits 86. It’s small, but it’s the cleanest it’s going to get. The 10th of September has a long-period 17-second groundswell from the southwest in the morning, but it’s only 1 ft, and the wind is cross-shore, so it’s not going to shape up well.

After that, the 11th to the 13th of September keeps pumping out 1 ft from the west-northwest with periods of 13-14 seconds, and the wind finally eases into a nicer cross-offshore pattern from the east, around 9-12 mph. The combined energy sits in the 60s and 70s (60, 68, 69, 71, 74). Water temperature is sitting at 81°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Honestly, if you’re desperate for a paddle, the 9th through the 13th of September are your only real window, and even then, it’s a session for the longboard or a foiling board. The swell is just too small and weak to get excited about. For a spot that’s a reef break and exposed to the north-west, it’s just not getting the love it needs from the ocean. The wind is the main villain here, and it’s not letting up.

Keep an eye on the charts, but I wouldn’t be cancelling any plans.

Rusty.

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