Rock Wave Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Rock Wave. It’s a reef break, so it needs a decent swell to get going, and it looks like we’re in for a long wait before anything really gets good.

The first week and a half is a bit of a write-off, to be honest. The energy is just not there. We start off with a tiny 3ft SSW swell on Sunday the 6th, but it’s cross-on wind and the combined energy is a weak 1011. It’s messy and honestly, not worth paddling out for. The waves get a bit bigger on Monday the 7th, with a 7ft S swell, but the wind is howling at 19 mph straight onshore, making it a lumpy, choppy mess. The energy jumps to 2293, but with winds like that, it’s just a battle. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is about normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t freeze while you’re getting tossed around.

We get a bit of a lull mid-week, with some small E swells in the 2ft to 4ft range, but the period is short (9 seconds) and the wind stays cross or cross-on. It’s just not enough juice to make the reef work. The energy drops right down to 66 on Thursday the 10th, which is basically flat. We’re looking at a solid 10-day gap of nothing really surfable.

Now, the outlook starts to shift around Saturday the 12th. We see a 8ft ESE swell coming in, but it’s short period (8 seconds) and the wind is a moderate cross-shore at 16 mph. The energy is up there at 1480, but it’s going to be a bumpy, disorganized mess. Not the one.

Things get interesting on Sunday the 13th. The swell is 8ft from the east, period is still 9 seconds, but the wind drops right off to a light 3 mph cross-shore. The combined energy jumps to 2490. This is the first real window of clean conditions. The waves will be powerful, but with that short period, it might be a bit walled up at the reef. Still, it’s the best we’ve seen.

The real standout, though, is looking like Saturday the 19th of September. We’ve got a solid 12ft swell from the east with a 10-second period, which means a lot of raw power. The combined energy is a massive 2651. And here’s the key: the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore. That’s going to groom the faces to perfection. At 12ft, this is expert territory only. It’s going to be a big, powerful, clean wall. If you’ve got the skills and the nerve, this is the session to circle on the calendar. It’s a long way out, so the forecast could wobble, but right now, it looks like a banger.

Before that, the morning of Friday the 18th has a 8ft SSE swell with light 6 mph cross-shore wind, giving it an energy of 1071. It’s another decent option for the week, but the Saturday is the king.

So, to sum it up: a long, slow start with a lot of onshore junk. The first real clean surf arrives on Sunday the 13th, but the big one to aim for is Saturday the 19th. It’s going to be a big, clean, and powerful day at the reef. Keep your eyes on that one.

Rusty.

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