Rock Wave Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Rock Wave. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, so let’s break it down.

The overall pattern is pretty average to start. Don’t get too excited for the first few days. Monday the 13th is a write-off, with a messy cross-shore breeze and a 7ft east swell that’s just not clean. The water is a bit colder than normal at 65°, which is a bit of a shock if you’re used to it warmer this time of year.

Things start to look up on Tuesday morning the 14th. That’s when we get a window of proper glassy conditions with a light west wind. The swell drops to a clean 6ft from the east, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (687), and it’s gonna feel good. Tuesday afternoon holds that same glassy vibe with a 6ft east swell. This is the best the first week has to offer – clean, fun, and not too crowded.

Wednesday morning the 15th is still decent with a 5ft east swell and a light offshore breeze, but it fades in the afternoon. From Thursday through the weekend, the wind gets messy again, and the swell drops off. There’s a brief spike of energy on Friday afternoon the 17th with a 8ft SSW groundswell (period 13 seconds), but the wind is howling at 15 mph from the southwest, making it a lumpy, cross-chop mess. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddler’s joy.

The real standout, and I mean the one to circle on the calendar, is Tuesday morning the 21st of July. We’ve got a solid 5ft swell from the SSW, but the period is a massive 18 seconds – that’s very long-period groundswell. The combined energy is strong (1591), and with a light cross-offshore breeze from the north-northeast, it’s going to be clean. This is a reef break, so that long period will wrap in beautifully. It’s rated as excellent for experienced surfers, and it’s a fairly consistent spot, so you’ll get your waves. The crowd factor is “sometimes,” so keep an eye out. This is the pick of the 16 days.

After that, the second week gets a bit grim. The swell sticks around in the 4ft to 5ft range, but the wind is relentless, mostly cross or onshore, with fresh to moderate breezes that will chop things up. From the 23rd through the 27th, it’s poor, with the wind gusting up to 22 mph on the 23rd, making it messy and unpleasant. The surf drops to tiny 2ft on the 25th and 26th. There’s a glimmer on Tuesday morning the 28th with a 4ft SSW swell and light wind, but it’s only marginal.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 14th and Tuesday the 21st are your best bets. The 21st is the real highlight for the experienced crew. The rest of the window is mostly a wait-and-see game.

Rusty.

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