Refugio State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's coming down the pike for our local stretch over the next couple of weeks. We're talking Refugio State Beach, a beach and point setup that's fairly consistent.

Right off the bat, the water is sitting at 61°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off, to be honest. Thursday the 2nd through Sunday the 6th are looking pretty poor. The swell is tiny, mostly around 1ft to 3ft from the SSW, and the wind is just a mess of cross-onshore and onshore breezes, leaving it choppy and messy. For a spot like this, that's just not worth paddling out for. The wave energy is weak, coming in under 500, so there's just no grunt in the water. The best you can hope for in that stretch is a marginal session on Friday morning or Saturday morning, but honestly, don't get your hopes up.

We start seeing a little more promise around Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th. The swell bumps up a touch to 2ft - 3ft, but the cross-onshore wind is still a problem. The wave energy is building, hitting the 500 to 700 range, but the quality just isn't there. It's still marginal at best.

Now, hold on to your board. Things start to get interesting on Wednesday the 8th. That morning we see a 3ft SSW swell with a light cross-onshore breeze, and the energy is jumping to 1191. But the real standout comes that afternoon. We've got a clean, cross-offshore wind blowing from the NW at 12 mph, pushing a 3ft SSW swell. That's a solid trade-off: the wind is working with us, and the energy is still high at 840. It's gonna be clean, which is a major positive. That Wednesday afternoon is looking like the best bet of the first week.

Thursday the 9th is another day to circle on the calendar. The morning is still cross-onshore, but then the afternoon hits. We get a 8ft swell from the WNW, but here's the thing: the period is short at 8 seconds. That means it's a wind swell, but the energy is at 962. The wind goes cross-offshore from the NW at 9 mph, creating clean conditions. That kind of size with offshore wind at Refugio is a special thing, but that 8ft is getting up there, so it'll be for the more experienced crew. It's a clean, punchy wave, but keep your wits about you.

After that peak, the surf settles back down for the second week. Friday the 10th brings a 5ft WNW swell, but the wind is cross-onshore again, so the quality dips. Through the weekend and into the middle of the next week, we're back to small, marginal conditions with SSW swells around 2ft to 3ft and onshore winds. It's a bit of a flat spell, honestly. The energy drops back into the 200s and 400s. There are a few windows with 3ft to 4ft WNW swells around the 14th and 15th, but the wind is never quite right, so it's all marginal at best.

If I had to pick the one true standout, it's Thursday the 9th afternoon. That's the biggest, cleanest swell of the entire run. For a more consistent but smaller wave, Wednesday the 8th afternoon is your safest bet with that clean, offshore wind. The rest is a waiting game.

Stay safe out there.

- Rusty

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