Refugio State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a long look at what’s cookin’ for our local stretch. We’ve got a real mixed bag comin’ up over the next couple of weeks. The early days are gonna be a struggle, with barely a ripple to get excited about. But if you’re patient, there’s a little window of hope hiding in there.

Right off the bat, Refugio State Beach is lookin’ pretty flat and sad. The water’s sittin’ at about 62°, which is just about where you’d expect for this time of year, no major surprises there. But the swell is tiny and the wind is mostly cross-on, keepin’ things messy and small. It’s a real slow start.

We have to wait all the way through the weekend and into Monday the 8th of July before we see anything worth paddlin’ out for. Even then, it’s marginal at best. A consistent but small pulse of SSW swell tries to push through, but the winds are workin’ against us. It’s only on Tuesday afternoon, the 9th of July, that we finally get a real moment. The swell bumps up to a fun-size 1.7m (about 6 ft) from the WNW, and more importantly, the wind goes glassy. Absolute glass. That’s your standout for the whole forecast, hands down. The wave energy is solid at (1092), and those clean conditions will make Refugio’s little point set up real nice. It won’t be huge, but it’ll be clean, and on a spot that’s often a bit crowded, you’ll wanna get out there for that afternoon session.

After that Tuesday peak, it’s a slow fade back into tiny, weak surf for the second week. There are pulses of WNW swell in there, but they’re short-period and disorganized. Winds stay light, which is something, but the energy is just too low to make much happen. Honestly, for the rest of the run, you’re lookin’ at knee-high dribblers with no punch. The 15th and 16th of July offer a brief flicker of life with some longer-period SW swell, but the size is just too small to do anything with. It’s a long, quiet spell.

So here’s the takeaway: don’t waste your time this weekend. Save your energy for Tuesday afternoon, the 9th of July, at Refugio. Glassy conditions and a little bit of push from a WNW swell will make that the only real call of the whole 16 days. Beyond that, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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