
Surf Forecasts:
Refugio State Beach surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period, WNW swell with 480 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Refugio State Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Refugio State Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Refugio State Beach in the next 16 days are 1.6m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Refugio State Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' in our little slice of coast.
Honestly, I gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days are lookin' flat and sad. We're talkin' a real desert out there. There's a few days with a touch of knee-high, wind-affected slop, but it's all lumped under "poor surf conditions" or "marginal" at best. The first real whisper of anything that might be worth a second look doesn't show up until we're well into the second week. The whole first week is a write-off, with hardly anything to get excited about.
Let's break down the one small window that might offer a glimmer. On Friday, August 7th, the afternoon brings a change. The swell bumps up to 4 ft from the NW, with a solid 10-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 689, so there's a little bit of push behind it. The water is sittin' at 69°F, which is a whopping 6°F warmer than normal – that's a very unusual, almost tropical feelin' for the time of year, so you won't need a thick suit.
The wind is light cross-onshore from the WSW, so it'll be a bit bumpy, but not blown out. For a spot that's fairly consistent, this is about as good as it gets in this forecast. The swell direction from the NW isn't a perfect match for Refugio State Beach's optimum W swell, but it'll still wrap in a little. This is a beginner-friendly break, and with the swell at 4 ft, it's still manageable. Just keep in mind that crowds are a regular thing here, so expect company.
Further out, the morning of Monday, August 10th, shows a 2 ft swell from the SSW with a long 14-second period. That's a groundswell, and it's comin' from a direction that matches the optimum for this spot much better. The energy is moderate at 427. The wind is light onshore from the S, which isn't ideal, but it might be clean enough for a few. It's a long way out, so keep your hopes in check.
Honestly, the rest of the time is a total bust. There's a lot of 2 ft to 2 ft junk with short periods, or long-period swells that are just too weak to do anything with. The wave energy (up to 450) is moderate at best, but the quality just isn't there. There's a lot of "poor surf conditions" and "marginal" forecasts, which is a real shame. For a fairly consistent spot like this, a blank run like this is a bit of a bummer, but the forecasts can change. For now, I'd say give it a miss unless you're desperate for a paddle.
Stay salty.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Sat afternoon, min 20°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
244 | 226 | 153 | 149 | 108 | 249 | 308 | 280 | 421 | 201 | 183 | 126 | 121 | 116 | 141 | 72 | 97 | 87 | 85 | 82 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 11:14PM1.97m | 12:42PM1.66m | 11:52PM1.81m | 1:10PM1.72m | 00:36AM1.63m | 1:41PM1.79m | 1:32AM1.43m | 2:20PM1.85m | 2:57AM1.26m | 3:08PM1.92m | 5:11AM1.17m | 4:10PM1.99m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:17PM1.02m | 6:10AM0.38m | 6:03PM0.99m | 6:34AM0.50m | 6:58PM0.96m | 6:59AM0.64m | 8:03PM0.91m | 7:25AM0.79m | 9:25PM0.82m | 7:56AM0.94m | 10:56PM0.69m | 8:40AM1.08m | 00:17AM0.50m | |||||||
— | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
8:02 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 25 | 30 | 32 | 27 | 29 | 31 | 25 | 28 | 30 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 22 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 26 | 28 | 21 |
Feels °C | 29 | 23 | 29 | 31 | 27 | 29 | 31 | 24 | 28 | 29 | 23 | 27 | 27 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 27 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | WNW 8 | S 12 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | WNW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | WNW 9 | SW 12 | SW 14 | WNW 9 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | NW 9 | WNW 9 |
244 | 127 | 153 | 75 | 108 | 249 | 45 | 67 | 197 | 65 | 58 | 126 | 39 | 97 | 79 | 70 | 97 | 87 | 41 | 58 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | S 11 | SW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 20 | S 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
54 | 61 | 85 | 45 | 49 | 74 | 48 | 25 | 67 | 66 | 65 | 79 | 56 | 9 | 71 | 30 | 37 | 11 | 85 | 61 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 14 | S 10 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | S 11 | S 11 | SW 12 | S 10 | S 13 | SSW 13 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 20 | SSW 20 | SW 18 |
— | 49 | 48 | 49 | 55 | 50 | 49 | 48 | 41 | 21 | 21 | 37 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 39 | 82 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 5 | — | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | — | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | W 4 | WNW 4 |
102 | 226 | — | 149 | 51 | — | 308 | 280 | 421 | 201 | 183 | — | 121 | 116 | 141 | 72 | 76 | 76 | 10 | 15 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 0 | 170 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 56 | 22 | 0 | 33 | 22 | 0 | 33 | 97 | 0 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Barbara | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Refugio State Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Refugio State Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Refugio State Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Refugio State Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Refugio State Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Refugio State Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Refugio State Beach is 21 km (13 miles) from Isla Vista. If you plan a vacation in Santa Barbara, look for hotels and other accommodation in Isla Vista. Isla Vista has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











