Refugio State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you; the next couple of weeks at Refugio State Beach are looking pretty average. Let's break it down.

We kick off Sunday, July 12th, with tiny 1.0 ft swell from the SSW, but the wind is cross-on from the south at 3 mph. The water is sitting at a comfortable 62°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The combined energy is weak, only 343, and the wave comment says "marginal." It’s not looking great for a paddle.

Monday and Tuesday, July 13th and 14th, stay small with that same 1.0 ft to 0.9 ft range, though Tuesday morning offers a little bump with a WNW swell at 1.0 ft and a period of 9 seconds. The energy is still weak, around 324.

Wednesday, July 15th, we see a bit more size – 2 ft from the WNW in the morning, with energy climbing to 432. Still, the wind is cross-on from the WSW at 3 mph. The afternoon gets interesting: the swell jumps to 2 ft from the WNW, the wind swings to a cross-off from the NW at 12 mph, and the energy goes up to 509. This is the cleanest it will be all week, but the period is short at 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit of a bumpy, close-out session. This is for experienced surfers only, as it's over 2 ft.

Thursday, July 16th, holds 2 ft from the WNW all day, with energy climbing to 733 by the afternoon. The wind is a cross-shore from the WNW at 9 mph, so it’s not going to be glassy, but it’s the most consistent size we have in the first week.

Then we hit a flat spell. From Friday, July 17th, through to Wednesday, July 22nd, the swell drops off to 0.5 ft to 1.0 ft. The energy is moderate, topping out around 520, but the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, and the wave comments are consistently "poor" or "marginal." It’s a full five days of pretty much nothing to get excited about.

Now, the real standout – and it’s a long way off – is Thursday, July 23rd. A solid S swell at 2 ft rolls in, with a period of 14 seconds. The combined energy shoots up to 1291, which is strong. The wind is light from the SSE at 6 mph, keeping it cross-on but clean. This is groundswell, so the long period means it will have good shape, but it might be a bit too straight for a beach break like Refugio. Still, this is the best chance of the whole outlook.

Friday, July 24th, is similar, with 2 ft from the S, energy around 1256, but the wind gets stronger from the WNW at 16 mph in the afternoon, messing it up.

The last few days, July 25th to 27th, drop back to smaller, weaker swell from the SW, with the energy fading from 891 to 323. The water temp anomaly is normal, but the surf is marginal to poor.

Overall, your best bet is Thursday, July 23rd, if you can wait that long. The rest of the period is a waiting game.

Stay patient,
Rusty

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