
Surf Forecasts:
Refugio State Beach surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period, S swell with 855 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Refugio State Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Refugio State Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 19s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Refugio State Beach in the next 16 days are 1.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Refugio State Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a bit of a slow start. The forecast is a tough one for the first week. We're looking at a stretch of marginal surf with a lot of those "questionable tide" comments. For the first few days, we've got small swells and cross-onshore winds, so don't expect much.
The first real chance we see is on the morning of Sunday, July 19th. The water at Refugio State Beach is sitting at a very warm 66°, which is "much warmer than normal" for this time of year, so you can leave the wetsuit at home. We'll have a 4ft swell from the South, with a 13-second period, and it's light, clean wind. The energy is pumping at (1085), so there's some push there. That afternoon looks okay too, with a bit more size. It's still marginal, but this is the best the early run has to offer.
The pattern stays pretty flat through the middle of the week. Monday the 20th has a similar size swell but the wind gets a little messy. By Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd, the surf drops right off, with heights under 3ft and poor conditions. That's a couple of days you might as well be grounded.
Now, hang in there, because the second week is where the hope is. The standout for the whole run looks like Saturday, July 25th. The morning session at Refugio State Beach is looking like the pick of the crop. We're expecting a solid 5ft swell from the South, with a 14-second period, driven by a very strong energy reading of (1416). The wind is light and cross-onshore, which is workable to keep it clean. It's a little on the bigger side but still manageable for most. This is the one to circle on the calendar.
The following week settles back into a pattern of waist-to-chest high groundswell. From Sunday the 26th through to the end of the month, we're looking at 3ft to 4ft swells from the SSW, with long periods of 15-19 seconds. The winds are light. It's not epic, but it's consistent, clean, and rideable. The energy stays in the moderate range, so you'll get some decent lines.
Overall, it's a slow start, so don't rush it. The best bet is the weekend of the 25th and 26th. Everything else is just a fun, mellow paddle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Thu morning, min 17°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Tue afternoon, min 19°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 17 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 15 | S 13 | S 14 | S 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
288 | 268 | 311 | 190 | 254 | 232 | 249 | 203 | 212 | 599 | 604 | 855 | 700 | 608 | 263 | 352 | 344 | 362 | 325 | 321 | 257 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | off | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 12:47PM1.69m | 11:47PM2.17m | 1:29PM1.75m | 00:39AM1.93m | 2:12PM1.80m | 1:36AM1.67m | 2:55PM1.83m | 2:46AM1.43m | 3:41PM1.86m | 4:23AM1.26m | 4:28PM1.87m | 6:27AM1.22m | 5:18PM1.89m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:46PM0.98m | 6:50AM0.15m | 6:50PM0.97m | 7:29AM0.35m | 8:00PM0.95m | 8:06AM0.57m | 9:20PM0.91m | 8:42AM0.78m | 10:47PM0.83m | 9:21AM0.96m | 00:08AM0.71m | 10:09AM1.11m | 1:12AM0.58m | ||||||||
5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | |
— | 8:12 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 30 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 27 | 29 | 26 | 30 | 32 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 25 |
Feels °C | 29 | 29 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 28 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 28 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | SW 16 | SW 19 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 14 | S 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
288 | 88 | 177 | 190 | 149 | 98 | 64 | 203 | 212 | 599 | 604 | 855 | 700 | 608 | 263 | 352 | 221 | 362 | 325 | 321 | 257 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | WNW 15 | WNW 9 | WNW 14 | SSW 16 | S 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SW 7 | SSE 11 |
89 | 123 | 120 | 180 | 170 | 232 | 249 | 203 | 198 | 362 | 354 | 126 | 30 | 81 | 229 | 96 | 344 | 82 | 47 | 26 | 50 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 20 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | WNW 16 | S 12 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 15 | WNW 10 | WNW 14 | SW 16 | WNW 14 | SSW 17 | WNW 13 | NW 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SW 6 |
75 | 27 | 54 | 74 | 74 | 78 | 203 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 135 | 9 | 81 | 90 | 80 | 168 | 34 | 44 | 50 | 50 | 15 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | — | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | NW 5 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 4 | NW 9 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 |
— | 268 | 311 | — | 254 | 187 | 120 | 59 | 19 | 83 | 50 | 25 | 88 | 25 | 31 | 10 | 26 | 15 | 16 | 37 | 22 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 56 | 21 | 0 | 117 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 33 | 22 | 0 | 19 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 330 | 0 | 22 | 330 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Barbara | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Refugio State Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Refugio State Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Refugio State Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Refugio State Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Refugio State Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Refugio State Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Refugio State Beach is 21 km (13 miles) from Isla Vista. If you plan a vacation in Santa Barbara, look for hotels and other accommodation in Isla Vista. Isla Vista has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










