Refugio State Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.46° N 120.08° W

Refugio State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 16 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Refugio State Beach sea temperature is
18.7° C
2.3° 

Refugio State Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Refugio State Beach surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period, S swell with 855 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Refugio State Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Refugio State Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 19s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Refugio State Beach in the next 16 days are 1.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Thu 16th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 8s
Best Surf 5AM (Fri 17th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 9s
Most Powerful 2AM (Mon 20th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Refugio State Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a bit of a slow start. The forecast is a tough one for the first week. We're looking at a stretch of marginal surf with a lot of those "questionable tide" comments. For the first few days, we've got small swells and cross-onshore winds, so don't expect much.

The first real chance we see is on the morning of Sunday, July 19th. The water at Refugio State Beach is sitting at a very warm 66°, which is "much warmer than normal" for this time of year, so you can leave the wetsuit at home. We'll have a 4ft swell from the South, with a 13-second period, and it's light, clean wind. The energy is pumping at (1085), so there's some push there. That afternoon looks okay too, with a bit more size. It's still marginal, but this is the best the early run has to offer.

The pattern stays pretty flat through the middle of the week. Monday the 20th has a similar size swell but the wind gets a little messy. By Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd, the surf drops right off, with heights under 3ft and poor conditions. That's a couple of days you might as well be grounded.

Now, hang in there, because the second week is where the hope is. The standout for the whole run looks like Saturday, July 25th. The morning session at Refugio State Beach is looking like the pick of the crop. We're expecting a solid 5ft swell from the South, with a 14-second period, driven by a very strong energy reading of (1416). The wind is light and cross-onshore, which is workable to keep it clean. It's a little on the bigger side but still manageable for most. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

The following week settles back into a pattern of waist-to-chest high groundswell. From Sunday the 26th through to the end of the month, we're looking at 3ft to 4ft swells from the SSW, with long periods of 15-19 seconds. The winds are light. It's not epic, but it's consistent, clean, and rideable. The energy stays in the moderate range, so you'll get some decent lines.

Overall, it's a slow start, so don't rush it. The best bet is the weekend of the 25th and 26th. Everything else is just a fun, mellow paddle.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Thu morning, min 17°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Tue afternoon, min 19°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
3
2
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
WNW
9
1.4
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
9
1.2
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
0.6
WNW
17
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.7
S
15
1.3
S
13
1.3
S
14
1.5
S
14
1.4
SSW
13
1.3
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
288
268
311
190
254
232
249
203
212
599
604
855
700
608
263
352
344
362
325
321
257
Wind (km/h)
10
SSW
5
WSW
5
N
10
SSW
10
WSW
5
NNW
10
SW
10
SW
0
NNW
10
SW
10
WSW
5
NE
5
SSW
15
W
10
NNW
10
WSW
25
W
10
NW
10
SW
20
W
5
NNW
Wind State
on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
off
on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
12:47PM1.69m
11:47PM2.17m
1:29PM1.75m
00:39AM1.93m
2:12PM1.80m
1:36AM1.67m
2:55PM1.83m
2:46AM1.43m
3:41PM1.86m
4:23AM1.26m
4:28PM1.87m
6:27AM1.22m
5:18PM1.89m
Low Tide
5:46PM0.98m
6:50AM0.15m
6:50PM0.97m
7:29AM0.35m
8:00PM0.95m
8:06AM0.57m
9:20PM0.91m
8:42AM0.78m
10:47PM0.83m
9:21AM0.96m
00:08AM0.71m
10:09AM1.11m
1:12AM0.58m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:01
6:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:12
8:12
8:10
8:10
8:09
8:09
8:08
 mm
Temp °C
30
30
25
24
26
23
25
27
23
24
25
23
27
29
26
30
32
28
29
29
25
Feels °C
29
29
23
25
27
24
26
27
23
24
25
22
25
26
22
28
29
26
29
28
25
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Refugio State Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Refugio State Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Refugio State Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Refugio State Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Refugio State Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Refugio State Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Refugio State Beach is 21 km (13 miles) from Isla Vista. If you plan a vacation in Santa Barbara, look for hotels and other accommodation in Isla Vista. Isla Vista has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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