Redwood Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, and I’ve taken a long, hard look at what we’ve got coming up at Redwood Creek. This spot is a river mouth that rarely breaks, so we’re not talking about a consistent player. But let’s see if this 16-day window has any hidden gems.

Overall, the pattern is on the small side for a long while. There’s a definite gap of surf that’s just not worth paddling out for. We’re going to have to be patient, with a whole bunch of marginal days and poor conditions dominating the first two weeks. The real interest, and it’s a tricky one, shows up much later. The key thing to remember is that Redwood Creek really needs the right swell and wind to light up, and it’s a rare event.

Right off the bat, the forecast kicks off on Friday, August 28th. It’s not great. We’ve got a tiny 0.5m SW groundswell (16-second period), but the wind is onshore and the water is a touch warmer than normal at 16°, with the anomaly being 2°. The wave energy is moderate (311). This one is a miss. The rest of the first week is much of the same – small, onshore wind, and poor surf, with the best you’ll get being a marginal call. There’s really nothing to get excited about from Aug 28 through to the start of September.

Into the first week of September, the swell picks up a little, but the quality doesn't. On Tuesday, September 1st, it’s still small at 1.1m from the NW with a moderate 9-second period in the morning. The afternoon gets interesting though. The wind goes glassy out of the W at just 5 km/h. The wave energy is still moderate (331). The swell is a bit short period, so it won't have much push, but the clean conditions are a major positive. It’s a tiny, glassy window, but still, the surf is marginal overall.

Then comes a bigger pulse. On Thursday, September 3rd, the swell jumps to 2.2m WNW with a long 11-second period, and the wave energy goes strong (1496). The wind is cross-onshore though, and it says it's marginal. Too big and blown out. Friday, September 4th, is the standout morning for the whole run. The swell hangs in at 2.1m from the WNW (10-second period) and the wave energy is still strong (1287), but crucially, by the afternoon, the wind goes glassy again. The conditions are described as "excellent for experienced surfers". That’s our best shot. It’s a solid, powerful 2.1m of NW groundswell with clean, glassy conditions. It’s a proper, punchy wave. The only downside is that at 2.1m, this is easily too big for beginners, and it's a rare day of quality at an inconsistent spot.

After that, it fades. The weekend of September 5th and 6th drops back to knee-high, weak swell with onshore winds. The second week of the forecast (Sep 7 through Sep 11) is full of poor to marginal conditions again, with the swell building back up but the wind always ruining it. There’s nothing of note until the very end.

The final few days finally look better. Saturday, September 12th, sees very small 0.9m to 1.0m SW groundswell, but things go glassy in the afternoon. Wave energy is moderate (525). The conditions are described as "very good". It’s tiny, but clean. That’s your other look.

So, if you’re keen, the one true standout is Friday, September 4th. Glassy, clean 2.1m WNW swell for the afternoon session. It’s going to be a powerful wave, but it’s only for the experienced crew. The river mouth setup might actually handle this direction and period well. The other option is the very end of the run on September 12th for a small, glassy session.

Bottom line: there’s a long, dry spell before the first real chance. Be ready to jump on that Friday the 4th or the 12th.

Rusty.

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