Playa do Carreiro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checking in with a look at what Playa do Carreiro has lined up for us over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there's some quality on the horizon if you’re patient.

First up, don’t bother paddling out this weekend. Sunday the 9th is flat and junk – weak little 0.9m W swell at 7 seconds with a light onshore breeze. The water’s sitting at 20°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

Monday the 10th is still pretty small, but the morning cleans up nicely with a light cross-offshore wind from the NNW. You’ll find some 0.6m NW swell with a period of 8 seconds – not much push, but the surface will be clean. The combined swell energy is weak at 82. It’s surfable but nothing to get amped about.

Tuesday the 11th is frustrating. The morning is tiny and onshore, but the afternoon actually turns clean with a cross-offshore breeze and a 0.7m NW swell that’s got a bit more period at 10 seconds. The energy picks up to 164, but still a marginal day.

Now, Wednesday the 12th is the standout of the first week. We’ve got a glassy morning – dead calm wind from the WSW, and the swell bumps up to 1.0m from the west at 9 seconds. The combined energy hits 202, showing moderate wave energy. This is your window. Get out early for clean, lined-up waves at the river mouth. The cross-shore wind will mess with the afternoon session, but that morning is pure glass.

Thursday the 13th morning keeps the good run going with clean cross-offshore conditions and a solid 0.9m W swell at 10 seconds. The energy is strong at 224. Another solid morning session, though the afternoon gets a bit bumpy with stronger wind. This spot is a river break, so those longer-period swells will wrap in nicely.

From Friday the 14th into the weekend, the swell actually starts pushing up in size, but the wind gets stronger, and the quality drops. Friday morning is surfable but ordinary. By Saturday the 15th, we’re seeing 1.8m to 2.2m NW swell (combined energy up to 440), but it’s all cross-offshore wind in the 20-30 km/h range. Those waves will be lumpy and hard to manage. At over 2.0m, this is really only for the experienced crew, and even then, the wind chop is going to make it a battle. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We hit a rough patch from the 16th to the 21st. The swell is all over the place – tiny, short-period bumps, strong winds, and a lot of poor surf conditions and zero scores. There’s a glimmer on Monday the 17th morning with a clean, offshore NE wind and a 1.4m NW swell at 7 seconds (energy 231), but the period is short, so the waves will be a bit crumbly. Still, it’s the best of a bad run. Tuesday the 18th morning goes glassy again with 1.3m NNW swell, but again, the quality is just “surfable” at best. The combined energy is moderate at 198.

The next real standout pops up at the very end of the forecast. Monday the 24th morning is a bit far out, so treat this as promising but less certain. We’re looking at a clean morning (cross-offshore NNE wind at 25 km/h) and a solid 1.5m NW swell with an 8-second period. The combined energy is strong at 313. The swell is getting up there, nudging into that size where beginners should be cautious, but the clean conditions could make for a solid session for the intermediate and above crew.

Overall, don't hold your breath for the next few days, but Wednesday the 12th morning is your best bet for clean, fun waves, and keep an eye on that final Monday the 24th for a potential bigger, punchier session.

Rusty out.

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