Playa do Carreiro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's be real – we're in for a bit of a dry spell for the next week or so. The first ten days of this 16-day outlook are pretty grim, with a real lack of decent swell energy. The waiting game is on, but there's a glimmer of hope later on.

Right now, Playa do Carreiro is the only game in town, but it's a tough one. The water temp is about average for this time of year. For the first week, we're looking at tiny, weak waves. The swell energy is basically non-existent, with values as low as 14 (just a whisper) to 71 (still weak). The swell is coming from the WNW, which is the optimum direction, but the size is only 1 ft to 2 ft with a short period – it's not going to do much. The wind is a mixed bag, with a few glassy mornings on the 21st, 22nd, and 23rd of July, but the waves are just too small to bother with. The Saturday afternoon of the 25th of July has a cross-offshore wind from the NNW at 25 mph, but the swell is only 4 ft with a measly 5-second period – it's a lot of wind for not much return.

Then we hit a gap from the 26th of July. The swell energy finally starts to build. On the 27th of July, we see a jump to 251 (moderate) and then 296 (moderate) in the afternoon, with clean cross-offshore winds. The swell is 4 ft to 4 ft from the NW/NNW, but the period is still short at 9 seconds, so it's a bit of a messy, wind-swell. The 28th of July morning is a bit better with cleaner conditions and 3 ft swell, but it's still not great.

The real standout, if you're patient, is the morning of Wednesday, 29th of July. This is the best on offer. We get a glassy, offshore morning with 4 ft of NW swell from the NNW direction, and the period stretches to 11 seconds. The combined energy is a solid 617 (moderate). This is when the river mouth at Playa do Carreiro could really start to shape up. The wind is glassy, and that swell is starting to have some real push. The afternoon gets a bit onshore, but the morning window is the one to chase.

The 30th of July morning also looks good, with 5 ft swell and glassy conditions from the SSW, but the energy is a bit lower at 386 (moderate). The swell period drops back to 8 seconds, so it's not as high-quality as the day before.

The first week of August is a bit of a fade-out. The 1st of August has some glassy 4 ft surf, but it's a short-period NNW swell, so it's a bit ordinary.

To be honest, for the first week, the setup is so weak and windy, it looks more interesting for a kite than a paddle. But if you're locked in, Wednesday the 29th of July morning is your best bet for a proper session. It's a long way off, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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