Playa do Carreiro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Playa do Carreiro. It’s gonna be a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, with a few standouts if you’re patient.

Right now, we’re in a quiet spell. The first few days are pretty ordinary. Swell’s small, under 3.3ft, and the wind is mostly cross or cross-off, making for so-so conditions. The water’s sitting at 66.7°, which is about normal for this time of year, nothing to write home about there.

The first real glimmer of hope hits Saturday afternoon, the 5th of September. We’ve got a pulse of new swell coming in from the NW, 3.9ft, and the period jumps to a solid 13 seconds. That’s a groundswell, and it’s packing some moderate energy (615). The wind is set to go glassy, which is a major plus. It’s the best window in the early part of the forecast, but remember, it’s a pretty short-lived window.

Sunday the 6th is still okay, but the wind picks up a bit, and the swell drops. The big drama comes on Monday the 7th. The swell jumps to 6.2ft from the WNW with a period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy is strong (973). That’s a lot of water moving. But the wind is howling at 12-18 mph from the N and NNW, cross-off. It’s going to be a messy, blown-out affair. That kind of size with that wind will be more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers. It’s really only for the experts if they’re desperate.

The middle of the week, from the 8th to the 14th, is a write-off. The wind is relentless, mostly moderate to fresh breezes, and the swell is small and weak. There’s a gap of several days with no real recommendations. It’s a long, flat, windy stretch.

Now, the real potential comes later in the second week. The morning of Wednesday the 16th of September is looking interesting. We’ve got a 5.6ft swell from the WNW, but the period is a very long 14 seconds, and the energy is strong (1149). The wind is light offshore from the SW. That’s a serious groundswell setup. The caveat here is that with a period that long, this river break might get a bit straight and fat, so it’s a wait-and-see for the tide. It’s a promising but less certain long-range call.

Then, Thursday morning the 17th of September, the swell drops to 3.6ft from the NW, but the wind goes glassy, with a period of 12 seconds. That could be a sneaky good, clean session for the intermediate crew.

Overall, the best bet is the Saturday afternoon the 5th, with the glassy conditions and new groundswell. The long-range Wednesday the 16th is the one to watch for size, but with a big caveat on the quality. Don’t get too excited about the middle of the month.

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