Playa do Carreiro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey everyone, it's Rusty. We're looking at a 16-day window for Playa do Carreiro, a river mouth setup. There's a bit of a slow start, but there's some real promise down the line, especially if you've got patience and a keen eye on the charts.

The first few days are a real mixed bag. Thursday the 3rd offers a tiny 2 ft WNW swell. The water is sitting at a comfortable 67°, which is bang average for this time of year. There's a light cross-offshore breeze, so it's clean, but the combined energy is a paltry 81. You'll be scratching for scraps. Friday the 4th sees a slight bump to 3 ft from the same direction. The morning is glassy, which is a joy, and the energy ticks up a notch to 130. Still, it's very ordinary.

Now, Saturday the 5th is your first real standout. The morning kicks off with a clean 3 ft WNW swell under a dead calm, glassy sky. The combined energy jumps to a solid 323, signalling the push of some proper groundswell. Then Saturday afternoon gets even better. The swell fills in to 4 ft from the NW, with a 13-second period. That's a proper groundswell, bringing in powerful, well-shaped lines. The energy is a strong 607, and with glassy conditions all day, this is the pick of the first week. It's not huge, so it's still manageable for most, but the quality will be there.

Sunday the 6th stays around 4 ft, but a cross-shore breeze makes it less clean. Monday the 7th has a bigger 6 ft W-WNW swell, but a 25 km/h cross-offshore wind will make it choppy and hard to read. The energy is massive at 887, but the conditions aren't cooperating. Take it as a windy, powerful day. Things go downhill from Tuesday the 8th through to Friday the 18th. There's a long stretch here—over a week—where the conditions are either poor or just flat out ugly with strong winds. A few days have occasional surfable waves, but nothing I'd recommend getting too excited about.

Then we come to Sunday 13 September. This is the other big standout, but it's a long-range call, so keep an eye on it. The morning is a beauty: 4 ft of NW swell, a 14-second period—very long period groundswell—and glassy conditions. The combined energy reads a powerful 749. This one is for the point and river mouth, as that long period will wrap in beautifully and hold its shape. That is going to be the best quality of the entire run. After that, conditions get onshore in the afternoon. Monday the 14th brings a decent 3 ft NW swell with clean cross-offshore breeze, scoring a solid 2. It's a good, consistent option.

By Tuesday the 15th, it drops back to small 2 ft WNW groundswell, and it's glassy again. Just small. The real promise sticks with the weekend run. Wednesday 16 September morning offers another clean 4 ft NW pulse with moderate energy (322). It's a quieter version of the Sunday standout. The rest of the run into the 18th fades.

Overall, the best bets are Saturday 5th September and Sunday 13 September mornings. Saturday for a punchy, fun-sized wave, and Sunday for the best quality, longer-period lines. It's looking pretty quiet for the middle chunk and the tail end, so make the most of those two standout windows.

Rusty out.

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