Playa do Carreiro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for Playa do Carreiro. It's a river mouth setup, and we're looking at a pretty quiet stretch ahead. The water is sitting at 65.3°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We've got a bit of a dry spell to start. The first few days are a write-off, honestly. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th are flat and messy, with tiny swell and poor conditions. Saturday the 8th is glassy in the morning but the swell is barely a bump at 1.0ft. It's not until Sunday the 9th that we see something surfable. The morning is glassy with a 1.6ft NW swell at 10 seconds, and the energy is still weak (82). It's described as "surfable but very ordinary," so don't get your hopes up. It’s a tiny, clean wave for a longboard or a foiler, but it's something.

The middle of the week picks up a little. Tuesday the 11th morning is glassy again with 1.6ft NW swell, still weak energy (58). Wednesday the 12th morning sees a jump to 3.3ft from the west at 9 seconds, with clean cross-off wind and moderate energy (180). That's a step up, but still pretty average.

Now, the standout in this whole 16-day window is hands down Thursday the 13th. The morning session is where it's at. We're looking at 3.9ft from the WNW at 10 seconds, with glassy conditions. The energy pushes into the moderate range (291), and the forecast is calling for "good surf conditions." The wind is off the land, the swell has a bit of push, and it's a Thursday so crowds should be manageable. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The afternoon goes cross-shore and loses the quality, so make it a dawn patrol.

After that, things drop off again. Friday the 14th has a clean 3.6ft NW swell in the afternoon, but the wind is up and the quality is poor. The following weekend and into the next week is a mix of tiny, weak swell and strong cross-off winds. The wind gets up to 25 mph on the 21st, which is more kite-surfing weather than anything else. The swell stays small, mostly under 3.3ft, and the energy stays weak. There's a marginal morning on Monday the 17th with a 3.6ft WNW swell and moderate energy (264), but the wind is a solid 15 mph, which will chop it up.

So, the bottom line: the best bet is Thursday the 13th in the morning. It's the only day that really shines. The rest is small, clean, and weak, or blown out. For a river break it's a pretty quiet run, but that one morning looks worth the wait.

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