North wall Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I've got a look at the stretch ahead for us. The next 16 days start off pretty grim, but there's a bit of light at the end of the tunnel if you're patient.

We're looking at a real flat spell to kick things off. From Sunday the 16th all the way through to Tuesday morning the 18th, it's just not worth paddling out. The swell is small and messy, with a cross-shore chop that's making a mess of everything. We've got a big gap of no-go days here.

The first real chance of anything decent won't come until Wednesday morning the 19th. North wall is the only spot on the cards here. The swell is a modest 5 ft from the SSE, with a period of 11 seconds – that's a nice groundswell pulse, which should give us some better-shaped waves. The wind is light and cross-offshore, so the surface should be clean. Combined wave energy is sitting at 643 (moderate), which tells us there's some real push behind it. The water temp is 68°, which is about what you'd expect for this time of year – nothing unusual there. This looks like the pick of the whole run, but be aware it's a Wednesday morning, so crowds are possible at this spot. The swell direction isn't a perfect match for the optimum SE, but it's close enough to get some good lines.

After that, things drop off again. Thursday morning the 20th might be worth a look with a clean 5 ft swell from the ESE and a light offshore breeze, but it's not a standout. Then we've got another long gap of poor to ordinary conditions from Thursday afternoon right through to the following Monday morning the 24th. The swell just fades out, and the wind doesn't play ball.

There's a flicker of hope on Monday afternoon the 24th – a tiny 1 ft swell from the SSE with a very long period of 20 seconds. That's a rare, long-range groundswell, but it's tiny. The energy is weak (155), so it's really only for the dedicated longboarder or someone who doesn't mind waiting.

The end of the run shows a bit more promise. By Wednesday afternoon the 26th of August, we've got a 3 ft swell from the SSE with a 14-second period, clean offshore wind from the west, and a combined energy of 516 (moderate). The forecast says "very good surf conditions" – that's the best call we get in the whole window. It's a long way out, so take it with a grain of salt, but it's worth keeping an eye on. Thursday morning the 27th also has clean offshore winds, but the swell is a touch smaller at 3 ft, and the energy is a bit lower.

Honestly, Wednesday the 19th is your best bet. Early morning, clean conditions, and a solid little swell. The rest of the 16 days is mostly flat or average, with that one Wednesday afternoon on the 26th looking like a promising but uncertain long-range option.

Rusty.

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