North wall Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s look at what we’ve got on the cards for Northwall.

Right off the bat, we’re in a holding pattern. The next couple of days are a write-off for paddle surfing. Sunday the 5th is messy – we’ve got a 6ft swell from the south, but it’s short-period wind swell and the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off. It’s just not clean enough to bother with. The combined energy is moderate at 428, but the quality isn’t there.

Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th are a different story for size, but not for the average surfer. We’re looking at a solid 12ft south-southeast groundswell rolling in. The combined energy is massive, hitting over 2000 and peaking at 3087 on Tuesday afternoon – that’s strong to very strong energy in the water. But the model is telling us it’s too big for this break, and I have to agree. With those southerly cross-off winds, the waves will be clean but powerful and way out of the league for anyone who isn’t a seasoned expert. The swell period is up around 9 to 11 seconds, giving it some proper grunt, but at that size, it’s going to be a beast.

Wednesday the 8th still has the 10ft to 12ft SE groundswell hanging in, with combined energy still very strong (2482). The wind eases a touch, but it’s still cross-off. Again, clean but too big for most.

Things start to settle down on Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th. The swell drops to a more manageable 7ft to 8ft, with combined energy dropping into the moderate range. Friday afternoon actually has a note saying to expect very good surf conditions, but the score internally is still a marginal call overall. The wind is gentle and cross-off, so the face should be clean. It’s surfable, but nothing to set the world on fire.

Saturday the 11th looks like the first real standout. We get a 6ft SSE swell with a 10-second period, and the wind swings light offshore from the WSW in the morning. That’s the key. Light offshore wind on a 6ft swell should produce some proper clean, lined-up walls. The combined energy is a modest 569, so it’s not a massive push, but the quality should be there for a fun session.

After that, we hit a flat spell. From Sunday the 12th through Wednesday the 15th, the swell drops below 4ft, and the combined energy falls to weak levels – down to just 25 and 26 on Tuesday the 14th. The wind is offshore on a couple of those days, but there’s just no water moving. It’s a dead period.

Then we get back into business. Thursday the 16th morning: a 8ft swell from the south, 10-second period, with a gentle 9 mph offshore wind. The combined energy jumps back to 2481 – strong. The model says excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers, and I’d back that. It’s going to be big and powerful, but the offshore wind will make it look like a postcard. This one is for the crew who can handle it.

Friday the 17th is still decent with a 7ft swell and light offshore wind, but the energy drops a bit.

Now, look ahead to Saturday the 18th. The morning looks incredible on paper: a 10ft SSE groundswell with a very long 14-second period, combined energy at 3386, and the wind is next to nothing from the NW. That is groundswell royalty. But – and this is a big but – the model flags it as too big for this break. It’s a long-period swell which, at point breaks, would be a dream, but at a beach and groyne setup like Northwall, that size and period could make it dumpy and impossible to get into. Sunday the 19th morning might be the smarter play: a 7ft SSE swell, 12-second period, with a clean cross-off wind and combined energy of 1062. That’s the sweet spot for the experienced surfer at the end of the run.

Overall, the best windows are Saturday the 11th for a fun, clean 6ft day, and then Thursday the 16th for the bigger, more powerful stuff if you’ve got the skills. The water temp is about 71°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no wetsuit drama needed.

If you’re a beginner, sit out Monday through Wednesday next week – it’s way too big and the current will be a fight. And don’t bother paddling out between the 12th and the 15th, because there’s simply no swell.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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