North wall Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming up for the North Wall.

The next week and a bit is a bit of a mixed bag, with a lot of small, ordinary days and some tricky winds. The real standout doesn't look like it'll show up until the very end of the forecast, so we’ve got some patience to practice.

Right now, Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th are a write-off. The swell is tiny, around 2ft to 3ft, and the wind is all over the place, mostly cross or cross-off, but the energy is weak (61 to 127), so it’s just not worth suiting up.

We get a slight flicker of hope on Wednesday morning the 12th. The wind goes light offshore from the west, and we’ve got a clean 2ft swell from the east. The energy is moderate (159), but the period is a short 9 seconds, so it’s not going to have much punch. A beginner might find some fun little waves, but it’s nothing to write home about.

Thursday the 13th morning looks similar with a light offshore from the SW and a 3ft south swell, but again, the period is only 8 seconds. It’s clean, but the energy dips to 132. The afternoon sees a jump in height to 5ft and energy to 311 (moderate), but the wind swings cross-shore and it gets messy.

Now, Friday the 14th is where it starts to get interesting. The morning shows a solid 7ft swell from the south with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is a strong 1575. The wind is a cross-off from the SW at 12 mph, so it’ll be clean. This is getting into expert territory at that size, and it’s a beach/groyne/river setup, so it’s going to be powerful. The water temp is about average for the time of year. The afternoon drops to 5ft, but still clean.

The weekend (Saturday 15th and Sunday 16th) holds onto some size, around 4ft to 5ft, but the wind stays cross-off and the period drops. The energy is moderate (303-399), but the quality isn’t there for a great session.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. From Monday the 17th all the way through to Friday the 22nd, the wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, the swell is a mix of small, short-period junk from the SE and E, and the energy is moderate to strong (192-461). The conditions are described as poor or ordinary, with a lot of rain showers and even a risk of thunderstorms. The break is pretty consistent, so it’s not a total blank, but it’s a tough run of days.

The Standout

The best of the whole 16-day window is shaping up to be Sunday the 23rd of August. The morning is looking magic. We’ve got a 7ft east swell with a 10-second period, which is a nice groundswell, and the wind is glassy – dead calm from the SE. The combined energy is a strong 882. This is expert-level size, but with glassy conditions, it’s going to be as clean as it gets. The swell direction is east, which matches the optimum swell direction for this spot perfectly. Expect a powerful, lined-up wave. The crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Monday the 24th morning also has a look, with a 5ft east swell and glassy conditions from the SSW. The energy is moderate (464), and it’s a good option if the Sunday is too big.

And Tuesday the 25th morning rounds it out with a smaller 5ft east swell and glassy conditions, offering a clean, fun session for the slightly smaller wave.

So, there’s a lot of waiting, but that Sunday the 23rd is the one to circle. Keep an eye on it, because long-range forecasts can change, but right now, it’s the best we’ve got.

Rusty.

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