North wall Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty, and I'm looking at the surf outlook for Northwall. Let's get into it.

The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag. We've got two distinct pulses of significant swell, but the conditions around them are tricky. The first big one is a doozy, but it's a real challenge. The second one, a week and a half out, is the one to circle on the calendar if you're an experienced surfer.

The forecast starts with Wednesday the 9th showing a 5ft swell from the SSE, but with a moderate cross-onshore breeze, it's just choppy and messy. Not worth a paddle.

Thursday the 10th is where it gets interesting. A solid 12ft swell from the SSE, with the combined energy of all swells directing here hitting a massive 2009. That's strong wave energy. The wind is a clean cross-offshore, so the surf will be clean. However, an 12ft swell is only for the experts. This is big, powerful stuff. The period is a moderate 9 seconds.

Friday the 11th through to Tuesday the 17th is a long stretch of marginal or poor surf. The swell drops right off, and the winds are mostly cross-shore or cross-onshore, keeping things messy. There's a lot of nothing in this window. On Monday the 14th, we get a brief moment of glassy conditions, but the swell is only 3ft, so it's a very small, ordinary session. Not a stand-out.

Then we get to the real highlight. Saturday the 19th of September. Another big 12ft SSE swell arrives, with the combined energy at 2122, even stronger than the first pulse. The wind is a clean cross-offshore in the morning, offering perfect conditions. Again, this is expert territory only. The swell is too big for beginners. If you have the skill and the nerve, this is the best day on offer. The Sunday the 20th still has a solid 8ft swell, but with a light cross-onshore wind, it's not as clean.

After that, the energy fades and the winds become unfavourable, so the window closes up.

For the average surfer, the pickings are slim. The Thursday the 10th and Saturday the 19th are the only two real standouts, and both are serious, heavy days. The water temperature is sitting around 69°F, which is about 1°F below average for this time of year, so pretty normal. No major warmth or chill.

The break is a beach/groyne/river setup, and with the long period (11 seconds) on the 19th, it can break a bit straight. But with that size and clean wind, it'll still be a memorable session for the brave.

Keep an eye on the forecasts, because this is a waiting game. The first week is mostly a write-off, but that second weekend is a big red circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

Read more