Noordhoek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Noordehoek.

We’ve got a solid run of swell on the horizon, but the wind is gonna be the main character here for a while. The first week is a bit of a mixed bag, with some proper size but tricky conditions. The real standout is hiding way out in the second week, so patience is gonna be key.

Right now, starting Thursday the 9th, we’ve got a serious 8ft to 12ft SSW swell hitting the reef, but it’s coming with a stiff 19 mph to 19 mph cross-off wind from the WSW. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The combined energy is massive (4005 to 4031), but with that wind, it’s going to be a battle. It’s big and powerful, but not clean.

Friday the 10th is more of the same, with the swell holding at 12ft. The morning is cleaner with a 16 mph cross-off, but the wind gets lighter and goes cross in the arvo, which will mess the surface up. The energy is still huge (4623 in the morning). It’s a lot of water moving around.

Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are write-offs. The wind swings onshore from the east, gusting up to 22 mph, and the swell drops. The energy drops fast (from 2380 down to 652), but the chop and lump will make it miserable. Not worth paddling out.

Monday the 13th is a small window of hope. The swell drops to 4ft, but the wind goes light and cross-off. The energy is low (349), but you’ll get clean, rideable waves. For a beginner, this is doable, but for the experienced crew, it’s just a little fun.

From Tuesday the 14th through to the end of the first week, things get tiny. We’re looking at 2ft to 3ft swells with very low energy (down to 88). Most days are clean but just too small to get excited about.

Now, there’s a big spike on Thursday the 16th. The swell jumps back to 10ft, but the wind is a screaming 28 mph WSW. The energy is back up (1694), but that’s a kite-surfing day, not a paddle-surfing day. The wind will be howling.

The next week stays inconsistent and small until the real treat shows up. On Monday the 20th, it’s a glassy morning with a 4ft SW groundswell (13-second period). The energy is moderate (486), and the conditions are perfect. For a small, clean day, this is a gem.

But the true standout is Friday the 24th. That’s over a week away, so take it with a pinch of salt, but the forecast is looking exceptional. A 13ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period, light offshore winds from the NW, and a combined energy of 7921. This is big, powerful, and long-period groundswell. For a reef break like Noordehoek, this is proper. The waves will have serious shape, energy, and hold up well. The crowd factor is a concern here – it’s a spot that can get busy, so get there early. This is for experts only; 13ft is no joke. The swell will be too big for anyone else.

So, overall, the next few days are a game of waiting for the wind. The 13th is a small, clean breather, but the real session to circle is the 24th. That’s the one.

Rusty.

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