Noordhoek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks for the Cape. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. We’ve got a lot of onshore and cross-shore wind messing things up for the first week, but there’s a couple of windows where it cleans up, and then a big one brewing for the end of the run that’s got some serious size behind it.

We start off with some solid swell on Saturday the 8th, but it’s pretty average. The morning has a clean 8ft SW swell with a 14-second period, but the wind is a fresh cross-offshore breeze. It’s surfable, but the tide is questionable, so it’s not going to be firing. The afternoon gets worse as the wind swings more cross and it gets lumpy. The combined energy is moderate at 1858.

Sunday the 9th is a write-off. The swell is there, 10ft in the morning, but it’s blowing a strong cross-off which might keep it clean, but the wave comment says it’s marginal. The afternoon turns to rain and a strong cross-onshore wind, making it a proper mess. You’d be wasting your time.

Monday the 10th through Thursday the 13th is a period I’d rather forget. We’ve got a solid SW groundswell running, but it’s all wrapped in cross-onshore winds, making it lumpy and choppy. The energy is moderate to strong, but the quality is just poor. The first real break in the weather is Friday morning the 14th. The wind drops to a gentle breeze, and the swell is down to 4ft at 16 seconds. It’s still cross-shore, so not perfect, but it’s the best we’ve seen in days. The energy is weak at 855, so it’s not going to be powerful.

Saturday the 15th keeps things small. The morning has a clean 4ft SW swell with a light cross-offshore wind, which is nice, but the energy is weak at 413. The afternoon is even weaker with a light cross-onshore. There’s a more interesting window on Sunday the 16th. The swell picks up to 7ft, but the period has dropped to a short 8 seconds. That makes it a bit lumpy and less organized, but the morning is clean and the wind is offshore. The energy is moderate at 1387. It’s a bit of a gamble, but it could be fun.

The next week starts to show some promise, but it’s a long way out. Tuesday the 19th has a bit of swell with a clean morning, but it’s average. The real standout is on Saturday the 22nd. The models are showing a big SW groundswell, pushing 16ft with a 11-12 second period. The combined energy is strong, over 6000. The wind is favorable, but the problem is it’s too big for the break. At that size, it’s only for experts, and even then, it might be a washing machine. The wave comment says it’s too big for this spot. We’d need to be looking at a more sheltered reef or point, but the energy is huge.

The final day, Sunday the 23rd, has a solid 10ft SW swell with a 14-second period and a clean cross-offshore wind. The energy is strong at 3760. It’s still a big swell, but it’s cleaner than the previous day. This is the one to watch, but it’s over a week away, so treat it as promising but not a sure thing.

So, the short version: the first week is mostly a fight against the wind. The second week has that big pulse on the 22nd and 23rd, but it’s going to be big and gnarly. If you’re not comfortable in heavy water, stay clear. If you are, keep an eye on Sunday the 23rd.

Rusty.

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