Noordhoek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, let’s get into it. Right now, the surf is a bit of a mixed bag for our stretch of coast. We’ve got some size coming, but the winds are going to be the big story for the first few days, and honestly, it’s going to be a bit of a fight to find anything clean. But don't write it off just yet, because there are a couple of gems hidden in there if you're patient.

We start off on Thursday the 10th. It’s small and a little messy with a cross-off breeze, maybe 4ft of southwest swell at 13 seconds. The energy is weak, only 682. It’s not really doing much. We’re better off waiting. The waves are there, but the conditions are just too doubtful to get excited about.

Friday the 11th sees a bit more size, 6ft, but the wind swings onshore and it gets choppy. The energy picks up to 1133, so there’s some push, but it’s not going to be pretty. The afternoon is a total write-off with a 0 score. Saturday and Sunday are looking pretty poor, onshore winds and messy conditions. The swell does build, hitting 7ft on Sunday morning, with energy jumping to 2195, but it’s accompanied by 35 km/h cross-onshore winds. That's a full-blown mess. This isn't paddle surfing, that’s more like kite-surfing territory.

Monday the 14th is smaller and still not great. We’re in a bit of a lull. The energy drops right down. However, Tuesday the 15th morning clears up. Winds go light, we have a clean 4ft southwest swell at 11 seconds. It’s small, but it’s clean. It might be one of those days you take the log out for a cruise. Energy is still low, just 452. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Then, hold on to your boards, because Wednesday the 16th we get a big pulse. The swell jumps to 13ft, but it’s all over the place, with a short 9-second period. The energy is huge, 3819, but it’s coming with strong cross-shore winds. It’s going to be a washing machine out there. This is for experts only, and even then, it looks pretty awful. We’re probably sitting that one out.

Thursday the 17th backs off a bit to 8ft, with a better 13-second period. The morning looks glassy with light winds. There’s a lot of energy, 1927. It could be okay, but it’s still a bit uncertain.

Friday the 18th is blown out again, with near-gale force winds. Forget it.

But then, here’s the standout. On Saturday the 19th, everything lines up. We’ve got a solid 6ft of southwest swell, with a long 16-second period. Winds are light offshore, and the energy is at 1493. The forecast is saying “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is the one to circle. It’s going to be proper, with clean faces and some real power behind it. This is the best morning of the whole period, no question.

Sunday the 20th sees more size, but the wind is on it again, and it gets messy. The swell is up to 8ft in the morning, and 12ft in the afternoon, with energy spiking to 4238, but it’s not going to be clean.

Monday the 21st is interesting. The swell is big, 12ft, and the period is a long 16 seconds. The energy is huge, 6016, the biggest of the whole run. The winds are light and cross-shore in the morning. It’s a big day, a real groundswell. This kind of long-period swell can be tricky though, especially at a beach break. It might be straight and closed out. But at the reef here at Noordhoek, it could be something special. Still, with that size, it’s for experts only.

The 22nd and 23rd are back to onshore and blown out. The swell fades, and it all gets a bit miserable. There’s a bit of size on the 22nd but the wind kills it. The 23rd is just howling.

The 24th sees the swell bottom out, with small waves. It’s not worth mentioning. Finally, on Thursday the 25th, we see a little pulse of energy, 5ft at 14 seconds. The winds are light again, so it could be a small but clean end to the run.

So, to sum it up: the window is really narrow. The only two mornings that look truly worth the paddle are Saturday the 19th – that’s the standout, no question. And if you’re an expert looking for a serious challenge, Monday the 21st could be a big one, but it’s a gamble. The rest of the time, be prepared to pick your moments and keep your expectations low.

Rusty out.

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