Noordhoek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. We’re looking at a solid run of winter swell for Noordhoek, a reef break that’s very consistent. The water is sitting at 63°, which is a whopping 4° colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good thick steamer if you’re paddling out.

The first real action kicks off on Wednesday afternoon, the 15th. We’ve got a 7ft SW swell at 8 seconds, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off. It’s clean, but that short period means it’s a bit lumpy and weak, with only moderate energy (751). Not the best start, but it’s a taste of what’s coming.

Thursday morning, the 16th, is where it starts to get interesting. The swell jumps to 10ft from the SW, period stretches to 14 seconds, and the energy is strong (3095). The wind is a light 6 mph cross-off. This is proper groundswell, but at that size, it’s expert-only territory. The long period means it’ll be a bit straight at this reef, but the power is real.

Friday morning, the 17th, keeps the fire going with a 8ft SW swell, 12-second period, and light 6 mph cross-off winds. Energy is still solid (2010). This is a good window, but the wind shifts in the afternoon to a light cross-on, so the morning is the clear call.

Saturday the 18th sees a drop. The swell backs off to 5ft, period drops to 10 seconds, and energy is weak (638). Still clean with a moderate cross-off wind, but it’s a rest day.

Sunday the 19th gets big again, but messy. A 10ft SW swell, 10-second period, but the wind is howling at 22 mph. The energy is high (1956), but that wind will make it a battle. It’s a “check it but don’t expect much” kind of day.

Now, the real standout comes on Tuesday the 21st. The morning session is going to be special. A 12ft SW swell, 12-second period, and a light 6 mph NNE cross-off wind. The energy is enormous (5663). This is a big, powerful groundswell with clean conditions. It’s expert-only, no question. The afternoon sees it jump to 13ft, but the wind swings cross-on and gets choppy, so the morning is the only window.

Wednesday the 22nd afternoon is another monster. 16ft from the SW, 13-second period, and a strong 25 mph cross-off wind. The energy is through the roof (9213), but the forecast says it’s too big for this break. That’s a solid “no go” for paddle surfing.

Thursday the 23rd is even bigger. 16ft SW, 15-second period, offshore light wind in the morning. Energy is extreme (11542). Again, it’s too big. This is a kite-surfing or tow-in day, not a paddle day.

The rest of the run into the second week stays big but windy. Friday the 24th is a write-off with near-gale winds. Saturday the 25th is big but messy.

The next true standout is Sunday the 26th morning. A 8ft SW swell, very long 15-second period, and a light offshore wind from the NW. Energy is strong (3239). The glassy offshore wind makes this a clean, powerful swell. It’s still big for intermediates, but for experts, this is the best session of the second week.

Thursday the 30th morning is the final highlight. 12ft SSW swell, 15-second period, and glassy conditions with a light westerly breeze. Energy is very high (5302). This is a beautiful, clean groundswell with perfect conditions. Very long period, so it’ll be a bit straight at the reef, but the glassy wind and size make it a must-check for experienced surfers.

Overall, the first week has the most reliable windows, with Tuesday the 21st morning being the absolute standout. The second week is more about the 26th and 30th mornings, but with longer-period swells, expect longer lulls and more unpredictable sets. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Rusty

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