Kua Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. Honestly, looking at the next 16 days for Kua Bay, it’s a real tough stretch. The ocean is just not cooperating. We’re looking at a long, lean run with hardly anything to get excited about. The first decent-looking window doesn’t even show up until we’re well into the second week, so expect a lot of flat, small days before that.

Right from the start, Saturday the 15th, you’ve got a tiny 1ft swell from the west, with a period of 11 seconds. The energy is weak, only measuring (25). The morning is glassy, which is a tease, but the waves are just too small and poor to bother with. That afternoon, the wind cranks up to 25 mph from the ENE, making it a total write-off. Sunday the 16th isn’t any better, with a cross-on wind and a 1ft to 1ft WNW swell. The energy bumps up a bit to (60) on Sunday arvo, but the onshore wind kills it.

The whole first week is like this. We’ve got a stretch from Saturday the 15th right through to Friday the 22nd where every single session is rated as “poor surf conditions.” The swell stays tiny, mostly between 0.7ft and 1ft, and the wind is never right. Even when it goes glassy, like on the afternoon of Tuesday the 19th, the swell is just a pathetic 1ft with a 12-second period. The water temp is sitting at 82°F with a 2°F anomaly, so it’s a touch warmer than average for this time of year, but that’s the only thing going for it.

Then, there’s a glimmer. Thursday the 20th afternoon, things get interesting. The swell direction swings to the SW, and the period jumps to 17 seconds, with combined energy hitting (77). The wind goes glassy. The wave comment finally says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” This is the best of the whole outlook, but it’s still just 1ft. It’s a long-period groundswell, which means it’ll be super clean on the surface, but it’s going to be weak and inconsistent. For a spot like Kua Bay that’s exposed to WNW, this SW direction isn’t ideal, but with the glassy conditions, it’s the only moment worth paddling out.

After that, the last week of the month is a back to the same story. From the 21st through the 30th, we’ve got a few afternoons with clean, offshore winds, like the 23rd, 25th, and 26th, but the swell is either non-existent or tiny. On Tuesday the 26th, the morning is glassy with a 2ft swell from the NNE, but the period is a terrible 5 seconds, so it’s just wind chop. The energy is (27). It’s not surfable.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is the afternoon of Thursday the 20th. It’s the only moment the guidance gives a score above zero, and with the glassy wind and a touch of SW groundswell, it’s the pick of a very poor bunch. The period is long at 17 seconds, so expect long waits between sets. It’s not a beginner wave, but the conditions will be clean.

For the rest of the run, from the 15th to the 30th, there are huge gaps. You’re looking at a 5-day stretch from the 15th to the 19th with absolutely nothing rideable. Then after the 20th, you’re back to flat or poor conditions until the 30th. It’s a grim outlook.

Kua Bay is a fairly consistent spot, so this blank run is a bit of a surprise, but it happens. The forecasts can change, but right now, the ocean is asleep. Honestly, with the tiny swell and the poor quality, this setup looks more interesting for a paddle around on a SUP than a surf. If you’re desperate, bring a longboard and pray for the 20th afternoon.

Rusty.

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