Kua Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m gonna level with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for Kua Bay. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, sickly swell and winds that are mostly onshore or cross-shore. It’s not a total write-off, but you’ll be waiting a good while for anything worth paddling out for.

The water’s sitting at 82°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – feels like a bath, so you can leave the steamer at home.

The first real sniff of anything rideable doesn’t show up until the afternoon of August 27th, and even then it’s a pathetic 0.7 ft of N swell with a short 8-second period. The energy is basically nothing (5). That’s not surf, that’s a lake ripple. Friday morning the 28th gives us a 2 ft NNE swell, period only 5 seconds (24 energy), with cross-onshore wind – really not worth the drive.

We then hit a dead zone. From Saturday the 29th through to Tuesday the 1st of September, it’s mostly zeros and flat spells. A few tiny pulses show up – 1.0 ft from the SW on the 31st with a 15-second period (33 energy) but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s messy. The energy is still weak (33).

The pattern doesn’t really improve. Through the first week of September, we’re stuck with 0.3 ft to 1.0 ft swells, mostly from the W or SW, with periods ranging from 9 to 13 seconds. The combined energy stays well under 100, barely cracking 60 on the 8th (62) and 9th (57-58). Winds are consistently cross-onshore, light most days, but never offering that clean, glassy condition we’re after.

There is one slight glimmer. On the afternoon of September 10th, we finally see a modest bump: a 2 ft swell from the W with a 14-second period, and the energy jumps to 152 – that’s moderate wave energy. The wind is light cross-shore, which is the best we’ve seen. Still, 2 ft is tiny, and with that long period it’ll be super inconsistent and fat on the beach break. It’s not going to be epic.

Standout call: If you’re desperate, aim for the afternoon of September 10th. The swell direction (W) is a match for Kua Bay’s optimum (WNW), and the light cross-shore wind will be the cleanest we’ve seen in two weeks. But keep expectations low – it’s tiny and the long period means long waits between sets. This is strictly for the longboard or the foiler.

For the rest of the period, it’s a flat, frustrating stretch. The swell energy is almost always weak (values well under 100), wind is rarely favourable, and the wave heights are ankle-snappers. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Hang in there, but don’t hold your breath. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a long wait.

Rusty

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