Kua Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Alright, let's be straight with you: the outlook for Kua Bay over the next sixteen days is a tough one. We've got a long stretch of minimal to no surf, with a few tiny blips that are hardly worth getting the board waxed for. The water temp is sitting at around 82°F which is about average for this time of year, so that's a comfort at least.

The pattern starts pretty flat. From Thursday the 10th of September right through to the evening of Thursday the 17th, it's a wasteland. Swells are tiny—1 ft at best—with poor surf conditions and scores that just don't stack up. You'll see a bit of cross-off wind from the SSW on Thursday afternoon, but the swell is a weak 1 ft from the SW with a long period of 18 seconds. That long period (groundswell) might sound good, but with that little energy (49), it's just not going to hold up. Kua Bay is exposed to the WNW, and the swell is coming from the SW, so it's not ideal. There's a brief glassy moment on Sunday the 13th afternoon with a 2 ft NNE groundswell (period 4 seconds – very short), but the energy is a paltry 19. It's just not enough to make a wave. Then we see a couple of glassy days from Thursday the 17th morning, but the swell is completely absent.

Now, around Friday the 18th of September morning, things get a little more interesting. We see a 1 ft swell from the SW with a very long period of 18 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 108, which is moderate. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the W (6 mph). For a spot like Kua Bay, which is a beach break, that very long period groundswell might make the waves a bit straight and tricky. It's better suited to a point or reef, so just be aware. It's still small, and the poor surf condition rating suggests it's not going to be pretty. After that, the forecast drops back into flatness for the rest of the window.

The best window, if you can call it that, is this first blip on Friday morning the 18th with that moderate energy (108). But honestly, with 1 ft and light cross-onshore wind, it's a desperate call. For the rest of the fortnight, you're looking at long gaps of nothing. There's no standout here. It's a tough run for Kua Bay, and the break is 'fairly consistent', but this forecast is a real dud. Beginners shouldn't worry about anything being too big, and experts will be left staring at a flat ocean. The few tiny swells with moderate energy and very long periods might be more interesting for a kite surfer chasing a gust than a paddle surfer looking for a ride.

Stay patient, and check back soon. Forecasts can change.
Rusty

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