Kua Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk turkey. The water’s 81°F, which is a tad warmer than normal for the season, but it’s nothing crazy.

The start of this run is a total wasteland. From now through the 5th, there’s absolutely nothing. We’re talkin’ 0.6ft mush with weak energy readings in the single digits to low teens. The wind is all over the place, light but cross-shore, so it’s bumpy. You’d be better off on a paddleboard. It’s a bummer, but it is what it is.

We stay in a flat spell for the whole first week. Even by the 9th and 10th we’re only seeing 1ft waves. There’s a little more energy starting to show (58-63), with a longer period swell of 14 seconds, but it’s still too small to do anything with. And long-period swell on a beach break like this can be a bit walled.

Then, around the 13th and 14th, things finally start to change. The energy jumps into the triple digits and by the 14th we’re hitting the 200s. The swell is still small, but it’s getting glassy and clean. It’s those small, clean, fun waves that are better than they look.

The big one is the 17th. Monday morning. The swell jumps to 3ft from the west with a 16-second period – that’s real groundswell. The energy reading is a powerful 503. Winds are light, cross-off, and clean. That’s your standout. It’s not a giant, but it’s the cleanest, most powerful swell in the entire forecast. The afternoon gets a cross-shore breeze, so it’s a morning mission.

The days leading up to it, the 15th and 16th, are still in that 2-3ft range with some lumpy cross-on wind in the mornings. The 16th afternoon cleans up, and the 17th morning is the cherry on top. It’s a long way out, so don’t book the time off yet, but mark it down as the one to watch.

Rusty

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