Kua Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for Kua Bay. Honestly, we’ve got a long quiet stretch ahead. The surf is going to be tiny for the first week, and the real action, such as it is, doesn’t show up until the middle of the second week. The water temperature is sitting about 81°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’ll feel like bathwater.

We start off with almost nothing. From Thursday the 9th right through to the end of the following week, we’re looking at mostly flat, weak conditions. The waves are barely there, with swell heights hovering around 0.7ft to 1ft, and the combined energy is mostly in the teens or low sixties (17–64). It’s poor surf, pure and simple. You’ll get some glassy mornings here and there, like Friday afternoon the 10th and Saturday morning the 11th, but the swell is too small to do anything with. The wind is light, sometimes offshore, but the ocean is just not cooperating.

Then, around Tuesday the 14th, we finally see a little pulse. The swell lifts to 2ft from the west, with a 19-second period – that’s proper long-period groundswell, which for Kua Bay means better shape but long waits between sets. The combined energy jumps to 251 (moderate), but conditions are still marginal. The wind morning is cross-onshore, and the afternoon brings rain showers and a 9 mph cross-shore wind. It’s not great, but it’s the first sign of life.

The best we’re going to see in this whole outlook is on Wednesday the 15th of July. The morning is still marginal with a 3ft west swell, 16-second period, and 310 combined energy. But the afternoon is the standout: same 3ft swell, same period, with glassy conditions and a light southwest wind. The water will be clean, the waves will have some push, and that long period means they’ll wrap in nicely. It’s not a big day, but for Kua Bay it’s the best on offer. The crowd is sometimes a factor here, so you might have a few others out, but with the glassy wind it’ll be worth it.

The rest of the week after that fades again. Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th still have around 2ft to 3ft swell, but the wind is cross-onshore, making it messy. By Saturday the 18th, it’s dropping back to 2ft to 2ft, and by Sunday the 19th, we’re back to tiny 1ft to 1ft junk. The last few days, from the 21st to the 24th, are mostly flat or blown out. So, if you’re keen, your window is the afternoon of the 15th.

Rusty.

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