Kua Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s cookin’ at Kua Bay over the next couple of weeks. Let’s get straight into it.

Honestly, it’s a pretty quiet stretch. The first chunk of the forecast is a real struggle. We’re looking at a run of days with hardly any swell worth paddling for. From Friday the 10th all the way through to the evening of Sunday the 13th, it’s mostly tiny 1.0ft waves with weak combined swell energy (between 26 and 60). The wind is all over the shop, but the surf is just too small to get excited about. The water temp is 81°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nice for a swim, but not doing us any favours for waves.

The first faint glimmer of hope shows up on Tuesday the 14th. The morning swell bumps up to 2ft out of the west, with a period of 19 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, and the combined energy jumps to a moderate 251. The wind is a light cross-shore, so it’s not perfect but it’s a step up from flat. Wednesday the 15th is similar, with a bit more size, around 3ft (combined energy of 310), but still that cross-onshore breeze is messing with the surface. It’s still only marginal.

The pick of a pretty lean bunch looks to be Tuesday morning, July 14th. For Kua Bay, that 2ft west swell with a 19-second period is about as good as it gets in this window. The combined energy (251) tells you there’s some push behind it. It’s still light cross-shore wind, so it won’t be glassy, but a lot cleaner than what we’ve seen. The long period means longer waits between sets, which can make paddling out at this exposed spot a little easier. Kua Bay is fairly consistent when there’s swell, and it’s an exposed spot, so it grabs whatever’s out there. Keep an eye on the crowds, they can show up sometimes.

After that, it fades. The swell drops back into the 2ft to 1.0ft range through the end of the third week, with combined energy falling below 100 again. By the time we hit the 21st, it’s practically gone again, with a few days of zero swell. There’s a tiny 0.7ft pulse on the 25th, but it’s a 5-second period windswell, so it’s junk. All in all, the main event is that Tuesday the 14th morning – it’s your best shot if you’re keen, but don’t expect a classic.

Rusty.

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