Kua Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for waves in this area. The real action, if you can call it that, is only on the very first day. After that, we’re looking at a long, dry spell with hardly anything rideable for the next 14 days or more.

We’ve got one last gasp of swell on the 8th of September, and it’s coming from the west-southwest. Kua Bay is the only spot firing, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag. Tuesday morning we’ve got a solid 7ft groundswell from the WSW, with a period of 11 seconds. That’s got some serious grunt, with a combined energy of 1101. But the wind is a cross-off from the SSW at 19 mph, which is okay for shape but not ideal. The water is warm at 82°, and it’s running about a degree and a half warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a nice little bonus. This wave is better for intermediate surfers; it’s a bit too much grunt for beginners. By Tuesday afternoon, the swell drops to 6ft from the W, with a period of 10 seconds, and the wind backs off to 12 mph. Still cross-off, still clean enough. These are the only two sessions worth paddling out for.

The morning session on the 8th is the standout. It’s got the size, it’s got the energy, and the wind is manageable. But it’s a fairly consistent spot, so expect a few bodies out there, especially with the waves this size. The crowd factor is “sometimes,” so you’ll be sharing waves, but it’s not a circus.

After Tuesday afternoon, the chart goes dead. Wednesday the 9th sees a tiny 2ft windswell from the W with a 7-second period, and the wind turns cross-on, making it a complete write-off. From then on, we’re looking at waves under 2ft for days on end, with periods going anywhere from 6 to 18 seconds, but the energy is basically zero. There’s a long stretch where the combined energy is down in double digits or even zero. The 10th and 11th have some long-period swell (16 and 18 seconds), but it’s only 1ft – that’s just a groundswell ripple and not enough to push you around. The wind is light and variable, mixing in some cross-off and glassy conditions, but without any swell, it’s just a flat, pretty ocean.

We get a few tiny blips around the 22nd and 23rd of September, with a 1ft swell from the NNW and a 13-second period, but the combined energy is only 31 and 28. That’s not enough to get excited about, even with glassy conditions. The whole 16-day window is a bust after the first day.

So, bottom line: grab the 8th of September at Kua Bay, Tuesday morning for the best chance. It’s a short window, but it’s the only one. The rest of the period is a flat spell, and it’s going to be a long wait.

Rusty.

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