Kua Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me tell you about Kua Bay. The forecast ahead is pretty grim, I won't sugarcoat it. We're looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak surf with barely enough energy to get you wet. You're going to see a whole lot of flat days mixed in with only the faintest pulses of bump.

First off, the water temp is sitting around 81°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Nice for a swim, but it doesn't make the waves any better.

Right from Wednesday, July 8th, it's a no-go. We're looking at zero swell and light cross-onshore breezes. It pretty much stays that way through the end of the week. Thursday morning the 9th offers a tiny 0.65ft W swell with a long 15-second period, but the wind is onshore, so it's just messy. Thursday afternoon goes glassy but the swell is still pitiful. Friday the 10th is the same story; a bit of a 0.98ft W groundswell but it's not enough to even stand up on.

We finally see some energy show up on Saturday the 11th. The combined energy climbs to a weak-to-moderate 112, with a 1ft W swell and a period of 14 seconds. Saturday morning has a bit of cross-on wind, but Saturday afternoon goes glassy. Still, calling it surfable is a stretch. Sunday the 12th is a little better, with a 1ft SW swell, period up to 16 seconds, and the combined energy ticks up to 121. Sunday afternoon goes glassy with 1ft, and the comment says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." That's the best we get for a while. That same pattern of tiny 1ft SW swell and glassy afternoons repeats Monday the 13th.

Tuesday the 14th sees a slight uptick. The morning has a 2ft W swell with a very long 17-second period, pushing combined energy to 153. The wind is cross-on, so it's not clean. Tuesday afternoon cleans up with a cross-off breeze, and the swell bumps to 2ft with a 16-second period and energy of 193 – that's the first real "clean" window.

We hit the peak of this entire 16-day window on Wednesday July 15th and Thursday July 16th. The swell holds at 3ft from the W with a 15-16 second period, and combined energy jumps to around 300. That's moderate energy. But here's the catch: the wind is consistently cross-onshore, keeping things bumpy. The forecast notes it as "marginal surf forecast." It's the biggest swell of the run, but it's not clean.

Friday July 17th is the real standout. The morning is a no-go with onshore wind, but by Friday afternoon, the wind swings to a cross-off from the SSW at 9 mph. The swell is 2ft from the W with a 15-second period and combined energy of 212. The comment says "expect good surf conditions." This is your best bet. A solid, clean, long-period groundswell with offshore wind. It'll be lined up.

After that, it's all downhill. Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th drop back to 2ft and 1ft with messy cross-shore winds. The last few days from July 20th through the 23rd go completely flat again, with zero combined energy. A long, frustrating blank run to end the outlook.

So, the one and only true standout is Friday July 17th afternoon at Kua Bay. That WNW swell direction is right in the zone for this spot. With the clean cross-off wind, you'll get some fun, hollow little corners. It won't be big, but it'll be the best quality of the whole period. Don't expect crowds to be a problem for a wave that small, but it's your only real chance for a proper surf.

Rusty.

Read more