Kua Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you—this outlook for Kua Bay is a bit of a slow burn. We’ve got a long dry spell ahead before any proper waves show up, so don’t rush to wax your board just yet.

The first week is pretty much a write-off. From Friday 3 July right through to the end of Sunday 12 July, the surf is flat to tiny, with swell heights barely scraping 1 ft and combined energy values down in the weak range (0 to 76). The water temperature is sitting at 81°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year—nice for a dip but not for riding. Winds are mostly light and variable, with a few glassy moments on Saturday 4 July afternoon and Monday 6 July afternoon, but there’s just no push in the water. That Friday 10 July afternoon offers the only glimmer: a 1 ft West swell (14 sec period) with glassy conditions and combined energy of 76—surfable but very ordinary. It’s not worth a dedicated trip.

Then, after more tiny days, we finally see a shift around Monday 13 July. The swell picks up to 2 ft from the West (15 sec period) and combined energy jumps to 121—moderate energy now. Winds are light cross-onshore in the morning, but the afternoon turns clean with a cross-off breeze. Still, the conditions are poor and the score is low.

The real standout finally arrives on Thursday 16 July. The afternoon session at Kua Bay (Hawaii) is the best on offer across the whole 16-day window. Swell comes from the West at 3 ft, with a period of 15 seconds—that’s a proper groundswell with good shape and energy. Combined energy is 275, moderate but solid. Winds are cross-off from the SSW at 9 mph, keeping the surface clean. The guidance says Kua Bay is fairly consistent, exposed to the WNW swell direction, and works best with WNW swell—so this West swell is a good match. Crowds here are sometimes an issue, so expect a few others out. This is recommended for intermediate surfers; the size is well within comfort range, but that long period means the sets will have some punch and longer lulls, so paddle outs should be easier.

Wednesday 15 July afternoon is almost as good, with a 3 ft WNW swell (16 sec period, combined energy 416) and clean cross-off wind, but the score is a touch lower, so Thursday 16 July afternoon gets the nod.

After that, surf fades quickly. Friday 17 July drops back to 2 ft and 2 ft, and by Saturday 18 July we’re back to 2 ft with weak energy. The run from 19 July onward has no data, but it’s likely a gap of several days with no recommendations.

Takeaway: the best window is Thursday 16 July afternoon. Go then for clean, waist-high groundswell with decent energy. Everything else is small and forgettable.

Rusty.

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