Mahai'ula Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what's happening at Mahai'ula Bay.

Honestly, I gotta be straight with you – the outlook for the next two weeks is a real bummer. We're looking at a long stretch of nothing. The first solid week and a half is basically a write-off with zero surf energy. We're talking from August 29th all the way through to September 8th with no wave energy to speak of. You'll see some tiny bumps on September 1st, but at 1ft and a weak energy of just 9, it's barely a ripple. You'd be better off taking the kayak out.

We finally see a pulse of real energy arriving around September 9th. A new groundswell starts to push in, with the swell direction from the West. The wave energy jumps to moderate readings, hitting 66 on the 9th morning, climbing to 111 by the 10th afternoon, and peaking around 134 on the 11th afternoon. The swell size stays small, though, only reaching 2ft with a nice long period dipping into the 13 to 14-second range. That long period will give the waves some shape, but it's still not going to be a big day.

The water temperature is sitting at 82°F, which is about 2°F warmer than usual for this time of year. Liking that.

Now, because there's not a single standout session in the whole 16-day window, I have to pick the best of a weak bunch. The pick of the litter is Thursday, September 10th. The morning shows a 1-2ft West swell at 13 seconds, with a moderate energy of 84. The wind is a bit of a cross-shore, but the afternoon shows a 1-2ft West swell with a period of 12 seconds and a solid 111 energy reading. The wind is directly onshore, but the water’s likely to be clean enough for a beginner.

If you're a beginner, the Wednesday, September 9th afternoon session might be alright. A 1-2ft West swell with a 14-second period, and the energy is climbing to 97. The wind's a cross-shore, which is manageable. The long period will make the waves a bit more lined up, but this is a beach break so it might be a bit straight.

The best chance for a clean, glassy wave is Tuesday, September 1st afternoon. The swell is tiny at 1ft, but the wind is dead calm – glassy. It's a total knee-slapper, but if you're desperate for a paddle, it's the cleanest the water will be.

The setup is so small for so long, it's fair to say the conditions aren't really for paddle surfing. With the light winds and tiny swell, this is more of a stand-up paddle or a swim day.

Rusty, signing off.

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