Andrew Molera State Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are shaping up like for Andrew Molera State Park. Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – it’s a tough stretch. We're looking at a long, drawn-out period of pretty average to poor conditions. There's no real standout, epic day on the horizon, so keep your expectations in check.

Right now, kicking off Monday the 7th, we've got a 5ft south swell rolling in with a period around 13 seconds and moderate wave energy (986). But the wind is a cross-shore at 9 mph, which is putting a bit of a crinkle on the surface, so it's not going to be clean. The water temp is sitting at about 59°, which is a touch cooler than usual for this time of year (anomaly of -1°). Nothing too strange, just a bit of a chill in the air. It’s a "marginal" call all week, folks. Tuesday the 8th drops off a little more, with south swells around 4ft.

We hit a bit of a lull mid-week. Wednesday the 9th sees the swell drop right away to barely 2ft, though it does turn into a longer-period 16-second groundswell out of the SW, with energy dropping to 306. That's weak. By Thursday the 10th, we get a cleaner look with a cross-offshore breeze from the NNW at 12 mph, but the swell is still only 3ft and coming from the SSW. It'll be rideable but small. That clean spell doesn't last.

Friday the 11th brings a bigger push of 5ft from the NW with a short, choppy 10-second period and a big spike in energy to 1235. But the cross-wind at 16 mph is going to chop it up. Then Saturday the 12th has some 6ft NW windswell, but that 19 mph cross-offshore is going to be strong. At that size, with the short period and that breeze, this setup honestly looks more interesting for the kite surfers than for us paddle surfers. It continues like that for a while – a few days of waist-high plus NW windswell (5ft to 6ft) but always with some cross-wind, making it choppy and featureless. The combined energy stays in the moderate range, mostly between 400 and 700.

We get another clean-up around Monday the 21st with some cross-offshore winds and waist-high SW groundswell (3ft, 18-second period) and decent energy (617). It's better, but still not firing.

Now, the best on offer in this whole 16-day window – and I use the term "best" lightly – is the very end of the run. Tuesday the 22nd. We've got a solid 6ft to 6ft WNW swell building with a moderate 11 to 12-second period, and the combined energy is strong (1201). The morning looks best with a light cross-shore wind (6 mph) and only small ripples on the water. The swell direction is from the WNW, which is a bit off the optimum W, but it'll wrap in. This is promising but it's a long way out, so don't get too attached to the idea. If the wind stays light, that Tuesday could give us the best, most powerful waves of the whole outlook. It's still just a marginal call on the score, but it's the closest we get to anything decent.

So there you have it. A long, sluggish run with one faint light at the very end. Stay tuned, forecasts can turn around.

Rusty.

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