Andrew Molera State Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let's run through the outlook for Andrew Molera State Park, but in feet and miles per hour.

To be honest, the next few days are a bit of a bust for a decent surf session. There’s a gap with not much to get excited about. The swell is around, but the conditions are messy. The combined swell energy is moderate, ranging from 516 to 1262, but those cross and cross-off winds are putting a chop on everything. On Monday the 14th, you’ve got a 7ft swell from the NW with a 9-second period, but a 12 mph cross-shore breeze from the NW is going to mess it up. The water temp is 59°, which is about average for this time of year.

Wednesday the 16th morning offers a little glimmer with a light 3 mph offshore from the SW and a 5ft NW swell, but the data flags it as unknown, so it’s a bit of a lottery.

The real window opens up around Monday the 21st of September. The energy starts to build. Monday afternoon the 21st shows a solid 6ft swell from the NW with a 9-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 1416. The wind is a light 6 mph cross-shore from the WNW, which should keep things reasonable, but it’s not glassy.

The highlight, the one to really aim for, is Wednesday the 23rd of September in the afternoon. This is the best of the lot. You’ve got a 5ft NW groundswell with a nice long 11-second period, giving the waves some proper shape. The combined energy is 689. But the big one is the wind – it’s glassy. A 3 mph glass-off from the SW. That means dead clean, silky conditions. Andrew Molera is a beach and point setup, and with that longer period, the point could be a lot of fun. Remember, this break is inconsistent, so when it lines up like this, you’ve got to go. It’s a beginner-friendly spot normally, and a 5ft clean swell will be fun for everyone. Crowds can be an issue sometimes, so get there early.

After that, the surf drops off into the 24th and 25th with smaller SSW swells and weaker energy, down to 307. The second week brings another pulse of bigger swell. By Sunday the 27th of September, we’re looking at a7ft NW swell, but the winds are onshore or cross-onshore, so quality will suffer.

Then we see a solid building trend into the end of the month. Monday the 28th of September morning shows a 8ft NW swell with a 9-second period, and the energy is ramping up to 1755. The wind is a moderate 12 mph cross-shore, so it’ll be bumpy. But Tuesday the 29th of September morning is the one for the experts. You’ve got a8ft NW swell with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is pumping at 2575. That’s strong. The wind is a clean cross-off from the NNW at 16 mph. This is big, powerful surf, and at that size it’s only for experienced surfers. The point should handle it better than the beach, but it will be a serious challenge.

Bottom line: the first week is mostly a write-off until Wednesday the 23rd afternoon, which is your best bet for clean, fun waves. The second week has some serious size potential, but watch the wind. That Tuesday the 29th morning is the big one for the crew who can handle it.

Rusty.

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