Manini Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it, yeah? Things are looking pretty quiet for Manini Beach over the next two weeks. Not much in the way of proper swell to get excited about, but there are a couple of windows where the conditions could come together for a sneaky session.

We kick off right away on Wednesday the 16th with a small 2ft south-west swell rolling in. It's packing some serious grunt for its size, with that very long period of 18 seconds and combined energy of 343 (moderate). The wind’s light and onshore first thing, so it’s not clean, but it’s surfable. The water temp is right where you’d expect for this time of year, no weird anomalies.

Thursday the 17th sees the same size swell, but the period drops a touch to 16 seconds and the energy picks up to 500 (moderate). Winds stay cross-onshore, keeping it a bit bumpy. Friday the 18th is more of the same story – 2ft swell from the south-west, 17-second period, energy at 458 (moderate), but again, that light cross-onshore breeze messes with the surface.

Saturday the 19th, we get a slight shift. Swell drops to 2ft from the south, period is a very long 18 seconds, and energy is 450 (moderate). The wind is light cross-onshore in the morning, so it’s not perfect but there’s potential for a wave or two if you’re keen.

Now here’s where it gets interesting. Monday the 21st is the standout. Monday afternoon is your best bet in the whole forecast. The swell is still small at 3ft from the south-south-west, period is 13 seconds, energy is 275 (moderate), but the wind goes glassy. Absolutely flat calm. That’s the gold right there. Just tiny, clean little peelers on the reef for a beginner-friendly session with no hassle. Crowds are ‘sometimes’, so you might have company, but with such small waves, it won’t be a zoo.

Tuesday the 22nd is similar. Swell drops to 2ft from the south, period 12 seconds, energy 200 and 233 (moderate), and again, glassy conditions both morning and afternoon. Another lovely window for a small-board grovel session. Wednesday the 23rd morning stays glassy with a 2ft south swell, 13-second period, energy 255 (moderate). But the afternoon gets absolutely hammered by a near gale – avoid that.

After that, the surf quality takes a dive. Thursday the 24th morning is glassy again with 2ft, but the wind goes bad in the afternoon and stays rubbish for days. A moderate breeze from the south-south-west kicks up a cross-chop from the 25th right through to the 27th. The swell does nudge up to 3ft on Saturday the 26th, but with that wind, it’s messy and uninviting.

The final few days of September into October 1st are a write-off. Tiny 2ft to 2ft swell, weak energy, and either onshore winds or just no power.

So there you have it. It’s not a pumping fortnight by any stretch. The real highlights are Monday the 21st afternoon, through to Wednesday the 23rd morning – glassy conditions with tiny, clean waves. Perfect for a beginner or someone wanting a mellow paddle. The rest is mostly a bust, with a solid run of poor surf from the 25th to the 1st of October. Keep your eyes peeled, though – forecasts can always flick a surprise.

Rusty.

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