Kealia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. It's a tough stretch ahead for Kealia. The whole 16-day window is pretty much a write-off, with no good surf options on the menu. We're looking at a solid two-week gap where the conditions just aren't friendly.

The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there. But the real story is the wind. We've got a persistent moderate breeze from the east and east-northeast, blowing straight onshore for the entire first week and a half. That's wrecking any chance of clean waves. The swell is all short-period windswell, mostly under 8 seconds, so the energy is weak to moderate (usually between 300 and 500). It's gonna be choppy and messy.

From Saturday the 30th of August right through to the end of the first week, it's all "poor surf conditions" with a big fat zero score. The swell hangs around 5 ft to 7 ft, but with that onshore wind, it's just a washing machine. Not worth paddling out for.

The second week starts to get a bit more interesting, but it's still not good. On Monday the 7th of September, the energy jumps up big time, hitting 1055 (moderate) in the morning, and then 2346 (strong) in the afternoon with an 8 ft swell from the east. The wave comment changes to "marginal" – a glimmer of hope, but still with onshore wind. That size is pushing into expert territory, and with the wind, it's a mess.

Tuesday the 8th sees the swell peak at 10 ft, but it's still onshore and the energy is strong (over 1000). That's purely for the hardcore, and even then, the conditions are poor. Later in the week, the wind drops to a light breeze on Thursday the 10th, and the swell drops to 6 ft with the energy around 500. The wave comment is "marginal" again, but with a cross-onshore wind, it's still not clean. The last few days of the outlook fade back to poor surf with small, weak windswell.

Honestly, for a beach and reef setup like Kealia, this pattern is often more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It's a blank run, but these things don't last forever. Keep an eye on the forecasts, things can change.

Rusty.

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