Kealia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a grim stretch. We’re looking at a long, frustrating run of onshore winds and poor surf quality. The first solid window we can even talk about is way out there, so settle in.

The water temp is sitting at 80°F right now, which is bang on average for this time of year – nothing to write home about in that department.

The only real window of hope we’ve got is a very brief one on the afternoon of Wednesday, the 29th of July at Kealia (Kauai). That afternoon, the wind is supposed to go glassy, and we’ll see a 8ft swell rolling in from the ENE. The period is a moderate 10 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate (983). The setup is a beach and reef, so with that glassy wind, it could clean up nicely for a few hours. The crowd factor is listed as "often," so expect company if you’re heading out. This is a short-lived window, but it’s the best we’ve got. For advanced surfers, that 8ft is a decent size, but it’s not out of control.

Before that, Tuesday the 28th has a bigger 7ft swell from the E with a 13-second period, but the wind is cross-on and gusty, making it choppy and marginal. Not worth the paddle. On Wednesday morning, the 29th, the swell is up to 10ft from the ENE (11-second period, strong energy at 1786), but with a cross-shore wind and a risk of storms, it’s a messy, powerful beast best left to the experts or the kite crew.

After that brief glassy window, it’s back to the same old story. From Thursday, the 30th of July, all the way through to Monday, the 10th of August, it’s a relentless grind of onshore ENE winds, with swell heights ranging from 4ft to 8ft but constant poor surf conditions. The energy values drop back into the weak to moderate range (172 to 1195), but the wind kills it every time. There’s a faint glimmer on the 4th of August with a 6ft swell from the ENE and a 12-second period, but again, the wind is onshore. It’s a frustrating pattern.

Honestly, if you’re not frothing over that Wednesday afternoon slot, this is a two-week period to save your energy and wait for a change. The consistent onshore flow is a tough beat. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s looking like a long wait.

Rusty.

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