Kealia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Alright, lookin’ at this forecast for the next couple weeks, it’s a rough go for any decent surf. The first several days are a total blank – all marked as poor conditions. You gotta wait until around the 23rd of September for the swell to really show some muscle, but even then, the wind and quality aren’t doing us any favors. Let’s walk through it.

On Sunday the 13th at Kealia (Maui), it’s tiny – 3ft of swell from the NE, with a short 9-second period, and the wind is blowin’ onshore from the NE at 9 mph. The combined energy is weak at 188, and water temp is 80°F – normal for this time of year. Not worth wettin’ a wetsuit.

Monday the 14th through Wednesday the 16th stays small, with swell from 2ft to 3ft, short periods (6 to 10 seconds), and onshore winds from the ENE and NE at 9–12 mph. The energy is low (97 to 171). Wednesday afternoon gets a bit choppy with cross-onshore wind. Thursday the 17th sees a jump to 5ft–7ft, energy up around 494, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore and there’s a chance of thunderstorms – a straight mess.

Friday the 18th through Sunday the 20th runs solid at 5ft to 7ft from the E and ENE, period of 8 seconds, but the onshore wind is 12–15 mph, making it choppy. The energy gets strong (up to 1087 on the 18th morning), but that size with that wind is just blown out for an advanced spot like Kealia. Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd are similar – 5ft to 6ft, onshore wind, poor conditions.

Now Wednesday the 23rd of September is the only real standout, but it’s for experts only. The afternoon sees a spike: 8ft of E swell with a 10-second period, and the combined energy hits 1785 – that’s strong. But the wind is onshore from the ENE at 12 mph, so it won’t be clean. Kealia’s exposed to the NE, and this E swell is off-angle, so it’s gonna be lumpy.

From the 24th through the 28th, swell drops from 6ft down to 4ft, period shortens to 7 seconds, and it’s onshore wind the whole way (ENE to NE at 12–15 mph). All rated as poor surf conditions. If you’re into kite surfing, the wind and decent swell from the 23rd afternoon onward could be fun, but for a paddle surfer, this is a long, rough stretch.

So there you have it – a quiet start, a big surge of energy on the 23rd that’s blown out, and then a slow fade. Water temp is normal for the season.

Rusty.

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