Keaulanas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s size up the next 16 days for Keaulanas. We’ve got a long, slow grind ahead, but there are a couple of moments that might just get the heart rate up.

The overall pattern is tough. We’re coming off a weak, messy start with small swell and poor conditions. The water temp is sitting at 80°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year – no weird anomalies there.

The first few days, from Monday the 6th right through to Friday the 10th, are a write-off. We’re talking tiny, weak swell – mostly around 1 ft to 3 ft, with combined energy readings that are all over the place but low in the early sessions, like 128 (weak) and 151 (weak). The winds are fresh offshore or cross-offshore, so the surface is clean, but there’s just no grunt. The forecast calls it “poor surf conditions” or “marginal” for most of this stretch. Don’t bother paddling out.

Then we get a bit of a pulse. Saturday the 11th morning is still marginal, but by Saturday afternoon, we see a little jump. Swell bumps up to 2 ft from the SW with a long period of 18 seconds, and the combined energy hits 414 (moderate). The wind is offshore and moderate. It’s not huge, but that long period groundswell will wrap in nicely. For a point break, that’s a real treat. Expect clean, lined-up waves – but it’s still on the small side, so not a standout.

The best window, and I mean the *only* real standout, is Monday the 13th in the morning. Swell holds at 3 ft from the SW, period of 15 seconds, and combined energy of 403 (moderate). The wind is a gentle offshore breeze from the ENE at just 9 mph. That’s glassy, clean, and the break is consistent. For a beach-and-reef setup, this is your session. The crowd is “sometimes” an issue, so you might have a few out, but with such a specific window, it’s worth the early alarm.

After that, the second week fades out. We get a few days with moderate energy in the 400s to 500s, but the winds shift cross-offshore and the swell direction wobbles from W to SSW. The waves are clean but unremarkable – mostly 2 ft to 3 ft with periods around 14–17 seconds. It’s a long, drawn-out tail end. Nothing in the second week screams “go.”

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total dud, the standout is Monday morning the 13th with that gentle offshore wind and 3 ft SW groundswell, and then it’s a slow fade to the finish. Don’t hold your breath for the rest.

Rusty.

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