Keaulanas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up at Keaulanas.

The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The action starts Wednesday, July 29th. Morning waves are a small 2ft out of the south with a nice long period of 14 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is a light cross-off, keeping things clean. Combined swell energy is sitting at 250 (moderate). Then Wednesday afternoon, it goes glassy. The wind turns to a dead calm, and the swell ticks up to 3ft. That afternoon session is the best you’ll see all week. Clean, glassy, and that long period from the south will be wrapping nicely into the beach and reef setup here. It’s consistent, so you won’t be waiting long. Just a heads up, crowds are possible here.

Thursday the 30th holds onto that 3ft southern swell, period dropping to 13 seconds, still clean with cross-off winds. The energy builds to 383 and 429 (moderate) through the day. Good, solid surfing.

Now, Friday the 31st through to Sunday, August 2nd, things get grim. The wind cranks up to 18-25 mph from the east-northeast, making a mess of things. Swell drops to 2-2ft, but it’s a junky, short-period windswell from the southwest. The forecast says poor surf conditions, and I’m not going to argue. The combined energy drops to 236 and even as low as 99 (weak). This is a kite-surfing window, not a paddle-surfing one.

The start of the next week, Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th, is flat. Swell bottoms out at 1ft. Energy is down to 47-91 (weak). Tuesday morning is glassy, but with a 1ft wave, it’s barely a ripple. Not worth paddling out.

We then hit a dry spell. Swell stays tiny through the 5th, 6th, and 7th, with energy in the weak to low-moderate range (88 to 194). Winds are strong and cross-off, so it’s clean but gutless. August 7th brings a brief 2ft bump from the west with a short 11-second period, but it’s still poor.

Then, holding on for the real standout: Saturday, August 8th. The morning session is a sleeper. Swell is only 1ft, but the period is a massive 19 seconds from the south-southwest. That’s a very long-period groundswell. Combined energy jumps to 309 (moderate). With a moderate offshore wind, it’ll be glassy clean. This is a reef/point setup, so that long period will bend in and give you some proper lines. The 1ft doesn’t sound like much, but with that energy, it’ll have more punch than you’d expect.

The second week really fires up from Sunday, August 9th. The swell starts to build, and the quality is promising but less certain this far out. Sunday the 9th sees 3ft to 3ft from the south-southwest, period 17-18 seconds, energy at 591-705 (moderate). Winds are moderate cross-off. This is pushing into the good zone.

Monday, August 10th is where it gets very interesting. Swell sits at 4ft from the south-southwest, period 15 seconds. The morning is clean, but the afternoon is the highlight. The wind drops to 3 mph, going offshore, and the energy is 671 (moderate). Expect very good surf conditions. That’s a proper session.

Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th hold that 3ft to 4ft swell from the south. Periods are a solid 14-16 seconds. Combined energy hits 783 (moderate to strong) on Wednesday morning. These are the best waves of the outlook. The wind stays light and cross-off, keeping it clean. The standout is Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday morning – the swell is consistent, the direction is perfect for the break, and the wind is light. Crowds are possible, so get there early.

Thursday, August 13th still has a solid 3ft from the south, 14 seconds, energy at 664 (moderate), with a gentle cross-off. A good way to finish the run.

The standout is the stretch from Sunday the 9th through to Wednesday the 12th, but Monday the 10th afternoon and Tuesday the 11th morning are the ones to circle. That’s the best combination of size, period, and clean wind.

Rusty.

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