Jennette's Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for our local stretch.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – this 16-day window is a tough one. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with barely a whisper of surf for the first week. There’s a bit of a pulse showing up around the 23rd, but it’s nothing to write home about. The real standout, the only one that might get your heart beating, is a sneaky late window on the 28th of July.

Things start off flat. Friday the 17th we’ve got tiny 1ft dribblers from the ESE. The morning is glassy, but it’s just not enough to push a board. That pretty much sets the tone for the next week. Saturday and Sunday the 18th and 19th are even smaller, with nothing over 0.7ft. There’s a little long-period energy from the East on Sunday, but it’s only 0.3ft – more of a ripple than a wave. The water temp is a pleasant 80°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, but you’ll be floating, not surfing.

From Monday the 20th through to Thursday the 23rd, the swell tries to nudge up a little, hitting 2ft to 3ft, but the wind is a constant problem. It’s mostly cross-off or cross-shore, but with speeds pushing 18 to 28 mph, the surface is just too messy. The energy is weak, with readings in the 30s and 40s. On the 23rd, we get a jump in height to 4ft from the NNE, but the period is a pathetic 5 seconds and the wind is onshore and choppy. Not happening.

The 25th of July morning is the first time we see a sliver of hope. The swell is still a modest 2ft from the ESE, but the wind goes light and cross-off, with a clean surface. The energy is still low at 72, but it’s enough to call it surfable, but very ordinary. The afternoon goes back to junk.

Then we get to the real window. Tuesday, July 28th. This is the one. The morning shows 5ft from the ENE, but it’s a short-period windswell with a messy cross-shore wind. The energy is solid at 219 (moderate), but the conditions are poor. But the afternoon… oh, the afternoon. The swell drops a touch to 5ft, but the wind eases to a light breeze. The energy jumps to a massive 433 (strong). The direction is almost straight East, and the wind is light cross-onshore – not perfect, but the power is there. This is a punchy, full-on beach break. At 5ft, it’s getting into the territory where beginners might be a little out of their depth. This is a window for the lads who want to get thumped around a bit. It’s the best on offer by a long shot.

After that, it fades again. Wednesday the 29th has a clean 3ft, but the energy drops off a cliff. The week of the 30th and into August is back to flat, tiny dribble with clean wind but no power.

So, to sum it up: you’ve got nearly two weeks of flat, windy, or weak junk. The only true standout is the afternoon of Tuesday, July 28th at Jennette’s Pier. It’s got the power, the size, and the lightest wind we’ll see. It’s not perfect, but it’s the only game in town. Go get it.

Rusty.

Read more