Horseneck Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. This is Rusty, and I'm looking at the Horseneck Beach (sandbar) outlook for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, mate, I'm looking at a pretty grim stretch here. The first week and a half is basically a write-off. We've got a real dry spell, with no real surf to speak of from Friday the 10th right through to the 21st. The swell is tiny, period is short, and the wind is mostly messy. There are a few moments of clean, glassy conditions on the morning of the 17th and 18th, but with swell heights of only 1 ft to 1 ft, you're looking at a knee-high dribble, not a wave. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is pretty much average for this time of year.

The real interest, and I mean the *only* interest, starts to show up around the 21st of July. The combined swell energy starts to climb into the moderate range (157) on Tuesday afternoon, with a 3 ft south swell at 9 seconds. That's a cleaner, more workable swell direction, and the wind is looking cross-off. It's a glimmer of hope.

But the standout window, and it's a big one, is the 22nd and 23rd. The models are pumping out a solid 6 ft to 6 ft south swell, with the combined energy ramping up to strong levels (478 on the 22nd morning, 518 on the 22nd afternoon). That's the real deal. The period is a solid 9 seconds, which is good for a sandbar, giving it some punch. This is going to be a proper late-July swell.

Now, the caveat. The wind is a bummer. On the 22nd it's swinging from a cross-shore WSW to a cross-onshore SSW, and on the 23rd it's a strong cross-shore SW. For a beach break like Horseneck, that's going to chop it up. It's big enough to be interesting, but the quality will be rough. It's also going to be too big for beginners. The 22nd afternoon, with that 6 ft swell and onshore wind, is going to be a lumpy, powerful mess that's really only for the experienced crew. Honestly, with that kind of wind and swell, this setup might be more appealing for the kite surfers than the paddle surfers.

So, the bottom line: You've got a long, dull wait. The best bet is the 22nd and 23rd if you're an expert looking for some serious, albeit messy, energy. The 21st afternoon is the cleaner, smaller option if you just want to get wet. Don't hold your breath for anything before that.

Rusty.

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