Horseneck Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, my friends, let's talk about the next 16 days at Horseneck Beach. I'm not gonna sugarcoat it – the outlook is pretty bleak. We're looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak, and often messy surf. There's no standout session in the cards, nothing that'll have you calling in sick. The water temp is sittin' around 71°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no complaints there.

The pattern is set from the start. Wednesday the 26th is a total washout: a pathetic 0.7 ft SSE swell with a weak 9-second period, and a light cross-onshore breeze that'll just mess up the surface. The combined energy is a measly 13, so there's nothin' happening. This carries on through Thursday the 27th, still tiny and choppy with a moderate cross-onshore wind. Friday the 28th sees a bump to a 3 ft S swell, but the period is a short 6 seconds, making it weak and crumbly with a combined energy of 72. The wind is still cross-onshore, makin' a mess.

We get a brief break Saturday the 29th. A light north-easterly breeze gives us clean, cross-off conditions on a 2 ft S swell. It's small, but it's clean. That's the best of the early days, but it's still nothin' to write home about.

Sunday the 30th gets messy again with a fresh breeze, and into Monday the 31st, we get a glassy morning with a 2 ft S swell, but the energy is pitiful at 15. The first week of September is a total bust. The wind comes from the north on the 2nd and 3rd, giving us clean faces, but the swell is virtually gone, droppin' to 0.3 ft by the 4th. The energy levels are in the single digits.

We see a slight bump on the 8th of September. A 4 ft S swell shows up, but the period is a short 5 seconds, and it's accompanied by onshore wind and rain. The combined energy reaches 88, still weak. This is followed by a stormy period on the 9th with a risk of thunderstorms and a fresh cross-onshore, totally unsurfable. The 10th is just a blowout with strong cross-shore winds.

So, to be honest, there's not one single day in this 16-day forecast that I'd call a standout. The best you'll get is a clean, knee-high wave on a few mornings, and that's about it. The energy is consistently weak, the swell is tiny, and the wind is rarely our friend. For a sandbar spot like Horseneck, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on days like the 8th and 9th when the wind picks up and the swell bumps a little.

We've got a long, dry spell here. It's a blank run, but for this area, it's not totally uncommon. The forecasts can change, so keep your fingers crossed, but for now, I'd find another hobby.

Rusty.

Read more