Horseneck Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks down at Horseneck Beach.

Honestly, this is a tough stretch for paddle surfing. There’s a long, dry gap ahead with very little to get excited about. We’re looking at a string of poor surf conditions that runs all the way from the start of the forecast through to mid-July. The only flicker of hope is a really promising window right at the end of the run, on the morning of July 18th. That’s more than a week and a half away, so keep the expectations loose, but it’s the one thing worth circling on the calendar.

Let’s break it down through the week. Friday the 3rd of July, we see a tiny 3ft swell pushing in from the southwest with a short period of 6 seconds. The water is running at 70°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year (an anomaly of 4°). There’s a clean surface early with a W wind at 9 mph, but the wave energy is weak, coming in at 116. It’s surfable but very ordinary. After that, everything flatlines. Saturday the 4th drops to 1ft, Sunday the 5th bottoms out at 0.3ft, and Monday the 6th is a complete washout with rain and a bumpy 19 mph cross-onshore wind. Through the whole next week – from the 7th to the 17th – we barely see a wave over 3ft, and the wind is mostly on it or cross. The crowd situation at Horseneck Beach can be an issue at times, but quite frankly, no one will be out there for this. It’s a beach and sandbar setup, and with these tiny, weak swells and shitty wind angles, this would look more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

Now, for the one true standout. The morning of Saturday, July 18th. That’s the date. We’ve got a healthy 6ft south-southeast swell rolling in with a 7-second period. The combined energy jumps massively to 585, which is the strongest stuff we’ve seen by a country mile. And the wind? A clean cross-off breeze from the west-northwest at just 9 mph. That’s going to groom the sandbanks nicely. For a beginner-friendly break like Horseneck, 6ft is on the steeper side; it might be a bit much for total greenhorns, but for anyone with a few sessions under their belt, this will be fun and punchy. Just keep in mind this is a long-range call – it looks promising, but it’s not locked in yet. The afternoon drops back to a smaller and messier 4ft, so make the most of the morning.

So, in short: a brutal couple of weeks with a single, promising day way out ahead on the 18th. Hang in there.

Rusty.

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