Horseneck Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you—this is a tough one to write. We’re looking at Horseneck Beach, and for the entire 16-day window, it’s a flat, blown-out mess. There’s not a single session worth paddling out for. The water temp is sitting at 71°F with a 4°F anomaly, so it’s much warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only thing going for it.

The forecast kicks off on Wednesday, 8th July, and it’s a grim start. We’ve got a tiny 1ft SE swell with a weak 8-second period, and an easterly breeze onshore at 6 mph. The combined energy is a measly 14, and the report calls it poor surf—it’s just wind ripples. That sets the tone for the whole run.

Thursday, 9th July, is worse. The wind swings SW and howls at 15-19 mph, making the cross-shore chop nasty. The swell bumps up to 3ft but it’s a short, weak 4-second period, energy at 29. Friday, 10th July, has a bit of a lull but still cross-shore winds and 2ft of slop.

Saturday, 11th July, is actually the cleanest we’ll see in the first week. A NE cross-offshore breeze at 12-15 mph and a clean wave face. But the swell is only 2ft from the south with a 7-second period, and the energy is just 50-64. It’s clean, but there’s no power. You’d be floating around on a longboard, but it’s not what I’d call surf.

The rest of the first week and into the second is a dead loss. We get a brief window on Sunday, 18th July, with glassy conditions and a 2ft S swell at 6 seconds—energy of 18. That’s the only glassy moment in the whole outlook, but the swell is too weak to ride. Then on Sunday, 19th July, we get a glassy 0.3ft wave with a very long 13-second period, but energy is just 9. It’s a flat calm, but it’s flat.

From there, the whole second week fades into nothing. The last few days of July and into the 23rd show tiny 0.3-2ft swells with onshore or cross-shore winds, never breaking 12 mph but always messy. The combined energy hits a pathetic low of 5 on Tuesday, 21st July.

Horseneck is a sandbar setup that’s fairly exposed to SE swell, and the optimum direction is SE, but the swell never shows up with any size or period. The beginner-friendly nature doesn’t matter when there’s nothing to ride. This isn’t a run of bad luck—it’s a full-on blank. For this area, a long stretch of poor surf like this is normal for a summer flat spell.

Save your energy and don’t bother checking the cams for a couple of weeks. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d rather be kite surfing in that wind on the 9th and 14th than trying to paddle. Hang tight.

Rusty.

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