Horseneck Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the outlook for Horseneck Beach over the next two weeks is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of basically no surf worth paddling out for. The data shows a run of poor surf conditions that will leave you checking the forecast more than your wax stash.

The first real chance of a wave doesn’t come until Tuesday 8th of September, and even then, it’s barely a ripple. The swell energy is weak, with combined energy values sitting in the low double digits for most of the early days, only climbing to 94 on the 8th, and then hitting 112 on the afternoon of the 8th. That’s still only moderate energy, but it’s the best we’ll see. The water temperature is a touch warmer than normal at 72°, about 3° above average for this time of year, so the water won’t be the issue.

Tuesday 8th September is the only real window. The morning brings a small 4ft swell from the SSW, but the wind is a cross-onshore from the south at 16 mph, making it choppy. The afternoon sees that same 4ft swell, but the wind picks up to 19 mph from the SSW, making it lumpy. The combined energy maxes out at 112. This is not a clean wave. It’s a beach break, and with the wind and 4ft of swell, it’s going to be a messy, blown-out mess. Honestly, for a beach break in these conditions, it looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Wednesday 9th September cleans up, with a fresh offshore wind from the NNW at 19 mph in the morning, and 12 mph from the NW in the afternoon. But the swell drops to just 2ft. The combined energy falls to 41. The wind is clean, but there’s no power behind it. You’ll get a few tiny, clean waves, but nothing with any push.

After that, the size drops off completely. From Thursday 10th September onwards, the swell is consistently below 3ft, often below 2ft, and the combined energy levels are mostly in the teens or single digits. The wind is often offshore or clean, but with no swell to work with, it's just a flat, pretty ocean. The period stays short, mostly under 8 seconds, so there’s no real groundswell to speak of.

The entire second week is a write-off for surf. The combined energy values are pathetic, barely scraping into double figures. The period on the 16th of September does hit 13 seconds, but with a swell height of only 0.3ft, it’s a ghost.

So, there you have it. The only thing worth noting is Tuesday 8th September, but it’s a lumpy, cross-onshore mess. The rest is a flat spell. Don’t hold your breath. This is a blank run, and for Horseneck, it’s not unusual for it to go quiet like this. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a no-go.

Rusty.

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