Horseneck Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for Horseneck Beach.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks look pretty grim for paddle surfing. We’re staring down a long stretch of choppy, messy conditions with a whole lot of wind from the wrong directions. The swell is there on paper, but it’s mostly short-period, wind-driven stuff that’s all over the place. The combined wave energy values are mostly low, sitting in the double digits or barely cracking triple digits, which tells you it’s weak and disorganized. There’s a real gap of poor surf from now until the 8th of August, with nothing worth getting excited about.

Let’s run through it. From Saturday the 1st right through to the 7th, it’s a write-off. Winds are cross-onshore or cross-shore from the SSW and SW, blowing anywhere from 9 mph to 19 mph, just chopping everything up. The swell is tiny, under 3 ft, and coming from the south with a period of 6 to 8 seconds – that’s short-period, weak stuff. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Saturday the 8th of August. The morning session shows a light, clean, cross-offshore wind from the west at 9 mph. The swell picks up a bit to 4 ft from the SSW, but the period is still a short 6 seconds, so it’ll be a bit fat and weak. The combined energy hits 81, which is still pretty weak. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. The afternoon gets blown out again.

The next morning that might be worth a look is Saturday the 15th of August. We’ve got a clean offshore wind from the northwest at 6 mph, and the swell is 3 ft from the SSW with an 8-second period. The combined energy is 81 again. It’s small, clean, and might offer a few fun little waves for a beginner or a longboard. But it’s not a standout.

The best conditions on offer are actually the glassy morning on Wednesday the 12th of August. The swell is only 2 ft, but the wind is glassy from the NNE at 3 mph. That’s a rare moment of pure glass. The combined energy is only 66, so it’s weak, but if you’re desperate for a clean, tiny wave, that’s your window. Just know that Horseneck is a sandbar that’s fairly exposed, and with this small, short-period swell, it’s not going to be a classic.

Honestly, for the whole 16-day window, there’s no period where the swell size, direction, and wind line up into anything special. It’s a lot of waiting for a very small window on the 15th. If you’re a kite surfer, the stronger afternoon winds on the 8th and 10th might look interesting, but for a paddle, it’s a tough stretch. Keep an eye on the forecasts, as things can change.

Rusty.

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