Horseneck Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Ah, mate. Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle. We’ve got a long, flat stretch ahead before anything even thinks about showing its face.

Looking at the whole 16-day window, the first real chance of catching anything worth paddling out for isn’t until Monday the 17th. Before that, it’s a whole lot of nothing. We’re talking ankle-biters and onshore junk from the 10th right through to the 16th. There’s a bit of energy showing from the 12th, but it’s weak and messy, with cross-shore winds chopping up whatever tiny lumps are there. Not worth getting wet for, unless you just want to sit on the board and float.

The first faint glimmer of hope arrives on Monday morning, the 17th. We’ve got a 4ft swell rolling in from the SSW, with a period of 7 seconds. It’s not much, but the wind finally swings offshore from the NNW. That’s the first clean, glassy look we’ve had all week. The water is sitting at 74°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need the thick suit. This is surfable but ordinary—not a headline act, but a chance to get a few foam balls. The energy is weak, only 140 (moderate) directed here, so don’t expect any power.

After that little blip, it’s back to the flat, messy stuff. The 18th sees a longer period swell (14 seconds) but the height drops to 1ft, and the wind swings back cross-shore. That long period just means it’ll be breaking straight with no shape. Not good. The following days are more of the same—small, weak, and blown out by cross-on winds.

The 22nd has another similar pulse to the 17th, with 4ft of SE swell and a period of 6 seconds, and the morning brings a moderate offshore N wind. That’s another clean, small day, but again, nothing to shout about. The period is short and the energy is weak at 86.

To be honest, the only standouts in this whole window are those two mornings—the 17th and the 22nd—when the wind cleans it up. Both are tiny, weak, and better for a longboard or a funboard than a proper shortboard. If you’re a beginner, these are the days to get out there and learn. Anything over 5ft is pushing it for you, and we won’t see that here. The swell direction is from the SSW and SE, which isn’t the optimum for Horseneck Beach (that’s SE), so the 22nd is slightly better aligned. Crowds are possible on these clean windows, as everyone will be looking for the same thing.

The second week is even more of a tease. The swell disappears, and the wind is all over the shop, mostly cross-on and fresh. A 35 km/h cross-onshore on Friday the 21st just chops things up into a lumpy mess, and that looks more like a kite-surfing day than a surfing one for a beach and sandbar setup like this.

On Monday the 17th, the first surf break I’m talking about is Horseneck Beach (Bristol County). It’s a sandbar, fairly consistent, but pretty exposed, so it gets chopped up fast. It’s a beginner’s spot, and for these small, clean days, it’s okay. But don’t be expecting any barrels. Just a few soft, crumbly shoulders to trim along.

So, the long story short: the next 16 days are mostly a write-off. The windows on the 17th and 22nd are your only real chances, and even then, manage your expectations. It tends not to stay this poor for long, so keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, the board might be better off in the car than in the water.

Rusty.

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