Hanna Park/Mayport Poles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s cut to the chase. It’s looking pretty darn flat around here for the foreseeable future. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing on offer, a real desert period. For more than a week, the models are showing just about zero for us to get excited about. You might as well wax up the longboard and take a nap on it, because you won’t be using it much.

Looking at the next few days, it’s all pretty lifeless. This coming Sunday morning, there’s a glimmer of a wave – a 0.4ft bump with a 10-second period – but it’s clean with a light offshore breeze. The energy is almost non-existent. It’s glassy, but there’s nothing to ride.

Things stay dull through the middle of the week. We get a few clean, glassy mornings with light offshores, but the swell is just not there. The energy readings are all stuck in the weak double digits. It’s tough going.

There is one brief moment of interest. The following Wednesday morning, the 19th, we get a tiny pulse. The swell bumps up to 2ft and the energy reading jumps to 58. It’s also glassy with a light WSW wind. This is the one time in that whole first week where it might actually be surfable, but it’s going to be very average – small, soft, and you’ll be working hard for every ride.

Then we’re right back to the flatness for days. At the start of this period, the water temp at Hanna Park (Florida) is a warm 84°, which is about normal for this time of year. Nothing weird there. By the following Saturday afternoon, the 22nd, the energy paddles up to 48, but the swell is still a meager 3ft with a ridiculously short 4-second period. That’s just wind chop.

The final week is where it starts to get interesting, though it’s a long way out. The energy really starts to build. On the 26th, the reading jumps to 158 in the afternoon. The wave height is still small, but the period stretches out to a solid 16 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. Finally, there’s some real power behind it. The morning of the 27th looks like it could be the pick – energy at 164, swell around 2ft, and a nice 12-second period. Wind is a light cross-onshore, but the energy is finally there. It’s a long-range call, so we’ll call it promising but not a guarantee.

The 28th and 29th keep that energy up – readings of 154 and 128 – with the swell holding around 3ft. The winds turn more easterly and onshore, but the ocean will have some proper life in it. It’ll be a whole different ballgame compared to the nothing we’re seeing now.

So here’s the bottom line. The first ten days or so are a write-off. There’s one clean but tiny window on the 19th. The real hope is for that surge of long-period swell starting around the 27th, which brings the energy and some actual shape. It’s not going to be big, but after this flat spell, it’s going to feel like a real swell. Keep your expectations low for now, and keep an eye on the charts for that final week.

Rusty.

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