Hanna Park/Mayport Poles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you. The 16-day forecast for our stretch of coast is a tough one. We're looking at a long stretch of small, messy surf. There are no real standouts on the horizon, and no day where you should be clearing your calendar. The first week is a write-off for anything decent, and while the second week offers a few cleaner windows, the waves stay pretty weak. We're going to have to be patient.

The water is sitting at about 82°, which is pretty much spot-on for this time of year, so at least you won't need a thick suit. The whole period is plagued by short-period, wind-swell slop, mostly out of the ESE. It’s just not lining up for us. The energy in the water is weak for the most part, with combined swell energy values mostly in the low double digits (28, 40, 61). There is one brief pulse on Friday afternoon where the energy jumps up to moderate (316), but it comes with a risk of thunderstorms and onshore wind, keeping the quality poor. It's gonna be lumpy.

The first few days, from Thursday the 6th through Monday the 10th, are especially grim. We've got tiny waves, 2ft to 5ft, but the winds are onshore or cross-shore, making everything a choppy, bumpy mess. The energy values stay weak until that Friday bump, but even that's not enough to make it good.

We get a little bit of a break in the action on Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th with some clean, glassy mornings, but there’s almost no swell to ride. With wave heights around 0.3ft and energy values down to (2 and 3), you're better off finding something else to do. The morning of Thursday the 13th is the same story: clean with a 0.3ft dribble from the ESE.

There's a small window on the morning of Monday the 17th that's the closest thing we have to a highlight. The wind goes light offshore from the W, cleaning up the 2ft of ESE swell. The energy is still weak (68), but it's a clean, rideable wave for a log. It won't be epic, but it's surfable. The following morning, Tuesday the 18th, is also clean and rideable with 2ft on offer, though it gets messy with heavy rain in the afternoon.

Beyond that, we're back to small, poor conditions. Thursday the 20th sees a bump in energy (158), with 4ft of short-period E swell, but it's cross-on and choppy. So in the end, it's a long, flat, and mostly featureless outlook.

Rusty.

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