Hanna Park/Mayport Poles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down the same forecast in feet and miles per hour.

Honestly, this is a tough one to write. The next 16 days are looking pretty grim for decent waves. We’re staring down a long stretch of small, weak, and messy surf. The first real recommendation isn't until the 22nd of September, which is over two weeks away, so there’s a big gap of flat or poor conditions to get through. The waves we do see are mostly weak, short-period windswell, and the wind is almost always a problem.

For the first break we’ll talk about, water temperature is sitting at a warm 83.1°F, which is about 0.5°F above normal, so pretty average for this time of year.

Hanna Park/Mayport Poles

The first few days are a write-off. The 7th and 8th of September have a weak swell around 2ft to 4ft from the ENE, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, moderate to fresh, and the combined energy is weak (68 to 150). The reports keep saying “poor surf conditions”, and that’s the truth. It’s choppy and has no power.

We get a little relief on the 11th and 12th with a clean cross-offshore wind, but the swell drops right off to just 1ft to 2.5ft. The energy is almost nothing (28 to 75), and the period is a short 7 seconds. It’s barely rideable, even for a longboard. The 13th has a slightly longer period (10 seconds) but the swell is still tiny at 1ft to 2ft, and the afternoon wind messes it up.

The pattern continues all the way through to the 21st of September with tiny, weak, and messy surf. The wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell rarely gets above 2ft. The combined energy is mostly in the double digits, which is about as weak as it gets.

Then, finally, we see something of note on the 22nd of September. That Tuesday morning and afternoon, the swell picks up to 6ft to 6.5ft from the ENE. The combined energy jumps to 325 to 428, which is a moderate wave energy. This is the standout of the entire forecast period. However, the wind is a moderate cross-onshore from the ENE with a short period of 7 seconds, so it’s going to be choppy and messy. Because of the short period, the waves will be sectiony and weak despite the size. For a beach break like this, it’s going to be a junky, bumpy mess. Honestly, with that strong cross-onshore wind and the short-period swell, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s only for the experienced and desperate.

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