Hanna Park/Mayport Poles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, it’s gonna be a pretty bleak stretch of surf for the next couple of weeks, I’ll be straight with you. We’re looking at a whole lotta small, gutless, wind-blown mush, with one brief pulse of energy that’s got its own problems. Let’s break it down.

The water is a warm 84°, which is about average for this time of year, so the trunk is all you’ll need.

We’re in for a bit of a wait at the start. The first few days are a total loss. Sunday the 2nd has a weak, 3-foot SSE windswell with a cross-off breeze, but it’s stormy and messy. The energy is weak at 51, so it’s not even worth the paddle out. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th are basically flat with no real swell.

We get a tiny bump of life on Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th, but it’s all short-period, junky ESE slop. Wave heights are under 3 feet, periods are around 5-7 seconds, and the energy is weak, in the 30s and 40s. Winds are mostly cross or cross-on, making for bumpy, uninviting conditions.

Now, here’s the flash of something interesting. From Friday the 7th through Saturday the 8th, the combined energy jumps into the moderate range, hitting 226 (Friday afternoon) and 215 (Saturday morning). The swell picks up to 4 feet from the ESE with an 8-second period. This is the biggest swell of the whole outlook. But, the wind is onshore from the E, which is gonna chop it up and make it rough. For a beach/pier break like Hanna Park/Mayport Poles, this onshore wind and extra energy is going to be a bit of a chaotic mix. It won’t be clean, but there will be more water moving. This is one of those times where it might look more fun for the kiteboarders than us, given the onshore wind and size. It’s your best bet, but it’s not a glowing endorsement.

After that pulse, it drops off a cliff. Sunday the 9th is back down to 2 feet with weak energy. The following week sees a rapid fade into flat, tiny surf, with periods occasionally hitting 11 seconds but no height behind them. From the 11th through the 17th, it’s mostly ankle-biters in the 0.3 to 1 feet range. There are a couple of glassy mornings, like on the 17th, but there won’t be any waves to ride.

So, the only real window to even think about it is that Friday the 7th to Saturday the 8th. But don’t expect a classic. It’s gonna be onshore and lumpy. Keep your expectations low and your wax in the car.

Rusty.

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