Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period, WSW swell with 180 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 0.9m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Friday (Aug 14) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the upcoming swell window for Freshwater East.
First thing I gotta say, it's a tough run for the next week and a half. For the first twelve days from August 10th through August 21st, the surf is pretty much a write-off. We're talking flat, weak dribble with combined swell energy barely getting into double digits, often sitting between 13 and 90. It's a long, quiet stretch with no real rideable waves to speak of. The water temp is coming in at 65° on the 10th, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least a dip won't be a shock.
Then, out of nowhere, the forecast throws a real curveball. On Saturday the 22nd of August, we get a sudden spike of energy. The morning session shows a solid 10ft swell from the west, with a period of 11 seconds and a massive combined energy of 2053. That's a serious amount of power. Now, this is a beach and reef setup, and this size is well over 8ft, so it's strictly for experts only. The wind is a cross-off from the north, which should keep it reasonably clean, but with that much west swell, it's going to be a heavy, powerful wave. The afternoon of the 22nd drops to 8ft, still big, but the period drops to 8 seconds, making it a bit more of a messy, wind-driven swell. The energy is still strong at 724.
After that spike, it settles back down. The 23rd of August has a long-period 14-second swell from the southwest, but it's only 1.0ft, so it's not going to break. The 24th and 25th offer a little more hope, with some 2ft to 2ft west swell, periods around 11-12 seconds, and clean offshore winds from the WNW. The energy is moderate, around 136-141, but it's still small. It's a far cry from that Saturday morning blast.
Honestly, the only standout here is the big pulse on the morning of the 22nd. If you're an expert and you're keen for a fight, that's your window. Everything else is a flat spell or a tease. The break is very sheltered and rarely breaks, so this kind of blank run is more normal for the area.
Stay patient, and keep an eye on that 22nd.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | SW 7 | SW 6 | W 9 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 7 | W 8 | W 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 14 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 104 | 120 | 149 | 180 | 173 | 163 | 57 | 52 | 33 | 88 | 54 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | glassy | on | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:09PM6.75m | 5:41AM6.87m | 6:07PM7.36m | 6:34AM7.38m | 6:56PM7.89m | 7:20AM7.77m | 7:40PM8.25m | 8:03AM7.98m | 8:22PM8.38m | 8:43AM8.00m | 9:01PM8.27m | 9:21AM7.82m | 9:39PM7.94m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:35PM1.26m | 12:00PM1.10m | 00:30AM0.70m | 12:50PM0.60m | 1:18AM0.25m | 1:34PM0.24m | 2:00AM-0.01m | 2:14PM0.06m | 2:39AM-0.05m | 2:53PM0.09m | 3:17AM0.13m | 3:30PM0.32m | 3:52AM0.48m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — |
 | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:40 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 17 | 21 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 28 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 14 |
Feels °C | 15 | 14 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 6 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | — | W 9 | W 8 | W 5 | W 7 | W 7 | W 8 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 7 |
| kJ | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 41 | 104 | 120 | 149 | 180 | 173 | — | 57 | 52 | 28 | 88 | 54 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 10 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | W 8 | W 8 | W 9 | S 6 | SW 6 | ESE 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | — | — | — | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | S 18 |
| kJ | 9 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | — | — | — | 11 | 10 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | SW 13 | W 10 | W 13 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 13 | — | — | — | S 12 | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | — | SE 3 | ESE 3 | — | ESE 3 | NE 3 | NW 3 | WNW 2 | W 3 | WSW 10 | W 5 | W 6 | — | N 3 | — | N 3 | — | — | WNW 4 |
| kJ | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 163 | 35 | 44 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 176 | 124 | 354 | 339 | 14 | 29 | 39 | 4 | 6 | 123 | 40 | 39 | 176 | 4 | 39 | 40 | 176 | 124 | 350 | 259 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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