
Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, W swell with 226 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 1.6m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Freshwater East has cookin’ for us over the next couple of weeks. Truth is, for most of this period, it’s gonna be a real struggle. The swell is tiny and inconsistent for days on end, and when we do see a bump in size, the wind or the quality just won’t play ball.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a frustratingly flat start. From Friday the 24th right through to almost the end of July, we’re looking at ankle-biters and knee-high slop. The swell barely tickles 1ft on the best of those days, and with winds swinging around but mostly holding offshore, it’s clean but there’s simply nothing to ride. The water temp at the start is sitting at 65°, and that’s a solid 4° warmer than normal for this time of year – definitely feeling more like a late summer soak than a July session.
Now, we do get a pulse on Sunday the 26th. The swell bumps up to 5ft from the west, and the combined energy jumps to a moderate 208. That sounds promising, but here’s the kicker: the period is only 7 seconds – that’s short-period windswill, not a proper groundswell. It’ll be lumpy, weak, and messy. The wind is offshore early, but with that lack of power and shape, it’s still rated as poor surf. For a beginner, that 5ft might be a bit much, and for anyone else, it’s just not gonna offer a decent wave.
The first week of August isn’t much better. We see another push around the 3rd and 4th, with swell hitting 4ft to 5ft from the southwest, and wave energy reaching into the moderate-to-strong range, like 253 on Monday afternoon. But hold your horses – the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, bringing chop and mess. That combo, especially on a beach-and-reef setup that’s very sheltered, is more interesting for some kite action than for a proper paddle session. By Thursday the 6th, we’re back down to piddly 0.7ft swell.
Here is the only real standout I’d even bother pointing to: Freshwater East on Saturday, August 8th. We’ve got a 3ft to 3ft swell from the west-southwest with a period of 10 seconds – that’s a proper little groundswell, which will give you a better shaped wave and more energy behind it. The wind is offshore or cross-off, keeping it clean. The combined energy is a moderate 128. The waves won’t be big, but for a sheltered spot, that clean, waist-high plus swell with a bit of period is the best we’re gonna get. Still, it’s rated as poor surf overall, so keep expectations in check. This break rarely breaks, so seeing any surfable wave here is notable.
Honestly, this is a tough run for Freshwater East. It’s a blank stretch broken by a few days of short-period junk or onshore slop. Forecasts can always change, but as it stands, you’re looking at a whole lot of flat, clean water with nothing to surf.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Fri night, fresh winds from the NW by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 16°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | W 6 | WSW 6 | W 6 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 5 | W 10 | W 10 | W 8 | WSW 7 | W 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 147 | 208 | 187 | 116 | 66 | 39 | 17 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 10 | 16 | 2 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:45AM5.45m | 4:19PM5.60m | 4:51AM5.65m | 5:18PM5.91m | 5:43AM5.98m | 6:05PM6.31m | 6:26AM6.35m | 6:46PM6.72m | 7:04AM6.70m | 7:22PM7.09m | 7:40AM6.99m | 7:56PM7.38m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:31PM2.62m | 10:05AM2.57m | 10:42PM2.44m | 11:08AM2.32m | 11:38PM2.12m | 11:58AM1.96m | 00:24AM1.74m | 12:39PM1.59m | 1:03AM1.38m | 1:16PM1.24m | 1:38AM1.07m | 1:50PM0.96m | 2:12AM0.84m | |||||||
— | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | |
— | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | — | — | 9:17 | — | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:13 | — | — | 9:12 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 16 |
Feels °C | 15 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | WNW 2 | W 8 | SW 12 | S 12 | — | — | W 6 | W 6 | — | W 6 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 5 | W 10 | W 10 | W 8 | W 10 | W 7 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | — | — | 97 | 66 | — | 17 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 1 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | W 8 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | W 9 | S 11 | — | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 11 | — | — | W 10 | — | W 9 |
7 | 1 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 13 | 3 | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 11 | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 2 | NW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | NNW 4 | WSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | NNW 2 | — | WSW 7 | W 4 |
2 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 147 | 208 | 187 | 116 | 4 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 16 | 8 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 910 | 384 | 903 | 354 | 413 | 770 | 366 | 12 | 123 | 307 | 79 | 125 | 175 | 175 | 175 | 366 | 175 | 187 | 383 | 354 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.










