Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, WSW swell with 959 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 2.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, crew, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Freshwater East. I’m not gonna lie to you, this is a tough stretch. The forecast is pretty grim for a solid run, so let’s be real about it.
First thing to note: Freshwater East is a very sheltered spot, and it rarely breaks. That means we need everything to line up perfectly, and unfortunately, that’s just not happening for most of this 16-day window. The water temp is sitting around average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
We kick off on Monday, August 31st. Now, this is the only time in the whole run that’s worth paddling out, and even then, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. Monday morning we’ve got a solid 7ft swell from the WSW, with a period of 10 seconds, and a fresh offshore wind from the NW. That’s clean, but the combined energy is moderate (821). The afternoon holds up at 7ft, clean with a moderate offshore breeze. This is the standout. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best we’ve got. Keep in mind, this break can get crowded sometimes, so don’t expect to have it to yourself.
After Monday, it all goes pear-shaped. From Tuesday, September 1st, right through to the end of the forecast on September 15th, every single session is rated as poor surf conditions. The swell drops off a cliff, the winds get messy, and the energy just disappears. There are a few days with some size – like the 7ft on Wednesday, September 2nd, or the 7ft on Tuesday, September 8th – but the wind is cross or cross-off, and the quality is just not there. The period is short, especially on the 2nd (7 seconds), so it’s all lumpy, choppy junk.
We’ve got a real dry spell here. From the 1st of September onwards, there’s nothing to recommend. The 2ft days on the 6th are barely a ripple, and the energy drops to two-digit numbers, like 72 or 58. That’s weak. Later in the window, we get a long-period 15-second swell on the 7th, but it’s only 1ft – that’s a ghost swell. And by the 12th, it’s all onshore wind from the ESE, making it a complete write-off for surfing.
So, to be straight with you: Monday, August 31st is your only real shot. It’s a brief window, so if you’re keen, you’ve got to be there early. After that, it’s a long, blank run. This kind of stretch isn’t unusual for a sheltered spot like Freshwater East – it’s just the way it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, but right now, the outlook is looking pretty bleak.
Stay patient, and keep an eye on the charts.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 15°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed night, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Thu night, light winds from the W by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
821 | 768 | 334 | 137 | 136 | 11 | 372 | 400 | 439 | 348 | 291 | 237 | 254 | 342 | 311 | 148 | 68 | 41 | 64 | 52 | 32 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 8:53AM7.81m | 9:10PM7.97m | 9:28AM7.69m | 9:46PM7.71m | 10:06AM7.40m | 10:27PM7.29m | 10:49AM6.97m | 11:14PM6.75m | 11:41AM6.44m | 00:15AM6.16m | 12:51PM5.97m | 1:38AM5.75m | 2:24PM5.81m | 3:15AM5.78m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:59PM0.31m | 3:18AM0.35m | 3:33PM0.48m | 3:53AM0.63m | 4:10PM0.81m | 4:32AM1.06m | 4:54PM1.27m | 5:20AM1.59m | 5:50PM1.81m | 6:25AM2.13m | 7:12PM2.25m | 8:02AM2.43m | 9:01PM2.28m | ||||||||
6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:05 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:55 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | — | S 18 | SW 18 | W 8 | — | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | W 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | W 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 |
821 | 768 | — | 6 | 12 | 11 | — | 10 | 9 | 21 | 37 | 71 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 148 | 33 | 41 | 64 | 52 | 32 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 18 | — | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | — | — | — | WSW 11 | SW 13 | WSW 10 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 5 |
— | — | — | 6 | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | 23 | 7 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 14 | W 15 | SW 13 | — | — | SW 16 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4 | 7 | — | — | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | NNW 5 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 7 | — | WSW 6 | — | SSE 2 | — | ESE 3 |
33 | 19 | 334 | 137 | 136 | 51 | 372 | 400 | 439 | 348 | 291 | 237 | 254 | 342 | 311 | — | 68 | — | 1 | — | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 366 | 0 | 81 | 108 | 323 | 102 | 385 | 339 | 165 | 123 | 339 | 366 | 339 | 339 | 176 | 146 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 45 | 119 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.











