Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 27 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period, SW swell with 850 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 1.9m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this stretch isn’t looking like a classic. We’ve got a long 16-day window ahead, but the first proper surf worth mentioning doesn’t kick in until Thursday, 28 August, so there’s a quiet gap of a few days at the start with nothing to ride.
The overall pattern is a mix of small, weak swells and a lot of onshore or cross-shore wind. The water temp at Freshwater East is sitting at 65°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t be freezing while you’re waiting for a wave.
Freshwater East is a beach and reef setup, but it rarely breaks, so any surf here is a bit of a gift. It’s very sheltered and only really picks up on a SW swell. The best on offer looks like Saturday, 30 August morning. The swell is coming from the WSW at 5ft with a short period of 6 seconds. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SW at 12 mph, which should keep the surface clean. The combined swell energy is moderate (162) – not pumping, but it’s the most rideable window we’ve got. Be aware, this break can get crowded sometimes, so get in early.
The other standout is Friday, 29 August. The morning session sees a 6ft WSW swell with a 7 second period and a strong offshore wind from the W at 25 mph. That’s going to be clean and powerful, but at that size it’s more for the experienced crew. The afternoon holds 7ft from the same direction, again with a fresh offshore breeze. The combined energy jumps to strong (474) in the afternoon, so there’s some push, but the short period means it’ll be a bit lumpy and hard to paddle into. The wave quality is still poor, so temper expectations.
From Monday, 1 September onward, the surf drops right off again – tiny swells with long periods (17 seconds) but barely any height. The wind stays offshore, so it’ll be clean, but you’ll be waiting on a long-period groundswell that’s almost flat. That’s a lot of paddle for nothing.
If you’re a kiter, the bigger, windier afternoons with strong cross-shore flow might look more interesting than stand-up surfing.
Stay patient, pick your window, and keep your eyes on the ocean.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the ESE by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Warm (max 23°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Thu afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 10 | E 4 | SSW 14 | E 4 | E 4 | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SW 8 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 30 | 21 | 32 | 29 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 28 | 36 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 28 | 85 | 226 | 769 | 537 | 264 | 108 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | off | off |
High Tide | 3:09AM5.09m | 3:52PM5.29m | 4:31AM5.37m | 4:59PM5.73m | 5:25AM5.84m | 5:46PM6.27m | 6:06AM6.35m | 6:24PM6.81m | 6:42AM6.84m | 6:58PM7.30m | 7:15AM7.26m | 7:30PM7.69m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:51PM2.93m | 9:35AM2.90m | 10:22PM2.70m | 10:50AM2.53m | 11:22PM2.24m | 11:40AM2.04m | 00:05AM1.73m | 12:19PM1.53m | 00:41AM1.23m | 12:53PM1.06m | 1:13AM0.81m | 1:24PM0.69m | 1:44AM0.48m | |||||||
 |  | | | |  |  |  | | |  | | | |  |  |  |  |  | | |
 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — |
 | 8:29 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 17 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 23 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 13 | 10 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | W 9 | SW 14 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SSW 14 | W 9 | SW 8 | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SSW 6 | W 7 | SW 13 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 8 |
| kJ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 28 | 4 | 7 | 769 | 537 | 264 | 108 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | W 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 9 | SW 13 | W 8 | W 10 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 12 | W 7 | — | — | — | WSW 11 |
| kJ | 8 | 21 | 20 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 11 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | — | — | W 9 | W 9 | SW 9 | SW 13 | W 8 | SW 13 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | SW 12 | W 12 | W 12 | — | — | — | SW 10 |
| kJ | 6 | 6 | 32 | — | — | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 3 | NNE 3 | — | NE 2 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | SE 4 | SE 3 | ESE 3 | — | SSW 6 | SW 8 | — | SE 3 | — | WNW 3 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 12 | 28 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | — | 85 | 226 | — | 1 | — | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 179 | 163 | 88 | 119 | 14 | 337 | 338 | 229 | 124 | 88 | 125 | 150 | 14 | 29 | 41 | 147 | 81 | 39 | 129 | 423 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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