Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 5s period, E swell with 120 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 1.5m 5s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Freshwater East.
Honestly, looking out over the next couple of weeks, it's a pretty quiet picture. There's a lot of time where the ocean is just not doing much for us. This spot is a very sheltered setup, and it rarely breaks, so we're going to see a long stretch of tiny, poor surf. We're talking about days and days of nothing much at all from the 12th right through to the morning of the 27th of July. The wave energy is almost non-existent, mostly sitting in the double digits – like 25, 44, or 50 (weak energy) – and the swell heights are barely a ripple. There are a few fleeting moments of glassy water, like the afternoon of the 14th, but with only 0.6ft on offer, it’s a lake, not a break.
The only real event in the whole window arrives on the morning of the 27th of July. That Monday morning, a 6ft swell from the west-southwest rolls in with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps up to 433 (moderate wave energy), which is a noticeable pulse. The wind is light and offshore from the west-northwest, which will keep things clean. That said, 6ft is a bit of a jump from nothing, and with the beach-and-reef setup, it could be a bit of a handful. The short period (8 seconds) means it won't be the most organised, but it's the only real swell we're going to see. For a spot that rarely breaks, this is a short-lived window of opportunity.
So, for the few of you who are keen, the 27th of July morning is your only real shot. Don't expect much else.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Sun night, calm by Tue afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed morning. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | WSW 10 | E 4 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 7 | SSW 7 | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 8 | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 8 | SW 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10 | 18 | 63 | 83 | 26 | 40 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 22 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:44AM6.70m | 5:16PM6.94m | 5:46AM7.09m | 6:13PM7.42m | 6:42AM7.46m | 7:06PM7.85m | 7:33AM7.74m | 7:55PM8.14m | 8:20AM7.85m | 8:41PM8.23m | 9:06AM7.80m | 9:26PM8.12m | 9:49AM7.58m | 10:10PM7.82m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:03AM1.35m | 11:36PM1.11m | 12:03PM0.97m | 00:34AM0.67m | 12:57PM0.60m | 1:27AM0.32m | 1:47PM0.34m | 2:16AM0.12m | 2:33PM0.23m | 3:02AM0.10m | 3:17PM0.29m | 3:46AM0.28m | 4:00PM0.53m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:34 | — | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:29 | — | — | 9:28 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 31 | 25 | 23 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 32 | 29 | 26 | 30 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 23 | 26 | 26 |
Feels °C | 23 | 26 | 18 | 19 | 24 | 19 | 22 | 29 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 23 | 23 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | NW 7 | W 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | E 4 | WSW 9 | SW 7 | SSW 7 | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 8 | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 8 | SW 5 |
| kJ | 5 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | N 6 | SW 15 | SW 15 | W 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 16 | WSW 9 | SW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 13 | WSW 3 | W 8 | S 11 | W 8 |
| kJ | 10 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | SW 21 | W 8 | W 9 | W 8 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 13 | SSW 7 | ESE 3 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 12 | S 16 | W 8 | SW 13 | S 14 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 1 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | W 3 | SW 6 | W 3 | — | WSW 5 | — |
| kJ | 10 | 15 | 63 | 83 | 26 | 40 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 22 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 18 | 2 | — | 19 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 343 | 163 | 423 | 131 | 125 | 124 | 14 | 29 | 124 | 14 | 168 | 258 | 187 | 354 | 259 | 438 | 375 | 260 | 378 | 757 | 343 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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