Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 20 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, W swell with 625 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is a tough one to call. Freshwater East is a very sheltered spot, and for the next 16 days it's looking like a real struggle to find anything worth paddling out for. The water is sitting at 65° which is a good 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, so it's a bit of a rare treat if you're just getting in for a dip, but for surfing? It's a desert.
The nearest thing to a pulse comes around August 20th, Thursday morning. We'll see a 6 ft swell from the west, with a period of 8 seconds, and the wind is set to be a fresh offshore from the WNW. That should give us some clean, rideable lines, but the energy is only moderate at 427. It's not going to be pumping, but it might be the best we get. August 28th, Friday afternoon, also shows some promise, with a 7 ft west-southwest swell and a moderate cross-offshore wind from the NNW. The energy is a bit stronger there at 462. But don't get your hopes up too high for these long-range windows; forecasts can change.
Honestly, for most of the period, the swell is tiny, the period is short, and the wind is often wrong for this break. A lot of the time, the setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, especially with those stronger cross-offshore breezes. There's a long stretch of days with almost nothing. If you're a beginner, the few moments of clean surf might be okay, but for anyone else, it's a tough stretch. The takeaway? There's nothing you'd call a standout here. Just keep an eye on the 20th and the 28th, and be ready to be patient.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun night, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 5 | W 8 | W 7 | W 6 | SW 17 | W 6 | W 6 | W 7 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | WSW 7 | W 6 | WSW 9 | W 8 | SSW 15 | WSW 8 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 18 | 18 | 10 | 27 | 12 | 36 | 127 | 11 | 89 | 209 | 335 | 596 | 419 | 269 | 75 | 62 | 25 | 36 | 22 | 13 | 21 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 9:39PM7.94m | 9:58AM7.47m | 10:16PM7.44m | 10:35AM7.01m | 10:54PM6.84m | 11:13AM6.47m | 11:35PM6.22m | 11:57AM5.92m | 00:24AM5.63m | 12:54PM5.43m | 1:34AM5.19m | 2:18PM5.16m | 3:09AM5.09m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:30PM0.32m | 3:52AM0.48m | 4:06PM0.70m | 4:27AM0.96m | 4:42PM1.20m | 5:03AM1.50m | 5:21PM1.75m | 5:43AM2.07m | 6:07PM2.30m | 6:35AM2.58m | 7:13PM2.75m | 7:54AM2.93m | 8:51PM2.93m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — |
 | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:38 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | — | WSW 7 | W 5 | W 8 | SW 16 | W 6 | SW 17 | WSW 6 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 7 | W 6 | WSW 9 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 |
| kJ | 18 | — | 10 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 94 | 11 | 48 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 75 | 62 | 25 | 36 | 13 | 13 | 18 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | — | S 18 | W 7 | SW 18 | — | SW 16 | — | SW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 15 | WSW 10 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 3 | — | 6 | 1 | 12 | — | 11 | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 10 | 21 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 11 | SW 15 | SW 12 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 2 | WSW 7 | WSW 4 | — | W 5 | W 7 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 7 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | NW 3 | — | W 5 | NW 3 | N 3 | NNW 4 | NNE 3 |
| kJ | 1 | 18 | 4 | — | 27 | 36 | 127 | 54 | 89 | 209 | 335 | 596 | 419 | 269 | 2 | — | 29 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 307 | 364 | 166 | 259 | 384 | 339 | 12 | 1042 | 402 | 366 | 480 | 413 | 411 | 411 | 40 | 40 | 337 | 39 | 259 | 163 | 163 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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