Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 11s period, WSW swell with 22 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 0.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 1ft (0.3m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna be straight with you – this 16-day forecast for Freshwater East is a tough one. The spot is very sheltered and rarely breaks, and that’s exactly what we’re seeing. There’s a long, quiet gap at the start with pretty much nothing to ride. For the first week or so, we’re looking at tiny swell, poor conditions, and mostly cross-onshore winds. The water is sitting at 65°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a weird one, but it doesn’t help the waves.
The first real flicker of life comes on Thursday, July 23rd in the morning. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the east, period of 5 seconds, and combined energy of 102 (moderate energy). It’s a bit short-period and messy, with onshore wind, so not a standout. The afternoon cleans up with a light offshore, but the swell drops to 3ft. Still, a clean 3ft wave at Freshwater East is about as good as it gets here.
The real standout – and I mean the only one worth circling – is Monday, July 27th. The morning is a write-off with onshore wind, but the afternoon? Glassy. Dead calm. We’ve got a 5ft swell from the WSW, period of 9 seconds, and combined energy of 300 (strong energy). That’s the biggest, most consistent-looking swell of the whole run, and with glassy conditions, it’ll be clean. Now, 5ft is fine for most surfers, but at Freshwater East, it’s a rare treat. The swell direction is WSW, which is close to the optimum SW direction, so it should wrap in okay. Crowds are possible here on a good day, and with a rare break like this, expect a few locals to be out. This is the pick of the bunch.
Before that, Tuesday, July 28th morning is also glassy, with a 2ft swell from the west, period of 8 seconds, and energy of 90 (weak). It’s tiny but clean. Wednesday, July 29th morning has a 2ft swell from the SW, period of 7 seconds, with offshore wind and energy of 101 (moderate). That’s clean and rideable, but small.
So, bottom line: there’s a lot of flat days. The first week is a bust. The best bet is the afternoon of July 27th – glassy, 5ft, and decent energy. It’s not pumping, but for Freshwater East, it’s as good as it gets. The rest is small, clean, and marginal. If you’re a beginner, the 5ft is fine, but don’t expect anything over 5ft. For experts, there’s nothing to get excited about. If the wind picks up with that 5ft swell on July 26th, it might be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Stay hopeful, forecasts can change. Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, fresh winds from the E by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | E 4 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 7 | SW 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | S 21 | W 7 | W 7 | SW 19 | W 9 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 15 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 12 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off | on | cross-on | off | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:06PM7.85m | 7:33AM7.74m | 7:55PM8.14m | 8:20AM7.85m | 8:41PM8.23m | 9:06AM7.80m | 9:26PM8.12m | 9:49AM7.58m | 10:10PM7.82m | 10:33AM7.24m | 10:53PM7.36m | 11:17AM6.81m | 11:38PM6.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:57PM0.60m | 1:27AM0.32m | 1:47PM0.34m | 2:16AM0.12m | 2:33PM0.23m | 3:02AM0.10m | 3:17PM0.29m | 3:46AM0.28m | 4:00PM0.53m | 4:28AM0.62m | 4:43PM0.90m | 5:11AM1.06m | 5:26PM1.35m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:29 | — | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:27 | — | — | 9:25 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 |
Feels °C | 20 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | ESE 4 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | W 10 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 |
| kJ | 10 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 6 | SSW 7 | WSW 9 | SSW 6 | SW 14 | SSW 7 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 6 | SW 5 | SW 5 | SW 11 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | NW 5 | SW 18 | W 11 |
| kJ | 12 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 7 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SSW 6 | NW 5 | SW 6 | E 3 | SW 15 | SW 12 | E 3 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 11 | S 21 | N 5 | — | SW 19 | — | W 12 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 8 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 1 | — | 15 | — | 3 | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | — | E 4 | ENE 3 | — | N 4 | E 3 | NW 4 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNE 3 | N 3 | N 3 | — | NW 4 | NNW 2 |
| kJ | 15 | 7 | 9 | 10 | — | 18 | 3 | — | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 14 | 119 | 124 | 182 | 354 | 124 | 259 | 163 | 88 | 165 | 388 | 362 | 439 | 343 | 124 | 119 | 124 | 343 | 354 | 124 | |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Freshwater east surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
Nearest