Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 19 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, WSW swell with 468 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 2.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 19) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 19th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break it down. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a dud, to be honest. We’re looking at Freshwater east (Big Island) as our main spot, but it’s a sheltered beach-and-reef break that rarely breaks, so we need everything to click.
We’ve got a stretch from the 13th to the 21st with waves ranging `0.5m` to `2.1m`, but the period is short, mostly under `10` seconds. It’s all over the place. The winds are mostly offshore or cross-off, which will keep it clean, but with that weak, short-period swell, it’s going to be a messy, gutless affair. The best of the bunch is Saturday the 19th, with a `2.1m` westerly swell but still only a `7` second period. It’ll be clean with the offshore breeze, but that’s a lot of lumpy, disorganised water for a break this sheltered. The energy is moderate, around `400`, but it’s not the right kind of energy. Crowds are possible here, so be wary.
After the 21st, it completely dies. The swell drops to `0.5m` and below, and by the 26th to the 28th, we’re looking at `0.1m` to `0.2m of nothing. The wind goes onshore from the east, which is all wrong. That’s a dead period with almost no energy at all.
So, the long and short of it is, there’s nothing that jumps out as a classic session. Water temp is `18°`, which is `2°` warmer than average, so that’s something. But for surfing, it’s looking bleak. The 19th is the only day with a bit of size, but with those short intervals and average winds, it’s not going to be pretty. For anyone thinking about paddling out, I’d honestly say the conditions look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing given the combo of swell, wind, and poor quality. A blank stretch like this isn't unusual for the area, but things can change. Keep an eye on it.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri night, min 13°C on Wed morning). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 8 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 428 | 351 | 227 | 227 | 222 | 196 | 302 | 262 | 290 | 371 | 296 | 245 | 289 | 262 | 320 | 247 | 158 | 346 | 407 | 468 | 294 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 8:32PM8.17m | 8:49AM7.88m | 9:06PM7.84m | 9:23AM7.55m | 9:40PM7.36m | 9:56AM7.09m | 10:14PM6.78m | 10:31AM6.54m | 10:51PM6.17m | 11:11AM5.96m | 11:37PM5.57m | 12:04PM5.42m | 00:44AM5.08m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:24PM0.08m | 2:43AM0.17m | 2:57PM0.30m | 3:14AM0.51m | 3:29PM0.67m | 3:45AM0.97m | 4:02PM1.16m | 4:17AM1.51m | 4:37PM1.72m | 4:54AM2.08m | 5:19PM2.30m | 5:42AM2.62m | 6:23PM2.82m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  | |  | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — |
 | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:25 | — |
mm | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 18 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 12 | — | — | WSW 8 | W 10 | — | — | W 10 | — | W 17 | — | W 14 | W 12 | W 11 | SW 16 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — | — | 290 | 371 | — | — | 17 | — | 5 | — | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SW 12 | W 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 12 | — | SW 16 | — | W 13 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 10 | — | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | NW 4 | NNW 5 | W 10 | W 10 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 |
| kJ | 428 | 351 | 227 | 227 | 222 | 196 | 302 | 262 | 14 | 3 | 296 | 245 | 289 | 262 | 320 | 247 | 158 | 346 | 407 | 468 | 294 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 123 | 12 | 108 | 123 | 123 | 118 | 366 | 366 | 176 | 6 | 258 | 339 | 436 | 424 | 418 | 232 | 339 | 374 | 219 | 330 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Recent Eyeball Surf Reports for Wales - Pembrokeshire
‘Porth Neigwl: Choppy waves hadn't tidied much (from what I could see in the dark.’
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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