Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WSW swell with 1,266 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 2.0m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it.
Honestly, the next couple of weeks look pretty bleak. Freshwater East is a very sheltered little spot, and it rarely breaks, so when the swell isn’t lining up, it’s dead. The first real session I can point you to doesn’t come until Saturday the 31st of August. That’s a few days of waiting.
The overall pattern is a series of small to moderate SW and WSW swells, but the wind is mostly messy—cross, cross-on, or strong—for the first week. The water is sitting at 66°F down there, which is a solid 5°F warmer than usual, so you’re looking at a notably warm blanket of water for this time of year.
Let’s start with Saturday the 31st of August. Monday the 31st of August morning actually shows the best conditions of the first week. You’ve got a clean 7ft swell from the WSW, period around 9 seconds, and a fresh offshore wind from the NW. The combined energy is solidly moderate at 739. That’s a fun size for the better surfers, clean faces, long wait between sets with that period. Monday afternoon stays similar with 6ft and a moderate offshore. That’s the standout of the first week—clean, offshore wind, and a decent pulse of energy.
After that, the first few days of September drop right off. Tuesday and Wednesday are tiny or blown out. Then Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th of September bring another clean window. Friday the 4th of September morning is a highlight: 6ft of WSW swell, 8 seconds, and a fresh offshore from the WNW. The energy is 492—moderate but solid. Friday afternoon holds at 7ft with clear skies and offshore wind. That is a great call for an afternoon sesh if you can get out of work.
Now, looking way ahead, there’s a big pulse of energy due Monday the 7th of September. That morning shows 7ft from the SSW, but only a 6-second period, so it’s a bit short and dumpy. But wait for Monday afternoon: 10ft from the SW with an 8-second period, a moderate offshore from the W, and the combined energy jumps to 1033—that’s strong energy, very strong for this spot. The commentary says “expect good surf conditions,” and that is the biggest, most powerful swell of the whole outlook. Stay sharp though: at 10ft, this is for experienced surfers only, and the period is short, so it’ll be pitching fast. Tuesday the 8th of September goes huge: 16ft to 18ft from the WSW with an 11-second period and combined energy over 6000 and 7000 respectively. That’s very strong, groundswell territory, and the period is long. That’s gonna be a massive, powerful, heaving wave, best left to experts. Could also be a solid kite-surfing day for those who want to get towed into it. The wind is fresh offshore from the WNW, so the faces will be clean, but that size in a sheltered, rarely-breaking spot… it’s going to be a spectacle.
The second week after that drops back to small, moderate swell with increasingly messy wind. The 11th and 12th of September are a write-off—strong cross and cross-on winds, lumpy chop, small swell.
So here’s the takeaway: the best on offer is Monday afternoon the 7th of September for the big, powerful but short-period 10ft swell with clean offshore wind. If that’s too big, Friday the 4th of September morning and afternoon is your best bet for a fun, manageable 6ft to 7ft clean session. Don’t bother before the 31st of August.
This is Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Sat morning, fresh winds from the SW by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Tue night, fresh winds from the WSW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | S 18 | W 9 | SW 16 | W 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
109 | 314 | 591 | 411 | 517 | 1266 | 938 | 605 | 271 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 471 | 623 | 441 | 398 | 280 | 206 | 0 | 931 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 7:47AM7.58m | 8:02PM7.94m | 8:19AM7.77m | 8:35PM8.04m | 8:53AM7.81m | 9:10PM7.97m | 9:28AM7.69m | 9:46PM7.71m | 10:06AM7.40m | 10:27PM7.29m | 10:49AM6.97m | 11:14PM6.75m | 11:41AM6.44m | 00:15AM6.16m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:55PM0.42m | 2:15AM0.29m | 2:27PM0.29m | 2:46AM0.24m | 2:59PM0.31m | 3:18AM0.35m | 3:33PM0.48m | 3:53AM0.63m | 4:10PM0.81m | 4:32AM1.06m | 4:54PM1.27m | 5:20AM1.59m | 5:50PM1.81m | ||||||||
6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | 8:13 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:05 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | |
mm | 5 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 20 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | SW 8 | — | — | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | — | S 18 | W 9 | SW 16 | W 8 | — | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | WSW 8 | SSW 14 | — | — |
109 | 314 | — | — | — | — | 938 | 605 | — | 6 | 14 | 10 | 11 | — | 9 | 21 | 23 | 280 | 20 | — | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 5 | — | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | 12 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 4 | — | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 |
11 | — | 591 | 411 | 517 | 1266 | — | — | 271 | 94 | 119 | 94 | 79 | 471 | 623 | 441 | 398 | — | 206 | 188 | 931 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 163 | 166 | 123 | 81 | 385 | 14 | 170 | 0 | 12 | 123 | 123 | 102 | 117 | 339 | 219 | 900 | 339 | 395 | 123 | 168 | 14 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.











