Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 21 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period, WSW swell with 135 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 0.9m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 21st Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, it’s Rusty.
Straight up: this 16-day window for Freshwater east is a tough one. We’ve got a long, quiet stretch ahead with next to nothing worth paddling out for until late in the run. The swell just isn’t cooperating, and most days are either flat or too wind-affected to get excited about. It’s a rare-breaks setup at a very sheltered beach and reef, and honestly, it lives up to that reputation here.
The first real chance of anything rideable shows up on Thursday, August 29th. That morning, a 8ft swell from the WSW (8 sec period) rolls in with clean offshore winds from the WNW at 16 mph. The combined swell energy is strong at 709, so there’s some grunt behind it. But that size is already into the expert-only zone—over 8ft for the morning session, then dropping to 7ft by the afternoon with 19 mph offshore winds. The wave comment says “poor surf conditions” across the board, so even with decent height, the quality isn’t coming together. For most of us, this one’s a look-and-see.
Another pulse arrives on Thursday, September 3rd. That afternoon we get a stiff 7ft from the WSW (8 sec, combined energy 566) with strong offshore-cross winds from the SW at 28 mph. That’s a lot of wind, though, and the clean-up is questionable—it’s big but messy. Again, this is expert territory and far from consistent.
Between these two dates, there’s nearly a week of flat to tiny surf, mostly under 2ft, and often blown out with onshore or strong cross-shore winds. Not worth a second look.
The water is sitting at 65°F on the first notable day (Thursday the 29th), with a 4°F anomaly—so a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a nice bonus if you do go in.
Bottom line: no true standout here. The best on offer is the Thursday, August 29th morning with 8ft and offshore wind, but it’s big for most, the break rarely works, and the conditions are still labelled poor. If you’re an expert with a big wave board and low expectations, it might be worth a look. For everyone else, leave the board in the car.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Thu afternoon, calm by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Tue night. Warm (max 23°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the E by Mon night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 16 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | E 5 | E 5 | ESE 4 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SW 6 | SW 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 223 | 135 | 55 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 30 | 31 | 19 | 18 | 90 | 53 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 101 | 122 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 00:24AM5.63m | 12:54PM5.43m | 1:34AM5.19m | 2:18PM5.16m | 3:09AM5.09m | 3:52PM5.29m | 4:31AM5.37m | 4:59PM5.73m | 5:25AM5.84m | 5:46PM6.27m | 6:06AM6.35m | 6:24PM6.81m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:07PM2.30m | 6:35AM2.58m | 7:13PM2.75m | 7:54AM2.93m | 8:51PM2.93m | 9:35AM2.90m | 10:22PM2.70m | 10:50AM2.53m | 11:22PM2.24m | 11:40AM2.04m | 00:05AM1.73m | 12:19PM1.53m | 00:41AM1.23m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | |  | |  |  | |  |  | |
 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — |
 | 8:32 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:20 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
Temp °C | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 13 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 14 | SW 11 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 8 | W 10 | W 9 | W 8 | SW 8 |
| kJ | 223 | 135 | 55 | 7 | 24 | 31 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 122 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | WNW 4 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | W 9 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | W 9 | SW 8 | W 8 | SW 13 | SW 8 | W 10 | W 9 |
| kJ | 8 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 21 | 20 | 6 | 31 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 59 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 13 | NNW 5 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | — | W 8 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 9 | W 8 | SW 13 | W 7 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | — | — | 10 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 8 | — | 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 4 | NNW 3 | W 8 | NNE 2 | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNE 2 | — | — | ESE 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | ESE 4 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SW 6 | — |
| kJ | — | 9 | 5 | 66 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 13 | 11 | 90 | 53 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 101 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 339 | 39 | 40 | 259 | 174 | 14 | 176 | 39 | 14 | 140 | 4 | 337 | 330 | 334 | 334 | 150 | 125 | 165 | 39 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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