Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, SW swell with 235 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 01) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here again. Let’s be straight. The surf outlook for the next 16 days is a big fat zero. There’s nothing rideable on the cards, no standout days, no sneaky swells. It’s a flat spell, plain and simple. We’re stuck with weak west-southwest pulses that don’t have the juice to get past the sandbars.
The first week, from Saturday the 1st to Friday the 7th, is dead. Swell heights stay under 3 feet most of the time, and the energy is weak. You’ll see a little bump on Monday the 3rd to about 3 feet with 9-second periods, but it’s still considered poor. The winds are mostly cross-off or offshore, which is good for the surface, but it’s just polishing a turd. There’s a glassy moment on Sunday the 2nd afternoon, but with a 1-foot wave, it’s a pond, not a break.
The second week throws a bit more size at us but no quality. Tuesday the 11th afternoon sees the swell push to just over 5 feet with a 10-second period, and the energy reads 502, which is the most we’ll see all run, but the waves are a mess. It’s not breaking clean. Wednesday the 12th still has some size, around 4-5 feet, but again, it’s closing out. Then the wind on Thursday the 13th blows 35 km/h, and it’s just a washing machine. By the 15th and 16th, it’s windy and small, so no chance.
Water temperature is about average for the season, so that’s not the issue. This spot, Freshwater-East, is a beach and reef setup that barely ever breaks, and this run shows exactly why. It needs a solid southwest groundswell to work, and we’re just not getting it. The swell direction is there, but the size and period are all wrong.
For a surfer, this is a waste of time. I’d say the kites and windsurfers might have a few salvageable sessions with those cross-off winds, but for paddle surfing, it’s a hard pass. When a spot is this inconsistent, a flat run like this is just par for the course. Keep the board in the car, because forecasts can shift, but today it’s looking grim.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 7 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | W 9 | SW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 31 | 27 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 75 | 119 | 111 | 59 | 39 | 136 | 136 | 128 | 218 | 230 | 134 | 62 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 23 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross | on | glassy | cross-off | on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:47AM7.32m | 9:03PM7.64m | 9:20AM7.34m | 9:37PM7.60m | 9:56AM7.26m | 10:13PM7.43m | 10:34AM7.07m | 10:53PM7.15m | 11:16AM6.79m | 11:40PM6.77m | 12:08PM6.43m | 00:37AM6.36m | 1:13PM6.11m | 1:51AM6.04m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:54PM0.70m | 3:16AM0.67m | 3:26PM0.72m | 3:48AM0.73m | 4:00PM0.85m | 4:23AM0.90m | 4:37PM1.07m | 5:02AM1.17m | 5:21PM1.38m | 5:50AM1.53m | 6:15PM1.75m | 6:50AM1.91m | 7:27PM2.06m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:05 | — | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:01 | — | — | 9:00 | — | 8:58 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 9 | S 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | E 3 | SW 7 |
| kJ | 11 | 27 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 75 | 119 | 111 | 59 | 39 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 134 | 62 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 23 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | — | W 4 | — | WSW 8 | — | N 5 | — | — | W 9 | SW 15 | W 11 | — | — | W 11 | SW 13 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | SW 5 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 31 | — | 1 | — | 7 | — | 1 | — | — | 7 | 8 | 2 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 11 | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 9 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 4 | WNW 4 | — | NE 2 | NNE 2 | ESE 2 | — | — | SSE 2 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 7 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | — | — | — | ESE 2 | NE 3 | — |
| kJ | — | 6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 136 | 136 | 128 | 218 | 230 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 175 | 187 | 182 | 182 | 175 | 4 | 14 | 40 | 14 | 166 | 339 | 339 | 133 | 133 | 6 | 39 | 168 | 176 | 343 | 343 | 14 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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