Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 1,569 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 2.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get on with it.
Right then, it’s a pretty grim 16-day picture here. I won’t sugarcoat it – we start with a blank run and it stays that way for the entire window. The first chance we might see something is on the 7th of September, with a pulse of 7ft to 7ft swell from the WSW, but the guidance for Freshwater-East says it's "rarely breaks" and it's "very sheltered" – and sure enough, every single time slot is marked as poor surf conditions. There are big numbers for energy on the 7th (1490–1501), which is moderate to strong, and a long period around 12 to 13 seconds, which usually means quality groundswell energy. But with the wind staying cross-off from the WSW at 15 to 22 mph, it won't be clean enough for this slab to work. The water temp is unremarkable for the time of year, nothing unusual to report.
After that, the swell drops steadily. By the 10th of September we still have some 6ft WSW swell, but again, the conditions are poor and the spot is inconsistent. The whole second week is mostly tiny, with heights around 1ft and energy readings dropping into double digits – weak stuff. There is about a 7 day gap where the swell is under 2ft and inconsistent, which is pretty normal for a spot this sheltered.
To be blunt, there isn’t a single standout or a day I’d recommend paddling out. It’s one of those frustrating forecasts where the energy is there but the break just doesn’t light up. Crowds are "sometimes" a factor, but honestly, with the poor quality, it won’t matter. For an area like this, a blank run is more normal. Forecasts can always change, but right now, don't hold your breath.
Stay patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 15°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed night, min 14°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | SW 8 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 7 | W 7 | WSW 8 | W 7 | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 9 | W 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 118 | 163 | 94 | 26 | 82 | 151 | 1490 | 1501 | 1132 | 485 | 465 | 375 | 181 | 123 | 155 | 334 | 383 | 301 | 177 | 355 | 92 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:51PM5.97m | 1:38AM5.75m | 2:24PM5.81m | 3:15AM5.78m | 3:55PM6.14m | 4:35AM6.24m | 5:03PM6.76m | 5:34AM6.84m | 5:56PM7.40m | 6:21AM7.39m | 6:40PM7.91m | 7:02AM7.80m | 7:19PM8.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:25AM2.13m | 7:12PM2.25m | 8:02AM2.43m | 9:01PM2.28m | 9:44AM2.23m | 10:30PM1.83m | 10:58AM1.68m | 11:31PM1.21m | 11:51AM1.08m | 00:19AM0.64m | 12:35PM0.56m | 1:00AM0.21m | 1:14PM0.20m | 1:37AM-0.01m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:51 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | SW 13 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 7 | S 10 | W 13 | W 12 | — | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | — | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 118 | 163 | 94 | 26 | 6 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 181 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | 301 | 177 | — | 68 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 9 | — | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 19 | 7 | 7 | 15 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | W 15 | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 7 | 4 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSE 3 | SW 6 | SW 8 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 7 | W 7 | WSW 8 | — | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | — | W 6 | W 9 | W 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 4 | 82 | 151 | 1490 | 1501 | 1132 | 485 | 465 | 375 | — | 123 | 155 | 334 | 383 | — | 108 | 355 | 92 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 39 | 108 | 39 | 71 | 289 | 123 | 480 | 147 | 14 | 147 | 339 | 424 | 361 | 339 | 339 | 133 | 339 | 147 | 176 | 339 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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