Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 20 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, W swell with 399 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, this is Rusty with a look at what's coming up for the next stretch. Let me tell you straight up, it's a grim picture for Freshwater East. We're looking at a solid 16-day window with nothing but poor surf conditions. The forecast is a total blank run, and honestly, that's just how it goes around here sometimes.
The water is sitting at a balmy 65.5° which is a noticeable 3.6° warmer than usual for this time of year, so it's much warmer than normal. The energy we're seeing is mostly weak, with combined swell energy barely cracking 30 to 50 on the good days, and even when it does pick up a little, it's still nothing to get excited about.
You'll see small pulses of 4.9 ft or so on Thursday the 20th and again on Wednesday the 26th, but the periods are short, around 8 seconds, and the wind is often cross-off or cross-shore, keeping things messy. There's a pulse of energy on the 26th morning with 455 combined energy, but it's still rated poor and the swell is short-period. The stands out on the 31st of August with a 6.2 ft swell from the WSW, period of 10 seconds, and a combined energy of 696, but the wind is fresh offshore which is promising, but the forecast still says poor. It's just not on.
This break is a very sheltered beach and reef set-up that rarely breaks, so the conditions are never really in our favour. For a beginner spot, the swell over 4.9 ft on those few occasions is too big, and the rest of the time it's flat or tiny. With the swell direction coming from the WSW and the optimum being SW, we're not even getting the best angle. Honestly, with the significant swell and poor quality, the setup here looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Save your wax, folks. This one's a write-off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | SW 16 | WSW 7 | W 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SSW 15 | WSW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 17 | 10 | 319 | 399 | 264 | 132 | 53 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 127 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | on | glassy | on | on | off | off |
High Tide | 11:13AM6.47m | 11:35PM6.22m | 11:57AM5.92m | 00:24AM5.63m | 12:54PM5.43m | 1:34AM5.19m | 2:18PM5.16m | 3:09AM5.09m | 3:52PM5.29m | 4:31AM5.37m | 4:59PM5.73m | 5:25AM5.84m | 5:46PM6.27m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:21PM1.75m | 5:43AM2.07m | 6:07PM2.30m | 6:35AM2.58m | 7:13PM2.75m | 7:54AM2.93m | 8:51PM2.93m | 9:35AM2.90m | 10:22PM2.70m | 10:50AM2.53m | 11:22PM2.24m | 11:40AM2.04m | 00:05AM1.73m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — |
 | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 20 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | W 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 17 | 10 | 24 | 277 | 264 | 132 | 53 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | W 6 | SW 13 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 12 |
| kJ | 7 | — | — | 8 | 8 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 8 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 12 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 13 | W 11 | W 12 |
| kJ | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 2 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 7 | W 8 | NW 4 | N 4 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NW 4 | N 3 | NNE 3 | — | N 3 | E 2 | ESE 3 | N 3 | — | — | WSW 9 |
| kJ | 30 | 69 | 319 | 399 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 127 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 366 | 339 | 428 | 14 | 174 | 39 | 39 | 158 | 39 | 79 | 176 | 72 | 88 | 354 | 176 | 286 | 384 | 259 | 187 | 333 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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