Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 6s period, W swell with 239 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 1.7m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Mon 17th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.
This is a grim outlook, I'm not gonna lie. The finder has come up with absolutely nothing for the entire 16-day window, and every single entry in the data is marked as "poor surf conditions." There are no standout days, no sneaky windows, nothing. The waves we're looking at are tiny, the energy is weak, and the winds are messy. We're in for a long, flat spell.
Let's talk about the only spot in the mix: Freshwater East. This is a beach and reef setup, very sheltered, and it rarely breaks. It's a beginner-friendly spot when it does work, but the optimum swell direction from the SW just isn't delivering. The water temperature is sitting at 65°F with a 4°F anomaly, meaning it's much warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a bit of weird comfort.
The first real chance of anything resembling a wave comes on Wednesday 12th August, but it's a non-starter. Early morning you've got a 2ft swell from the WSW at 10 seconds, with a stiff 16 mph ESE wind onshore. The combined energy is a measly 108 (weak). It's a write-off. The afternoon is a little better with a 3ft swell and a gentler onshore breeze, but still poor.
Thursday 13th August morning sees a 3ft WSW swell, 10-second period, and a light NW offshore wind, which would clean it up nicely. The energy bumps to 222 (moderate), but the rating is still zero. The afternoon has a 3ft swell with a moderate offshore breeze from the WNW. It's clean, but the waves are just too small and weak to get excited about.
Friday 14th August is similar. Morning has a 3ft swell, light offshore wind, and weak energy (108). Afternoon sees a 3ft swell from the W, 9-second period, and a cross-offshore breeze. Clean, but again, not enough juice.
From Saturday 15th August, it gets even worse. Swells drop to 1-2ft, periods are short (7-8 seconds), and the energy falls into the 20-40 range (very weak). The winds are mostly cross-off, so it's clean, but you'd be struggling to get a ride.
The 17th of August is a mess. Morning has a 0.3ft swell with a 19 mph SSW crosswind and light rain – just forget it. The afternoon brings a 2ft swell from the SSW with a 4-second period, which is basically wind chop.
The 18th and 19th of August offer a glimmer. The 18th morning has a 3ft WSW swell, 7 seconds, with a moderate offshore wind from the WNW, energy of 110 (moderate). The 19th morning has a 4ft W swell, 6 seconds, and a fresh cross-offshore breeze, energy 142 (moderate). The afternoon of the 19th is the best of the whole window: 5ft W swell, 6 seconds, offshore wind from the W, energy 163 (moderate). But even then, the period is short, and the rating is still zero. It's not worth paddling out for.
After that, it's all downhill. The 20th of August has a 4ft W swell but a strong crosswind from the NE making it choppy. The rest of the run into the 27th August is a mix of tiny swells, short periods, and weak energy. The 23rd of August afternoon sees a glassy 0.7ft SSW swell with a very long 14-second period, but at that size, you're not going anywhere.
So, what's the bottom line? There are no good surf options in this 16-day window. Freshwater East rarely breaks at the best of times, and the forecast is a flat, wind-affected dud. If you're desperate, the cleanest conditions are on the 13th, 14th, and 19th of August, but the waves are just too small and weak to generate any real interest. This is a classic case of a blank run for the area. The forecasts can change, but for now, leave the boards at home.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 7 | SSW 4 | W 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
104 | 123 | 149 | 222 | 173 | 123 | 108 | 96 | 68 | 43 | 44 | 29 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 218 | 99 | 68 | 148 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:56PM7.89m | 7:20AM7.77m | 7:40PM8.25m | 8:03AM7.98m | 8:22PM8.38m | 8:43AM8.00m | 9:01PM8.27m | 9:21AM7.82m | 9:39PM7.94m | 9:58AM7.47m | 10:16PM7.44m | 10:35AM7.01m | 10:54PM6.84m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:50PM0.60m | 1:18AM0.25m | 1:34PM0.24m | 2:00AM-0.01m | 2:14PM0.06m | 2:39AM-0.05m | 2:53PM0.09m | 3:17AM0.13m | 3:30PM0.32m | 3:52AM0.48m | 4:06PM0.70m | 4:27AM0.96m | 4:42PM1.20m | ||||||||
5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
— | 8:49 | — | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:38 | — | — | 8:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 4 | — | — | — | 7 |
Temp °C | 25 | 29 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
Feels °C | 20 | 26 | 24 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 7 | SW 17 | SW 17 |
104 | 123 | 149 | 222 | 173 | 123 | 108 | 96 | 68 | 43 | 44 | 29 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 218 | 99 | 11 | 12 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | ESE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 13 | W 10 | — | — | S 12 | — | S 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | W 10 |
1 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | 3 | — | 6 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 3 | — | — | — | WNW 2 | WSW 3 | W 4 | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 4 | N 4 | N 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | — | SSW 4 | — | NNW 4 | WSW 7 | W 6 |
3 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 6 | — | 5 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 4 | — | 13 | — | 3 | 68 | 148 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 68 | 29 | 4 | 6 | 339 | 39 | 56 | 385 | 175 | 444 | 424 | 176 | 343 | 367 | 364 | 446 | 403 | 12 | 364 | 339 | 79 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.











