Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 19 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WSW swell with 859 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 19) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sat 19th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's get real for a sec. I've been staring at this forecast until my eyes are square, and I gotta tell you, it's a wasteland. We're looking at a solid week-plus where the surf is just not worth the paddle. There's swell, don't get me wrong, but it's all this short-period, messy stuff, and the wind is constantly ruining what little shape there is. It's poor surf conditions across the board, and the energy readings are mostly weak to moderate, nothing that gets the heart racing.
You're looking at a big gap here. The first week is dead. There's a hint of something on the 19th, with a couple of feet of WSW groundswell, but that strong offshore wind will make it a fight to even get out, and the quality is still poor. Not what you want. Then we get a few days of onshore junk around the 23rd and 24th, which is just a mess. After that, the swell just drops off a cliff.
The only flicker of life is that long-period pulse right at the end of the window, around the 27th. It's showing some decent energy from the WSW, but the size is small, and with that long period, it might just close out. It's a promise of something better, but it's far off and uncertain. For now, the quiver stays in the garage. Not a good run for the area, and a blank spell like this is more normal than we'd like. Forecasts change, but right now, there's nothing to chase. Stay tuned, but don't hold your breath.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sat morning, light winds from the WSW by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 7 | W 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 223 | 516 | 297 | 206 | 289 | 193 | 243 | 153 | 16 | 225 | 202 | 229 | 154 | 234 | 245 | 222 | 208 | 147 | 97 | 93 | 319 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 7:57PM8.31m | 8:15AM8.05m | 8:32PM8.17m | 8:49AM7.88m | 9:06PM7.84m | 9:23AM7.55m | 9:40PM7.36m | 9:56AM7.09m | 10:14PM6.78m | 10:31AM6.54m | 10:51PM6.17m | 11:11AM5.96m | 11:37PM5.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:50PM0.04m | 2:11AM-0.02m | 2:24PM0.08m | 2:43AM0.17m | 2:57PM0.30m | 3:14AM0.51m | 3:29PM0.67m | 3:45AM0.97m | 4:02PM1.16m | 4:17AM1.51m | 4:37PM1.72m | 4:54AM2.08m | 5:19PM2.30m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — |
 | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 15 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
Feels °C | 11 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 15 | — | W 10 | WSW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 9 | W 11 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | — | W 10 | W 10 | WSW 7 | W 10 | W 13 | W 12 |
| kJ | 5 | — | 52 | 206 | 289 | 193 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 2 | — | 229 | 154 | 131 | — | 17 | 17 | 147 | 17 | 14 | 11 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | — | W 12 | W 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 9 | W 14 | SW 12 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44 | 14 | 6 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | — | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | NW 4 | W 6 | W 10 | W 10 | W 7 | W 7 | — | W 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 |
| kJ | 223 | 516 | 297 | — | — | — | 243 | 153 | 118 | 225 | 202 | 20 | 104 | 234 | 245 | 222 | 208 | — | 97 | 93 | 319 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 354 | 330 | 123 | 6 | 6 | 102 | 123 | 123 | 118 | 6 | 366 | 56 | 147 | 176 | 394 | 425 | 366 | 330 | 354 | 320 | 730 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Recent Eyeball Surf Reports for Wales - Pembrokeshire
‘Porth Neigwl: Choppy waves hadn't tidied much (from what I could see in the dark.’
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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