Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 5s period, E swell with 104 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 1.4m 5s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down the surf for Freshwater East.
Honestly, the first week and a half is pretty flat. The water is sitting at 64°, which is a good 4.3° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's a real warm spell, almost tropical.
The first hint of something happening isn't until Tuesday, July 21st. That morning we get a 4.6ft swell from the west, with a 7-second period, and clean offshore winds from the northwest. The energy is moderate (173). By the afternoon, it bumps up to 4.9ft from the west (217), wind still offshore. It's rideable, but the period is short, so the waves will be a bit crumbly.
The one to really wait for is Wednesday, July 22nd. The morning brings a 7.9ft west swell, 8-second period, with light offshore wind from the west-northwest. The energy is pumping at 698. Then the afternoon is the big one: a solid 8.2ft from the west, still 8 seconds, with a moderate offshore breeze from the west. The energy hits 912. That's a serious swell. That size is for the experts only – it's going to be too big for beginners. The break is a beach and reef setup, so the reef might offer some shape, but the beach breaks are going to be powerful and a bit straight.
After that, it's all downhill. Thursday, July 23rd has a 3.6ft west swell, then it's back to tiny, knee-high waves for the rest of the outlook. The crowd factor is "sometimes", so you might see a few others for that Wednesday session, but it won't be packed.
So, don't bother paddling out until the 21st. The only day that's truly worth the wait is the afternoon of Wednesday, July 22nd. A proper 8.2ft west swell with clean offshore wind. It's a long way out, so take it with a grain of salt, but it's the only real highlight on the charts.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Sun night, calm by Tue afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 25°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | E 4 | E 5 | W 11 | WSW 11 | E 4 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | SSW 7 | SW 7 | SW 7 | W 8 | SW 13 | SW 6 | W 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10 | 18 | 63 | 71 | 19 | 41 | 12 | 23 | 35 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 21 | 34 | 53 | 79 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:16PM6.94m | 5:46AM7.09m | 6:13PM7.42m | 6:42AM7.46m | 7:06PM7.85m | 7:33AM7.74m | 7:55PM8.14m | 8:20AM7.85m | 8:41PM8.23m | 9:06AM7.80m | 9:26PM8.12m | 9:49AM7.58m | 10:10PM7.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:03AM1.35m | 11:36PM1.11m | 12:03PM0.97m | 00:34AM0.67m | 12:57PM0.60m | 1:27AM0.32m | 1:47PM0.34m | 2:16AM0.12m | 2:33PM0.23m | 3:02AM0.10m | 3:17PM0.29m | 3:46AM0.28m | 4:00PM0.53m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:34 | — | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:29 | — | — | 9:28 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 31 | 25 | 23 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 29 | 28 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 18 |
Feels °C | 22 | 27 | 18 | 20 | 26 | 19 | 22 | 27 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 23 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | NNW 7 | W 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | SSW 7 | SW 7 | SW 13 | W 8 | SW 13 | SW 6 | W 4 |
| kJ | 5 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 21 | 34 | 53 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 8 | SW 15 | SW 15 | W 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SSW 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | S 16 | SW 13 | S 11 | W 8 | SW 5 |
| kJ | 10 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | SW 21 | N 6 | W 9 | W 8 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 7 | SW 16 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 12 | SW 13 | S 11 | S 11 | SW 11 | W 8 |
| kJ | 1 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | — | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | E 4 | E 5 | E 4 | ESE 4 | E 4 | E 4 | ESE 3 | — | — | SSW 2 | — | SW 3 | SW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 5 | WNW 4 |
| kJ | 9 | 16 | 63 | 71 | 19 | 41 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 7 | 4 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 79 | 70 | 55 | 18 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 362 | 124 | 423 | 378 | 125 | 119 | 14 | 29 | 124 | 124 | 163 | 163 | 248 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 40 | 14 | 4 | 626 | 337 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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