Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, W swell with 1,359 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cooking at Freshwater East.
First off, it’s a beach and reef setup that rarely breaks, so you’ve gotta have patience. It’s very sheltered and wants swell from the SW. Right now, there’s nothing to get fired up about, and this dry spell stretches for days.
We kick off on Sunday, August 30th, with a total dud – storm risks, a cross-shore wind, and 1.5m of short-period slop. Energy is weak at 346. Forget it. Monday the 31st the wind swings offshore, but it’s still a messy 2.3m of WSW swell at 10 seconds, energy around 940. The surface is clean with a fresh offshore, but the forecast calls it only marginal. Not worth a paddle.
Tuesday and Wednesday, September 1st and 2nd, are small and weak or blown out with strong winds. Energy drops to 115 and then jumps to 373 but the wind is messy. Thursday the 3rd has 2-2.0m at 8 seconds with moderate energy (489 to 538), but the wind is cross-off and it’s all rated poor.
Then Friday, September 4th, we get a big swell – 3.0m of W swell at 9 seconds, energy hitting 1359. That’s strong. The wind is a strong offshore, so it’s clean but very hard to paddle into. At that size and short period, only experts should even look at it. Saturday the 5th is smaller, with gentle offshore winds and 1.9m, but still poor.
The second week is mostly small, weak, or windy. The only half-decent window is Friday, September 11th. That afternoon brings 2.2m of WSW swell at 9 seconds, with moderate energy near 790, and the wind is offshore. The rating goes to “surfable but very ordinary.” Not a classic, but it’s the best on offer in this bleak run.
Bottom line: Freshwater East is rarely breaking to begin with, and this forecast is a long stretch of poor conditions. Over 1.5m is too much for beginners, and over 2.5m is for experts only – that Friday the 4th fits the bill for the brave. Best chance is the afternoon of Friday the 11th, but don’t hold your breath.
– Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 15°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 15°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Tue night, strong winds from the W by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 9 | W 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 346 | 441 | 947 | 940 | 683 | 289 | 137 | 103 | 12 | 373 | 508 | 606 | 468 | 515 | 1067 | 1359 | 701 | 228 | 288 | 369 | 314 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:19AM7.77m | 8:35PM8.04m | 8:53AM7.81m | 9:10PM7.97m | 9:28AM7.69m | 9:46PM7.71m | 10:06AM7.40m | 10:27PM7.29m | 10:49AM6.97m | 11:14PM6.75m | 11:41AM6.44m | 00:15AM6.16m | 12:51PM5.97m | 1:38AM5.75m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:27PM0.29m | 2:46AM0.24m | 2:59PM0.31m | 3:18AM0.35m | 3:33PM0.48m | 3:53AM0.63m | 4:10PM0.81m | 4:32AM1.06m | 4:54PM1.27m | 5:20AM1.59m | 5:50PM1.81m | 6:25AM2.13m | 7:12PM2.25m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  | |  |  | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:05 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — |
mm | 7 | 5 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | S 18 | SW 18 | WSW 8 | — | SW 16 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | SSW 14 | WSW 7 | — | SW 13 | SW 13 |
| kJ | — | — | 715 | 940 | 683 | 289 | 6 | 12 | 12 | — | 10 | — | 21 | 23 | 22 | — | 20 | 228 | — | 7 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 14 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 11 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | — | NNW 5 | — | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 9 | W 8 | — | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 |
| kJ | 346 | 441 | 947 | — | 11 | — | 137 | 103 | 31 | 373 | 508 | 606 | 468 | 515 | 1067 | 1359 | 701 | — | 288 | 369 | 314 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 339 | 385 | 14 | 163 | 0 | 12 | 56 | 323 | 339 | 426 | 330 | 374 | 147 | 147 | 893 | 674 | 366 | 366 | 6 | 123 | 71 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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