Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period, W swell with 59 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 0.6m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here.
Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – Freshwater East is not serving up anything worth paddling out for, at least not for a good stretch. This break is very sheltered and rarely breaks, and this forecast is a textbook example of why. We’re looking at a long, dry spell of small, weak, and often messy conditions. For the first week and a half, you’ll see tiny swells, mostly under 2 feet, with combined wave energy values barely scraping into double digits. Honestly, most days the energy sits between 8 and 85 (weak), and that’s just not enough to get excited about.
The only real standout comes right at the tail end of the outlook. On the afternoon of Sunday, July 19th, we see a spike: 7 feet from the WSW, with a combined energy of 494 (moderate). That’s a proper winter swell, but there’s a catch – the period is only 8 seconds, so it’s a short-period, wind-driven chop, not a clean groundswell. That size, over 5 feet, makes it too big for beginners, and with a strong breeze from the WSW, it’s gonna be a clean but raw session. The next day, Monday July 20th, the morning holds 5 feet (energy 442) and the afternoon is 5 feet from the W (energy 739 - moderate to strong), with offshore winds from the WNW. That afternoon session on the 20th is probably the only window where the conditions line up to be surfable, though still described as ordinary. For a spot that rarely breaks, a 5-foot W swell with offshore wind is your best bet, but keep expectations in check.
If you’re an experienced surfer, pencil in the afternoon of July 20th. For everyone else, it’s a long wait with a whole lot of nothing in between.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 15°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the N by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | WSW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 9 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 42 | 26 | 57 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 21 | 22 | 25 | 30 | 16 | 15 | 27 | 59 | 56 | 49 | 21 | 21 | 13 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:23AM6.72m | 10:42PM6.95m | 11:04AM6.58m | 11:25PM6.78m | 11:51AM6.42m | 00:14AM6.58m | 12:45PM6.27m | 1:13AM6.40m | 1:49PM6.18m | 2:21AM6.31m | 3:00PM6.25m | 3:34AM6.42m | 4:11PM6.52m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:28PM1.34m | 4:55AM1.36m | 5:09PM1.50m | 5:38AM1.51m | 5:56PM1.69m | 6:30AM1.67m | 6:53PM1.85m | 7:31AM1.80m | 8:01PM1.93m | 8:41AM1.82m | 9:16PM1.83m | 9:55AM1.67m | 10:30PM1.53m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:38 | — | — | 9:37 | — | — | 9:37 | — | — | 9:37 | — | — | 9:36 | — | — | 9:35 | — | — | 9:35 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
Feels °C | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 24 | 25 | 20 | 26 | 27 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | WSW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WSW 8 | W 5 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 9 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | NW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 34 | 26 | 57 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 10 | 24 | 21 | 22 | 25 | 30 | 16 | 15 | 27 | 59 | 56 | 49 | 29 | 21 | 13 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | S 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 9 | SW 12 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | — | S 12 | S 12 | S 18 | S 18 | — | SW 16 | WSW 8 | SW 17 | S 17 |
| kJ | 42 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | — | 10 | 21 | 12 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 12 | W 11 | W 10 | S 13 | — | SW 11 | — | S 18 | — | W 18 | SW 18 | W 12 | — | SW 17 | — |
| kJ | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | 5 | — | 6 | — | 6 | 12 | 3 | — | 12 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 5 | — | W 5 | W 5 | W 4 | — | WSW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NNW 3 | — | NW 2 | NNW 4 | NW 7 | NW 4 | NNW 5 |
| kJ | — | 20 | — | 26 | 16 | 6 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 17 | 103 | 46 | 56 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 40 | 137 | 116 | 166 | 166 | 119 | 176 | 187 | 88 | 74 | 175 | 88 | 74 | 91 | 74 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 288 | 307 | 285 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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