
Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 7s period, W swell with 537 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 2.2m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 12) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Thu 17th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for Freshwater East. To be honest, the outlook over the next 16 days is a real struggle. There’s no proper, rideable surf on the cards here. We’ve got a long, barren stretch with nothing worthwhile to recommend, so don’t get your hopes up.
Freshwater East is a beach and reef setup, but it’s very sheltered and rarely breaks. That’s the core problem. For the entire forecast period, the wave comment flags everything as “poor surf conditions.” The first few days show some small pulses of swell, but it’s never good enough. Friday the 11th might have a 5ft to 5ft swell from the WSW, but the winds are cross-off or offshore at times – that’s the only positive. The combined energy is moderate on the Friday morning at 322, but the waves just aren’t coming together. The water temp on Friday the 11th is a very warm 64°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t freeze waiting.
Saturday the 12th gets messy. An onshore SW breeze hits 22 mph in the afternoon, and the swell jumps to 6ft with a short, weak 7-second period. That’s a junky, blown-out combo. Not worth paddling out. The following week keeps serving up small, weak swells with poor winds. There’s a bump mid-week around Thursday the 17th with a 7ft swell from the west, but again, the period is a short 7 seconds and the wind is offshore WNW at 16 mph. The energy reads 537, which is strong, but that short period makes it fat and unappealing. For beginners, anything over 5ft is starting to get big, and this is purely for experts if you’re bored.
By the second week, it’s a complete write-off. From Monday the 22nd onwards, the swell drops to almost nothing – barely 2ft – with onshore winds. The 16-day window ends with tiny, gutless swells in the 0.3ft to 3ft range. There’s simply no standout day. The only flicker of interest might be Friday the 25th morning when it goes glassy with a 4ft swell from the east, but the period is a terrible 5 seconds and the energy is weak at 71. That’s a flat, bumpy shoreline, not surf.
Given how inconsistent this break is and the sheltered nature, a blank run like this is pretty normal for Freshwater East. Don’t hold your breath; forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing to chase. If you’re desperate for water time, the strong onshore and swell combo on Saturday the 12th might be better for a kite than a paddle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun night, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sat morning, light winds from the WNW by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | W 15 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 6 | W 9 | W 10 | W 5 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
322 | 213 | 119 | 5 | 320 | 349 | 341 | 248 | 146 | 194 | 52 | 146 | 110 | 33 | 95 | 186 | 0 | 0 | 382 | 537 | 320 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 7:19PM8.23m | 7:39AM8.03m | 7:57PM8.31m | 8:15AM8.05m | 8:32PM8.17m | 8:49AM7.88m | 9:06PM7.84m | 9:23AM7.55m | 9:40PM7.36m | 9:56AM7.09m | 10:14PM6.78m | 10:31AM6.54m | 10:51PM6.17m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:14PM0.20m | 1:37AM-0.01m | 1:50PM0.04m | 2:11AM-0.02m | 2:24PM0.08m | 2:43AM0.17m | 2:57PM0.30m | 3:14AM0.51m | 3:29PM0.67m | 3:45AM0.97m | 4:02PM1.16m | 4:17AM1.51m | 4:37PM1.72m | ||||||||
6:46 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | |
— | 7:44 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | — | SW 15 | — | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | SW 12 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 6 | W 9 | — | — | — | — | W 7 |
322 | 213 | 119 | — | 8 | — | 341 | 248 | 146 | 6 | 52 | 146 | 110 | 33 | 95 | 186 | — | — | — | — | 320 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 15 | W 15 | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | S 13 | — | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 11 | W 10 | WSW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 5 | 4 | — | 7 | 7 | 3 | — | 6 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | S 12 | — | S 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | — | — | SW 3 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | — | NW 3 | W 6 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | W 10 | W 5 | W 7 | W 7 | — |
— | — | — | 139 | 320 | 349 | — | — | 3 | 194 | 72 | — | 2 | 62 | 10 | 12 | 230 | 95 | 382 | 537 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 6 | 6 | 108 | 123 | 333 | 219 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 123 | 123 | 99 | 40 | 40 | 56 | 339 | 615 | 366 | 366 | 12 | |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.











