Freshwater east Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's coming up at Freshwater East.

First off, the water is running noticeably warmer than usual for this time of year, sitting at 65°F with a temperature anomaly of 4°F—so you're looking at a solid 4°F above the norm. That's a nice bonus.

Now, the good news: there is a single standout window in this 16-day run, and it's happening right at the start. Monday morning, September 7th, is your best bet. We've got a solid 6ft swell rolling in from the WSW with a 13-second period, which gives it some real push and shape. The combined swell energy is a strong 1644, so there's plenty of power in the water. The wind is offshore from the west at 12 mph, keeping things clean and lined up. This is a beach and reef setup, and it's a beginner-friendly spot, but it rarely breaks, so when it does, you'd better be on it. The catch is that crowds are possible here, so expect some company if you're paddling out.

The afternoon of the same day drops off quickly. The wind swings to a cross-offshore from the WSW at 19 mph, and the surf quality tanks. After that, we enter a long, frustrating stretch.

From Tuesday, September 8th, all the way through to Tuesday, September 22nd, every single session is rated as poor surf conditions. That's a solid two-week gap with nothing worth paddling out for. The swell drops off significantly, with heights ranging from a paltry 0.3ft to 5ft, and the periods are mostly short, around 6 to 10 seconds, lacking any real grunt. The combined swell energy dips into the double digits on many days, which is weak. The wind is often cross-offshore or cross-on, and sometimes onshore, so the face is going to be bumpy or blown out. There's no consistency, and the break is very sheltered, so it's just not getting the juice.

For a few days in the second week, like the 20th, you get a glassy moment in the afternoon with a 4ft swell from the W at 11 seconds, but the energy is still moderate (310) and it's not enough to overcome the overall poor forecast. The long-period swell on the 20th (12 seconds) might offer some shape, but it's coupled with onshore wind earlier in the day, and the consistency just isn't there.

So, to sum it up: if you want a wave, be on the beach Monday morning, September 7th. That's the only real standout. The rest of the sixteen days is a washout. For a spot that rarely breaks, this blank run is more normal for the area, but it doesn't make it any less frustrating.

-Rusty

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