Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 7s period, WSW swell with 675 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 2.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Freshwater east. I gotta be straight with you – this stretch of sand and reef is a very sheltered little nook, and it rarely breaks at the best of times. The next 16 days are a real mixed bag, and honestly, it’s a long wait for anything that’ll get the heart racing.
We kick off on Tuesday, 1st September, and it’s a flat start. The wind is blowin’ cross-off, but the swell is basically non-existent with a combined energy of just 153 (weak). Wednesday the 2nd has a bit more size, with a 6ft swell from the SW, but it’s a short-period 7 second wind swell, and the onshore breeze has it all messy. The energy is moderate (393), but the conditions are poor. Thursday and Friday the 3rd and 4th hold onto some similar, lumpy SW swell in the 5ft to 6ft range, with moderate energy (284 to 365). The wind does turn offshore on Friday, which is a plus, but the wave quality is still described as poor. It’s just not cooperating.
There’s a bit of a gap here from the 5th to the 7th where the swell drops right off – tiny 2ft to 3ft waves with weak energy. You’d be lucky to get a ride.
Now, the first real glimmer comes on Monday the 7th. We’ve got a 3ft to 4ft groundswell rolling in from the W, with a 12-second period on the morning and 11-second in the arvo. The combined energy jumps to 292 on Monday morning and 399 on Monday arvo. The wind is offshore and light – a light breeze, so it’s clean. This is the best of the early run. The waves are small, but long-period, and with that offshore wind, it’ll be lined up. It’s a beginner-friendly size, so it’s a good chance for a longboard or a funboard.
The 8th of September is a write-off with zero energy, then the 9th brings a howling near gale from the SSW. Swell hits 8ft from the W, but with that wind, it’s a total mess. Raw energy is 625 (strong), but you couldn’t paddle out. Skip it.
The second week kicks off with a bit of a promise. Thursday the 10th has clean, offshore winds, but the swell is tiny – 2ft to 3ft from the W and SW. Not enough to get excited about, energy is weak (89-96).
The standout window is Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th. On Friday morning, the 11th, we get a glassy start with a 7ft swell from the WSW. The wind is dead calm – glassy conditions. The combined energy is 487 (moderate). The afternoon gets even better: 8ft from the WSW, with a light offshore breeze and a clean wave face. The energy jumps to 703 (strong). This is solid, pushy size for a beach and reef setup. It’s a bit punchy for beginners at that size, but it’s the best of the whole forecast. The direction is a match for the optimum SW swell direction. This is the one to circle.
Saturday the 12th follows up with a 3ft to 4ft swell from the WSW, but the wind is cross-shore in the morning, turning glassy in the afternoon. The energy is weak (127 to 207), so it’s a smaller, cleaner session after the big day.
The rest of the period from the 13th to the 16th is a write-off. The swell drops to 2ft to 4ft, and the wind is onshore from the east. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no wetsuit surprises.
Overall, it’s a long wait for the real action. The 11th of September is the standout. The 7th is the only other decent option in the first week, but it’s small. Most of the time, this spot is a dud in the forecast window. But when that 8ft, glassy set up on the 11th, it’ll be worth the wait.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu night, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Thu night, calm by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | SW 18 | W 8 | SW 16 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 6 | WSW 8 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
147 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 383 | 344 | 263 | 302 | 675 | 344 | 258 | 135 | 92 | 82 | 64 | 45 | 15 | 22 | 289 | 396 | 294 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:28AM7.69m | 9:46PM7.71m | 10:06AM7.40m | 10:27PM7.29m | 10:49AM6.97m | 11:14PM6.75m | 11:41AM6.44m | 00:15AM6.16m | 12:51PM5.97m | 1:38AM5.75m | 2:24PM5.81m | 3:15AM5.78m | 3:55PM6.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:33PM0.48m | 3:53AM0.63m | 4:10PM0.81m | 4:32AM1.06m | 4:54PM1.27m | 5:20AM1.59m | 5:50PM1.81m | 6:25AM2.13m | 7:12PM2.25m | 8:02AM2.43m | 9:01PM2.28m | 9:44AM2.23m | 10:30PM1.83m | ||||||||
6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | |
— | 8:07 | — | — | 8:05 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:52 | — | |
mm | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 17 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | SW 18 | W 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | — | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 6 | SSW 5 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 10 |
6 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 37 | — | 21 | 20 | 135 | 92 | 82 | 64 | 45 | 15 | 16 | 289 | 396 | 294 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | ESE 3 | WSW 8 | S 12 | S 12 | S 7 |
— | 12 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | W 8 | SE 3 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | 12 | 2 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | SW 6 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | W 8 | — | — | — | — | SE 3 | SE 3 | — | NW 3 | — | — |
147 | 46 | 51 | 144 | 383 | 344 | 263 | 302 | 675 | 344 | 258 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 117 | 137 | 117 | 364 | 339 | 339 | 123 | 339 | 133 | 366 | 366 | 148 | 59 | 123 | 4 | 74 | 72 | 39 | 12 | 6 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.











