Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 20 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, W swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, WSW swell with 456 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 2.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead for Freshwater east. This spot is rarely breaks, and this forecast is really testing that reputation. The whole 16-day run is a long, flat gap with barely a wave worth paddling for, so expectations need to be managed.
For the first week, it's pretty grim. From Sunday the 16th right through to the end of August, the score is a big, fat zero every session. The swell is tiny, barely reaching knee-high at its best, and the swell period is often short and weak. The combined swell energy stays very low, mostly under 100, which tells you it’s just not happening. We see a little bump on the 27th of August, with a 6ft swell from the WSW mixing with some cross-offshore wind, and the energy climbs to 265 (moderate wave energy). But even then, the guidance still flags it as poor surf. It’s just not set up right for this spot.
The very end of the month throws something bigger at us, but it’s a double-edged sword. On Saturday the 29th of August, the afternoon shows a 10ft swell from the SW, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy hits a massive 1343 (very strong wave energy). That’s a lot of juice, but with that much power and a short-period swell, at a beach and reef break that’s very sheltered, it’ll be a washing machine. It's way over 8ft, so it's strictly for experts only, and even then, the quality looks questionable.
There’s no standout option here. No day where you’d paddle out and think, "This is it." The wind is mostly cross-off or offshore, which keeps the surface clean, but with no real swell to work with, it’s just a clean, flat ocean. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing to report there.
Honestly, if you’re desperate to get wet, this setup with that much wind and swell energy on the 29th looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. For the rest of us, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun night, min 15°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Sun night, fresh winds from the WSW by Wed afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed night, light winds from the ENE by Sat morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 8 | SW 16 | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 8 | W 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 7 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 40 | 12 | 11 | 115 | 82 | 119 | 196 | 226 | 416 | 302 | 139 | 79 | 36 | 35 | 14 | 22 | 19 | 31 | 20 | 19 | 20 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:58AM7.47m | 10:16PM7.44m | 10:35AM7.01m | 10:54PM6.84m | 11:13AM6.47m | 11:35PM6.22m | 11:57AM5.92m | 00:24AM5.63m | 12:54PM5.43m | 1:34AM5.19m | 2:18PM5.16m | 3:09AM5.09m | 3:52PM5.29m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:06PM0.70m | 4:27AM0.96m | 4:42PM1.20m | 5:03AM1.50m | 5:21PM1.75m | 5:43AM2.07m | 6:07PM2.30m | 6:35AM2.58m | 7:13PM2.75m | 7:54AM2.93m | 8:51PM2.93m | 9:35AM2.90m | 10:22PM2.70m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | — | 8:38 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:25 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 16 |
Feels °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 8 | SW 16 | W 6 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | W 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 7 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 |
| kJ | 40 | 11 | 11 | 115 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 269 | 139 | 79 | 36 | 35 | 14 | 22 | 19 | 31 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | SW 18 | — | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 1 | 12 | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 21 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 8 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 8 | — | SW 12 | — | — | W 3 |
| kJ | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | — | 6 | — | — | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 6 | WSW 5 | — | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 8 | W 7 | NNW 4 | N 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | N 4 | NNE 3 | NW 5 | N 3 | NNE 2 | — | — |
| kJ | 52 | 31 | 38 | — | 82 | 119 | 196 | 226 | 416 | 302 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 259 | 403 | 424 | 133 | 339 | 284 | 412 | 339 | 270 | 6 | 176 | 37 | 37 | 181 | 229 | 88 | 72 | 74 | 175 | 176 | 14 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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