Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 4s period, E swell with 16 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 0.7m 4s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 4s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's get into it. I've been looking at the charts for Freshwater East, and I've got to be straight with you – it's a pretty quiet stretch ahead. This spot is a very sheltered beach and reef that rarely breaks, so we're already fighting an uphill battle, and the numbers back that up.
Over the next couple of weeks, we're looking at a long, long gap of tiny, weak surf. From now right through the end of July, the swell is barely a whisper. We're talking about wave heights mostly stuck at 0.3 ft or 0.6 ft, with the combined energy of all swells sitting in the low double digits (like 14 to 20) – that's about as weak as it gets. The wind does offer some nice clean windows, especially on the morning of Friday the 17th of July with a glassy 3 mph breeze from the NE, and later on the 23rd of July with another glassy morning. But it's a cruel joke because there's just no wave to surf.
The water temperature is a notable 64°F, which is a full 4° warmer than usual for this time of year – feels like a summer bath, but it's wasted on flat water.
There is one little flicker of hope right at the very end of the period. On Wednesday the 29th of July in the afternoon, the swell finally bumps up to a modest 4 ft from the WSW, with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 160 (moderate wave energy). The wind is a clean cross-off from the WSW at 9 mph. It's a bit short-period, but it's the best we'll see. Even then, it's still rated as "poor surf conditions" for this spot.
Following that, Thursday the 30th of July holds similar 4 ft to 4 ft swell from the WSW, but the wind gets messy on the afternoon with a 22 mph cross-shore whipping up lumpy chop. Friday the 31st of July offers a bit more organised energy with a 3 ft swell from the W at a longer 10-second period, and the combined energy hits 279 (moderate wave energy), but it's morning is cross-shore, and the afternoon brings rain and strong cross-off wind.
Honestly, for a break that rarely breaks, a 16-day window with almost no decent swell is pretty normal. You're better off leaving the board in the car and just enjoying the coastal views for now. If the forecasts shift, I'll be the first to tell you, but right now, there's nothing to recommend.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the N by Sat afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Mon afternoon, light winds from the E by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | SW 7 | SW 7 | SW 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | NE 3 | E 3 | SW 19 | SW 19 | S 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 8:41PM8.23m | 9:06AM7.80m | 9:26PM8.12m | 9:49AM7.58m | 10:10PM7.82m | 10:33AM7.24m | 10:53PM7.36m | 11:17AM6.81m | 11:38PM6.82m | 12:02PM6.34m | 00:26AM6.27m | 12:54PM5.91m | 1:22AM5.79m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:33PM0.23m | 3:02AM0.10m | 3:17PM0.29m | 3:46AM0.28m | 4:00PM0.53m | 4:28AM0.62m | 4:43PM0.90m | 5:11AM1.06m | 5:26PM1.35m | 5:55AM1.55m | 6:13PM1.83m | 6:43AM2.02m | 7:07PM2.25m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:29 | — | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:27 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 16 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | SW 7 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | NW 4 | W 7 | — | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 10 | ESE 3 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 |
| kJ | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 6 | SW 5 | SW 11 | W 8 | NW 4 | W 7 | W 7 | S 18 | SW 18 | W 11 | W 7 | W 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | ESE 3 | SW 15 | NNW 5 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | S 5 | SW 11 | S 10 | SW 19 | SW 19 | W 12 | W 11 | SW 18 | NW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 3 | NNE 3 | N 4 | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NE 3 | E 3 | NW 2 | N 3 | N 3 | NW 3 | N 3 | E 3 | NW 5 | N 3 | N 3 | NNW 4 | N 4 |
| kJ | 3 | 1 | 9 | — | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 166 | 163 | 72 | 259 | 337 | 362 | 394 | 343 | 343 | 175 | 343 | 343 | 354 | 88 | 124 | 176 | 343 | 900 | 336 | 72 | |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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