Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WSW swell with 857 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 12) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you—this stretch at Freshwater East is a tough one. The forecast is serving up a lot of "poor surf conditions" and scores of zero across the board. We've got a 16-day window here, but honestly, this is a blank run, which is more normal for this very sheltered spot. It might struggle to stay poor for this long, but right now, the outlook is bleak.
We start with a bit of swell on Tuesday the 8th of September, with waves pushing 6 ft from the WSW, but a solid 19 mph offshore wind is making things messy despite the clean look. The combined swell energy is moderate at 556, but with the wind and the "poor surf conditions" label, it's not one to get excited about.
That same theme carries through the week. By Wednesday the 9th, the swell drops a touch, and we get a cross-off wind, but the quality just isn't there. Thursday the 10th sees a spike in wind, with a strong 25 mph cross-shore making a mess of things, even though there's a 6 ft, 6-second wind swell on the way (combined energy 289). That's more of a kite-surfing kind of day.
The following week is more of the same. There are pulses of energy—like on the 14th of September, when the combined swell energy reaches 107 for the afternoon—but the size stays under 3 ft and the conditions are just average. We do get a few glassy moments right at the end, on the 19th and 21st of September, with tiny 1 ft to 2 ft waves and no wind. But let's be real, that's flat, not surfable.
Truth is, Freshwater East rarely breaks and is very sheltered. There are simply no standout days here. If you're desperate for a paddle, keep an eye on the forecasts, because they can change, but for now, it's a long wait for anything worth suiting up for.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Wed night, strong winds from the SSW by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 14°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the SW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 6 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 556 | 431 | 65 | 197 | 116 | 67 | 22 | 287 | 798 | 351 | 243 | 119 | 68 | 25 | 422 | 284 | 243 | 140 | 80 | 101 | 68 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:03PM6.76m | 5:34AM6.84m | 5:56PM7.40m | 6:21AM7.39m | 6:40PM7.91m | 7:02AM7.80m | 7:19PM8.23m | 7:39AM8.03m | 7:57PM8.31m | 8:15AM8.05m | 8:32PM8.17m | 8:49AM7.88m | 9:06PM7.84m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:58AM1.68m | 11:31PM1.21m | 11:51AM1.08m | 00:19AM0.64m | 12:35PM0.56m | 1:00AM0.21m | 1:14PM0.20m | 1:37AM-0.01m | 1:50PM0.04m | 2:11AM-0.02m | 2:24PM0.08m | 2:43AM0.17m | 2:57PM0.30m | 3:14AM0.51m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | |  |  | | | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 7:51 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | SW 11 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 11 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | — | SW 13 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 12 | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 556 | 4 | 65 | 197 | 116 | 67 | 22 | 2 | 798 | 351 | 243 | 119 | 68 | 25 | — | 7 | 243 | 140 | 80 | 6 | 68 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 6 | W 13 | W 12 | — | — | — | — | — | W 16 | — | — | — | SW 13 | S 13 | SW 12 | — | S 12 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | 6 | — | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 9 | W 7 | NNW 5 | — | SW 2 | SW 4 | SW 6 | — | — | N 3 | N 3 | SW 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | — | — | SSW 3 | WSW 8 | — |
| kJ | — | 431 | 223 | 18 | — | 1 | 31 | 287 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 177 | 422 | 284 | — | — | 1 | 101 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 51 | 903 | 176 | 6 | 123 | 71 | 330 | 219 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 71 | 354 | 219 | 133 | 354 | 108 | 39 | 166 | 102 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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