Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 20 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, W swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 20 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, W swell with 432 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.6m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this is a tough one for the locals. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for a proper paddle. There's just nothing worth your time. The forecast is basically a long, flat, and messy story.
Let's get the water temp out of the way. When we see the first bit of hope on the 18th, the water is sitting at a very warm 65°, which is a good 4° warmer than normal for this time of year. That's a solid anomaly, making it feel like a bath.
But that's where the good news ends. The whole run is a bust. The only pulse of energy comes on Thursday, the 20th of August. We get a bump of swell from the W, hitting 6 ft in the morning. The combined energy is moderate at 732, but it's junk. The period is only 8 seconds, so it's a weak windswell, and the wind is a messy cross-offshore from the NW. It's just not going to shape up. It's surfable, but it's ordinary. After that, we're looking at a solid week of barely any swell and poor conditions. The energy drops right off into weak numbers in the teens and twenties.
The whole setup at *Freshwater East* is a beach and reef, very sheltered, and it rarely breaks as it is. It's a beginner spot, but with the swell so tiny and the wind so often on it, there's nothing to get excited about. Honestly, with the significant northwest winds and the poor quality of the surf, this stretch looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer if you're desperate for a fix.
The whole second week is just as grim. A few days with a little bit of wind, like the 28th and 29th, but the swell is either too small or the wind is too strong. It's a long, flat, and frustrating outlook. Blank runs like this are pretty normal for this spot, so don't hold your breath.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 9 | SW 16 | WSW 7 | W 8 | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 8 | SSW 15 | WSW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 85 | 115 | 10 | 10 | 336 | 432 | 297 | 106 | 53 | 34 | 24 | 22 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | glassy |
High Tide | 10:54PM6.84m | 11:13AM6.47m | 11:35PM6.22m | 11:57AM5.92m | 00:24AM5.63m | 12:54PM5.43m | 1:34AM5.19m | 2:18PM5.16m | 3:09AM5.09m | 3:52PM5.29m | 4:31AM5.37m | 4:59PM5.73m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:42PM1.20m | 5:03AM1.50m | 5:21PM1.75m | 5:43AM2.07m | 6:07PM2.30m | 6:35AM2.58m | 7:13PM2.75m | 7:54AM2.93m | 8:51PM2.93m | 9:35AM2.90m | 10:22PM2.70m | 10:50AM2.53m | 11:22PM2.24m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  | |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | 8:37 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:23 | — |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 16 |
Feels °C | 15 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | WSW 6 | W 9 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | W 8 | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 11 | 115 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 292 | 297 | 106 | 53 | 34 | 24 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 17 | SW 16 | — | — | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | W 4 |
| kJ | — | 12 | 10 | — | — | 8 | 21 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 8 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 7 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 12 | W 4 | — | — | W 4 | — | SW 14 | SW 13 |
| kJ | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 7 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | — | WSW 6 | W 5 | WSW 7 | W 8 | — | N 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | N 3 | NW 2 | WNW 4 | — | W 4 | — |
| kJ | 85 | — | 52 | 82 | 336 | 432 | — | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 339 | 4 | 158 | 339 | 284 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 37 | 158 | 259 | 229 | 163 | 88 | 158 | 357 | 174 | 339 | 354 | 176 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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