Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period, W swell with 100 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 1.1m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks look pretty grim for this spot. We’re looking at Freshwater East, and honestly, there’s hardly a ripple worth paddling for. The whole 16-day window is a bust, so let’s just get through it.
We start off now, and the first real sign of life doesn’t show up until Sunday the 26th of July. Before that, from Monday the 20th through Saturday the 25th, it’s dead flat. Tiny little waves, like 0.3ft, with weak energy that’s barely registering. The combined swell energy is in the single digits or low teens – a paltry 15 (Monday) dropping to 6 (Saturday). It’s just not happening. The water’s a balmy 65°F right now, which is *much warmer than normal* for this time of year, up by 4°F, but that doesn’t help the surf.
On Sunday the 26th of July, we get a tiny pulse. The morning shows a 3ft swell from the W, with a short period of 6 seconds and weak energy at 63. It’s still clean, but the wind is a cross-off from the NNW (16 mph). It’s surfable, but not worth getting excited about. The rest of that day and the following week are just more of the same – tiny bumps, 0.3ft to 2ft, with periods all over the place, mostly under 10 seconds. The energy is weak, never cracking triple digits. There’s a bit of a pulse on Monday the 3rd of August with a 3ft swell from the W, period at 6 seconds, and energy up to 49, but the wind is a fresh 22 mph offshore from the W, which is clean but the swell is just too weak and short-period to produce anything.
This spot is a very sheltered beach-and-reef setup that rarely breaks, and that’s exactly what we’re seeing. It’s a classic blank run for this area. The only thing that might be worth a look is if you’re a kite surfer. On the 3rd of August, with that 3ft swell and a solid 22 mph offshore wind, the setup is more interesting for a kite than a paddle board. But for a proper surf? Nothing. Keep the board in the car, and check back in a few days – forecasts can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Thu afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 6 | W 6 | S 11 | W 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 12 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 56 | 3 | 43 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:38PM6.82m | 12:02PM6.34m | 00:26AM6.27m | 12:54PM5.91m | 1:22AM5.79m | 1:55PM5.59m | 2:30AM5.49m | 3:08PM5.47m | 3:45AM5.45m | 4:19PM5.60m | 4:51AM5.65m | 5:18PM5.91m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:26PM1.35m | 5:55AM1.55m | 6:13PM1.83m | 6:43AM2.02m | 7:07PM2.25m | 7:40AM2.40m | 8:14PM2.55m | 8:51AM2.61m | 9:31PM2.62m | 10:05AM2.57m | 10:42PM2.44m | 11:08AM2.32m | 11:38PM2.12m | |||||||
 |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |  |  |  |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — |
 | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | — | — | 9:17 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | — | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 12 | WSW 6 | W 6 | S 11 | W 7 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | — | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 56 | 56 | 3 | 43 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | W 11 | W 10 | W 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | NW 5 | — | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | W 8 | SW 11 | S 11 | — | — |
| kJ | 12 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 1 | — | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 11 | SW 18 | W 7 | SW 16 | W 7 | — | — | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | SW 11 | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 1 | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 5 | N 4 | — | NNW 4 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | N 4 | NE 3 | NNW 5 | NNW 2 | — | — | W 3 | WNW 4 | W 5 | — | — | W 6 | — |
| kJ | 2 | 6 | — | 2 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 19 | — | — | 56 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 739 | 343 | 88 | 176 | 201 | 343 | 439 | 343 | 119 | 182 | 403 | 378 | 412 | 367 | 413 | 780 | 366 | 158 | 366 | 366 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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