Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 5s period, E swell with 119 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 1.5m 5s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it for Freshwater East.
Right off the bat, this is a tough outlook to write because the surf just isn't cooperating. We’re looking at a 16-day window and the waves are basically a no-show for most of it. What little swell we do get is weak and messy. The water is sitting at 63°F which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, a nice anomaly of 4°F, so at least a dip won’t be a shock to the system.
The pattern is flat, flat, and then more flat. From the start of the period on Friday the 10th right through to late July, the "poor surf conditions" tag is a constant companion. We see tiny 1-foot swells with periods around 8-9 seconds, meaning barely any energy. The wind is often onshore or cross-onshore, making things even choppier. There is no standout session here, no real hope of a wave worth getting wet for.
Now, if you squint hard, there is a flicker of something on Monday the 21st of July. The morning shows a jump in swell to 5ft from the W. Clean, offshore WNW wind at 12 mph will groom it. This is the only time the numbers don't look completely grim. But with a period of only 6 seconds, it’s a short-period wind swell - fat, lumpy, and not much power behind it. Still, it's the one and only chance for a weak, knee-high wave without the chop.
And then, looking way out to Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th of July, we see a bigger pulse, with swell heights getting up to 5ft to 6ft. The wind looks offshore and clean. The catch? That’s over a week away, and the period is still only 7-9 seconds, so it’s going to be a bit of a bumpy, disorganised wall. For a spot that *rarely breaks* and is very sheltered, this is the best we can hope for, but it's not one to get excited about.
Honestly, for the vast majority of this forecast, you’re better off leaving the board in the car. The wind and tiny swell are just not giving us anything to work with. The 21st is your only real shot, but keep expectations low.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the ENE by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 4 | E 4 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | W 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 59 | 56 | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 73 | 104 | 46 | 50 | 25 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 11 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | off | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:00PM6.25m | 3:34AM6.42m | 4:11PM6.52m | 4:44AM6.70m | 5:16PM6.94m | 5:46AM7.09m | 6:13PM7.42m | 6:42AM7.46m | 7:06PM7.85m | 7:33AM7.74m | 7:55PM8.14m | 8:20AM7.85m | 8:41PM8.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:16PM1.83m | 9:55AM1.67m | 10:30PM1.53m | 11:03AM1.35m | 11:36PM1.11m | 12:03PM0.97m | 00:34AM0.67m | 12:57PM0.60m | 1:27AM0.32m | 1:47PM0.34m | 2:16AM0.12m | 2:33PM0.23m | 3:02AM0.10m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:35 | — | — | 9:35 | — | — | 9:34 | — | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 29 | 27 | 25 | 30 | 25 | 24 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 31 | 27 | 24 | 29 | 28 | 23 | 26 | 24 |
Feels °C | 26 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 28 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 20 | 21 | 27 | 23 | 23 | 28 | 26 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | NNW 5 | W 8 | W 8 | N 6 | SW 19 | SW 19 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | SW 7 | WSW 9 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | W 8 |
| kJ | 59 | 56 | 39 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 8 | ESE 3 | W 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | NW 6 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 6 | WSW 10 | SSW 6 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SSW 6 |
| kJ | 6 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 16 | NW 6 | NW 5 | SW 16 | NW 5 | SW 21 | W 8 | W 9 | W 8 | SW 15 | S 7 | SSW 6 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | NW 5 |
| kJ | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 3 | E 3 | — | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | ESE 3 |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 13 | 14 | 11 | 73 | 104 | 46 | 50 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 11 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 4 | 39 | 88 | 124 | 119 | 343 | 366 | 469 | 366 | 182 | 229 | 333 | 23 | 124 | 124 | 354 | 151 | 146 | 146 | 163 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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