Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period, WSW swell with 405 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 1.9m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on offer around here. The 16-day outlook is a bit of a tough one for Freshwater East. The problem is, every single session in the forecast gets flagged as "poor surf conditions," so I can’t in good conscience point you to a proper standout. You’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak, and often messy surf.
The water temperature is sitting at 66°, which is a notable 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s going to feel a lot more like a summer bath than a typical August dip.
The most promising window looks like the morning of Friday the 28th of August. We’ve got a 7 ft swell from the WSW, with a moderate amount of energy behind it (452), and a fresh offshore wind from the WNW. That’s a clean setup, but given the size, it’s going to be a proper handful – only for the experts. The swell period is only 8 seconds, so it’s a short-period wind swell, not a long, lined-up groundswell.
Before that, there are a few other days with some energy, like the 20th of August with a morning 5 ft swell and fresh offshore winds, but again, the quality is poor. The 25th of August afternoon has a 4 ft swell with a light breeze and clean conditions, but it’s the same story – the swell is short-period and the surf quality is rated as poor.
For the rest of the time, it’s a mix of tiny waves under 3 ft, often with cross-shore or onshore winds, or even glassy conditions with no real swell to speak of. The 29th of August afternoon has a bit of a long-period bump (16 seconds) from the WSW, but it’s a weak 2 ft with only 341 energy, so don’t expect much.
Honestly, for a spot that rarely breaks anyway, this is a pretty blank run. The forecasts can always change, but as it stands, there’s nothing here that’s worth paddling out for. If you’re desperate for a wave, the 28th of August morning is your best bet, but only if you’re a seasoned pro. Otherwise, I’d save the energy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Tue afternoon, fresh winds from the W by Wed afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 5 | W 7 | SW 16 | W 6 | SW 17 | W 8 | SW 16 | WSW 7 | W 8 | W 7 | WSW 9 | W 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 79 | 51 | 26 | 44 | 29 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 37 | 12 | 11 | 91 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 342 | 367 | 178 | 25 | 78 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:22PM8.38m | 8:43AM8.00m | 9:01PM8.27m | 9:21AM7.82m | 9:39PM7.94m | 9:58AM7.47m | 10:16PM7.44m | 10:35AM7.01m | 10:54PM6.84m | 11:13AM6.47m | 11:35PM6.22m | 11:57AM5.92m | 00:24AM5.63m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:39AM-0.05m | 2:53PM0.09m | 3:17AM0.13m | 3:30PM0.32m | 3:52AM0.48m | 4:06PM0.70m | 4:27AM0.96m | 4:42PM1.20m | 5:03AM1.50m | 5:21PM1.75m | 5:43AM2.07m | 6:07PM2.30m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — |
 | 8:45 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:38 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:32 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 20 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 5 | W 7 | SW 16 | W 6 | SW 17 | W 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | W 7 | WSW 9 | W 9 |
| kJ | 79 | 51 | 26 | 44 | 29 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 37 | 9 | 11 | 91 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 178 | 25 | 78 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 13 | W 8 | — | — | — | — | S 18 | W 7 | SW 18 | — | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | — | — | — | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 10 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 1 | 12 | — | 11 | 11 | 12 | — | — | — | 8 | 21 | 19 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 10 | — | — | S 12 | — | — | SW 18 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 14 |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNE 3 | WSW 5 | W 4 | — | W 5 | WSW 5 | — | WSW 6 | W 5 | W 6 | WSW 7 | W 8 | NNW 5 | W 6 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | — | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 8 | — | 20 | 37 | — | 59 | 29 | 132 | 342 | 367 | 36 | 71 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 123 | 176 | 337 | 382 | 187 | 176 | 364 | 166 | 362 | 339 | 424 | 259 | 166 | 224 | 692 | 366 | 431 | 177 | 40 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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