Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WSW swell with 1,540 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab your board, let’s see what’s cookin’ at Freshwater east. This is a real tricky stretch of coast – very sheltered, and the break barely works, so you gotta pick your moments. The next couple weeks are a mixed bag, with a lot of onshore junk, but one or two windows of real promise.
Right off the bat, Thursday the 27th offers a tiny 1 ft southwest swell, but it’s got a short 7-second period and a cross-offshore breeze. It’s clean, sure, but there’s next to no energy (12). Not worth paddling out for, honestly.
Friday the 28th into Saturday the 29th shows the swell building to about 5 ft , but the wind is all over the place – cross-off, then cross-on, bumpy, choppy. The water is running much warmer than usual for the time of year here. It’s a no-go.
We get a little taste of something better on Monday the 31st. The morning brings a 6 ft swell out of the west-southwest, with a 10-second period and *fresh offshore* wind from the northwest. The combined energy hits 731 – that’s solid moderate juice. Clean lines? You bet. The afternoon holds too, with 5 ft and moderate offshore. This is the best you’ll see in this first week. Still, the break is rarely breaking and very sheltered, so don't expect a massive crew, but crowds are possible.
Tuesday the 1st of September it drops off hard, down to 2 ft, then barely a ripple. The next few days are flat or weak until Thursday the 3rd, when a 7 ft southwest swell rolls in with a messy 7-second period and a strong cross-offshore wind. The energy is there (394), but the quality is poor. Too short a period for the shape you want.
Now, here’s the real standout, but you gotta be patient. On Monday the 7th of September, the stars align. The morning shows a 10 ft west swell, a solid 9-second period, and – get this – *glassy, no wind at all*. The combined energy is huge at 1469. This is serious power, over 8 ft, so this is strictly for expert surfers. That big west swell is going to pour in. The water temp anomaly is not given for that day, but the surf will be firing. It breaks as a beach and reef, so those long period swells (over 8 seconds) will hold up. This is the one to circle on the calendar – promising, but long-range, so keep an eye on the charts.
After that, the second week fades into smaller, wind-affected stuff. Tuesday the 8th has some 3 ft leftovers with a clean wind, but not enough grunt. The rest of the week is just poor, messy, and not worth rushing for.
Bottom line: most of this 16-day window is a write-off. The break is inconsistent at the best of times, and this stretch is full of poor surf conditions. But if you’re an expert hungry for power, Monday the 7th of September morning at dawn is your shot – big swell, glassy, all yours. The wait might be worth it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 16°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Thu night, fresh winds from the WNW by Sat afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sun night, light winds from the NNW by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SSW 7 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 7 | WSW 9 | W 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 9 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 6 | W 8 | WSW 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
5 | 135 | 128 | 244 | 373 | 848 | 449 | 465 | 1540 | 1264 | 567 | 271 | 40 | 12 | 10 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 387 | 296 | 627 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:15AM7.26m | 7:30PM7.69m | 7:47AM7.58m | 8:02PM7.94m | 8:19AM7.77m | 8:35PM8.04m | 8:53AM7.81m | 9:10PM7.97m | 9:28AM7.69m | 9:46PM7.71m | 10:06AM7.40m | 10:27PM7.29m | 10:49AM6.97m | 11:14PM6.75m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:24PM0.69m | 1:44AM0.48m | 1:55PM0.42m | 2:15AM0.29m | 2:27PM0.29m | 2:46AM0.24m | 2:59PM0.31m | 3:18AM0.35m | 3:33PM0.48m | 3:53AM0.63m | 4:10PM0.81m | 4:32AM1.06m | 4:54PM1.27m | ||||||||
6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | 8:15 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:05 | — | — | 8:01 | — | |
mm | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 11 | S 11 | — | SW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | — | — | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | — | W 9 | SW 18 | W 8 | WSW 6 | W 8 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — |
5 | 5 | 2 | — | 373 | 848 | 449 | — | — | 1044 | 567 | — | 40 | 12 | 1 | 61 | 10 | — | 21 | 23 | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 18 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 10 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | SW 7 | WSW 9 | W 10 | — | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | — | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 |
154 | 135 | 128 | 244 | — | — | — | 465 | 1540 | 1264 | — | 271 | 61 | 78 | 104 | — | 37 | 125 | 387 | 296 | 627 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 166 | 166 | 320 | 163 | 119 | 339 | 0 | 81 | 367 | 133 | 12 | 133 | 81 | 284 | 129 | 39 | 102 | 334 | 367 | 403 | 339 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.











