Freshwater east Surf Break

Lat Long: 51.64° N 4.86° W

Freshwater east Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 31 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Freshwater east sea temperature is
18.8°C
2.6° 

Freshwater east surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Freshwater east surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, WSW swell with 959 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:

The surf forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 2.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Mon 31st Aug)7ft (2.1m) 10s
Best Surf 4PM (Mon 31st Aug)7ft (2.1m) 10s
Most Powerful 7AM (Mon 31st Aug)8ft (2.4m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, crew, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Freshwater East. I’m not gonna lie to you, this is a tough stretch. The forecast is pretty grim for a solid run, so let’s be real about it.

First thing to note: Freshwater East is a very sheltered spot, and it rarely breaks. That means we need everything to line up perfectly, and unfortunately, that’s just not happening for most of this 16-day window. The water temp is sitting around average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We kick off on Monday, August 31st. Now, this is the only time in the whole run that’s worth paddling out, and even then, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. Monday morning we’ve got a solid 7ft swell from the WSW, with a period of 10 seconds, and a fresh offshore wind from the NW. That’s clean, but the combined energy is moderate (821). The afternoon holds up at 7ft, clean with a moderate offshore breeze. This is the standout. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best we’ve got. Keep in mind, this break can get crowded sometimes, so don’t expect to have it to yourself.

After Monday, it all goes pear-shaped. From Tuesday, September 1st, right through to the end of the forecast on September 15th, every single session is rated as poor surf conditions. The swell drops off a cliff, the winds get messy, and the energy just disappears. There are a few days with some size – like the 7ft on Wednesday, September 2nd, or the 7ft on Tuesday, September 8th – but the wind is cross or cross-off, and the quality is just not there. The period is short, especially on the 2nd (7 seconds), so it’s all lumpy, choppy junk.

We’ve got a real dry spell here. From the 1st of September onwards, there’s nothing to recommend. The 2ft days on the 6th are barely a ripple, and the energy drops to two-digit numbers, like 72 or 58. That’s weak. Later in the window, we get a long-period 15-second swell on the 7th, but it’s only 1ft – that’s a ghost swell. And by the 12th, it’s all onshore wind from the ESE, making it a complete write-off for surfing.

So, to be straight with you: Monday, August 31st is your only real shot. It’s a brief window, so if you’re keen, you’ve got to be there early. After that, it’s a long, blank run. This kind of stretch isn’t unusual for a sheltered spot like Freshwater East – it’s just the way it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, but right now, the outlook is looking pretty bleak.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the charts.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 15°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed night, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Thu night, light winds from the W by Sat afternoon).

Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
WSW
10
2.1
WSW
10
1.4
WSW
10
0.9
WSW
9
1
WSW
8
0.3
W
8
2
WSW
7
1.9
WSW
8
2
WSW
8
1.7
WSW
8
1.5
WSW
8
1.6
WSW
7
1.6
WSW
7
1.9
WSW
7
1.7
W
7
1.3
W
7
0.9
WSW
6
0.6
WSW
7
0.6
WSW
9
0.6
WSW
9
0.6
WSW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
821
768
334
137
136
11
372
400
439
348
291
237
254
342
311
148
68
41
64
52
32
Wind (km/h)
35
NW
25
WNW
20
W
20
SW
20
WSW
20
SW
35
SSW
30
WSW
25
WSW
25
WSW
30
SW
35
W
35
W
35
W
30
NW
15
NW
15
WNW
5
SSE
20
S
15
S
20
SSW
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
High Tide
8:53AM7.81m
9:10PM7.97m
9:28AM7.69m
9:46PM7.71m
10:06AM7.40m
10:27PM7.29m
10:49AM6.97m
11:14PM6.75m
11:41AM6.44m
00:15AM6.16m
12:51PM5.97m
1:38AM5.75m
2:24PM5.81m
3:15AM5.78m
Low Tide
2:59PM0.31m
3:18AM0.35m
3:33PM0.48m
3:53AM0.63m
4:10PM0.81m
4:32AM1.06m
4:54PM1.27m
5:20AM1.59m
5:50PM1.81m
6:25AM2.13m
7:12PM2.25m
8:02AM2.43m
9:01PM2.28m
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:28
6:30
6:31
6:33
6:35
6:37
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:08
8:07
8:05
8:01
8:00
7:58
7:55
 mm
1
3
4
Temp °C
15
16
16
17
18
17
19
18
19
19
19
19
16
17
16
15
15
14
15
17
17
Feels °C
9
11
12
14
15
15
15
14
17
16
15
14
9
10
9
12
12
14
12
15
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.

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