Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 4s period, E swell with 31 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 0.9m 4s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 4s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, let's talk about Freshwater East. I've got to be straight with you: the next two weeks are a tough watch. We're looking at a long stretch of barely-there surf, and I mean a proper drought. The first wave worth even a second look doesn't show up until Saturday the 25th of July, so we're talking about a gap of nearly two weeks of flat, unridable conditions. The guidance is clear: this spot rarely breaks, and the coming days are proving that out.
The water is currently sitting at 64°, which is a good 5° warmer than usual for this time of year. That's a real anomaly, a proper warm spell, but it's not going to help us get wet.
The first sign of life comes on the afternoon of Saturday the 25th. The swell bumps up to 4 ft at 11 seconds from the west, with a combined energy of 310. That's a solid, moderate pulse. The wind is offshore from the west at 19 mph, which is a huge plus. It'll be clean. But this is a beginner-friendly, very sheltered beach and reef break. With the swell at 4 ft, it's on the bigger side for what works here, but it's the only game in town. Don't expect a classic, long-period groundswell; that 11-second period is decent, but for a spot this sheltered, it's a start.
The energy drops off quickly after that. Sunday the 26th has a 3 ft swell from the west, but the wind is a messy cross-shore from the south-southwest at 12 mph, making for a chop. The energy is still moderate (182), but the conditions are just not there. The afternoon is a bit smaller (3 ft) and still cross-shore. By Monday the 27th, the swell is 3 ft, but the wind is cross-offshore from the west-southwest, and it's clean. The combined energy is 104, so it's on the lower end of moderate. The period is down to 8 seconds, so it's a weaker, short-period wind swell.
Truth is, if you're desperate for a paddle, the afternoon of the 25th is your best bet for a clean, wobbly, small wave. The rest of this outlook is a waiting game. For a spot that's this inconsistent, a blank run like this is just how it goes. The forecasts can change, but you'd need a miracle right now.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Mon morning, calm by Wed morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 17°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Thu afternoon, calm by Sat morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 5 | E 5 | E 4 | E 4 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 7 | SW 7 | SW 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 9 | SW 19 | SW 19 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 42 | 27 | 31 | 12 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 15 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-on | cross-on | off | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | on | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:13PM7.42m | 6:42AM7.46m | 7:06PM7.85m | 7:33AM7.74m | 7:55PM8.14m | 8:20AM7.85m | 8:41PM8.23m | 9:06AM7.80m | 9:26PM8.12m | 9:49AM7.58m | 10:10PM7.82m | 10:33AM7.24m | 10:53PM7.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:03PM0.97m | 00:34AM0.67m | 12:57PM0.60m | 1:27AM0.32m | 1:47PM0.34m | 2:16AM0.12m | 2:33PM0.23m | 3:02AM0.10m | 3:17PM0.29m | 3:46AM0.28m | 4:00PM0.53m | 4:28AM0.62m | 4:43PM0.90m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:29 | — | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:27 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 26 | 25 | 22 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 20 |
Feels °C | 18 | 25 | 20 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 21 | 19 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 19 | NNW 7 | W 11 | ESE 3 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | E 3 | SW 7 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 7 | W 8 |
| kJ | 15 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | W 12 | SW 18 | WSW 11 | NNW 6 | SSW 7 | E 3 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 5 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 19 |
| kJ | 8 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 8 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 6 | SW 16 | SSW 7 | NW 4 | SW 14 | SSW 6 | SW 15 | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 5 | SW 19 | — |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 8 | — | 6 | 7 | — | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 5 | E 5 | E 4 | E 4 | — | E 4 | E 4 | NE 3 | — | E 3 | — | NW 4 | ESE 2 | — | NNW 3 | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 42 | 27 | 31 | 10 | — | 13 | 10 | 3 | — | 5 | — | 8 | 1 | — | 4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 378 | 163 | 124 | 14 | 119 | 119 | 124 | 88 | 286 | 259 | 168 | 88 | 124 | 751 | 343 | 343 | 439 | 409 | 409 | 438 | 343 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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