Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, WSW swell with 96 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 0.8m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for Freshwater east.
Truth is, mate, this stretch of the coast is having a shocker. The whole 16-day window is a flat, quiet affair. There’s not a single standout session in the lot. We’re looking at a long dry spell with no real surf on offer, so you’d be better off waxing a sandwich than your board for a while.
Right from the start, Friday the 31st of July, we’ve got a tiny 0.3ft swell from the west with a long period of 9 seconds, but the combined energy is only 4—that’s barely a ripple. The wind is off the land from the WNW, which would normally be clean, but there’s nothing to ride. The pattern just keeps going. Saturday the 1st of August sees a bump to 1ft, energy hitting 49, still poor. Sunday the 2nd drops back to 1ft, but the wind turns onshore, so it’s messy.
The biggest swell we see all fortnight is on Wednesday the 5th of August, hitting 3ft from the southwest with a short period of 6 seconds and energy of 81. Still, the wave comment says “poor surf conditions.” The wind is light offshore from the west in the afternoon, so it’s clean, but the swell is weak and short—more of a straight-line bump than a wave. Not enough to get excited about.
Things flatline even more after that. By the 10th of August, we’re down to 0.7ft again, and the energy is just 6. The last few days of the forecast show 0.3ft to 1.0ft with energy in the teens or single digits. The water temp is about average for the time of year, but that won’t help because there’s no surf.
Freshwater east is a very sheltered spot that rarely breaks, and this forecast proves it. If you’re a beginner, don’t bother—when the swell is over 5ft it’s too big, but we never even get close. For the experts, there’s nothing to paddle for. It’s just a blank run. Forecasts can change, but right now, this is one of those times where the ocean says “not today.”
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 15°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | SW 7 | SW 7 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 27 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 59 | 86 | 96 | 59 | 28 | 27 | 39 | 75 | 72 | 51 | 22 | 16 | 8 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | off | cross | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:13AM7.20m | 8:30PM7.57m | 8:47AM7.32m | 9:03PM7.64m | 9:20AM7.34m | 9:37PM7.60m | 9:56AM7.26m | 10:13PM7.43m | 10:34AM7.07m | 10:53PM7.15m | 11:16AM6.79m | 11:40PM6.77m | 12:08PM6.43m | 00:37AM6.36m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:22PM0.78m | 2:44AM0.70m | 2:54PM0.70m | 3:16AM0.67m | 3:26PM0.72m | 3:48AM0.73m | 4:00PM0.85m | 4:23AM0.90m | 4:37PM1.07m | 5:02AM1.17m | 5:21PM1.38m | 5:50AM1.53m | 6:15PM1.75m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  |  | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:39 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:05 | — | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:01 | — | — | 9:00 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 14 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 17 |
Feels °C | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 11 | W 5 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | SW 7 | SW 7 | SW 13 | W 10 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 27 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 59 | 86 | 96 | 59 | 28 | 27 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 51 | 22 | 16 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 10 | — | W 4 | — | WSW 9 | — | — | ESE 3 | — | W 9 | WSW 9 | W 8 | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 |
| kJ | 2 | 3 | 10 | 31 | — | 1 | — | 7 | — | — | 1 | — | 7 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | S 14 | — | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | 4 | — | — | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | — | W 4 | — | — | NE 2 | — | ESE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 7 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 16 | 18 | 20 | — | 6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 75 | 72 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 187 | 405 | 368 | 176 | 187 | 175 | 182 | 182 | 14 | 39 | 166 | 14 | 72 | 39 | 29 | 23 | 26 | 4 | 343 | 754 | 182 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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