Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater east surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, W swell with 210 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater east this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater east in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater east over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I’ve gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough run. We’re looking at a long, quiet stretch with barely a ripple. For the first few days, starting Wednesday July 22 through to the end of July, the water’s flat. We’re talking tiny 0.3ft lines rolling in from the southwest with next to no energy. The wind is a mixed bag, sometimes cross-off, sometimes cross, but it doesn’t matter when there’s nothing to ride. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a solid 4° above average.
Then, around Sunday July 26, things try to wake up. We get a jump to 5ft from the west, but it’s a short-period windswell at just 7 seconds, and the combined energy climbs to 197 (moderate). The wind is offshore, so it’ll be clean, but the quality is poor. The swell direction is west, which isn’t ideal for Freshwater East – this spot is very sheltered and prefers a bit more southwest in the mix. It’s a rare-break setup anyway, so don’t get your hopes up.
The real blip comes later. From Saturday August 1 through Monday August 3, we see a more notable pulse. Swell heights push into the 4ft to 5ft range, with periods hitting 8 to 9 seconds, and the combined energy jumps into the 200s and 300s – strong wave energy. The best of it looks like the Saturday morning (August 1) with 4ft from the west-southwest, 9-second period, and clean cross-off winds. The afternoon is similar. This is the standout window, but it’s a week and a half away, so treat it as promising but not locked in. The wind stays moderate, and the break is inconsistent, so you’ll need patience.
The rest of the first week of August is a mix of choppy cross-on conditions and cleaner cross-off sets, but the swell direction is often off the optimum. The water temp info drops off after that first day, so I can’t tell you much more there.
Overall, if you’re desperate for a paddle, the August 1 weekend is your best bet. It’s not epic, but it’s the only real movement in the 16-day window. The rest of the time, the board stays on the rack.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun morning, light winds from the NW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 6 | WSW 5 | W 12 | W 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 165 | 192 | 189 | 68 | 56 | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:54PM5.91m | 1:22AM5.79m | 1:55PM5.59m | 2:30AM5.49m | 3:08PM5.47m | 3:45AM5.45m | 4:19PM5.60m | 4:51AM5.65m | 5:18PM5.91m | 5:43AM5.98m | 6:05PM6.31m | 6:26AM6.35m | 6:46PM6.72m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:07PM2.25m | 7:40AM2.40m | 8:14PM2.55m | 8:51AM2.61m | 9:31PM2.62m | 10:05AM2.57m | 10:42PM2.44m | 11:08AM2.32m | 11:38PM2.12m | 11:58AM1.96m | 00:24AM1.74m | 12:39PM1.59m | 1:03AM1.38m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | 5:26 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | — | — | 9:17 | — | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:15 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 18 |
Feels °C | 13 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | NW 5 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 12 | S 12 | SW 11 | — | W 6 | WSW 6 | W 8 | W 6 | WSW 5 | W 8 | W 8 |
| kJ | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | — | 68 | 56 | 6 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | NW 4 | W 8 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | — | W 9 | W 7 | — | W 11 |
| kJ | 10 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SW 13 | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | W 12 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | — | 7 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 3 | NNW 3 | N 4 | NNE 3 | — | NNW 2 | — | WNW 2 | — | WNW 4 | W 4 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | NNW 3 | — | WSW 6 | — | — | WSW 5 | W 5 |
| kJ | 8 | 6 | 13 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 40 | 165 | 192 | 189 | 1 | — | 29 | — | — | 13 | 25 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 378 | 439 | 343 | 119 | 426 | 404 | 388 | 1663 | 367 | 354 | 354 | 626 | 366 | 772 | 39 | 123 | 354 | 166 | 176 | 187 | 176 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater east Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater east provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater east can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater east surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater east) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater east may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater east, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 5 km (3 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 12 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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