Flagler Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be real with you. The next couple of weeks around Flagler Pier are looking pretty flat and sad for the most part. We've got a long stretch of nothing happening, but there’s a little glimmer of hope way out at the end of the forecast window. Hang in there.

Right off the bat, the water's a warm 85° which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so at least it'll feel nice while you're sitting out there wondering where the waves are.

The first week is a total write-off. Through the 26th, we're talking ankle-biters. Swell heights are mostly 0.6ft to 1ft with a weak ESE windswell. The energy is pitiful, with values in the low teens and 20s and 30s (like 11, 14, 29). It's not even worth paddling out for. Sure, there are some glassy mornings, like the 14th and 16th, but with nothing to push you around, it's just a flat, pretty ocean. Even the cross-off breezes on the 17th and 18th mornings can't make something out of nothing. Some afternoons get a bit of a cross-chop, but honestly, it doesn't matter when there's no swell.

The second week stays pretty grim for the most part. Still mostly small and weak with that same ESE pattern. A couple of afternoons, like the 22nd, see the energy bump up to a moderate 107, and the swell pushes to 2ft, but the SE cross-wind will chop it up. Not worth a paddling, that's more of a kite-surfing breeze if you ask me.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. Looking way out to the end of the period, around the 27th and 28th, there's a change. It's still small, but we start seeing some real energy in the water.

On the morning of the 27th, the period jumps to 13 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, even if the height is only 1ft. The wind is light offshore from the SW, so the conditions are clean. The energy is still weak, at 66, but it's a start. The afternoon picks up a bit more with a 2ft E swell and 105 energy, but the southerly breeze picks up.

The Friday the 28th is the real standout of this whole forecast. The morning sees a 3ft E swell with an 11-second period and a solid 160 energy reading. The WSW cross-off wind keeps it clean. It’s going to be a bit soft, but there will be a few rides to be had. The afternoon is even better. The swell pushes to 3ft from the E with a 12-second period, and the combined energy jumps to a solid 217. The wind stays WSW at 9 mph, clean and cross-off. This is your best bet of the whole two weeks. It won't be big, but it'll be the most organized and rideable surf we've had.

The 29th looks promising in the morning with a 4ft E swell and a huge energy jump to 446. But, and this is a big but, the period drops to 12 seconds and the wind turns NW cross-shore, which can make it a bit tricky. It's still got a lot of push. The afternoon looks like it gets chopped by a moderate SE cross-breeze.

So, there you have it. A whole lot of nothing, then a promising couple of days around the 27th and 28th. It’s a long way out, so don’t book the day off work just yet, but that Friday the 28th is looking like the one to keep an eye on.

This is Rusty, signing off. Keep your eyes on the horizon.

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