Flagler Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's cut through the data and talk about what's actually going to get us wet. The 16-day window is a mixed bag, but there's some serious potential brewing if you're patient.

Right now, looking at Flagler Pier, it's a frustrating stretch of flat and messy conditions. We’ve got a good 13 days of nothing worthwhile on the cards. The few tiny pulses of swell, like around 1ft to 2ft, are getting chopped up by onshore or cross-shore winds, making it a total write-off. The water temp is sitting at a balmy 83°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so at least it's warm out there.

There are glimmers of hope earlier on. Take a look at Sunday, September 13th morning – the wind goes dead calm, glassy as a mirror, with a 2ft, 9-second swell pushing in from the east. The combined energy is weak (41), so it's not big, but that glassy surface will make it look a million bucks for a quick log session. Also, the morning of Monday, September 14th is the same story – glassy conditions with a tiny 2ft easterly. These are the only real clean windows in the first week, but the swell is just too small to get excited about.

If you've got the patience of a saint, the real story is the big shift late in the second week. Around Wednesday, September 23rd, we see a significant uptick. Morning brings a clean 7ft swell from the east-northeast (9 seconds) with a cross-offshore breeze, and the combined energy jumps to a solid moderate 644. The afternoon cleans up even more with a 7ft swell and a light cross-offshore from the west-southwest. The wave energy is ramping up to 686. This is where it starts getting interesting for intermediate surfers.

But the standout, the one to circle on your calendar, is Friday, September 25th. The morning session is the absolute pick of the entire forecast. We're looking at a 8ft easterly swell with an 8-second period, and the wind is dead calm – absolutely glassy. The combined energy is pumping at 804 (moderate to strong). This is going to be big, clean, and powerful. However, a word of caution: the afternoon forecast calls for the swell to hit 10ft. At that size, combined with an onshore breeze, it's going to be a washing machine and strictly for experts only. The morning of the 25th is your window. It will be big, so paddle out fit.

So, to sum it up: the first two weeks are mostly a bust with a couple of small, glassy windows. The real prize is the last few days, specifically the morning of Friday, September 25th at Flagler Pier. Get on it.

Rusty

Read more