Flagler Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey there, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's coming up for Flagler Pier over the next couple of weeks. I've got to be straight with you – it's going to be a real lean run for a good while. The forecast shows a long stretch of nothing special, so don't be in a rush to wax up just yet.

We kick off on Friday, July 10th, but it's not exactly firing. We're looking at tiny, weak swell at 2 ft coming from the east with a short period of 8 seconds. The wave energy is super weak at just 40, and the cross-off wind from the SSE at 6 mph won't do much to help. It's a "poor surf conditions" call, and honestly, it's a 0 out of 10. Saturday and Sunday don't offer any improvement either – we see similar knee-high dribble and a mix of glassy moments being wasted on basically no swell. For a beach/pier setup like this, you're better off finding something else to do.

The whole first week is pretty much a write-off. The swell stays tiny, rarely breaking 2 ft, and the period is consistently short, under 8 seconds. Wind is mostly cross or cross-on, adding chop to an already flat picture. There's a couple of glassy mornings on the 11th and 12th, but with swell at just 1 ft to 1 ft and energy around 18-22, it's flat calm in the worst way. The water temp on the 10th morning was running at 84°F, which is about average for this time of year at Flagler Pier, so at least a dip is comfortable.

We finally see a glimmer on Wednesday, July 22nd. The afternoon shows a bump to 2 ft from the ESE, still with an 8-second period, but the combined energy ticks up to 70, and we get a clean cross-off breeze at 6 mph. The call is "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," scoring a 1 out of 10. It's not great, but it's the first thing resembling a wave in nearly two weeks. Thursday afternoon the 23rd gets a similar 3 ft from the SE, but with a really short 5-second period, and an offshore wind from the SSW at 9 mph cleaning it up. Energy is only 50.

The only real standout in this whole outlook comes on Saturday, July 25th, in the morning. Swell bumps up to 3 ft from the SE, period at 8 seconds, and the combined energy finally cracks into the triple digits at 103 – that's the first moderate energy we've seen. Winds are cross-off from the SSE at 9 mph, keeping things clean. The call is still just "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" with a score of 1, but it's the pick of a very sorry bunch. Still, with these small, weak swells and mostly short periods, it's going to be a frustrating wait. The afternoon of the 25th falls apart with a fresh 19 mph cross-shore wind messing everything up.

So here's the bottom line: nothing worth paddling out for until at least Wednesday the 22nd, and even then, keep your expectations on the floor. Saturday morning the 25th is the most promising, but it's a long way off and still very marginal. For this stretch, it might actually be more interesting to look at kite surfing than trying to get a surfboard going. Forecasts can change, but right now, it's a waiting game.

Rusty

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