Flagler Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I’ve got to be honest with you: this is a tough run. The forecast for Flagler Pier is looking pretty flat and uninspiring for the vast majority of the next 16 days. We’re starting with a long stretch of barely-there swell, and it’s not until the very end of the period that we see a glimmer of something rideable. For the first week, from Monday the 13th right through to Saturday the 25th of July, the charts are a wasteland. We’re talking about a solid 11 days where the swell is almost non-existent, and the wave comment is stuck on “poor surf conditions.” You’d be wrestling a longboard for ankle-biters, if that.

The water temp is sitting at a warm 83°, which is about average for the time of year, so at least the paddle won’t be a shock.

Now, if you’re patient, there’s a small window of hope. Come Sunday the 26th of July, we finally see a slight change. The morning shows a little bump of 2ft from the east, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is a weak 53 (moderate energy), so it’s still small, but the wind is a gentle offshore from the SW. That clean, glassy look will make those tiny waves look a lot better than they are. The model calls it “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” which is pretty much the definition of making the best of a bad situation. It’s the only day in the entire run that gets a non-zero score, so that’s your best bet if you’re desperate.

The standout moment, if you want to call it that, is the Sunday morning session at Flagler Pier. The swell is a tiny 2ft from the east, so you’ll need a log, but the wind is light and offshore, making it clean. The crowds here are “often,” so expect to share the peak with the other die-hards.

For the rest of the run, the winds are mostly offshore or cross-offshore, which is a tease because there’s just no energy to work with. The swell is tiny, the period is short, and it’s all just a flat spell. A few days later, on the 25th, we get a similar 2ft east swell with clean offshore wind, but the energy is still in the moderate range. It’s the same story: small, but clean.

So, the call is: keep your expectations on the floor. If you’ve got to paddle, Sunday the 26th of July morning is your only real chance to get a squeaky-clean ride on a tiny wave at Flagler Pier. Otherwise, the next two weeks are a write-off. Hang tight, forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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