Flagler Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. It’s a tough stretch ahead for Flagler Pier. Looking at the charts, we’re in a flat spell for the next couple of weeks. There’s no real swell on the horizon worth getting excited about. The waves that do show are small, weak, and messy for the most part. A few mornings will look clean when the wind drops, but the wave height is tiny. The first real chance of anything surfable comes on the morning of July 23rd, and even then, it’s a long shot.

For the mornings of July 8th and 9th, you’ll see clean conditions with light offshore winds from the SW and WSW, but the swell is a measly 1 foot from the ESE with a period of 9 seconds. The combined wave energy is weak. It’s basically a lake out there. Don’t bother paddling out unless you just want to sit on your board.

Thursday afternoon (July 9th) the wind goes onshore from the SE at 18 mph, chopping up that tiny 2-foot swell. It’s a no-go. Friday and Saturday (July 10th-11th) follow the same pattern: tiny ESE swell mixing with cross-shore winds. The water temperature is sitting at a warm 84°, about average for this time of year.

We have a long gap here. From July 12th all the way through to the morning of July 23rd, the surf is consistently poor. The swell barely moves above 2 feet and the period is short (mostly 8 seconds). There are mornings with clean, glassy conditions or light offshore winds, like on July 14th, 17th, 18th, and 19th, but the swell energy is rock bottom. It’s just not enough to push a decent wave. These are strictly beginner-level conditions at best.

The only hint of something better is on the morning of July 23rd. We see a little spike in swell height to 3 feet from the SE, but the period drops right off to a weak 5 seconds. That’s short-period windswell, which isn’t going to produce much shape. The winds are light from the SSE, so it’ll be clean-looking, but it’s still just “ordinary conditions.” The energy is still low. For a break like Flagler Pier, an exposed beach/pier setup, that small short-period swell isn’t going to give you much. The afternoon looks messy again with cross-shore wind.

So, if I had to pick a standout, and I’m really scraping the barrel here, it’s that Thursday morning, July 23rd. It’s the only period where the swell height breaks 2 feet. But don’t get your hopes up. The optimum swell direction for this spot is NE, and this is coming from the SE. It’s a poor match. The water is still warm.

For the rest of the outlook, through to July 23rd, it’s a long blank run. That’s just how this area is sometimes – small, inconsistent summer conditions. Nothing to get emotional about, just a waiting game. Forecasts can always change, but right now, it’s a case of leaving the board in the car.

Rusty.

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