Flagler Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on offer for the Flagler Pier stretch over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, we’re looking at a pretty flat and quiet run ahead. The surf is going to be small and mostly weak for the foreseeable future. We’ve got a long stretch of days with nothing really worth paddling out for, so don’t get your hopes up too high. The first week is a real struggle, with the swell barely getting a pulse.

Tuesday, August 11th kicks things off with a tiny 1 ft ESE swell, but it’s got no push at all with a short 7-second period. The combined energy is a measly 20, so it’s dead flat. Morning is glassy, but with a risk of thunderstorms, it’s not a great trade-off. The rest of the week through to the next weekend is the same story: ankle-snappers around 1.0 ft to 1 ft from the ESE, with periods in the 6-8 second range. The energy levels are pitiful, mostly in the 10-46 range. There’s a few clean pockets like Thursday morning and Friday morning with light offshore or glassy conditions, but there’s no wave to surf. The water temperature is sitting at 82°, which is about normal for this time of year, so at least the water’s warm.

We finally see a little bump in the energy around Wednesday, August 19th. The swell ticks up to 2 ft from the E, but the period jumps to 13 seconds. That’s a longer period groundswell, and the combined energy hits 111, which is moderate. It’s still small, but the longer period might give it a bit more shape. The morning is clean with a light cross-shore from the NW. That’s probably the best we’ll see all week, but it’s still a marginal wave. Thursday, August 20th, holds similar 2 ft E swell with a 10-11 second period, but the wind is onshore from the NE, so it’ll be a bit bumpy. The energy drops back to 85-75, so it’s not a stand-out.

After that, it’s back to the same small, weak stuff through the end of the forecast period. Saturday, August 22nd, through Monday, August 24th, is all 1 ft to 2 ft ESE swell with short periods and onshore or cross-onshore winds. The energy stays low, in the 20-40 range. The only real change is on Monday, August 24th, when we get a 0.7 ft short-period SE swell with a 5-second period and a fresh cross-shore breeze at 19 mph. The setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, the takeaway? The 16-day window is a dud. There’s nothing that qualifies as a true standout. The best chance for a surf will be Wednesday morning, August 19th, when the longer period E swell arrives with clean winds. It’s still tiny, but it’s the only time the energy breaks into triple digits. For the rest of the run, you’re better off doing something else.

Rusty.

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