
Surf Forecasts:
Flagler Pier surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 22 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 5s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period, ENE swell with 325 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 22 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 5s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flagler Pier this week:
The surf forecast for Flagler Pier over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 22) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flagler Pier in the next 16 days are 1.8m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 22) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 22nd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Tue 22nd Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 5s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flagler Pier over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. We’re looking at Flagler Pier for the next couple of weeks, and I’m going to level with you: this stretch of beach is in a bit of a slumber for the bulk of the period. There’s a big, quiet gap at the start, so let’s get into it.
The first part of the outlook is a long stretch of disappointment. From Wednesday the 16th all the way through to early Monday the 28th, we’re looking at a serious dry spell. There’s a solid week and a half where the waves are mostly tiny or just plain messy. The water’s sitting at a warm 84°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, with speeds of 9 to 15 mph, and the swell energy is weak to moderate at best. For most of that time, the combined energy sits between 22 and 200 (weak to moderate energy), with swell heights barely cracking 3 ft and a short period of 4 to 7 seconds. There are a few glassy moments—like on Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd mornings with slight air—but the swell is under 2 ft. You’d be better off with a longboard and no expectations, or frankly, just skipping it.
Right when it looks like we might be heading into a total washout, things perk up in the last few days. The standout window—and the only real reason to get excited—hits around the 28th of September. Monday the 28th morning shows a jump to a 6 ft swell out of the SE, with the combined energy roaring up to 749 (strong wave energy). Now, 6 ft is getting a bit lumpy for beginners, but for the intermediate crew, that’s fun. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze at 12 mph, keeping conditions clean. That afternoon, the swell drops back a touch to 4 ft from the SE, but the wind swings to a gentle offshore out of the SSW at 9 mph, making for some genuinely clean, lined-up waves at Flagler Pier. Monday is your best bet.
Tuesday the 29th keeps the run going with a 5 ft swell from the SE and combined energy of 342-374 (moderate to strong energy). The wind is cross-off again, and by the afternoon it lightens up out of the west, staying clean. It’s not as punchy as Monday but still solid.
After that, Wednesday the 30th fades quickly—the swell drops to 2 ft, and while the wind goes glassy in the afternoon, it’s just too small to get excited about. By Thursday the 1st of October, we’re back to tiny and cross-onshore, so that’s your lot for the window.
To sum it up: Flagler Pier is a desert for the first 11 days. Hold out for Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th of September, when a proper SE groundswell arrives with clean, offshore wind. Monday morning is the biggest but a pinch rough for beginners; Monday afternoon is the sweet spot for intermediates. Come Tuesday it’s still worth a paddle. After that, it’s a wrap.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Warm (max 28°C on Wed morning, min 26°C on Fri morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Warm (max 29°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | Tuesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | E 7 | NE 7 | ENE 5 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
183 | 145 | 229 | 188 | 178 | 188 | 121 | 93 | 51 | 29 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 14 | 22 | 23 | 33 | 100 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:23PM1.52m | 00:37AM1.21m | 1:13PM1.46m | 1:28AM1.16m | 2:07PM1.41m | 2:24AM1.12m | 3:03PM1.39m | 3:23AM1.13m | 3:59PM1.40m | 4:20AM1.17m | 4:51PM1.42m | 5:13AM1.24m | 5:39PM1.47m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:49PM0.39m | 6:41AM0.34m | 7:46PM0.45m | 7:35AM0.40m | 8:47PM0.49m | 8:35AM0.43m | 9:47PM0.49m | 9:36AM0.44m | 10:41PM0.46m | 10:33AM0.41m | 11:27PM0.42m | 11:25AM0.37m | 00:07AM0.36m | ||||||||
7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | |
— | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:23 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 33 | 31 | 30 | 32 | 30 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | ENE 7 | E 13 | E 12 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 7 | E 4 | E 9 | E 5 | ESE 4 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ESE 5 | ENE 6 |
13 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 188 | 3 | 3 | 51 | 29 | 7 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 23 | 3 | 100 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 14 | E 14 | — | — | — | E 13 | E 9 | SE 8 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | ESE 7 | NE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 8 | E 18 |
4 | 4 | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 9 | NE 9 | E 7 | E 11 | ESE 7 | E 11 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 6 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | — | ENE 6 | ESE 4 | — | ENE 5 | ESE 8 | — | E 4 | SE 4 | — | ENE 8 | NE 6 |
183 | 145 | 229 | 188 | 178 | — | 121 | 93 | — | — | 32 | 5 | — | 14 | 59 | — | 4 | 20 | — | 33 | 72 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1338 | 1584 | 583 | 583 | 596 | 882 | 598 | 838 | 868 | 724 | 1422 | 724 | 618 | 1584 | 160 | 48 | 1700 | 41 | 48 | 618 | 635 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Florida | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flagler Pier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flagler Pier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flagler Pier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flagler Pier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flagler Pier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flagler Pier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flagler Pier is 3 km (2 miles) from the city of Ormond Beach. If you plan a vacation in North Florida, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ormond Beach. Ormond Beach has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










