Flagler Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what Flagler Pier’s got cookin’.

Honestly, mate, for the next two and a half weeks, it’s a pretty bleak stretch. We’re looking at a long, flat spell where you’d be lucky to snag a wave that’s worth paddling for. The whole forecast period is basically one big gap with no real standouts. The wave energy is weak, tiny little ankle-biters, and the conditions just aren’t lining up. There’s a couple of afternoons in the second week that *might* offer something surfable, but it’s nothing to get excited about.

Starting Monday the 6th of July, it’s a total dud. We’ve got a measly 1 ft of easterly swell with a short 8-second period, combined energy of just 13, and a moderate cross-shore wind making a mess of it. Tuesday the 7th morning goes glassy with a 1 ft easterly swell, period 9 seconds (20 combined energy), but it’s still just poor. That afternoon picks up a tiny bit to 3 ft from the SE with a 9-second period and a moderate cross-off breeze, energy jumps to 160, but it’s still rated as poor conditions.

Wednesday the 8th is glassy again in the morning but tiny (1 ft, 21 energy), and it stays small and weak all through the first week. Thursday the 9th morning is the first time we see a “surfable” rating – 2 ft from the ESE, period 9 seconds, 50 combined energy, clean with a light cross-off wind. It’s ordinary, but at least it’s not a complete waste. That’s the best of a bad lot.

After that, it’s back to mostly poor conditions. Friday the 10th through to Sunday the 12th has a consistent 2 ft to 2 ft of short-period ESE swell, energy bouncing between 22 and 55, but the winds are messy – cross-shore, lumpy chop, or just too weak to hold anything together. Monday the 13th through Thursday the 16th is more of the same: 1 ft to 2 ft, periods around 8-9 seconds, combined energy stuck in the teens and twenties. It’s a desert.

Now, there is a flicker of hope on Friday the 17th afternoon. We get a 2 ft ESE swell with an 8-second period, combined energy of 52, and it’s rated as surfable but very ordinary, with a light breeze and clean conditions. Same again on Saturday the 18th afternoon – 2 ft, 8 seconds, 48 energy, gentle offshore wind. These are the only two afternoons in the second week that even register as “surfable,” but they’re not standouts by any stretch.

Sunday the 19th afternoon sees a 2 ft SE swell (8-second period, 72 energy) with a clean cross-off breeze, but it’s still poor. Monday the 20th afternoon and Tuesday the 21st bring a slight bump to 3 ft from the SE, but with a terrible 5-second period and cross-shore winds, it’s just not going to hold any shape. Energy values are 58 and 49, but the short period kills it.

Water temp is sitting at a warm 85°F with a normal anomaly for the time of year, so at least the bath water’s nice.

Bottom line: there’s nothing worth chasing here for the next 16 days. The setup is just too weak and inconsistent. If you’re dead-set on getting wet, keep an eye on the Thursday the 9th morning window, and maybe the Friday the 17th or Saturday the 18th afternoons, but don’t hold your breath. This stretch looks more like a swim than a surf.

Rusty.

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