Flagler Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you—this is a lean stretch. We’re looking at Flagler Pier, and the truth is, there’s not a whole lot to get excited about for a good while. We’re staring at a long gap of almost two weeks before anything even starts to look like it might be worth paddling out for.

Alright, let’s start with the water. For the first mention here at Flagler Pier, the water temp is sitting at 84°, which is 0.9° warmer than average for this time of year. That’s not a major anomaly, so it’s about what you’d expect for July – pretty warm.

Now, through all of this first week, from Sunday the 5th right through to Saturday the 11th, it’s mostly tiny, weak, and messy. Swell heights are barely pushing 3 ft, with periods as low as 4 seconds—that’s pure wind chop. The combined energy is mostly in the low double digits, like 29 or 65 (weak energy). We get a little spike Wednesday afternoon with 188 (moderate energy), but that’s still only 3 ft and the period is 9 seconds, so it’s not got much punch. The wind is often cross or cross-off, and while we get some glassy or light offshore conditions in the mornings, the waves are just too small and weak to do anything with. The forecast is marked as “poor surf conditions” for almost every session. Honestly, it’s more of a recovery week than a surfing week.

We move into the second week, and it’s more of the same. From Sunday the 12th through Saturday the 18th, the pattern is relentless: tiny swell (1.0 ft to 3 ft), short periods (5 to 9 seconds), and combined energy values mostly under 50 (weak energy). The wind does swing offshore or glassy a few times, like on Tuesday the 14th morning with glassy conditions, but the swell is only 1 ft. It’s a frustrating tease. This entire stretch is a blank run.

Then, finally, we get a glimmer. On Saturday afternoon, the 18th of July, we see a bit of a bump: 3 ft of swell from the SE, with an 8-second period, and a combined energy of 83 (still weak energy). The wind is a cross-shore from the SE at 15 mph, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. But it’s the best we’ve seen in a fortnight. It’s not a standout by any means—it’s still small and wind-affected—but if you’re desperate, it’s something to look at.

Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th just slide back into the same small, weak pattern. The combined energy drops back to 20-32 (weak energy). So really, there is no true standout session in this entire 16-day window. For a stretch this long with no real quality, it’s a tough one. Sometimes this area just goes quiet like this.

If you’re really keen, Saturday the 18th afternoon is your best, but don’t expect much. It’s that kind of run.

Rusty.

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