Surf Forecasts:
Fernald Point surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period, SSW swell with 348 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fernald Point this week:
The surf forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fernald Point in the next 16 days are 0.8m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Wed 26th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break it down in feet and Fahrenheit. The outlook for Fernald Point is a tough one—this spot is a point break that “rarely breaks,” so when the surf’s flat, it’s expected.
The water temp is running 70°F, which is a massive 7°F warmer than the average for this time of year. That’s very unusual, so you’ll be comfortable without a thick wetsuit.
The pattern starts quiet. From Wednesday, August 26th through to Wednesday morning, September 2nd, it’s mostly poor. Waves are tiny, generally around 1ft to 3ft, with a lot of cross-onshore or onshore wind. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate (values between 93 and 295). Nothing to get excited about. The best of that early stretch is Thursday morning, August 27th, when the wind goes glassy for a moment—waves are only 2ft from the west with a short period of 8 seconds, so it’s surfable but very ordinary. Not a standout.
Then things shift. On Thursday, September 3rd, the swell picks up a touch—3ft from the south, period 13 seconds, and the energy bumps up to 398 in the morning and 405 in the afternoon. That’s moderate energy. But the wind is still cross-onshore, so it’s marginal. The tide could be a factor here.
Now, here’s the real tease. Friday, September 4th, is your best shot. Morning brings 2ft from the SSW with a long period of 17 seconds, and the wind is glassy—dead calm. The combined energy is 293 (moderate). The afternoon sees 2ft from the same direction, period 16 seconds, and again glassy conditions with a light rain. Both sessions are marked as “expect good surf conditions.” For a point break like Fernald Point, that long-period groundswell should wrap in nicely, and with zero wind, it’ll be clean. But remember, this spot rarely breaks, so you’ll need to be on it and hope for the best. Small waves, but clean.
After that, from Saturday, September 5th, all the way through to Thursday, September 10th, it’s back to poor conditions. Waves stay small, mostly 1ft to 3ft, with cross-onshore or onshore wind, and the energy drops back to weak to moderate (values between 133 and 328). Not worth chasing.
The only true standout here is Friday, September 4th—both morning and afternoon. It’s the cleanest window by a long shot, with glassy wind and a decent long-period swell direction for the point. If you’re keen, that’s the day. Otherwise, it’s a long dry spell for a spot that’s already inconsistent.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 34°C on Wed morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 20°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | SW 17 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
209 | 141 | 119 | 51 | 89 | 76 | 140 | 146 | 270 | 261 | 229 | 229 | 193 | 140 | 118 | 87 | 77 | 108 | 99 | 63 | 117 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 10:06AM1.62m | 9:08PM2.14m | 10:26AM1.69m | 9:43PM2.11m | 10:48AM1.76m | 10:20PM2.03m | 11:10AM1.84m | 10:58PM1.90m | 11:35AM1.91m | 11:41PM1.73m | 12:04PM1.96m | 00:32AM1.54m | 12:38PM2.00m | 1:39AM1.36m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:03PM0.99m | 4:04AM0.27m | 3:40PM0.90m | 4:29AM0.32m | 4:19PM0.82m | 4:52AM0.41m | 5:00PM0.75m | 5:16AM0.54m | 5:45PM0.69m | 5:40AM0.68m | 6:37PM0.66m | 6:04AM0.83m | 7:40PM0.64m | ||||||||
6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | |
— | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 34 | 33 | 30 | 31 | 33 | 29 | 33 | 33 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 20 | 25 | 26 | 21 |
Feels °C | 34 | 33 | 31 | 32 | 34 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 23 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | W 8 | W 8 | W 6 | W 6 | W 5 | W 6 | W 9 | W 9 | W 6 | W 7 | W 8 | W 6 | W 5 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 13 |
209 | 141 | 119 | 51 | 44 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 67 | 133 | 127 | 102 | 57 | 90 | 44 | 21 | 77 | 108 | 99 | 63 | 117 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 7 | W 8 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 13 | SSW 14 | W 5 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 18 |
22 | 27 | 43 | 48 | 89 | 53 | 140 | 146 | 270 | 261 | 229 | 220 | 193 | 140 | 118 | 87 | 71 | 7 | 44 | 12 | 31 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | S 12 | SW 14 | SW 17 | S 10 | S 9 | W 9 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | WNW 9 | S 13 | SSE 12 | SSW 14 | W 5 | SSW 13 | W 5 | SSW 13 | W 5 |
64 | 63 | 54 | 46 | 33 | 76 | 28 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 28 | 79 | 8 | 68 | 4 | 17 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 5 | WNW 6 | W 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | — | W 5 | WNW 5 | — | W 4 | — | — | S 3 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43 | 164 | 39 | 98 | 229 | — | 51 | 74 | — | 6 | — | — | 1 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 21 | 14 | 0 | 63 | 294 | 0 | 294 | 21 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Barbara | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fernald Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fernald Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fernald Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fernald Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fernald Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fernald Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fernald Point is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Santa Barbara, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











