Surf Forecasts:
Fernald Point surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 18s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 18s period, SSW swell with 270 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fernald Point this week:
The surf forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fernald Point in the next 16 days are 0.7m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get real. The next couple of weeks are looking seriously flat for surf around here. Looking at the entire 16-day window, we're in for a long, drawn-out stretch of nothing but small, weak waves.
From the 14th through the 26th of August, it's a wasteland. Swell heights are stuck between about 1ft and 2ft, with weak energy readings that mostly fall in the low 100s to low 200s (like 155, 178, a few near 247). It’s just not enough to do anything with. The swell direction is from the SSW, and while the periods are sometimes long – between 9 and 18 seconds – it doesn’t matter when there’s no size. The wind is light but mostly cross-onshore, which just adds a little bump to an already dead ocean. Every single forecast is calling it "poor surf conditions." It's a tough stretch, and you're better off just waiting it out.
There's a slight flicker of life on the 27th of August, a Thursday, when the swell pushes up to about 3ft. The energy jumps too, into the 400s (416 and 452), which feels like there's finally some substance to the water. Still, it's only rated as marginal, and the light cross-onshore wind is still there. It's a step in the right direction, but not the wave we're waiting for.
The one window that looks worth paddling out for is the morning of the 28th of August, a Friday. That’s two weeks out, so consider this a promising lead, not a certainty. We're looking at a swell of 4ft from the SSW with a solid 14-second period. The energy reading jumps to a strong 704, which blows everything else this fortnight out of the water. It’s still a marginal forecast, and the light cross-onshore wind won't give us perfection, but it will be the most powerful and organized swell we'll see. It's not a giant, but for a spot like Fernald Point that’s been so starved, it will be a welcome relief. The following Saturday looks like it fades back down to 3ft.
So, if you're keen, mark the 28th down. But for the rest of this period, it's a long, flat, and glassy patch of nothing. This kind of run can't last forever, and the long-period pulse on the 28th hints that things might be turning around. But for now, keep the board in the car and the coffee hot.
Stay salty,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat afternoon, min 20°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Tue morning, min 25°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | W 7 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | W 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
84 | 124 | 270 | 104 | 229 | 220 | 160 | 144 | 140 | 140 | 120 | 81 | 146 | 74 | 88 | 130 | 138 | 84 | 81 | 81 | 79 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 11:51AM1.88m | 11:29PM2.04m | 12:25PM1.92m | 00:17AM1.80m | 1:00PM1.93m | 1:10AM1.56m | 1:36PM1.91m | 2:19AM1.35m | 2:18PM1.87m | 4:15AM1.22m | 3:10PM1.83m | 4:18PM1.81m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 5:30PM0.76m | 6:00AM0.37m | 6:24PM0.75m | 6:30AM0.58m | 7:23PM0.76m | 6:58AM0.79m | 8:31PM0.77m | 7:24AM0.98m | 9:55PM0.77m | 7:46AM1.14m | 11:27PM0.71m | 00:41AM0.61m | |||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | |
— | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:39 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 27 | 23 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 31 | 31 | 27 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 28 |
Feels °C | 25 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | W 5 | W 6 | W 6 | W 7 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | W 7 | W 8 | W 6 |
84 | 124 | 270 | 104 | 229 | 220 | 160 | 144 | 27 | 24 | 36 | 74 | 99 | 74 | 88 | 51 | 38 | 51 | 47 | 46 | 54 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SSW 14 | W 4 | SW 14 | S 11 | W 5 | W 5 | W 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
71 | 82 | 6 | 47 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 140 | 140 | 120 | 81 | 146 | 68 | 81 | 130 | 138 | 84 | 81 | 81 | 79 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | W 7 | S 11 | W 4 | W 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 13 | S 9 | W 14 | W 14 | W 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 12 | WNW 10 |
4 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 35 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 8 | — | — | W 5 | W 5 | W 4 | W 5 | W 5 | — | W 5 | — | — | — | W 5 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — |
— | 6 | — | — | 7 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 64 | — | 39 | — | — | — | 54 | — | — | 59 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 157 | 14 | 0 | 294 | 14 | 0 | 294 | 21 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 21 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 131 | 14 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Barbara | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fernald Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fernald Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fernald Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fernald Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fernald Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fernald Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fernald Point is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Santa Barbara, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











