Fernald Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, but in good ol’ feet and Fahrenheit.

Overall pattern: Honestly, it’s a real struggle for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a classic case of "looks like surf but don’t get your hopes up" – small, weak, and messy. There’s a solid gap of almost no real recommendation right from the start, all the way through.

Fernald Point is our only spot on the menu, and it’s a rare one. It’s a point break, rarely breaks, so the fact it’s even on the cards is notable. For the first week, from Sunday the 13th through to Saturday the 19th, it’s just poor. Swell is tiny, mostly around 1ft to 3ft, coming from the west and southwest. The combined energy is weak, mostly reading in the 90s to 165 (moderate wave energy) bracket, but the wave comment says it all: poor surf conditions. Winds are light cross-onshore, which is the kind of breeze that messes up small waves. Not worth paddling for.

The water temp is 72°F, which is a massive 8° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s very unusual, like bathwater. Feels weird for September but there you go.

Moving into the second week, from Sunday the 20th to the end of the window, it’s more of the same. Swell stays around 1ft to 2ft, period gets long – up to 20 seconds by Monday the 28th – but the size is just too small to do anything with. Combined energy edges up a bit (200 on the 28th – moderate), but it’s still crossed up and small. Winds stay light cross-on or onshore. Even though a long period groundswell from the SW can be a good sign at a point break, it needs some height to work. There’s just not enough here.

The standout? There isn’t one. If you had to pick the best odds, the afternoon of Sunday the 20th sees a slight shift to cross-shore wind (still light), with a 2ft SW swell and 18-second period, energy at 209. But a 2ft wave is a micro-wave, even for a point. It’s more of a swim than a surf.

For the whole 16-day run, this is a blank period for Fernald Point. Nothing is consistent. It rarely breaks anyway, so a long dry spell here is pretty normal. There’s no swell big enough, and the winds aren’t clean enough. Honestly, the setup looks more interesting for a bit of kite surfing than paddle surfing with these small, weak, onshore chops.

Stay patient, mate. The water is warm, but the waves aren’t coming.

\- Rusty

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