
Surf Forecasts:
Fernald Point surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 18s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 18s period, SSW swell with 270 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 18s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fernald Point this week:
The surf forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fernald Point in the next 16 days are 0.7m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – this is a tough one for the region.
Alright, let's get the bad news out of the way first. Looking at the entire 16-day window, there's just not a lot of love from the ocean for Fernald Point. This spot is a point break, but it 'rarely breaks' anyway, so that's a bit of a red flag from the start. The water's warm, though; it's running about 70°F which is a massive 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so you won't need a wetsuit.
The first decent energy we see is on the afternoon of Friday the 14th, with a combined swell energy hitting 217 (moderate). But even then, the swell is tiny, only 1ft, and the wind is a light cross-onshore breeze, so it's not going to be clean. The story is the same for the next few weeks. The swell height barely pushes above 2ft on the Saturday afternoon of the 15th, with a combined energy of 239 (moderate), but the direction is SSW and the wind is still cross-on. It's all just poor surf conditions, session after session.
The most promising bump in the whole run comes on the afternoon of Wednesday the 19th. The combined energy jumps to 246 (moderate), the strongest we'll see, for a 2ft SSW swell. The wind finally shifts to a 'cross' state, which is the cleanest we get. Even then, it's a light breeze, so the waves will have a bit of texture. It's a long period groundswell from the SSW at 16 seconds, which is great for energy, but at a point break like this, that long period should actually help it wrap in a little better than a typical beach break. With the crowds being 'often' here, you might have company, but it'll be the best chance for a wave you can actually ride.
After that, we're back into poor surf for the rest of the window. The swell drops off, and the energy fades to weak (values under 100) by the 22nd. There's a tiny flicker on the morning of the 23rd with a 1.0ft, 19-second period swell, but the energy is only 111 (moderate) and the cross-on wind is back.
So, to be honest, if you're itching to get wet, keep your eyes on the Wednesday afternoon of the 19th. That's your one standout. For everything else, it's a long wait for something that's barely rideable. The forecast suggests it's a rare run of quiet conditions for this spot, and it might just be a better time to wash the salt off your board.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sun afternoon, min 20°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
35 | 80 | 79 | 73 | 66 | 65 | 64 | 118 | 113 | 84 | 124 | 270 | 173 | 226 | 220 | 160 | 142 | 167 | 140 | 118 | 116 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 10:09AM1.65m | 9:07PM2.45m | 10:43AM1.74m | 9:55PM2.38m | 11:17AM1.82m | 10:42PM2.24m | 11:51AM1.88m | 11:29PM2.04m | 12:25PM1.92m | 00:17AM1.80m | 1:00PM1.93m | 1:10AM1.56m | 1:36PM1.91m | 2:19AM1.35m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:55PM0.97m | 4:16AM-0.04m | 3:47PM0.87m | 4:53AM0.04m | 4:38PM0.80m | 5:27AM0.19m | 5:30PM0.76m | 6:00AM0.37m | 6:24PM0.75m | 6:30AM0.58m | 7:23PM0.76m | 6:58AM0.79m | 8:31PM0.77m | ||||||||
6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | |
— | 7:50 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 28 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 19 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 28 | 29 | 26 |
Feels °C | 28 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 27 | 28 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | W 5 |
33 | 80 | 79 | 73 | 66 | 65 | 64 | 118 | 113 | 84 | 124 | 270 | 173 | 226 | 220 | 160 | 142 | 167 | 140 | 118 | 20 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SSW 12 | W 11 | S 12 | S 11 | W 8 | S 11 | W 8 | W 7 | SSW 19 | SSW 14 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 10 | W 5 | W 5 | SW 11 | SSW 14 |
35 | 29 | 37 | 24 | 23 | 13 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 72 | 82 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 116 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 11 | SSW 12 | W 9 | SW 13 | S 11 | W 8 | S 11 | S 10 | W 7 | S 9 | S 11 | SSW 13 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | W 10 | SW 12 | W 10 | SW 10 |
2 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 27 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 7 | 15 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 6 | W 4 | — | W 4 | — | — | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 5 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 18 | — | 6 | — | — | 4 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 42 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 235 | 14 | 0 | 294 | 14 | 0 | 131 | 21 | 0 | 75 | 14 | 0 | 131 | 14 | 0 | 294 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 294 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Barbara | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Information about the Fernald Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fernald Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fernald Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fernald Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fernald Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fernald Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fernald Point is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Santa Barbara, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











