Surf Forecasts:
Fernald Point surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 13s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period, SSW swell with 204 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fernald Point this week:
The surf forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fernald Point in the next 16 days are 0.7m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.
The story is the same: a long, quiet stretch with only Fernald Point to talk about. This point rarely breaks, so we’re already in a tough spot. The water is 65°, a touch warmer than average for now.
From Tuesday 14 July through to Thursday 23 July, it’s barely a ripple. Swell runs from 1ft to 3ft, with combined energy readings between 93 and 341 – weak to moderate. Winds are light cross-onshore, but the surf is consistently rated “poor” or “marginal.” Scores are all zero or one. Nothing to chase.
The first real sign of life is Friday 24 July afternoon, when a 4ft S swell rolls in with a 16-second period, pushing energy to 756 (moderate). Winds are light cross-onshore at 6 mph. It’s still only “marginal,” but it’s a step up. The best day is Saturday 25 July morning: 5ft from the S, 15-second period, and energy hitting 1003 (strong). Winds are light cross-onshore. That’s the standout, even if the score only hits a 2 out of 10. The swell direction is a bit off the optimum SW, but it’s good enough.
After that, Sunday 26 July drops to 2ft with a very long 19-second period, which could make for some clean lines at a point, but energy is only 458. Monday and Tuesday are similar, with marginal conditions and energy around 250–400. By Wednesday 29 July, we’re back to poor.
So, the one to circle is Saturday 25 July morning – 5ft S swell, light cross-onshore wind, and the biggest energy of the run. It’s not a classic, but it’s the only game in town.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Wed afternoon, min 22°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sun afternoon, min 20°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | W 6 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 19 | W 9 | W 17 | W 17 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 51 | 49 | 48 | 42 | 53 | 133 | 99 | 56 | 76 | 52 | 49 | 108 | 83 | 70 | 145 | 145 | 127 | 115 | 122 | 127 | 175 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | cross | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:04PM2.52m | 11:59AM1.67m | 10:53PM2.41m | 12:41PM1.73m | 11:43PM2.22m | 1:23PM1.78m | 00:35AM1.97m | 2:06PM1.83m | 1:31AM1.70m | 2:49PM1.86m | 2:40AM1.46m | 3:35PM1.88m | 4:17AM1.28m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:47PM1.03m | 5:23AM-0.12m | 4:44PM1.00m | 6:05AM-0.01m | 5:42PM0.98m | 6:45AM0.16m | 6:44PM0.97m | 7:23AM0.36m | 7:54PM0.96m | 8:00AM0.58m | 9:13PM0.93m | 8:37AM0.79m | 10:42PM0.85m | 9:15AM0.97m | |||||||
 |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 |
 | 8:10 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | 8:07 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 21 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 27 | 28 | 25 | 29 |
Feels °C | 29 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 23 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | W 5 | W 5 | W 7 | W 6 | W 9 | W 9 | W 6 | W 9 | W 8 | W 6 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | W 5 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 51 | 15 | 20 | 35 | 53 | 133 | 99 | 41 | 76 | 34 | 11 | 108 | 83 | 70 | 112 | 95 | 87 | 89 | 82 | 20 | 175 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 9 | SW 14 | SSE 4 | SW 15 | W 7 | S 11 | W 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | W 5 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 5 |
| kJ | 49 | 33 | 32 | 42 | 26 | 40 | 39 | 39 | 33 | 3 | 34 | 17 | 23 | 43 | 145 | 145 | 19 | 115 | 122 | 127 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | SW 19 | W 17 | W 17 | W 16 | W 16 | W 5 | W 15 | W 15 | SW 16 | W 5 | W 5 | S 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | 16 | 49 | 48 | 16 | 40 | 14 | 14 | 56 | 58 | 52 | 49 | 45 | 44 | 4 | 39 | 39 | 127 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 28 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 2 | W 5 | — | — | — | — | WSW 5 | SE 2 | SE 4 | SE 4 | ESE 4 | SE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 14 | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 36 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 69 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 294 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 46 | 0 | 75 | 63 | 10 | 66 | 12 | 0 | 294 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Barbara | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fernald Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fernald Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fernald Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fernald Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fernald Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fernald Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fernald Point is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Santa Barbara, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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