Surf Forecasts:
Fernald Point surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period, SSW swell with 291 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fernald Point this week:
The surf forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 1.8m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fernald Point in the next 16 days are 0.8m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day window for the area is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, messy, and mostly onshore slop. The only spot on the radar is Fernald Point, a point break that’s a beginner-friendly wave but here’s the catch: it rarely breaks. So, right off the bat, we’re dealing with a spot that’s fickle even when conditions are good, and right now, conditions are far from good.
The first action we see is for Saturday, August 29th. A small 2ft groundswell is coming in from the SSW, with a long 17-second period. That long period is a bit of a double-edged sword for a point break – it can bring in some nice lines, but it can also make the wave break a bit straight. The combined wave energy is moderate, sitting at 298. The wind is a cross-on light breeze from the WSW, which is a major letdown – it’s going to put a ripple on the surface and keep things looking pretty ordinary. The water temp is a balmy 71°, which is a whopping 8° warmer than average for this time of year. That’s very unusual, so you won’t need a thick wetsuit, but the surf won’t be worth suiting up for.
We roll through the rest of that weekend and into the first week of September, and it’s the same story on repeat. Swell heights hover between 1ft and 2ft, with periods dropping from 17 seconds down to the 11-14 second range. The wind stubbornly stays cross-on, mostly from the SW or WSW, at 6-9 mph. The energy levels start to fade, dropping from the 200s down to the low 100s by Tuesday, September 1st. Every single session is flagged as “poor surf conditions.” The odd afternoon on September 4th and 5th gets a “marginal” tag, but with the wind and the small size, it’s still nothing to write home about. There’s a gap of several days here where there’s no real recommendation to paddle out.
We get a slight change around Wednesday, September 9th. The afternoon session shows a clean offshore wind from the WNW at 9 mph, and the swell is still 3ft from the SSW. For the first time in the run, the wave comment says “surfable waves.” The energy is moderate at 231. But the period is a short 11 seconds, so it won’t have much push. This is probably the best the whole 16-day window has to offer, but that’s not saying much. It’s a one-off decent window in a sea of mediocrity. After that, it’s right back to the poor conditions, with the energy dropping into the double digits by the second weekend.
To sum it up, there’s no standout swell here. The best bet is the afternoon of September 9th at Fernald Point, if you’re desperate for a slide and can handle the “rarely breaks” reality. The rest of the period is a solid miss. For a point break that needs a good push from the SW, the swell is too small and the wind is almost always wrong. Honestly, with the persistent cross-on breeze and the small, weak surf, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Hold tight, forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a bleak run.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Sat afternoon, min 20°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 20°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
258 | 229 | 284 | 193 | 186 | 138 | 116 | 105 | 67 | 67 | 58 | 83 | 55 | 108 | 109 | 89 | 86 | 211 | 188 | 237 | 226 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 11:10AM1.84m | 10:58PM1.90m | 11:35AM1.91m | 11:41PM1.73m | 12:04PM1.96m | 00:32AM1.54m | 12:38PM2.00m | 1:39AM1.36m | 1:21PM2.00m | 3:29AM1.23m | 2:21PM1.99m | 6:22AM1.26m | 3:40PM2.00m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:00PM0.75m | 5:16AM0.54m | 5:45PM0.69m | 5:40AM0.68m | 6:37PM0.66m | 6:04AM0.83m | 7:40PM0.64m | 6:30AM0.98m | 9:01PM0.62m | 6:59AM1.12m | 10:37PM0.54m | 7:53AM1.25m | 00:00AM0.41m | ||||||||
6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | 7:29 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 32 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 21 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 27 | 23 |
Feels °C | 31 | 32 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | W 6 | W 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | W 6 | SSW 14 | W 5 | SSE 11 | S 11 | S 11 | W 5 | S 12 | W 5 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | W 6 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | W 6 |
258 | 62 | 79 | 74 | 56 | 44 | 21 | 105 | 13 | 39 | 58 | 83 | 13 | 108 | 28 | 77 | 79 | 31 | 188 | 237 | 23 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | W 5 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | W 5 | W 5 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | S 12 | W 5 | SW 15 | SSW 18 | W 5 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 |
25 | 229 | 284 | 193 | 186 | 138 | 116 | 14 | 67 | 67 | 4 | 13 | 55 | 67 | 98 | 14 | 57 | 211 | 13 | 46 | 226 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | S 14 | S 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | W 5 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | S 10 | W 10 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | W 5 | SSW 11 |
15 | 15 | 25 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 54 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 30 | 2 | 109 | 89 | 86 | 78 | 46 | 8 | 45 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | W 5 | WNW 6 | W 5 | W 5 | W 6 | — | W 4 | W 4 | — | W 3 | W 5 | W 5 | W 6 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | WNW 5 | — | W 4 | WNW 5 |
17 | 85 | 170 | 37 | 78 | 88 | — | 10 | 20 | — | 6 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 66 | 12 | 26 | 47 | — | 6 | 33 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 14 | 59 | 0 | 21 | 14 | 0 | 41 | 14 | 0 | 131 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 294 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 124 | 14 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Barbara | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fernald Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fernald Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fernald Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fernald Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fernald Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fernald Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fernald Point is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Santa Barbara, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











