Surf Forecasts:
Fernald Point surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SSW swell with 386 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fernald Point this week:
The surf forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fernald Point in the next 16 days are 0.8m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 01) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you: this stretch of the 16-day window is looking pretty bleak for our local break. The data’s all pointing to a long, quiet run, so let’s get into it.
We’re starting with Fernald Point. This spot is a point break that only rarely breaks, so you already know the odds are stacked against us. The forecast kicks off on Monday, 27 July, with a tiny swell of 2ft from the SSW. The period is a very long 18 seconds, which is proper groundswell energy, but it’s all getting wasted with a light cross-onshore wind. The combined energy is sitting at 354 (moderate), but the wave quality is being called marginal at best. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
That weak pattern just drags on. Tuesday, 28 July, is the same story: 2ft to 3ft, period dropping a touch to 17 seconds, still cross-onshore. The energy climbs a bit to 440 (moderate) but the surf conditions are rated poor. Wednesday, 29 July, and Thursday, 30 July, are more of the same – 2ft to 3ft, periods from 16 down to 15 seconds, constant light cross-onshore wind. The energy stays in the 370s to 410s, but it’s all marginal or poor. Friday, 31 July, offers a tiny uptick: 3ft with a 14-second period from the S, but again, cross-onshore wind kills it. The energy is still moderate at 393, but the conditions are poor.
By the time we hit Saturday, 1 August, the swell starts fading fast. We’re down to 3ft, period dropping to 12 seconds, energy dropping to 235 (weak). Sunday, 2 August, is a joke: 2ft to 2ft, period dropping to a short 8 seconds, energy down to 125 (weak). Then from Monday, 3 August, right through to the end of the outlook on Tuesday, 11 August, it’s all 0.7ft to 2ft, periods all over the place from 8 to 21 seconds, but the energy is weak (mostly under 100). The wind is always a light cross-onshore. There’s nothing here for a surfer. The few times the swell direction (SSW) matches the optimum (SW) for this break, the size is too small to matter.
So, what’s the best on offer? Honestly, there isn’t a standout. The most promising moment is the morning of Friday, 31 July, with 3ft and a 14-second period. But with that cross-onshore wind and a rating of “poor,” you’d be better off staying home. The energy is still moderate (393), but it’s not enough to overcome the conditions. After that, it’s a long gap of no surf worth mentioning. For a spot that rarely breaks, this blank run is pretty normal.
Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, I’d hang the board up.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Mon morning, min 23°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 33°C on Sat morning, min 23°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 209 | 280 | 312 | 255 | 267 | 336 | 237 | 229 | 223 | 217 | 193 | 272 | 311 | 315 | 293 | 286 | 212 | 195 | 176 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 8:14PM2.13m | 10:27AM1.49m | 8:52PM2.19m | 10:52AM1.52m | 9:27PM2.21m | 11:18AM1.55m | 10:01PM2.19m | 11:44AM1.59m | 10:35PM2.12m | 12:10PM1.63m | 11:09PM2.01m | 12:36PM1.69m | 11:47PM1.85m | ||||||
Low Tide | 3:44AM0.24m | 2:38PM1.16m | 4:15AM0.20m | 3:15PM1.12m | 4:45AM0.19m | 3:52PM1.08m | 5:13AM0.22m | 4:30PM1.05m | 5:39AM0.29m | 5:12PM1.02m | 6:05AM0.38m | 5:58PM0.99m | |||||||
 | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | 8:05 | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 28 | 31 | 26 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 30 |
Feels °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 28 | 31 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 32 | 33 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 8 | SSW 19 | W 6 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | W 6 |
| kJ | 51 | 60 | 312 | 52 | 267 | 336 | 237 | 229 | 223 | 217 | 193 | 272 | 311 | 315 | 293 | 286 | 212 | 195 | 45 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | W 8 | SSW 17 | W 8 | W 8 | W 6 | W 9 | S 15 | S 14 | W 9 | W 9 | W 6 | W 8 | W 7 | W 5 | W 5 | W 7 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 209 | 280 | 42 | 255 | 71 | 51 | 26 | 79 | 157 | 138 | 57 | 39 | 25 | 45 | 26 | 20 | 21 | 25 | 176 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 10 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | S 14 | W 8 | W 6 | S 13 | SSW 15 | SSE 10 | W 8 | SW 15 | SW 14 | S 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 |
| kJ | 12 | 14 | 14 | 2 | 29 | 53 | 71 | 98 | 33 | 27 | 128 | 85 | 20 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 7 | 15 | 15 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 75 | 14 | 0 | 66 | 14 | 0 | 75 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Barbara | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fernald Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fernald Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fernald Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fernald Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fernald Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fernald Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fernald Point is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Santa Barbara, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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