
Surf Forecasts:
Fernald Point surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 12s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, SSW swell with 346 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fernald Point this week:
The surf forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fernald Point in the next 16 days are 0.9m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright mates, Rusty here. Let’s see what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, I gotta be straight with you – this is a grim stretch. The whole 16-day run is looking flat and weak for Fernald Point. There’s no surf now, and we’ve got a dry spell ahead. The first thing that even looks like a wave doesn’t show up until the afternoon of Saturday, July 25th, and it’s barely a ripple. From now until the 25th, it’s a full week of tiny, poor-quality slop. The combined energy is weak, with numbers mostly between 100 and 300 (158 to 289), which is just sad. The wind is a constant cross-onshore, messing up any hope of a clean face.
The one little blip that might be worth a look comes around Saturday, July 25th into the next week. The swell is from the SSW, but it’s still tiny, only 0.7m to 0.9m (that’s 2ft to 3ft). The swell period is around 13 to 14 seconds, so there’s some long-period groundswell push behind it. The combined energy climbs to 742 on the afternoon of the 25th, which is moderate. The problem is the wind stays stubbornly cross-onshore from the SW, so the quality is just ‘marginal.’ It’s not clean, but it’s the best we’ll get.
The best chance, if you can call it that, is from Monday, July 27th to Wednesday, July 29th. The swell holds at 0.6m to 0.8m (2ft to 3ft) from the SSW, with periods of 16 to 19 seconds. The combined energy is solidly in the moderate range, from 356 to 546. The wind is still light and cross-onshore, but it’s light enough that the surface might only have small ripples, not a full chop. It’s not classic, but it’s the most energetic and rideable window we’ve got. Since it’s a point break, those long-period swells (over 15 seconds) can really line up and give you some nice long walls if the direction holds.
After that, from July 30th onward, the energy drops off fast, back into the poor zone. The last day, August 2nd, is back to nearly nothing.
So here’s the call: aim for the late morning sessions on the 27th, 28th, and 29th of July. The waves are small, the wind is just okay, but it’s the only game in town. If you’re a beginner, the swell is under 1.5m (5ft), so it’s fine, but the long period will make the lulls longer. For experts, it’s too small to get excited about. Don’t expect perfection, but it’s a chance to get wet.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Mon afternoon, min 20°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 24°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 17 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 14 | S 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
49 | 108 | 83 | 43 | 142 | 143 | 136 | 189 | 119 | 133 | 111 | 148 | 204 | 140 | 136 | 116 | 108 | 179 | 219 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 00:35AM1.97m | 2:06PM1.83m | 1:31AM1.70m | 2:49PM1.86m | 2:40AM1.46m | 3:35PM1.88m | 4:17AM1.28m | 4:24PM1.90m | 6:22AM1.24m | 5:14PM1.91m | 8:04AM1.29m | 6:04PM1.95m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:23AM0.36m | 7:54PM0.96m | 8:00AM0.58m | 9:13PM0.93m | 8:37AM0.79m | 10:42PM0.85m | 9:15AM0.97m | 00:04AM0.73m | 10:04AM1.12m | 1:08AM0.60m | 11:10AM1.22m | 1:57AM0.48m | |||||||
— | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | |
8:09 | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 27 | 27 | 23 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 29 |
Feels °C | 24 | 27 | 28 | 24 | 28 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 5 | S 11 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | W 5 | W 5 | S 14 | W 6 |
9 | 108 | 83 | 8 | 60 | 103 | 136 | 189 | 57 | 133 | 91 | 148 | 204 | 140 | 136 | 28 | 18 | 179 | 39 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | W 5 | W 7 | W 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | W 14 | SW 16 | W 5 | S 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WSW 6 | S 13 |
34 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 142 | 143 | 127 | 36 | 119 | 10 | 50 | 107 | 27 | 22 | 19 | 116 | 108 | 4 | 219 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 17 | W 16 | W 16 | S 11 | W 5 | W 15 | W 5 | W 4 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | W 13 | SSW 11 | S 13 | S 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | SSW 26 | SSW 26 |
49 | 45 | 44 | 23 | 5 | 39 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 104 | 111 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 60 | 53 | 66 | 66 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | W 4 | W 5 | W 5 | W 4 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 6 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 21 | 35 | 13 | 27 | 90 | 27 | 19 | 86 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 75 | 14 | 10 | 75 | 14 | 0 | 75 | 14 | 0 | 21 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 294 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Barbara | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fernald Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fernald Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fernald Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fernald Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fernald Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fernald Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fernald Point is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Santa Barbara, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










