
Surf Forecasts:
Fernald Point surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, WNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, WNW swell with 176 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fernald Point this week:
The surf forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fernald Point in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fernald Point over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here, checking in with the local scoop for the next couple of weeks. To be honest, it's a tough one for us. We're staring down a long stretch of pretty flat, messy conditions, so don't get your hopes up too high.
Looking at the whole 16-day window, the pattern is clear: small, weak swell and persistent cross-onshore winds. There's no real standout session, nothing that gets the heart racing. The first real chance to even consider paddling out doesn't show up until Monday, July 13th, and even then it's a struggle.
Let's walk through it. For the first few days, from Saturday the 11th right through Sunday the 12th, we've got tiny 2 ft SSW swell with a 15-second period. That's a long-period groundswell, but it's so small and the wind is on it or cross-on, so it's just a waste. The combined energy is weak, sitting around 150 (151-164). The water is a touch warmer than normal at 64°.
Monday morning, July 13th, is the first glimpse of something. We get a brief window of glassy conditions. The swell is still only 2 ft from the SSW, period 13 seconds, and the energy is weak (107). The wave comment calls it "surfable but very ordinary," and that's being generous. It's the only real moment of clean conditions in the first week, but with that tiny swell, it's more of a longboard cruise than a proper surf. The wind goes back to cross-on by the afternoon, so that window closes fast.
After that, it's a desert. From Tuesday the 14th through to Friday the 18th of July, the swell stays pitiful – mostly under 3 ft, with periods all over the place from a short 6 seconds up to a long 17 seconds. The wind is consistently cross-on or cross-shore, and the combined energy is weak, only breaking into the triple digits a couple of times. The wave comments are all "poor surf conditions." There's a six-day stretch from Tuesday to Saturday where there's literally nothing worth recommending.
We finally get a slight pulse of energy on Saturday the 18th afternoon, with the combined energy jumping to 373 and the swell picking up to 2 ft from the SSE. But it's still light cross-on and the comment is only "marginal." The same goes for Sunday the 19th – energy up to 313, same 2 ft swell, but it's onshore. It's a tease, not a treat.
The second week looks a little more active on the energy scale, but the quality doesn't follow. Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st are back to poor, with energy around 133 and 246. Wednesday the 22nd is the same story. The last real chance is on Saturday the 26th, where the combined energy hits 279 with a 2 ft SSW swell, 18-second period, and the comment says "marginal." But again, the wind is cross-on.
Fernald Point is a point break that rarely breaks anyway, and it's living up to that reputation. It's a beginner spot, but for the entire 16-day run, the swell is simply too small and the wind is almost always wrong. The optimal swell direction is SW, and we get some of that, but it's just not enough to overcome the constant cross-onshore breeze. The crowds are possible here, but honestly, I doubt anyone will be out.
This is one of those stretches where the forecast can change, but right now, it's a solid blank run. The setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the persistent cross-shore winds and small, weak waves. Keep your gear waxed and wait for the next system.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 20°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 34°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 6 | W 7 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 19 | W 9 | W 17 | W 17 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
126 | 108 | 118 | 118 | 105 | 101 | 101 | 75 | 29 | 51 | 49 | 48 | 52 | 55 | 133 | 106 | 56 | 83 | 52 | 49 | 85 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-on | cross | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | on | cross | on |
High Tide | 7:27PM2.41m | 9:49AM1.48m | 8:21PM2.51m | 10:34AM1.55m | 9:13PM2.55m | 11:17AM1.61m | 10:04PM2.52m | 11:59AM1.67m | 10:53PM2.41m | 12:41PM1.73m | 11:43PM2.22m | 1:23PM1.78m | 00:35AM1.97m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:06AM-0.01m | 1:53PM1.12m | 3:53AM-0.12m | 2:51PM1.08m | 4:39AM-0.16m | 3:47PM1.03m | 5:23AM-0.12m | 4:44PM1.00m | 6:05AM-0.01m | 5:42PM0.98m | 6:45AM0.16m | 6:44PM0.97m | 7:23AM0.36m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | |
8:12 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:09 | — | 8:09 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 23 | 25 | 29 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 33 | 34 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 29 |
Feels °C | 26 | 25 | 26 | 29 | 26 | 27 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 33 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 7 | W 9 | W 9 | W 6 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 18 |
126 | 108 | 118 | 118 | 105 | 101 | 101 | 75 | 29 | 51 | 41 | 39 | 52 | 55 | 133 | 106 | 38 | 83 | 52 | 31 | 78 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 7 | W 5 | W 9 | W 4 | WSW 4 | W 9 | W 5 | W 4 | W 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 10 | SW 14 | W 17 | SW 15 | WNW 7 |
18 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 33 | 32 | 42 | 26 | 40 | 39 | 50 | 33 | 52 | 34 | 18 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | W 18 | S 18 | W 17 | S 16 | W 16 | SW 19 | SSW 19 | W 15 | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | W 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | W 17 | SSE 16 |
7 | 7 | 25 | 6 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 17 | 31 | 49 | 48 | 16 | 40 | 14 | 29 | 56 | 58 | 33 | 49 | 85 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | — | — | ESE 3 | — | — | SE 3 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 95 | 131 | 0 | 131 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 21 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Barbara | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Fernald Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fernald Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fernald Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fernald Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fernald Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fernald Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fernald Point is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Santa Barbara, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











