Embare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the surf ahead. It’s looking like a bit of a slow couple of weeks, but we've got a couple of windows that might just save it.

Right off the bat, it’s flat and messy. The first few days are a waste of time, with tiny waves and poor conditions. You’ve got light cross-onshore breezes and weak swell energy sitting at just 55 on Sunday morning. It's not worth the paddle.

Honestly, the first half of this run is a struggle. Around the 1st and 2nd, the swell builds a little but it’s junky, short-period wind swell with 5-6 second intervals, and the wind is all over the shop. The energy gets moderate, hitting 136 on Wednesday afternoon, but it's still sloppy. It's looking a lot more interesting for the kite surfers than for us.

Things start to take a turn for the better on Thursday the 3rd. The wind clocks light offshore in the morning at Embare, and we get a cleaner-looking 1.0m of SSE swell with a better 10-second period. The energy rises to a moderate 234. It's not firing, but it's the first real chance to get a few clean ones. The period stretches out nicely on Friday the 4th, with a glassy morning and 0.7m of 11-second swell. Small, but clean.

We then hit a rough stretch. The weekend and early next week get blown out by onshore winds and building, messy swell. The energy gets strong, but the quality is non-existent. Sunday the 6th brings 1.5m to 1.6m of onshore slop, with energy jumping to 363 and then 447, but it's rainy and bumpy. Monday the 7th brings a fresh cross-shore breeze up to 30 km/h, making it rough and lumpy. It's all just a fight.

The middle of the second week is still pretty average. We get a lull, but it’s still small. The 8th has a bit of swell but it's cross-shore. The 9th pulls an offshore wind for the morning, but only 0.7m of swell, which is on the smaller side.

But here’s the standout. Look to Friday the 11th. There’s a clean, glassy morning with 1.3m of ESE swell, and the wave energy jumps to a strong 375. That’s our first real sign of life. The conditions look glassy, and it should be the pick of the bunch. Not huge, but clean with some push.

The next morning, Saturday the 12th, is also worth a look. It’s glassy again, with 1.3m of easterly swell and strong energy at 252. It’s a similar story: clean but a bit rawer and shorter in period. These two mornings are the standouts, but they're not classics.

Also, keep an eye on Thursday the 14th, which is over a week away. That sees a real pulse of energy, hitting a very strong 1489 in the morning with 2.4m of SSE swell. However, the notes say it’s marginal with questionable tides and light cross-onshore winds. That size, 2.4m, is getting more serious and is not for the beginners. It could be a bomb, or it could be a mess, but it’s got potential if it cleans up.

So, mark your calendars for the 11th and 12th. That’s your window. The long-range stuff for the 14th is a more promising maybe, but it shows the ocean is waking up.

Take it easy out there.

Rusty

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