Embare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s lined up for the next couple of weeks at Embare.

It’s a quiet start, and I mean real quiet. The first few days—Tuesday the 21st right through to the end of the week—are a write-off. We’re looking at tiny, weak swell with periods around 8 seconds, combined energy barely scraping 59 (weak), and winds that are either glassy but with no wave power, or cross-onshore. The water temp is sitting at 20°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so the ocean feels about what you’d expect. But honestly, there’s nothing to get excited about for a paddle. It’s a steady gap of no real surf action until we hit Friday morning the 24th.

Friday the 24th morning finally shows a pulse. The southerly swell comes in at 4 ft with a 10-second period, and combined energy jumps to 242 (moderate). The wind is glassy—dead calm—so it’ll be clean. Still, it’s only "surfable but very ordinary," so don’t go expecting perfection. That same energy holds into Saturday the 25th morning with a 4 ft SSE swell, glassy conditions, and 220 energy. It’s the best of the first week, but still not a standout.

The real highlight, the one you want to circle on the calendar, is Saturday morning, August 1st. That’s a full 11 days out, so keep it in the back of your mind. The forecast shows a 3 ft SSE groundswell with a very long period of 13 seconds, combined energy of 552 (strong). The wind is calm—dead glass—and the forecast actually says "expect good surf conditions." That’s the one. With that long period, Embare, being a sheltered spot, should handle it well. The swell direction from the SSE is pretty much dead on from the optimum south. Could be a real treat.

Sunday afternoon, August 2nd, also looks promising. Again 3 ft from the SSE, 12-second period, 445 energy (moderate), and glassy calm wind. Another solid option.

Throughout the middle days, from the 26th through the 31st, it’s a mix of small, weak swell and poor conditions. Most of it is poor surf, with cross-onshore winds and choppy water. The 31st of July morning has a 4 ft SSE swell, but it’s only 6 seconds—short period, no power. The afternoon of the 31st shows a bigger 6 ft SSE swell, combined energy of 689 (strong), but with a strong cross-onshore wind from the SW at 20 km/h, it’ll be a choppy mess. That one’s for the kite surfers, not the paddle crew.

Into the first week of August, the 3rd and 4th see a drop-off again. The 3rd has a 5 ft easterly swell with a short 8-second period and cross-onshore winds, so no good. The 4th and 5th offer small, clean-ish morning glass but with weak 3-3 ft SE swell and long periods around 13 seconds—still, the energy is moderate and the wind is light cross-onshore, so it’s nothing to write home about.

Bottom line: there’s a real gap of nothing until the 24th, and even that’s just average. The standout is Saturday morning, August 1st, and to a lesser extent Sunday afternoon, August 2nd. Mark those days. The rest is mostly waiting.

Rusty.

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