Embare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks.

We’re looking at a pretty slow start. The first few days are a real write-off with barely a ripple. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th are flat and glassy, but there’s just no energy to work with. It’s not until Wednesday the 5th that we finally see a pulse of life, but even then it’s nothing to get excited about.

The first real standout of the period shapes up for Sunday the 9th. Embare is the only spot in the mix, and it’s a sheltered little number that needs a south swell to light up. And that’s exactly what we’ve got. Sunday morning sees a proper groundswell rolling in from the south with a 3ft face and a long 17-second period. The combined energy hits 647 (moderate), which is a solid step up from the weak stuff we’ve been staring at. The wind is glassy, calm, and the water is sitting at 69°, about 2° warmer than average for this time of year, so it’s a touch balmy. This is the pick of the bunch. The swell is small enough for intermediates, but that long period means it’ll be lining up nicely. Being a sheltered spot, it’ll handle that long-period groundswell well. Crowds are only a *sometimes* thing here, so you might have it to yourself if you’re lucky. It’s a consistent break, so it’s reliable.

After that little peak, it gets messy again. Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th see the swell size bump up, but the wind turns onshore and choppy, ruining the quality. The 5ft swell on Tuesday morning is a bit of a tease, but with light cross-onshore wind and rain, it’s not worth the paddle. The wave energy is high (698), but conditions are marginal.

The next hopeful window is a long way off. Friday the 14th offers a glimmer. The morning is glassy, with a 3ft south-southeast swell and a 12-second period. The combined energy is 294 (moderate). It’s described as “surfable but very ordinary,” which is honest. The afternoon is glassy too, with the same size and a 13-second period. It’s not a classic, but it’s the best we’ll see for a few days.

Then there’s a big gap. The forecast gets a bit more volatile for the second week. Sunday the 16th morning looks powerful, with a 5ft southeast swell and a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is a massive 1751 (strong). That’s a lot of juice. But the wind is onshore, and it’s raining. That’s a frustrating combo. A long-period swell like that would be epic at a point break or reef, but with the wind wrong, it’ll be a washing machine. Not for the faint-hearted.

The last date to keep an eye on is Monday the 17th morning. A 6ft east-southeast swell with an 8-second period puts the energy at 571 (moderate). The wind is light and cross-shore, so it could be semi-clean, but that short period means a pretty crumbly, weak wave at a beach break. It’s strictly for the experienced crew who just need to get wet.

Overall, it’s a lean period. Sunday the 9th is your one true standout, and it’s a nice one. After that, you’re chasing scraps. I’d be checking the long-range models for the 16th and 17th, but don’t sell the farm on it.

Rusty.

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