Embare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it – this is the outlook for Embare, and I gotta be straight with you, it’s a tough stretch. The next few days are looking pretty grim, but we’ve got a slim window down the line that might just make it worth hanging on.

Right off the bat, the water is sitting at 71°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a nice little bonus for the skin, but the surf itself is a hard sell for a while.

We start off on Tuesday the 1st with nothing worth paddling for. Embare is a sheltered spot, needing a solid S’ly swell, but the combined energy is weak at 63 and the wave comment is flat out “poor surf conditions.” The wind is light and clean, but there’s just no power in the water. That gap of poor surf runs right through the first week. Wednesday the 2nd sees a bit more push, with the combined energy climbing to 184 in the morning and 413 in the afternoon, swell height hitting 5ft from the SSE. But the wind is cross-on, and the waves are messy. Thursday the 3rd morning isn’t bad on paper – clean 4ft swell with a long period of 11 seconds and a cross-off breeze – but the energy is only moderate at 336 and the report says “very ordinary conditions.” It’s surfable, but you’ll be working for it, and it’s just not a standout.

The weekend is a write-off. Light winds and glassy mornings on Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th might look tempting, but the swell is tiny – dropping to 1ft – and the energy is pathetic at 64. You’re better off finding a rock pool. The 6th and 7th bring heavier swell (up to 6ft on Monday the 7th with 713 energy), but it’s onshore, choppy, and poorly organised. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The only real beacon in this 16-day outlook is the afternoon of Thursday the 10th of September. The morning of the 10th is still marginal with a 5ft E’ly swell, but the afternoon is the pick: the swell drops to 3ft from the SSE, but the period is a very long 12 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is 471. The wind is a light cross-off, and the model says “expect good surf conditions.” For a sheltered spot like Embare, that’s a rare combination. The waves will be clean, lined up, and with that long period, the paddle out will be easy. If you’re an intermediate, this is the session to aim for. Just keep in mind, with a long-period swell, those sets might come in a bit straighter, but it’s still your best bet.

After that, we’re back to ordinary. Friday the 11th is glassy and clean but small, and the following weekend sees a bit of size on the 13th (5ft) but with a short, messy period and cross-shore winds. The second week is a blur of poor conditions, with strong onshore winds on the 14th and a lot of rain. Nothing else stands out as a real goer.

So, bottom line: if you can wait, the afternoon of Thursday the 10th is the one. It’s the only true highlight in a long, flat-to-ugly run. The rest is for the kite crew or the die-hards who just want to sit in warm water. Don’t hold your breath for the rest.

Stay patient, and keep your eyes on that Thursday.

Rusty

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