Embare Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's be straight—this isn't a classic run for Embare. We've got a long stretch of small, messy, or just plain poor conditions to work through, with a few flickers of something better hiding way out in the second week. The first wave I'd even bother paddling out for doesn't show up until Thursday the 4th, and even then it's a quiet one.

Right now, and through the first few days, it's mostly a write-off. Monday the 31st sees tiny 1ft ESE windswell with a short 8-second period, and only 33 units of combined swell energy. The water is a balmy 72°, which is a whopping 4° warmer than usual for this time of year—very unusual—but that’s the only notable thing. Tuesday the 1st picks up a little to 3ft, but the wind is a mess and the energy is still weak. Wednesday is the same story, onshore and poor.

We finally get a mentionable window on Thursday morning the 3rd. Glassy conditions, a clean 3ft SSE swell running at 11 seconds—that's a proper groundswell—and combined energy climbs to 248, moderate. It's in the 'ordinary' category, not a standout, but for a few hours it'll be the best thing on offer. That lighter period lingers into Friday the 4th with glassy 2ft waves, but the energy drops right back.

Then the taps turn off. From Saturday the 5th through to Tuesday the 9th, it's a poor run of onshore winds, small chop, and very weak energy. A few of those days see combined energy in the 50s to 60s—barely a ripple. Not worth suiting up.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Wednesday the 10th morning is the true standout of the whole forecast. Clean, cross-offshore winds from the ENE, a solid 8ft ESE groundswell at 9 seconds, and combined energy absolutely cranks at 1216—strong wave energy. That's proper size and power, but at 8ft it's over the 5ft mark, so this is for experienced surfers only. It’ll be a lot of water moving around, and with that period on the shorter side, it won't be as clean as a long-period swell, but the wind is the star here. Thursday the 11th morning follows up with a smaller but still clean 5ft ESE swell, though the energy is dialed back to 338. Not the same quality, but still rideable.

After that, it fades again. A small glassy window on Saturday the 13th with 5ft SE swell and 173 energy, then we're back into onshore junk from Sunday the 14th onward. Nothing else lifts above 'poor' through to the end of the 16-day run.

So the pick is simple: Thursday morning 10th September. That’s your window. Big, clean, and powerful with moderate cross-off winds. Just know it's for the stronger paddlers and bigger boards. The rest of the run? A lot of small, sloppy days with barely enough push. If you're not an expert, hold out for that Thursday morning and hope the winds hold.

Rusty.

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