
Surf Forecasts:
Sao Lourenco surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period, SE swell with 494 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Sao Lourenco this week:
The surf forecast for Sao Lourenco over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Sao Lourenco in the next 16 days are 1.6m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Sao Lourenco over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.
Alright, we’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s some real magic brewing later on. The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag, but the real standout is gonna be the long-range stuff. The water temp is sittin’ right on 68°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.
First up, Tuesday the 14th is a bit of a tease. Sao Lourenco (river) is showing some glassy conditions in the morning with a 5ft SSE swell, period of 10 seconds, and combined energy of 405 (moderate). It’s a river mouth, so the swell direction is a bit off the optimum, but with calm winds, it’s worth a look. By afternoon, the wind switches onshore and it gets a bit messy.
Wednesday the 15th is a better bet. The morning is glassy again, with a 5ft SE swell, 10-second period, and energy of 495 (moderate). This is the best of the early window. The wind is offshore from the NNE, so it’ll be clean. The afternoon sees the swell drop off a bit.
Thursday the 16th through to the 21st is a pretty lean run. The swell drops down to under 3ft, and the period shortens up to 8 seconds. The wind is mostly cross-off or cross-shore, so it’s not a total washout, but it’s small and weak. Saturday the 18th is a write-off with 12 mph winds. The energy drops below 100, so it’s just small, weak, and ordinary. You’re lookin’ at a solid week of small, choppy conditions.
Then things get interesting. On Tuesday the 22nd, a new pulse of swell arrives. The morning shows a 5ft S swell, but the period is short at 6 seconds, so it’ll be a bit choppy and messy. The energy jumps to 307 (moderate). The wind is offshore from the NNW, so it’ll be clean on the face, but that short period means it’s not gonna be the best shape.
Hold on to your board, because Thursday the 23rd is the real standout. The morning is glassy, with a 4ft S swell, 13-second period – that’s a proper groundswell. The energy is 613 (strong). This is the best on offer. The wind is glassy, so it’s gonna be clean as a whistle. The long period means it’ll break straight at the river mouth, but it’s a river, so it should be fine. This is the one to mark on your calendar.
Friday the 24th is also a cracker. Morning is glassy, with a 4ft S swell, 12-second period, and energy of 649 (strong). It’s smaller than Thursday, but still very clean. The afternoon sees the wind turn onshore.
After that, the swell drops back down through the weekend and into the next week. The 25th and 26th are small, with ESE swell and shorter periods, and the wind is cross-off, so it’s surfable but ordinary. The 27th and 28th are small and weak again, with the 28th having a bit of a pulse in the afternoon from the south with a long period, but the wind is cross-on, so it’s a maybe.
The 29th has a solid morning with a 5ft S swell, 10-second period, and energy of 425 (moderate), with clean cross-off winds. The afternoon goes glassy with a smaller swell.
So, to wrap it up: the first week is a write-off after Wednesday. The real magic is Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th – get on it. The long-range stuff on the 22nd and 29th are worth a look, but the 23rd is the clear winner.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Sun afternoon, min 17°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | E 7 | SE 10 | E 7 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
370 | 442 | 488 | 408 | 204 | 200 | 170 | 304 | 149 | 256 | 104 | 69 | 96 | 68 | 46 | 73 | 70 | 60 | 44 | 68 | 45 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:27PM1.21m | 2:42AM1.07m | 3:56PM1.17m | 3:15AM1.13m | 4:24PM1.11m | 3:50AM1.17m | 4:50PM1.04m | 4:26AM1.17m | 5:16PM0.99m | 5:03AM1.12m | 5:42PM0.94m | 5:43AM1.04m | 6:11PM0.89m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:06AM-0.03m | 9:51PM0.42m | 9:47AM-0.04m | 10:20PM0.46m | 10:25AM-0.01m | 10:44PM0.48m | 11:01AM0.06m | 11:04PM0.49m | 11:34AM0.16m | 11:23PM0.48m | 12:06PM0.28m | 11:47PM0.47m | 12:41PM0.40m | 00:29AM0.47m | |||||||
6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
— | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 27 | 28 | 20 | 27 | 30 | 22 | 29 | 31 | 24 | 31 | 32 | 24 |
Feels °C | 18 | 17 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 24 | 23 | 19 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 25 | 28 | 20 | 27 | 29 | 22 | 29 | 30 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 |
370 | 442 | 488 | 408 | 204 | 200 | 170 | 304 | 58 | 256 | 104 | 58 | 96 | 68 | 46 | 73 | 70 | 60 | 44 | 68 | 45 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | S 13 | SE 11 | S 13 | S 18 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 |
14 | 50 | 12 | 23 | 9 | 47 | 60 | 3 | 142 | 3 | 6 | 69 | 36 | 16 | 15 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | — | — | — | — | ENE 5 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 20 | S 12 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 18 | S 12 | — | — | — | S 16 | S 15 |
21 | — | — | — | — | 30 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | — | ESE 7 | N 2 | N 3 | NE 2 | N 3 | N 3 | — | N 2 | N 3 | N 3 | N 2 |
— | — | 22 | 64 | 91 | 95 | 163 | 77 | 149 | — | 71 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in São Paulo | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Sao Lourenco Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Sao Lourenco provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Sao Lourenco can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Sao Lourenco surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Sao Lourenco) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Sao Lourenco may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Sao Lourenco is 13 km (8 miles) from Bertioga. If you plan a holiday in São Paulo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Bertioga. Bertioga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










