Sao Pedro Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer at Sao Pedro for the next couple of weeks.

Well, it’s not going to be a classic stretch. The first week or so is pretty quiet. We’ve got a small window of surfable waves starting on the morning of Wednesday the 15th, but it’s small and clean rather than anything to get excited about. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate (288), which tells you it’s not packing much punch. The water temp is sitting at 20°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no wetsuit drama there.

The best of the early run looks like Wednesday morning, the 15th, at Sao Pedro. The swell is a modest 4ft from the SE, with a period of 10 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-off from the NNE at 3 mph. That’s going to leave it looking clean. This is a consistent sandbar break, so it’ll be offering up something, but the energy is low (288). If you’re a beginner, it’s small enough to be a goer, but it’s not going to be a world-beater. Crowds are possible here, so don’t expect solitude.

The pattern then fades. Thursday the 16th has similar small waves in the morning, but the energy drops through the weekend. From Friday the 17th onward, the swell just fades into the dirt. The combined energy drops to three-digit and then two-digit figures, and the swell height is under 3ft. By Monday the 21st, it’s genuinely poor and barely breaking. There’s a stretch of several days there with nothing really worth paddling out for.

Then, on the morning of Thursday the 23rd, there’s a little shift. We get a glassy morning with a 2ft S swell, but it’s still weak (76). It’s surfable, but it’s ordinary. That pattern of small, glassy or clean conditions continues through the next few days, but the swell is tiny—under 2ft. It’s the kind of thing you’d only go out for if you’re desperate for a float.

Now, looking ahead to the second week, there’s a bit more promise but it’s less certain. On Sunday the 26th, the swell picks up to 5ft from the S with a period of 9 seconds, but the wind is onshore and there’s rain. The combined energy jumps to 356, which is solidly moderate, but the wind is cross-on and it’s lumpy. That’s a kite-surfing setup more than a clean paddle session. Monday the 27th is similar, with 5ft but onshore winds and choppy conditions. Not great.

The standout for the whole forecast is actually Tuesday the 28th, in the morning. The swell is 4ft from the S, but look at the period: 13 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, with very long-period energy. The combined energy is a strong 545. The wind is a light cross-on from the E at 6 mph, so it’s a bit textured, but the energy is there. This is a sandbar, so a long-period swell like that might not be as perfect as a point break, but there will be some power. It’s got a score that suggests it’s the best on offer, but it’s a week and a half away, so treat it as promising but not locked in.

If you’re a beginner, that 4ft is fine. If you’re an expert, you’ll want the bigger, windier days (26th and 27th) but they’re messy. The 28th is the best compromise.

Overall, if you’re keen, the morning of the 15th and the morning of the 28th are your windows. The rest is flat or ordinary.

Rusty.

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