El Roque Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – this outlook is a tough one. We've got a 16-day window ahead, but honestly, it's looking like a write-off for any decent surf at El Roque. The whole period is a long stretch of messy, onshore, and choppy conditions. I'm gonna have to talk you through the blank run we're in for, because there's just nothing to get excited about.

Right from the start, Wednesday the 29th, we're looking at a poor situation. The swell is a weak 4 ft out of the NNE with a short, choppy period of 6 seconds, and the wind is a cross-onshore breeze at 15 mph. The combined wave energy is weak, sitting at 131. It's a total no-go. The water temp is 74°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that's the only thing that's not a letdown.

Thursday and Friday don't get any better. The swell bumps up a bit, but it's still a short-period windswell coming from the NNE, and the wind stays cross-onshore or onshore, keeping the surface a mess. The energy picks up a bit, hitting 293 on Friday morning, but the 'poor surf conditions' label tells you everything you need to know.

The weekend of the 2nd and 3rd of August is just more of the same. The swell direction starts to swing more northerly, but the wind is relentless from the N and NNE, keeping it onshore. The energy is building, with a reading of 450 on Monday the 3rd, but it's all wind-affected junk.

As we roll into the second week, the size starts to get serious. From the 4th of August onwards, we're seeing consistent swell heights of 6 ft to 8 ft, and the combined energy is climbing into the strong zone, hitting 993 on the 8th of August. But here's the heartbreaker – the wind is stuck onshore, and the conditions are still listed as 'poor'. For a reef break that does best with a clean offshore from the S or NNW, constant onshore wind is a disaster. The wind is shredding any chance of a decent wave. And with the swell hitting 8 ft, it would be expert-only territory anyway, but it's so messy there's no point.

So, to put it plain: we have a solid 16-day stretch with zero quality surf on offer. The swell is there, the energy is there, but the wind is killing it. It's a long wait for a clean window that just isn't coming. Forecasts can change, but right now, this is a dry spell you have to accept. If you're desperate for a paddle, you'll be battling a chop, not riding waves. Keep the board in the car and check back with me.

Rusty.

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