El Roque Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's coming down the pike for El Roque.

Honestly, looking at this whole 16-day stretch, it’s a bit of a tough pill to swallow. The swell is there for sure, but it’s almost never lining up right with the winds to give us anything clean. We’ve got a real dry spell shaping up here. The forecast is showing a run of "poor surf conditions" for the vast majority of the period, which is a bummer.

The first solid recommendation doesn't really pop up until we get deep into the forecast, way down the line. There’s a big gap with no real green lights for a long time. Right now, through the end of this week and into the next, it's all cross-on winds or onshores messing up a pretty consistent, building swell. The water temp is sitting at 73° with just a half-degree anomaly, so right on the money for this time of year – that’s about the only thing that’s playing nice.

Starting next week, around Tuesday, July 21st in the morning, we finally see a little flicker of hope. The report flags it as "marginal." We’re looking at a 7 ft swell from the NNE with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is a solid 693 (moderate to strong energy), but the wind is onshore from the NNW at 9 mph. That'll keep it bumpy, but for a morning session when the wind is lighter, you might find a peak. Then again on Wednesday, July 22nd morning, another marginal call: 6 ft from the N, period up to 10 seconds, energy at 570. The wind is cross-on from the NE at 9 mph though, so it’ll have that chop on it.

If you’re an experienced surfer and don’t mind a bit of a struggle, there might be a better window later on. Look at Saturday, July 25th and Sunday, July 26th. The swell hangs around 5 ft from the N with a solid 10-second period, giving us energy readings in the 400s. The breeze is light and onshore (6-9 mph) from the N or NNW. It is *still* onshore, but a light breeze is always better than a howler. It might be the cleanest of a messy bunch.

But realistically, for a solid, clean wave? There isn't a standout session in this whole outlook. The wind just never seems to go fully offshore or glassy long enough to pair with the building swell. It's one of those stretches where the ocean is pumping, but the conditions are fighting it the whole way. Keep an eye on it; forecasts change, but right now, don't cancel your plans for this one.

Stay patient,
Rusty.

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