El Roque Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get to it.

It's a tough stretch ahead for El Roque. We've got a solid run of onshore winds and poor conditions that aren't doing us any favors for paddle surfing. Over the first week and a half, we're looking at a gap with no real recommendations. The water is sitting at 76°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, a nice little anomaly to note.

Starting Monday, August 31st and running through to the end of the first week, it's mostly cross-onshore or onshore winds. Swell hangs around 4ft to 8ft from the NNE, but with short periods of 6 to 8 seconds, it's just weak, choppy energy. The combined energy values are mostly in the 200-300 range, which is moderate, but the wind and short period ruin any hope of clean waves. It's all poor surf conditions.

By the 8th of September, the winds finally lighten up. Tuesday morning sees a light breeze, and the wave comment ticks up to "marginal." The swell is 5ft from the NNE with a 6-second period, and the combined energy is moderate at 255. It's not great, but it's the first glimmer of something that isn't a complete write-off.

The 10th of September offers a little more size, with 5ft from the NNE, but again, poor conditions and an onshore wind mean it's not worth the paddle out. The gap continues.

Then we get to the 15th of September. This is the standout. Tuesday morning delivers a 4ft swell from the NNW with a period of 16 seconds – that's a very long period groundswell. The combined energy hits 1038, which is strong energy for this spot. The problem? It's still an onshore wind. This one is a tease. That long period will make it better suited to a point or reef than a beach break like El Roque, but with the wind against it, it'll be messy. The 15-second period afternoon is similar, with 1000 energy. These are the only real standouts, but I'd call them promising but less certain given the wind. If the wind swings offshore, we're on.

For now, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the persistent onshore winds and moderate energy. The second week offers multiple days with gentle to light breezes, but the swell is small and short. It's a blank run for the most part, and that's just how it goes here sometimes. Forecasts can change, but for the next 16 days, don't get your hopes up for a clean paddle session.

Rusty.

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