El Roque Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it's a bit of a tough stretch ahead. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty grim with no standouts to get excited about. We've got a long stretch of poor surf conditions, so don't expect any heroics.

Right off the bat, we're in a dry spell. The first recommended surf shows up on Thursday, July 30th, but it's a real struggle. We're looking at a weak, short-period windswell from the NNE, around 6 ft, but with a period of only 7 seconds. The wind is a cross-on from the NE at 12 mph, making it choppy and messy. The combined energy is weak (292). The water temperature is 74°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. It's a no-go.

This pattern basically holds through the entire forecast. From Friday the 31st all the way through to Friday, August 14th, every single session is flagged as "poor surf conditions." The swell never really cleans up. The wind, when it's not cross-on, is mostly a direct onshore wind from the N or NNE, which will just turn the wave faces into a washing machine. The swell height bounces around between 3 ft and 7 ft, but the period is consistently short, between 6 and 8 seconds, meaning it's all windswell with no power.

There is a small bump in size around August 11th-12th, with swell hitting 7 ft and the combined energy climbing into the moderate range (up to 491). But it's still a direct onshore wind and a short period, so it's just going to be a bigger, messier wall of whitewater. At 7 ft, this is only for the experts anyway, and even they won't find much to love here. For a reef break like El Roque, which is supposed to be best with a NNW swell, we're getting close to nothing from that direction.

The only slight change of pace is on Saturday, August 8th, in the afternoon. The swell drops to 2 ft, but the period jumps to 10 seconds from the NNW. The combined energy is still moderate (206). It's a cleaner swell direction, but the size is tiny and the wind is still a strong onshore from the N at 12 mph. It's a tease at best.

So, the bottom line: there's nothing worth paddling out for across the entire 16-day window. The conditions are consistently poor. It's a blank run, and for this area, that's just how it goes sometimes. Hang tight, forecasts can change, but for now, I'd leave the board in the car.

Rusty.

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