El Roque Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Well, grab a coffee and sit down, because I’ve got to level with you. The next couple of weeks at El Roque are looking pretty grim, and I’m not going to sugarcoat it.

The whole 16-day window is shaping up to be a real bust. We're looking at a stretch with no good surf on offer anywhere, and I mean anywhere. The swell is onshore, the winds are mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the periods are short and weak. It’s a classic summer flat spell, and it’s going to hang around for the entire run.

Water temps are sitting at about 75°, which is right around normal for this time of year, so at least you won't need a thick suit for the inevitable paddle out and sit.

We start off on Saturday the 15th with some cross-on wind and a short, weak 5ft swell (combined energy of 304). It’s choppy and messy. The next couple of days bring slightly cleaner conditions early with the wind turning more onshore, but the swell just doesn’t have any push, dropping to around 4ft to 4ft. It’s small, weak, and gutless.

The pattern doesn’t really change through the entire first week. We see a slight bump in size around Friday the 21st with 4ft and period picking up to 8 seconds, but the wind is still onshore, making it a crumbly, blown-out mess. The energy is moderate at best (245), but it’s not doing us any favors.

Going into the second week, the winds ease a little from the 24th onward, but the swell direction stays locked in from the NNE, which is cross-on for this break. The period drops back down to 6-8 seconds, which is just not enough to make anything out of it. The size hovers around a dribbly 4ft to 5ft. It’s an endless stretch of the same thing: small, short-period, and onshore.

There's a slight kick in size starting on the 29th and 30th, with the swell pushing 5ft to 6ft and the energy climbing into the strong range (368 on the 30th). But don't get excited. The period is still a weak 7 seconds, and the wind is still cross-onshore. It’s going to be a lumpy, closeout shorebreak with no shape. If it wasn't a reef, I’d say it was more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, but as it stands, it's just a whole lot of nothing.

Honestly, this is one of those stretches where the ocean just isn't cooperating. The conditions are consistently poor, and with no solid groundswell on the horizon, there’s nothing to chase. It’s a classic summer lull for the area, and while it won't last forever, you might be better off finding another hobby for a few weeks. The longer-range stuff around the 30th is promising only in size, but the quality is still a no-go. Keep the board in the car, but don’t hold your breath.

Stay stoked, but maybe stay dry.

Rusty

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