El Roque Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s have a look at what’s on offer. This is a pretty lean outlook, I gotta be honest with ya. El Roque is the only spot we’re tracking, and it’s a forgiving beginner reef break that needs the right window to clean up.

We’re looking at a bit of a slow start. Monday morning on the 14th is our first chance – there’s a tidy 4ft NNE swell rolling in with a short 8-second period (so energy is moderate at 287). The water is sittin’ at 75°, which is about normal for this time of year, no surprises there. Best part? Glassy conditions with a light offshore WSW breeze, 3 mph. That is the standout window – clear skies, clean faces, and the swell direction matches the break’s preferred angle. It’s the best session of the whole run, but the crowd might be a factor – this spot does draw people sometimes. For beginners, 4ft is a nice size to learn on.

After that, it’s mostly a write-off for a stretch. Monday afternoon goes onshore, and then from Tuesday the 15th all the way through Thursday the 24th, we’re dealing with onshore winds, cross-shore trash, or just too-small swell. There’s a little bump around Saturday the 19th with 5–5ft N swell, but onshore winds ruin the party. The combined energy is moderate (511–508), but the quality just isn’t there. It’s a gap of nearly a week, with no real standout sessions.

The next glimmer comes Sunday the 20th – another glassy morning with 4ft N swell and 9-second period, NE breeze at 3 mph. Clean, but smaller. It’s a decent dawny if you’re desperate.

Lookin’ further out, towards the 28th of September, we see a solid pulse of swell predicted: 10ft NNW, very long period of 13 seconds, and combined energy crankin’ at 2889 – that’s strong-to-very-strong energy. That swell is way too big for this beginner-friendly reef. The wave comment says it’s too big for the break, and I agree – that’s expert territory, and even then the onshore wind from the north at 12 mph will make it ugly. Too risky for a recommend.

So really, the only two mornings worth paddling out are Monday the 14th and Sunday the 20th. Monday the 14th is the true standout – glassy, clean 4ft NNE swell at a rewarding reef for beginners. After that, we’re mostly waiting for the next real clean swell that lines up. Hang in there, it’ll come.

Rusty.

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