El Roque Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ our way.

Gotta be straight with you – this is a tough run for El Roque. We’re lookin’ at a long, frustrating stretch of onshore wind and small, weak swell that just won’t clean up. The whole start of the period is a write-off. From Wednesday the 8th all the way through to Saturday the 18th, it’s pretty much a desert. The swell is tiny – mostly under 3ft with a short, mushy period of 4-6 seconds – and that steady N to NNE wind blows straight onto the reef. The combined energy is pitiful, stickin’ under 100 for days at a time with a few weak pops up to 121 on the 12th. Even when the swell tries to nudge a bit bigger, the wind just wrecks it. There’s no standout here for a long, long time.

Now, things finally start to shift around Sunday the 19th. We get a pulse of swell that’s a bit more serious – 7ft from the NNE with a period of 8 seconds – and the combined energy jumps to 578. That’s a decent amount of juice, but the wind goes onshore again in the afternoon, and even the morning has a light cross-onshore breeze. That “marginal” tag on the morning session is the only sliver of hope all week. This size swell is right on the edge of being too much for beginners, so only experienced folks should even think about it.

Come Wednesday the 22nd, we see the swell try again: 6ft to 7ft, still short-period (7 seconds) from the NNE, with energy climbin’ into the 400s. But once again, it’s plagued by that onshore and cross-onshore wind. It’s frustrating.

The real kicker comes on Thursday the 23rd. That morning we get a big jolt – 10ft from the NNE at a 9-second period and energy reading a massive 1223. That’s a solid, powerful swell. But – and it’s a big but – the wind is still onshore, and that size is strictly for experts only. Even then, with that constant wind, it’s going to be a messy, blown-out mess. This spot needs clean, offshore conditions to shine, and we just don’t have ’em.

The best on offer? There isn’t a true standout day. If you are an expert who is *very* patient, keep an eye on Sunday morning the 19th. That 7ft NNE swell with just a light cross-onshore breeze is the closest we get to a chance, but it’s marginal at best. For the rest of us, just save the gas money.

Rusty.

Read more