El Roque Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about El Roque. Honestly, it’s gonna be a long, flat, ugly stretch. Over this whole 16-day run from Saturday July 4th through Sunday July 19th, there ain’t a single decent surf day on the cards. Every session is flagged as poor surf conditions, so I’m callin’ it straight – leave the board at home.

The first few days, Saturday the 4th and Sunday the 5th, we see some swell around 3 ft to 5 ft from the N and NNW, with periods of 9-10 seconds. That gives moderate energy, around 398 (moderate). But the wind’s already on it – cross-onshore, light at first, then pickin’ up to 9-12 mph. By Sunday, it’s a gentle breeze blowin’ cross-onshore, makin’ the surface choppy and messy. No clean waves to be had.

Midweek, Monday through Wednesday, the swell drops a little – down to around 3 ft to 4 ft from the N and NNE – but the period shortens to 4-8 seconds, and the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore at 9-15 mph. Energy drops way down, as low as 52 (weak). It’s choppy, weak, and ugly.

By the second week, say Thursday July 10th through the weekend of July 18th and 19th, the swell picks up again, reachin’ 5 ft to 7 ft from the NNE with periods of 6-8 seconds. Energy values climb back up into moderate and strong territory, peakin’ at 456 (strong). But the wind don’t let up – still blowin’ onshore or cross-onshore at 12-16 mph. That kind of size with that wind just means lumpy, bumpy, blown-out surf. That 5-6 ft stuff is gettin’ too big for beginners, but it’s no good for anyone with the wind wreckin’ it.

El Roque is a reef break, fairly consistent, but it needs clean wind to shine. We got none of that. Even the water temp at 72°F, about average for the time of year, don’t help. The whole period is just a bust.

If you’re itchin’ to get wet, this setup looks more like a kiter’s playground – especially when the swell energy gets strong. For a proper surf session, there’s nothin’ here. This kind of blank run – every day poor – it’s not unusual for this spot when the wind sets in bad and stays bad. Forecasts can change, but right now, you’re better off waitin’ for a better window.

Rusty.

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