Broadway Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – the outlook for Broadway over the next 16 days is a bit of a tough one. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with barely a ripple worth paddling for. The first real sniff of something surfable pops up on Wednesday morning, July 29th, but even then it’s a struggle.

The whole pattern is dominated by onshore winds and a lot of stormy, messy conditions. The water temperature is sitting at a pretty average 75°F for the time of year, nothing unusual there.

Let’s walk through it. Monday afternoon, July 27th, kicks off with a risk of thunderstorms and a southerly wind blowing straight onshore. The swell’s a tiny 1 ft from the southeast, with a weak energy reading of just 25. It’s poor. Tuesday, July 28th, is even worse – the wind cranks up to 22 mph from the south-southwest, and the swell is a messy, short-period 5 ft from the south, but the energy spikes to 115. Still, it’s all onshore, so it’s a write-off.

Then we get a glimmer on Wednesday morning, July 29th. A clear sky, a light west-northwest wind at 6 mph making it cross-offshore, and the water’s clean. The swell is a small 2 ft from the southeast, period a short 7 seconds, and the combined energy is 87. It’s surfable, but ordinary. The report calls it “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” That’s the best we get, and it’s a 1/10. For an advanced spot like Broadway, that’s a serious disappointment. The rest of Wednesday and into Thursday and Friday, the wind stays cross-offshore or goes glassy on Friday afternoon, but the swell never gets above 2 ft and the energy just dribbles away into the 20s and 30s. It’s clean, but there’s nothing to ride.

The rest of the first week into August is a washout. From Saturday, August 1st, through to Sunday, August 9th, we’ve got a solid run of poor surf. The wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, the swell stays tiny, often below 2 ft, and the energy readings are mostly in the teens and twenties. There’s a brief bump on Monday, August 3rd, with a 4 ft swell from the southeast at 9 seconds and energy hitting 172, then 4 ft on Monday afternoon with energy at 289. But the wind is onshore from the south or south-southeast, so it’s all blown out and messy. The report keeps calling it “poor surf conditions.” For a beach/jetty setup like Broadway, with these strong onshore winds, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

From Tuesday, August 5th, through to Sunday, August 11th, the swell just drops off a cliff. Heights are 1 ft, 0.7 ft, and even 0.3 ft, with energy readings in the single digits. It’s flat. The water is clean on a few mornings, but there’s no swell to speak of. The entire 16-day window is a bust. There are no standout days, no hidden gems, just a long, quiet period. If you’ve got a kite, maybe you’ll find something on the windier afternoons, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a hard pass. The forecast confidence is high for the near term, and it’s just not good.

Rusty.

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