Broadway Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s get into it. This is a tough one for the foreseeable future. Honestly, we’re looking at a pretty bleak start with almost two weeks of nothing worth getting wet for at Broadway. It’s a beach/jetty setup here, advanced only when it’s on, and right now? It’s just not. We’ve got a run of poor surf conditions that stretches from the 11th all the way through to the early part of the 22nd. That’s over ten days of flat to weak dribble. Not much hope in that.

The water’s sitting at a balmy 77°F for the early part, which is much warmer than normal – a solid 6°F above the long-term average, so you’ll feel that difference. But warm water doesn’t make for good waves, and the only flicker we start seeing is around Tuesday the 22nd. It’s still only a marginal call, but come the morning, we get a pulse of swell at 5ft coming out of the east with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy hits 308 (moderate). The wind’s a cross-offshore breeze, so the surface should be clean. It’s not big, but it’s the first sign of life.

That builds into Wednesday the 23rd. The morning sees 6ft east swell, period at 9 seconds, combined energy jumping to 517 (moderate to strong). The wind, however, is a fresh 22 mph cross-off, so it’ll be clean but blown out on top. The crowd profile says it’s *often* busy here, so you won't be alone. The afternoon brings 5ft east-southeast swell with a fresh 19 mph offshore wind – that's proper clean, but the energy is still only 357, so the quality isn't there yet.

Now, if you can wait, the standout window arrives on Thursday the 24th. The morning is pure magic on paper. 7ft east-northeast swell, 8 seconds, combined energy up at 503 (moderate to strong). But the real win is the wind: glassy, 3 mph from the west-northwest. That’s flat calm, picture-perfect clean conditions. For a beach/jetty, that’s rare. Now, 7ft is pushing into expert territory – definitely not for beginners. The afternoon gets bigger at 8ft but goes onshore, so don’t expect that morning glass to last.

Friday the 25th is the climax size-wise, but it comes with a caveat. Morning sees 8ft east swell, 10 seconds, and a massive 1496 (strong) combined energy. The direction is east, which is a good match for the optimum southeast direction at Broadway. But the wind is onshore from the south-southwest, so it’ll be messy and lumpy. That’s proper heavy, expert-only stuff, and with the onshore wind, it’s going to be a battle. The afternoon holds at 8ft with the period stretching to 11 seconds (groundswell), but the cross-onshore wind from the southeast won’t help.

Into Saturday the 26th, we’re dropping back to 7ft east-southeast swell, 10 seconds, energy at 687 (moderate). The wind is cross-off, so the surface will be clean enough, but the magic of that Thursday morning glass is long gone.

So, the one true standout? Thursday the 24th morning. That glassy, 7ft east swell with a clean surface is the best on offer across the whole run. It’s big, so only for the experienced crew, but the conditions will be as good as it gets here. The run-up is long and flat, and the days after are too big and windy. Set the alarm for that Thursday morning, and don’t bother with the rest.

Rusty.

Read more