Aracaju Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty. Let’s be straight with you—this 16-day window for our stretch is looking pretty grim for paddle surfing. I’ve gone through the numbers, and there are no proper green lights for a decent session. We’ve got a long stretch of onshore and cross-onshore winds, short-period wind swell, and a whole lot of chop. It’s a barren run, plain and simple.

The first real chance of anything that might get you excited doesn’t show up until Saturday the 15th. Before that, from now until the 14th, it’s all poor surf conditions. We’re talking 2ft to 4ft of short-period, confused swell (7-8 seconds) with the wind blowing straight on or cross-on from the E/SE. The energy is weak to moderate—values like 90 to 497 in the combined energy readout—but it’s messy. On the 12th, there’s a pulse of long-period S swell at 2.5ft (15 seconds), but the wind is still cross-on from the SE, and the model calls it poor. That’s a tease, not a session.

The standout, and I mean the *only* thing close to a standout, is the Saturday morning (15th) at Aracaju. The swell jumps to 3ft from the SSE with a 15-second period. This is proper groundswell energy—the combined energy hits a strong 756. The wind is a light cross-shore breeze from the NE at 9 mph, which is the best wind we see all window. It’s going to be cleaner than anything else, with just a slight cross-chop. This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s not big, but it’s your best shot at a wave with some push and shape. Because the swell is from the SSE, it’s coming from the optimum direction for this spot. It’s a beginner-friendly break anyway, and with under 3ft, it’s perfect for that crew. Just note that crowds are possible here, and while it’s listed as fairly consistent, it’s not a machine.

After that little window on the 15th, it slips back into the same old story. Sunday the 16th has some SSE swell (2.5ft, 14s) but the cross-on wind chops it up. From the 18th onwards, the swell bumps up to 5ft, but it’s back to short period (7-8 seconds) and onshore winds. That’s just junky, bumpy, and not worth the paddle. It’s also getting into the size where it’s less friendly for the groms, but the quality is so poor it doesn’t matter.

Look, the water temp is sitting at 79°, which is about average for this time of year. The wind and swell just aren’t lining up. With the prevailing E/SE winds and the short-period chop, the setup looks more interesting for the kite crew than us surfers. I’d keep the board in the car for the 15th, have a look, and otherwise, give it a miss. Forecasts can shift, but this one’s looking like a long, flat, and choppy stretch. Hang loose.

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