Willow Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next 16 days at Willow Creek are a bit of a mixed bag, and honestly, there’s not a lot to get proper excited about for most of it. You’ve got a lot of marginal days with cross-shore winds messing things up. The water is sitting at 57°F, which is a degree colder than average for this time of year, so you’ll be reaching for the thicker rubber.

The first real session that’s worth paddling out for is Friday morning, July 10th. We’ve got a glassy morning with zero wind, and a 3ft SSW swell running at 16 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, meaning proper lines and some good energy, but at a reef like Willow Creek, that long period can make it a bit straight. The combined energy reading is 754 (moderate), so there’s some push. It’s consistent here, but it’s a beginner-friendly spot, so crowds are possible – expect a few locals out. That Friday morning is the standout.

The build-up to that is a run of small, cross-shore junk. From Friday afternoon the 3rd all the way through Thursday the 9th, it’s mostly 2ft to 4ft with a mix of 6 to 12 mph cross or cross-on winds. The swell jumps to 8ft on Wednesday the 8th, but that’s a short-period 7-second WNW windswell, and with moderate cross-shore winds, it’ll be a messy, choppy mess – more for the kite crew than us. That’s too big for beginners, and the quality is poor.

After the Friday 10th glassy window, the wind swings back to cross-on and cross for the rest of the week, with swell staying around 3ft from the SSW. Not terrible, but not clean. Then Monday morning July 13th has another glassy patch with 3ft SSW swell at 13 seconds, giving a light 390 energy – it’s small, but clean. Worth a look if you’re keen.

The second week, from July 14th onward, is a real drop-off. Swell sizes drop to 2ft–2ft, period gets long again (19–21 seconds), but the wind is a steady 9–12 mph cross. The combined energy drops to between 258 and 573 – weak. There’s a brief spike on July 17th and 18th with 7ft WNW windswell, but again, short period (7–8 seconds) and cross-winds, so it’s a messy, choppy affair. Not a lot to recommend.

The best bet? Get out Friday morning July 10th for that glassy, clean, 3ft SSW groundswell. It’s the only real standout in the whole 16 days. After that, it’s mostly a waiting game until the next decent window.

Rusty.

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