San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cookin’ at San Carpoforo Creek.

Right off the bat, it’s a bit of a slow burner. The first couple of days are a write-off for any decent paddle. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd have some size, but the wind is a cross-onshore mess, and the water is a frigid 56°, which is a full 5° colder than it should be for this time of year... that’s a real shock to the system. The combined energy on Sunday afternoon jumps to (1455), but it’s a choppy, lumpy beast with an offshore wind state that’s actually onshore, so it’s a no-go.

Monday the 3rd morning offers a glimmer, with a 5ft swell from the WNW and a 10-second period, and the wind is offshore. It’s still only a marginal call, but the lightest of breezes might make it clean enough for a patient intermediate. The energy is moderate (519). After that, it fades fast. From Tuesday the 4th through to the 9th, we’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak surf – mostly under 3ft, with combined energy dipping as low as (180). Even the long-period groundswells that show up on the 7th and 8th (19 seconds!) are too small to do anything with, and the wind is fickle.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The 10th of August through the 12th sees a pulse of 4ft to 5ft swell from the WNW, with a solid 10-second period. The wind is mostly light and offshore or cross-shore, so the creek mouth could actually clean up. The energy sits in the moderate range (645 to 517). This is the best stretch of the whole outlook for most surfers. It’s not epic, but it’s workable, and the break is a consistent creek mouth that can hold a bit of power.

Looking further out, the 13th of August has a special moment. Thursday morning is glassy, with a 2ft, 16-second groundswell from the SW. The energy is (461) – that’s a long-period pulse that’ll wrap in nicely. The break is a river mouth, so it’s perfect for these long-period swells. It’s small, but it’ll be pure and clean. The 16th of August also serves up a glassy afternoon with a 3ft, 15-second SSW swell and energy of (682). That’s a very promising, clean little session.

For the standout, I’d put my money on the morning of the 10th of August through the 12th. That’s the most consistent run of rideable swell with the best wind. The 5ft WNW swell with a 10-second period and light offshore wind will be the most fun for the longest time. The glassy, long-period sessions on the 13th and 16th are the true gems for the connoisseur, but they’re small and fleeting. Expect crowds at the creek mouth, as it’s a well-known spot and it’s consistent.

Rusty.

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