San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what San Carpoforo Creek has in store for the next couple of weeks.

First week is a bit of a slog, to be honest. We’ve got a lot of days where the wind is just ruining the fun – mostly cross-onshore, making for choppy, messy conditions. The swell is there, but the quality is poor for most of the first week. There’s some energy in the water, with combined energy readings around 406 to 707 (moderate), but it’s not doing us any favors with the onshore flow.

Monday the 13th is a total washout with cross-on winds and a marginal 3ft SSW swell. Tuesday the 14th isn’t any better, with the wind picking up and the swell dropping to 2ft. Wednesday through Friday the 15th to 17th is more of the same – cross-on winds and poor surf quality, with the swell bumping up to 6ft on Wednesday and 7ft on Thursday afternoon, but it’s all choppy and blown out. That kind of size with that wind is more for the kite surfers, honestly.

Now, the real standout, the one we’ve been waiting for, is Monday the 20th of July. This is the jewel of the whole outlook. Early morning, the wind goes glassy – a perfect 5 km/h offshore breeze from the west. The swell is a clean 3ft from the south, with a 12-second period. That’s a nice, clean groundswell. The combined energy is a solid 888 (moderate). This is going to be a fantastic session, with clean, lined-up waves and no wind to mess with ’em. The crowds are listed as “sometimes” here, so expect a few others out, but it won’t be a zoo. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

After that, the following week is a mixed bag. Tuesday the 21st through Saturday the 26th is mostly morning windows with light onshore or cross-onshore winds and marginal surf. The swell direction swings around to the south-southwest and south, with periods between 13 and 17 seconds. The combined energy is moderate to strong, hitting 994 on Tuesday the 21st morning and 1267 on Sunday the 26th morning. Still, the wind is the enemy. Sunday the 26th morning has a 5ft NW swell, but it’s cross-onshore, so it’s still a bit choppy. The second week’s outlook is less certain, but the pattern looks like it’ll stay marginal.

So, the bottom line: if you can only paddle out once, make it Monday the 20th of July for that glassy, clean morning session. The rest of the time, you’ll be fighting the wind.

Rusty.

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