San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at San Carpoforo Creek over the next couple of weeks.

First off, the water’s running a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 57°, so you’ll want a good wetsuit. The good news is that after a rough start, we’ve got a real standout session on the horizon.

The forecast starts with a pretty grim picture. Thursday and Friday are a write-off – choppy, cross-onshore winds and poor surf conditions. You’re better off staying home. The weekend isn’t much better; Saturday morning has a tiny 3 ft swell with a very long 18-second period from the SW, but it’s clean with light offshore winds. The energy is moderate (791), but it’s marginal at best. Sunday morning is similar with a 3 ft SW swell and a 17-second period, though the energy is picking up (956). Still, nothing to get excited about.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday, the 20th of July, is your best bet. The morning session is the real standout. We’ve got a 5 ft swell from the S with a 14-second period, which is a proper groundswell. The energy is strong (1208), and the wind is glassy – dead calm. That’s a recipe for clean, powerful waves. This is an intermediate spot, so the size is manageable for most, but the long period means it’ll be lining up nicely. Keep in mind, with a long-period S swell, it can break a bit straight on a beach setup, but it should still offer some good walls. The crowds are "sometimes" here, so you might have some company, but it shouldn’t be a zoo.

Tuesday morning, the 21st, is also a solid option. Swell drops a touch to 5 ft from the SSW with a 12-second period, but the wind is light and cross-offshore, keeping it clean. The energy is still strong (835). It’s a good backup, but Monday morning is the clear winner.

After that, things get messy again. From Wednesday the 22nd onward, the wind swings back to a cross-onshore or onshore direction, and the swell quality drops off. There are a few mornings with light offshore winds (like the 22nd, 30th, and 31st), but the swell is small and the conditions are only marginal. Nothing worth planning a trip around.

The long-range looks pretty average. The end of July and into the 31st has some small, long-period SSW swells, but the wind is consistently cross-onshore, chopping it up. The energy is moderate to strong (up to 1728 on the 27th afternoon), but the poor wind kills it.

So, bottom line: Monday morning, the 20th of July, is the one to circle on your calendar. Glassy, solid groundswell, and good energy. Tuesday morning is a decent second option. The rest of the 16-day window is mostly a bust. Don’t hold your breath for the second week; it’s looking like a long stretch of frustrating conditions.

Rusty.

Read more