San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at San Carpoforo Creek.

Alright, we've got a bit of a mixed bag ahead. For the next 16 days, the overall pattern is dominated by consistent south-west to south-southwest swell, but the wind is the real story – and it’s not a great one for the most part. A persistent cross-onshore breeze is going to keep things choppy and messy. The water is sitting at 58°F, which is about 3°F colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit.

The pick of the period is looking like Thursday morning, July 30th. We’ve got a clean 3ft swell from the SSW, with a nearly 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind swings around to straight onshore, but it’s only a light breeze at 6 mph, which should keep the surface a lot cleaner than the rest of the week. You’ll feel the power with moderate wave energy in the water (1001). It’s not a massive day, but it will be the cleanest and most rideable window we see in the first week.

For the rest of that first week, it’s a bit of a grind. The swell hangs around, mostly in the 3ft to 4ft range from the SW and SSW, with moderate to strong wave energy (1065 to 1482). But every session is plagued by that cross-onshore wind from the northwest, building to 16 mph in the afternoons. Mornings are only slightly better with a gentle cross-onshore breeze at 9 mph, which still leaves the surface fairly choppy. It’s not blown out, but it’s marginal. This break is consistent, and the exposed nature means it catches everything, but the quality is just not there.

We hit a bit of a flat spot in the second week. From Saturday, August 1st, through to Friday, August 8th, the wave energy drops off significantly – numbers like 841 down to 248. The swell height fluctuates but the period drops to a crummy 8 to 10 seconds, which is short-period windswell. The wind does ease up, with a few mornings seeing light onshore breezes or even some light cross-shore conditions. It won't be totally flat, but the surf will be weak, small, and ragged. There are no true standouts here; it’s just poor to marginal at best.

The very tail end of the outlook, around Sunday, August 9th, sees a glimmer of that long-period groundswell again, with a 2ft swell from the SSW at 16 seconds. It’s tiny, and the energy is weak (366), but with a light onshore wind, it could be a sneaky one for a longboard. But we’re 16 days out, so keep it in the back of your mind.

So, to sum it up: if you’re desperate for a paddle, target the morning sessions. The only real standout is Thursday July 30th morning. The rest of the time, the cross-shore wind is going to put a cap on the quality. Keep an eye on the long-range for Sunday August 9th.

Rusty

Read more