San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good, hard look at what San Carpoforo Creek has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. It’s a mixed bag, and I’m not gonna sugarcoat it, but there’s a proper little gem hiding in the second week if you’re patient.

Right off the bat, the next week is a frustrating grind. The swell is on the small side, mostly around 3 ft, coming from the SSW with a long 15 to 16 second period. That’s a groundswell, which is good for shape, but the energy is pretty weak, sitting between 500 and 600 (moderate wave energy). The real problem is the wind. It’s cross-onshore or onshore nearly every day, with speeds from 6 to 12 mph, keeping the surface chopped up and lumpy. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild there.

We’ve got a bit of a tease on Friday morning, July 10th. The swell bumps up to 5 ft from the WNW with a 9-second period, and the wind shifts to straight onshore at 6 mph. It’s not clean, but the energy is moderate (800), and it’s the best of a rough first week. Still, I wouldn’t call it a stand-out. The following days are all small, marginal, or poor. Saturday morning, July 11th, has a moment with glassy winds and a small 3 ft SSW swell, but the energy is too low (525) to get excited about.

Now, if you’ve got the patience of a saint, Monday morning, July 20th, is the real deal. I’m telling you, this is the one to circle. The swell is 4 ft from the SSW, with a 16-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 1262 (strong wave energy). That’s a proper groundswell pushing through. But the real magic is the wind: it’s glassy. Dead flat. The report says "glassy," and in my book, that’s a 10 out of 10 for clean conditions. This is a spot for intermediate surfers, and with that kind of long-period swell, the waves will have shape and power, but it’ll be a bit tricky for beach breaks. At San Carpoforo Creek, it should work nicely. The only catch is that crowds are possible at this spot, so get there early.

Honestly, the rest of the second week is small and forgettable. After that Monday morning, the swell drops back to 3 ft to 3 ft, and the wind goes back to being messy. The Thursday morning, July 23rd, has a bit of a clean look with light winds, but the swell is just too small at 3 ft (378 energy).

So, to sum it up: the first week is a bust. A long, dry spell of small, choppy, and marginal surf. But if you can wait until Monday, July 20th, you’ll be rewarded with clean, glassy 4 ft SSW groundswell. That’s the standout. Everything else is a maybe.

Stay patient, and don’t burn your board.

Rusty

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