San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for San Carpoforo Creek. We’ve got a bit of a frustrating outlook ahead, so don’t expect much to get excited about for a while.

The first real chance of anything surfable isn’t until Sunday afternoon, July 26th, but honestly, it’s a bit of a write-off. The swell is coming in at 3 ft from the SSW with a long 18-second period, which is nice for power, but the cross-on wind from the NW at 15 mph is going to mess it up. The water is sitting at 57°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – gotta feel that chill. The combined energy is moderate (1117), but the conditions are just poor.

Monday the 27th through to the end of July is a similar story. The swell bumps up a touch to 4 ft, still from the SSW, but that persistent NW wind keeps it choppy and messy. The energy stays moderate, but the scores are low. It’s just not clean.

We get a bit of a change on Thursday morning, July 30th, with a lighter breeze at 6 mph, but the swell drops to 3 ft and the period is still long. It’s marginal at best. The afternoon sees a jump in size to 6 ft, but the period crashes to 8 seconds – that’s a short-period, wind-affected lump. Not worth getting wet for.

The first week of August starts off with a similar pattern. Friday the 31st and Saturday the 1st have some S swell, but the wind is still cross-on. The energy is dropping (924 and 852), and the quality is poor. Then Sunday, August 2nd, we get a peak in size at 7 ft from the WNW with a short period of 8 seconds. That’s getting into expert territory for size, but with that period and the cross-on wind, it’s going to be a washing machine. Probably more fun for the kite surfers than paddle surfers.

Now, there are a couple of bright spots, but they’re a long way off. On Monday morning, August 3rd, we see a solid 7 ft from the NW with a 10-second period and the wind finally goes onshore, but it’s a light breeze. The energy jumps back up to 1237. It’s still marginal, but it’s the best looking morning in the whole run. Then, on Wednesday morning, August 5th, we get a rare moment of glassy conditions with a 3 ft WNW swell. The combined energy is weak (187), but glassy is glassy. It’s a small-wave cruiser session.

The very end of the outlook, around August 9th and 10th, shows some promise. The morning of Sunday, August 9th, has glassy conditions again with a 3 ft SSW swell and a 15-second period. The energy is still moderate (619), but the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s a standout, but it’s over two weeks away, so keep your expectations in check. The Monday morning after that, August 10th, has a bigger 5 ft WNW swell with a 12-second period, but the wind is onshore. It’s a bigger, more powerful option, but not as clean.

So, the best advice I can give you? Don’t rush. The first week is a write-off. The real standouts are the glassy morning on August 5th for a small clean wave, and the promising morning on August 9th. The rest is just waiting for the wind to play ball.

Rusty.

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