San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey everyone, Rusty here. Let’s break down what San Carpoforo Creek has in store for the next couple of weeks. I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – we’ve got a slow burn, a big quiet stretch, and then a couple of days that should get the stoke going.

First thing: the water is running a bit chilly, about 57°, which is a couple degrees cooler than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a wetsuit.

The first week? Basically a washout. There’s nothing worth hootin’ about. The swell is small and weak, with combined energy numbers in the 300s and 400s – that’s just not enough grunt. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, keeping the surface bumpy. Even when the swell ticks up, the conditions are garbage.

But hold on, because around Wednesday July 15th and Thursday July 16th is where we get our highlights.

Wednesday morning the 15th is the clear winner. A 6ft swell from the WNW with absolutely glassy, zero wind. The water will be like a mirror. The combined energy is 617, which is moderate, and the waves will have some push. The period is only 8 seconds, so it’s a wind swell, but the clean face will make it super fun for intermediate surfers. Crowds are possible, so expect some company.

Wednesday afternoon stays glassy with an 8ft WNW swell. That’s getting big – 8ft is expert territory, so 8ft is for the experienced crew only. The energy jumps to 953, and while the short period means it’ll be a bit crumbly, the glassy conditions will make it look a lot better than it is.

Thursday afternoon the 16th switches up completely – a 2ft swell from the WNW with a 19-second period. That’s a super long-period groundswell, and the combined energy is 788, which is surprisingly strong for the size. The wind goes glassy again. This is a rivermouth spot, so long-period swells wrap in beautifully and give long, clean lines. Perfect for a longboard or a fish.

For the rest of the second week, there are a few other days with waist-to-head high swell, but the wind is onshore or light offshore and the quality is only so-so. The standout windows are Wednesday the 15th for the combo of size and glass, and Thursday the 16th afternoon for the clean, long-period fun.

Keep your eyes peeled and your wax warm.

Rusty.

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