San Carpoforo Creek Surf Break

Lat Long: 35.76° N 121.33° W

Issued: 4 pm 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's San Carpoforo Creek sea temperature is
14.5° C

Slightly cooler than normal

San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,351 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Carpoforo Creek this week:

The surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 2.1m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 1.0m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at San Carpoforo Creek in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Best Surf11PM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful11PM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright crew, Rusty here, giving you the lowdown on San Carpoforo Creek in the units that make sense to some of you. This 16-day run is a bit of a mixed bag, and I'm not gonna lie to you, there’s a lot of windy junk to sift through.

Right from this Sunday afternoon (July 5th) through to the morning of Thursday, July 10th, it's a total bust. We're looking at a solid five days of poor to marginal conditions. We have some long-period groundswell coming in, but that cross-onshore wind from the WNW is just tearing it to shreds. It's messy out there. The water is 58°, which is normal for the time of year.

Your first real chance to paddle out is Friday, July 10th, in the morning. We get a 5ft groundswell from the WNW, and the wind finally goes offshore. The energy is still moderate (829), and the tide might be a factor, but it’s the first clean look in a very long time. The afternoon winds pick up a little, so dawn patrol is the go.

The big winner on the near-term radar is Saturday, July 11th. The morning is a bit cloudy, but come Saturday afternoon, the ocean goes completely glassy. Flat calm. On top of that, we get a clean 3ft of long-period SSW groundswell (15-second period) with moderate energy (464). That is the recipe for smooth, lined-up waves. This break is exposed and consistent, so with the swell direction matching up and zero wind, it’s going to be a treat. Crowds are "sometimes," so you might have company, but the surf will be worth it.

After that, we slide back into mediocrity from Sunday, July 12th through to the morning of Friday, July 17th. It’s another long stretch of cross-onshore choppiness. There's some size on Tuesday the 14th (7ft) and Wednesday the 15th (8ft), but with the wind being messy, it’s not good for surfing. That kind of blown-out size is better suited for kite surfing.

Now, for the long-range promise. Check out Saturday, July 18th. This is far out, so keep your expectations in check, but the morning is forecast to be glassy *again*, with a 2ft very long-period SW groundswell (17 seconds) and moderate energy (688). A long-period swell like that at a creek mouth? That's the good stuff. If it lines up, it could be the best session of the whole 16 days. The afternoon gets messy again, so it’s a one-shot deal. Sunday the 19th morning also has a small, clean window with offshore wind.

My call? The absolute standout is that glassy session on Saturday afternoon, July 11th at San Carpoforo Creek. For a bit of a gamble with a huge potential payoff, let that Saturday morning, July 18th, be on your radar. Stay on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu morning, min 15°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
0
0
!
1
0
!
2
1
3
1
2
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
17
0.9
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
20
1.1
SSW
19
1
SSW
18
1
SSW
18
1
SSW
16
2.5
WNW
7
3
NW
8
2
WNW
9
2.4
WNW
8
3
NW
9
1.6
WNW
9
1.7
WNW
9
1.5
WNW
9
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
273
264
407
326
596
885
603
596
559
749
1019
591
663
1214
441
475
339
309
326
277
297
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
15
NW
15
WNW
20
WNW
15
NW
20
WNW
25
WNW
10
NNW
20
NW
30
NW
15
NNW
20
NW
25
NW
10
NNW
10
WNW
15
WNW
0
ENE
5
SSW
5
SW
0
NE
5
WSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
on
on
glassy
cross
glassy
glassy
cross-on
High Tide
3:32PM1.70m
2:20AM1.54m
4:03PM1.79m
3:37AM1.39m
4:39PM1.89m
5:18AM1.28m
5:20PM2.01m
7:04AM1.28m
6:07PM2.13m
8:31AM1.34m
6:59PM2.26m
9:35AM1.42m
7:53PM2.37m
10:27AM1.49m
Low Tide
9:13PM1.15m
8:59AM0.66m
10:31PM1.02m
9:34AM0.80m
11:46PM0.82m
10:15AM0.94m
00:52AM0.60m
11:08AM1.06m
1:51AM0.37m
12:12PM1.15m
2:44AM0.16m
1:18PM1.19m
3:35AM-0.01m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:54
5:56
5:56
5:56
5:58
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:23
8:23
8:23
8:23
8:22
8:22
8:22
8:22
 mm
Temp °C
19
16
19
19
15
19
20
17
23
23
21
24
24
19
22
22
17
21
21
18
21
Feels °C
17
14
17
16
12
16
17
14
20
19
17
21
21
16
21
20
16
22
21
19
21
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
17
0.9
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
20
1.1
SSW
19
1
SSW
18
1.4
WNW
7
1
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
1.7
WNW
8
0.8
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
1.9
WNW
9
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
1.5
WNW
9
1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
Energy kJ
273
264
407
326
596
885
603
170
559
545
394
318
487
575
382
348
339
147
108
277
297
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SSW
13
0.5
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
21
0.5
SSW
21
0.8
SSW
16
0.2
S
8
0.7
SSW
15
1
SSW
18
0.5
S
19
0.5
S
19
1
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
16
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
11
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
WNW
8
0.5
NW
9
Energy kJ
99
99
305
244
322
5
191
596
190
192
545
322
392
2
2
305
309
326
82
40
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
WNW
12
0.5
NW
8
0.6
WNW
13
0.6
WNW
12
0.6
WNW
12
0.2
S
8
0.3
SSW
11
0.6
SSW
15
0.4
NW
10
0.1
S
15
0.1
S
22
0.1
S
21
0.2
S
20
0.2
S
20
0.4
NW
10
0.3
S
18
Energy kJ
59
32
113
96
94
4
23
142
27
4
9
9
30
30
25
55
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
5
1
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
5
1.3
WNW
6
1.3
WNW
11
2.2
WNW
7
2.3
NW
7
1.5
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
7
3
NW
8
2
WNW
9
2.4
WNW
8
3
NW
9
1.6
WNW
9
1.7
WNW
9
0.8
WNW
7
Energy kJ
86
26
125
83
111
443
412
537
198
749
1019
591
663
1214
441
475
53
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
2
3
2
2
4
2
2
4
4
2
4
3
2
3
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
145
62
203
145
62
145
145
16
145
145
16
146
145
16
146
146
0
19
0
0
19
Best forecast wave conditions in San Luis Obispo
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
2
4
2
2
4
2
2
4
4
2
4
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
7
8
7
5
5
9
6
9
9
5
6
5
4
5
5
4
5
4
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the San Carpoforo Creek Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for San Carpoforo Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Carpoforo Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Carpoforo Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

San Carpoforo Creek is 60 km (37 miles) from Paso Robles. If you plan a vacation in San Luis Obispo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Paso Robles. Paso Robles has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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