San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break it down for San Carpoforo Creek. I’m not gonna sugarcoat it: the first week is a total dud. You’re gonna be waiting a long time before anything decent shows up.

The water is running at 56°F right now, which is a solid 4°F colder than normal for this time of year. That’s a serious chill, so bring a thicker suit.

Your first real look comes on Tuesday, July 14th, in the morning. We’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the SSW, with a 12-second period, and the wind is light and offshore (3 mph). The combined energy is weak (228), so it’s barely there. It’ll be clean, but there’s just no power. By the afternoon, the wind picks up cross-onshore and it’s done.

Wednesday through Friday, July 15th to 17th, are a wash. The swell tries to build, hitting 7ft on Wednesday afternoon and even 8ft on Thursday afternoon, but the period is a short 7 to 8 seconds, and the wind is cross-onshore and choppy. That’s a lot of bumpy, weak energy. The combined energy hits 1058 on Thursday afternoon, which is moderate, but it’s all wind-affected and messy. Skip it.

From Saturday, July 18th, all the way to Wednesday, July 23rd, it’s small and inconsistent. Mostly 3ft to 3ft, with long periods (16 to 18 seconds), but the wind is often onshore or cross-onshore, and the conditions are just marginal. Nothing to get excited about.

Here’s your one real shot: Thursday morning, July 23rd. We’ve got a small 3ft swell from the SSE, with a 14-second period, and the wind goes glassy. That’s right – glass. The combined energy is moderate (671), and the conditions are expected to be very good. It’s not a big swell, but it’ll be clean, and those long-period lines will have some shape. For a creek break, that’s a rare treat. The only catch is it’s small, so don’t expect much power, but for a fun, clean morning session, this is the one.

After that, Friday July 24th sees a bump to 4ft to 5ft from the S, with a 14-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 1017 and 1244. The wind is onshore to cross-onshore, so it’s not as clean, but there’s more push. It’s a backup option if you’re desperate.

Saturday, July 25th, brings a 2ft swell with a very long 21-second period in the morning, but it’s cross-onshore, so that energy will be tough to catch. The afternoon bumps up to 5ft, but again, choppy conditions.

The final days from July 26th to 29th are all small, long-period swell (13 to 18 seconds), with the wind mostly onshore or light. The combined energy stays moderate (500 to 1000). Nothing really stands out, but it’s not as bad as the first week. The morning of July 27th has a 3ft swell from the SSW with an 18-second period and light onshore wind, which might be worth a look if you’re local.

Bottom line: don’t waste your time this week. Wait for the glassy morning on Thursday, July 23rd at San Carpoforo Creek. That’s your window. Everything else is a gamble.

Rusty.

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