Surf Forecasts:
San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NW swell with 823 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Carpoforo Creek this week:
The surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 18s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Carpoforo Creek in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, it’s Rusty. Let’s talk about San Carpoforo Creek. This spot is exposed to the SW, and right now the water is a chilly 56°, which is about 4° colder than usual for this time of year – that’s a serious cold spell, so your thickest rubber is a must.
The first few days are a washout. Tuesday the 14th and Wednesday the 15th have that cross-onshore NW wind making it choppy and poor. Thursday the 16th is the same story, with the wind picking up and the swell hitting 8 ft, but it’s just a blown-out mess. The energy is moderate to strong, but it’s not worth paddling out.
Things get a little more interesting from Friday the 17th. The wind goes lighter, onshore but much weaker. The swell drops to 4 ft in the morning with an 8-second period from the WNW, and the energy is still solid. It’s marginal, but there’s a window. The real standout is Monday morning the 20th. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, and the swell is a clean 3 ft from the SSW with a long 16-second period. The energy is moderate (738), and the conditions are expected to be very good. That’s your session.
After that, Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd are marginal again with the cross-onshore wind creeping back. But then Thursday the 23rd looks sweet. The wind goes light and clean, with a cross-offshore breeze in the morning and glassy conditions in the afternoon. Swell is 3 ft from the SSE, period 15 seconds, with moderate energy (681). Expect very good surf conditions.
Now, look ahead to the 25th of July. That Saturday morning shows a solid pulse of 7 ft from the S, with a 16-second period. The energy is very strong (3346), and the wind is light cross-onshore, so it’s got potential, but 7 ft is expert territory for a creek. The following Sunday the 26th has 6 ft from the S, still sizeable, but with onshore wind. That long-range window is promising but not locked in.
The best of the whole run is that Monday morning, the 20th of July. Glassy, clean, 3 ft of long-period groundswell, and the break is consistent. It’s not big, but it’ll have shape and no crowds if you’re early. The creek handles that long-period energy well. The rest of the time is either lumpy or too big for most. Circle that Monday.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed morning, min 17°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 16 | SW 18 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 119 | 216 | 126 | 392 | 646 | 326 | 701 | 823 | 243 | 237 | 255 | 366 | 291 | 220 | 358 | 434 | 268 | 314 | 362 | 251 | 550 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:34PM2.45m | 12:40PM1.68m | 11:26PM2.34m | 1:21PM1.75m | 00:18AM2.16m | 2:03PM1.81m | 1:13AM1.93m | 2:45PM1.86m | 2:13AM1.69m | 3:26PM1.90m | 3:25AM1.47m | 4:09PM1.92m | 4:56AM1.32m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:22PM1.11m | 5:56AM-0.11m | 5:21PM1.07m | 6:40AM-0.00m | 6:23PM1.03m | 7:21AM0.16m | 7:28PM0.99m | 8:00AM0.36m | 8:38PM0.95m | 8:38AM0.57m | 9:54PM0.88m | 9:16AM0.78m | 11:13PM0.79m | 9:55AM0.97m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 |
 | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:19 | — | 8:17 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 24 |
Feels °C | 25 | 20 | 24 | 23 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | WNW 6 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | WNW 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | SW 17 | SSE 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | WNW 6 | SSW 17 |
| kJ | 119 | 47 | 93 | 51 | 222 | 124 | 89 | 310 | 174 | 237 | 153 | 66 | 291 | 220 | 358 | 282 | 228 | 276 | 195 | 60 | 550 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 20 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | SW 18 | WNW 5 | WNW 16 | SW 17 | WNW 5 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | S 11 | S 10 |
| kJ | 112 | 194 | 108 | 96 | 90 | 149 | 142 | 201 | 181 | 74 | 240 | 295 | 260 | 18 | 188 | 434 | 44 | 314 | 362 | 149 | 94 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 14 | NW 8 | WNW 13 | WNW 20 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 18 | S 12 | S 12 | S 14 | WNW 15 | SW 16 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | SW 16 | WNW 13 |
| kJ | 41 | 30 | 35 | 41 | 48 | 47 | 27 | 126 | 74 | 83 | 74 | 366 | 44 | 75 | 142 | 186 | 268 | 118 | 118 | 251 | 58 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 6 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | 84 | 216 | 126 | 392 | 646 | 326 | 701 | 823 | 243 | 212 | 255 | — | 76 | 44 | 17 | 46 | 143 | 30 | 75 | 190 | 30 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 146 | 16 | 62 | 145 | 16 | 145 | 145 | 16 | 24 | 146 | 0 | 167 | 146 | 0 | 145 | 146 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 52 | 145 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Luis Obispo | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Carpoforo Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Carpoforo Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Carpoforo Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Carpoforo Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Carpoforo Creek is 60 km (37 miles) from Paso Robles. If you plan a vacation in San Luis Obispo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Paso Robles. Paso Robles has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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