San Carpoforo Creek Surf Break

Lat Long: 35.76° N 121.33° W

San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 17 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's San Carpoforo Creek sea temperature is
14.7° C
0.8° 

San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, S swell with 1,117 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Carpoforo Creek this week:

The surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at San Carpoforo Creek in the next 16 days are 1.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 8s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Sat 18th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 7s
Best Surf 2AM (Tue 21st Jul)5ft (1.5m) 16s
Most Powerful 2AM (Tue 21st Jul)5ft (1.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for our local stretch, San Carpoforo Creek.

Right off the bat, we’re looking at a pretty slow start with a lot of onshore wind messing up the waves. The first few days are a write-off for any decent surf. Friday morning the 17th, we’ve got 4ft of short-period, 8 second swell from the WNW, but it’s cross-on with a light breeze, and the water is running a bit cool for the time of year at 59°. The energy is moderate at 661, but the conditions just aren’t there. The afternoon goes from bad to worse with a 5ft swell getting chopped up by a 9 mph cross-on wind. Saturday and Sunday are similar—small, messy, and not worth paddling out for.

We’ve got a gap here with no real standouts until Tuesday morning, the 21st of July. That’s where things get interesting. The swell jumps to 6ft from the SSW at a 14-second period. That’s a solid groundswell with moderate-to-strong energy (1228). The wind swings light and cross-off from the SSE, which is key. The report says “clean” for the wave state, and for intermediate surfers, this is the best window in the run. The only hitch is that at 6ft, it’s getting a bit too much for beginners, but for the rest of us, it’s a proper session. Waves this size with that period are going to hold up nicely on the creek’s exposed sandbar. The morning is the call.

After that, the pattern gets messy again. Afternoon winds pick up, and the swell drops back down. A few days in the middle of the week see light wind but smaller, weaker swell in the 3ft range. By Thursday the 23rd, moderate breezes from the NW have it choppy and poor.

The second week is a bit of a mixed bag with a lot of cross-on wind. The swell energy ramps up significantly—we’re seeing three-digit and even four-digit energy numbers, like 1561 on the morning of Saturday the 25th—but the wind is just never quite right. You’ll see 4ft and 5ft swells with long periods, but the cross-on breeze keeps it from being clean. The best chance in the back half might be the morning of Tuesday the 29th, where the wind is finally onshore but light, and the swell is 4ft from the SSW with a 16-second period and moderate energy at 1366. It’s “marginal” but compared to the rest, it’s the most hopeful.

The absolute standout of the whole 16-day window is Tuesday morning, July 21st. That’s your session. Everything else is a waiting game or a gamble.

Keep your eyes on the forecasts, things can change.
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sat afternoon, min 15°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 15°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
3
2
0
2
2
1
3
2
1
4
4
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
1.9
NW
7
0.8
SW
18
0.8
WNW
16
0.8
WNW
16
0.8
SW
17
0.9
SW
17
1.1
S
12
1.1
S
12
1.3
S
13
1.5
S
16
1.7
SSW
14
1.8
SSW
12
0.9
SSW
15
1
SSW
15
1
SSW
14
1
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSE
14
1.9
NW
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
232
257
352
366
291
280
358
434
356
339
534
1117
1090
828
362
422
384
389
220
243
315
Wind (km/h)
10
WNW
15
WNW
5
NW
10
WNW
15
WNW
5
NNW
10
WNW
15
WNW
5
WNW
10
W
15
WNW
5
NE
5
SSE
10
S
10
SSE
5
SSW
15
WNW
10
NNW
20
NW
25
NW
10
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-on
glassy
on
on
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
2:03PM1.81m
1:13AM1.93m
2:45PM1.86m
2:13AM1.69m
3:26PM1.90m
3:25AM1.47m
4:09PM1.92m
4:56AM1.32m
4:53PM1.93m
6:45AM1.27m
5:39PM1.94m
8:21AM1.31m
6:27PM1.95m
Low Tide
7:28PM0.99m
8:00AM0.36m
8:38PM0.95m
8:38AM0.57m
9:54PM0.88m
9:16AM0.78m
11:13PM0.79m
9:55AM0.97m
00:26AM0.68m
10:41AM1.12m
1:28AM0.57m
11:39AM1.22m
2:18AM0.47m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:01
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:05
6:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:20
8:20
8:19
8:19
8:17
8:16
8:16
 mm
Temp °C
19
20
17
20
21
17
21
21
17
21
23
21
26
26
22
20
20
17
23
24
20
Feels °C
18
18
15
19
19
15
20
19
16
20
22
19
24
24
24
21
20
16
21
21
18
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the San Carpoforo Creek Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for San Carpoforo Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Carpoforo Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Carpoforo Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

San Carpoforo Creek is 60 km (37 miles) from Paso Robles. If you plan a vacation in San Luis Obispo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Paso Robles. Paso Robles has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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