San Carpoforo Creek Surf Break

Lat Long: 35.76° N 121.33° W

San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's San Carpoforo Creek sea temperature is
13.0° C
2.4° 

San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NW swell with 789 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Carpoforo Creek this week:

The surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at San Carpoforo Creek in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Mon 13th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 14s
Best Surf11PM (Fri 17th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 8s
Most Powerful 2AM (Thu 16th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s get into it. I’ll be your local surf reporter, Rusty, breaking down what’s coming for San Carpoforo Creek over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp at San Carpoforo Creek is sitting at 13°, which is a full 2° colder than usual for this time of year. That’s noticeably chilly, so a thick wetsuit is non-negotiable.

We’ve got a quiet start. Monday the 13th through to Thursday the 17th is all pretty marginal. Swell is small and messy with short-period windswell, plus most sessions are cross-onshore, so the conditions are choppy. Not worth paddling out for. The best you’d get is a tiny wave with poor shape.

Friday the 17th afternoon shows a glimmer – the period jumps to 17 seconds for a 2ft groundswell, but the wind is still onshore. That long period means the waves might have some push, but it’s so small and the wind is not helping.

Saturday the 18th through Wednesday the 22nd stays in that marginal zone. Swells are 3ft to 3ft, mostly from the SW or SSW, with periods between 14 and 18 seconds. The energy is there in the water, but the winds are generally light to gentle cross-onshore or onshore, so you’re looking at bumpy, average waves.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Thursday the 23rd is the standout. The morning session picks up a 3ft SSW groundswell at 14 seconds, but the wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSE – that’s clean. By the afternoon, it gets even better: the swell turns more southerly, still 3ft at 14 seconds, but the wind goes glassy. That’s about as perfect as it gets for this break. The conditions are rated excellent for experienced surfers.

Friday the 24th morning keeps that quality going. A 5ft S swell at 13 seconds, glassy conditions with zero wind. This is your best window. The waves will have good shape and power, but at 5ft, it’s starting to push into intermediate/expert territory. The afternoon sees the wind turning onshore, so make the most of the morning.

Saturday the 25th has slightly bigger 5ft S swell in the morning, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it gets chopped up. This might be more of a kite day if you’re into that.

From Saturday afternoon onward into the second week, it fades back into small, lumpy, cross-onshore conditions. Swells drop to 2-3ft, still from the SSW with long periods (18-19 seconds), but the consistent cross-onshore wind makes it messy. Not worth chasing.

The best of the outlook is the glassy windows on Thursday afternoon the 23rd and Friday morning the 24th. Clean, long-period S swell with light to no wind. That combo is rare at San Carpoforo Creek, and if conditions hold, it’ll be well worth the soggy walk.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
3
1
1
3
2
1
2
1
0
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
12
1.1
NW
8
2
NW
7
1.3
WNW
6
2.3
WNW
7
2.5
NW
8
1.7
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
7
2.3
NW
7
1.3
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.7
NW
8
0.8
SW
18
0.8
WNW
16
0.8
WNW
16
0.8
SW
17
0.9
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
253
114
117
151
363
122
486
789
320
664
558
183
237
326
366
291
280
358
434
271
318
Wind (km/h)
10
W
0
WSW
10
WNW
15
NW
10
NNW
15
NW
25
NW
15
NNW
20
NW
25
NW
10
NNW
10
WNW
15
WNW
0
E
10
W
15
WNW
5
NW
10
WNW
20
WNW
10
NW
10
WNW
Wind State
on
glassy
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
High Tide
9:41PM2.49m
11:57AM1.62m
10:34PM2.45m
12:40PM1.68m
11:26PM2.34m
1:21PM1.75m
00:18AM2.16m
2:03PM1.81m
1:13AM1.93m
2:45PM1.86m
2:13AM1.69m
3:26PM1.90m
3:25AM1.47m
Low Tide
3:23PM1.16m
5:11AM-0.15m
4:22PM1.11m
5:56AM-0.11m
5:21PM1.07m
6:40AM-0.00m
6:23PM1.03m
7:21AM0.16m
7:28PM0.99m
8:00AM0.36m
8:38PM0.95m
8:38AM0.57m
9:54PM0.88m
9:16AM0.78m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:01
6:03
6:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:22
8:22
8:21
8:21
8:20
8:20
8:19
8:19
 mm
Temp °C
23
19
24
25
23
25
26
23
25
25
21
21
21
17
20
20
17
20
20
17
20
Feels °C
23
19
23
23
20
22
23
19
22
21
17
20
19
16
19
18
16
19
18
15
19
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the San Carpoforo Creek Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for San Carpoforo Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Carpoforo Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Carpoforo Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

San Carpoforo Creek is 60 km (37 miles) from Paso Robles. If you plan a vacation in San Luis Obispo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Paso Robles. Paso Robles has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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