
Surf Forecasts:
San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 21s period, SW swell with 1,051 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Carpoforo Creek this week:
The surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 1.9m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Carpoforo Creek in the next 16 days are 1.1m 21s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 21s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about the local surf scene for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s looking grim. We’ve got a solid run of poor surf conditions lining up, and San Carpoforo Creek is the only game in town. The water is freakin' cold, too, sitting at 56° and running 5° colder than it should be for this time of year. That’s a massive anomaly, so you’ll be needing that thick steamer.
The pattern is brutal: persistent cross-onshore wind from the NW, cranking at 9 to 16 mph most days, just shredding the surface. The combined swell energy is moderate to strong (856 to 1589), but it’s all short-period, wind-affected junk. The swell direction is mostly from the SW and SSW, which isn't a bad angle for the creek, but the wind is the killer.
Things might get a *little* less terrible on Thursday the 30th. The wind drops to a light breeze from the WNW at 6 mph, and the swell height is 3ft from the SSW with a 16-second period. That's a long-period groundswell, which could wrap in okay, but the combined energy is weak (743). The forecast is marginal at best. If you’re desperate, that’s your window, but don’t expect much.
Then we get into a dry spell. From Friday the 31st through to the end of the period, the outlook is roughly the same. We see a bit of a bump on Saturday the 1st of August with 4ft swell from the S, but it's still cross-on and choppy. The water temp anomaly data is missing for those days, so I can’t tell you if it warms up or not. The bottom line is, there’s no standout day. The wind is always messy, the swell is always a little bit off, and the conditions are just not lining up for a good session.
This is a classic case of “check back later.” The forecasts can change, and it’s been a while since we’ve had a proper clean day, so it’s bound to turn around. But for now, I’d save the wax and wait for a better report.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sun morning, min 19°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sun afternoon, min 20°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | NW 7 | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SSW 21 | SW 21 | SSW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | NW 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | NW 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
305 | 374 | 801 | 563 | 671 | 799 | 646 | 1014 | 863 | 696 | 719 | 854 | 963 | 717 | 943 | 798 | 736 | 627 | 620 | 664 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 6:27PM1.95m | 9:24AM1.37m | 7:13PM1.99m | 10:05AM1.43m | 7:58PM2.04m | 10:37AM1.46m | 8:39PM2.09m | 11:06AM1.49m | 9:19PM2.13m | 11:34AM1.52m | 9:56PM2.15m | 12:01PM1.56m | 10:33PM2.12m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:18AM0.47m | 12:42PM1.27m | 3:01AM0.38m | 1:38PM1.28m | 3:39AM0.31m | 2:26PM1.26m | 4:14AM0.25m | 3:08PM1.22m | 4:47AM0.21m | 3:49PM1.18m | 5:19AM0.21m | 4:29PM1.15m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | |
8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 21 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 27 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 21 |
Feels °C | 20 | 18 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 18 | 24 | 24 | 19 | 23 | 24 | 19 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | WNW 6 | S 13 | S 12 | WNW 6 | SSW 21 | SW 21 | WNW 6 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | WNW 6 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | WNW 7 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | WNW 7 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | WNW 8 |
176 | 99 | 222 | 193 | 118 | 799 | 646 | 118 | 863 | 696 | 122 | 854 | 963 | 175 | 943 | 798 | 250 | 627 | 620 | 247 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | S 12 | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 22 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 20 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 18 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 17 | S 10 | S 20 | SSW 16 | S 18 | S 18 | SSW 16 |
204 | 153 | 801 | 563 | 671 | 130 | 57 | 1014 | 46 | 40 | 719 | 50 | 28 | 717 | 2 | 194 | 667 | 155 | 155 | 575 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 26 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 12 | NW 11 | S 10 | S 12 | NW 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 21 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SW 12 | SE 16 | S 10 | S 20 | SE 13 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 |
171 | 154 | 114 | 99 | 184 | 5 | 32 | 72 | 4 | 19 | 180 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 119 | 7 | 25 | 42 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | NW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | NW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | NW 8 |
305 | 374 | 88 | 312 | 385 | 103 | 342 | 410 | 99 | 380 | 410 | 126 | 403 | 507 | 180 | 595 | 736 | 267 | 372 | 664 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 145 | 16 | 62 | 145 | 16 | 62 | 145 | 16 | 62 | 145 | 16 | 62 | 145 | 16 | 146 | 145 | 16 | 62 | 145 | 16 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Luis Obispo | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Carpoforo Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Carpoforo Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Carpoforo Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Carpoforo Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Carpoforo Creek is 60 km (37 miles) from Paso Robles. If you plan a vacation in San Luis Obispo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Paso Robles. Paso Robles has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










