San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about the local surf scene for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s looking grim. We’ve got a solid run of poor surf conditions lining up, and San Carpoforo Creek is the only game in town. The water is freakin' cold, too, sitting at 56° and running 5° colder than it should be for this time of year. That’s a massive anomaly, so you’ll be needing that thick steamer.

The pattern is brutal: persistent cross-onshore wind from the NW, cranking at 9 to 16 mph most days, just shredding the surface. The combined swell energy is moderate to strong (856 to 1589), but it’s all short-period, wind-affected junk. The swell direction is mostly from the SW and SSW, which isn't a bad angle for the creek, but the wind is the killer.

Things might get a *little* less terrible on Thursday the 30th. The wind drops to a light breeze from the WNW at 6 mph, and the swell height is 3ft from the SSW with a 16-second period. That's a long-period groundswell, which could wrap in okay, but the combined energy is weak (743). The forecast is marginal at best. If you’re desperate, that’s your window, but don’t expect much.

Then we get into a dry spell. From Friday the 31st through to the end of the period, the outlook is roughly the same. We see a bit of a bump on Saturday the 1st of August with 4ft swell from the S, but it's still cross-on and choppy. The water temp anomaly data is missing for those days, so I can’t tell you if it warms up or not. The bottom line is, there’s no standout day. The wind is always messy, the swell is always a little bit off, and the conditions are just not lining up for a good session.

This is a classic case of “check back later.” The forecasts can change, and it’s been a while since we’ve had a proper clean day, so it’s bound to turn around. But for now, I’d save the wax and wait for a better report.

Rusty.

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