San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's slice this one open. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag shaping up for San Carpoforo Creek over the next couple of weeks. The first week is a bit of a grind with dodgy winds messing up what could be some decent swell, but there’s a little glimmer of hope if you're willing to wait.

Right out of the gate, we’re dealing with a solid pulse of long-period groundswell from the SSW. On Tuesday morning the 7th, the swell is sitting at 4 ft with a super long 19-second period. That’s a proper groundswell with real energy – you can feel it (1073 combined energy). Problem is, we’ve got a moderate cross-onshore wind from the WNW at 12 mph chopping it all up, making it a scrappy affair. Water temp is 58°, which is about 1° cooler than average for this time of year – nothing wild, just a bit on the chilly side.

That first week is pretty frustrating. Wednesday the 8th sees the swell bump up to 8 ft in the afternoon, but it’s a short-period 7-second windswell from the WNW and the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-onshore. That’s lumpy, messy, and honestly looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. The rest of the week stays in that same vein – moderate to fresh winds, mostly cross-onshore, keeping things choppy and unappealing.

We do get a brief reprieve on Friday morning, the 10th. A 5 ft swell with a 9-second period from the WNW, and for a moment the wind goes light and onshore at just 3 mph. It’s not glassy, but it’s the cleanest the morning has been all week. Still, it’s rated as marginal, so don’t expect perfection.

After that, the window closes again. From Saturday the 11th through to Friday the 17th, it’s a long stretch of poor or marginal conditions. Swells drop right down to 3 ft or less, and the wind stays on it, mostly cross-onshore. There’s a few smaller pulses of 15-second period SSW groundswell around the 11th and 12th with light winds, but the size is tiny. Not worth the paddle.

Now, here’s the standout. Look ahead to Saturday morning, the 18th of July. The stars almost align. We’ve got a 4 ft swell from the WNW with a 9-second period, and the wind goes glassy. Just 3 mph from the WNW, reported as "glass" conditions. That’s rare and it’s beautiful. The energy is moderate (730 combined energy) and it’s the best-looking slot in the whole 16-day run. The swell direction isn’t a perfect match for the spot’s optimum SW, but with waves in the chest-to-head range and zero wind bump, San Carpoforo Creek should offer clean, fun lines. Keep in mind, this break is consistent so you’ve got a good chance it’ll be linking up, but it can also get a few people out there, especially with that glassy forecast – expect some company.

After that brief high, it fades back to smaller, wind-affected surf through to the 22nd. The last few days show marginal bumps from the SW with 15-16 second period, but the size is nothing to write home about.

Overall, it’s a long wait with a lot of chop. The one true standout is Saturday the 18th – glassy, clean, and rideable. The rest is mostly a write-off unless you’re desperate for a morning paddle in small, bumpy stuff.

Stay patient, stay stoked.

Rusty.

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