San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. I’ll be your local surf reporter, Rusty, breaking down what’s coming for San Carpoforo Creek over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp at San Carpoforo Creek is sitting at 13°, which is a full 2° colder than usual for this time of year. That’s noticeably chilly, so a thick wetsuit is non-negotiable.

We’ve got a quiet start. Monday the 13th through to Thursday the 17th is all pretty marginal. Swell is small and messy with short-period windswell, plus most sessions are cross-onshore, so the conditions are choppy. Not worth paddling out for. The best you’d get is a tiny wave with poor shape.

Friday the 17th afternoon shows a glimmer – the period jumps to 17 seconds for a 2ft groundswell, but the wind is still onshore. That long period means the waves might have some push, but it’s so small and the wind is not helping.

Saturday the 18th through Wednesday the 22nd stays in that marginal zone. Swells are 3ft to 3ft, mostly from the SW or SSW, with periods between 14 and 18 seconds. The energy is there in the water, but the winds are generally light to gentle cross-onshore or onshore, so you’re looking at bumpy, average waves.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Thursday the 23rd is the standout. The morning session picks up a 3ft SSW groundswell at 14 seconds, but the wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSE – that’s clean. By the afternoon, it gets even better: the swell turns more southerly, still 3ft at 14 seconds, but the wind goes glassy. That’s about as perfect as it gets for this break. The conditions are rated excellent for experienced surfers.

Friday the 24th morning keeps that quality going. A 5ft S swell at 13 seconds, glassy conditions with zero wind. This is your best window. The waves will have good shape and power, but at 5ft, it’s starting to push into intermediate/expert territory. The afternoon sees the wind turning onshore, so make the most of the morning.

Saturday the 25th has slightly bigger 5ft S swell in the morning, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it gets chopped up. This might be more of a kite day if you’re into that.

From Saturday afternoon onward into the second week, it fades back into small, lumpy, cross-onshore conditions. Swells drop to 2-3ft, still from the SSW with long periods (18-19 seconds), but the consistent cross-onshore wind makes it messy. Not worth chasing.

The best of the outlook is the glassy windows on Thursday afternoon the 23rd and Friday morning the 24th. Clean, long-period S swell with light to no wind. That combo is rare at San Carpoforo Creek, and if conditions hold, it’ll be well worth the soggy walk.

Rusty.

Read more