San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

We’ve got a pretty quiet outlook for San Carpoforo Creek over the next couple of weeks, with surf mostly on the small side and winds that aren’t doing us any favours. Water temp’s sitting around 60°, which is about normal for this time of year – not a surprise.

Right from the start, Tuesday the 11th kicks off with tiny 1ft swell from the SSW, a 19-second period – real long-period groundswell but with so little energy (346) it’s barely breaking. Light cross-on breeze isn’t helping either, and the call’s basically marginal. On Wednesday the 12th we see a slight bump to 2ft, still strong period around 17 seconds, combined energy climbing a bit to 382, but the wind remains cross-on. It’s pretty weak stuff through Thursday and Friday the 13th and 14th – swell sits around 2ft to 3ft, periods drop from 16 to 18 seconds, energy gets up to 494 and then 656 on Friday afternoon, but by then the breeze picks up to a gentle cross-onshore making it choppy. Not worth paddling out for.

Saturday the 15th sees swell nudging 4ft, still a long period of 16 seconds, and energy hits 782 – but the wind turns moderate cross-onshore in the arvo, making it messy. Sunday the 16th morning has a slight improvement: 4ft swell, 16 seconds, and a light onshore breeze with only a slight air movement, scoring a 2. That’s the best morning of this first week – small but clean enough for a patient surfer on a longboard. The combined energy sits at 693 – moderate.

After that, from Monday the 17th through Friday the 21st, it’s a grind. Swell stays around 3ft to 3ft, periods shorten to 14-16 seconds, and the wind is almost always moderate cross-onshore. Multiple days are called “poor surf conditions” with scores of zero. Energy values hover between 439 and 585 – not enough push to overcome the chop.

Saturday the 22nd has a weird spike: a 5ft swell but with a pathetic 6-second period – that’s pure wind chop – and moderate cross-onshore winds. The creek’s a beach setup, so that’s not going to hold shape. Definitely a kite session, not a paddle.

Finally, on Tuesday the 25th morning, there’s a blip of promise: 5ft swell from the WNW with a 10-second period – not long period groundswell, but decent enough – and combined energy surges to 1042, strong. The wind is only a light breeze and cross-on, so it might be workable with some decent lines. That’s the standout window, but it’s six days out, so treat it as promising but uncertain. Wednesday the 26th morning stays in the game: 3ft swell from the SW, 16-second period, energy up to 1130 – strong energy – but a gentle cross-onshore breeze keeps it a bit bumpy.

Overall, if you’re keen, the best bet is Sunday the 16th morning for a small clean session, and keep an eye on Tuesday the 25th morning for a bit more size and energy. Otherwise, it’s a whole lot of nothing special.

Rusty.

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