San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the table for San Carpoforo Creek over the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. The wind is stubborn. It’s coming from the northwest almost every day, blowing cross-onshore, which is going to mess up the surface. The water temp is sitting right around average for this time of year, so nothing weird there, just your typical summer chill.

The combined swell energy is moderate to strong, with readings like 653 and 571 in the early going, but it’s all being chopped up by that wind. Most of the time, the commentary says "poor surf conditions" or "marginal," which tells you all you need to know. The waves are there, but they’re not clean.

The best chance you’ll get is on Wednesday, July 22nd in the morning. The swell is a solid 3 ft from the SSW with a long period of 15 seconds, which is proper groundswell. The combined energy is a solid 653, and the wind is from the west-northwest at 9 mph, which is nearly offshore. That’s the window. It’s not going to be epic, but it’ll be the cleanest and most rideable of the whole outlook. The long period means the sets will have some punch, but they’ll be spaced out, so you can get a good paddle in. This is an intermediate spot, and for that morning, it’s your best bet.

After that, it’s a grind. Thursday through Saturday, the wind picks up, and the conditions just get worse. The swell sticks around, with some decent energy readings (like 1248 on Friday morning), but that cross-onshore wind just ruins the face. The wave heights bounce from 3 ft to 6 ft, but the period drops off, and the commentary doesn’t lie.

There’s a little glimmer on Friday, July 31st in the morning and afternoon. The wind is light and offshore from the west, and the swell is 3 ft from the SSE with a 16-second period. The combined energy is 697, and the commentary says "marginal" but gives a score of 2. That’s the second-best window. It’s small, but it’ll be clean. Light winds and a long period groundswell, which is a rare combo in this forecast.

The last week dries up. The swell gets smaller, the period drops to 8-10 seconds, and the energy readings fall off a cliff (down to 278 by the end). It’s not worth paddling out for.

So, to sum it up: Wednesday morning, July 22nd is the standout. The combination of a 3 ft SSW groundswell with a 15-second period and nearly offshore wind is your only real chance for a clean session. After that, Friday, July 31st offers a second chance with small but clean waves. The rest of the time, it’s a battle with the chop.

Keep your eyes on the wind shifts, and don’t get too excited about the long-range stuff. It’s looking flat and messy.

Rusty, signing off.

Read more