San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s shaping up for our stretch of coast.

To be straight with you, the first week-plus is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a solid run of poor surf conditions and marginal forecasts right through the end of July and into early August. The winds are almost always cross-onshore, chopping things up, and the swell quality just isn’t there. It’s a tough stretch for paddling out.

The first real window of opportunity doesn’t open up until Monday morning, August 3rd, at San Carpoforo Creek. Early that morning, we’ve got a 5ft swell coming from the WNW with a 10-second period, and the wind is onshore but light at 6 mph. The combined wave energy is moderate (592). Still, this is a "marginal" call, so don’t expect perfection. The water is a very chilly 56°, which is a massive 5° colder than normal for this time of year – you’ll want a thick wetsuit, no doubt.

Conditions stay pretty average through the middle of the week. By Tuesday afternoon, August 4th, the swell drops to 4ft and the wind goes almost glassy at 3 mph from the WSW – that’s a nice window of clean conditions, but the energy is low (308) and the period is only 9 seconds. It’s a gamble, but if you’re desperate for a session, that’s your best bet.

Looking further out, the second week hints at some longer-period swell from the SSW, but the heights are small – around 2ft to 3ft – and the winds are dicey. The afternoon of Wednesday, August 12th shows a 3ft SSW swell with a very long 18-second period and a light 6 mph onshore wind. The combined energy (676) is moderate, but it’s a long-period groundswell, which at a creek mouth can offer some clean lines if the tide plays nice. Still, it’s a long way out and far from certain.

Honestly, this is a patch where consistency is not our friend. It’s a blank run for the most part, but forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it. If you’re booking a trip, maybe hold off.

Rusty.

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