San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for San Carpoforo Creek. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, and honestly, the first week is a rough one. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf, so if you’re itching to get wet, you’ll need to be patient.

The story starts with a lot of messy, choppy conditions. The water is sitting at a chilly 56°F right now, which is a full 4°F colder than usual for this time of year – that’s a notable drop, so bring a thick suit. The first few days are a write-off. Wednesday and Thursday have a decent amount of swell, with heights around 4ft to 8ft, but the wind is a relentless cross-onshore breeze, making everything choppy and ugly. The wave energy is moderate to strong (384 to 959), but it’s all for nothing with that wind. Don’t even bother.

Things start to shift on Friday, July 17th. The wind finally goes light and offshore in the morning, which is a huge relief. The swell drops to 4ft from the WNW, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so it’s not going to have much pushing power. The conditions are still only marginal, with a combined energy of 672. It’s a chance to get a few clean, if a bit weak, waves. Saturday, July 18th, is similar – small, clean, but with a very long period of 18 seconds from the SW. That groundswell will have good shape, but at a spot like this, it might break a little too straight. Still, it’s the best we’ve seen.

The standout morning, and the only real highlight in this whole forecast, is Sunday, July 19th. The morning has a light offshore wind and a 4ft swell from the S, with a solid 13-second period. The combined wave energy jumps to 1028, showing there’s some real power in the water. For a creek break, that’s a fun size. The wind is light and clean, making for some proper surfable waves. It won’t be huge, but it’ll be the best quality you’ll find in this window.

After that, it’s back to the grind. From Monday, July 20th, right through to the end of the month, we’re stuck in a rut. The swell hangs around, but the wind is almost always a cross-onshore breeze, ruining the surface. There are a few mornings with light winds, like July 23rd, 24th, and 25th, but the swell is either small (3ft), or the period is very long (21 seconds on the 25th), which can be tricky. The wave energy gets strong on the 24th (1567) and 25th (1897), but the wind is a problem again by the afternoon. It’s a long stretch of “almost but not quite.”

So, the call is simple: if you’re a patient surfer, the best bet is Sunday morning, July 19th. You’ll get clean, 4ft surf from the south with a good 13-second period. It’s not a bomb, but it’s the only time the stars align. For the rest of the month, expect a lot of onshore slop, or small, clean but weak waves. It’s one of those periods where the forecasts are a bit of a bummer, but it won’t stay this way forever.

Rusty.

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