San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for San Carpoforo Creek.

Right out of the gate, the first few days are a bit of a grind. We’ve got consistent swell, but the wind is a problem. For Saturday the 25th through to Wednesday the 29th, it’s a persistent cross-onshore breeze – mostly from the NW at 9 mph in the mornings, picking up to 16 mph in the afternoons. That’s making the surface choppy and messy. The swell is hanging around 3 ft to 4 ft from the SSW and SW, with moderate combined energy (around 1000 to 1400), but the wind just won’t let it clean up. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year – that’s a noticeable chill.

Then, on Thursday morning the 30th, things look like they might turn. We’ve got a jump in swell to 6 ft from the NW, but here’s the kicker – that period is a short 8 seconds. It’s a windswell, not a groundswell. But the wind goes glassy, with a 3 mph westerly. That glassy surface is a huge positive, and the combined energy is strong (1322), so for experienced surfers, that morning session could be the standout of the whole forecast. It’s the only time we see glassy conditions. The 6 ft is still within the intermediate range, but that short-period chop makes it a little more challenging. After that, the wind swings onshore again and the quality drops.

The following days from Friday the 31st onward are a mixed bag of cross-onshore winds and smaller swells, with energy dropping off steadily. By the time we get into early August, the swell size and energy fade, and the wind remains mostly cross-onshore or light. There’s a window on Monday morning, August 3rd, with a 3 mph onshore wind and 5 ft swell from the WNW at 10 seconds, but the energy is only moderate (536) and the conditions are only marginal.

Honestly, if you’re looking for the best bet in this whole 16-day stretch, it’s Thursday morning, July 30th. That glassy start with a solid 6 ft of NW windswell is your cleanest, punchiest window. It won’t be perfect, but it’s the only time the stars line up even a little.

Remember, this is a consistent spot that’s exposed to SW swell, but the wind is the enemy here most days. Let’s hope the forecasts keep shifting.

Rusty.

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