San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what San Carpoforo Creek has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. Straight off the bat, I gotta be real with you – it’s a pretty bleak run. We’ve got a massive, cold water anomaly here at 56°F which is much colder than normal for this time of year, so bring the thickest wetsuit you’ve got. The main issue is that almost every day has us dealing with poor surf conditions or marginal tide situations, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, which is going to chop things up. Let’s break it down.

Right now, starting Saturday the 1st, we’ve got a 6ft swell from the WNW at a short, weak period of 7 seconds. It’s cross-on with a moderate breeze and the wave energy is weak (573). This is just poor surf, plain and simple. Sunday the 2nd sees a bump in swell, hitting 7ft from the NW with a period of 10 seconds. That’s moderate energy (1455), but it’s still cross-on and choppy, and the size is getting a bit much for beginners. Monday the 3rd is the closest we get to a clean window – morning brings a 5ft WNW swell with a light offshore wind from the W (10 km/h). That’s about as good as it gets for this spot in this window, but the rating is still marginal.

After that, from Tuesday the 4th through to Sunday the 9th, the swell drops right off – we’re looking at 1.0ft to 3ft of weak WNW and then SSW swell, with periods getting long (14 to 20 seconds). That long-period SSW groundswell has potential for shape, but at these tiny sizes (mostly under 3ft) and with the wind flipping onshore again, there’s just nothing to get excited about. The only real standout in the whole forecast is Saturday morning the 8th. It’s glassy – absolute glass – with a light wind from the W at 5 km/h, and a 3ft SSW swell with a very long period of 18 seconds. The energy is moderate (460). This is a true window of clean, glassy conditions, but the swell is small and inconsistent by nature, and the direction isn’t matching the optimum SW for the break. It’s for the patient surfer who wants a longboard or a fish. After that, we get a small pulse back on Sunday the 9th afternoon with a 5ft NW swell (9 seconds) and light offshore wind, but it’s still marginal. The final week – from the 10th to the 16th – is a slow fade. We get a couple of 5ft WNW swells on the 10th and 11th with light offshore wind, but mostly it’s small, inconsistent SSW groundswell in the 2ft to 3ft range with onshore or cross-onshore wind. The gap of any real recommendation from the 11th onward is basically dead.

To be honest, for this entire 16-day window, there’s only one true standout: the glassy Saturday morning of the 8th. Everything else is marginal at best. If you’re desperate, the Monday morning of the 3rd has the best trade-off of size and clean wind, but it’s still not what I’d call good. Keep your eyes on the forecasts – things can change.

Rusty.

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