San Carpoforo Creek Surf Break

Lat Long: 35.76° N 121.33° W

San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 14 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's San Carpoforo Creek sea temperature is
13.3° C
2.1° 

San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,019 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Carpoforo Creek this week:

The surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 19s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at San Carpoforo Creek in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Fri 17th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Best Surf 2AM (Fri 17th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 2AM (Fri 17th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s break it down for San Carpoforo Creek. I’m not gonna sugarcoat it: the first week is a total dud. You’re gonna be waiting a long time before anything decent shows up.

The water is running at 56°F right now, which is a solid 4°F colder than normal for this time of year. That’s a serious chill, so bring a thicker suit.

Your first real look comes on Tuesday, July 14th, in the morning. We’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the SSW, with a 12-second period, and the wind is light and offshore (3 mph). The combined energy is weak (228), so it’s barely there. It’ll be clean, but there’s just no power. By the afternoon, the wind picks up cross-onshore and it’s done.

Wednesday through Friday, July 15th to 17th, are a wash. The swell tries to build, hitting 7ft on Wednesday afternoon and even 8ft on Thursday afternoon, but the period is a short 7 to 8 seconds, and the wind is cross-onshore and choppy. That’s a lot of bumpy, weak energy. The combined energy hits 1058 on Thursday afternoon, which is moderate, but it’s all wind-affected and messy. Skip it.

From Saturday, July 18th, all the way to Wednesday, July 23rd, it’s small and inconsistent. Mostly 3ft to 3ft, with long periods (16 to 18 seconds), but the wind is often onshore or cross-onshore, and the conditions are just marginal. Nothing to get excited about.

Here’s your one real shot: Thursday morning, July 23rd. We’ve got a small 3ft swell from the SSE, with a 14-second period, and the wind goes glassy. That’s right – glass. The combined energy is moderate (671), and the conditions are expected to be very good. It’s not a big swell, but it’ll be clean, and those long-period lines will have some shape. For a creek break, that’s a rare treat. The only catch is it’s small, so don’t expect much power, but for a fun, clean morning session, this is the one.

After that, Friday July 24th sees a bump to 4ft to 5ft from the S, with a 14-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 1017 and 1244. The wind is onshore to cross-onshore, so it’s not as clean, but there’s more push. It’s a backup option if you’re desperate.

Saturday, July 25th, brings a 2ft swell with a very long 21-second period in the morning, but it’s cross-onshore, so that energy will be tough to catch. The afternoon bumps up to 5ft, but again, choppy conditions.

The final days from July 26th to 29th are all small, long-period swell (13 to 18 seconds), with the wind mostly onshore or light. The combined energy stays moderate (500 to 1000). Nothing really stands out, but it’s not as bad as the first week. The morning of July 27th has a 3ft swell from the SSW with an 18-second period and light onshore wind, which might be worth a look if you’re local.

Bottom line: don’t waste your time this week. Wait for the glassy morning on Thursday, July 23rd at San Carpoforo Creek. That’s your window. Everything else is a gamble.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed morning, min 16°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
!
2
1
3
2
1
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
12
0.4
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
1.3
WNW
7
2.2
WNW
7
2.5
NW
8
1.7
WNW
8
2.5
WNW
8
3
NW
8
0.6
WNW
18
1.3
WNW
8
0.7
WNW
16
0.8
SW
18
0.8
WNW
16
0.7
WNW
16
0.8
SW
17
0.9
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
117
119
238
160
437
689
381
800
1019
243
237
240
366
291
220
358
434
271
314
362
251
Wind (km/h)
5
W
15
WNW
10
NNW
15
NW
25
NW
15
NNW
15
NW
25
NW
10
NW
10
W
15
WNW
0
NW
5
W
15
WNW
5
NW
10
WNW
15
WNW
5
WNW
5
WSW
15
WNW
5
WNW
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
glassy
on
on
glassy
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
11:57AM1.62m
10:34PM2.45m
12:40PM1.68m
11:26PM2.34m
1:21PM1.75m
00:18AM2.16m
2:03PM1.81m
1:13AM1.93m
2:45PM1.86m
2:13AM1.69m
3:26PM1.90m
3:25AM1.47m
4:09PM1.92m
4:56AM1.32m
Low Tide
4:22PM1.11m
5:56AM-0.11m
5:21PM1.07m
6:40AM-0.00m
6:23PM1.03m
7:21AM0.16m
7:28PM0.99m
8:00AM0.36m
8:38PM0.95m
8:38AM0.57m
9:54PM0.88m
9:16AM0.78m
11:13PM0.79m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:01
6:03
6:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:22
8:21
8:21
8:20
8:20
8:19
8:19
 mm
Temp °C
24
25
22
26
26
23
25
25
20
20
20
16
19
20
17
21
21
17
21
21
18
Feels °C
24
24
20
24
22
19
22
21
16
19
19
15
19
19
16
20
19
15
21
20
17
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the San Carpoforo Creek Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for San Carpoforo Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Carpoforo Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Carpoforo Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

San Carpoforo Creek is 60 km (37 miles) from Paso Robles. If you plan a vacation in San Luis Obispo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Paso Robles. Paso Robles has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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