
Surf Forecasts:
San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NW swell with 789 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Carpoforo Creek this week:
The surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Carpoforo Creek in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at San Carpoforo Creek.
Right off the bat, the water’s sitting at 55°F and that’s a good 4°F colder than usual for July. That’s a shock to the system, so you’ll want a decent winter suit. The first half of the outlook is pretty rough. Monday the 13th into Tuesday the 14th has some small SSW swell around 3ft, with a 13-second period, giving it a bit of push, but the wind is onshore or cross-on, and the wave comment tells us it’s marginal tide conditions. Not worth paddling out for.
The real trouble starts Wednesday the 15th. The wind picks up from the NW, and we get a lumpy, choppy mess. Swell bumps up to 4ft and then 7ft by Wednesday afternoon, but with a short, weak period of 6-7 seconds, it’s just wind chop. The combined energy is moderate (329-550) but the quality is poor. Thursday the 16th is even worse – 8ft of lumpy WNW swell (combined energy 1016) with a cross-on breeze. That’s expert-only territory if you’re desperate, but with the wind, it’s a mess. This stretch is more for kite surfers than paddle surfers.
Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th offer a glimmer. Friday morning has 5ft of WNW swell, 8-second period, still cross-on, but the energy is solid (669). Still marginal. Saturday morning though, the wind goes light and onshore, with a 3ft SW swell and a long 18-second period. The combined energy is 811 – that’s moderate but with a lot of grunt. The long period means it’ll be lined up, but at a beach break it might break a bit straight. Still, it’s the cleanest window we’ve seen so far.
Sunday the 19th through Wednesday the 23rd is a tease. Lots of small SW to SSW swell, 3ft to 3ft, with periods of 15-17 seconds. The wind is lighter at times, onshore, keeping the surface okay but not clean. The wave comments say “marginal” or “poor.” You could get a few, but it’s not a standout.
Now, here’s the real gem. Thursday the 23rd. The morning shows a bump in swell to 4ft from the SSE, 15-second period, with a light cross-shore wind. The combined energy is 1024 – strong. But the afternoon is where it’s at: glassy conditions, 5 km/h wind from the SW, and 5ft of SSE swell, 15-second period, with a combined energy of 1241. That’s a strong, clean, glassy session. The wave comment says “excellent for experienced surfers.” This is the best on offer.
Friday the 24th morning is still good – glassy again, 4ft S swell, 14-second period, energy of 678. Nice and clean. The afternoon gets a cross-on breeze, but the morning is worth getting up for.
After that, the weekend of the 25th and 26th fades. Saturday has 4ft S swell, 12-13 second period, but cross-on winds and moderate energy (853-1068). The wave comment is marginal. Sunday the 26th shows 5ft WNW swell, 10-second period, but the wind is cross-on to onshore, and the quality drops. Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are a write-off – small, messy, poor.
Bottom line: The first week is a washout. Your window is Thursday the 23rd afternoon – glassy, 5ft of SSE groundswell, strong energy. That’s the standout. The Friday morning (24th) is a close second. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too messy.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mon 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | NW 8 | NW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | SW 18 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
253 | 114 | 117 | 151 | 363 | 122 | 486 | 789 | 320 | 664 | 558 | 183 | 237 | 326 | 366 | 291 | 280 | 358 | 434 | 271 | 318 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 9:41PM2.49m | 11:57AM1.62m | 10:34PM2.45m | 12:40PM1.68m | 11:26PM2.34m | 1:21PM1.75m | 00:18AM2.16m | 2:03PM1.81m | 1:13AM1.93m | 2:45PM1.86m | 2:13AM1.69m | 3:26PM1.90m | 3:25AM1.47m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:23PM1.16m | 5:11AM-0.15m | 4:22PM1.11m | 5:56AM-0.11m | 5:21PM1.07m | 6:40AM-0.00m | 6:23PM1.03m | 7:21AM0.16m | 7:28PM0.99m | 8:00AM0.36m | 8:38PM0.95m | 8:38AM0.57m | 9:54PM0.88m | 9:16AM0.78m | |||||||
— | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | |
8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:19 | — | 8:19 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 19 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 20 |
Feels °C | 23 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | NW 9 | NW 8 | SSW 12 | WNW 6 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | WNW 7 | SW 16 | WNW 19 | WNW 7 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 8 | SW 18 | WNW 16 | WNW 6 | S 13 | SW 17 | WNW 6 | S 11 |
253 | 77 | 69 | 119 | 115 | 93 | 95 | 257 | 124 | 142 | 198 | 174 | 237 | 145 | 366 | 291 | 51 | 219 | 434 | 58 | 146 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | WNW 20 | SW 16 | WNW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | SW 18 | WNW 16 | SW 17 | SSE 12 | S 11 | SSW 16 |
115 | 114 | 117 | 112 | 194 | 108 | 51 | 90 | 149 | 89 | 201 | 181 | 74 | 240 | 295 | 260 | 280 | 358 | 195 | 157 | 318 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | S 12 | SSW 15 | WNW 14 | SSW 12 | WNW 13 | WNW 20 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | S 15 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | SW 16 | WNW 14 |
59 | 80 | 42 | 41 | 61 | 35 | 41 | 48 | 47 | 27 | 175 | 74 | 83 | 75 | 44 | 44 | 109 | 188 | 186 | 271 | 118 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NW 8 | NW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | NW 6 | WNW 5 |
— | — | — | 151 | 363 | 122 | 486 | 789 | 320 | 664 | 558 | 183 | 215 | 326 | 88 | 98 | 170 | 58 | 105 | 184 | 34 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 19 | 110 | 0 | 146 | 145 | 16 | 62 | 145 | 16 | 145 | 145 | 16 | 146 | 145 | 0 | 24 | 145 | 52 | 146 | 146 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Luis Obispo | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Carpoforo Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Carpoforo Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Carpoforo Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Carpoforo Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Carpoforo Creek is 60 km (37 miles) from Paso Robles. If you plan a vacation in San Luis Obispo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Paso Robles. Paso Robles has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











