San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here, giving you the lowdown on San Carpoforo Creek in the units that make sense to some of you. This 16-day run is a bit of a mixed bag, and I'm not gonna lie to you, there’s a lot of windy junk to sift through.

Right from this Sunday afternoon (July 5th) through to the morning of Thursday, July 10th, it's a total bust. We're looking at a solid five days of poor to marginal conditions. We have some long-period groundswell coming in, but that cross-onshore wind from the WNW is just tearing it to shreds. It's messy out there. The water is 58°, which is normal for the time of year.

Your first real chance to paddle out is Friday, July 10th, in the morning. We get a 5ft groundswell from the WNW, and the wind finally goes offshore. The energy is still moderate (829), and the tide might be a factor, but it’s the first clean look in a very long time. The afternoon winds pick up a little, so dawn patrol is the go.

The big winner on the near-term radar is Saturday, July 11th. The morning is a bit cloudy, but come Saturday afternoon, the ocean goes completely glassy. Flat calm. On top of that, we get a clean 3ft of long-period SSW groundswell (15-second period) with moderate energy (464). That is the recipe for smooth, lined-up waves. This break is exposed and consistent, so with the swell direction matching up and zero wind, it’s going to be a treat. Crowds are "sometimes," so you might have company, but the surf will be worth it.

After that, we slide back into mediocrity from Sunday, July 12th through to the morning of Friday, July 17th. It’s another long stretch of cross-onshore choppiness. There's some size on Tuesday the 14th (7ft) and Wednesday the 15th (8ft), but with the wind being messy, it’s not good for surfing. That kind of blown-out size is better suited for kite surfing.

Now, for the long-range promise. Check out Saturday, July 18th. This is far out, so keep your expectations in check, but the morning is forecast to be glassy *again*, with a 2ft very long-period SW groundswell (17 seconds) and moderate energy (688). A long-period swell like that at a creek mouth? That's the good stuff. If it lines up, it could be the best session of the whole 16 days. The afternoon gets messy again, so it’s a one-shot deal. Sunday the 19th morning also has a small, clean window with offshore wind.

My call? The absolute standout is that glassy session on Saturday afternoon, July 11th at San Carpoforo Creek. For a bit of a gamble with a huge potential payoff, let that Saturday morning, July 18th, be on your radar. Stay on it.

Rusty.

Read more