San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days at San Carpoforo Creek are looking like a real mixed bag, and honestly, not a whole lot to get excited about. The water is running much colder than normal for this time of year at 55°, so bring a good thick suit if you're even thinking about it.

The first solid window we see is on Sunday, July 19th. The afternoon shows a clean, clear sky with a light offshore breeze from the WNW at 9 mph. Swell is a small 3 ft out of the southwest, with a long period of 17 seconds. There's a moderate amount of energy in the water (967). That long period groundswell will be a bit tricky here – it's a creek mouth, so it might have a bit of a straight shoulder, but the offshore wind will keep things clean. Still, the forecast suggests it's a marginal call, so it's not a standout.

The best chance for a proper session looks like Monday morning, July 20th. Again, a light offshore breeze from the WNW at 6 mph, with a 3 ft SSW swell. The period is a very solid 16 seconds, and the offshore wind is a major positive for clean faces. The combined energy is moderate (632). This is the pick of the early period if you're keen, but it's still a small wave.

After that, the wind turns cross-onshore for most of the week, making things choppy and bumpy. The swell does build a bit, hitting 5 ft on Tuesday afternoon, July 21st, but the cross-onshore wind at 12 mph will ruin it. The combined energy bumps up to 1029, but the quality just isn't there.

The end of the second week, around July 28th, throws a bit of a curveball. An 8 ft swell from the WNW on Tuesday afternoon is a big increase, but it's short period at 8 seconds and cross-onshore. That's a messy, chunky wave, and that size is really only for the experienced crew. A couple of days later, on Wednesday, July 29th, we see a 7 ft WNW swell with a light offshore wind. The period is still short at 8 seconds, so it's a windswell, not the best shape, but it's cleaner than the day before. The combined energy is strong (1269). That's probably the most interesting window in the whole run, but it's a long way off, so don't book the time off just yet.

Realistically, for most of the 16 days, it's either small, or onshore, or both. Keep your expectations low, and check the forecast again closer to the time. This is one of those stretches where the ocean just isn't cooperating.

Rusty.

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