San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got a long look at the next 16 days for San Carpoforo Creek. Let’s be straight with you: the first week and a half is a real grind. The surf is small, the wind is almost always a cross-on breeze, and the water is running a chilly 56° right now, which is a stonking 4° colder than usual for this time of year. That’s a serious anomaly, so you’ll want a thick suit.

The first session that’s even worth a mention is Tuesday morning, July 28th. There’s a 4ft swell from the SSW with a long 18-second period, giving the water some serious energy (1075). That’s a real groundswell, and with that long period, it’s going to be walling up. The catch is the wind is cross-on from the NW at 9 mph, so it’s not going to be glassy. It’s a marginal call, but the swell quality is there. It’s too small for the intermediate crew to get too excited, but the shape could be fun.

Thursday morning, July 30th, is a bit of a tease. Cleaner conditions with a light cross-on breeze at 6 mph, but the swell drops to a tiny 3ft from the SSW at 16 seconds. The energy is weak (900). It’s going to be a longboard or a foamie kind of day.

Friday, August 1st, and Saturday, August 2nd, see a brief bump in size, hitting 6ft to 6ft, but it’s short-period, choppy windswell from the WNW at 7-10 seconds. The wind is howling cross-on at 12 mph, so it’s just a messy, blown-out wall. Not worth paddling for.

Then we hit a real dead zone. From Monday, August 3rd, right through to the weekend of August 9th, the swell is tiny—under 3ft most of the time—and the energy is laughable, with combined energy values dipping below 300. The wind might be light or onshore, but there’s just no juice. This is a classic summer lull for this stretch of coast.

The best, and really the only standout, comes way out in the forecast. On Wednesday morning, August 12th, we see a new SSW swell arrive with a 3ft face, but the period is a very long 18 seconds, and the energy jumps back up to 742. The wind is a steady cross-on NW at 9 mph, which is not ideal, but that long period groundswell will wrap in nicely. Keep an eye on this one—it’s a long-range promise, so don’t book the day off yet, but it’s the only pulse in the entire 16 days that has the potential for a clean, lined-up wave. The rest of the second week is mostly small and messy.

Honestly, if you’re a kite surfer, the choppy, windy afternoons on July 30th and August 1st might be more interesting than paddle surfing. For the rest of us, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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