San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Alright, the outlook for San Carpoforo Creek is a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. We’re looking at a lot of small, marginal days, but there is one genuine standout moment that’s worth getting excited about. The waves are mostly on the smaller side, but we’ve got some real quality potential if you pick your window.

The best bet – and the true standout of the entire forecast – is Wednesday morning, July 22nd. Conditions are looking absolutely glassy with a light offshore wind from the SW at just 3 mph. The swell is a clean 3 ft from the SSW with a long period of 15 seconds, giving it real groundswell energy. The combined energy is moderate at 761, but the glassy conditions will make for some super clean, lined-up waves. This is a sweet spot that will be perfect for an intermediate surfer. Keep in mind, this is a point break set-up, so that long period swell will wrap in nicely.

The build-up to that Wednesday is marginal. Saturday, July 18th starts things off with a 3 ft SW swell running at a very long 18-second period, but the wind is onshore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy. The energy is moderate (761), but it’s not the best quality. The following days through to Tuesday, July 21st, offer similar small swells, mostly in the 3 ft to 5 ft range, but the wind is inconsistent and often cross-onshore, keeping the surf from cleaning up properly.

After that Wednesday glass-off, the conditions deteriorate. For the rest of the week, expect a lot of cross-onshore winds from the WNW, chopping up the surface. The swell holds up at times, with a 5 ft pulse on Saturday afternoon, July 25th, and a 5 ft one on the morning of Tuesday, July 28th, but the wind makes it a messy affair. The combined energy gets strong on July 24th (1436) and even stronger by July 28th (2023), but the wind is either cross-onshore or onshore, so it’s going to be a bumpy, choppy experience. The 5 ft+ days are pushing it for beginners, and the 5 ft on the 28th is getting into expert-only territory.

Heading into the second week (from July 29th onwards), the swell drops back down to the 3 ft to 4 ft range with mostly onshore winds. The energy is weak to moderate, and the outlook is pretty flat and uninspiring. There’s a little bump on the morning of August 2nd with a 4 ft WNW swell, but the period is a short 9 seconds and the wind is onshore, so it’s not going to be worth a trip.

The water temperature anomaly isn’t provided here, so I can’t tell you if it’s running warmer or colder than normal.

Bottom line: Mark your calendar for Wednesday morning, July 22nd. That’s the one. Otherwise, the rest of the window is a lot of waiting for clean conditions that don’t quite materialize. Keep your expectations in check, and the early morning glass-offs are your only real chance for a decent session.

Rusty.

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