San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what we've got coming up for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this stretch starts off a bit flat and messy. There is some swell on the cards, but the wind is just not playing ball for a while.

We're looking at San Carpoforo Creek, and honestly, the first few days are a write-off. Friday the 31st of July through to Saturday the 1st of August we've got swell, but it's getting pushed around by a persistent cross-onshore breeze. The water is sitting at a chilly 56°F, which is a solid 5°F colder than normal for this time of year – that's a pretty big deal, so you'll want a thick suit.

The real story starts to change around Sunday morning, the 2nd of August. We've got a 6ft groundswell wrapping in from the WNW with a period of 9 seconds, and the wind swings onshore. It's still not perfect, but the energy is building with a combined energy reading of 649, which is moderate. Monday the 3rd of August looks like the first real chance. The swell holds around 5ft from the WNW at 10 seconds, but the wind drops right out to just 3 mph from the west. That's a slight air, glassy conditions. It’s a marginal call on the tide, but that's the kind of clean window you paddle for.

Now, if you can wait, the standout is shaping up for the weekend of the 8th and 9th of August. Saturday the 8th, during the morning, we get a solid 6ft NW swell with a 10-second period, and the wind is a light offshore from the west at only 6 mph. The combined energy is a strong 1406. That's proper groundswell power, and with clean conditions, the Creek will be on. It's a consistent break, so expect some good waves. But keep in mind, with a swell that size (over 5ft), it’s moving into intermediate territory.

Looking further out, around the 14th and 15th of August, we see a shift to a very long-period SSW groundswell, coming in at 17 to 20 seconds. The heights are a bit smaller, around 2ft to 3ft, but that long period means tons of energy for the size. The combined energy readings are still up in the 500-600 range, which is decent for a small swell. The wind is light on those mornings too. This is a promising but less certain long-range prospect. For a river mouth setup like San Carpoforo, that long-period energy could really line up.

So, to keep it simple: the first week is a grind. The best bet on offer is the morning of Saturday the 8th of August. If you miss that, the mornings around the 14th and 15th of August are worth a look for the patient surfer.

Rusty.

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