San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Yo, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's coming up for San Carpoforo Creek. The next couple of weeks are a mixed bag, with a lot of marginal conditions and a few brighter spots to keep an eye on. The water's running a bit colder than normal for this time of year, about 57°F, so a decent wetsuit is a must.

We kick off on Saturday, July 18th, with a small 3 ft SW swell, but a 9 mph cross-onshore breeze is going to mess it up. Overall, the vibe is poor and not worth paddling out for. This pretty much sets the tone for the next week and a half. Through to the end of July, we're looking at a persistent pattern of small, choppy surf with cross-onshore winds. The swell is mostly from the SSW, ranging from 3 ft to 4 ft, but the wind is almost always from the WNW, making it a battle. The combined wave energy is moderate, bouncing around the 500s to 800s, but it's just not clean. The period is mostly between 14 and 17 seconds, which is a decent groundswell, but it's getting chopped up by the wind. There's a period of a few days here where the mornings offer a light breeze, but the surf is still marginal and not really a standout.

Now, there's a glimmer of hope. On Friday, July 24th, the early morning shows a jump in period to 24 seconds, a very long period groundswell from the SW, with a combined energy of 1234. The problem is the swell height is only 3 ft and the wind is a cross-onshore 9 mph. It's a tease. The next two days, July 25th and 26th, have similar characteristics – very long period swells (19-21 seconds) with moderate energy, but the wind is still cross-onshore, spoiling the potential.

The best, and I mean the *only* real standout, is on Friday, July 31st. The morning is looking promising. We've got a 4 ft SSE swell with a 16-second period, and the wind is going glassy, offshore from the W at just 3 mph. That's the kind of magic we're after. The combined energy is 884, which is solid. This is your window. Get on it early because the afternoon sees the swell building to 5 ft with a 15-second period, and the wind swings onshore, making it marginal again. After that, the first of August rolls in with a bit more size but the wind turns cross-onshore, and the period drops off, so it's back to the mediocrity.

Honestly, for the next two weeks, San Carpoforo Creek is a tough call. Most of the time, the wind is going to be your enemy. The morning of July 31st is the clear winner. It's not a giant swell, but with glassy conditions and a long period groundswell, it'll be the cleanest, most fun you'll see in this whole forecast period. The rest is for the patient and the determined.

Rusty, signing off.

Read more