San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for San Carpoforo Creek. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s keep it real.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid exposure to SW swell and this spot is consistent, which is a good start. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing too wild. The first few days, though, are a write-off. The afternoon of Thursday the 16th is a mess with 15 mph cross-onshore winds ruining an 8 ft swell. Not worth paddling out for.

Things start to show a tiny pulse of life on Friday morning the 17th. We’ve got a 5 ft swell from the WNW with a period of 8 seconds, and the wind is straight onshore, but it’s light. It’s marginal, and the energy is moderate (716). Not a standout, but it’s the first chance to get wet if you’re desperate.

The real tease comes in on Saturday morning the 18th. The swell drops to 3 ft, but it’s from the SW with a very long period of 18 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and with light WNW wind, it could be glassy. The issue is the size – it’s tiny. Combined energy is moderate (789). Good for a log, but not a day to get excited about.

Sunday the 19th through Tuesday the 22nd is a frustrating stretch. The swell is there, with periods around 13 to 17 seconds from the S and SSW, with combined energy climbing into the strong range (1315 on Sunday morning). But every morning is either cross-on or onshore wind, and the afternoons are choppy trash. The wind just won’t clean it up.

Okay, here’s the one that makes me sit up a little. Friday the 24th of July, morning session. We’ve got a 5 ft swell from the S, with a 15-second period, and the combined energy is strong (1736). The wind is a light breeze, cross-on but with only small wind ripples. That’s the best compromise we get. The swell direction (S) is close to the optimum SW, and it’s a point break setup, so that long period should wrap in nicely. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best on offer in the whole 16-day window. The rest of that day, and the weekend after, gets blown out again by afternoon sea breezes.

Looking further out, the week of the 28th to the 31st keeps showing swell from the SSW, but the wind is always cross-on or moderate. The energy remains strong (over 1000 in the mornings), but the quality is always marginal at best. There’s no big clean-up in sight.

So, the standout is Friday morning, July 24th. Get on it early. The rest of the time, the afternoons are a kiter’s playground with that strong cross-onshore wind and decent swell, but for a paddle surfer, it’s mostly a waiting game.

Rusty.

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