San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s run through the same outlook for San Carpoforo Creek, but in feet and miles per hour.

The next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got some real solid groundswell energy lighting up the early part, but the wind is going to be a constant battle. The best bet is to pick your windows carefully.

The standout period kicks off right away on Wednesday, July 29th. We’ve got a long-period SSW groundswell rolling in at 4ft, with a 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, with a combined energy of 1168 (moderate to strong). The catch? The wind is a cross-on from the WNW at 9 mph, which is going to leave the surface a little lumpy. It’s still the best on offer early on, but you’ll be battling a bit of texture. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

Thursday morning, July 30th, sees a similar 3ft SSW swell, same long period, but the wind drops to a light breeze from the WNW at 6 mph. The combined energy is still a solid 900 (moderate). This is probably your best chance for a clean-ish session early on, with just light wind ripples.

Friday, July 31st, the swell comes from the S at 4ft, still with a long 14-second period, giving us 854 combined energy (moderate). But again, the wind is a cross-on from the NW at 9 mph, keeping it from being glassy. The afternoon gets windier, so stick to the mornings.

The real size shows up on Saturday, August 1st, but it’s a short-period, wind-driven WNW swell. The 7ft afternoon sets are big, but with a period of only 8 seconds and a 12 mph cross-on wind, it’s going to be a choppy, closed-out mess. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle session. The combined energy hits 719 (moderate), but the quality is poor.

Sunday, August 2nd, is similar with 7ft WNW swell, a 9-second period, and cross-on winds. The morning is marginal, but again, it’s rough.

The best window for clean conditions actually looks like Monday, August 3rd. The morning has a 6ft swell from the WNW with a 10-second period, and the wind goes *onshore* from the WNW at just 6 mph. The combined energy is 699 (moderate). The wind is light and onshore, which is a major positive for clean faces. This is the true standout of the whole outlook. The afternoon holds similar with 5ft and light onshore winds. Mark it on your calendar.

After that, the swell drops off significantly. From Tuesday, August 4th onward, we’re looking at ankle-to-knee-high surf, mostly under 3ft, with a long period (over 15 seconds) but very weak energy. The combined energy drops into the 100-500 range (weak to moderate). The wind stays light, which is frustrating because the waves just won’t have any push. There’s a long gap of poor to marginal surf from the 5th of August all the way through the end of the forecast. The afternoon of the 12th and the morning of the 13th show a slight uptick to 3ft and 3ft SSW groundswell, with combined energy of 529 and 575 (moderate), but the wind is still cross-on, keeping it marginal. It’s a flat spell.

So, to keep it simple: the first week has the size, but the wind is the enemy. Your best bet is the morning of Thursday, July 30th, for a cleaner shot at the long-period groundswell, or Monday, August 3rd, for the cleanest conditions on the biggest, most rideable swell of the period. Everything after the 4th of August is a write-off.

Rusty.

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