San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next couple of weeks. Honestly, looking at the charts for San Carpoforo Creek, it’s a bit of a slow burn. There’s not a lot of size, and the wind is going to be our main enemy for most of it. We’re going to have to pick our moments. The water is running a bit colder than usual for this time of year, coming in at 58°F, so a good wetsuit is a must.

The first few days are pretty grim. Friday and Saturday are mostly write-offs with tiny, weak swell and afternoon onshores messing things up. The swell is there, but it’s small, and the conditions are just poor. You’re looking at dribbly 2ft to 2ft waves with light west winds, but the energy is just not there. It’s a good time to sort your gear, not to get wet.

Now, Sunday the 9th is where things start to get interesting. The morning is the standout of the first week. We’ve got a clean 3ft of SSW swell, and the wind is glassy. That’s a recipe for some clean, if small, waves. The energy is picking up to a moderate 540, and the 16-second period means there’s some proper groundswell in the water. It’s going to be small, but it will be the best quality surf we’ve seen. The afternoon sees the wind turn cross-on, so get on it early.

The start of the next week, from Monday the 10th through Wednesday the 12th, we see the swell direction swing to the WNW and the period drops right off to 9-10 seconds. That’s short-period, wind-driven stuff, and it’s going to be junk. The size bumps up a touch to 4ft, but with that short period and onshore winds, it’s going to be a messy, bumpy mess. Not worth your time unless you’re desperate for a paddle.

We get a bit of a reset from Thursday the 13th to Saturday the 15th. The swell goes back to the SSW, and the period climbs back up to 15-16 seconds. The size stays small, around 2ft to 2ft, but there’s more energy in the water. The winds are light, but mostly cross-shore or light onshore. It’s still not going to be epic, but there will be some fun, clean little waves if you pick the right bank. Saturday the 15th has a bit more size, up to 4ft, but the afternoon wind will chop it out.

The second week is looking less promising. From Sunday the 16th onwards, the wind becomes a constant cross-on or onshore, and the swell stays small and weak. There’s a constant 3ft to 3ft of SSW swell, but the period drops and the wind is just constantly messing with the surface. There’s no real standout in this period. It’s just a grind of small, wind-blown waves. The energy is moderate, but it’s not translating into anything good.

If I had to tell you when to go, it’s Sunday morning. That’s the one real window of clean, glassy conditions with a decent long-period swell. It won’t be big, but it will be the best we get. The rest of the time, you’re hunting for a clean little runner between the wind. It’s a tough outlook, but that's the coast for you. Keep your expectations low and your patience high.

Rusty

Read more