San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at San Carpoforo Creek.

Right off the bat, the water’s sitting at 55°F and that’s a good 4°F colder than usual for July. That’s a shock to the system, so you’ll want a decent winter suit. The first half of the outlook is pretty rough. Monday the 13th into Tuesday the 14th has some small SSW swell around 3ft, with a 13-second period, giving it a bit of push, but the wind is onshore or cross-on, and the wave comment tells us it’s marginal tide conditions. Not worth paddling out for.

The real trouble starts Wednesday the 15th. The wind picks up from the NW, and we get a lumpy, choppy mess. Swell bumps up to 4ft and then 7ft by Wednesday afternoon, but with a short, weak period of 6-7 seconds, it’s just wind chop. The combined energy is moderate (329-550) but the quality is poor. Thursday the 16th is even worse – 8ft of lumpy WNW swell (combined energy 1016) with a cross-on breeze. That’s expert-only territory if you’re desperate, but with the wind, it’s a mess. This stretch is more for kite surfers than paddle surfers.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th offer a glimmer. Friday morning has 5ft of WNW swell, 8-second period, still cross-on, but the energy is solid (669). Still marginal. Saturday morning though, the wind goes light and onshore, with a 3ft SW swell and a long 18-second period. The combined energy is 811 – that’s moderate but with a lot of grunt. The long period means it’ll be lined up, but at a beach break it might break a bit straight. Still, it’s the cleanest window we’ve seen so far.

Sunday the 19th through Wednesday the 23rd is a tease. Lots of small SW to SSW swell, 3ft to 3ft, with periods of 15-17 seconds. The wind is lighter at times, onshore, keeping the surface okay but not clean. The wave comments say “marginal” or “poor.” You could get a few, but it’s not a standout.

Now, here’s the real gem. Thursday the 23rd. The morning shows a bump in swell to 4ft from the SSE, 15-second period, with a light cross-shore wind. The combined energy is 1024 – strong. But the afternoon is where it’s at: glassy conditions, 5 km/h wind from the SW, and 5ft of SSE swell, 15-second period, with a combined energy of 1241. That’s a strong, clean, glassy session. The wave comment says “excellent for experienced surfers.” This is the best on offer.

Friday the 24th morning is still good – glassy again, 4ft S swell, 14-second period, energy of 678. Nice and clean. The afternoon gets a cross-on breeze, but the morning is worth getting up for.

After that, the weekend of the 25th and 26th fades. Saturday has 4ft S swell, 12-13 second period, but cross-on winds and moderate energy (853-1068). The wave comment is marginal. Sunday the 26th shows 5ft WNW swell, 10-second period, but the wind is cross-on to onshore, and the quality drops. Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are a write-off – small, messy, poor.

Bottom line: The first week is a washout. Your window is Thursday the 23rd afternoon – glassy, 5ft of SSE groundswell, strong energy. That’s the standout. The Friday morning (24th) is a close second. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too messy.

Rusty out.

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