
Surf Forecasts:
San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, S swell with 1,028 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Carpoforo Creek this week:
The surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Carpoforo Creek in the next 16 days are 1.6m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at San Carpoforo Creek over the next couple of weeks.
First off, the water’s running a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 57°, so you’ll want a good wetsuit. The good news is that after a rough start, we’ve got a real standout session on the horizon.
The forecast starts with a pretty grim picture. Thursday and Friday are a write-off – choppy, cross-onshore winds and poor surf conditions. You’re better off staying home. The weekend isn’t much better; Saturday morning has a tiny 3 ft swell with a very long 18-second period from the SW, but it’s clean with light offshore winds. The energy is moderate (791), but it’s marginal at best. Sunday morning is similar with a 3 ft SW swell and a 17-second period, though the energy is picking up (956). Still, nothing to get excited about.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday, the 20th of July, is your best bet. The morning session is the real standout. We’ve got a 5 ft swell from the S with a 14-second period, which is a proper groundswell. The energy is strong (1208), and the wind is glassy – dead calm. That’s a recipe for clean, powerful waves. This is an intermediate spot, so the size is manageable for most, but the long period means it’ll be lining up nicely. Keep in mind, with a long-period S swell, it can break a bit straight on a beach setup, but it should still offer some good walls. The crowds are "sometimes" here, so you might have some company, but it shouldn’t be a zoo.
Tuesday morning, the 21st, is also a solid option. Swell drops a touch to 5 ft from the SSW with a 12-second period, but the wind is light and cross-offshore, keeping it clean. The energy is still strong (835). It’s a good backup, but Monday morning is the clear winner.
After that, things get messy again. From Wednesday the 22nd onward, the wind swings back to a cross-onshore or onshore direction, and the swell quality drops off. There are a few mornings with light offshore winds (like the 22nd, 30th, and 31st), but the swell is small and the conditions are only marginal. Nothing worth planning a trip around.
The long-range looks pretty average. The end of July and into the 31st has some small, long-period SSW swells, but the wind is consistently cross-onshore, chopping it up. The energy is moderate to strong (up to 1728 on the 27th afternoon), but the poor wind kills it.
So, bottom line: Monday morning, the 20th of July, is the one to circle on your calendar. Glassy, solid groundswell, and good energy. Tuesday morning is a decent second option. The rest of the 16-day window is mostly a bust. Don’t hold your breath for the second week; it’s looking like a long stretch of frustrating conditions.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Tue morning, min 17°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 7 | SW 18 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | SW 17 | S 14 | S 13 | S 14 | S 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
264 | 538 | 664 | 287 | 292 | 362 | 366 | 291 | 287 | 358 | 682 | 498 | 1028 | 551 | 387 | 497 | 344 | 439 | 417 | 316 | 321 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 1:21PM1.75m | 00:18AM2.16m | 2:03PM1.81m | 1:13AM1.93m | 2:45PM1.86m | 2:13AM1.69m | 3:26PM1.90m | 3:25AM1.47m | 4:09PM1.92m | 4:56AM1.32m | 4:53PM1.93m | 6:45AM1.27m | 5:39PM1.94m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:23PM1.03m | 7:21AM0.16m | 7:28PM0.99m | 8:00AM0.36m | 8:38PM0.95m | 8:38AM0.57m | 9:54PM0.88m | 9:16AM0.78m | 11:13PM0.79m | 9:55AM0.97m | 00:26AM0.68m | 10:41AM1.12m | 1:28AM0.57m | ||||||||
6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
— | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 18 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 7 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 6 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 14 | S 13 | S 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | WNW 6 |
125 | 89 | 228 | 174 | 237 | 169 | 295 | 291 | 103 | 357 | 682 | 498 | 1028 | 551 | 242 | 497 | 306 | 181 | 417 | 316 | 75 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 20 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | WNW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | S 15 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 8 | S 7 | SSW 14 |
149 | 142 | 201 | 181 | 74 | 240 | 366 | 260 | 284 | 358 | 358 | 367 | 62 | 258 | 387 | 304 | 344 | 439 | 102 | 26 | 321 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 13 | S 12 | SW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | WNW 9 | WNW 14 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | SSE 12 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 |
47 | 27 | 175 | 74 | 83 | 75 | 44 | 45 | 90 | 188 | 186 | 119 | 118 | 47 | 35 | 34 | 17 | 19 | 30 | 82 | 213 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 6 | NW 7 | WNW 6 | NW 5 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 8 | WNW 5 | NW 7 |
264 | 538 | 664 | 287 | 292 | 362 | 86 | 104 | 287 | 53 | 62 | 201 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 95 | 299 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 145 | 145 | 16 | 66 | 146 | 0 | 146 | 146 | 16 | 146 | 146 | 62 | 0 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 203 | 145 | 16 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Luis Obispo | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Carpoforo Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Carpoforo Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Carpoforo Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Carpoforo Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Carpoforo Creek is 60 km (37 miles) from Paso Robles. If you plan a vacation in San Luis Obispo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Paso Robles. Paso Robles has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










