San Carpoforo Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what’s brewing for San Carpoforo Creek.

Alright folks, looking at the next couple of weeks, it’s a pretty tough stretch for San Carpoforo Creek. The surf is mostly messy and on the smaller side, with a lot of onshore wind making things choppy. There’s some energy in the water, but the quality just isn’t there for most of the period. You’ll be waiting a while for a proper session.

The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t show up until later in the run. For the first 10 days, from the 21st of July through the end of the month, it’s a real struggle. We’ve got a solid amount of swell energy, with combined energy readings often in the 800 to 1200 range, but the wind is almost always from the NW, blowing cross-onshore or onshore, and the wave comment keeps saying "marginal" or "poor". The water temperature is running a very unusual 55°, which is 5° colder than normal for this time of year – that’s a major outlier and means you’ll want a thick wetsuit.

The one highlight, and it’s a real tease, comes right at the very end. On Friday the 31st of July, we’ve got a potential window. The morning shows 5 ft of WNW swell with glassy conditions and a slight air. That’s the only "glassy" reading in the whole outlook, and it’s the only time we see "expect very good surf conditions". That’s your best bet. The wind is light and variable, it’s going to be clean. The swell period is 9 seconds, which is short, but with those winds, it could still be fun on the right tide.

After that, it’s back to small, choppy, and onshore as we head into August, with the swell dropping off and the wind picking back up. The energy gets weaker too, dropping below the 500 mark in the first week of August. There’s a little bump of 7 ft to 7 ft WNW swell around the 3rd and 5th of August, but the period is short (6-8 seconds) and the wind is still cross-onshore or onshore, meaning it’s going to be a lumpy, closed-out mess. Anything over 5 ft with that wind will be blown out.

So, the call: If you can get out on Friday the 31st in the morning, do it. That’s the standout. The rest of this period is a write-off for a quality paddle. With the consistent cross-onshore winds and the beach setup, this stretch actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing if you have the gear.

Rusty.

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