Surf Forecasts:
San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NW swell with 952 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for San Carpoforo Creek this week:
The surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at San Carpoforo Creek in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for San Carpoforo Creek over the next 16 days.
Alright, let’s talk about San Carpoforo Creek in feet and miles per hour. This 16-day stretch is a tough one – a whole lot of nothing for the first week and a half, with only a couple of flickers at the very end that might be worth a look.
From July 11th all the way to July 25th, that’s a 15-day gap with no real standouts. The swell sits mostly around 2 ft to 3 ft, coming from the SSW or WNW, and for the most part, the wind is a cross-onshore hassle. There are some moments of offshore wind, but the energy is weak or just not lining up. The wave reports are all “poor surf conditions” or “marginal” – not exactly a recipe for a good session. The combined swell energy is mostly in the 400 to 700 range – moderate, but wasted. Water temp is 55°F, about 5°F colder than normal for July, so it’s noticeably cool.
July 14th afternoon jumps to about 6 ft, but with a short 6-second period from the WNW and a moderate cross-onshore breeze at 12 mph, it’s just choppy and rough. This beach-and-reef setup? Honestly, would be better for kiting than surfing.
The one session I’d pencil in is Saturday, July 25th. Early morning you’ve got 5 ft from the WNW, 9-second period, and offshore wind from the WNW at just 3 mph – glassy clean, with light airs. The combined energy is 653 – moderate. It’s rated marginal, but with that offshore wind, it could be the cleanest wave of the whole period. Get there first light.
Sunday, July 26th morning is another maybe – 6 ft from the WNW, 10-second period, light offshore wind from the W at 6 mph. That’s a bit bigger, still clean, with energy at 990 (moderate to strong). It’s promising but a long way out, so don’t rely on it just yet.
Crowds at San Carpoforo Creek can show up sometimes, but for this run, you probably won’t have to fight for much. If you’re a beginner, anything over 5 ft is a handful, and over 8 ft is only for the experts. We see 7 ft and 7 ft on a couple of afternoons in the second week, but with short periods and onshore wind, it’s just sloppy.
Keep your eye on July 25th morning. That’s the best bet.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WNW 8 | SSW 12 | WNW 6 | NW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | NW 8 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 309 | 322 | 277 | 366 | 366 | 179 | 253 | 253 | 177 | 117 | 246 | 453 | 209 | 363 | 952 | 435 | 475 | 603 | 240 | 237 | 240 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:35AM1.42m | 7:53PM2.37m | 10:27AM1.49m | 8:47PM2.45m | 11:13AM1.56m | 9:41PM2.49m | 11:57AM1.62m | 10:34PM2.45m | 12:40PM1.68m | 11:26PM2.34m | 1:21PM1.75m | 00:18AM2.16m | 2:03PM1.81m | 1:13AM1.93m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:18PM1.19m | 3:35AM-0.01m | 2:22PM1.19m | 4:24AM-0.11m | 3:23PM1.16m | 5:11AM-0.15m | 4:22PM1.11m | 5:56AM-0.11m | 5:21PM1.07m | 6:40AM-0.00m | 6:23PM1.03m | 7:21AM0.16m | 7:28PM0.99m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 20 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 16 |
Feels °C | 21 | 19 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | SSW 12 | WNW 6 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 77 | 103 | 277 | 366 | 366 | 168 | 161 | 135 | 177 | 69 | 119 | 126 | 64 | 51 | 409 | 125 | 89 | 311 | 240 | 237 | 116 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | S 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 20 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | WNW 16 |
| kJ | 309 | 322 | 96 | 103 | 145 | 179 | 253 | 253 | 84 | 117 | 112 | 194 | 108 | 96 | 90 | 149 | 142 | 201 | 181 | 74 | 240 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | S 20 | W 16 | S 18 | W 18 | SW 14 | WNW 17 | SW 19 | S 12 | SSW 15 | WNW 14 | SSW 12 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 31 | 30 | 5 | 55 | 25 | 102 | 56 | 59 | 80 | 42 | 41 | 61 | 35 | 34 | 49 | 47 | 27 | 175 | 74 | 83 | 75 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | NW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | NW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | 246 | 453 | 209 | 363 | 952 | 435 | 475 | 603 | 217 | 197 | 213 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 19 | 66 | 16 | 19 | 167 | 19 | 62 | 203 | 0 | 145 | 145 | 16 | 62 | 145 | 16 | 146 | 146 | 0 | 336 | 146 | 62 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Luis Obispo | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the San Carpoforo Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for San Carpoforo Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at San Carpoforo Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our San Carpoforo Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (San Carpoforo Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for San Carpoforo Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
San Carpoforo Creek is 60 km (37 miles) from Paso Robles. If you plan a vacation in San Luis Obispo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Paso Robles. Paso Robles has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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