Wailua/Horners Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's happening at Wailua/Horners over the next couple of weeks.

First thing you need to know: this is an exposed reef break that needs a north swell to really fire, and the optimum swell direction is from the north. Through this entire forecast, we're looking at swell coming mainly from the east and northeast, which is a tough fit for this spot. The water temperature is sitting right around 79°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thick rubber.

The outlook for the next sixteen days is a real struggle. For the first two weeks, we are looking at a grim stretch of onshore wind - a solid, constant 15 to 16 mph breeze out of the ENE. Every session is showing "poor surf conditions" and the scores are bottoming out. The swell sticks between 5ft and 8ft, but with that wind howling, it's going to be a choppy, blown-out mess. The combined wave energy sits in the moderate range, around 350 to 700 (moderate energy), which would be okay if the wind was right, but it just isn't. This is basically a two-week gap where you don't even bother looking at the ocean.

Now, hold on a second. If you scroll all the way out to the 21st of July, Tuesday afternoon, there's a little flicker of something interesting. We get a long-period groundswell from the east at 3ft, with a period of 18 seconds and the combined energy jumps way up to 1084 (strong to very strong energy). The wind settles to a gentle 9 mph breeze. The catch is that this spot is a reef, and with that 18-second period, those long lines might wrap in beautifully, giving them plenty of shape. It's still a marginal forecast, but compared to the weeks of junk, this is the only window worth thinking about. Honestly though, for the whole rest of the run, don't hold your breath. That straight onshore wind just kills it here.

Stay patient,
Rusty

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