Wailua/Horners Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. It’s going to be a long wait for any sort of decent wave out at Wailua/Horners. The whole 16-day forecast starts off rough, and honestly, for the first week and a half, there’s nothing worth paddling out for. We’re looking at nearly two weeks of onshore wind hammering this exposed reef, with swell sizes bouncing between 6ft and 8ft but with short, weak 8-second periods. The wind is a solid 15-18 mph from the NE and ENE, just ripping across the surface and making a mess of everything. The combined energy is in the moderate to strong range (around 445 to 899), but it’s all windslop and close-outs. No bueno.

We finally get a flicker of hope late on Tuesday, September 15th, but it’s only a slight improvement, and the real standout is the afternoon of that day. That afternoon, the wind goes glassy, which is massive for this spot. Swell drops to about 5ft from the NE with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is weak (487), but with damn near perfect conditions, it’ll be clean and rideable. It’s the only session in the whole window that gets a “good surf conditions” call, so that’s the one to pencil in.

Before that, Monday, September 7th, shows a bit of size with a solid 8ft from the ENE and a much better 13-second period, and the wind is light enough (9-12 mph) that it’s only cross-onshore. Combined energy is strong (1584) and the energy’s there, but it’s a “marginal” call with risk of thunderstorms. It’s a maybe, but only if you’re desperate. From September 8th through the 14th, it’s pretty much the same story: moderate to strong energy but always chopped up by wind or questionable conditions. The 14th and 15th have lighter winds, but the swell is still average.

Then, on Wednesday, September 16th, the swell drops right off to about 3ft from the NNW, ending the run with a whimper.

So here’s the deal: if you’re in the mood for a glassy, clean session, Tuesday afternoon, September 15th, is your only real shot. It won’t be big, but it’ll be the best of a bad lot. The rest of the month is a write-off unless the forecasts change. For now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

Read more