Wailua/Horners Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a grim stretch ahead for the Wailua/Horners reef break. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, but honestly, there’s nothing to get excited about. The whole block is a write-off.

Let’s start with the first surf recommendation, which is barely a recommendation. It’s not even surfable yet. The earliest we see anything is Thursday, July 30th, and it’s a no-go. The wind is cranking cross-on at 6 mph, and we’ve got a weak, short-period 5ft ENE swell at 8 seconds (combined energy of all swells directed here: 255). The water’s a warm 80°, which is about average for the time of year, but that doesn’t save it. The rip is a mess.

Come Friday, July 31st, it’s all onshore wind from the east, screaming at 16 mph. Swell pushes up to 6ft, but with that wind, it’s just a choppy, blown-out wall. The energy jumps to 600, but it’s raw, ugly power. Not for us.

The weekend of August 1st and 2nd is the worst of it. Saturday morning sees 8ft of easterly swell with a fresh breeze at 19 mph, slamming straight onshore. Combined energy hits 1096 – that’s strong, but it’s basically a washing machine. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, only if you want a beating. A beach setup with that much wind and swell – honestly, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We get a slight drop on Monday, August 3rd, down to 6ft, but the wind is still onshore at 9-12 mph. It’s still poor. The only glimmer, and I use that word loosely, shows up on Tuesday, August 4th. The swell drops to 5ft, but the period stretches to 12 seconds – that’s a proper long period groundswell. The energy is moderate at 680. The wind is still onshore from the ENE at 9 mph, though, so it’s only marginal. It’s a tease.

Then it’s back to the doldrums. From Wednesday, August 5th, all the way through to Friday, August 14th, it’s a desert. Swell fades to 2ft to 5ft, wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the combined energy drops to pitiful levels (109 to 348). There’s a couple of days with a longer period (13 seconds) from the west on August 12th, but the swell is tiny (2ft to 2ft) and the wind is all wrong. It’s just not happening.

Look, this spot is already inconsistent, so a blank run like this isn’t totally out of the blue. But it’s a long wait. The only day that even gets a *marginal* score is Tuesday, August 4th, and that’s a stretch. You’d be better off saving your energy. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a hard pass.

Rusty.

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