Wailua/Horners Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, same story, different numbers. For Wailua/Horners, it’s a long stretch of ugly. This is an advanced reef spot, but the ocean is just not cooperating. Water temp is about 79°, dead average for the season, so at least you won’t get cold while you’re waiting for a wave that isn’t coming.

The wind is the villain. From Sunday the 5th right through the first week, it’s 15 to 19 mph onshore from the ENE, blowing straight into the waves. The swell sits around 7 ft to 8 ft from the ENE, with a short, weak period of 8 seconds. The combined swell energy runs from 434 to 651 – moderate on paper, but worthless with that wind. Every single session is flagged as “poor surf conditions,” scoring a zero. The spot is “inconsistent” anyway, so a dry spell is part of the deal.

This same pattern sticks around for days. Onshore wind, lumpy, short-period slop. No relief.

Then on the 14th and 15th of July, a glimmer. A tiny groundswell shows up – only 3 ft to 3 ft, but with a very long period of 16 seconds. The combined energy peaks at 789 on the 15th, which is respectable. But the wind is still onshore at 12 mph from the ENE. On a reef, that long period could have given you some beautiful lines if the wind was right, but it’s not. Still called “poor surf conditions.”

There’s one flicker on Thursday the 16th afternoon – a 6 ft swell from the E, period of 7 seconds, and the wind drops to a gentle 9 mph onshore. It’s called “marginal” at best, a score of 1 out of 10. That single afternoon is the only session in the entire 16 days that isn’t a complete write-off. A 6 ft, short-period wave with onshore wind… it’s a gamble, not a guarantee.

The rest of the second week slides back into the doldrums: 4 ft to 5 ft short-period E swell with 9 to 12 mph onshore winds. The combined energy drops to the low 200s and 300s – weak, messy, and not worth your time.

I can’t give you a standout. There’s no day where the stars align. If you absolutely must paddle out, keep an eye on that Thursday the 16th afternoon for the best of a bad bunch. Otherwise, this setup looks more like a kiter’s game than a surfer’s.

Hang tight. Things can turn around.

Rusty

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