Wailua/Horners Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the Wailua/Horners zone over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this one’s a tough run. We’re looking at a solid 16-day stretch where the conditions just aren’t playing ball. The whole outlook is flagged as poor surf, and honestly, I can’t find a single standout session to get excited about. There’s no real kick-off to the period; it’s just a long, flat-to-messy grind from the start.

For the first week and a half, from Thursday the 9th right through to around Monday the 20th, we’ve got a constant onshore breeze from the ENE, blowing at 12 to 16 mph. That wind is just ruining any chance of clean waves. The swell is hanging around the 5 ft to 8 ft range, mostly from the E and ENE, but with a short, weak period of 7 to 8 seconds – that’s windswell, not groundswell. The energy is there, reading between 240 and 638 (moderate), but it’s all chopped up and messy. Not a single clean window in that whole stretch.

Then, around Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd, things get weird. The swell drops to 3 ft to 5 ft, but the period jumps way up to 15 to 20 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell rolling in from the east. The combined energy spikes into the four-digit range (1116 to 1462), showing strong energy. But here’s the kicker – the wind is still onshore, 12 to 16 mph from the ENE and NE. That’s a brutal combo. A long period swell like that needs clean, glassy conditions to really shine, especially at a reef break like this. With that wind, it’s just going to be a bumpy, difficult paddle. The swell direction is E, which is not the optimum N direction for this spot, so it’s not wrapping in perfectly either. It’s a heartbreaker, but that’s the call.

The last few days, the 23rd and 24th, the swell fades back to 3 ft to 5 ft, period drops, and the wind stays onshore. The water temp is sitting at 79°F, which is about normal for this time of year, with a tiny anomaly of +0.4°F. Water temperature anomaly is about average for the time of year.

So, bottom line: there is no good surf on offer in this 16-day window. The whole period is a washout. For a spot that’s normally inconsistent, this kind of blank run can happen. It’s a real bummer, but that’s the reality of the forecast. Keep your eyes peeled for a change in the wind pattern, but for now, I’d say leave the boards in the car and find something else to do.

Rusty.

Read more