Velzyland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee, let's see what the charts are telling us for the next couple of weeks. It’s Rusty here, and I’ll be straight with you—this stretch looks pretty bleak for a proper paddle. The whole run is thin on the ground, and we're staring down a long gap with no real quality on offer.

The only break on the menu is Velzyland, a reef setup that’s fairly consistent but needs the right direction. It's been a bit of a dud lately. The water temp is sitting at 73° with an anomaly of -0.9°, which is basically dead average for this time of year.

The first few days are a write-off. Wednesday afternoon kicks off with a 3 ft east swell, but the 12 mph SSW cross-breeze has it chopped and messy with a combined energy of 166 (moderate). Thursday is just as grim—3 ft east swell, light south wind but still cross-onshore, poor. Thursday afternoon gets a bit of a boost with a 2 ft SSE groundswell at 13 seconds, but the 9 mph ENE wind spoils it. The energy jumps to 285 (moderate), but the texture is choppy.

Friday morning is the first glimmer of hope. A 3 ft SSE swell with a 12-second period (long period) and clean conditions thanks to a 12 mph north offshore. That’s a marginal call, but it’s the best we’ll see for a while. The combined energy is 346 (moderate). It’s not big, but it’s clean. Friday afternoon goes back to the dogs with a 16 mph NE cross-breeze and poor surf.

From Saturday morning through to Tuesday morning, it’s a wasteland. Tiny swell, wrong winds, and energy readings that are weak (59, 38, 30). Sunday has a 1.0 ft SSE swell with a 10-second period and a light SSW cross-breeze, but it’s practically flat.

Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th see a small bump in energy—121 and 172 (moderate)—but with a short-period 7-second east and SE swell, and gusty SSW winds, the quality is just not there. Wednesday the 9th morning is notable for a brief moment of glass. The swell is a 4 ft ESE at a short 6-second period, and the wind is dead calm. That glassy surface is the best the forecast gets, but it’s still a “surfable but very ordinary” situation with a combined energy of 159 (moderate). The waves will be weak and straight. Not worth the trip unless you’re desperate.

The rest of the week and into the second week is more of the same: moderate energy, but always with cross or onshore winds. The 11th September sees 5 ft east swell (the biggest in the run) but with a 19 mph north wind making it clean but rough, and then a 12 mph NE cross-on in the arvo. Combined energy is 331 (moderate). That’s expert-level size at over 5 ft, but the period is short at 8 seconds, so it’ll be a lumpy, drifty mess. The 15th September morning has a tiny 1 ft SE groundswell with a very long 15-second period and clean north wind, but the energy is only 139 (moderate). That’s more of a point break special, but the size is pitiful.

Honestly, there are no standouts here. If you had to pick a session, the Friday morning the 4th or the Wednesday morning the 9th are your best bets, but they’re both marginal. The 5 ft days are too big for beginners, and the wind is never right. This setup is honestly more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing given the consistent cross-shore winds.

Keep the boards waxed, but don't hold your breath. Forecasts can change.

- Rusty

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