Velzyland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the Oahu North Shore area, specifically at Velzyland. We’re staring down a 16-day window, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a long, slow grind ahead. There’s no real juice until the tail end of the first week, and even then, it’s nothing to write home about. The first truly decent chance doesn’t show up until the 19th, so we’re looking at nearly a week of flat or poor conditions. Let’s break it down.

Right now, from the 10th through the 13th, it’s a write-off. We’ve got small, weak swell with energy readings mostly in the double digits (155 down to 27), and the wind is either cross or cross-off, but the waves are just too small and weak to bother. On the 14th, we get a little bump in size – 4 ft to 5 ft – but it’s from the ESE, wrapped in rain showers and a stiff cross-onshore breeze. The energy picks up a bit (251 to 304), but the quality is poor.

The first real flicker of hope comes on the morning of Tuesday, 15 September. The wind goes light and cross-off from the north, just a slight air, and the wave height sits at a clean 5 ft from the east. The energy is climbing to 354, and it’s a clean morning. It’s not a standout, but it’s the first surfable moment. The afternoon gets ruined by a cross-onshore again.

We then fall back into a slop-fest through the 16th and 17th, with the wind turning onshore or cross-shore and the swell dropping. The 18th morning shows a similar pattern to the 15th – 5 ft, cross-off from the NW, clean – but with a short 7-second period, it’ll be a bit fat and weak on a reef. The energy is 271.

Now, the one true standout in this whole outlook is Saturday, 19 September. Mark it. The morning brings a glassy surface, with a light wind from the SSW. The wave height climbs to a solid 6 ft from the east, and the combined energy hits 548 – a solid moderate pulse. The period is still short at 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit sectiony, but with glassy conditions, Velzyland will have some fun, punchy walls. This is the best on offer by a long shot. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and has some push. The afternoon gets messy again.

After that, the 20th and 21st are marginal, with a drop in size and more onshore wind. The 23rd morning shows a last gasp of hope with 3 ft, a light cross-off from the SSW, and a solid 8-second period from the east. The energy is 211, but it’s surfable. The 24th is glassy but tiny.

So, if you’re holding out, the 19th is your day. The 15th and 18th mornings are the consolation prizes. Everything else is a skip. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild.

Rusty.

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