21st Street (Miami) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s be real with you. The next couple weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper surf. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf conditions that’s going to test your patience. For the first week and a half, you’re better off finding something else to do. There’s a real gap of surf on offer from now until around the 23rd. It’s a long, flat spell, so don’t get your hopes up just yet.

The action, if you can call it that, doesn’t even start looking semi-decent until Wednesday the 23rd. That’s still over a week away, and while the ocean might start to show a little life, those forecasts are a long way from being locked in. That’s the one to keep an eye on, but don’t book the day off work just yet.

Now, for the one and only spot in the mix: 21st Street (Miami). The water temp is at 87°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. It’s going to feel like a bath, so you don’t need a spring suit.

That Wednesday the 23rd window is the only thing that grabs me. The swell finally pushes past 3ft, with a 4ft NNE groundswell rolling in with a 9-second period. The energy in the water is building, too. We’re seeing combined energy between 322 and 365, moving from weak into that moderate range. It’s not a bomb, but it's something. The wind is set to be cross-offshore from the SW and WSW, which will clean it up nicely. It’s still only marginal surf, so the wave quality is questionable, but it’s the best we’ve got on the board. It’s a start.

If that Wednesday doesn’t fire, Thursday the 24th morning might be your next best shot. Same story, a 4ft NNE swell, energy around 202, but the wind drops to almost nothing and goes glassy. That will make the water look like a lake. The surf will still be average, but glassy conditions can make anything feel a little more special.

Other than that, we're looking at plenty of choppy, cross-onshore junk with onshores and short-period, weak swells. The setup is just not there. Later on, there's a big wind spike around the 21st and 22nd, with near-gale force winds blowing. That’s more for the kitesurfers than anyone with a paddle. I’d be looking at the horizon on that 23rd and hoping the models firm up.

This is a blank run that’s more normal for this area. It tends not to stay poor for long, so keep the faith. Forecasts can change. Until next time, keep the wax warm.

Rusty.

Read more