Thousand Steps Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down what's happening at Thousand Steps.

Well, mates, it's a slow start. The first few days are looking pretty grim, with hardly any decent surf and a lot of poor conditions. The swell is small and the wind is constantly messing things up. You'll be waiting a while before anything really gets interesting.

Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are a write-off, with tiny 3ft to 3ft swell from the SSW and cross-on winds. The water is at 67°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so the anomaly is nothing to write home about. The energy is weak (271-367), and the wave comment is just "poor surf conditions." Not worth getting wet.

We scrape through a few days from Monday the 13th to Thursday the 17th. The swell stays small, between 1ft and 3ft, and the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, even if it's light. The wave energy is weak to moderate (149-321), but the comments are either "poor" or "marginal." It's a lot of effort for very little reward.

Then, finally, a little glimmer. Saturday the 18th afternoon. The wind goes glassy, SW, and the swell is a clean 2ft from the SW with a long 18-second period. The combined energy jumps to 495 (moderate), and the wave comment is "expect good surf conditions." That's your first real chance. The long period will make the waves feel more powerful, but it could make them a bit walled at a beach break; this is a reef, so that long period groundswell will wrap in nicely.

After that, it's back to mediocrity. A few days of 2ft to 3ft swell with cross-on winds and marginal conditions. The best of the rest is probably Thursday the 23rd afternoon. The wind goes glassy again, NW, with a 2ft swell from the SSW. The energy is low (212), but that glassy surface will make it fun for a longboard or a fish.

Looking further out, the last week of the month has some promise. On Saturday the 25th morning, we see a 3ft SW swell with a very long 21-second period and a massive energy reading of 714 (strong). The wind is light and onshore, but with that much energy behind it, it would be a serious session at this reef. The 26th also shows a similar 3ft SSW swell (19 seconds, 710 energy). These are the standouts in the second week, but they're a long way off and the conditions are "marginal," so keep your fingers crossed.

Overall, the first week is a bust. The 18th afternoon is the best early bet, and the 25th and 26th are the ones to mark on the calendar for a potential solid session.

Rusty.

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