Thousand Steps Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the first week or so is pretty grim. We’ve got a decent-sized, long-period groundswell trying to push in, but the wind is just ruining it. For the first few days, it’s a cross-on mess, choppy and blown out. The swell is small, around 1ft to 2ft, and even though the period is long (16 to 18 seconds), that onshore wind just kills any chance of a good wave. The combined energy is weak, sitting between 128 and 325 (moderate), but it doesn’t matter when the surface is like a washing machine. The water temp is sitting at 70°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

Now, things start to get a little more interesting around Saturday the 18th. The afternoon shows a shift to a light offshore wind from the SW, and the swell picks up to 2ft. The wave energy jumps to 364 (moderate), but it’s still pretty marginal. Honestly, it’s not worth paddling out for.

The real standout window starts to open up on Sunday the 19th at Thousand Steps. The morning brings a cleaner 5ft swell from the S, with a light offshore wind from the SSW. The wave energy is pumping at 1200 (strong). The afternoon gets even better – 5ft from the SSW, with a clean offshore breeze from the WSW. This is the best day of the first week. The period drops to 13 seconds, but it’s still a solid, workable groundswell. This is the one to circle.

Monday the 20th has similar size, 5ft and 5ft, with offshore winds, but the energy drops a bit. Still a solid option, but not the standout.

After that, we hit a bit of a lull. Tuesday the 21st through Thursday the 23rd, the swell drops back to 2ft to 3ft, and the wind goes back to being cross-on or onshore. It’s a messy, weak period.

Next Friday, the 24th, we see another pulse. The morning has 4ft from the S, with offshore winds, and the energy is back up to 1081 (strong). The afternoon is a bit bigger at 5ft, but the wind swings onshore and there’s rain showers. The morning session is the call.

The weekend of the 25th and 26th is a mixed bag. Saturday the 25th has a consistent 4ft to 5ft from the SSW, but it’s cross-on all day. Sunday the 26th is the real sleeper of the second week. The swell drops to 3ft, but the period is a massive 19 seconds, and the wind is offshore. The energy is 1050 (strong). That’s a long-period groundswell for a reef break, and it will produce some beautiful, clean lines. The wave quality will be mint.

The final days, from the 27th to the 31st, have some small but clean windows. Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th have 4ft to 4ft swells with offshore winds, but the energy is more moderate. The last few days of the month drop back to small, weak, and mostly cross-on.

The best bet for the whole outlook is Sunday the 19th. That 5ft swell with a clean offshore wind is as good as it gets. The second standout is Sunday the 26th – smaller, but that 19-second period will make it a proper, clean groundswell session. It’s a little further out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s promising.

Rusty.

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