Thousand Steps Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you: looking at the next couple of weeks, it's not exactly firing. We've got a long stretch of small, unimpressive surf ahead.

The standout is Thousand Steps (Big Island), but even it is only looking marginal for the most part. The water is a massive 75°F with an anomaly of 9°F warmer than usual—that's way out of the ordinary for this time of year. The swell energy is weak to moderate, ranging from 91 to 547. We'll see a mix of on and cross-onshore winds, which will keep things a bit bumpy.

Tuesday the 4th is a write-off, with tiny 1ft SW swell and a cross-on breeze. Wednesday and Thursday stay small, with that same SW swell in the 1ft to 2ft range. Winds stay light and onshore, but the surf is just too weak to get excited about.

Friday the 7th sees a nice bump in period, hitting 19 seconds, but the swell height is still only 2ft. That long period means it might be a bit walled at the beach breaks, but at a reef like this, it could offer a little more shape. Still, the energy is moderate at 330, and the cross-onshore wind isn't helping. It's a no-go.

Saturday the 8th finally shows a glimmer, with the swell picking up to 2ft-2ft and energy at 276-289. It's rated as "marginal," which is the best we're going to see for a while, but it's still not worth paddling out for unless you're desperate for a few ankle-biters.

The rest of that first week and into the second just stays poor. We're looking at a gap of several days with nothing rideable. The swell hovers around 2ft to 2ft, with periods varying from 13 to 18 seconds. Winds stay light, but the cross-onshore component keeps things messy.

Now, here's the one to keep an eye on. Around Friday the 14th and into Saturday the 15th, the energy starts to build properly, hitting 523-547. The swell pushes up to 3ft with a 19-second period. This is the most promising window. The morning of Friday the 14th looks clean with light onshore winds, and the afternoon is even better, with light winds and that bigger, longer-period swell. This is a legit long-period groundswell, and at a reef break like Thousand Steps, it could actually produce some decent, lined-up waves. It's the standout for sure.

Saturday the 15th keeps that 3ft-3ft swell, but the wind swings to the west and gets stronger, making it choppy. Sunday the 16th is similar, with moderate cross-onshore breezes in the afternoon. After that, we ease back into the small stuff for the rest of the window.

So, to cap it off: don't bother with a board until that Friday the 14th. Keep your eyes on that SSW swell and hope the winds stay light. It's not going to be huge, but it's got the most potential for a few clean ones. The rest is just a waiting game.

Later,
Rusty

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