Thousand Steps Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's chew the fat on what the next couple of weeks are looking like for our local waters. I'll level with you, it's a bit of a dry spell for the most part, but there's a bright light at the end of the tunnel.

The next ten days or so, from Tuesday the 7th right up to Friday the 17th, are pretty grim. We're looking at tiny surf, mostly 1ft to 3ft, and a whole lot of cross-onshore breeze messing it up. The wave energy is weak to moderate, between 121 and 709. Just a whole lot of nothing for a paddle surfer. The water temp is 67°, which is normal for this time of year. Honestly, if you're thinking of kiting, the wind might make it interesting, but for us, it's a no-go.

Now, for the good news. Saturday the 18th is the day we've been waiting for. On the morning of the 18th, Thousand Steps gets a major upgrade. We've got a clean 2ft swell from the south (S), with flat, glassy conditions. That's the key. The wind is dead calm, so the surface will be like a mirror. The swell period is a long 16 seconds, so that's proper groundswell energy. The combined wave energy will be a strong 548. For an intermediate reef break, that's a morning to remember. Just keep in mind, with that long period groundswell, it can get a bit straight at beach breaks, but the reef should handle it beautifully.

Later that afternoon, the wind swings offshore and the swell bumps up to 3ft from the SSE, keeping it clean, but nothing beats that early morning glass.

Sunday the 19th sees a bit more size, with 4ft from the south, but the wind turns cross-onshore again, messing up the surface. The energy is very strong (1067), but the quality takes a hit.

So, here's the call: don't bother for the first week and a half. Get your chores done. But put a big red circle on Saturday 18th morning. That's our shot at something special.

Rusty.

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