The Rock-Costa Azul Surf Break

Lat Long: 22.96° N 109.80° W

The Rock-Costa Azul Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 14 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Rock-Costa Azul sea temperature is
28.9° C
3.0° 

The Rock-Costa Azul surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Rock-Costa Azul surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SSW swell with 2,383 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 12s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Rock-Costa Azul this week:

The surf forecast for The Rock-Costa Azul over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Rock-Costa Azul in the next 16 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Tue 14th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 12s
Best Surf 8PM (Sat 18th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 12s
Most Powerful11PM (Tue 21st Jul)8ft (2.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Rock-Costa Azul over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here.

Look, it’s a bit of a slow start on the cards for the Costa Azul stretch. The Rock is a solid reef set-up, but we’re looking at a few days of pretty ordinary, small surf before anything really gets going. Water temp is sitting at 84°, which is a full 5° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s pretty wild, you’ll be sweating in your wetsuit top.

Tuesday the 14th is a write-off, with only 2ft of weak, long-period swell and a cross breeze. Not worth paddling out for. Wednesday the 15th sees a slight bump to 4ft but the swell is short-period and messy, with a cross wind. Thursday the 16th is glassy but tiny, with only 2ft – really just a knee-high dribble. Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th morning are still nothing to write home about, with crossed-up winds and mediocre swell.

The first real glimmer of hope hits Saturday afternoon the 18th. The Rock is looking at 5ft of swell from the SW, with a long 13-second period and light cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is moderate (982) and the conditions are clean. It’s still not a standout, but it’s the first session worth suiting up for.

Now, Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th bring in some very long-period groundswell (16-17 seconds) from the SSW/SW, with glassy conditions on Monday morning and afternoon. The swell sits around 3ft to 4ft, but that long period means proper waves – just be aware that at a reef like The Rock, those long-period swells can wrap in nicely. The energy is moderate to strong (789-915). This is a solid window for the experienced crew.

Tuesday the 21st sees the swell ramp up to 6ft-8ft, with a strong 13-14 second period and clean offshore winds. The energy jumps to 1589-1993, strong. Now this is getting serious. The wind is cross-offshore, keeping it clean. This is a good session for confident surfers.

Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd morning, the swell hits 8ft, but the wind swings onshore and cross-onshore, chopping it up. The energy is very strong (2504-2119) but the wind is ruining the party. Thursday afternoon the 23rd is a different story – 8ft from the SW, 13-second period, and clean cross-offshore wind. The energy is 2695, and conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. This is shaping up as a highlight.

The real standout, though, is Friday the 24th. The morning delivers a massive 10ft SW swell with a 13-second period, glassy conditions, and a west wind. The energy is 3152 – very strong. The file says it might be too big for this break, so this is strictly for experts only. The afternoon drops to 8ft but with a solid offshore wind from the WNW, keeping it clean and hollow. If you’re a charger, that’s your window.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are a dream run for the rest of us. The swell drops to 3ft-5ft, but it’s from the SSW/SW with a very long period of 18-20 seconds. The wind is glassy or calm, and the energy is still strong (1233-2377). The waves will be clean, lined up, and perfect for a reef. This is the best all-round quality window for the entire forecast.

The final week (27th July onwards) holds onto 4ft-5ft SSW swell with 16-17 second periods, but the wind gets a bit more cross-shore and cross-offshore. It’s still surfable and clean, but not as pristine as the weekend. The energy stays moderate to strong (985-1853).

So, if you’re an expert, target Friday the 24th. For everyone else, the weekend of the 25th and 26th is your pick – clean, long-period groundswell, and glassy conditions. The Rock will be offering up some beautiful, long walls.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 31°C on Tue afternoon, min 28°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 27°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
3
1
3
4
3
2
3
3
3
4
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SSW
12
1.3
SSE
9
1.3
SSE
9
0.9
SSE
8
0.5
S
13
0.5
S
12
0.5
SW
19
1.2
S
11
1.2
SSW
11
1.5
SSW
11
1.3
SSW
10
1.4
SW
13
1.6
SW
11
1.1
SW
17
0.8
SSW
17
1.2
SW
16
0.9
SSW
16
1.2
SW
16
1.2
SW
15
1.9
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
316
131
276
238
106
90
71
181
338
337
524
318
649
580
671
368
739
458
729
657
1491
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
10
W
10
S
15
SW
20
WNW
5
SE
5
ESE
5
SW
10
SSE
15
SSW
5
W
10
SE
10
SW
5
NW
10
SSE
5
SSW
10
NW
5
W
5
WSW
15
W
20
SW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross
off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
8:20PM1.88m
10:04AM1.34m
9:04PM1.81m
10:38AM1.36m
9:47PM1.69m
11:11AM1.37m
10:28PM1.51m
11:44AM1.38m
11:11PM1.32m
12:18PM1.38m
11:59PM1.12m
12:54PM1.37m
1:14AM0.95m
1:39PM1.36m
Low Tide
2:15PM0.78m
3:31AM-0.06m
3:00PM0.74m
4:07AM0.04m
3:46PM0.73m
4:40AM0.18m
4:34PM0.73m
5:09AM0.35m
5:26PM0.75m
5:32AM0.52m
6:29PM0.77m
5:48AM0.67m
8:02PM0.77m
5:51AM0.80m
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:41
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:06
7:06
7:06
7:06
7:05
 mm
1
1
1
1
5
4
5
2
Temp °C
31
29
31
31
29
31
30
29
30
31
29
31
31
29
31
29
28
28
29
28
30
Feels °C
33
31
33
32
30
34
33
34
33
33
32
33
33
32
34
32
30
32
33
31
30
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  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Rock-Costa Azul Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Rock-Costa Azul provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Rock-Costa Azul can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Rock-Costa Azul surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Rock-Costa Azul) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Rock-Costa Azul may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

The Rock-Costa Azul is 13 km (8 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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