The Rock-Costa Azul Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down the surf for The Rock-Costa Azul over the next couple of weeks. It’s a slow burner—lots of small, clean days but nothing that’ll get your heart pumping until much later.

The water is a balmy 86°F, which is about 5°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a real anomaly—feels like a hot tub out there.

Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are tiny, with swells around 2 ft to 3 ft. Winds are light and mostly clean, but the wave energy is weak—around 217. Not worth the paddle. Tuesday the 4th is similar—small and weak (159). Wednesday the 5th stays small and cross-shore, still poor.

Thursday the 6th afternoon picks up a bit: 2 ft SSW swell, period 18 seconds, energy at 495. That’s some long-period groundswell, but still moderate. Winds are cross-offshore and clean, but the forecast is marginal. Friday the 7th morning gets a little bigger at 3 ft, period 17 seconds, energy 651. Still marginal. But Friday afternoon is the first real highlight: same 3 ft SSW swell, clean cross-offshore breeze, and “very good surf conditions” expected. The reef will handle that long-period swell well. Crowds are “often,” so expect company.

Saturday the 8th morning is a bit bumpy with cross-shore winds, a 4 ft SSW swell, period 16 seconds, energy 711. Marginal. Saturday afternoon cleans up nicely with a cross-off breeze, 3 ft SSW swell, period 15 seconds, and “very good surf conditions.” That’s a solid session.

Sunday the 9th through Tuesday the 11th drifts between 2 ft and 3 ft, with decent winds but nothing special. Energy sits between 399 and 626. Wednesday the 12th afternoon is a standout for wind: glassy conditions, 3 ft SW swell, period 16 seconds, and “good surf.” That glass is gold.

The true pick of the run is Friday the 14th afternoon. We’ve got a 4 ft SW swell, period 17 seconds, cross-offshore breeze, energy at 899 (strong), and “very good surf conditions.” That’s the one to circle. Saturday the 15th afternoon is almost as good: 4 ft SSW swell, period 16 seconds, offshore wind, energy 803, and “very good surf conditions.” Two back-to-back days of proper clean waves.

After that, Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th fade back to 3 ft to 3 ft, with clean winds but lower energy (461 to 777). Still surfable, but nothing special.

Bottom line: first week is small and average. The action starts Friday the 7th afternoon and Saturday the 8th afternoon, but the absolute best are Friday the 14th afternoon and Saturday the 15th afternoon. That’s your window. Expect a crowd, and bring something for clean, long-period lines.

Rusty.

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