
Surf Forecasts:
The Rock-Costa Azul surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period, SSW swell with 2,441 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Rock-Costa Azul this week:
The surf forecast for The Rock-Costa Azul over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.6m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Rock-Costa Azul in the next 16 days are 2.2m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Rock-Costa Azul over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
First up, we’ve got a solid pulse of long-period SSW groundswell rolling in, but the early part of the week is a bit tricky with questionable tide and wind combos. Water temps are sitting at 86°, which is a whopping 5° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a seriously warm ocean, feels like a bath.
The standout session is Tuesday 28 July morning at The Rock-Costa Azul. Swell is 7ft from the SSW with a very long 16-second period. That’s a proper groundswell with heaps of energy – the combined energy is a hefty 3454. The catch is the wind is light cross-shore from the SSW, so not perfect, but it’s manageable. This is advanced territory; 7ft is too big for beginners. The SSW direction isn’t the optimum S swell, but the sheer size and long period make it the most powerful window. Expect some proper, lined-up sets on this reef.
Tuesday 28 July afternoon sees a drop to 6ft, but the wind swings to a cross-offshore W breeze at 12 mph, cleaning it right up. The energy is still very strong at 3096. This is a great call for the afternoon if you can handle the size – still an expert-only wave.
By Wednesday 29 July, the swell starts to ease. The morning is 6ft but with light cross-shore winds, conditions are marginal. The real gem is Wednesday afternoon – the swell drops to 5ft, but the wind turns offshore WNW at 12 mph, making for clean, lined-up faces. The energy is still strong at 1445. This is excellent for experienced surfers.
Thursday 30 July continues the trend: 4ft in the morning with light cross-offshore winds, clean. The afternoon sees 4ft with a moderate offshore breeze. Both are good, clean waves, but the size is dropping. The energy is moderate now (1132 and 905).
From Friday 31 July through to Monday 4 August, the swell fades fast. We’re talking 3ft down to 1ft. The period drops too, so the waves lose their punch. There’s a brief moment on Tuesday 4 August morning with glassy conditions, but the swell is tiny at 1ft, 15-second period. It’s surfable, but you’ll be scratching for anything decent.
After that, the size stays small (1ft to 3ft) right through to Monday 11 August. The energy is weak (under 600). There’s a little bump in period on Thursday 6 August (18 seconds) and Monday 10 August (20 seconds), but the swell height is just too small to do much with. The winds are mostly light cross-offshore or glassy at times, so the conditions are nice, but there’s simply no wave to surf.
The best of the second week is probably Wednesday 12 August afternoon – the swell ticks back up to 3ft from the SW, 16-second period, with a light cross-offshore WSW breeze. The energy is moderate at 613. It’s a promising sign, but it’s a long way out, so don’t book your flights yet.
Overall, the first three days (Tuesday 28 July to Thursday 30 July) are the only real window for decent surf. The rest of the 16 days is a flat spell. If you’re a beginner, the 4ft-4ft sessions on Thursday might be okay, but anything over 5ft is too big.
Stay stoked, and keep your eyes on the horizon.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 33°C on Wed afternoon, min 28°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 31°C on Fri morning, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | S 12 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2182 | 1834 | 1671 | 1379 | 1193 | 845 | 732 | 577 | 453 | 336 | 326 | 265 | 181 | 152 | 103 | 195 | 85 | 83 | 79 | 73 | 90 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | cross | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | off | off | cross | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 8:58AM1.25m | 7:45PM1.69m | 9:18AM1.29m | 8:17PM1.71m | 9:39AM1.33m | 8:47PM1.69m | 10:00AM1.37m | 9:18PM1.64m | 10:22AM1.41m | 9:51PM1.54m | 10:45AM1.45m | 10:26PM1.40m | 11:11AM1.48m | 11:08PM1.23m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:43PM0.81m | 2:49AM0.11m | 2:14PM0.75m | 3:13AM0.12m | 2:45PM0.70m | 3:36AM0.17m | 3:19PM0.66m | 3:58AM0.23m | 3:55PM0.64m | 4:20AM0.33m | 4:36PM0.62m | 4:42AM0.45m | 5:24PM0.62m | ||||||||
5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | |
— | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 7 | — | 1 | 9 |
Temp °C | 31 | 32 | 29 | 31 | 33 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 34 | 32 | 29 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 34 | 33 | 30 | 33 | 31 | 30 | 34 | 31 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WSW 9 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | S 9 |
1272 | 1248 | 1671 | 1379 | 1193 | 845 | 732 | 577 | 453 | 336 | 326 | 265 | 113 | 152 | 103 | 195 | 85 | 83 | 79 | 73 | 24 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | W 8 | W 8 | S 11 | S 11 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 12 |
2182 | 1834 | 726 | 466 | 226 | 373 | 373 | 319 | 242 | 170 | 148 | 94 | 181 | 127 | 37 | 34 | 66 | 55 | 40 | 25 | 37 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 14 | S 12 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 12 | SSE 7 | SSE 8 | WNW 5 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SSE 8 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | W 8 | W 8 | SSW 13 | SW 16 |
— | 14 | 12 | 55 | 26 | 16 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 106 | 6 | 92 | 49 | 30 | 21 | 12 | 35 | 90 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 4 | W 4 | WNW 4 | W 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | — | W 3 | W 3 | WNW 10 | WSW 9 | WNW 4 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 4 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 |
— | 10 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 18 | 18 | — | 5 | 6 | 37 | 135 | 15 | 9 | 33 | 26 | 15 | 28 | 16 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 455 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 332 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the The Rock-Costa Azul Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Rock-Costa Azul provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Rock-Costa Azul can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Rock-Costa Azul surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Rock-Costa Azul) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Rock-Costa Azul may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Rock-Costa Azul is 13 km (8 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










