
Surf Forecasts:
The Rock-Costa Azul surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 18s period, SSW swell with 1,488 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Rock-Costa Azul this week:
The surf forecast for The Rock-Costa Azul over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Rock-Costa Azul in the next 16 days are 1.6m 18s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 05) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Sat 4th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Rock-Costa Azul over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here, and I’m looking at what we’ve got for the upcoming stretch – and honestly, it’s a mixed bag, but there are some moments that’ll get the blood pumping if you time it right.
The Rock-Costa Azul (Costa Azul) is our main stage for the whole period. The water is sitting at a balmy 82.4°, which is a solid 5.2° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s seriously unusual, so you can ditch the thick rubber.
We kick off Saturday, July 4th, with a small but promising start. Saturday morning is cross-on with a 3.0ft swell out of the SSW at 13 seconds, energy sitting at 482 – pretty weak stuff, and the report says marginal. But by Saturday afternoon, the wind shifts cross-off and the period jumps to 18 seconds, giving us a 3.0ft groundswell with clean conditions. Energy bumps to 771 – still moderate, but the shape should be decent for a cruisy session. Not a standout, but a solid warm-up.
Sunday, July 5th, the swell builds a touch to 4.3ft in the morning, but it’s onshore, and the report flags it as questionable. Sunday afternoon, a clean 3.6ft SSW swell at 16 seconds rolls in with cross-off wind – again, one of the more promising windows. Still, nothing to shout about yet.
Monday, July 6th, the energy starts to climb. Monday afternoon we’ve got a clean, 3.0ft swell at 20 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell. Energy hits 1135, which is solid. The report calls it “excellent for experienced surfers.” That long period will push through the lineup with real authority, and at a reef like Costa Azul, those waves should set up nicely. This is a genuine highlight – best session of the first week, no doubt.
Tuesday, July 7th, the swell jumps to 4.9ft in the morning and 5.2ft in the afternoon, with a long 18-second period. Energy rockets to 1518 in the afternoon. That’s moderate-to-strong energy. But the morning has cross-shore wind and the afternoon report says “marginal” despite clean conditions – likely a tide issue. Worth a look for advanced surfers, but not as clean as Monday.
From Wednesday, July 8th through Saturday, July 11th, the swell slowly drops from 4.6ft to 3.6ft. Periods stay in the 14-16 second range. Energy fades from 1130 down to 678. Wind is mostly cross or cross-off, but the reports keep saying “marginal” – the waves will be there, but quality’s not special. These are average days.
Sunday, July 12th afternoon is a little blip – 3.6ft, 14 seconds, clean cross-off wind, and the report says “very good surf conditions.” Energy moderate at 611. Not a standout, but a decent session if you’re keen.
Then we hit a real quiet patch. From Monday, July 13th through Thursday, July 16th, the swell drops to 1.6-3.0ft. Periods are long (13-19 seconds), but the energy is weak – below 500 most of the time. The afternoon of July 16th has a clean 1.6ft, 19-second swell, but let’s be honest – that’s barely a ripple. The reports say “good” for that one, but you’d need a longboard and low expectations.
Now – here’s where it gets wild. Friday, July 17th morning, a pulse of 7.5ft out of the SSE at 12 seconds hits, with energy at 2451 – strong. But it’s onshore and the report says marginal. Then Friday afternoon – hold onto your board – a solid 13.1ft swell from the S at 14 seconds slams in, with energy at 5942. That’s very strong energy. The report says it’s too big for this break. That is pure expert territory, and even then, it’s pushing the limits. If you’re not a seasoned charger, stay well clear.
Saturday, July 18th, we get a massive storm front. Heavy rain, gale-force offshore winds at 40 mph from the WNW, and a short, messy 6.2ft SSE swell at 8 seconds. Energy is 912, but the wind is gale force – that’s unsurfable for paddle surfing. Best idea? Leave the board at home or maybe look at kite gear, but even that would be gnarly.
After that chaos, Sunday, July 19th, settles down with a clean 3.0ft SSW groundswell at 17 seconds, cross-off wind, and the report says “very good surf conditions.” Energy moderate at 637. A nice little recovery session to wrap things up.
Standouts? First and foremost, Monday July 6th afternoon – that clean, long-period
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 29°C on Tue morning, min 24°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 20 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
282 | 480 | 399 | 838 | 635 | 627 | 596 | 596 | 917 | 1339 | 1471 | 1148 | 1068 | 915 | 1016 | 870 | 644 | 619 | 610 | 627 | 627 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:39AM1.26m | 10:33PM1.41m | 12:14PM1.30m | 11:21PM1.27m | 12:55PM1.34m | 00:32AM1.11m | 1:45PM1.40m | 2:35AM0.99m | 2:45PM1.46m | 5:04AM0.99m | 3:50PM1.55m | 6:39AM1.08m | 4:53PM1.65m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:45PM0.84m | 5:27AM0.42m | 5:45PM0.83m | 5:58AM0.53m | 7:06PM0.80m | 6:35AM0.66m | 8:55PM0.71m | 7:24AM0.79m | 10:35PM0.54m | 8:43AM0.90m | 11:43PM0.34m | 10:21AM0.96m | 00:37AM0.15m | ||||||||
5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | |
— | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 33 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
282 | 480 | 282 | 838 | 635 | 627 | 596 | 480 | 917 | 1339 | 1471 | 1148 | 1068 | 915 | 1016 | 870 | 644 | 619 | 610 | 627 | 627 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 20 | SSW 20 | SSW 15 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 |
68 | 219 | 399 | 54 | 54 | 52 | 596 | 596 | 377 | 46 | 47 | 46 | 48 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 38 | 26 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | W 5 | SSW 22 | SSW 21 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | WNW 7 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 7 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | SSE 11 |
132 | 72 | 54 | 14 | 181 | 260 | 51 | 50 | 48 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 23 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | — | — | W 7 | — | WSW 7 | W 7 | — | W 3 | W 3 | W 7 | W 7 | WNW 7 | — | W 7 | S 9 | — | WNW 7 | W 3 |
— | 9 | 9 | — | — | 22 | — | 9 | 35 | — | 4 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 10 | — | 9 | 53 | — | 11 | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 426 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 735 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 342 | 455 | 0 | 76 | 54 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Rock-Costa Azul Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Rock-Costa Azul provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Rock-Costa Azul can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Rock-Costa Azul surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Rock-Costa Azul) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Rock-Costa Azul may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Rock-Costa Azul is 13 km (8 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










