
Surf Forecasts:
The Rock-Costa Azul surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 4,536 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 18s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Rock-Costa Azul this week:
The surf forecast for The Rock-Costa Azul over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 2.0m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Rock-Costa Azul in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Rock-Costa Azul over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid window of swell coming through for The Rock-Costa Azul, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag – some real gems for the experienced crew, and some flat spells. Let’s break it down.
The standout period kicks off Monday, 27 July, with a building SSW groundswell. The Rock-Costa Azul is an advanced reef break that’s consistent and exposed, loving swell from the S. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.
Monday morning is a bit messy with a cross-shore breeze and 5ft swell from the SSW, but the combined wave energy is already pumping at 2742 (strong). By Monday afternoon, the swell jumps to 7ft from the S, with a cross-offshore wind cleaning it up. This is the start of the good stuff.
Tuesday, 28 July morning is the real standout. It’s 10ft of SSW swell with a 16-second period – that’s a long-period groundswell packing serious energy (4059). The wind is light and cross-shore, making for clean conditions. But listen, at 10ft, this is expert territory only. The long period means it’ll be walling up nicely on this reef, but expect big sets and long lulls between them. Crowds are likely here, so pick your peak wisely.
Tuesday afternoon drops to 7ft but the wind picks up to a fresh 30 km/h cross-offshore, still clean but a bit gnarly. Wednesday, 29 July, offers more solid SSW groundswell – 6ft in the morning with light winds and clean conditions, and 5ft in the afternoon with a moderate offshore breeze. Both sessions are excellent for experienced surfers, with wave energy around 1800-1900 (strong).
Thursday, 30 July, sees the swell easing to 4ft but still a long 14-second period, with clean conditions both morning and afternoon. The combined energy is still solid (1073-1194). This is a good call for the advanced crowd.
From Friday, 31 July, things start to fade. The swell drops to 3ft and the winds turn cross or cross-on, making it marginal. Saturday and Sunday, 1-2 August, drop further to 2-3ft, with poor surf on Saturday morning and only marginal conditions after that. The combined energy falls below 500 (weak).
There’s a real gap from Monday, 3 August, through to about Thursday, 6 August, with tiny swell (1-2ft) and very ordinary conditions. Not much to paddle for. The energy is below 200 (weak), so it’s a flat period.
Things start to perk up again on Friday, 7 August, with a new SSW groundswell building to 3ft, period 18 seconds, and combined energy at 710 (moderate). The winds are light cross-onshore, so it’s not perfect but there’s life. Saturday, 8 August afternoon looks the best of this second pulse: 4ft SSW swell, 15-second period, light cross-offshore wind, and energy at 583 (moderate). Expect very good surf conditions. Sunday, 9 August, has glassy 3ft waves in the morning – a real treat for a clean, smaller session.
The final week from 10 August shows a drop again, with tiny 2-3ft swell and onshore winds on some mornings, so the window is closing.
So, the best on offer is Tuesday, 28 July morning for the big 10ft, long-period groundswell – but only for experts. For a more manageable session, Thursday, 30 July is clean, solid, and still punchy. Into the second week, Saturday, 8 August afternoon and Sunday, 9 August morning are the promising calls, though less certain that far out.
The Rock-Costa Azul is a reef break, so it handles the long-period groundswell better than a beach break would, but that 10ft session is going to be raw. If you’re not an expert, it’s a no-go.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 33°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Wed afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 32°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | S 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WSW 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1702 | 1259 | 1561 | 2121 | 4043 | 1928 | 1671 | 1379 | 1125 | 845 | 722 | 621 | 453 | 336 | 331 | 321 | 181 | 152 | 139 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 8:39AM1.21m | 7:12PM1.64m | 8:58AM1.25m | 7:45PM1.69m | 9:18AM1.29m | 8:17PM1.71m | 9:39AM1.33m | 8:47PM1.69m | 10:00AM1.37m | 9:18PM1.64m | 10:22AM1.41m | 9:51PM1.54m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:57AM0.18m | 1:12PM0.88m | 2:24AM0.13m | 1:43PM0.81m | 2:49AM0.11m | 2:14PM0.75m | 3:13AM0.12m | 2:45PM0.70m | 3:36AM0.17m | 3:19PM0.66m | 3:58AM0.23m | 3:55PM0.64m | 4:20AM0.33m | ||||||
— | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | |
— | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 33 | 29 | 31 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 32 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 29 | 33 | 30 | 30 | 33 | 33 | 30 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSE 12 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | SSW 13 | WSW 10 | SSW 12 | S 12 |
1702 | 934 | 1561 | 1288 | 4043 | 1928 | 844 | 1379 | 1125 | 845 | 722 | 436 | 399 | 313 | 245 | 321 | 163 | 152 | 139 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SE 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 10 | WSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WSW 11 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | W 9 |
628 | 1259 | 1508 | 2121 | 11 | 1119 | 1671 | 515 | 656 | 303 | 472 | 621 | 453 | 336 | 331 | 198 | 181 | 127 | 57 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 15 | S 15 | WNW 7 | W 9 | W 8 | S 14 | S 12 | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 7 | WNW 4 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SSE 8 | SW 14 |
574 | 541 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 41 | 27 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 22 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 104 | 6 | 116 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | W 7 | W 8 | — | — | WSW 4 | W 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | W 4 | WNW 4 | — | WNW 5 | W 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 9 | WNW 4 |
14 | 8 | 10 | — | — | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 37 | 8 | 10 | — | 8 | 6 | 5 | 147 | 16 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 75 | 70 | 0 | 8 | 998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 426 | 76 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Rock-Costa Azul Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Rock-Costa Azul provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Rock-Costa Azul can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Rock-Costa Azul surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Rock-Costa Azul) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Rock-Costa Azul may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Rock-Costa Azul is 13 km (8 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










