Acapulquito-Costa Azul Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surf is on the menu, but you gotta be patient. The next week and a half is gonna be a whole lot of nothing, a real flat spell. We’re looking at a long gap with only small, weak surf that’s mostly messy and blown out. Honestly, from Friday the 14th right through to about the 22nd, it's gonna be a grind. There’s a little bump of energy on the 14th with 5ft from the SSW, and it might be clean with that offshore wind, but it’s inconsistent and the tide has to play ball. It’s more of a longboard and funboard deal for anyone who’s desperate. Then the real lull hits, with the swell dropping to under 3ft and the conditions turning ugly. If you’re a kiter, this stretch might be more your scene than for us paddle surfers. The water’s a warm 88°, by the way—that’s much warmer than usual for this time of year, so at least you won't need a wetsuit for the wait.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The real story is the surge of energy that shows up a week from Sunday, on the 23rd. The models are pushing a big SSW groundswell, with the swell jumping to 13ft on the Sunday morning and then ramping up to 16ft by the afternoon. That's a serious amount of ocean moving around. This is a big swell for Acapulquito-Costa Azul, and the south-southwest angle is basically ideal for the spot. But, and this is a big but, the wind is gonna be cross-onshore and there’s a risk of thunderstorms. This is a heavy, powerful swell for the experienced crew only. This is not a beginner wave; at 16ft, it’s way beyond the limit for everyone but the experts. It'll be wild, arguably a bit out of control, but if you’ve got the skills, this is the biggest and most powerful swell of the window.

Sunday the 23rd is the standout, but it's a wild card with the wind. It'll be big and powerful, but the quality isn't guaranteed.

The long-period groundswell sticks around for a couple of days, but it's still too big and junky for most. Then things settle down by Tuesday the 26th. The morning of the 26th looks great. The swell has dropped to a more manageable 5ft from the WSW, with a period of 11 seconds, and the wind is glassy— pure, clean glass. That's your cleanest and most user-friendly day of the whole run. It’s still a bit bigger than maybe a beginner wants, but for the average surfer, this is a great morning in the water. The swell direction at WSW is, again, right in the break’s wheelhouse.

The conditions stay half-decent for the next day with moderate energy, and then another pulse of energy shows up on the 28th with the swell picking back up to 5ft and clean cross-off winds in the afternoon. It’s a similar story to the 14th, but with more size and punch behind it.

So, to sum it up: there’s a whole lot of waiting for the good stuff. The true standout is the massive, powerful groundswell on the 23rd for the big-wave chargers, but it's going to be a battle with the onshores. For the rest of us, the real gem is the glassy, clean morning of Tuesday the 26th. That’s the one to circle on the calendar.

Alright, stay patient, stay ready.

Rusty.

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