Agua Verde Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee, let’s have a look at what’s cooking.

First things first, Agua Verde (point/river) – this spot is exposed to the SW, which is where all our swell is coming from. We’ve got a pretty flat run to start. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing weird going on there.

Right now, we’re looking at a big gap with no real surf on offer. From Saturday July 4th through to at least Monday July 6th, it’s all “poor surf conditions” with tiny, weak waves. The combined swell energy is weak, sitting around 312 to 570 (moderate at best), but the wave quality is just not there. Winds are mostly onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s messy.

Now, things start to perk up a little from Tuesday July 7th into the following days. We’re seeing “marginal” forecasts, but nothing to get excited about. Swell heights are hanging around 2ft to 3ft, with a nice long period of 16 to 18 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. Those long-period swells usually mean better shaped waves and more energy, but at a point break like Agua Verde, they can really shine. The combined energy climbs into the 600 range (moderate to strong), which is promising.

But here’s the kicker – we don’t get a standout day. There’s no single session that screams “go now.” The best-looking window is maybe Tuesday July 7th morning with light offshore wind and a clean 3ft SW swell at 18 seconds, but even that’s only rated as marginal. The crowd factor? Agua Verde can get a few heads, but not always a circus. It’s fairly consistent, so it’s not a gamble that often.

The second week, from July 12th onward, gets a bit more interesting in size but not in quality. The swell picks up to 4ft to 5ft by July 17th and 18th, with strong combined energy (over 1000 on the 17th afternoon), but the wind turns nasty – fresh cross-onshore, lumpy. That’s not for paddling, that’s more for kite gear. The 18th morning looks cleaner with offshore wind, but the swell is still only 4ft and it’s just marginal.

Bottom line: no true standouts. The best surf is likely Tuesday July 7th morning with clean 3ft SW swell and light wind, but don’t expect a classic. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on the 18th morning, but it’s a long way out and not certain.

Rusty.

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