Agua Verde Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Agua Verde.

To be honest, the next week and a half is a bit of a grind. There’s swell, but the wind is fighting it every step of the way with cross-on conditions almost the whole time, which means the surface is going to be choppy and messy. The wave energy is weak to moderate throughout that whole stretch, with values mainly in the 200s to 400s, and the swell is short-period, which just doesn’t have the punch you want. It’s not looking like a paddle-friendly setup for most of it.

The real standout window starts to shape up around Tuesday, July 28th into the morning of Wednesday, July 29th. The combined swell energy jumps into the strong range, hitting 1146 on Tuesday morning and then 1540 on Wednesday morning. The swell is coming from the southwest, which is right in the pocket for Agua Verde’s optimum direction, and the size climbs to 5 ft on Tuesday morning and 6 ft on Wednesday morning. The period is a solid 17 seconds and then 16 seconds, so these are long-period groundswells. That means proper, powerful waves with good shape, and longer lulls between sets, which makes paddling out a bit easier. The wind is light on both those mornings, with a light onshore or cross-onshore breeze on Tuesday morning and light cross-onshore on Wednesday. It’s not glassy, but it’s light enough to give you some decent faces. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

The best bet of the whole outlook is the Wednesday, July 29th morning session. Swell at 6 ft from the southwest, 16-second period, and the energy is cranked. That’s going to be a powerful, lined-up point break. It’s a point/river setup, so that long-period swell will wrap in nicely. The break is fairly consistent, so you won’t be waiting forever. Crowds are possible here sometimes, so get in early. If you’re a beginner, that 6 ft is going to be a handful, so this is one for the intermediates and above.

Tuesday morning July 28th is also a solid call, with 5 ft southwest swell at 17 seconds and light wind. A bit smaller, but still very clean.

For the rest of the run, there’s a brief moment on Sunday, August 2nd morning where the wind goes glassy and the swell is 2 ft from the southwest, but the energy is weak at 228. That’s a tiny, clean wave for a longboard or a funboard, nothing to get too excited about.

Bottom line: tough slog for a week and a half, then a couple of mornings at the end of July that are worth planning for. The best is Wednesday, July 29th morning.

Rusty.

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