Agua Verde Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what's on the menu around Agua Verde.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – the next 16 days look like a real mixed bag. We've got a window of half-decent swell rolling through, but the wind is going to be a constant battle. It's mostly cross-onshore, which is going to put a chop on things. The water is sitting at 89° and it's a touch warmer than we'd expect for this time of year, which is a bit of a novelty.

Things kick off this Saturday morning, the 25th of July, with a small 2ft SW swell pushing in, but it's got a 12 mph cross-onshore wind from the SSW, so the surf is going to be pretty poor. Not worth rushing out for. The combined energy is moderate though, at 533. By the afternoon, the wind swings onshore from the WSW, and the swell bumps up to 3ft, but it's still a write-off.

Sunday the 26th is a bit of a tease. The swell is steady at 3ft to 4ft from the SW, but the wind is still cross-onshore, and there's a risk of thunderstorms in the morning. The energy is moderate (657 and 739), but it's only a marginal forecast. You'd be rolling the dice.

Monday the 27th sees the swell start to build to 4ft out of the SW. The period is a middling 18 seconds, so it's got some push. The morning wind is a light 6 mph cross-onshore, which is the best we've seen so far, but still not clean. The energy is kicking up to 1001, which is starting to get some juice. It's still a "marginal" call, though.

The standout window, and I mean the only real chance to get something decent, looks like Tuesday the 28th of July, first thing in the morning. The swell hits 5ft from the SW with a 17-second period, and the combined energy is a solid 1532. The wind is a light 6 mph cross-onshore from the SW. It's not perfect, but it's the best we're going to get – that's the pick of the litter. The afternoon falls apart with a 16 mph cross-onshore wind, so your window is tight.

Wednesday the 29th keeps the swell going at 4ft to 5ft, but the wind is messy again. Thursday the 30th is similar, with a 5ft to 5ft WSW swell, but the period drops to 14 seconds, which is a bit short. That's a step down in quality.

After that, it's a long, slow fade. From Friday the 31st of July onwards, the swell drops below 4ft and the energy numbers fall off a cliff. The water temp anomaly is gone from the data, so we can't comment on that. For the first week of August, we're looking at knee-to-waist high slop, mostly 1ft to 2ft, with persistent cross-onshore winds. There's a gap of several days there where there's just nothing to recommend. The combined energy drops into the double digits and low triple digits (87, 60, 74) – that's barely a ripple. The break itself is a point/river setup, so it needs a good swell to work, and we just don't have it.

Honestly, if you're not going to be on it on Tuesday morning the 28th of July, you might as well keep the board in the bag for the rest of the run. The setup looks more interesting for a kite than a paddle for most of this period.

Rusty.

Read more