Agua Verde Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break this down.

Look, to be honest, this outlook for the next 16 days is a tough one. The window is full of small swell and the wind just never seems to line up clean for this spot. There’s no one single day that jumps out screaming “go,” but we do have a few windows where you can get a grovel session in if you’re keen and patient.

The first real recommendation doesn’t pop up until Wednesday the 2nd of September. After that, there are significant gaps of several days in a row with no good calls, especially from the 5th through to the 8th, and again from the 9th onward it’s pretty bleak.

Agua Verde is a point/river setup, so it needs a good SW groundswell to wrap in properly. The water temperature is sitting at 89°F, which is a massive 4°F warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s very unusual, so expect bathwater temps.

The best of what’s on offer is actually on Tuesday the 8th of September. We’ve got a small, clean 3ft to 3ft swell coming from the WSW with a period around 10 seconds, and the wind goes cross-offshore (NE to NNE) with only light to gentle breezes. That’s the kind of glassy, clean surface that makes these small days fun. The energy is light though, around 276 (Tue morning) to 299 (Tue afternoon), so don't expect any power; it’s a longboard or a fish day for sure. Crowds are listed as “sometimes” at Agua Verde, so you might bump into a few others out for the same reason.

The other half-decent shout is Thursday the 3rd of September morning. It’s a bit fuller at 4ft from the SW with an 11-second period, and it’s clean with light offshore wind from the W. The energy is moderate at 754. But the afternoon on the 3rd turns to rubbish with stronger cross-onshore wind, so make it a dawn patrol mission.

From the 9th of September onward, the swell drops below 3ft consistently and the wind stays ugly (mostly cross-onshore or onshore), with the odd clean morning but tiny waves. The period goes long into the teens (16 to 24 seconds) later on, which is weird – those are very long period swells for such small heights. That kind of period at a point break can sometimes produce a few tricky, shifting lines, but with only 1ft to 2ft of wave, it’s going to be flat and fat. The energy readings do jump up into the 300s and 500s later in the window, which is interesting, but with the wind forecast as it is, the surf quality just isn’t there for a paddle.

Honestly, if you don’t have a high-volume board, you might be better off kiting if it gets breezy enough. But for a surf, keep an eye on Tuesday the 8th – it’s your only real standout.

– Rusty

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