Agua Verde Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. I’m looking at the charts for the next couple of weeks, and I gotta be straight with you: it’s gonna be a slog. There’s a constant, weak little pulse of southwest swell, but it’s fighting a losing battle against onshore and cross-onshore winds that are just shredding the surface. We got a long stretch of small, messy days ahead.

The first few days, from Friday the 11th through the weekend, are pretty much a no-go. Wave heights are in that 1 to 2 foot range, and that’s being generous. The wind is what it is – mostly onshore and gusty – and it’s making everything choppy and disorganized. The water temp at Agua Verde (Baja California) is 90°, which is a few degrees warmer than usual, but that's small comfort when there's nothing to ride.

The middle of next week doesn't bring much hope either. We get a slight bump in energy, but the swell stays small and the wind doesn't let up. It's the kind of surf that's technically there, but you'll spend more time fighting it than riding it. A couple of mornings mid-week, like Wednesday the 16th, might have a slightly cleaner look with a little more push, but it’s still a far cry from good.

The most interesting window opens up on Sunday the 20th. The swell is still tiny (around 2-3 feet), but it’s got some serious period behind it, around 19 seconds. That's a true, long-period groundswell, and if it lines up with the light morning wind, it could produce some clean, long, rolling lines. The energy reading hits its highest point of the whole period at 507, so there’s definitely some push in the water. But the size is just so small. It’s going to be a glassy, longboard-style day. Don't expect any power.

After that, the following week is more of the same. We’ll see that southwest swell linger, with moderate energy levels, but it never translates to any real size. The period drops from that nice long-range window, and the wind continues to be a factor. There will be mornings where it looks like it might clean up, but it often ends up being a crumbly, shutting-down kind of wave, better for a log than a performance board.

By the final days of the month, the whole thing fades out. The swell drops back down to ankle-high slop and the outlook is pretty grim. If you’re a kitesurfer, some of those windier afternoons might be more fun, but for a surfer, this whole period is a big blank. The one standout, the only day that really sparks any interest, is that Sunday the 20th. It's a promise of something better, but it's a long way off and a lot can change. Keep your board ready, but manage your expectations.

Rusty.

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