El Anclote Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s shaping up for El Anclote over the next two weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid run of condition to start the period. Monday afternoon, July 27th, is where we kick things off. The water is a balmy 89°, which is a whopping 4° warmer than usual for this time of year—that’s a real standout, that’s a proper tropical bath. We’ve got a clean 3 ft swell rolling in from the SSW with a long period of 16 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the NW at 6 mph, keeping the surface clean. The combined wave energy is moderate at 464. This is a good, clean, fun-sized wave for a beginner-friendly reef break like El Anclote, and with the crowds being only “sometimes” a problem, it’s a great chance to get some uncrowded waves.

Tuesday morning, July 28th, looks even better. The wind drops to 3 mph from the NE, still cross-offshore, and the swell bumps up slightly in period to 17 seconds. The energy is ramping up to 641, still moderate but solid. It’s going to be glassy and clean. Tuesday afternoon stays clean with a bit more breeze from the WNW at 9 mph, but still cross-off.

Wednesday, July 29th, is another good one. The morning session has a bit of a cross-shore bump from the East at 6 mph, but the afternoon cleans up nicely with a 9 mph cross-offshore breeze from the West. The swell holds steady at 3 ft, 16 seconds from the SSW.

After Wednesday, the size drops off quickly. Thursday, July 30th, sees the swell drop to 2 ft and the wind gets messy with a cross-onshore flow and a risk of thunderstorms. The energy drops to 233-234. That’s a real kick in the guts. Friday, July 31st, and the weekend into early August are a real struggle. The swell fades to 1 ft to 2 ft, and the energy drops into the double digits. The wind is mostly light, but the swell is just too small to get excited about. There’s a huge gap of poor to unsurfable conditions from Thursday, July 30th, right through to the end of the first week of August.

Now, looking into the second week, things finally start to show a pulse again. Friday, August 7th, we see a small bump in period to 18 seconds, and the swell direction holds from the SW. The energy creeps back up to 123, but it’s still only 1 ft. The wind is offshore from the NW at 12 mph on Friday afternoon, which is clean. Saturday, August 8th, is similar, with a 9 mph offshore from the NNW in the afternoon. Not big, but clean.

The real hope comes at the very end of the forecast. On Monday, August 10th, we get a glassy, completely calm afternoon with a 1 ft swell from the SW but a period of 20 seconds. That’s a very long-period groundswell. The energy is 144. Then Tuesday, August 11th, is even better: glassy calm in the morning, 1 ft, 19 seconds, and the energy hits 165. The afternoon sees a 12 mph offshore from the NNW keeping it clean. These are long period swells, which can be a bit tricky at a beach break, but El Anclote is a reef, so it should handle that energy just fine. The size is tiny, but the quality is going to be there for a longboard or a funboard.

The standout session of the whole 16-day window is Monday afternoon, July 27th, and Tuesday morning, July 28th. That’s the best combination of decent size, warm water, clean conditions, and long-period groundswell. The second week is a long-range promise of glassy, tiny, but high-quality waves, but it’s far out—don’t set your alarm just yet.

Rusty.

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